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Easy Diageo succession belies new CEO’s hard job
  + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
On Tuesday, the 80 billion pound maker of Guinness and Don Julio tequila announced that Chief Operating Officer Debra Crew would replace CEO Ivan Menezes in July. Menezes has been gunning for 5%-7% annual revenue growth and a 6%-9% annual increase in operating profit over the next three years. The company operates with a 31% operating profit margin, higher than its closest rival Pernod Ricard (PERP.PA), which runs on 29%. With the price of staff, ingredients and packaging soaring, cost cutting will be hard to pull off. Diageo’s smooth succession may lay the path for a bumpy road.
Tui’s pandemic payback sets path for takeoff
  + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
BRUSSELS, March 24 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Tui’s (TUI1n.DE) 1.8 billion euro capital raise releases it from government clutches and sets it up for brighter skies. The travel operator said on Friday it plans to issue new stock to raise 1.8 billion euros, at the high end of the 1.6 billion to 1.8 billion euros flagged in December by Chief Financial Officer Mathias Kiep. Like many travel companies Tui required funds to keep it afloat during the pandemic when holidays were cancelled and flights were grounded. The 2.7 billion euro company received a staggering 4.3 billion euros of German state aid during the Covid-19 outbreak and is repaying much of the remaining 2.6 billion euros of debt with its fresh funds. Tui’s revenue is expected to soar by over 17% this year to top 19 billion euros, according to Refinitiv estimates.
LONDON, March 23 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The ailing Swiss lender was saved by UBS with a $3 bln takeover. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists debate why the deal pushes up bank funding costs, how the new mega-lender affects Switzerland’s financial system, and why bank deposits are becoming less reliable. Listen to the podcastFollow @aimeedonnellan on TwitterSubscribe to Breakingviews’ podcasts, Viewsroom and The Exchange. Editing by Oliver TaslicOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Syngenta’s weakening crops may dim IPO prospects
  + stars: | 2023-03-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, March 22 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Syngenta’s earnings hit comes at an unfortunate time. Yet a 25% fall in fourth-quarter EBITDA may dim owner ChemChina’s hope for a bumper valuation. Valued on the same 9.2 times multiple as Corteva (CTVA.N), the business may command a valuation of less than $50 billion. In 2022, Syngenta reported the lowest EBITDA growth and margin of its three main rivals: Corteva, Bayer (BAYGn.DE) and BASF (BASFn.DE). They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Carlsberg CEO’s big job is to keep glass steady
  + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, March 17 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Carlsberg’s (CARLb.CO) new boss is unlikely to tinker with the company’s corporate recipe. The $21 billion Danish brewer on Thursday named Jacob Aarup-Andersen to replace outgoing Chief Executive Cees ’t Hart. A veteran from a rival brewer might have been better placed to introduce new products, and adapt to new industry trends. However, the new boss’s finance pedigree and track record managing businesses suggests that his main job will be to implement the group’s current strategy. It aims to increase revenue by 3% to 5% annually until 2027 and boost operating profit growth above that level.
LONDON, March 16 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The US bank’s failure sparked a mass selloff in bank stocks. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists debate the causes of investor jitters, the long-term implications of intervention by governments and regulators, and the latest concerns about Credit Suisse. Listen to the podcastFollow @aimeedonnellan on TwitterSubscribe to Breakingviews’ podcasts, Viewsroom and The Exchange. Editing by Oliver TaslicOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Canada petrol king shows belated faith in own plan
  + stars: | 2023-03-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, March 16 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD.TO) is expanding its empire of petrol station rest stops. On Thursday, the $44 billion Canadian gas station giant said it would buy some of TotalEnergies’ (TTEF.PA) European assets for 3.1 billion euros. The swoop is also a sign that Couche-Tard is more confident in its own business model than in the recent past. Back then, it seemed Couche-Tard was looking to diversify its empire of highway rest stops. But if EV battery power or home-charging facilities improve, Couche-Tard’s business model may not stack up.
Kanye West blunder puts Adidas in play
  + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( Aimee Donnellan | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
After a disastrous breakup with the musician formerly known as Kanye West, the $28 billion sneaker maker is slashing dividends and heading for the first loss in decades. Last year, Adidas spent 12.3% of its 22.5 billion euros of revenue on marketing and similar expenses. If it were to return to the 13.9% it allocated in 2015, it would add 2 billion euros of extra costs over the next five years, Breakingviews calculations show. Swooping on Adidas would allow the U.S. athleisure giant to dominate sportswear by servicing women and men across a wide spectrum of categories. Shares in Adidas were down 2.4% at 144.50 euros by 0859 GMT on March 15.
LONDON, March 9 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The People’s Republic is hoping to deliver 5% GDP growth this year and is creating a new finance watchdog. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss how jitters in real estate could hamper a recovery and how regulatory changes could create bigger problems. Listen to the podcastFollow @aimeedonnellan on TwitterSubscribe to Breakingviews' podcasts, Viewsroom and The Exchange. Editing by Peter Thal Larsen and Katrina HamlinOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
New Carlsberg CEO’s task: stay ahead of Heineken
  + stars: | 2023-03-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, March 7 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Carlberg’s (CARLb.CO) new boss may struggle to maintain its newfound fizz. The $21 billion Danish brewer revealed on Tuesday that Chief Executive Cees 't Hart will retire after eight years at the helm. The company now trades at nearly 11 times its expected EBITDA for 2023 according to Refinitiv data, a premium to arch rival Heineken (HEIN.AS). In 2022, Heineken grew revenue in its Asia-Pacific market by 70%, while Carlsberg’s sales in the region rose by 22%. If the new boss can’t keep pace, Carlsberg shareholders will face a painful hangover.
UK’s Brexit fix has perks for all sides: podcast
  + stars: | 2023-03-02 | by ( Aimee Donnellan | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: 1 min
LONDON, March 2 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Prime Minister Rishi Sunak agreed a trade deal with the European Union this week. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain what the accord will mean for future relations between Britain and the 27-nation bloc and how Northern Ireland may get an economic boost. Listen to the podcastFollow @aimeedonnellan on TwitterSubscribe to Breakingviews’ podcasts, Viewsroom and The Exchange. Editing by Thomas ShumOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
UK housebuilders face slow and painful refurb
  + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, March 1 (Reuters Breakingviews) - UK housebuilding is facing a bleak future. In previous slowdowns, the UK’s Conservative Party bailed out the sector with packages like Help to Buy, which subsidized mortgages to help buyers. After Wednesday’s 9% share price decline, it’s share price is now worth less than half of what it was before the outbreak of Covid-19. With little help on the horizon, UK housebuilders face a slow and painful rebuild. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
IAG takeoff weighed down by debt dilemma
  + stars: | 2023-02-24 | by ( Aimee Donnellan | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Its $11 billion net debt pile, a legacy of an epic collapse in revenue during the pandemic, is tangibly more than its $9.4 billion market capitalisation. While Friday’s 2022 results showed operating profit of only 1.22 billion euros, well below the 3.3 billion euros it delivered in 2019, the last few years have seen big operating losses. Operating profit could be as high as 2.3 billion euros in 2023, according to company forecasts. More holidaymakers mean revenue last year was over 23 billion euros, compared to less than 8.5 billon euros in 2021. IAG announced an operating profit of 1.22 billion euros for 2022 and forecast 2023 operating profit in the range of 1.8 billion euros to 2.3 billion euros.
Wood Group has grounds to face down Apollo
  + stars: | 2023-02-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, Feb 23 (Reuters Breakingviews) - John Wood Group (WG.L) has a seriously pushy bidder. While the latest 230 pence a share one represents a 50% premium to Wood Group’s closing price on Wednesday, the target has reasonable grounds to say no. Wood Group’s latest offer implies only around seven times on the same metric. Admittedly Wood Group shares are hovering around 200 pence, far below Apollo’s offer. Still, if he’s right and Wood Group trades on the same multiple at its peers, it would be worth nearly 3.8 billion pounds.
LONDON, Feb 23 (Reuters Breakingviews) - It’s been 12 months since Russian President Vladimir Putin’s bloody invasion. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss how energy markets have changed for good, how defence companies are benefiting, and another potential conflict troubling CEOs and investors. Listen to the podcastFollow @aimeedonnellan on TwitterSubscribe to Breakingviews’ podcasts, Viewsroom and The Exchange. Editing by Oliver TaslicOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Fresenius takes tentative step on road to breakup
  + stars: | 2023-02-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
On Tuesday evening the $17 billion German medical technology company said it will relinquish control of its listed dialysis firm, Fresenius Medical Care (FMEG.DE), in order to focus on its core businesses. Fresenius currently controls the dialysis business and can appoint its board despite only owning a 32% stake, thanks to its arcane German legal structure. The news sent Fresenius Medical Care stock up around 12% on Wednesday. His core intravenous drugs and hospital operating divisions should be worth 20 billion euros each, according to the UK bank. That implies a total value for the group including debt of 48 billion euros, far above its current 40 billion euro enterprise value.
Hotels share revival shrugs off two crises
  + stars: | 2023-02-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, Feb 21 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Hotel groups are in restoration mode. Chief Executive Keith Barr reckons the year ahead will continue to see strong demand, boosted by China’s re-opening. In 2019, the People’s Republic accounted for around 10% of the hotel market, and its citizens spent over $250 billion on international tourism, according to the World Tourism Organisation. Yet Covid-19 may still hurt spending in the Middle kingdom, and geopolitical tensions may lead to fewer Chinese people travelling. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
NatWest calls time on UK banks’ rate-hike party
  + stars: | 2023-02-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
But NatWest Chief Executive Alison Rose has brought that excitement to an end. It’s surprising that Rose thinks lending margins have maxed out already. Higher rates take a while to feed into revenue because so many borrowers have long-term or fixed-rate debt, which reprices slowly. That would be a cause for celebration among households and firms with spare cash, but it might bring the bank share-price party to an end. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
LONDON, Feb 16 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The world’s third largest economy picked Kazuo Ueda to be governor of the Bank of Japan. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss the challenges facing this outsider as international investors continue to bet against the BOJ keeping rates low. props.value : props.error;Listen to the podcastFollow @aimeedonnellan on TwitterSubscribe to Breakingviews' podcasts, Viewsroom and The Exchange. Editing by Katrina HamlinOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
New Adidas CEO throws Yeezy in kitchen sink
  + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
But if Adidas decides to write off the Yeezy inventory altogether, it will lose another 500 million euros. In the worst scenario, with one-off costs in 2023 of up to 200 million euros, the $27 billion sportswear maker expects to report a 700 million euro operating loss this year. The company had already announced that ending its partnership with the musician would shrink its net income by 250 million euros in 2022. Shareholders however seem surprised that Adidas might not try to repurpose the trainers, instead of writing off the inventory. Yeezy is not the only problem for Adidas.
LONDON, Feb 9 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The U.S. unveiled $369 bln of climate subsidies for consumers and manufacturers. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain why Brussels may need to launch a similarly ambitious plan or risk losing its share of jobs of the future. Listen to the podcastFollow @aimeedonnellan on TwitterloadingEditing by Oliver TaslicOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Fertiliser boom reveals food security price power
  + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, Feb 8 (Reuters Breakingviews) - A top fertiliser maker has emerged as the surprise winner of Europe’s energy crisis. Food security concerns helped Yara weather the crisis. That and a war in potash and wheat exporter Ukraine created scarcity, which drove up the price of its much-desired products. Before Wednesday’s 5% share bump, it traded on just 4 times its expected 2023 earnings. Now that Yara has proved it can weather a major crisis, this gap is likely to narrow.
Sanofi’s ailments are more than skin deep
  + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, Feb 3 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Sanofi (SASY.PA) is battling multiple ailments. The $115 billion French pharma group on Friday forecast “low single digit” growth in earnings per share for 2023, disappointing analysts. Hence it’s more reliant on the star asthma and eczema drug Dupixent, which contributed nearly a fifth of Sanofi’s 43 billion euros of sales in 2022. Last August, $36 billion was wiped off Sanofi, GSK (GSK.L) and spinoff Haleon (HLN.L) shares on U.S. litigation fears. It currently trades on 10 times its forecast 2023 earnings, while Novartis (NOVN.S) trades on 13 times.
Breakingviews: Adani’s share sale U-turn spares only some blushes, article with imageBreakingviews category · February 2, 2023 · 1:44 AM UTCMarkets have given Gautam Adani a big bloody nose, and his backers a partial reprieve. The tycoon’s decision on Wednesday to pull the $2.4 billion share sale at his flagship Adani Enterprises was all but forced after a 28% plunge in the company’s share price the day after it closed the books. Cancelling the deal is marginally better than stuffing above-market-price stock down investors’ throats. The U-turn is nonetheless a key sign the support for the Indian industrialist has a limit.
Euro zone can afford to keep fiscal taps running, article with imageBreakingviews category · January 31, 2023 · 10:16 AM UTCIn the past two years, European governments opened the fiscal faucets, flooding the euro zone with around 530 billion euros to combat the effects of the pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This outburst of austerity looks short-sighted. Government budgets and debt burdens are manageable. Finance ministers should use the extra funds to enhance growth, help lower-income groups and enact structural reforms. If they don’t overdo it, governments can also ease the blow of the European Central Bank’s efforts to tame inflation.
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