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The market has been on a tear in 2024, driven higher by robust corporate earnings and the artificial intelligence boom. Traders expect the Fed to begin easing rates in September at the earliest, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. If inflation is cooling down but the Fed is still expected to keep its key lending rate higher for longer, what does that mean for the stock market? The data will tell us that, but I think the big takeaway for us is [inflation] going in the right direction. Do you expect some of the cash that’s on the sidelines to enter the stock market?
Persons: Price, Wall, Bell, Jack Janasiewicz, Jerome, Powell, we’re, it’s, wouldn’t, you’re, Hilary Whiteman, Read, Sam Altman, Steve Wozniak, OpenAI, Altman, Samantha Murphy Kelly, Tim Cook, , Ben Wood, “ Apple, Siri Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Nasdaq, Fed, Traders, Solutions, You’re, Apple, Insight, CNN, Apple Intelligence Locations: New York, United States, West Coast, Hawaii, California, San Jose , Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego, Honolulu, Australia, Sydney, Melbourne, Victoria, Adelaide, South Australia
Costfoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were mixed on Wednesday, ahead of inflation data from both China and India. Traders in Asia will also look toward the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday stateside, which will come hours after the country's May inflation report. China's May inflation rate is expected to increase by 0.4%, slightly higher than the 0.3% seen in April. Separately, India's inflation rate is also forecast to climb marginally to 4.89%, according to a Reuters poll of economists, slightly higher than April's 4.83% increase. Japan's corporate goods inflation rate accelerated to 2.4% in May, beating expectations and marking its fastest rate of increase since August.
Persons: Kospi Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, Traders, U.S, U.S . Federal, Nikkei Locations: Nanjing, East China's Jiangsu, Asia, Pacific, China, India, U.S ., Hong Kong
Despite the rare event, it’s unlikely the stock market will swing widely because of the economic two-fer, some investors say. Inflation showed signs of cooling in April after staying worryingly warm during the first quarter of this year. America’s rural hospitals keep getting attacked by cybercriminals. Microsoft said in a statement to CNN that it would provide free security updates for eligible rural hospitals, as well as security assessments and training for hospital staff. Google will provide free cybersecurity advice to rural hospitals and start a pilot program to match the firm’s cybersecurity services with the needs of rural hospitals.
Persons: Powell, , Dave Sekera, Alicia Wallace, Sean Lyngaas, Michelle Watson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, CPI, Bank of America, Morningstar, Investors, Traders, Fed, UBS, Federal Reserve Bank of New, The, Consumer, cybercriminals, Microsoft, Google, White, CNN, White House National Security Council Locations: New York, pare, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York, United States
Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Monday after a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report on Friday revealed hiring and wage growth picked up in May. This adds to the narrative the Fed doesn't have to rush to lower interest rates. Traders don't expect the Federal Open Market Committee to cut rates at its meeting this week or the next meeting in July. This week in Asia, investors will be looking at Japan's first-quarter gross domestic product numbers on Monday, followed by the Bank of Japan's rate decision on Friday. Separately, China and India's inflation numbers for May will be released on Wednesday.
Organizations: Bank of Japan, Bank of Locations: Tokyo . Asia, Pacific, Asia, China
New York CNN —Another month, another hot jobs report that has Wall Street wondering when the Federal Reserve will finally cut interest rates. On the other, it puts long-awaited interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve on the back burner. Before the Bell: Do you think the Fed could lower its projection for three quarter-point rate cuts this year? Is it concerning that the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada have begun cutting rates before the Fed? A Samsung spokesperson told CNN that, “there is no impact on production and management activities” as a result of the one-day walkout.
Persons: Bell, Nate Thooft, I’m, that’s, Yoonjung Seo, , Son Woomok, Matt Egan, Lina Khan, Beam, Robinson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Manulife Investment Management, Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank and Bank of Canada, Workers, Samsung Electronics, Nationwide Samsung Electronics Union, CNN, Reuters, Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron Technology, Federal Trade Commission, Southern, Biden, FTC, Politico Locations: New York, South Korea, Miami, United States
That means that Gill has the right to purchase 12 million shares of GameStop at $20 apiece by a set expiration date. GameStop shares closed Wednesday at $46.55 a share, more than double the price locked in by those options. Gill hasn’t explicitly told anyone to buy GameStop shares or that he thinks it’s headed to the moon. In comparison, shares of GameStop and AMC Entertainment have surged 167% and 99%, respectively, since Gill’s return to social media. Keith Gill, a GameStop investor, also known in social media forums as Roaring Kitty, testifies during a virtual hearing on GameStop in Washington, Feb. 18, 2021.
Persons: Kitty, Keith Gill, Gill, Michael M, Gill hasn’t, it’s, Jay Woods, Woods, hasn’t, Morgan Stanley, Gill isn’t, copycats, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Chubb, , Bill Galvin, Gill’s, Hanna Ziady, Christine Lagarde —, ” —, Read, OpenAI, Brian Fung, Inflection’s, didn’t, Keith Gill’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, GameStop, AMC Entertainment, CNN, Gamestop, New York Stock Exchange, Street, Freedom Capital, Berkshire, The Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Financial, Traders, stoke, Wall, Retail, Roaring Kitty YouTube, European Central Bank, US Federal Reserve, Bank of England, ECB, Federal Trade Commission, FTC, Justice Department, Microsoft, Google, Nvidia, of Justice Locations: New York, New York City, Massachusetts, Washington, Europe
Gold little changed as traders seek more data for Fed rate cues
  + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices were little changed on Monday as traders awaited more U.S. economic data this week, after recent data showed that inflation stabilized and lifted hopes for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this year. Gold prices were little changed on Monday as traders awaited more U.S. economic data this week, after recent data showed that inflation stabilized and lifted hopes for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this year. "Gold is getting a little bit of support after the marginally softer than expected Personal Consumption Expenditures numbers supported the notion that the Fed can cut rates this year," Rodda said. Data on Friday showed that the U.S. inflation had stabilized in April, raising bets for a rate cut in September. Spot gold may break support at $2,319 per ounce, and fall towards $2,302, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
Persons: Bullion, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Wang Tao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Capital.com, Institute of Supply, PMI, Traders Locations: .
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose on Tuesday as Wall Street sought its footing after an uneven start to the month. The S&P 500 added 0.15% to finish the session at 5,291.34, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.17% to 16,857.05. Bath & Body Works was the worst-performing stock in the S&P 500, losing nearly 13% on the back of disappointing guidance. Tuesday's market move comes one day after the Dow fell more than 115 points, or 0.3%, on the first trading day of June. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both rose modestly on Monday as weak manufacturing data weighed on market sentiment.
Persons: Dow, Megan Horneman, Dow Jones Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Dow Inc, Caterpillar, Body, Verdence Capital Advisors, Labor Department
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over one basis point to 4.4926%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last one basis point lower to 4.8830%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Monday as investors awaited fresh economic data, including key jobs data, slated for the week. Investors looked to key economic data that could provide fresh hints about the state of the economy and the monetary policy path. Including food and energy costs, the PCE increased 0.3% from the previous month and 2.7% on an annual basis, as expected.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, European Central Bank, Traders, Fed, Investors, PCE Locations: U.S
Institutional options traders frequently refer to "buying" or "selling" volatility, but what does this mean? These allow investors to trade future realized volatility against current implied volatility. A buyer of a variance swap pays the "implied volatility" - consider this to be the market's current expectation for future volatility over some predetermined period, in return for receiving the "realized volatility". A variance swap buyer will profit if realized volatility exceeds implied volatility, and a seller will profit if implied volatility exceeds realized. The first is that a VIX future is not as reactive to changes in the VIX Index as one might expect.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, I'm, I've Organizations: Snowflake Inc, Cloud Locations: Snowflake, The Bozeman , Montana, San Francisco
Nvidia is the key to how stocks will perform in the next few months as investors head into a seasonally weak period for markets, with the macroeconomic picture once again a center of attention. Stocks capped a winning month in May after a strong earnings season and signs of easing inflation buoyed investor optimism. .VIX YTD mountain CBOE Volatility Index In fact, the CBOE Volatility Index, known as Wall Street's fear gauge, is currently at 14. The broad market index was last around 5,220. Traders will have to rely on macroeconomic data for the next several weeks, including the May jobs report that's on deck next Friday.
Persons: Stocks, what's, Olivier Sarfati, Sarfati, Jensen Huang's, Josh Brown, Jonathan Krinsky, Jeff deGraff, CNBC's, deGraff, Rob Ginsberg, JC O'Hara, Roth, Dow Jones, Thomas Urano, Jobs, Cook Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Ritholtz Wealth, Semiconductors, VanEck Semiconductor, Macro, Wolfe Research, Advisory, PMI, Manufacturing, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Body, Services PMI, Labor, Girls Global, University of, District of Columbia, Consumer Credit Locations: Smucker, Washington
This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. Separately, the stock market will also deliver its verdict when markets open on Monday. Nervousness among investors over the results has meant that the India VIX index, the market's so-called fear gauge, has shot up by more than 135% since its April lows. However, some equity strategists point out that even a landslide victory for Modi's BJP could potentially sour the stock market. Meanwhile, Gautam Chhaochharia, head of global markets for India at UBS, said foreign investors are in a "wait and watch mode" ahead of India's election results despite economic fundamentals looking "very, very strong."
Persons: Narendra Modi's, Modi, Bradley Saunders, Saunders, Venugopal Garre, , Garre, Fitch, SRH, Mark Mobius, Gautam Chhaochharia Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, BJP, Traders, " Bank of America, Capital Economics, Modi's BJP, , Reuters, Kolkata Knight Riders, IPL, Sunrisers, Knight Riders, CNBC, UBS Locations: Delhi, India, Kolkata, Sunrisers Hyderabad
Short interest in GameStop jumped 6% to more than 68 million shares as of May 15, which accounts for over 25% of its float. For the month, GameStop is up more than 92%. A short squeeze occurs when a stock price surges, forcing investors shorting the stock to purchase shares, or cover their shorts, to buy back stock and cut their losses. The stock has its short interest as a percent of float at nearly 34%. Correction: Short interest in GameStop jumped 6% to more than 68 million shares as of May 15.
Organizations: GameStop, Traders, CNBC Pro, New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Kohl's, Revenue
Michael M. Santiago | Getty ImagesInvestors likely will have to sweat out a summer during which it looks increasingly improbable that the Federal Reserve will be cutting interest rates. A batch of stronger-than-expected economic data coupled with fresh commentary from policymakers is pointing away from any near-term policy easing. "The market takes every bit of data and translates it to how the Fed sees it. So if the Fed is data dependent, the market is probably more data dependent." Put it together, and there's not much reason for the Fed to be easing policy here.
Persons: Michael M, Quincy Krosby, Christopher Waller, there's, Michael Gapen, BofA, Gapen Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, LPL, Fed, Bank of America Locations: New York City
Dollar holds firm as traders trim U.S. rate cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"The carry of holding dollars is far juicier," he said, while policymakers' rhetoric has also made traders nervous about inflation and the risk rate cuts would be distant or small. Traders have pushed out the timing of the first Fed rate cut to December. Thursday's business surveys from S&P Global supported the conviction among many traders that the Fed may keep rates higher for longer. But not for traders who are positioned for Fed cuts. Rates markets still price a near 90% chance the ECB cuts rates next month.
Persons: Martin Whetton, Matt Simpson, Sterling, Christopher Waller Organizations: U.S, Westpac, Federal, Traders, P Global, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve Locations: Sydney
Dollar hovers near highest in a week after hawkish Fed minutes
  + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The yen l anguished just above a three-week low despite the continued threat of intervention by Japanese officials. The dollar index, which tracks the currency against six major rivals including the euro , sterling and yen, was little changed at 104.89 after gaining 0.28% overnight. The dollar was little changed at 156.77 yen after rising to 156.85 overnight, the highest since May 1. Traders and analysts suspect Japan's Ministry of Finance intervened several times to support the yen following its plunge to a 34-year low of 160.245 per dollar on April 29. Bigger rival bitcoin was little changed at $69,491 after reaching $71,957 on Tuesday for the first time since April 9.
Persons: Sterling, Ether, James Kniveton, Japan's, Rishi Sunak, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of Japan, Reserve, Federal, Traders, of Finance, Bank of England, Conservatives, Labour Party, Labour, Securities
Nvidia has been the biggest story of Wall Street's rally to record highs, but the options market appears to be underestimating the impact of its earnings report Wednesday, according to Goldman Sachs. "NVDA options suggest investors expect this earnings report to be unusually important; NVDA options imply a +/-11.9% earnings-day move vs. its 4-quarter historical earnings-day move of +/-10.8%. The importance of this earnings report is easy to see given NVDA options volume has been 36% of all single stock options volumes over the past three months," the note said. The S & P 500 is a market cap-weighted index, meaning that Nvidia has taken on extra importance over the past two years. The options market has underpriced S & P 500 moves following the previous four Nvidia reports as well, according to Goldman.
Persons: Wall, Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Marshall, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Traders
Those strike prices were substantially higher than the stock's price, which was trading between $10 to $16.50 that week. But what Sosnick found interesting was that the open interest went up faster for the $30 strike calls, signaling an expectation that the price would really rally this time. The table below shows the rise in open interest on strike calls of 20, 25, and 30 set to expire by May 17 and the price of the contracts. AdvertisementTom Sosnoff, the cofounder of Thinkorswim and Tastytrade, says there's probably a reasonable explanation behind the rise of open interest in GME. As for the rise of open interest on the 30-strike price, he attributes it to the cheapness of those contracts relative to the other strikes rather than a function of price prediction.
Persons: Keith Gill's, Roaring, Gill, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, GME, Tom Sosnoff, there's, you'd, Sosnoff Organizations: GameStop, Social, Interactive, Traders Locations: GME
U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday night as investors looked ahead to the widely-anticipated release of Nvidia 's latest earnings report. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures hovered near the flatline, as did futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 . The moves followed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite 's new record-setting closes on Tuesday afternoon. The stock has rallied nearly 93% so far in 2024 and added 0.6% during Tuesday's trading session. Traders will also watch out for minutes from the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting, alongside April's existing home sales.
Persons: Charles Schwab's, Liz Ann Sonders, Raymond James Financial Organizations: Nvidia, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Urban Outfitters, Dow Jones, Devices, Wednesday, Traders
Stock futures are near flat Monday night after the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed at an all-time high. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures lost just 27 points, while S&P 500 futures also sat near its flatline. Those moves come after a mixed day on Wall Street. But the blue-chip Dow slipped almost 200 points, or 0.5%. Monday's action follows a notable week on Wall Street amid renewed hopes about the state of inflation and monetary policy.
Persons: Dow, Jamie Dimon, Keith Buchanan, Christopher Waller, Tom Barkin, Raphael Bostic Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Palo Alto Networks, LSEG, Nvidia, JPMorgan, Globalt Investments, Federal, Richmond Fed, Atlanta Fed, Traders
US stocks rose as traders took in slightly cooler inflation figures. Consumer prices rose 3.4% year-per-year in April, down from the prior month's 3.5% increase. Still, investors have muted expectations for Fed rate cuts by the end of the year. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Wednesday as traders took in the latest inflation report, which showed prices cooled slightly in April. Falling inflation has fueled some hope the Fed is set to issue several interest rate cuts this year, which is bullish for stocks.
Persons: , Seema Shah, Sonu Varghese Organizations: Service, Treasury, Asset Management, Traders, Carson Group
European stocks are heading for a lower open Tuesday as global investors await the latest U.S. inflation reports. April's consumer price index report is due out on Wednesday and economists expect that it rose 0.4% in April on a month-over-month basis, or 3.4% from 12 months earlier. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets pared gains hours after opening higher on Tuesday as stocks on Wall Street stumbled Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapping an eight-day winning streak. U.S. stock futures flickered near the flatline Monday evening as Wall Street braced itself for the release of the producer price index reading for April on Tuesday. Economists polled by Dow Jones anticipate that the PPI gained 0.3% from the previous month.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Traders, Federal, Dow Jones, PPI Locations: Asia, Pacific
Traders at JPMorgan broke down how they expect stocks will react to Wednesday's report, with a focus on core CPI month over month, based on six different scenarios: 40% chance — The reading rises 0.3%-0.35%: This is the most likely outcome, per JPMorgan traders. S & P 500 moves could range between a 0.5% loss and a 1% gain. 10% chance — Core inflation climbs more than 0.4%: The S & P 500 would drop 1.75% to 2.5% under such a hot report, JPMorgan traders think. 7.5% chance — Core CPI gains 0.2%-0.25%: A decline in housing cost increases along with lower core goods prices could make this outcome possible. It would also send the S & P 500 up 1.5% to 2%, JPMorgan traders said.
Persons: Dow Jones, Defensives outperforming Organizations: CPI, Traders, JPMorgan, of Labor Statistics
Stock futures were little changed on Sunday, with Wall Street looking toward fresh inflation data this week. Futures tied to the S&P 500 fell 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flatline. Investors will look for insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy moving forward with April's consumer price index report due out on Wednesday. Results so far have helped stocks remain resilient despite the inflation overhang. 92% of S&P 500 companies have reported as of Friday, with neatly 80% of firms surpassing Wall Street forecasts, per FactSet data.
Persons: Dow, Venu Krishna Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Traders, Fed, Wall, Barclays Locations: New York City
Traders fear that elevated rates will uphold painfully high borrowing costs for consumers, squeeze corporate profit and weigh down the market. The labor market has stayed strong, consumers have continued spending and stocks have notched repeated record highs. The April jobs report was a welcome sign that the labor market is cooling without cratering. The labor market added just 175,000 positions last month, marking its lowest tally since October 2023 and a sharp cooldown from the upwardly revised 315,000 jobs added in March. First-time applications for unemployment benefits climbed last week to 231,000, the highest level since last August, in another sign that the labor market is cooling.
Persons: , , Jeff Buchbinder, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, April’s, David Russell, Matt Egan, Wally Adeyemo, Read, Diksha Madhok, Narendra Modi, Modi, Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani, Ambani, Ji, ” Modi, Rahul Gandhi Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Traders, CNN, Fed, LPL, ” Treasury, Treasury, Reliance Industries, Adani, Indian National Congress Locations: New York, Thursday’s, , India
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