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That pullback has materialized and according to our Elliott Wave analysis of the bitcoin chart, support has possibly been formed in the zone of $59k - $49k. Looking at the 3-chart overlay below you'll find bitcoin, gold, and US 10-year yields since 2020. First is that gold and Bitcoin (blue and orange) have a very close positive correlation. Pulling it all together higher rates have a negative impact on all three; bitcoin, gold, and the stock market, which are all showing a positive relationship in recent months. In summary, being very bullish on the stock market, I would like to see bitcoin and gold move higher along with lower US yields.
Persons: Bitcoin, Elliott, Todd Gordon, Gordon, IBIT Organizations: Tactical Alpha, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: bitcoin
Stock indexes are hovering near record highs ahead of the testimony of Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Meanwhile, the stock market has continued to strike new highs with help from its tech sector, with Nvidia rising 2% on Monday. Here's where US indexes stood at the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:AdvertisementHere's what else happened today:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:Advertisement
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Powell, Michael Barr, Michelle Bowman Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Federal, Nvidia Locations: Here's
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewInvestors are still overtaken by the frenzy for generative AI — but there are underappreciated areas of the market that could offer gains like "coiled springs," according to JPMorgan Asset Management. Related storiesBy the fourth quarter of 2024, JPMorgan expects earnings expansion for the other 493 S&P 500 stocks to match that of the Magnificent 7, a dynamic shown in the chart below. Earnings growth is expected to climb in the S&P 500, barring the Magnificent Seven stocks. These stocks are bound to see upside due to "unexpected resiliency" in the US economy and the rising need to transport materials.
Persons: , Microsoft — Organizations: Service, Asset Management, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Business, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Asset Management, Semiconductors
Read previewThe US economy will keep growing and ultimately avoid a recession thanks to artificial intelligence, immigration, and rich people. "The risks are growing that the stubborn Fed gradually then suddenly puts the economy in recession," he said. "But the economy may narrowly escape the dreaded recession outcome for these three reasons." 'Immigration delivers surprising economic benefits'Americans can thank immigrants for the continued progress in battling inflation, according to Arone. Arone also notes that the increase in immigrants can have a compounding impact on the US economy overtime.
Persons: , Michael Arone, Arone Organizations: Service, State Street, Federal Reserve, Business, Fed, stoke, Research Partners
The S & P 500 would increase 0.25%-0.75% under this outcome. 15% chance — CPI rises 0.25%-0.3%: The S & P 500 would drop 0.75%-1.25% under this scenario, as such a report could show shelter prices increasing. 15% chance — CPI gains by 0.1%-0.15%: This outcome would be viewed favorably by investors as it could signal accelerating "goods disinflation." The S & P 500 would jump 1%-1.5%. 2.5% chance — CPI rises more than 0.3%: Such a hot inflation report would spark a 1.25%-2.5% sell-off in the S & P 500, JPMorgan traders think.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, CPI, JPMorgan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPolitical party differences will impact vast swathes of the stock market, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer looks at the impact of politics on the markets.
Persons: Jim Cramer
Stocks are likely to drop around 10% between now and the November election, Morgan Stanley predicted. That's because corporate earnings look weak and need several catalysts to improve, the bank's Mike Wilson said. Other forecasters have sounded the alarm for a soon-to-come correction as stocks look overvalued. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStocks are poised to see a double-digit drop, according to Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson.
Persons: Stocks, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, , Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, That's, Wilson Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business
The next round of filings for spot ether ETFs with the SEC is due today, part of the ongoing regulatory process required before spot ether ETFs can be launched. One thing's for sure: the launch of spot bitcoin ETFs this year has been a success. That's still true for this year, but two of the top 10 ETF inflows year to date have been into spot bitcoin ETFs: iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) at number four, and Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust (FBTC) at number eight. Would 50% of the inflows of the spot bitcoin ETF be a win? We'll talk about this with Matt Hougan from Bitwise Asset Management, one of the applicants for a spot ether ETF.
Persons: That's, iShares, Matt Hougan, Matt, Nate Geraci Organizations: SEC, Nasdaq, Fidelity, Bitcoin, Stock, Aggregate, Blackrock US, Bitwise Asset Management, Edge
The S&P 500 index and Nasdaq closed at record highs, driven by a 2% gain in Nvidia. UBS raised Nvidia's price target to $150 due to strong demand for its chips and a reasonable valuation. Investors are awaiting June's CPI inflation report Thursday and comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 index and Nasdaq closed at record highs on Monday, driven by a nearly 2% gain in Nvidia stock. The AI darling rose after UBS raised its price target to $150 per share in a Monday note.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Price, Jeremy Siegel Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, UBS, Service, Nvidia's, Blackwell, Federal, Wharton School
The stock market will continue to hit record highs driven by reasonable valuations and continued earnings growth, according to Ed Yardeni. AdvertisementThe record rally in the stock market isn't close to being over, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. Forward earnings expectations riseAnalysts' forward earnings expectations hit a record high last week, illustrating that the market rally is supported by what matters the most: profits. Market breadth will improveWhile the stock market rally has been driven mostly by a concentrated handful of companies, improving earnings breadth should lead to improving market breadth, according to Yardeni. There's a lot of companies that are benefiting from AI," Yardeni said.
Persons: Ed Yardeni, , Yardeni, Corning, let's Organizations: Service, CNBC
Financial markets are slowly starting to absorb the possibility that what was once a toss-up presidential election campaign has taken a notable turn. That has put investors in a quandary of how to handicap what a Trump presidency would look like from an economic and market standpoint. .SPX mountain 2024-06-28 S & P 500 performance since the debate However, the bond market has had a bit more of a reaction. The first Trump presidency and some of his campaign rhetoric nevertheless has led to guesswork about what could be ahead. "This particularly favors financials and there will be an expectation of more M & A approval in a Trump presidency.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, specter, Biden, Trump, Mark Malek, Siebert AdvisorNXT, Handicapping, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Ed Mills, Raymond James, Kamala Harris, Harris, Chris Krueger, TD Cowen, Krueger, ABC's George Stephanopoulos, , Sarah Min Organizations: Republican, Trump, Treasury, Bank of, White, Reading, New York Times, Biden, Democrat Locations: Washington
Chief investment strategist John Stoltzfus raised his year-end S & P 500 target to 5,900 from 5,500. This change could benefit the 11 S & P 500 sectors as this "innovation cycle" shows signs of being both "cyclical and secular coupled with cross generational demographic needs." .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD The lion's share of this year's gains — the S & P 500 is up more than 16% in that time — has been driven by AI. The strategist's initial 2024 target was 5,200. The highest current S & P 500 target belongs to Evercore ISI at 6,000.
Persons: Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, It's, Stoltzfus, Organizations: CNBC, Market, Nvidia, Reserve Locations: Friday's
So much for the $3 trillion club: Investors and Wall Street analysts alike are now talking about when Apple might top a $4 trillion stock market value. For those keeping score, Apple closed above a $3 trillion market value just over one year ago. AAPL YTD mountain Apple (AAPL) year-to-date performance Apple shares reached an all-time intraday high to start the week, continuing last week's terrific start to the second half of 2024. Slower iPhone sales in China, which account for nearly 20% of Apple's overall revenue, dogged the stock into April. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Siri, ChatGPT, Dan Ives, Wedbush, Jim, Gillette, Jim Cramer's, Scott Eells Organizations: Wall Street, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple Intelligence, Developers, Services, Cook & Co, CNBC, Nasdaq, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: China, New York
The best-performing exchange-traded funds in the second half will likely be decided by broader shifts in the markets and economy. Even with mounting uncertainty, however, there are some types of ETFs that could emerge as winners. Equities A handful of stocks were big winners in the first half, and some narrowly focused ETFs were able to ride that wave. Single-stock funds tied to Nvidia have also seen heavy interest, including the GraniteShares 2x Long Nvidia ETF (NVDL) . However, Hougan said he didn't think that omission would be a big hurdle for ETF investors.
Persons: Michael Arone, Arone, Jay Jacobs, Jacobs, Todd Sohn, bullish, we're, Sohn, Matt Hougan, Hougan Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, SPDR, State Street Global Advisors, Nvidia, Microsoft, NYSE Technology, iShares, Digital Infrastructure, Real, U.S . Tech, Blackstone Senior Loan, Loan Fund, New, Bitwise Asset Management, ETH Locations: U.S
Despite the pullback, a primary uptrend remains in place for the CAC 40, in addition to the related iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ) . Both proxies for French stocks appear to be finding their footing, which suggests that the market is welcoming the latest news regarding the election. Once the final outcome is determined, it would be natural for investors to respond favorably to the removal of uncertainty, particularly given the oversold status of French stocks. This suggests a counter-trend phase of outperformance is possible for French stocks versus U.S. stocks. Recent stabilization in many French stocks shows a positive reaction to widespread intermediate-term oversold conditions, which we gauge using the weekly stochastic oscillator.
Persons: LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton, Katie Stockton Organizations: CAC, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: France, EWQ
Though CIO Michael Landsberg of Landsberg Bennett Private Wealth Management says the conditions don't justify a cut, he says there might be one. "I think if Chairman Powell had not said, we're gonna get a rate cut, we wouldn't be having these discussions because earnings growth has been really strong. Against that backdrop, Landsberg says, investors should focus on companies generating strong earnings growth. "The major indices are continuing to rally based on strong earnings growth. Earnings growth is the name of the game for this stock market right now," he said in additional notes to CNBC.
Persons: Michael Landsberg, Landsberg Bennett, Powell, we're, CNBC's, he's, Landsberg, They've, Stryker Organizations: U.S . Federal, Wealth Management, Fed, West Texas, CNBC, Trade Locations: Landsberg, China, U.S
US stocks jumped to record highs ahead of key economic data releases this week. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped to record highs on Monday ahead of key economic data scheduled for this week. Investors will be keenly focused on the June consumer price index report on Thursday, with Core CPI expected to rise 3.1% year-over-year, compared to May's CPI report of 3.3%. More inflation data will be released on Friday with the release of the June PPI report, which is expected to rise 0.1% on a month-over-month basis. The new inflation data will help inform investors and the Federal Reserve about the path of interest rates for the rest of this year.
Persons: Powell, , Jerome Powell, Wells, Katie Stockton, Stockton Organizations: PPI, Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, Fed Governors, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Here's Locations: Wells Fargo
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. However, recent profit-taking and valuation concerns led to a pullback and a rare downgrade from a Wall Street analyst. Get the CNBC Daily Open report in your inbox every morning and keep up to date with the markets wherever you are. Kolanovic wasn't the only Wall Street strategist to be caught out by the bull run — but rival banks have incrementally increased their calls.
Persons: Skydance, David Ellison, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, Tesla, Tom Narayan, Squawk, Narayan, Tom Sosnoff, Bill Ackman, Warren Buffett, Sosnoff, — CNBC's Pia Singh, Alex Harring, Holly Ellyatt, Ruxandra Iordache, Ryan Browne, Samantha Subin, Lim Hui Jie, Leslie Josephs Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nvidia Nvidia, Wall, Paramount, Skydance Media, Paramount Global, Hollywood, Boeing, Justice Department, JPMorgan, RBC Capital Markets, RBC Locations: Hollywood
For Warren Buffett, his being born in America is the biggest contributing factor to his unmatched success. He believes the same promise that the nation has brought in the past also rings true today and will benefit generations of investors to come. The reverse is not true," Buffett said in his 2022 annual letter. Buffett has said that's a fact that should scream to ordinary investors: "Never bet against America." "There has been no incubator for unleashing human potential like America," Buffett said.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, shirtmaker Berkshire Hathaway, LBJ, Benjamin Graham Organizations: United, Berkshire, Dow, America, Cuban Missile, shirtmaker Berkshire, BNSF Railway, Burlington Northern, Columbia University Locations: America, United States, Omaha, shirtmaker, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, Apple . Berkshire, Berkshire
Mainland China investors these days are often focused on how well U.S. stocks are doing — and bemoaning tepid performance at home. But a look at first-half performance shows that many China stocks still rose by double-digits, including a few artificial intelligence plays. Zhongji Innolight Ranking third in CSI 300 performance in the first half was Zhongji Innolight, which climbed 70%. Nomura rates Zhongji Innolight a buy and its analysts met with the optical communication company in late June. The broad mainland China stock market, measured in Class A shares, has underperformed over the past two years, said Wanda Wang, a research manager at Morningstar.
Persons: BofA, Nomura, Wanda Wang, That's, Invesco's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, CSI, Apple, Foxconn, Bank of America Securities, Industrial, FII, Avary Holding, Avary, Chartered Bank, HSBC, JPMorgan, Nomura, Nasdaq, U.S, Morningstar, Capital, Shenzhen Stock Exchange Locations: China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Avary Holding Shenzhen, Hong Kong
Semiconductor stocks and technology behemoths get all the acclaim when it comes to artificial intelligence, but RBC Capital Markets is offering up some alternate ways to play the theme. Other technology giants have followed suit, with Amazon closing above a $2 trillion market value for the first time ever last month. Against this backdrop, RBC Capital Markets highlighted some of its favorite ways to play the theme beyond the classic winners, viewing AI as the "next disruptive mega-trend." While the social media giant has already gotten a boost from the trend, RBC Capital Markets expects shares to benefit from a world where digital advertisers market toward AI and virtual assistants. RBC Capital Markets also highlighted a handful of software stocks that could win big as AI proliferates, viewing the tool as a "revenue enhancer and profitability expander" that may take three to five years to materialize.
Persons: behemoths, GenAI, CrowdStrike, Eaton, Thomson Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Nvidia, RBC Capital, Adobe, Accenture, Thomson Reuters Locations: Shopify
What a hung parliament in France could mean for markets
  + stars: | 2024-07-07 | by ( Matt Clinch | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Emmanuel Dunand | Afp | Getty ImagesInitial indications on Sunday evening for the French parliamentary run-off vote threw up some big surprises, leaving political commentators contemplating a "hung parliament" scenario that could prove challenging for both policymaking and financial markets. With none of the groups expected to hit the 289 seats needed for an absolute majority, gridlock could ensue over the coming weeks. The euro slipped about 0.3% against the U.S. dollar in thin trading on Sunday evening after the exit polls were released. "Regardless, uncertainty about the outlook for French policymaking is likely to be long-lasting," the analysts said. France is facing a challenging fiscal position, and the European Commission announced two weeks ago that it intended to place France under an Excessive Deficit Procedure due to its failure to keep its budget deficit within 3 percent of gross domestic product.
Persons: Emmanuel Dunand, France's, Emmanuel Macron's, policymaking, Jack Allen, Reynolds, Macron, David Roche Organizations: la Republique, Afp, Getty, Popular Front, Rassemblement National, U.S, Citi, Daiwa, European Commission, Capital Economics, Independent, National Rally Locations: France, la, Paris, Italy, Germany
The S&P 500 will plunge 32% in 2025 as a recession finally hits the US economy, BCA Research predicts. The firm said the Fed will fail to prevent a recession as it takes its time cutting interest rates. And perhaps most importantly, the Fed's plan to blunt any economic decline via interest rate cuts simply won't work. For example, the average mortgage rate paid by consumers is around 4%, compared to current mortgage rates of around 7%. That means even if the Fed cuts interest rates and mortgage rates decline, the average mortgage rate paid by consumers will continue to rise.
Persons: , Peter Berezin, Berezin Organizations: BCA Research, Service, Federal, Wall
We don't say they have a secular wind at their backs. We don't say: Apple's business is much better than we thought. They keep coming back to one main point: You can't have these companies dominate without something bad happening to the stock market. Let me present a different, factual manifesto: The companies with these amazing gains are companies that just don't stop inventing. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Joe Biden, Biden, Lilly, , Tesla, Elon Musk, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Nasdaq, pharma, Novo Nordisk, National Football League, YouTube, Web Services, Costco, Walmart, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Facebook, Google Locations: Lilly
Three of the four big money center banks report this coming Friday, including Club name Wells Fargo . Economic data : The June consumer price index (CPI) is out on Thursday morning, and the June producer price index (PPI) is out on Friday morning. Earnings season : Within the portfolio, net interest income (NII) guidance is going to be a key watch item when Wells Fargo reports its quarter this coming Friday. However, other factors like muted loan demand have prevented Wells Fargo from raising its outlook this year. Wells Fargo – and our other bank name Morgan Stanely – both passed, indicating they have strong capital positions with excess money to return to shareholders.
Persons: May's, You'll, Wells, Michael Santomassimo, Morgan Stanley, We're, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanely –, JPMorgan Chase, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Beata Zawrzel Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, Broadcom, Club, Meta, Energy, Constellation Brands, Corona, Modelo, Federal Reserve, Manufacturing, PMI, Fed, Wells, PPI, CPI, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, DAL, Conagra Brands, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, U.S, New York Stock Exchange, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, FactSet, Wells, Wells Fargo –, New York, United States, America
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