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☆ Fed rate hikes are creeping back into the conversation
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. AdvertisementExperts maintain that any hikes this year are unlikely, but say it's notable how they have creeped back into the policy conversation once again. "You can't say zero probability for something to break in the event of another rate hike," Jason Draho, head of asset allocation in the Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, told Business Insider. "That last mile [of inflation] will be harder to obtain," Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise Financial's chief market strategist, told Business Insider. "The Fed's erring on the side of hawkishness," Hunter told Business Insider.

Persons: —, Larry Summers, Summers, Jason Draho, you'd, Goldman Sachs, Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise, Paul Mielczarski, Mielczarski, Ameriprise's Saglimbene, Andrew Hunter, Hunter Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, PPI, Fed, Former, Bloomberg, Traders, UBS Global Wealth Management, Capital Economics Locations: Americas, OER, Brandywine, hawkishness

☆ We're debating buying Palo Alto's sharp post-earnings drop. Here's what we're considering
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-20 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Palo Alto Networks has been at the forefront of this trend because it's the best-of-breed in 21 categories. PANW 1Y mountain Palo Alto Networks 1 year However, we're not going to try to go in and out of Palo Alto. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. Nikesh Arora, Palo Alto Networks Adam Galica | CNBC

Persons: billings, Nikesh Arora, Arora, We've, Jim Cramer, we're, –, I'm, Jim, Let's, Jim Cramer's, Galica Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Revenue, LSEG, billings, Alto Networks, Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, Palo, CNBC Locations: U.S, cybersecurity, billings, Palo, Palo Alto

☆ The economy's gone from strength to strength after the pandemic — but no one quite knows why, or what comes next
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-20 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

America has gone from a pandemic crash and recession fears to stocks at record highs and an economic boom. Lockdowns, wars, shortages, inflation, interest rates, day trading, and AI have all played a role. Noam Galai/SOPA/Getty ImagesMany Americans also socked away money during the pandemic, as they saved on expenses like travel and live entertainment. Stimulus-fueled demand, combined with pandemic and war-related supply disruptions, caused inflation to spike to a 40-year high of 9.1% in June that year. The Fed swiftly raised interest rates to rein in the price growth, lifting them from virtually zero to upward of 5% in under 18 months, and hasn't touched them since.

Persons: —, We've, Noam Galai, hasn't, It's, dory Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, GameStop, AMC Entertainment, AMC, Bank Locations: America, China, Ukraine

Wholesale prices spiked in January, rising 0.3% and above expectations in yet another sign that maybe inflation is proving harder to put to rest than the markets and the Federal Reserve had hoped. Economists had expected a 0.1% monthly increase in both the overall producer price index – a measure of prices paid by businesses – and the core, which leaves out often volatile energy and food costs. Increases in shelter costs accounted for more than two-thirds of the increase in the main index, although food prices also increased while energy costs fell. Investors had bought into the notion of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in May, but that was called into question by the stronger-than-expected news on inflation. “When will the recession start?” asks Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research in a report out Friday morning.

Persons: ”, Clark Bellin, John Ingram, Chris Giamo, Giamo, “, Peter Berezin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, PPI, CPI, Dow Jones, Investors, ”, Crestwood Advisors, “, TD Bank, BCA Research Locations: U.S

Consumers remained largely sanguine about the economy and inflation in February, according to the latest sentiment survey from the University of Michigan released Friday. The February index rose 0.6 points to 79.6 after posting strong gains in the prior two months. The index of consumer expectations, a forecast of how Americans see the economy in the coming months, is now up 21.6% from a year ago. Expectations for inflation did tick up slightly, with the 12-month level now at 3%, up from 2.9% in January. “The upside surprise in the January PPI report echoes the month’s CPI report,” said Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank.

Persons: ”, Joanne Hsu, “ Consumers, Hsu, Jerome Powell’s, Ken Tjonasam, Powell, Bill Adams Organizations: University of Michigan, “, PPI, Global, CPI, Comerica Bank, “ Labor

Excluding volatile food and energy costs, so-called “core” inflation could look stickier. Core inflation is watched closely because it typically provides a better read of where inflation is likely headed. One factor that probably kept core prices up last month is that January is when many businesses impose price increases. While the government seeks to adjust its inflation data for such seasonal factors, it doesn't always do so perfectly. Core services prices, which exclude energy, jumped 5.3% last year.

Persons: Biden, Joe Biden, —, doesn't, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, Fed

☆ Digital banking giant Revolut is launching phone plans for travelers in the UK
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-12 | by ( Ryan Browne | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Revolut is launching a travel eSIM plan in the U.K., in a rare move for a financial services firm. RevolutBritish financial technology company Revolut is launching phone plans in the U.K., the company has told CNBC exclusively, making it the first financial services firm in the country to offer telecom plans, and among the first globally. The cost of using mobile data overseas has increased for Brits in recent years. Revolut has partnered with U.K. mobile network operator 1Global, formerly known as Truphone, to launch its eSIM. Launching phone plans is a rare step from a financial services firm.

Persons: Revolut, Tara Massoudi, Massoudi, we've, it's Organizations: CNBC, Ultra, Brits, BT, Vodafone, European Union Locations: Plenty

☆ Trading CPI: Where JPMorgan traders see the market going, based on these scenarios
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-12 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan traders expect the S & P 500 could rise 0.5% to 1%. The S & P 500 may gain 1% to 1.5% here. In this scenario, JPMorgan traders anticipate a 1% to 1.5% decline in the S & P 500. The S & P 500 could rally 2% to 2.25%. Traders expect the S & P 500 could lose 1.75% to 2.25% in this scenario.

Persons: Dow Jones, disinflation, Jerome Powell's, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CPI, Investors, Reserve, JPMorgan, Traders Locations: U.S

Tineco Floor One S7 Pro The Tineco Floor One S7 Pro is without a doubt expensive, but it reigns supreme with its excellent performance, auto dirt detection system, high-tech LCD screen with an assistant, and brushroll drying capabilities. I immediately noticed how the design of the Tineco Floor One S7 Pro differed from the Tineco Floor One S5 version I previously tested. AdvertisementOur review of the Tineco Floor One S7 ProI tested the Tineco Floor One S7 Pro vacuum over two months in my 1,600-square-foot home. Alex Temblador/Business InsiderOverall, this is a relatively easy wet-dry vacuum to use and has a lot to do with the 3.6-inch LCD screen, unlike anything I've seen on any other wet-dry vacuum. AdvertisementThe bottom lineFew can compete with the deep cleaning capabilities and smart features of the the Tineco Floor One S7 Pro wet-dry vacuum cleaner.

Persons: mops, iLoop, Alex Temblador, I've, vacuuming, I'm, Tineco, It's, it's, Lulu Organizations: Business, Pro, Auto

☆ The 'Grand Theft Auto 6' halo effect is causing decades-old GTA games to dominate on Netflix
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-10 | by ( Kenneth Niemeyer | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementPeople are so excited for "Grand Theft Auto 6" that decades-old GTA games are shooting to the top of Netflix's gaming platform. The "Grand Theft Auto Trilogy" — released in 2021 — combines three classic titles from the series: "Grand Theft Auto III," "Grand Theft Auto: Vice City," and "Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas." After Netflix Games added the "Grand Theft Auto Trilogy" to its platform, it quickly became their top games, according to Netflix. Zelnik said the announcement of "Grand Theft Auto 6" in December has had a "halo effect across the entire franchise." Take Two CFO Lainie Goldstein said sales of "Grand Theft Auto V" also "exceeded expectations" last quarter.

Persons: —, Strauss Zelnik, Zelnik, Lainie Goldstein, Goldstein Organizations: Service, Interactive, Rockstar Games, Auto, Vice, Netflix, Netflix Games, Business Daily, Nasdaq Locations: Andreas

☆ Stocks are the 'asset class of choice' as markets are now used to bad news, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., January 29, 2024. One is energy prices — will the trouble in the Middle East be a transmission into higher energy prices, or the war in Eastern Europe? Not really, if you look at how energy prices have developed," he told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Tuesday. watch nowHe added that markets had "gotten used to trouble in geopolitics" over the last five years, so the impact on asset prices of any further bad news would be somewhat limited. Wittmann acknowledged that risk, but remains bullish about broader upside potential in stocks.

Persons: Brendan Mcdermid, Beat Wittmann, Wittmann, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Porta Advisors, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: New York City, U.S, Eastern Europe, Covid, Suez, Israel, Ukraine

☆ Logitech CEO says sales growth will be 'gradual' due to external headwinds
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Logitech CEO Hanneke Faber discussed the company's most recent quarterly report with CNBC's Jim Cramer, describing external headwinds that may hinder top line sales growth. "What we wanted to do ... in our reporting today is make sure that we're a little cautious," Faber said. "Because while there's a lot of stuff that Logitech's got going for it, we do think the recovery to growing top line sales will be gradual, and that's because there's so much happening in the external environment." She added that office vacancies in the U.S. just hit an all-time high, and empty office buildings mean fewer Logitech products sold. "There's just a lot of things happening in the market, that's why we're a little cautious," Faber said.

Persons: Hanneke Faber, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Faber, Logitech's, Tuesday's Organizations: Logitech Locations: U.S

☆ Morgan Stanley revenue tops estimates, but CEO warns of geopolitical, economic risks ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Morgan Stanley headquarters is seen in New York City on Jan. 17, 2023. Morgan Stanley on Tuesday reported fourth-quarter revenue that surpassed expectations, boosted by the strength in investment banking. Shares of Morgan Stanley initially climbed in premarket trading following the results, but the stock closed Tuesday's session 4.2% lower. Morgan Stanley said its revenue from investment banking rose 5% from a year ago on the back of a 25% increase in fixed income underwriting revenue amid higher investment-grade issuances. Pick is a Morgan Stanley veteran who rose through the ranks to lead the bank's Wall Street operations.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, James Gorman, Pick Organizations: Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Securities, Exchange Commission, Firm, Wealth, CNBC PRO Locations: New York City, U.S, York

☆ Inflation is still a mixed bag, but markets don't care. They see big Fed rate cuts ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

December's inflation data provided just enough evidence to show that the pace of price increases is continuing to cool while also serving up a reminder that the war isn't won yet. One is that regardless of the headline numbers, the parts of inflation that don't fluctuate as much have been fairly stubborn. So-called sticky inflation, which includes things such as housing costs, auto insurance, medical care services and household furnishings, are indeed holding higher. On a one-month annualized basis, the measure also was at 4.6%, but that's up a full percentage point from the previous month. Fed policymakers also are attuned to the relationship between wages and inflation.

Persons: isn't, Disinflation, Jamie Dimon, cautioning, Krishna Guha, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Ian Shepherdson, Dan North Organizations: Separate Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Nomura Global Economics, JPMorgan Chase, Evercore ISI, PPI, Citigroup, Commerce, Fed, Pantheon, Atlanta, Allianz Trade Locations: Red

☆ How to find a reasonably-priced and resilient stock amid the rush of earnings reports ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Strong Balance Sheet: A strong balance sheet is often a primary indicator of a quality company. Consistent Earnings Growth: Quality companies usually exhibit steady and predictable earnings growth. Typewriter manufacturing wasn't a sustainable growth industry regardless of whether it adhered to ESG factors or not. Bear in mind that finding a quality company cheap isn't likely, but we would prefer to avoid crowded (i.e. Even without delving into the quality of management and other factors it's clear that AT & T is not a "quality" company as I defined it above.

Persons: Martin Luther King, Walt Disney Organizations: JPMorgan, Good, Sustainable, Sector, Charter Communications, Comcast, Electronic Arts, Fox Corp, Interpublic, Match, Meta, Netflix, News Corp, Omnicom, Paramount Global, Interactive, Verizon, Walt, Warner Brothers, Apple Locations: America

☆ BlackRock CEO Larry Fink warns of stubborn inflation - but expects growth to accelerate this year if interest rates drop
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Read previewLarry Fink expects US inflation to prove stubborn, but economic growth to get a boost if interest rates fall this year. AdvertisementRapid inflation has spurred the Fed to hike interest rates from nearly zero to over 5%. Higher rates are also associated with slower growth, increased unemployment, and lower asset prices, raising the prospect of a market downturn or a recession. GDP growth was nearly 5% in the third quarter, unemployment remains at a historic low of below 4%, and resilient corporate earnings have buoyed stock prices. He struck a similarly optimistic tone on the long-term outlook for the US stock market and wider economy last year.

Persons: —, Larry Fink, " Fink, Fink, Jamie Dimon, Gary Gensler Organizations: Service, Business, BlackRock, Fox Business, Wall Street, JPMorgan, SEC Locations: bitcoin

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings point to a grim season
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Win Mcnamee | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineFourth-quarter earnings have officially begun with four of Wall Street's top six banks reporting rather bleak results. JPMorgan Chase, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, paid a sizeable fee linked to the government seizures associated with regional banking crisis last March, which impacted its earnings. Citigroup has lagged its Wall Street peers since the 2008 financial crisis and remains the lowest valued among the top six banks.

Persons: Brian Moynihan, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Jane Fraser, Win Mcnamee, Jane Fraser's, Kurt Rankin, Lai Ching, Lai Organizations: Bank of America, JPMorgan, Citigroup, CNBC, Federal Reserve, PNC, Voters, Democratic Progressive Party Locations: Hart, Washington , DC, U.S, Asia, China, Taiwan

☆ JPMorgan Chase profit falls after $2.9 billion fee from regional bank rescues
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-12 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan Chase said Friday that fourth-quarter profit declined after paying a $2.9 billion fee tied to the government seizures of failed regional banks last year. The bank said quarterly earnings slipped 15% to $9.31 billion, or $3.04 per share, from a year earlier. Excluding the fee tied to the regional banking crisis and $743 million in investment losses, earnings would have been $3.97 per share, according to JPMorgan. The bank said it generated nearly $50 billion of profit in 2023, $4.1 billion of which came from First Republic. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation hit large U.S. banks with a special assessment to replenish losses from a fund that helped uninsured depositors of seized regional banks.

Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan, LSEG, Revenue, First, First Republic, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Reserve, Fed, KBW, CNBC PRO Locations: U.S, First Republic, Ukraine

☆ Wholesale prices unexpectedly fall 0.1% in December in positive inflation sign
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-12 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Wholesale prices unexpectedly declined in December, providing a positive signal for inflation, the Labor Department reported Friday. Excluding food, energy and trade services, PPI also was up 0.2%, in line with the estimate. For the full year, the final demand measure less food, energy and trade services rose 2.5% for all of 2023 after being up 4.7% in 2022. Markets initially reacted positively to the PPI release but turned lower through morning trading. PPI measures the prices that producers pay for goods and services, while CPI gauges what consumers pay in the marketplace.

Persons: Dow Jones, Kurt Rankin, Jamie Dimon Organizations: Labor Department, PPI, PNC, Diesel, Traders, Federal, Market, JPMorgan Locations: U.S

☆ CPI: America’s final inflation report for 2023 just came in
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Economists were expecting the annual overall inflation rate to tick higher, to 3.2% from the 3.1% headline reading the month before, according to FactSet consensus estimates. Despite the acceleration, the annual rate of consumer-level inflation is down considerably from December 2022’s rate of 6.5%; additionally, a closely watched measure of underlying inflation slowed further. In December, core goods prices were flat, an apparent stalling out after six months of declines. Rising shelter costs have kept core services elevated. The central bank has a target inflation rate of 2%, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, which has its latest reading due out later this month.

Persons: “, ” Wendy Edelberg, ” “, ’, Brian Coulton, Fitch, ” Scott Anderson, Jerome Powell, Joe Brusuelas, ” Organizations: New, New York CNN, of Labor Statistics, BLS, The Hamilton Project, Brookings, CNN, Federal, BMO, CPI, PCE, RSM Locations: New York, November’s

On an annual basis, inflation ticked up to 3.4% from 3.1% previously. The core CPI, stripping out energy and food costs, was unchanged but dipped down to 3.9% annually from 4% in November. Government measures of housing costs tend to lag market rates, which have been trending down for apartment rental rates lately. The central bank decided at its meeting last month to leave interest rates unchanged while also penciling in at least three cuts in 2024. The Fed did warn that, should the economy perform stronger than expected, it retains the option to increase interest rates, though the probability of that is seen as low.

Persons: “, ”, Phillip Neuhart Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor, Fed, Markets, First, Bank Wealth Management, Dow Jones Industrial

☆ America's offices are in 'uncharted territory' as vacancies hit an all-time high
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-08 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The national office vacancy rate has hit a record 19.6%, according to Moody's Analytics. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAmerica's offices are trending in the wrong direction, even as the broader US economy looks to be on solid footing. According to a report from Moody's Analytics, which described the US office market as being in "uncharted territory" in a report on Monday, the national office vacancy rate climbed 40 basis points last quarter to a record-breaking 19.6%.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Moody's, Capital

☆ Here’s what the S&P 500’s summer hot streak can teach us about the late 2023 rally and its staying power
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-02 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

In the final run-up to the late-July peak in stocks this column surveyed the rally , and asked, "Enough for now? .SPX YTD line The S & P 500's year-to-date performance Yes, the market is overbought by various technical measures. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo and Barclays are seeing the S & P 500 as dead money next year, at best. The virtues of owning the S & P 500 passively have always been low cost, tax efficiency, low turnover and broad exposure to the asset class. While 2021 was a Nasdaq 100 melt-up year, 2022 was the mirror image: Big Tech got blasted and the equal-weight S & P 500 held up better.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Jack Bogle, Alan Greenspan's Organizations: Federal, Deutsche, Deutsche Bank and Bank of America, Barclays, Hamas, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Microsoft, Big Tech, matchless, Treasury Locations: Wells Fargo, Israel

☆ How to make your money work for you over the next decade
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( James Faris | William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +16 min

"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.

Persons: —, Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries

☆ 3 things to watch in the stock market as Street aims to extend winning streak
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-25 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

(Treasury yields tend to move inversely to stock prices; as yields fall investors seeking better returns move money back into the stock market). The chipmaker once again came into its quarterly print with super-high expectations on the Street, but once again exceeded them . For this reason, we put more emphasis on monthly economic releases, such as the aforementioned personal spending report. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

Persons: Dow, Estee Lauder, Einstein, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Locker, Jeff Greenberg Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nvidia, Apple, TJX, Bank of Nova, Elbit Systems, Intuit, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Hormel, Kroger, KR, Academy Sports, TD Bank, Royal Bank of Canada, Dell Technologies, Bank of Montreal, BMO, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Universal, Getty Locations: Bank of Nova Scotia, AMBA

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