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Steel stocks would likely outperform under if former President Donald Trump returns to the White House, while clean energy providers might rally if Vice President Kamala Harris captures the presidency, according to JPMorgan. Clean Energy In the same 14-page report, JPMorgan shared the name of specific companies that are likely to benefit should either candidate prevail. Steel and aluminum Conversely, Peterson is bullish on steel and aluminum companies if former President Trump gets a second term. Shares of steel producer Nucor have tumbled nearly 18% in 2024 but could bounce back under a Trump victory, according to JPMorgan. Other potential winners under a Trump presidency include aluminum producer Kaiser Aluminum and rare-earth materials processor MP Materials , said JPMorgan.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Bill Peterson, Peterson, EBITDA, William Grippin, Trump, Morgan Stanley, Carlos De, Martin Englert Organizations: White, JPMorgan, Trump, EV, Department of Energy's, Office, Democratic, UBS, DOE, Power, Energy, Republican, Steel, Nippon Steel, U.S . Steel, Seaport Research Partners, Aluminum Locations: Los Angeles, adj, 2H25, Charlotte, Cleveland
A new report by Experian found that 67% of polled Gen Zers and 62% of surveyed millennials are using artificial intelligence to help with their personal finances. Users say that generative AI tools like ChatGPT have helped in areas including saving and budgeting (60%), investment planning (48%) and credit score improvement (48%). The Gen Z respondents were ages 18 to 27 while millennials were ages 28 to 43. According to data Experian provided to CNBC, 98% of Gen Z adults and 98% of millennials had a positive experience with the software. While using generative AI can help as a first step to drawing up a budget or figuring out how to increase your credit score, always verify the information through external resources, experts say.
Persons: Experian, Gen Zers, Christina Roman, millennials, Xers Organizations: Finance, CNBC
The fine points to a Russian legal system focused more on symbolic punishment than enforcement. All the same, that is what a Russian court maintains the company owes, as punishment for suspending accounts from YouTube. Related storiesLegal experts told Business Insider what it symbolizes is a Russian legal and economic system estranged from much of the world. AdvertisementRussia has effectively annulled intellectual property rights, enabling its companies to freely use patents and designs from Western companies. The scholars BI spoke to did not expect any other nation's court to try to enforce the Google fine.
Persons: , Dmitri Peskov, Tyler Kustra, Kustra, Heineken, Christine Abely, Abely, Nathanael Tilahun, hasn't, Oleksandra, Snellman Organizations: YouTube, Google, Service, UK's University of Nottingham, Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank, New England Law, University of Essex, Bloomberg Locations: Russian, Russia, Ukraine, Dutch, Hong Kong , South Africa, Netherlands
But, in hindsight, I wish I'd dropped out just to save myself on my now-mounting debt. Since then, nobody has asked me about my college degree. AdvertisementI believe my best — and safest — bet would have been to switch to an online degree when the pandemic first hit. It just goes to show that sometimes, a bit of risk-taking can pay off; I wish I'd been bolder. I'll definitely chalk up my university experience as "You live, and you learn" territory; I still really enjoyed aspects of my college experience.
Persons: , I'd, I'm, I've, Little, it's Organizations: Service, Citadel
The typical age of a first-time homebuyer in the US has reached an all-time high: 38. First-time buyers make up 24% of all buyers, the lowest level since NAR started tracking in 1981. The changing characteristics of the typical first-time homebuyer in America are proof of the strain. The typical first-time buyer now has a median age of 38 — up from 35 in 2023. The typical first-time homebuyer is richer than ever, too.
Persons: It's, , — Gen Zers, millennials, haven't, Jorge Argota, Argota, He's Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Service, NAR Locations: America, Miami, Florida
Ryanair, Europe's biggest airline, repeatedly criticized Boeing in its latest earnings report. The airline said that this increase came "despite repeated Boeing delivery delays." Related Video"Many customers are switching to Ryanair for our lower air fares," Ryanair's CEO Michael O'Leary said. Ryanair CEO Michael O'Leary has been one of Boeing's harshest critics in recent months. Related stories"While we continue to work with Boeing leadership to accelerate aircraft deliveries ahead of peak S.25, the risk of further delivery delays remains high," the CEO added.
Persons: , Michael O'Leary, O'Leary, Yves Herman Ryanair, machinists, Kelly Ortberg, Tim Clark, Scott Kirby Organizations: Ryanair, Europe's, Boeing, Service, REUTERS, Alaska Airlines, Emirates, United Airlines Locations: Alaska
Former PBOC advisor discusses China and central government debt
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina not realizing central government debt is markets' most important financial product: ProfessorLi Daokui, Mansfield Freeman professor of economics at Tsinghua University and former advisor at the People's Bank of China, says central government debt is the "bottom of the pyramid of financial products — it is the least risky, it is the most liquid financial asset in any mature financial market."
Persons: Li Daokui, Mansfield Freeman Organizations: China, Tsinghua University, People's Bank of Locations: People's Bank of China
A rare bee species reportedly threw a wrench in Meta's plans for an AI data center. Other tech giants are spending billions on data centers to further their AI ambitions. A rare species of the insect threw a wrench in the company's plans for an AI data center, the Financial Times reported Monday. Rivals, including Google, Amazon, and Microsoft, also invest billions in data centers to power their AI. AdvertisementThe boom in data centers to power AI also comes with high costs environmentally, not just financially.
Persons: Meta, , Mark Zuckerberg, IBM's Jonathan Adashek Meta, Kairos Power, Marc Wulfraat, MWPVL Organizations: Service, Financial Times, Google, Microsoft, Kairos, Bloomberg, McKinsey
Specifically, he warned about traders taking the 10-year Treasury yield , a bond market benchmark, above 5% — a level it hasn't seen since mid-2007. To be sure, there are myriad reasons why the bond market has been in a state of tumult since mid-September, political considerations of a second Trump term being just one of them. "The bond market could easily nullify the impacts of another rate cut. That's because the bond market believes the Fed is cutting rates by too much, too soon, and is therefore raising long-term inflation expectations. It could carry "higher tariffs and mass deportations, which triggers stagflation in the US including a second inflation spike," the bank said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Chip Somodevilla, Kamala Harris, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Trump, Harris, Kumar, it's, Karen Dynan, Trump's, Peterson, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Fiserv, Republican National Convention, Treasury, Trump, Reserve, Bond, Yardeni Research, Sri, Kumar, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Republicans Locations: Milwaukee , Wisconsin, United States
Top Wall Street lenders have created a big debt market back by red-hot Nvidia GPUs. A report from the FT says firms have made billions in loans to companies that use Nvidia chips as collateral. AdvertisementTop Wall Street firms have loaned billions to a handful of tech companies that have used Nvidia's artificial intelligence-enabling GPUs as collateral, The Finanacial Times reported. According to the FT, big financial institutions including BlackRock, Blackstone, Pimco, and Carlyle, have made over $11 billion in loans to "neocloud" companies, tech companies that provide cloud services to other tech firms building AI products. There are concerns, though, over the value of Nvidia's GPUs, with the price of existing AI chips potentially coming down as more advanced models are released and as companies potentially dial back AI spending.
Persons: , Carlyle, Willy Wonka's Organizations: Nvidia, FT, Service, Finanacial Times, BlackRock, Blackstone, Lambda Labs, Leasing, Business Locations: Wall
Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as buy Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with the stock following the release of the company's annual 10-K analysis. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Amazon as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Amazon to $230 per share from $210. Morgan Stanley upgrades Entergy to equal weight from underweight Morgan Stanley said the energy company's outlook has improved. " Morgan Stanley upgrades Roblox to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said in its upgrade of the stock that it sees a long runway for growth. " Morgan Stanley downgrades STMicroelectronics to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said it sees too many headwinds from the semis manufacturer.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Price, Morgan Stanley, Apple, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish, Rollins, William Blair, TSMC, Bernstein, Trip.com, Morgan Stanley downgrades STMicroelectronics, Hollister comps, Peter Stern, D.A, Davidson, AAPL Organizations: UBS, Berkshire, Citi, Apple, PlayStation, Barclays, Blackwell, Tencent, Entertainment, Trip.com, Bank of America, Inc, KeySight, Qs, Abercrombie & Fitch Citi, of America, " Bank of America, Meta, Walmart Locations: Kazakhstan, LA, China
In late-September reports, strategists at J.P. Morgan and Fitch Ratings had predicted two additional interest rate trims by the end of 2024 and expect such reductions to continue into 2025. The CME Group's FedWatch tool puts the probability of a 25-basis-point cut at this week's November meeting at 98%. The current probability of the benchmark rate being taken down by another 25 basis points at the December meeting is 78%. "The end of financial repression, of zero interest rates and zero inflation, that era is over. Interest rates will be higher, will be challenged around the world.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Saudi Arabia —, aren't, Morgan, CNBC's Sara Eisen —, Goldman Sachs, Carlyle, Morgan Stanley, Jenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton, Larry Fink, " Fink, David Solomon, Ted Pick, Pick, Francis Fukuyama Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, Fitch, Saudi, Future Investment Initiative, Standard Chartered, CNBC, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Reuters RIYADH, Saudi Arabia, U.S, BlackRock
Boeing workers vote to accept deal, end strike
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —Striking workers at embattled plane maker Boeing voted Monday to accept the company’s most recent offer, ending the costliest strike in the United States in more than 25 years. The International Association of Machinists (IAM) said rank-and-file members voted by 59% to approve the deal. But the deal did not restore the traditional pension plan they lost in 2014 from their previous labor deal. But despite the deep financial problems, Boeing had little choice but to settle the strike and get the workers back on the job. Boeing’s economic impactDespite its problems, Boeing is still a major contributor to the US economy, as it is the largest American exporter.
Persons: Boeing’s, “ I’m, , Jon Holden, , Holden, Kelly Ortberg, Workers ’, It’s, ” Holden, We’ll, they’ve, Ortberg Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Boeing, International Association of Machinists, IAM, ” Boeing, Workers, ” Companies, Research, Anderson Economic Group, Labor, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, United States, Michigan
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesRegardless of the outcome of the U.S. presidential election, there could be some clear winners for exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, experts say. Potential winners and losersIn the months ahead, some ETFs or funds could outperform depending on the election outlook. Exchange-traded funds have steadily gained popularity among investors, with ETF assets crossing the $10 trillion mark in September — a trend experts say is largely due to advantages like lower tax bills and fees relative to mutual funds. Exchange-traded funds are generally known for passive strategies, but there has also been a surge in actively managed ETFs, with the goal of beating the performance of broader markets. watch nowHowever, most financial advisors caution against making hasty changes to your investment portfolio based on the outcome of this election.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris —, Kim Wallace, Anu Ganti, Dow, Kristina Hooper, Harris, Invesco's Hooper, Hooper, Trump, Biden, 22V's Wallace, Wallace Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S, Democratic, ETF.com, Dow Jones Indices, Big Tech, Trump, Congress, Exchange, Federal Locations: Washington, U.S,
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Friday afternoon. Advertisement"Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. What are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey
Here's how Bank of America suggests trading a variety of Election Day outcomes. Split Republican control A Trump White House with a largely Democratic Congress is overall neutral for equities, Kwon said. Split Democratic control The status quo would be maintained with a Harris White House and a Republican Congress, Kwon said. Over the past seven election cycles, the two-week price direction for stocks was identical to one day after election day every single time. Outside of the election, Kwon said that the Fed could have ample reason to cut further.
Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: Bank of America, Trump, Republican, Trump White House, Democratic, Harris White, Federal
Some luxury travel agencies and tour operators say they've seen an uptick in travelers booking luxury safaris. She's not alone — as of late, a growing number of travelers have been itching to go on a luxurious African safari, too. Micato SafarisLuxury tour operator Abercrombie and Kent's African safaris have always been among its best-selling vacations, the company told BI in an email. AdvertisementSome luxury travel agencies are noticing it, tooLuxury travel agency Indagare told BI in an email that safari bookings are "trending upward. AdvertisementWith such prices, some travelers might consider luxury safaris a once-in-a-lifetime experience.
Persons: , Sophie Serrano, Serrano, " Serrano, She's, Abercrombie, buffalos —, Dennis Pinto, Safaris, Micato, Pinto, Richard Waite, Oprah, Ellen DeGeneres, — Singita, Singita, Melissa Krueger, Indagare, Scott Dunn, Julie Durso, Jackie Roth, Sophie Serrano Misty Belles, Take Serrano, Isabella John Organizations: Service, Micato's, Scott Dunn Private, Nomad, Kruger Locations: Zanzibar, Africa, Kenya, Tanzania, Rwanda, Tanzania's, Botswana, South, Umlani's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. debt could drive the next financial crisis, says former FDIC Chair Sheila BairSheila Bair, former FDIC chair, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the U.S. debt problem and how it could lead to a financial crisis.
Persons: Sheila Bair Sheila Bair
Who Wall Street thinks will win the election
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
A survey of 119 investors found that 53% think former president Donald Trump will defeat Kamala Harris. Investors believe fossil fuel and industrial companies should do well under Trump, the survey said. AdvertisementMany of the bigwigs of finance have picked their sides, but Wall Street seems to believe one candidate has the upper hand in this year's presidential election. Betting markets have leaned toward former President Donald Trump, and the financial markets have already priced in a Trump win, according to billionaire investor Stan Druckenmiller. One of the world's most accurate economists, Christophe Barraud, for instance, is putting his credibility on the line for a Trump win.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Stanley Druckenmiller, , Stan Druckenmiller, Emmanuel Cau, Trump, SumZero, Divya Narendra, Ken Griffin, Griffin, Druckenmiller, Hillary Clinton, Elon Musk, Christophe Barraud Organizations: Investors, Trump, Republican, Service, Barclays London, Billionaire Citadel, Future Investment Initiative, Tesla Locations: Saudi Arabia, Riyadh
That has forced Remy Cointreau, whose stock has fallen 50% for the year, to slash its full-year guidance and expects another year of double-digit declines in sales. The declines are a “normalization” within the industry, with alcohol sales nearing their pre-Covid levels, according to Marten Lodewijks, IWSR’s president for the US division. Cheaper private labels have had a boon in sales, mirroring a larger trend of customers seeking more affordable options in all aspects of their life. Aldi’s lineup is growing double digits in sales, bucking the broader industry trends of declines, Arlin Zajmi, director of national buying for adult beverages, told CNN. Aldi has seen its wine and beer sales soar.
Persons: Remy Cointreau, Pernod Ricard, Jose Cuervo, Proximo, ” Lisa Hawkins, , Luca Marotta, Remy Cointreau’s, Jameson, Kahula, Hélène de Tissot, Marten Lodewijks, bottlers, Arlin Zajmi, Scott Olson, it’s, ” Zajmi, ” Bryan Roth Organizations: New, New York CNN, Anheuser, Busch, CNN, Spirits, Consumers, Aldi Locations: New York, United States
For many Americans, the most important focus heading into a presidential election is how the winner will impact their wallet. Related storiesFor drug prices, Harris has promised to expand two provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act, allowing Medicare to negotiate the prices of some drugs. HarrisHarris' planned policy includes the construction of 3 million new housing units, as well as an expansion to the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit. TrumpTrump has also proposed expanding the child tax credit, which currently provides up to $2,000 per child. In August, the vice presidential candidate JD Vance floated a child tax credit proposal that would include $5,000 per child for families of all income levels.
Persons: Harris, Trump, Trump's, Joe Biden's, Biden, Trump Trump, — Trump, Harris Harris, , Vance, hasn't Organizations: Trump, Federal Reserve, White, Trump Trump Locations: Americas
Activist investor Engine Capital has nominated a slate of directors Monday at Canadian legal software maker Dye & Durham , according to people familiar with the matter, after the company fielded takeover interest and moved to launch a sale process Engine has described as "reactionary." Dye & Durham delayed the special meeting twice to December. Dye & Durham makes a suite of software for law firms and says it has more than 60,000 customers worldwide. Engine has contended that a sale of the company at this time would "substantially undervalue" the company. "Dye & Durham has substantially refreshed its Board and has a focused and aligned management team."
Persons: Arnaud Ajdler, Ritu Khanna, Hans Gieskes, Aecom, Goldman Sachs, Matthew Proud's, Dye Organizations: Capital, Dye, Durham, LexisNexis, & Durham, DND, Goldman, Bloomberg Locations: Parkland
Palantir shares surge on rosy revenue outlook
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Jordan Novet | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Palantir shares jumped 13% in extended trading on Monday after the data analytics software maker reported robust third-quarter results and revenue guidance. With respect to guidance, Palantir called for fourth-quarter revenue of $767 million to $771 million. It now sees $2.805 billion to $2.809 billion, compared with $2.742 billion to $2.750 billion in August. The company is targeting over $687 million in U.S. commercial revenue for the year, implying about 24% of the total. As of Monday's close, Palantir shares were up 141% in 2024, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq had gained 21%.
Persons: Alex Karp, Palantir, Karp, LSEG, StreetAccount, Joe Lonsdale Organizations: Palantir, Bloomberg, P Global, Nasdaq, Musk Locations: Palo Alto , California, U.S, United States, Europe
Investors expect Beijing to announce details on fiscal support Friday. He expects Trump has a greater chance of winning, which he said would increase downward pressure on the Chinese yuan versus the U.S. dollar. While the People's Bank of China has cut interest rates, the Ministry of Finance has yet to release details on widely anticipated fiscal stimulus. China is considering more than 10 trillion yuan in debt issuance over a few years, Reuters reported Tuesday, citing sources. Whether it is 10 trillion yuan over three to five years, or 2 trillion yuan in one year, the average is about 2 trillion yuan in support a year, she pointed out.
Persons: Aly Song, That's, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Ting Lu, Biden, Zhu Bin, Zhu, Trump, Liqian Ren, Ren, Xi Jinping, Lan Fo'an, Zong Liang, WisdomTree's Ren Organizations: Reuters, U.S, Investors, National People's, Trump, Nomura, Nanhua, CNBC, U.S ., WisdomTree, People's Bank of, Ministry of Finance, Finance, Bank of China Locations: Yiwu, Zhejiang province, China, Reuters BEIJING, Beijing, U.S, United, People's Bank of China
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: Katie Stockton Organizations: Mattel, Hasbro, DeMark, MAT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities
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