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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market hasn't priced in a recession yet, says Bleakley's Peter BoockvarPeter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the holiday boosted market rally and his outlook for a recession.
But messaging from Fed officials this week has brought Wall Street back down to earth. Tech layoffs don’t mean impending recessionA series of high-profile layoffs have rattled Big Tech this month. The series of high-profile layoff announcements prompted fears that the labor market was weakening and that a recession could be around the corner. Those fears aren’t unwarranted: The Federal Reserve is actively working to slow economic growth and tighten financial conditions to rebalance the white-hot labor market. “The main problem in the labor market is still that labor demand is too strong, not too weak,” they concluded.
By 2025 or 2026, the United States may hit a bleak milestone: Federal interest payments could exceed the country’s entire defense budget, according to Moody’s Analytics. The Fed kept interest rates very low to stimulate growth (and encourage inflation) and investors around the world clamored to buy US debt. But White of Moody’s notes that gross interest payments include interest the government pays to itself and said net interest is the more relevant category to watch here. In a best-case scenario, the United States grows its way out of the debt mess, with the economy expanding more rapidly than interest payments. With interest rates going up, the sovereign bond bubble is unwinding,” Boockvar said.
Peter Boockvar digs in on today's market action
  + stars: | 2022-10-18 | by ( Melissa Lee | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPeter Boockvar digs in on today's market actionBleakley Financial Group's Peter Boockvar on earnings and today's market action. With CNBC's Brian Sullivan and the Fast Money traders, Tim Seymour, Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Julie Biel.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTwo investment managers give their thoughts on the health of the global economyPeter Boockvar, Chief Investment Officer at Bleakley Financial Group, and Josh Wein, Portfolio Manager at Hennessy Funds, join Worldwide Exchange to discuss the markets on the heels of JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon's comments about the economy.
Navigating rates and volatility
  + stars: | 2022-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNavigating rates and volatilityBleakley Financial Group's Peter Boockvar, Seymour Asset Management's Tim Seymour and ProShares Simeon Hyman join CNBC's Frank Holland and the 'CNBC Special: Markets in Turmoil' to discuss market reaction to the Fed's latest rate increase and where they see stocks heading for the rest of the year.
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPace of rate hikes is putting the economy and markets into a 'danger zone,' says Peter BoockvarBleakley Financial Group's Peter Boockvar on yesterday's Fed rate decision. With CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Karen Finerman, Bonawyn Eison, Dan Nathan and Brian Kelly.
London (CNN Business) When the Federal Reserve started hiking interest rates to combat decades-high inflation, Chair Jerome Powell stressed that the central bank could increase borrowing costs without inflicting too much damage on the economy. Breaking it down: The central bank didn't go as hard as some investors thought it might. The Fed's main interest rate is now set between 3% and 3.25%. Plus, many factors pushing up inflation numbers — such as the war in Ukraine and drought conditions — are outside the central bank's control. Central banks have "no choice" but to increase interest rates in an effort to combat inflation, she added.
“We feel the economy is very strong and will be able to withstand tighter monetary policy,” Powell said in March. Breaking it down: The central bank didn’t go as hard as some investors thought it might. Yet tucked into the central bank’s projections were signs that it plans to stay tough, even if it means pushing the economy into rocky territory. The Fed’s main interest rate is now set between 3% and 3.25%. Plus, many factors pushing up inflation numbers — such as the war in Ukraine and drought conditions — are outside the central bank’s control.
That is, the Fed will hike and hold, not hike and cut as many in the markets had been forecasting. The September CNBC Fed Survey shows the average respondent believes the Fed will hike 0.75 percentage point, or 75 basis points, at Wednesday's meeting, bringing the federal funds rate to 3.1%. The new peak rate forecast represents a nearly 40 basis-point increase from the July survey. Ryding sees a potential need for the Fed to hike as high as 5%, from the current range of 2.25%-2.5%. Respondents put the recession probability in the U.S. over the next 12 months at 52%, little changed from the July survey.
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