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☆ Stocks won't hit new highs anytime soon and 3 things mean the market is fairly valued, Wells Fargo says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 probably isn't hitting fresh highs anytime soon, according to Wells Fargo. AdvertisementThe stock market's long winning streak may be done for now, Wells Fargo said. That's because to a trifecta of headwinds will cap gains for the S&P 500. "For these reasons, we find it unlikely that the S&P 500 Index will reach meaningful new highs in the coming months." Since then, growth fears have overshadowed excitement about rate cuts, and questions about the sustainability of the AI rally have dented tech bullishness.

Persons: —, Wells Fargo, Stocks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Service, Federal, Fed, Investor Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ The 5 markets hit hardest by housing shrinkflation, with buyers paying up for smaller homes
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The median US home size has shrunk by 128 square feet over the last five years. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementThe housing market hasn't been spared from shrinkflation, the unfortunate phenomenon of paying more for less. The median-sizes US home has shrunk from 1,996 square feet to 1,868 square feet in the last five years, according to Realtor.com data. Yet, the median price for a US home has climbed to $429,990 as of August, up 36% from August five years ago, when the median price of a home stood at $315,791.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Business Locations: shrinkflation

☆ America's shopping spree is over and retailers are facing a new world of cautious consumers
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewAmerica's wild, multi-year shopping spree has come to an end — and retailers who got used to Americans dropping cash on just about everything are in a tough spot. US retail sales came in stronger than expected in July, with Americans spending more overall compared to the prior month, according to Census data. Around 40% of consumers said they planned to pare back spending on accessories, home decor, jewelry, and furniture, per McKinsey's survey. We're now back in an environment where good retailers, strong brands that offer compelling value … will benefit," Siegel said. In the meantime, that could mean more pain for retailers, Siegel said, speculating that many were caught by surprise by the shift in consumer sentiment.

Persons: —, Ted Rossman, Rossman, pare, Simeon Siegel, Siegel, We're, SPDR Organizations: Service, Business, McKinsey & Company, Bankrate, Customers, BMO, Challenger, Walmart, Target, San Francisco Fed, Primerica Locations: FactSet

☆ Buyers catch a break — more homes on the market are seeing prices cut as sellers get impatient
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The housing market is turning in buyers' favor as more sellers cut prices. The number of homes that saw a price cut rose to 19.3% in August, per Realtor.com. Sellers could be losing patience as their homes sit on the market for longer, the firm said. AdvertisementThe housing market looks like it's starting to tip in buyers' favor. The number of homes for sale that saw a price cut in August rose to 19.3%, according to Realtor.com data.

Persons: Sellers, — Organizations: Service, Business

☆ Housing supply is piling up in Florida and Texas as HOA and insurance fees jump, Redfin says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-04 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The condo market looks stuck in Florida and Texas, according to Redfin. Condo inventory has risen 53% in Florida and 42% in Texas since last year. Buyers have been scared away from both states, partly because of rising HOA fees and insurance premiums. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementHousing inventory is piling up in Florida and Texas, in part because homeowners-association fees and home insurance costs are scaring buyers away from the condo market, according to Redfin.

Persons: — Organizations: Redfin, Buyers, Service, Business Locations: Florida, Texas

☆ Meet the 'silver squatters': Adults in their mid-50s who are woefully unprepared for retirement
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-24 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Thomas is among what retirement experts are calling "silver squatters" — adults in their mid-50s who are even more woefully unprepared than some boomers, despite being about a decade away from retirement. This group of Gen Xers — the generation of Americans aged 43 to 59 — largely expects to postpone or work past their retirement. AdvertisementA majority also don't expect to receive any inheritance, despite their boomer predecessors holding onto trillions in wealth. The gap in retirement readiness could be due to the "unique" challenges of Gen Xers, according to Dylan Tyson, the head of retirement strategies at Prudential. Around half of Gen Xers are saving without a general plan for retirement, Prudential found.

Persons: Jim Thomas, he's, Thomas, He's, Pete Welch, Gen Xers, they'll, René, We're, Xers, Dylan Tyson, Inspira's Welch, there's, Welch, Tyson, expectancies, undersaved — Organizations: Service, Business, Social Security, Prudential Financial, Inspira, Prudential Locations: Austin , Texas

☆ Russia is reportedly receiving shipments of dollars and euros despite sanctions and efforts de-dollarize
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Russia has taken in billions in dollars and euros since 2022, Reuters reported. Allies have continued currency shipments despite the threat of Western sanctions. Russia has pushed to de-dollarize its economy, but the dollar is still needed for trade, experts say. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementRussia is taking shipments of billions of dollars and euros, despite strict sanctions that banned currency exports to the nation since the start of the Ukraine war, according to Reuters.

Persons: — Organizations: Reuters, Service, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow

☆ The US housing market is on the verge of hitting a record $50 trillion valuation as prices keep rising
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The US housing market is on track to hit a record $50 trillion in value, Redfin said. US homes gained $3 trillion in value last year, thanks to supply and demand imbalances. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe US housing market has never been worth more, and it's on track to cross a record $50 trillion valuation, according to Redfin. Home prices have been on a rapid climb amid ongoing supply an-demand imbalances in the market.

Persons: Redfin, — Organizations: Service, Business

☆ American workers are stuck in place because everyone is too afraid of a recession to quit
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The stagnation has resulted in a rise in "stuck" workers — frustrated employees who say they want to quit a job, but are staying put as the fear of a potential recession looms in the backs of their minds. Google search interest for the search phrase "quitting job" is down 11% over the last year, according to data accessed from the search analytics tool Glimpse. AdvertisementGoogle search interest in the term "recession" has exploded 230% over the past month, Glimpse data shows. Google search interest in "recession" has more than doubled in the past month. Job market forecasters say the slowdown in hiring looks poised to continue, even if the Fed begins to loosen monetary policy.

Persons: —, That's, Amanda, It's, I've, Raymond Lee, Careerminds, Korn, Radhika Papandreou, Papandreou Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Conference Board, Google, Fed, National Federation of Independent

☆ The latest stock market crash wasn't a fluke, and it signals more trouble coming for the economy, investor Mark Mobius says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The recent sell-off in stocks could be a warning sign for what's coming for the economy, Mark Mobius said. If you look at the money supply growth in America, it is very low now," he said. We have more problems in the US and, that will affect the global situation unless the money supply is increased much more than it is now." Disruptions in the stock market are usually the signal "before the actual economic effects are seen," he added. A full-fledged bear market is unlikely, Bank of America said, as the market isn't flashing technical signals that would suggest a peak in stock prices.

Persons: Mark Mobius, Mobius, —, Monday's, Stocks Organizations: Economic, Service, Mobius Capital, Bank of Japan, Economic Times, Fed, Bank of America Locations: Japan, America

☆ Taylor Swift concerts and the Olympics could lead to a fresh surge in global inflation, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Global inflation could see a resurgence as the Olympics and Taylor Swift concerts drive demand. Mega-events tend to spike hotel and transportation costs, UBS said. Inflation in Europe and the US has cooled, but central bankers are still wary. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementGlobal inflation could see a fresh resurgence thanks to a spending spree fueled by Taylor Swift concerts and the Olympics, UBS said.

Persons: Taylor Swift, — Organizations: UBS, Service, Olympics, Business Locations: Europe

☆ Russia's economy faces a demographic disaster and risks seeing its population reduced by half by the end of this century, think tank says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Russia's population could shrink by half by the end of the century, an Atlantic Council report says. A shrinking population threatens Russia's economy and could result in worker shortages and low growth. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementRussia's economy has a dire demographic problem on its hands, and the nation could see its population slashed in half by the end of the century, an Atlantic Council report says. The report from the Washington, DC, think tank — written by Harley Balzer, a professor emeritus at Georgetown University — points to Russia's long-running population decline.

Persons: —, Harley Balzer, Georgetown University — Organizations: Atlantic, Service, Georgetown University, Bank, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Washington, DC

☆ The mortgage lock-in effect shaved $20 billion off the US economy in a year
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

A paper found that the housing market's lock-in effect cost the US economy $20 billion over a year. High mortgage rates led to economic stagnation and reduced housing activity. Researchers estimated Americans who moved paid an extra $21 billion a month in mortgage payments. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementHigh mortgage rates cost the US economy billions of dollars last year.

Persons: —, Jack Liebersohn, Jesse Rothstein Organizations: Service, National Bureau of Economic, Business

☆ Rising household debt and shrinking incomes are setting the stage for a recession, top economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The US looks poised to enter a recession, thanks to troubling trends in household finances. Economist David Rosenberg pointed to rising debt levels and shrinking incomes among American households. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe US still looks poised to enter a recession, as rising debt and shrinking incomes are setting the economy up for a downturn.

Persons: David Rosenberg, —, Rosenberg Research who's, Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business

☆ What the Fed must do to soothe markets after a historic global sell-off, according to JPMorgan strategy chief David Kelly
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Kelly says the Fed needs to broadcast its confidence in the economy to soothe jittery markets. JPMorgan's David Kelly told Business Insider he sees a possibility for even deeper losses following the big rout. We do stand ready to cut rates as appropriate but we don't think there's a very urgent situation here," Kelly said. More importantly, cutting rates abruptly would potentially instill more fear about the economy among investors, Kelly said. And I don't think the Federal Reserve tells people that, or maybe they don't appreciate it themselves," Kelly said, adding, "It's a drag before it's a stimulus."

Persons: Kelly, JPMorgan's David Kelly, —, David Kelly, Monday's, we've, Dow Jones Organizations: Fed, Service, JPMorgan Asset Management, Nasdaq, Nikkei, Reserve Locations: Japan

☆ The latest sell-off may be the beginning of the end for the tech bubble, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The AI-fueled tech bubble could be approaching its end date, according to Paul Dietrich. The market strategist pointed to similarities between the recent tech sell-off and the dot-com crash. He pointed to the similarities between the dot-com crash and the latest drop in the stock market. AdvertisementThe flow of "smart money" in the market also suggests more downside could be on the way for tech stocks, Dietrich noted. Advertisement"What kind of evidence does one need to see that we are moving into a business cycle recession," Dietrich said.

Persons: Paul Dietrich, —, Dietrich, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang Organizations: Service, Riley Wealth, Nasdaq, Apple, Meta, Nvidia, Artificial Intelligence

☆ JPMorgan says the carry trade that pummeled markets is only half done
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The unwinding of the carry trade that's battered stocks in recent days isn't done, JPMorgan says. It says that trade is probably only half over, as Japan looks poised to continue raising rates. AdvertisementThe "carry trade" unwind that helped spark the bloodbath in US stocks over the past few days likely isn't close to over, a JPMorgan strategist says. Market commentators say that's been partly stoked by a surprise 15-basis-point interest-rate hike in Japan, which triggered some investors to unwind a trade that's become popular in recent years. In this trade, investors borrow cheap yen and deploy the cash into higher-yielding assets elsewhere, like US stocks.

Persons: —, Arindam Sandilya, that's, Sandilya Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, FX, Bloomberg, Bank of Locations: Japan, Bank of Japan

☆ Why an emergency rate cut would be a mistake for the Fed, according to Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed would be making a mistake in delivering an emergency rate-cut, Mohamed El-Erian said. Traders see a higher chance the Fed could trim rates over the next week in response to weakening data. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve would be making a mistake if it delivered an emergency rate cut. Amid Monday's sell-off Bloomberg reported that markets see a 60% chance the Fed could issue a cut ahead of its scheduled policy meeting. AdvertisementGiving in to the market's demands to ease monetary policy would constitute another mistake for the Fed, El-Erian said.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, —, Ben Kirby Organizations: Bloomberg, Traders, Service, Fed, Thornburg Investment Management Locations: El

☆ The stock market's recession playbook is in full effect
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors are de-risking their portfolios amid recession fears, driving a stock-market sell-off. AdvertisementThe stock market's recession playbook is in full swing as suddenly panicked investors look to aggressively de-risk their portfolios amid fears of a downturn. Investors are questioning whether the Federal Reserve waited too long to cut interest rates and whether it's too late to fend off recession. AdvertisementDetailed below are four outperforming areas of the market that make it clear investors are employing the recession playbook:1. "Next's year's pricing makes sense if the US economy falls into recession and/or inflation tumbles below the Fed's 2% target," analysts said of the market's rate-cut expectations.

Persons: —, it's, they've, David Sekera, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Ned Davis Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Treasury, Bloomberg, Morningstar, Global, ETF, Rosenberg Research, Ned Davis Research

☆ An emergency rate cut in the next week is looking more likely
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Traders are increasingly pinning their hopes on an emergency Fed rate cut. At one point on Monday they were assigning a 60% chance to a rate cut in the next week, according to Bloomberg data. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementWall Street has been so suddenly gripped by fears of recession that talks of an emergency rate cut are gathering steam. At one point on Monday, the swap market was pricing in a 60% chance of an emergency 25-basis-point rate cut within the next week, according to Bloomberg.

Persons: — Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Treasury, Business

☆ Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang sold a record $323 million of stock in July before the market tanked
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Jensen Huang sold $322.7 million of Nvidia shares in July. Last month's selling brings his total stock sales to nearly $500 million this summer. AdvertisementJensen Huang shed a record amount of Nvidia shares from his portfolio last month, bring his total stock sales to nearly $500 million this summer, putting the CEO of the chip titan ahead of a brutal global stock sell-off. According to filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Huang sold $322.7 million worth of his company's shares in July and has sold nearly $500 million in stock this summer. Huang has sold off $1.4 billion of company stock since 2020.

Persons: Jensen Huang, —, Huang Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Securities and Exchange Commission, Bloomberg

☆ The Fed's long-awaited rate cuts will open up the job market — but it could take a while
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-03 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewThe US job market has certainly seen better days. AdvertisementThose rate cuts will help pull the job market out of its slowdown — but likely not before the unemployment rate climbs higher, says Oliver Allen, a senior US economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics. And even then, it could take time for the effects of rate cuts to fully work their way across the job market, said Mark Hamrick, a senior economic analyst at Bankrate. AdvertisementSlowdown in the pipelineUntil rate cuts kick in, Allen thinks the joblessness rate has even more room to climb. AdvertisementForward-looking indicators of job market strength have also been flashing signs of incoming weakness.

Persons: —, Oliver Allen, Allen, …, Mark Hamrick, Hamrick, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Business, Pantheon, Challenger, Gray &, Federal, National Federation of Independent Business

☆ Why investors should buy the ongoing dip in stocks, Fundstrat says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Technical signals suggest downside is limitedThere isn't much evidence that poor-performing areas of the market, like small-cap stocks, have peaked, Newton said. Meanwhile, Treasury yields have fallen in recent months as traders anticipate Fed rate cuts, which is typically bullish for stocks, he added. Advertisement"Thus, looking to buy dips makes sense technically," he said, adding that small-cap stocks looked "certainly appealing" after their recent slide. Fed rate cuts will mark a turning point in the marketThat's because rate cuts are expected to ease borrowing costs across several sectors. Small-cap stocks are flashing bullish signalsThe Russell 2000 hit a 30-month high in July, something that's only happened nine times over the past 45 years.

Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, —, Tom Lee, who's, Mark Newton, Newton, I'm, Russell, That's Organizations: Tech, Service, Fed, Wall Street Locations: Wall

☆ Why the stock market is going berserk today
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The stock market is in shambles on Friday, with all three major indexes falling more than 2%. AdvertisementThe US stock market has plunged into chaos as investors digest a streak of negative economic data and disappointing mega-cap-tech earnings. Months ago, signs of a slowing economy would bolster expectations for Fed rate cuts, which are seen as rocket fuel for stocks. "Pressure will escalate on the Federal Reserve as market interest rates will continue the attempt to force their hand." She added: "A September rate cut is in the bag and the Fed will be hoping they haven't, once again, been too slow to act."

Persons: They're, —, John Lynch, Seema Shah, Ryan Detrick, Carson Organizations: Amazon, Service, Investors, Intel, Comerica Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, York Fed Locations: New York

☆ Live updates: Apple investors watching iPhone sales in China ahead of earnings today
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The tech giant suffered from weak demand and rising competition in China earlier this year. Investors are looking for updates on its performance in China and coming products, like the iPhone 16. Investors will be on high-alert for updates on the firm's success in China, the services side of its business, and Apple's key projects. That includes Apple Intelligence, its coming AI software, and the iPhone 16, which is set to be released this fall. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: — Organizations: Investors, Service, Apple Intelligence, Business Locations: China

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