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President-elect Donald Trump's flurry of announcements regarding Cabinet nominees has left investors with one unexpected headache: a suddenly cloudy picture of who will take the all-important position of Treasury secretary. One somewhat new name to emerge into the Treasury conversation is former Fed governor Kevin Warsh. However, the Wall Street Journal reported Sunday that Warsh also has emerged as potential Treasury contender. Yields took another leg higher on Monday amid the Treasury uncertainty. However, Fundstrat research chief Tom Lee said that once the Treasury nominee issue is settled, that should restore some market confidence.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, Scott Bessent, Sen, Bill Haggerty, Howard Lutnick, Elon Musk, Powell, Stocks, Kevin Warsh, Jerome Powell, Warsh, Evercore, Tom Lee, Lee Organizations: Key Square Group, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Trump Trade, Trump, Wall Street
"We estimate net margins will expand by 78 bp to 12.3% in 2025 followed by a further 35 bp increase to 12.6% in 2026." Heading into this year the Goldman team was too bearish. When it originally set its 2024 forecast last November it called for the index to climb just 5% to 4,700. States the report: "Our economists assume the Trump administration will impose targeted tariffs on imported automobiles and select imports from China. "High multiples are weak signals for near-term returns, but typically increase the magnitude of market drawdown during a negative shock," states the report.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Donald Trump, Trump, Martin Marietta, Stocks Organizations: CNBC Pro, Goldman, Microsoft, Tesla, Electronic Arts, Martin Marietta Materials, Waste Management, Fiverr International, Apple, Adobe, Mastercard, Uber Locations: China
I had four months of paid leave and negotiated two more months of unpaid leave. She told me to take as much parental leave as I could and that I would never regret doing so. I combined my disability, short-term sick pay, and accrued vacation time, some of which would run concurrently with my FMLA leave, for about four months of paid leave. AdvertisementI stressed about our financesThe last couple of months of my leave presented financial stress on top of my feelings of isolation. I think it was the best amount of leave, as opposed to the most amount of leave, for me and my family.
Persons: , I'd Organizations: playgroups
People always ask me why I dislike parabolic moves. In other words, parabolic moves force you to be a trader. I will fight no one who wants to buy Palantir because I sense that one will be the last name to go down. But parabolic moves are intoxicating. If we just had the 10-year bond move to 5%, I wouldn't even bother addressing the hidden dangers behind parabolic moves.
Persons: , it's, Nvidia disappoints, Elon Musk, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, that's, Buffett, Warren, didn't, Fox, Richard Nixon, there's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Alex Karp, Stefani Reynolds Organizations: York Stock Exchange, Nvidia, GameStop, SpaceX, RFK Jr, Health, Human Services Department, Apple, Amazon, Fox News, Republicans, Justice Department, Nuclear ETF, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, U.S, Senate, Intelligence, Capitol, Washington , D.C, Afp, Getty Locations: There's, Washington, Washington ,
5 things we're watching in the stock market in the week ahead
  + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +10 min
October retail sales, released Friday morning, came in slightly ahead of expectations, indicating a 0.4% monthly increase, versus a 0.3% increase expected. Disney's reported strong earnings and its stock advanced more than 16% for the week as a result. In the week ahead, we will get earnings from three Club names, including the highly anticipated quarter from Nvidia, and a couple of housing market-related updates. The Street is looking for Nvidia sales of $33.1 billion in its fiscal Q3 and earnings of 75 cents per share. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Donald Trump, Friday's, Jerome Powell, Powell, That's, YTD We're, we're, Jensen, Trump, Nvidia's, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Angela Weiss Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Fed, Disney, Depot, Nvidia, TJX Companies, Home Goods, Blackwell, Palo Alto Networks, Home Depot, Stanley, Walmart, Viking Holdings, Sonoma, WSM, Baidu, PDD Holdings, Deere & Co, Warner Music Group, Intuit, Ross Stores, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty Locations: Maxx, U.S, China, Palo, VIK, Williams, New York City
AdvertisementInflation's downtrend may not be as straightforward as some investors think, according to Charles Schwab. Immigration reform could mean higher labor costs," the note added. Labor costs risingLabor costs have accelerated in recent months, with unit labor costs among all workers in the business sector rising to 3.4% year-over-year in the third quarter, according to Federal Reserve data. Markets are beginning to dial back expectations for further rate cuts in response to inflation concerns," Schwab strategists said. Charles Schwab, Citi Economic Surprise Index"Stronger growth suggests that the Fed may not lower short-term rates as much as anticipated just a few months ago.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Trump, Schwab, It's Organizations: Trump, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Federal Reserve, Unit, Bloomberg, Treasury, Business, Citi
A 44-year-old Florida woman accused of using her mother’s identity to apply for hurricane aid told a Bradenton city employee that she looked so much younger because of botox, the police department said Saturday. When the Torres arrived to pick up the check Thursday a city employee challenged her on her appearance compared to the age in the application. “Her explanation of ‘botox treatments’ failed to convince the employee,” police said in a statement. Bradenton is a city of around 55,000 north of Sarasota, on the state's western coast. That area was affected by powerful Hurricane Helene as it passed by in September, and in October Hurricane Milton made landfall in Siesta Key, just south of Sarasota.
Persons: Veronica Torres, Torres, , Helene, Hurricane Milton Organizations: Bradenton Police Department Locations: Florida, Bradenton, Sarasota, Hurricane, Siesta
We had no income tax, and all we had was tariffs.”That’s why some Wall Street titans are trying to push for Bessent. Kyle Bass, a billionaire hedge fund investor at Hayman Capital Management, said Lutnick doesn’t have the composition to lead the Treasury. “Scott Bessent is eminently more qualified than Howard Lutnick to run the U.S. Treasury,” Bass posted on X Wednesday. A full week after appearing to decide on nominating Bessent, Trump interviewed him again at Mar-a-Lago. A key Cabinet player, the Treasury secretary advises the president on economic and fiscal matters, including spending and taxes.
Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Scott Bessent, ” Musk, , Bessent, , Kyle Bass, Lutnick doesn’t, “ Scott Bessent, ” Bass, “ Scott, I’ve, Bass, Dan Loeb, Scott Lincicome, Lutnick, , Cheney, Lutnick —, Dick Cheney’s, George W, Tennessee Sen, Bill Hagerty, Larry Kudlow, Kudlow, Steven Mnuchin, Mnuchin Organizations: CNN, Trump, , Wall, Fox News, titans, Hayman Capital Management, Treasury, U.S . Treasury, Cato Institute, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, National Economic Council, America, Policy Institute, Fox Business, Bessent, Mar, Republicans, Treasury Department Locations: America, United States
A review of recorded calls from the Metropolitan Detention Center revealed Combs used the telephone accounts of at least eight inmates to allegedly evade monitoring, prosecutors said. The new allegations were revealed in a court filing late Friday as federal prosecutors argue Combs should not be entitled to another bail hearing. A federal grand jury has been regularly convening in the continuing criminal investigation, CNN reported October 31, citing three sources. audience engagement — and explicitly discussed with his family how to ensure that the video had his desired effect on potential jury members in this case,” prosecutors said. Combs’ inability to follow the rules in federal custody suggests he wouldn’t abide by any bail conditions set by the judge, prosecutors said.
Persons: Sean “ Diddy ” Combs, Combs, , Arun Subramanian, they’ve, ” Combs, , cosigned Organizations: CNN, Metropolitan Detention, MDC, Prosecutors Locations: Brooklyn, Subramanian
An Arizona man has been charged with attempted murder after officials say he tried to kill a child safety case worker during a discussion about his child. Deandre Terrell Johnson, 32, attempted to strangle a Department of Child Safety case worker “until the victim lost consciousness” after a meeting involving his daughter, the Maricopa County Attorney’s Office said. An attorney listed for Johnson in the indictment was not immediately reached for comment on Friday afternoon. Johnson has been charged with attempt to commit first-degree murder; aggravated assault and unlawful flight from law enforcement. Attempts to reach a representative with the Department of Child Safety were unsuccessful Friday.
Persons: Deandre Terrell Johnson, , Johnson Organizations: of Child, Maricopa County Attorney’s, Mesa police, Department of Child Safety Locations: Arizona, Maricopa County
CNN —If you are someone who doesn’t want to even think about Christmas until after Thanksgiving, apologies in advance. Here’s how that factors into what to watch this weekend. “An Almost Christmas Story”"An Almost Christmas Story." “Cross”Aldis Hodge as Alex Cross in "Cross." Task Force Commander who partners with a bounty hunter in order to save Christmas.
Persons: we’ve, Mariah Carey, Luna, Aldis Hodge, Alex Cross, Keri Anderson, James Paterson’s Alex Cross, Hodge, Adam ”, Charithra Chandran, Yerin Ha, Jessica Barden, Emma Canning, Paul Atreides, Timothée Chalamet, “ Landman, Billy Bob Thornton, Tommy Norris, Emerson Miller, Taylor Sheridan, Oscar, Thornton, Sheridan, , ‘ I’m, ’ ” Thornton, Dwayne Johnson, Chris Evans, Karen Neal, Dwayne “, ” Johnson Organizations: CNN, York City’s Rockefeller, Disney, Paramount, CBS, Amazon, Task Locations: New York City, West Texas
Bank stocks in particular got a lift amid speculation of increased deal activity. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR2. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR3. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR4. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, Bloomberg5.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Stocks, Michael Hartnett, Gold, Crypto Organizations: Investors, Bank, Bank of America, BofA Global Research, Bank of America Global Investment, Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, Bloomberg Locations: outflows
Bond Report: 10-year yields touch 4.5%
  + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBond Report: 10-year yields touch 4.5%CNBC’s Rick Santelli joins ‘Power Lunch’ to discuss the latest news in the bond market.
Persons: Rick Santelli
Mortgage rates were forecast to go down in 2025. Expectations of higher inflation and more government debt under Trump have helped mortgage rates rise in recent weeks. Why mortgage rates rose ahead of the election — and are still high nowMortgage rates went down a lot in September, with 30-year rates dropping near 6%, according to Freddie Mac. How Trump's policies could lead to higher mortgage ratesZhao says that right now it's "nearly impossible" to predict where mortgage rates will go in 2025. More supply would help moderate home price growth, improving affordability even if mortgage rates remain high.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump's, , Freddie Mac, they're, Chen Zhao, Melissa Cohn, Trump, Zhao, Kamala Harris, Cohn Organizations: Trump, Service, Bond, William, Mortgage, Analytics
Warning: This story contains descriptions of self-harm that some readers might find distressingCNN —Iranian activist Kianoosh Sanjari, who died by suicide this week in protest at political imprisonments by the regime, was buried Friday in the capital Tehran. “It is time to act… as Iranians, we should attend his burial with enthusiasm and respect, to honor this noble and tortured individual,” Ronaghi wrote on X. Abdollah Momeni, another Iranian activist, said that when he saw Sanjar’s post, he rushed to meet him, only to find “a white sheet thrown” over his body by Hafez Bridge. On Thursday, the state news agency ISNA reported that a judicial case had been opened by the prosecutor’s office in Tehran regarding Sanjari’s suicide. He was accused of “acting against state security” and “propaganda against the system,” according to the human rights organization.
Persons: Kianoosh Sanjari, Sanjari, , Ayatollah, Khamenei, ” Sanjari, Fatemeh, Nasreen, Toomaj, , Hafez, Kianoosh, ’ Hossein Ronaghi, , ” Ronaghi, Abdollah Momeni, ” Momeni, ISNA, IranWire Organizations: CNN, Islamic, Amnesty, Persian Service, of America, Service Locations: Tehran, Islamic Republic, Charsou, , Iranian, Tehran’s, Iran, Washington ,
The global 60/40 strategy has seen a 27% cumulative return since 2022 through Oct. 31, according to Vanguard data. Traditionally, stocks and bonds move in opposite directions, which helps lower the volatility of this traditional portfolio. But that didn't work in 2022, when stocks and bonds both suffered and the 60/40 tanked, which had many declaring the strategy dead. The 60/40 portfolio tends to be shorthand for a balanced, diversified portfolio, with specific allocations based on investors' individual needs. For instance, Morningstar's index that reflects a 60/40 portfolio is up about 15% year to date.
Persons: Todd Schlanger, it's, Dan Lefkovitz, Morningstar, Lefkovitz, doesn't, Amy Arnott, Price, Jared Woodard, Woodard, Morningstar's, Vanguard's Schlanger, Schlanger, Organizations: Vanguard, Morningstar, Commodities, Bank of America, Fund, Bloomberg U.S, U.S .
There's little appetite on Wall Street for undermining the central bank or ousting Jerome Powell. On Friday, billionaire Elon Musk endorsed a suggestion to let the president control the Federal Reserve, which is run by Chair Jerome Powell. Advertisement"He seems to be someone who has the ear of the president," Mark Spindel, an investment manager who co-wrote a history of Fed independence, told Business Insider of Musk's influence. Many Wall Streeters are concerned that undermining Fed independence would undercut investors' faith in the stock and bond markets. Trump is, Siegel said, extremely attuned to the stock market and uses it as a barometer of his success.
Persons: Elon Musk, Jerome Powell, , Powell, Mark Spindel, Trump, Jeremy Siegel, he'd, Stocks, reappoint Powell, Scott Bessent, Peter Orszag, Obama, Lazard, Wharton's Siegel, Gallup, Siegel, Spindel, Musk's, Volodymyr Zelenskyy Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Wall Street Journal, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Fed, Trump, Bloomberg, Federal, Treasury, Congress Locations: Powell, Europe, Japan, U.S, Trump
What exactly President-elect Donald Trump's second term means for the stock market will be the question investors continue to grapple with in the week ahead. Nvidia earnings results will also be on deck as investors deal with stubbornly high interest rates as well. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged past 44,000 for the first time ever, and the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite similarly posted new records. Sales of Blackwell and Grace Blackwell are expected to start to show up in results next year. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF has surged 11% this month.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Jimmy Chang, Jensen Huang, CNBC's, Blackwell, Grace Blackwell, Harsh Kumar, Piper Sandler, Kumar, Jensen, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Novavax, Ken Mahoney, Trump, There's, Mahoney, Rockefeller's Chang, Chris Rupkey, Jerome Powell Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Rockefeller Global Family, Treasury, Nvidia, Blackwell, Health, Human Services Department, Moderna, Asset Management, Regional Banking ETF, Federal, White, FWDBONDS, Housing, Walmart, Lowe's, Palo Alto Networks, Philadelphia Fed, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Ross Stores, Intuit, Deere, PMI, PMI Manufacturing, PMI Services Locations: China, U.S, NAHB, . Kansas, Michigan
A fingerprint on a decades-old taxi application led to the arrest of a man accused of fatally shooting two people and leaving their bodies along a Massachusetts roadway in 1978, officials said. Investigators determined that the print on the car was from Joley's left thumb, the district attorney said. The district attorney said the case now has "renewed hope." An autopsy determined they each suffered multiple gunshot wounds, the district attorney said. Harnish was "known as a quiet, polite young man," the district attorney said.
Persons: Timothy Scott Joley, Theresa Marcoux, Mark Harnish, Anthony Gulluni, Theresa A, Mark, Joley, It's, Gulluni, Timothy Joley, Joley's, Marcoux, Harnish Organizations: Hampden, Facebook, Hampden District, Springfield police, Investigators, West Springfield Police, Dodge, Riverdale Locations: Massachusetts, Clearwater , Florida, West Springfield, Springfield, Pinellas, Jail, Hampden, Riverdale
"We have increased our bets on inflation," he told CNBC's Leslie Picker at CNBC's Delivering Alpha investor summit on Wednesday. "We will have another inflection up in inflation," he said. "The policy mix being proposed is inflationary and we will see more of that over the next few years." The latest CPI data released Wednesday showed inflation in line with market expectations, at 2.6%. There is an argument for tolerating it and trying to run the economy as hot as possible.
Persons: David Einhorn, Donald Trump's, CNBC's Leslie Picker, Einhorn, bearish, Nelson Peltz, Trump, Harris, You've, you've, Anne Walsh Organizations: Greenlight, Alpha, Trump, Maytag, Trian, Guggenheim Partners Investment Management Locations: U.S
One of the surest bets when the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates was for bond prices to rise while yields came under pressure, but that hasn't played out according to plan. This market, which has defied so many historical patterns, has kept the pressure on bond yields up due to a variety of factors, including more persistent concerns about the federal deficit. But her bigger concern remains on the bond side of the markets. She said investors will be "more wary" given the election rally and the pulling forward of expectations about tax cuts and regulation and expectations they will contribute to growth. But it is in the bond market where investors should expect even more volatility.
Persons: hasn't, Donald's Trump, Anne Walsh, Nelson Peltz Organizations: Federal Reserve, Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, CNBC's, Alpha, DA Locations: New York City
Powell noted that the unemployment rate has been rising but has flattened out in recent months and remains low by historical standards. Specifically, he said the labor market is holding up well despite disappointing job growth in October largely that he attributed to storm damage in the Southeast and labor strikes. "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates," Powell said in remarks for a speech to business leaders in Dallas. Powell added that the calculus of getting the move to neutral rate will be tricky. The Fed also has been allowing proceeds from its bond holdings to roll off its mammoth balance sheet each month.
Persons: Powell, Nonfarm, Jerome Powell Organizations: Traders, Federal, Committee Locations: Dallas
Mortgage rates continued to climb last week as investors considered the future of the economy under a Trump presidency. The mortgage market basically took a breather. “Mortgage rates continued to increase last week, driven by higher Treasury yields as financial markets digested the likely impacts of a Trump presidency,” said Joel Kan, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s deputy chief economist. Last year at that time, mortgage rates were 75 basis points higher. “FHA mortgage rates bucked the overall trend and were lower over the week, which likely helped some borrowers,” Kan said.
Persons: Trump, , Joel Kan, Kan, ” Kan, Matthew Graham Organizations: Mortgage, , Trump, Federal Housing Administration, U.S . Department of Veterans Affairs, Veterans, Mortgage News
Former Vice President Mike Pence was, for most of their four years together, a loyal partner who helped smooth Trump’s dealings with establishment Republicans and evangelical conservatives. “It compresses things,” said Joel Goldstein, a vice presidential scholar and professor emeritus at Saint Louis University. At one point, polling showed him to be one of the least-liked vice presidential candidates over the last 30 years. And during his own presidency, Biden tasked Vice President Kamala Harris with the tough-to-define and tough-to-evaluate assignment of tackling the root causes of migration from Mexico and Central America. He also was the last sitting vice president to win the presidency.
Persons: JD Vance, — “, Vance, , Donald Trump, Trump, , Jordan Wiggins, “ He’s, Al Gore, Bill Clinton’s, Joe Biden, Barack Obama, Obama, Grover, Mike Pence, Pence, Trump —, Joel Goldstein, Tim Walz, JD, ” Wiggins, ” Vance, isn’t, “ JD, ” Vance hasn’t, Gore, George W, Bush, Dick Cheney, Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, I’d, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Ronald Reagan, Reagan Organizations: Republican Party, Trump, Jan, U.S . Capitol, Saint Louis University, Senate, Democratic, Minnesota Gov, NBC, Press, GOP, The New York Times, Central America, NBC News, Republican National Convention Locations: Ohio, Cincinnati, Grover Cleveland, Iowa, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Clinton, Mexico, Central, George H.W .
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, Franklin, Coterra, Tom Jorden, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Franklin Mountain Energy, Natural Resources, Devices, Bloomberg News, AMD, Silo, Systems, Club, Nvidia, Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor, SOX, Cisco Systems, Disney, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: New Mexico, West Texas
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