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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's what the plummet in European bank stocks mean for U.S. marketsPeter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO and CNBC contributor, joins 'Squawk Box' to make some understanding of the bank stock performance in Europe, if the plummet in European bank stocks has any ties to Credit Suisse and more.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA potential banking crisis could do the Fed's job for it, says CI RegentAtlantic's Andy KapyrinAndy Kapyrin, CI RegentAtlantic private wealth co-CIO, Nancy Tengler, CEO and CIO at Laffer Tengler Investments, and Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, join 'The Exchange' to discuss pricing in the Fed's rate decision, mounting recession concerns, and the market response to banking sector turmoil.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Bleakley Financial Group's Peter Boockvar, Laffer Tengler's Nancy Tengler and CI RegentAtlantic's Andy KapyrinAndy Kapyrin, CI RegentAtlantic private wealth co-CIO, Nancy Tengler, CEO and CIO at Laffer Tengler Investments and Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, join 'The Exchange' to discuss pricing in the Fed's rate decision, mounting recession concerns, and the market response to banking sector turmoil.
How Credit Suisse and SVB are connected: Fear
  + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Credit Suisse shares crashed more than 20% in Zurich after the bank’s biggest shareholder chose not to increase its funding, dragging down European bank stocks along with it. Why are traders seeing a connection between the Credit Suisse turmoil and the collapse of two US banks last week? “Credit Suisse has been a slowing-moving car crash for years,” wrote Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer of Bleakley Financial Group. Customers withdrew billions from Credit Suisse last year, contributing to the bank’s biggest annual loss since the financial crisis in 2008. In short, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank didn’t cause Credit Suisse to stumble, but it did put the embattled bank under even more intense scrutiny.
Shares of the Swiss bank fell more than 24% after its biggest backer said it won't provide further financial support. Credit Suisse announced on Tuesday that it had found " material weakness " in its financial reporting process from prior years. Bank stocks were under pressure on Wednesday as the sharp drop of Credit Suisse rattled a segment of the market that was already reeling from two large bank failures in the past week. Some regional bank stocks saw even bigger declines. Credit Suisse struggles come on the heels of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in the U.S. Those failures caused steep sell-offs in regional bank stocks on Monday.
The bond market's recession warning has gotten more urgent
  + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
The bond market is sending a more urgent recession warning and also signaling that the Federal Reserve may have to pause raising interest rates — giving up its fight against inflation. The sharp move in the 2-year yield also resulted in a rapid steepening of the yield curve. "The steepening always starts to happen because the market expects the Fed to cut rates in response to that recession." DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach also said the "aggressively steepening" of the Treasury yield curve after inversion is "highly suggestive of imminent recession." The 2-year yield jumped above 5% after he spoke.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe economy is definitely moving toward a hard landing, says Bleakley's Peter BoockvarPeter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss his call that there's zero chance the Fed's next rate hike will be 50 bps.
Economists expect hiring remained strong in February and that wages grew even faster than they did in January. Economists forecast 225,000 new jobs were added in February, lower than January's surprisingly strong 517,000 jobs, according to Dow Jones. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 3.4%. The persistently strong jobs market and hotter-than-expected January inflation data changed the outlook for the Fed. The futures market is now pricing an end point for Fed rate hikes near 5.75%, against the current target range of 4.50%-4.75%.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLaffer Tengler's Nancy Tengler on Powell: The market doesn't like his unpredictabilityNancy Tengler, Laffer Tengler Investments, and Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the perceived mixed messages from the Fed and how that's impacting the market.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Laffer Tengler's Nancy Tengler and Bleakley's Peter BoockvarNancy Tengler, Laffer Tengler Investments, and Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group, join 'The Exchange' to discuss mixed messages from the Fed and how they're impacting the market.
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. There's no need to speculate anymore — in the first of his Congressional hearings, Powell said outright that the Fed might raise interest rates higher and faster than officials had projected last year. This means that rates could not only go beyond 5.25%, but the Fed could also return to 50-basis-point hikes. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. There's no need to speculate anymore — in the first of his Congressional hearings, Powell said outright that the Fed might raise interest rates higher and faster than officials had projected last year. This means that rates could not only go beyond 5.25%, but the Fed could also return to 50-basis-point hikes. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailYou sense the market is desperately hoping the Fed is done hiking interest rates, says Peter BoockvarBleakley Financial Group's Peter Boockvar joins Eamon Javers and the 'CNBC Special: Taking Stock' to discuss the markets and the Fed, and where he sees things heading from here. With CNBC's Mike Santoli.
The seesaw-like tension between interest rates and stock prices should remain in play in the week ahead, as investors focus on comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the February employment report. There are few earnings in the week ahead, so economic data will likely be a main driver for stocks, along with the comments from Powell. The futures market is pricing in a high chance for a quarter point, or 25 basis point hike in March. Week ahead calendar Monday Earnings: WW International, ThredUp, Trip.com, Lordstown Motor, Ciena, Grindr 10:00 a.m. Initial claims 10:00 a.m. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr Friday Earnings: Embraer 8:30 a.m. Employment report 2:00 p.m. Federal budget
Stock futures tick lower on Thursday night: Live updates
  + stars: | 2023-03-02 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
U.S. stock futures inched downward on Thursday night as investors pondered the Federal Reserve's rate-hiking path in light of fresh commentary from central bank speakers. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.15% and 0.21%, respectively. The S&P 500 is up 0.28%, while the Nasdaq has a 0.60% gain. The road ahead is a tough one for the central bank, regardless of the messaging they're relaying to the public. Investors will also listen for further commentary from central bank officials, including Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe economy is still seeing impact from stimulus, says Leuthold’s Doug RamseyBleakley’s Peter Boockvar and Leuthold’s Doug Ramsey join 'The Exchange' to discuss markets and the economy ahead of today's Fed minutes.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Bleakley’s Peter Boockvar and Leuthold’s Doug RamseyBleakley’s Peter Boockvar and Leuthold’s Doug Ramsey, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss markets and the economy ahead of today's Fed minutes.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAll of Asia is going to benefit from China's reopening, says Bleakley Advisory Group's Peter BoockvarBleakley Advisory Group's Peter Boockvar joins Frank Holland and the 'CNBC Special: Taking Stock' to discuss this morning hotter-than-expected CPI report and what it means for the Fed going forward.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA lot of investors were underweight earlier in the year, says Edward Jones' MahajanMona Mahajan of Edward Jones joins Bleakley Advisory Group's Peter Boockvar and the 'CNBC Special: Taking Stock' to discuss investors' post-CPI playbook.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFriday's strong jobs number pushes back timing of potential recession, says Michelle GirardMichelle Girard, head of U.S. at NatWest Markets, and Peter Boockvar, CIO of Bleakley Financial Group, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the pace of job hiring in the U.S., Fed action and wages.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect a bull market in oil throughout 2023, says Goldman Sachs' Elizabeth BurtonCIO of Bleakley Financial Group Peter Boockvar and Elizabeth Burton, client investment strategist with Goldman Sachs Asset Management, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the commodities market as a safe-haven investment, winners and losers of the China reopening story, and strategic allocation of portfolios.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with NatWest's Michelle Girard and Bleakley's Peter BoockvarMichelle Girard, head of U.S. at NatWest Markets, and Peter Boockvar, CIO of Bleakley Financial Group, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the pace of job hiring in the U.S., Fed action and wages.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed rate hike prospects are reliant on non-farm payrolls, says Morgan Stanley's Seth CarpenterSeth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley chief global economist, and Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial Group CIO, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss Europe's recent rate hike, market prospects for Wednesday's Federal Reserve announcement, and more.
"He's going to do that by still saying the Fed's going to stay tight for a while. The Fed's rate hike Wednesday would be the eighth since last March. That is just a half percentage point away from the Fed's estimated end point, or terminal rate range of 5% to 5.25%. In the futures market, fed funds futures continued to price a terminal rate of less than 5%. "I think he's going to be hawkish relative to market pricing," said Jim Caron, head of macro strategies for global fixed income at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.
But as the Fed has continued to ratchet up interest rates, good economic news has again become good news to the market. But market participants shouldn't be too optimistic that a true bottom to the bear market is in, according to Peter Boockvar. "The third phase of the bear market is everyone throws in the towel, and no one wants to own a stock again," he told Wealthion. Bear markets end with outright disgust." Goldman Sach's David Kostin, who is more bullish than Wilson in the near-term, assuming a recession doesn't play out, also thinks earnings expectations are too high.
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