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☆ Stocks fall, U.S. dollar up as investors assess U.S. rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Investors also were digesting China's move to cut its benchmark loan prime rates (LPR) for the first time in 10 months on Tuesday. Among Beijing's moves to stimulate the country's slowing recovery, the People's Bank of China lowered the medium-term lending facility rate on Thursday. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 11, 2023. Against a basket of six major currencies, the dollar was up 0.22% on the day, with the euro down 0.14% to $ 1.0907 . The Australian dollar fell after its latest central bank meeting minutes showed that keeping interest rates unchanged had been under consideration.

Persons: Dow, Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Powell, Joe Manimbo, Brent, Caroline Valetkevitch, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Joice Alves, Selena Li, Anisha, Susan Fenton, Jason Neely, Richard Chang Organizations: Treasury, People's Bank of, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, . House, Representatives, Financial Affairs, Thomson Locations: U.S, People's Bank of China, New York City, China . U.S, New York, London, Hong Kong, Bengaluru

☆ China's modest rate cut sends stocks lower
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

LONDON, June 20 (Reuters) - European stocks and U.S. futures fell on Tuesday after China cut interest rates by less than expected and the market awaited more detail on Beijing's plans to shore up a stuttering economic recovery. The People's Bank of China lowered the medium-term lending facility rate on Thursday last week. "The meeting helped improve sentiment, but the market also understands that there's strategic competition between the U.S. and China," said Redmond Wong, Greater China market strategist at Saxo Markets. A central banker on Tuesday also hinted there was room for policy adjustment from the current path of aggressive rate hikes. Gold edged up 0.1% to $1,951.74 as the dollar index eased at 102.45 but lacked clear momentum as traders awaited U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's testimony later this week for more direction on the interest rate path.

Persons: Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown, Xi, Rodrigo Catril, Issei Kato, Antony Blinken's, Redmond Wong, Jerome Powell's, Brent, Joice Alves, Selena Li, Anisha, Susan Fenton, Jason Neely Organizations: Hargreaves, People's Bank of, National Australia Bank, REUTERS, Citi, U.S, Saxo Markets, Reserve Bank, Australia's, Bank of England, Federal, Thomson Locations: China, Asia, U.S, Beijing, People's Bank of China, Tokyo, Japan, United States, Greater China, German, London, Hong Kong, Bengaluru

China cut its benchmark loan prime rates (LPR) for the first time in 10 months on Tuesday, with a smaller-than-expected 10-basis point reduction in the five-year LPR. China's benchmark CSI (.CSI300) slipped 0.17%, with the real estate index (.CSI931775) falling 1.9%, its biggest daily decline in a month. "I don't think they (the LPR cuts) are going to move the needle at all," said Redmond Wong, Greater China market strategist at Saxo Markets. He said a 15 basis-point cut would have sent a "stronger message" that could boost sentiment in China's property sector. The People's Bank of China lowered the medium-term lending facility rate on Thursday last week.

Persons: Redmond Wong, Xi, Rodrigo Catril, Antony Blinken's, Saxo's Wong, Brent, Selena Li, Joice Alves, Anisha Sircar, Susan Fenton Organizations: CSI, Saxo Markets, People's Bank of, National Australia Bank Senior, Citi, U.S, Reserve Bank, Australia's, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Greater China, Beijing, People's Bank of China, United States, Hong Kong, London

As widely expected, the BOJ maintained its -0.1% short-term interest rate target and a 0% cap on the 10-year bond yield set under its yield curve control (YCC) policy. The yen fell broadly following the decision and hit a fresh 15-year low of 154.70 per euro and was set for the biggest weekly decline against the single currency in three years. Reuters GraphicsFED FACES GRIM DATAThe ECB's monetary policy decision came a day after the U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, snapping a string of 10 consecutive rate hikes. Production at U.S. factories almost stalled in May as manufacturing struggled under the weight of higher interest rates, while U.S. import prices similarly fell last month. Against a basket of currencies , the dollar index edged up 0.03% to 102.17, after slipping to a one-month low on Thursday.

Persons: we're, Kazuo Ueda, Hirofumi Suzuki, Goldman Sachs, Christine Lagarde, Shaun Osborne, Joice Alves, Rae Wee, Philippa Fletcher, Sohini Organizations: LONDON, Bank of Japan, European, Bank's, U.S, ECB, Sterling, Bank of England, Reuters Graphics, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Labor Department, Scotiabank, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, United States, Europe, Toronto, London, Singapore

☆ A guy who started a website that tracks orca incidents with boats near Spain and Portugal said that encounters are at least every day now
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Rebecca Cohen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

A man who has been tracking sightings and attacks said there's "one incident every day, on average." In some cases, there's been more than one reported attack in a single day in June, so far. The map shows 10 attacks since June 1 and an additional 12 orca sightings in the same time period. For example, on June 3, there were four identified orca attacks and on June 8, there were two. If you spread the word about something that happens in an area, people will avoid that area," Alves told PBS.

Persons: there's, —, Rui Alves, Alves, They've Organizations: Service, PBS Locations: Spain, Portugal, Gibraltar, Morocco

☆ Entain shares slide after deal to buy Poland's STS Holdings
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

LONDON, June 14 (Reuters) - Entain (ENT.L) shares fell to the bottom of the London blue-chip index (.FTSE) on Wednesday after the betting company announced deal to buy Poland-based sports betting operator STS holdings (STH1.WA). Entain shares fell 10% to their lowest since March 29, in their biggest daily decline in four months. After the European market close on Tuesday, the sports-betting and gaming company said it will pay 24.8 Polish zlotys ($5.97) for each STS shares in a 750 million pounds ($946 million) deal, which will further its footprint in Europe. STS shares surged to December 2021 high, last up 12.3%. Reporting by Joice Alves; Editing by Amanda CooperOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Entain, Joice Alves, Amanda Cooper Organizations: Thomson Locations: Poland, . WA, Europe

Fed officials pointed toward a rate hike "skip" at its June 13-14 meeting, giving time for the central bank to assess the impact of its tightening cycle thus far against still-strong inflation data. U.S. manufacturing contracted for a seventh straight month in May as new orders continued to plummet amid higher interest rates, but factories boosted employment to a nine-month high. "We have made clear that we still have ground to cover to bring interest rates to sufficiently restrictive levels," Lagarde said in a speech. Money markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 basis point hike when the ECB meets on June 15. "There's a sort of narrowing interest rate differential ... when the ECB is expected to hike one or two more times and the Fed is more questionable about that."

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Edward Moya, Patrick Harker, payrolls, Lagarde, John Velis, Hannah Lang, Joice Alves, Rae Wee, Andrew Heavens, Will Dunham, Mark Potter, Leslie Adler Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, OANDA, Philadelphia Federal, ADP, Institute for Supply Management, ECB, BNY Mellon, Thomson Locations: OANDA . U.S, Washington, London, Singapore

☆ Euro steadies after Lagarde promises rate hike as inflation still too high
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

LONDON, June 1 (Reuters) - The euro held its ground on Thursday, above a two-month low, after European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said inflation remains too high and further policy tightening was necessary. But the current level is still more than three times the ECB's 2% inflation target. "Today, inflation is too high and it is set to remain so for too long," Lagarde said in a speech. Money markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 bps hike when the ECB meets on June 15. Another 25 bps hike is expected in July, according to Refinitiv.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, Simon Harvey, Luis de Guindos, Carol Kong, Joice Alves, Rae Wee, Simon Cameron, Moore, Sharon Singleton, Andrew Heavens Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Reserve, U.S . House, Fed, U.S, Democratic, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Europe, London, Singapore

But the dollar and European stocks slipped, dented by uncertainty about whether Congress will approve the deal after a handful of hard-right Republican lawmakers said on Monday they would oppose the bill, though it is expected to pass. The pan European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) fell 0.2% after recording on Friday its biggest weekly decline in two months. U.S. 10-year bond yields dropped 9.7 basis points to 3.72%, while 30-year yields fell 8 bps to 3.89%. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against six peers, fell 0.26% at 104.03 after rising to a two-month high in earlier trading. Elsewhere, euro zone bond yields fell after Spanish inflation data came in lower than expected, raising hopes that the European Central Bank may raise interest rates less than previously feared.

☆ Analysis: Investors see trouble ahead after Europe's stellar first quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Europe's largest listed company LVMH (LVMH.PA) produced stellar sales as China rebounded sharply after COVID restrictions ended. The robust corporate margins on show in the first quarter are seen coming under pressure later in the year. Based on Refinitiv I/B/E/S estimates, STOXX 600 companies are expected to report net profit margins of 11.4% in the first quarter, up from 10.2% in the last quarter of 2022. But margins are seen declining to 10.5% in the third quarter, according to Refinitiv estimates. But there has not been a wave of companies revising earnings forecasts down, providing a cushion for European equities.

☆ Asian shares mixed as China growth worries crimp U.S. debt ceiling optimism
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) eased 0.20% but was set to eke out a gain of 0.19% for the week. Data in the week underscored that China's economy lost momentum at the beginning of the second quarter, stoking worries over the wobbly post-COVID-19 recovery. Investor attention has been firmly on the negotiations over U.S. debt ceiling and increasing hopes that a deal could be reached sent U.S. shares higher overnight . Hawkish rhetoric from Fed speakers continued with Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard saying inflation was not cooling fast enough to allow the Fed to pause its interest-rate hike campaign. U.S. crude fell 0.14% to $71.76 per barrel and Brent was at $75.78, down 0.11% on the day.

☆ Investors see trouble ahead after Europe's stellar first quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The euro, meanwhile, dropped to a six-week low versus the dollar at $1.0811 . Wednesday's data showed that U.S. single-family homebuilding increased in April, but data for the prior month was revised sharply lower. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, rose 1.6% to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 846,000 units last month. In late morning trading, the dollar rose 0.7% versus the yen to 137.37 yen, after earlier climbing to a two-week peak of 137.445 . In the offshore market, the dollar rose 0.2% to 7.00911 .

SINGAPORE, May 17 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Wednesday, benefiting from its status as a safe-haven amid the risk of a U.S. debt default and as traders trimmed bets on imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts following solid consumer spending data in the United States. Against a basket of peers, including the euro, yen and sterling, the dollar index rose 0.3% to 102.96, to its highest since early April. Expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts any time soon were dampened by the solid increase in April consumer spending, and by comments from Fed officials. "A rate hike is possible this year, though the hurdle is high." The New Zealand dollar was broadly steady at $0.6232, with investors looking ahead to a 25 bp interest rate hike next week and perhaps one more after that.

A flood of inflation data releases were also mixed. The International Monetary Fund called on the ECB on Friday to keep raising interest rates until the middle of 2024 to help bring down high inflation. Versus the yen , the euro briefly rose to its highest level since December 2014 at 149.50. It was last up 1.2% at 149.35 yen after the BOJ left its ultra-easy monetary policy unchanged even as it scrapped a pledge to keep interest rates low. However, the central bank removed a pledge to keep interest rates at "current or lower levels" and said it would "conduct a broad-perspective review of monetary policy".

The country's IPCA-15 inflation index eased to a 30-month low of 4.16% from 5.36% in the previous month, government statistics agency IBGE said on Wednesday, coming in below market consensus of 4.20% in a Reuters poll of economists. The latest data comes a day after central bank Governor Roberto Campos Neto ruled out an imminent interest rate cut, saying in a Senate hearing that the current rate was appropriate to address inflation concerns. "Will RCN and his team wait for current inflation to reach 3% before starting to cut interest rates?" William Jackson, Capital Economics' chief emerging markets economist, said he doubts policymakers will pivot to interest rate cuts imminently, considering that core inflation remains strong and the central bank has been striking a hawkish tone. "All told, the inflation picture continues to improve in Brazil," Pantheon Macroeconomics' chief Latin America economist Andres Abadia said.

☆ Analysis: China rebound buoys hopes for stronger-than-expected US, Europe earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

But recent data and upbeat comments from major companies like LVMH (LVMH.PA), Europe's most valuable listed company, about business in China have given investors some cause for optimism. Refinitiv I/B/E/S data points to a 2.5% decline in earnings growth in the first quarter for STOXX 600 (.STOXX) companies, down from a forecast for 5.4% growth prior to the banking chaos. Europe is headed for a recession too, the data shows, with a drop in earnings of 5.4% expected in the second quarter. But stubbornly high inflation means major central banks are expected to continue to hike rates, at least in May. European financials are expected to report first-quarter earnings growth of 31%, according to Refinitiv.

☆ Bed Bath & Beyond shares sink 47% in Frankfurt after filing for bankruptcy protection
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

LONDON, April 24 (Reuters) - Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY.O) Frankfurt-listed shares fell 47% on Monday after the U.S. home goods retailer filed for bankruptcy protection. Bed Bath & Beyond Inc filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Sunday after it failed to secure funds to stay afloat, and has begun a liquidation sale. Reporting by Joice Alves; Editing by Amanda CooperOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

REUTERS/Pierre AlbouyMILAN/LONDON, April 21 (Reuters) - Short-sellers who bet against European banks are set to lose a substantial amount of money in April after the sector bounced back from the shock downfall of Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) in anticipation of strong quarterly earnings. The STOXX European banks share index (.SX7P) has risen as much as 18% from late March's lows. But a Bank of America survey showed fund managers cut bank exposure in April to the lowest since May 2020, as they piled into more recession-proof defensive sectors. Ortex estimates short interest on European banks is close to 1% of the free share float, an 11-month high. One area of concern is exposure to commercial real estate and investors will be alert to any sign of emerging stress as European lenders report earnings next week.

☆ European banks surge on strong Q1 results from U.S. peers
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

[1/3] The logo of Deutsche Bank is seen in Brussels, Belgium December 6, 2022. REUTERS/Yves HermanLONDON, April 14 (Reuters) - European banks surged on Friday, rising to a one-month high, gaining support from U.S. lenders, which reported better-than-expected results in the first quarter. The STOXX 600 index of European banks (.SX7P) gained as much as 3% to reach its highest since mid-March after JPMorgan (JPM.N), Citigroup (C.N) and Wells Fargo WFC.N beat estimates. Banks largely outperformed the broader market, with the STOXX 600 (.STOXX) index climbing 0.6% as risk assets gained support from expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve may soon finish raising interest rates. In London, Standard Chartered (STAN.L) shares rose 4.3% to three-week highs, Barclays (BARC.L) shares were up 3%, touching a five-week high, while HSBC (HSBA.L) shares up 3.1% to one month highs.

SINGAPORE/LONDON, April 12 (Reuters) - The dollar dipped on Wednesday with investors expecting U.S. inflation data out later in the day to hold some clues on how soon U.S. interest rates will peak. The U.S. inflation data for March is forecast to come in at 5.2% year-on-year, down from 6.0% previously, while core inflation likely ticked higher to 5.6%, according to a Reuters poll of economists. Inflation data "could be the difference between a 25bp hike or pause at the Fed's next meeting in May," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index, adding that money markets could "quickly revert to reprice a policy pause" if the inflation data comes in softer than expected. A raft of Fed speakers on Tuesday offered little guidance on how much further U.S. interest rates would rise. New York Fed President John Williams said it depended on incoming data.

EURNOK and inflationGoldman Sachs and UBS said that the rising cost of borrowing would likely support the Norwegian crown. But those daily sales are well down from the 4.3 billion crowns per day the central bank sold in October. "Any budget surplus that was generated from the commodity exports was basically being neutralized by the Norges bank," said Simon Harvey, head of FX analysis at Monex. Much of the crown's fate could also depend on what the U.S. central bank does. If the Fed stops hiking rates, this would likely boost global equities, which have a strong positive correlation to the Norwegian crown.

☆ UBS, Credit Suisse drop after Swiss prosecutor probes takeover deal
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

LONDON, April 3 (Reuters) - Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) and UBS (UBSG.S) shares fell on Monday after Switzerland's Federal Prosecutor opened an investigation into the emergency merger of the two lenders. The office of the attorney general said on Sunday that the prosecutor opened an investigation into the state-backed takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS Group last month, looking into potential breaches of the country's criminal law by government officials, regulators and executives at the two banks. UBS and Credit Suisse were each set for their biggest daily decline in 10 days, down 3.5% and 4% respectively and largely underperforming the European banking index (.SX7P), up 1.2% on the day. The banks declined to comment on the investigation. Reporting by Joice Alves, Editing by Louise HeavensOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

But after a two-week storm which had analysts and investors rushing to rework their spreadsheets, the outlook is clouded. And the ructions have left the gap between the ratios of European and U.S. banks at its narrowest since September 2017. Reflecting concerns over the stability of the sector, bank shares are set for an almost 15% monthly drop in March, after five consecutive months of gains. European bank earnings growth expectations'UNLIKELY TO BUY'Other investors see pressure on European bank earnings as they anticipate the euro zone economy will slow down. Also in the calculation mix is the ECB's campaign to raise interest rates to tackle rising inflation, which had previously been a boon for euro zone lenders.

☆ U.S. mid-tier lenders shares rise in Frankfurt after SVB deal
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON, March 27 (Reuters) - The Frankfurt-listed shares of several mid-tier U.S. lenders rose sharply on Monday, after a buyer emerged for large chunks of embattled Silicon Valley Bank's deposits and loans, which helped inject some much-needed calm into fragile markets. Shares in Pacific West Bancorp surged 16% in thin volumes in Frankfurt, while those in First Republic rose 7%. Frankfurt-listed shares of First Citizens were indicated 7.4% higher. Shares in Keycorp (KEY.N), , Western Alliance (WAL.N), and Zions (ZION.O) were indicated between 3.6% and 8% higher, although no trading volume had gone through by 0700 GMT, according to Refinitiv data. Reporting by Joice Alves; Editing by Amanda CooperOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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