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This is driving up mortgage rates after years of lower-rate policies, crushing affordability and sinking home prices in some metropolitan areas. In the note, the pair released UBS's most reading of its Global Real Estate Bubble Index. Two cities — Zurich and Tokyo — top the list and are considered to be in "bubble risk" territory by being at least 1.5 standard deviations out of their index norm (Zurich at 1.71 and Tokyo at 1.65). UBS"Such high multiples come from an excessive appreciation of housing prices in the wake of previously low interest rates," Saputelli and Holzhey said. "House prices in all these cities remain vulnerable to corrections should interest rates remain elevated for longer or continue to rise further."
Persons: Claudio Saputelli, Matthias Holzhey, Holzhey Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Reserve Bank of India, Bank of England, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of, Central Bank of, Bank of Canada, UBS, Swiss, , Tokyo —, Miami Locations: Bank of Korea, Central Bank of Brazil, — Zurich, Tokyo, Zurich, Munich, Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Toronto, Geneva, Los Angeles, London, Tel Aviv, Vancouver, Amsterdam, Stockholm, Paris, Sydney
REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Acquire Licensing Rights Read moreSept 23 (Reuters) - Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau expects interest rates are going to start coming down by the middle of next year, in-line with recent Reuters poll estimates, though the latest economic data has turned the central bank more hawkish. We think interest rates are going to start coming down probably middle of next year," Trudeau told the New York Times in an interview just before returning to Canada after attending the United Nations General Assembly. Trudeau's popularity as measured by opinion polls has dropped as Canadians deal with a cost-of-living crisis, sparked by the central bank's record pace of interest rate increases to tame inflation. Trudeau has waded into a sensitive monetary policy debate and past comments on interest rates by his government and other provincial politicians have raised questions about the independence of the central bank. Reporting by David Ljunggren in Ottawa Writing by Denny Thomas, Editing by Franklin PaulOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Justin Trudeau, Mike Segar, Trudeau, Macklem, Chrystia Freeland, Pierre Poilievre, David Ljunggren, Denny Thomas, Franklin Paul Organizations: Canadian, REUTERS, New York Times, United Nations General Assembly, Bank of Canada, BoC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Finance, Minister's, Conservative Party Leader, Franklin Paul Our, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Canada, Ottawa
[1/2] A sign for the Royal Bank of Canada in Toronto, Ontario, Canada December 13, 2021. REUTERS/Carlos Osorio Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 21 (Reuters) - A U.S. federal judge on Thursday said American cities may pursue class-action claims accusing eight large banks of driving up interest rates they paid on a popular municipal bond. Cities led by Baltimore, Philadelphia and San Diego accused the banks of colluding to raise rates on more than 12,000 variable-rate demand obligations (VRDOs) from 2008 to 2016. Cities accused the eight banks of conspiring not to compete for remarketing services, and artificially inflating rates by sharing information about bond inventories and planned rate changes. The case is Philadelphia et al v Bank of America Corp et al, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, No.
Persons: Carlos Osorio, Jesse Furman, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Wells, San Diego, Banks, Furman, Dan Brockett, Jonathan Stempel, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Royal Bank of Canada, REUTERS, U.S, Bank of America, Barclays, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board, al, Bank of America Corp, Court, Southern District of, Thomson Locations: Toronto , Ontario, Canada, Manhattan, Baltimore, Philadelphia, San, colluding, U.S, Southern District, Southern District of New York, New York
The Canadian central bank had expected productivity, or output per hour worked, to improve as the economy recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic. Instead, it has fallen in eleven of the last 12 quarters, taking it back to its 2016 level. It also stands to add to unit labor costs, a key measure of inflation pressures coming from higher wages. "Our own forecast is that productivity growth will turn around, but that is a risk to the outlook and if productivity growth continues declining it will make it more difficult to get inflation back to target," Macklem said. The central bank has forecast that inflation will return to its 2% target in the middle of 2025.
Persons: Macklem, Derek Holt, tightens, Holt, Dennis Darby, Doug Porter, Fergal Smith, Steve Scherer, Deepa Babington Organizations: Bank of Canada, Reuters Graphics Reuters, BoC, Scotiabank, Federal Reserve, Canadian Manufacturers, Fraser Institute, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: Canadian, Canada, freefall, United States, Toronto, Ottawa
Morning Bid: Fed vigil sees oil recoil and UK surprise
  + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Canada's consumer prices raced ahead at an unexpectedly brisk clip last month, but outlier Britain got a positive surprise as inflation there fell back in August. Starts swooned last month, but building permits - which many see as a better gauge of future activity - beat forecasts and pushed higher. Although Asia bourses were in the red earlier, European stocks pushed higher and Wall St futures were positive ahead of the open too. Relief in the oil market pulled two-year Treasury yields back about 5 basis points from two-month highs at 5.12%. Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Wednesday:* U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision, new economic projections and press conference.
Persons: Mike Dolan, Asia bourses, Mills, Toby Chopra Organizations: Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China, Bank of England, Fed, Friday's Bank of Japan, Arm Holdings, U.S, New, . Federal, Bank of Canada, FedEx, United Nations General Assembly, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Housing, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Europe, New York City, New York
Canadian dollar gives back earlier gains on hawkish Fed
  + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto January 23, 2015. The Fed held interest rates steady but projected another rate increase by the end of the year and monetary policy kept significantly tighter through 2024 than previously expected. "The U.S. dollar is climbing against its major rivals as Treasury yields push higher across the front-end of the curve, and risk-sensitive assets - from equities to the Canadian dollar - are weakening," Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay, said in a note. The Canadian dollar was trading nearly unchanged at 1.3450 to the greenback, or 74.35 U.S. cents, after trading in a range of 1.3396 to 1.3464. The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, settled 1% lower at $90.28 a barrel, giving back some recent gains.
Persons: Mark Blinch, Price, Karl Schamotta, Fergal Smith, Nick Zieminski Organizations: REUTERS, Canadian, U.S, U.S . Federal, Fed, Bank of Canada, BoC, Thomson Locations: Toronto, TORONTO, Canadian
A sign is pictured outside the Bank of Canada building in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, May 23, 2017. The Bank of Canada (BoC) kept its key rate at 5% on Sept 6, noting the economy had entered a period of weaker growth, but said it could hike again should price pressures persist. The hawkish tone struck by the BoC since the latest rate decision was intentional, according to the minutes, or summary of deliberations, of the six Governing Council members. They "considered the possibility that their decision could be misinterpreted as a sign that policy tightening had ended and that lower interest rates would follow," the summary read. It continued: "They agreed that they did not want to raise expectations of a near-term reduction in interest rates, given that they only considered keeping the policy rate where it is or raising it further."
Persons: Chris Wattie, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren OTTAWA, Sharon Kozicki, David Ljunggren Organizations: Bank of Canada, REUTERS, The Bank of Canada, BoC, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada, Reuters Ottawa
Two of the three core inflation measures also rose. The annual rate, the highest since the 4.4% reported in April, is double the Bank of Canada's 2% target. "Underlying inflation is still well above the level that would be consistent with achieving our target of 2% CPI inflation," she said. Money markets raised bets for a rate hike in October after the data, seeing a 42% chance of an increase after the price figures compared with 23% before. However, another inflation report and a bevy of other data are due out before the Canadian central bank next meets on Oct 25 to set the key overnight rate.
Persons: Derek Holt, Holt, Sharon Kozicki, Jimmy Jean, Justin Trudeau's, Andrew Grantham, David Ljunggren, Steve Scherer, Dale Smith, Fergal Smith, Divya Rajogopal, Paul Simao, Mark Porter Organizations: Reuters, Statistics, Bank of Canada's, Scotiabank, Bank of, Bank of Canada, Canadian, Desjardins Group, CIBC Capital Markets, Tiff, Thomson Locations: OTTAWA, Statistics Canada, Canadian
A sign is pictured outside the Bank of Canada building in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, May 23, 2017. REUTERS/Chris Wattie/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBy Steve Scherer and David LjunggrenOTTAWA, Sept 19 (Reuters) - The Bank of Canada on Tuesday said recent volatility in headline inflation is not unusual but the underlying trend shown by core measures was inconsistent with bringing inflation down to the 2% target. "(They) are one reason why we look at measures of core inflation - which exclude components with more volatile price movements - to get a sense of what underlying inflation is." One of those core measures, CPI-trim - which leaves out spiking mortgage interest costs - has been between 3.5%-4% in recent months. "Underlying inflation is still well above the level that would be consistent with achieving our target of 2% CPI inflation," Kozicki said.
Persons: Chris Wattie, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren OTTAWA, Sharon Kozicki, Kozicki, Macklem, David Ljunggren Organizations: Bank of Canada, REUTERS, University of Regina, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada, Saskatchewan, Reuters Ottawa
A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto, January 23, 2015. The Canadian dollar was trading 0.3% higher at 1.3440 to the greenback, or 74.40 U.S. cents, after touching its strongest intraday level since Aug. 10 at 1.3383. Canada's annual inflation rate in August jumped to 4.0% from 3.3% in July on higher gasoline prices. "The oversold nature of the Canadian dollar going into the release suggests that exchange rate gains could be generated in the shorter term." Speculators have raised their bearish bets on the Canadian dollar to the highest since May, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed on Friday.
Persons: Mark Blinch, Karl Schamotta, Sharon Kozicki, Fergal Smith, Nick Zieminski, Sandra Maler Organizations: REUTERS, greenback, Canadian, U.S, Bank of Canada, Reuters, Bank of Canada's, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading, BoC, Thomson Locations: Toronto, TORONTO, Canadian
REUTERS/Chris Wattie/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsTORONTO, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Bank of Montreal (BMO) (BMO.TO) is winding down its indirect retail auto finance business and shifting focus to other areas in a move that will result in an unspecified number of job losses, Canada's third-largest bank said. The bank, which announced the move on Saturday, has conducted this business in Canada and the United States. Under the indirect retail auto finance business, the bank works with car dealerships to arrange financing for buyers, who make monthly payments to the lender. "By winding down the indirect retail auto finance business, we have the ability to focus our resources on areas where we believe our competitive positioning is strongest," BMO said in a statement to Reuters. The remaining loans in this portfolio are primarily auto loans, but also include other loans, including loans for boats, recreational vehicles and motorcycles, Edward Jones analyst James Shanahan said.
Persons: Chris Wattie, Paul Hunsley, Edward Jones, James Shanahan, Nivedita Balu, Denny Thomas, Jane Merriman, Susan Fenton, Will Dunham, Diane Craft Organizations: of Montreal, BMO, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Montreal, Reuters, The, Bank, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada, United States, California, Toronto
Crunch time after string of aggressive central bank rate hikes
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Major central banks have confounded economists with a string of interest rate rises that, so far, have moderated inflation without causing global recession. So far, nine developed economies have raised rates by a combined 3,915 bps in this cycle. Reuters Graphics2) NEW ZEALANDThe Reserve Bank of New Zealand lifted its cash rate to a 14-year high of 5.5% in May and has kept it there since. Reuters Graphics7) AUSTRALIAThe Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates steady at 4.1% for a third consecutive meeting in September, the last under former Governor Philip Lowe. Reuters Graphics10) JAPANThe Bank of Japan, the world's most dovish major central bank, meets next week.
Persons: BoE, Macklem, Philip Lowe, Lowe's, Michele Bullock, Naomi Rovnick, Harry Robertson, Samuel Indyk, Nell Mackenzie, Alun John, Yoruk Bahceli, Chiara Elisei, Vincent Flasseur, Sumanta Sen, Pasit, Dhara Ranasinghe, Sharon Singleton Organizations: European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, UNITED, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of, BRITAIN, of England, CANADA Bank of Canada, Bank of Canada, ECB, Norges Bank, SWEDEN Traders, Swiss, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: U.S, Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, NORWAY, Reserve Bank of Australia, SWEDEN, Swedish, SWITZERLAND Swiss, JAPAN
Zara owner Inditex profit jumps 40% as price rises slow
  + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Zara owner Inditex on Wednesday beat expectations with a 40% jump in half-year net profit despite the world's biggest fast fashion company slowing the pace of its price increases. The company posted a net profit of 2.5 billion euros ($2.7 billion) for the six months to July 31, outpacing a 2.38 billion euro market forecast according to data from LSEG. Inditex sales rose 13.5% to 16.9 billion euros and a gross margin of 58.2%. With a big share of its costs in euros, Inditex said it expects currencies to have a -3.5% impact on sales this year, worse than the -2.5% impact it expected previously. Inditex was among the first fashion retailers to raise prices in response to surging inflation early last year.
Persons: Inditex, Bernstein, William Woods, Richard Chamberlain, Steven Meisel, Linda Evangelista Organizations: Zara, Bank of America, Royal Bank of Canada, Reuters Locations: Zara, New York, LSEG, Madrid, United States, Spain
Canada created 39,900 jobs, Statistics Canada said, compared with a median forecast for a gain of 15,000. The labor market has been resilient even as the Bank of Canada (BoC) raised its key overnight rate 10 times since March 2022 to cool the economy. Money markets see a 44% chance of another BoC rate hike by year-end, up from 36% before the data were published. "This report alone won't make the Bank of Canada regret holding rates steady earlier this week. Derek Holt, vice president of capital markets economics at Scotiabank, noted a gain of 49,500 people in self-employed jobs.
Persons: Carlos Osorio, Andrew Kelvin, Royce Mendes, Derek Holt, Dale Smith, Fergal Smith, Andrea Ricci, Nick Macfie Organizations: Queen, West, REUTERS, Rights, Statistics, Bank of Canada, BoC, TD Securities, Desjardins Group, Canadian, Scotiabank, Thomson Locations: Toronto Ontario, Canada, Statistics Canada, Canadian, Ottawa, Toronto
OTTAWA, Sept 8 (Reuters) - Canada's economy gained a much greater than expected net 39,900 jobs in August and the unemployment rate remained at 5.5%, official data showed on Friday, a sign of underlying strength despite high rates. Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast a net gain of 15,000 jobs and for the unemployment rate to edge up to 5.6% from July. Statistics Canada said full-time positions grew by 32,200 jobs while part-time jobs posted a more modest gain of 7,800. The labor market has been resilient even as the Bank of Canada raised its key overnight rate 10 times since March 2022 to cool the economy. Employment in the goods sector fell by a net 2,500 jobs in August, largely in manufacturing, while services sector gained a net 42,400 jobs, mostly in professional, scientific and technical services.
Persons: David Ljunggren, Dale Smith Organizations: Reuters, Statistics Canada, Bank of Canada, Thomson Locations: OTTAWA
File photo: A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto, January 23, 2015. The loonie was trading 0.4% higher at 1.3620 to the greenback, or 73.42 U.S. cents, after moving in a range of 1.3609 to 1.3689. Money markets see a 44% chance of another BoC rate hike by year-end, up from 36% before the data. The jobs data is "not strong enough to prompt an immediate rethink on the pause, but it's also certainly not soft enough to rule out further hikes", Doug Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a note. The Canadian 2-year yield rose 3.3 basis points to 4.643%, while the gap between it and its U.S. equivalent narrowed by 5 basis points to 29.5 basis points in favor of the U.S. note.
Persons: Mark Blinch, it's, Doug Porter, Fergal Smith, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, greenback, Canadian, U.S, Bank of Canada, BoC, BMO Capital Markets, U.S ., Thomson Locations: Toronto, Canada, TORONTO
REUTERS/Thomas White/Illustration Acquire Licensing RightsSept 6 (Reuters) - Canadian Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland defended the central bank's independence on Wednesday after her comments welcoming the Bank of Canada's decision not to increase its key interest rate raised concerns to the contrary. In a widely expected decision, the Bank of Canada held interest rates steady at a 22-year high of 5%. It is rare for Canadian government ministers to publicly back or criticize central bank policies. Like many developed economies, the Bank of Canada makes its monetary policy decisions independent of the federal government. In June, when the central bank raised rates for the first time after a four-month pause, Freeland stressed that she respected the independence of the central bank, a sentiment she repeated in a press conference later in the day.
Persons: Thomas White, Chrystia Freeland, Freeland, Derek Holt, Pierre Poilievre, Justin Trudeau's, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren, Denny Thomas, Leslie Adler Organizations: Canadian Finance, Bank of, Bank of Canada, Conservative, Liberal, Ontario, Thomson Locations: Canada, Bank of Nova Scotia, British Columbia, Ottawa
File photo: A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto, January 23, 2015. REUTERS/Mark Blinch/file photo Acquire Licensing RightsTORONTO, Sept 7 (Reuters) - Analysts have cut their bullish near-term forecasts for the Canadian dollar as China's economy weakens and the gap between U.S. and Canadian bond yields grows, but still expect the currency to be stronger in a year, a Reuters poll showed. "The loonie has lost a few feathers in recent weeks," said Stefane Marion, chief economist and strategist at National Bank of Canada. "Widening interest rate differentials with the U.S. and weaker commodity prices due to a slowing Chinese economy are keeping the CAD in check." Canada is a major producer of commodities, so the loonie tends to be sensitive to the global growth outlook.
Persons: Mark Blinch, Stefane Marion, Marion, Fergal Smith, Sujith Pai, Devayani, Pranoy, Jan Harvey Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, National Bank of Canada, U.S, Bank of Canada, Thomson Locations: Toronto, Canada, U.S
Morning Bid: Transatlantic surprise gap opens up again
  + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The exterior of the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., June 14, 2022. And the gap between those two gauges, which had halved from July peaks, is starting to yawn wider yet again. Although the steep annual drop in Chinese exports and imports last month was marginally better than forecast, the ongoing funk in activity remains stark and threatens Beijing's overall economic growth target of about 5%. At least six senior Fed officials are in speaking engagements later on Thursday - including Fed board member Michelle Bowman and New York Fed chief John Williams. Events to watch for on Thursday:* U.S. weekly jobless claims, Q2 labor cost and productivity revisions* Federal Reserve Board Governor Michelle Bowman, New York Fed President John Williams, Chicago Fed chief Austan Goolsbee, Philadelphia Fed chief Patrick Harker, Atlanta Fed chief Raphael Bostic and Dallas Fed chief Lorie Logan all speak.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Mike Dolan, Andrew Bailey, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, bourses steadied, Austan Goolsbee, Patrick Harker, Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan, Joe Biden, Susan Fenton Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, U.S, Federal, Treasury, Bank of England, Bank of Canada, Fed, New York Fed, Apple, Beijing, Federal Reserve, Michelle Bowman , New York Fed, Chicago Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, Dallas Fed, PMI Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S, United States, Europe, China, Brent, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Japan, Asia, Michelle Bowman , New, Atlanta, India, New Delhi
Bank of Canada says interest rates may not be high enough
  + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem takes part in a news conference after announcing an interest rate decision in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada April 12, 2023. REUTERS/Blair Gable/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBy Steve Scherer and David LjunggrenOTTAWA, Sept 7 (Reuters) - Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem on Thursday said interest rates may not be high enough to bring inflation back down to target, sending a hawkish message after holding borrowing costs at a 22-year high a day earlier. The central bank hiked rates by a quarter point in both June and July in a bid to tame stubbornly high inflation. "We don't want to raise our policy rate more than we have to," Macklem said, adding that persistently high inflation would be worse for Canadians than high borrowing costs. (Reporting by Steve Scherer, editing by David Ljunggren)((Reuters Ottawa bureau, david.ljunggren@tr.com))Keywords: CANADA CENBANK/Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Blair Gable, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren OTTAWA, Macklem, Chrystia Freeland, David Ljunggren Organizations: Canada, REUTERS, Bank of Canada, BoC, federal, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada, Calgary , Alberta, Reuters Ottawa
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem takes part in a news conference after announcing an interest rate decision in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada April 12, 2023. The central bank hiked rates by a quarter point in both June and July in a bid to tame stubbornly high inflation, which has remained above the bank's 2% target for 27 months. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem will deliver a speech and hold a press conference to discuss the decision on Thursday. Reuters GraphicsLiberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's support has sagged amid high inflation as his Conservative rival, Pierre Poilievre, hammered him for fueling inflation with government spending and driving up rates during a housing crisis. "The Bank of Canada's decision to maintain its overnight interest rate is welcome relief for Canadians," Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland said in a statement.
Persons: Blair Gable, Doug Porter, Andrew Kelvin, Justin Trudeau's, Pierre Poilievre, Chrystia Freeland, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren, Fergal Smith, Ismail Shakil, Divya Rajagopal, Nivedita Balu, Mark Porter Organizations: Canada, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Canada, Wednesday, Governing, BoC, BMO Capital Markets, Canadian, Reuters, TD Securities, Reuters Graphics Liberal, Conservative, Finance, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem takes part in a news conference after announcing an interest rate decision in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada April 12, 2023. REUTERS/Blair Gable/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOTTAWA, Sept 6 (Reuters) - The Bank of Canada on Wednesday is expected to keep rates on hold at a 22-year high of 5% after the economy unexpectedly shrank in the second quarter, analysts said. While the economy turned negative in the second quarter, inflation has been stubborn, unexpectedly rising to 3.3% in July as core measures remained well above 3%. Canada's Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's support has sagged amid high inflation as his Conservative rival, Pierre Poilievre, hammered him for feeding inflation with government spending and driving up rates during a housing crisis. But core inflation measures are inching down slowly, and a wealth of data is due out before the bank next meets to discuss rates in October.
Persons: Blair Gable, Derek Holt, Justin Trudeau's, Pierre Poilievre, Tiago Figueiredo, Holt, Steve Scherer, Mark Porter Organizations: Canada, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Canada, of Canada, Scotiabank, Canada's Liberal, Conservative, Bank of Canada's, Desjardins Group, Reuters, BoC, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada
Morning Bid: Restive markets simmer after oil sideswipe
  + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 20, 2023. That's a moment in the whole disinflation story as it virtually wipes out the negative annual base effect so powerful this year in helping drag headline inflation rates back down. The more complicated inflation picture comes against the week's downbeat business surveys from Europe and Japan. That take was reinforced overnight by a New York Fed study that suggested the theoretical 'neutral' interest rate keeping the economy at equilibrium continued to fall in the second quarter. The energy picture saw Asia and European bourses in the red again, with Japan's Nikkei (.N225) bucking the trend.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan Roiled, Lorie Logan, Susan Collins, Mike Dolan, John Stonestreet Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Bank of Canada, New, New York Fed, NY, Japan's Nikkei, Dallas Federal, Boston Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, That's, Europe, Japan . U.S, New York, Asia, European, Canada
For investors looking to rake in profit from the recent oil rally, here are some companies that are poised to benefit off of higher crude prices. Higher oil prices could add to inflationary pressure and feed central bankers' decisions on interest rates. Higher correlation between oil prices means good news for some companies, however. The 10 most positively correlated stocks to oil are energy names, which tend to rise when oil prices get a boost. Molson and Monster have slipped 5.6% and 2.2%, respectively, during the current quarter, while PepsiCo is off more than 5%.
Persons: Brent, WTI, Russell, Molson Coors Organizations: West Texas, CNBC, Oil, Diamondback Energy, Devon Energy, APA, Diamondback, Halliburton, Insurance, CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings, . Beverage, Molson, Monster, PepsiCo, Bank of Canada, Manhattan Associates, Cadence Design Systems, chocolatier Hershey Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Devon, American
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem takes part in a news conference after announcing an interest rate decision in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada April 12, 2023. The central bank hiked rates by a quarter point in both June and July in a bid to tame stubbornly high inflation, which has remained above the bank's 2% target for 27 months. "Governing Council remains concerned about the persistence of underlying inflationary pressures, and is prepared to increase the policy interest rate further if needed." Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's support has sagged amid high inflation as his Conservative rival, Pierre Poilievre, hammered him for fueling inflation with government spending and driving up rates during a housing crisis. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem will deliver a speech and hold a press conference to discuss the decision on Thursday.
Persons: Blair Gable, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren OTTAWA, Justin Trudeau's, Pierre Poilievre, David Ljunggren Organizations: Canada, REUTERS, Bank of Canada, Wednesday, Governing, of Canada, BoC, Liberal, Conservative, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada, Reuters Ottawa
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