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Dow theory: a primer The rules around the Dow Theory were formulated more than 120 years ago by Charles Dow himself (though he himself never used the term Dow Theory). "Dow Theory was formulated when the Dow Industrials were stuff makers, and the railroads were stuff movers," Tom McClellan, editor of the McClellan Market Report, told me. New Dow Theory also confirms a new high There have been attempts to formulate a "New Dow Theory." Tuesday, the S & P 500 closed at 4,554 (up 19% this year), and the Nasdaq closed at 14,354 (up 37% year-to-date). The S & P 500 is up 9% since May 1.
Persons: Dow, Charles Dow, Tom McClellan, McClellan, David Keller, Keller, hasn't, It's, Jeff Hirsch, Hirsch Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow Jones Transportation, Dow, Dow Theory, Dow Transports, Dow Railroads, FedEx, UPS, Nasdaq Locations: U.S, uptrends
For example, if a stock's price is below the VWAP, it may lure many traders into shorting it, he said. Since Sykes trades penny stocks with less trading volume, he uses indicators that help him determine whether his theses will play out. However, its importance is inferior to the above criteria because the catalyst could move a stock's price in either direction. On the morning of December 1, 2022, the stock's price plunged, creating a pattern he calls a morning panic. This trade fit Sykes' criteria because it had attention on it as a catalyst and created a pattern he trades.
Persons: Timothy Sykes, Sykes, Norman Zadeh, It's, they're, CLOW Organizations: Bollinger, United States, Nasdaq Locations: shorting
Stocks markets are wrapping up a surprisingly strong start to the year, but whether it will continue is an open question as investors wade into a seasonally weak period for markets. Even the laggard Dow Jones Industrial Average, with few tech stocks, managed to eke out a 3.6% gain. Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla account for 80% of the gains in the S & P 500, according to UBS. The S & P 500 health sector is down almost 3% this year. Next week marks the start of July and the third quarter of 2023.
Persons: didn't, Jamie Cox, Cox, John Lynch, Harris Financial's Cox, that's, Comerica's Lynch, Kim Forrest, Nonfarm payrolls Organizations: Spring, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Harris Financial, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, UBS, Comerica Wealth Management, Nasdaq, Investors, Bokeh Capital Partners, Independence, P Global, PMI, Tuesday U.S
The past decade has brought particularly strong months of July for the S & P 500 , according to Carson Group. And the firm's chief market strategist expects a similarly good performance this year. The S & P 500 is up more than 6% so far this quarter and more than 14% year to date. A continuation of those trends could lead the S & P 500 to an all-time high in the second half of the year, Detrick said. "The realization that the economy's on better footing could be the spark plug to keep the surprise summer rally going," Detrick said.
Persons: Carson, July's, Ryan Detrick, There's, we've, there's, Detrick Organizations: Carson Group, Stock, Federal Reserve
Against this backdrop, investors will head into the final week of June with a relatively light economic calendar. However, those few data sets could provide investors with clues on how the market will fare going into the second half. Key inflation data ahead Of note next week is the core personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Reports to watch out for include Tuesday's new home sales and Thursday's pending home sales data, both for May. Elsewhere, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky warned this week the downside for tech names could be as "equally impressive" as their rally.
Persons: Jerome Powell, annualized, Dow Jones, Terry Sandven, Sandven, that's, Megan Horneman, Stephen Suttmeier, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Art Hogan, Hogan, Mills, Paychex Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Bank of England, Global Wealth Management, Americas, UBS, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Verdence Capital Advisors, Bank of America, Dow, Riley Wealth Management, Fed, Walgreens, Micron, Nike, Constellation Brands
Car listings platform Autotrader released its top 10 electric vehicles for 2023. EVs from brands like BMW, Ford, Hyundai, and Rivian made the cut this year. Tesla did not make the cut for Autotrader's top 10 electric vehicles of 2023. Autotrader, an online car shopping resource, released its list of this year's best EVs on Wednesday — and while brands like BMW, Hyundai, Ford, and more made the list, Elon Musk's company was notably missing. The list includes only pure electric vehicles and does not feature any hybrids, plug-ins, or hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles.
Persons: Rivian, Tesla, Elon, they're Organizations: BMW, Ford, Hyundai, Vehicles, EV
For now, it's not a brighter economic picture or an exuberant earnings outlook pushing stocks higher. Another reason that some investors have come back to stocks is simply because the S & P 500 ended the week more than 23% above last October's low. "The next level of resistance is above 4,500 on the S & P. Historically, the market gains 14.5% on average between the 20% threshold level and the next decline of 5% or more. "Inflation peaked in June of last year and has been rapidly declining over the past 12 months. Trading the week after is often treacherous, Hirsch said, with the Dow Jones Industrials falling in 27 of the past 33 years and the S & P 500 down in 23 of 33 years.
Persons: it's, Sam Stovall, Clinton, Wells Fargo, Chris Harvey, Harvey, Jay Hatfield, Price, CarMax, Stovall, Jeffrey Hirsch, Hirsch, Dow Jones Industrials, York Fed's John Williams, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, Lisa Cook, Adriana Kugler, Avid Bioservices, Patterson Cos, Christopher Waller, Michael Bloom, Fred Imbert, Alex Harring Organizations: Fed, CFRA, Microsoft, Infrastructure Capital Management, Consumer, PPI, FedEx, Darden, Dow, Housing, Financial, Enerpac, Avid, Banking, Accenture, Commercial Metals, P, PMI Locations: New York, York, Dublin
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures also both traded down almost 0.1%. The moves follow a winning session on Wall Street as investors bet interest rate hikes were coming to an end after the Federal Reserve announced it would not increase rates at its meeting this week. Up nearly 3%, the S&P 500 is on pace to notch its best weekly performance since March. However, expiration week often tends to be higher during bull markets and lower in bear markets, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. That may bode well at least for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, which are posting strong weeks thus far.
Persons: Dow, Sam Stovall, bode Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Virgin Galactic, Adobe, Wall, CFRA Locations: New York City, UnitedHealth
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOptions Action: Traders looking for Nvidia to continue rally through FridayKris Sidial, Ambrus Group co-CIO, joins CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders to talk Nvidia's stock rally and trader's continued bullishness around the company.
Persons: Kris Sidial, Melissa Lee, trader's Organizations: Nvidia, Ambrus, Fast
That year, the stock market was making headlines due to investors' excitement about internet companies. He wanted to bet on the stock market with his Bar Mitzvah money of roughly $12,000. At the time, there was no pattern day trading rule, which meant he didn't need a minimum of $25,000 to day trade. "My best-performing strategy right now is over the weekend because the stock market is closed over the weekend. The uneasiness that comes with having an income pegged to the stock market never goes away.
Persons: Timothy Sykes, Sykes, Norman Zadeh, Jack Kellogg, Kyle Williams, it's, Roe, Wade Organizations: United States, Evofem Biosciences, Tesoro Enterprises, Stocks, Cilantro, Partners, Wall Street Warriors Locations: Illinois
CNBC Daily Open: Congratulations on getting through May
  + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The old Wall Street adage to sell in May and go away held true this year — aside from AI-related stocks, that is. Cryptocurrency might want to divorce itself from traditional financial systems, but it can't escape the gravitational pull of Wall Street. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
Persons: Dow, Walt, Cryptocurrency, Bitcoin Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Nike, Walt Disney, Chevron, Nvidia, The
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. For the month, the S&P inched up 0.3%, the Dow sank 3.5% and the Nasdaq jumped 5.8%. Stock futures mostly ticked down Wednesday night even after the House passed the bill to suspend the debt limit. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
Persons: Kevin McCarthy, Dow, Walt, Cryptocurrency, Bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Capitol, Washington , DC, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Nike, Walt Disney, Chevron, Nvidia, The Locations: Washington ,
It's almost time to part with the Nasdaq Composite as the tech-heavy index approaches a typically weak period, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. In pre-election years, June is an even better month for the Nasdaq, averaging at a 2.4% gain. "Over the last 52 years June has shone brighter on NASDAQ stocks as a rule. From July 1 through Oct. 31, the Nasdaq averages a gain of just 0.2%, the Almanac pointed out. Both indexes average more muted returns during that period, leading to an old Wall Street adage that says, "Sell in May and go away."
Persons: NASDAQ's, pare, Michael M Organizations: Nasdaq, NASDAQ, Dow Jones Industrial, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty
"The overhangs on the market this year [are] the debt ceiling negotiation, hawkish Fed commentary and a banking crisis. It appears we are going to get a debt ceiling deal over the weekend, which should help the market to stabilize." The problem for many on the Street is the action in the S & P 500 Tech Index, up more than 5% this week; the Nasdaq Composite , ahead about 2.5%; and the S & P 500 , with a 0.3% gain, masks so much weakness beneath the surface. The S & P 500 consumer staples, materials, health care and utilities were all down between 2.4% and 3.2% this week, and the Dow Industrials were lower 1%. Although the S & P 500 is 9.5% higher so far in 2023, only a few stocks are doing well. "
So they sold their belongings, bought a boat and set off to sail around the world, despite having no sailing experience, he said. He called trading the "perfect" job for full-time travel because "all I need is a laptop, an internet connection, and I can be anywhere in the world." Source: BumfuzzleDuring their first trip around the world, Schulte said he and his wife kept track of every dollar they spent, which averaged about $3,100 a month. "Plus, there's not always something to do — we're not day trading … so there's plenty of talk about life and travel." The Schulte family approaching the Marquesas Islands after spending 21 days at sea crossing the Pacific Ocean.
LONDON, May 16 (Reuters) - Buying Teck Resources' (TECKb.TO) coal business as a standalone unit is a "distant second" for Glencore (GLEN.L) and Teck should not leave out the Swiss miner if it keeps pursuing its separation plan, boss Gary Nagle told the Bank of America conference in Barcelona on Tuesday. Teck has rebuffed the Swiss miner and trader's $22.5 billon offer to combine the two companies, instead pursuing plans to separate its copper and coal business. Glencore's plan would combine and spin off its thermal coal unit and Teck's steelmaking coal business. As part of its proposal, Glencore has offered up to $8.2 billion in cash to Teck shareholders who may not want exposure to thermal coal, the most polluting fossil fuel. Reporting by Clara Denina, additional reporting by Pratima Desai; editing by Ed OsmondOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Good news for markets next week: no default, no credit agency downgrade, no apocalypse. Worrying 2011 precedent Recent history tells investors that stocks will move more violently during a debt ceiling standoff. Retail sales update Debt negotiations aside, investors get updates next week on the state of American consumer spending when April retail sales are reported Tuesday alongside earnings from Home Depot. Deutsche Bank estimates that April retail sales expanded month over month by 0.7%, the market consensus. Credit Suisse is less optimistic, forecasting that April retail sales grew by 0.6%, but, excluding vehicles, were unchanged.
SummarySummary Companies Investors seeking more information on thermal coal plansGlencore calls on shareholders to reject resolutionLGIM's Marks says 'fundamental lack of willingness to engage'LONDON, May 5 (Reuters) - Investors pushing for more transparency on miner Glencore's (GLEN.L) thermal coal production said its decision not to support a shareholder resolution on the topic showed a "fundamental lack of willingness to engage". Unlike its peers, Glencore mines and trades thermal coal, the fossil fuel used to generate electricity. It has said it plans to responsibly run down its coal mines by the mid-2040s, closing at least 12 by 2035. "There is a fundamental lack of willingness to engage," said Michael Marks, LGIM's Head of Investment Stewardship and Responsible Investment Integration. Just 24% of investors voted against Glencore's climate progress report at the miner and trader's 2022 AGM, with some citing slow progress in scaling back coal production.
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple needs to show strong forward guidance, says Northman Trader's Sven HenrichSven Henrich, Northman Trader founder, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the technicals on Apple.
There's an old Wall Street adage that urges investors to "sell in May and go away" — but CFRA Research says there's an even smarter way to play the market this spring. According to the Stock Trader's Almanac , the worst six months of the year for the S & P 500 starts in May and runs through October. The strategist says traders can look toward defensive names during the May slump, instead of entirely exiting the market. Indeed, since 1990, while the entire S & P 500 gained 6.7% annually, average price gains from equal exposure to these four sectors returned 9.0%. The stock almanac's editor, Jeff Hirsch, said that reducing long exposure and adopting a defensive stance will pay off for investors during the low period.
More than one third (35%) of the S & P 500 reports earnings next week — including megacaps Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta Platforms and Amazon — versus less than 12% in the week just ended and only 2% last week. So far this quarter, S & P 500 earnings are running 4.7% below the same period a year ago, Refinitiv data shows. Back then, the S & P 500 fell 19.4% from its April high to a low on October 3. Meanwhile, next week is the last full trading week before Wall Street's old adage to "sell in May and go away" takes hold. ET: FHFA Home Price index (February); S & P Case-Shiller home price indexes (February) 10:00 a.m.
Next week's market action could be dictated by how well the latest quarterly reports from corporate America are received. Expectations about the immediate earnings outlook have been down for so long, the actual numbers themselves could look like up to investors. Earnings for all financials in the S & P 500 are actually expected to expand in the first quarter by 4.3%. ET: NAHB Housing Market Index (April) Earnings: Charles Schwab, M & T Bank, State Street, J.B. Hunt Transport Tuesday 8:30 a.m. ET: Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker speaks on the economic outlook Earnings: AT & T, American Express, D.R.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq on pace to snap three-week win streaks
  + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailS&P 500 and Nasdaq on pace to snap three-week win streaksDavid Harden, CEO and CIO of Summit Global Investments, and Jeff Hirsch, editor-in-chief of Stock Trader's Almanac, join CNBC's "The Exchange" to break down Wednesday's market action.
Since the height of the financial crisis three weeks ago, the S & P 500 is up over 300 points, roughly 8%. Not surprisingly, the rest of the year is almost invariably a strong year. When the S & P 500 advances 7% or more in the first quarter, it's up an average 23% for the full year. April: spring shoots Best month for Dow Industrials: average 1.9%. advance Up 16 straight from 2006 to 2021 End of "best six months" strategy Source: Stock Trader's Almanac
By comparison, the Dow has gained around 0.7% in an average month since 1950. April has historically been the second best month for the S & P 500 and fourth best for the Nasdaq Composite (and second best for Russell 1000 and third best for the Russell 3000). More good news: The Aprils of previous pre-election years have posted an even stronger average performance. Lately, the Dow Industrials have exhibited strength following the tax filing deadline, per the Almanac, which falls on April 18 this year. A March advance would mark a reversal from February, when the Dow Industrials lost 4.2% and briefly gave up all of its early 2023 gain.
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