Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "inflation's"


25 mentions found


Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation on a 'glide path lower' following JOLTs data and other signs, says Fundstrat's Tom LeeTom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the latest job openings data, the Fed rhetoric that would back up inflation's trajectory, and Lee's insights from Powell's Jackson Hole speech.
Persons: Tom Lee Tom Lee, Powell's Jackson Organizations: Fundstrat Global Advisors
US stocks rose Friday as markets brushed off Powell's warnings of more possible Fed tightening. The Fed chief said the central bank could hike interest rates further "if appropriate" to tame inflation. Investors seemed to ignore the warning, pushing to the Dow up almost 250 points during the session. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. "Beyond September, markets may have to adjust the rate outlook higher, particularly if the recent run of faster than expected growth continues to play out."
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Powell, Wealth's Gary Pzegeo Organizations: Fed, Dow, Service, CIBC, Dow Jones Locations: Wall, Silicon
"I just think he's going to play it about as down the middle as possible," said Joseph LaVorgna, chief economist at SMBC Nikko Securities America. "He's got to strike that chord that the Fed is going to finish the job. "He's going to want to be a little more hawkish than neutral. But he's not going to deliver what he delivered last year. A Cleveland Fed inflation tracker anticipates August's figures will show a noticeable jump.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Win Mcnamee, Joseph LaVorgna, circumspect, LaVorgna, Donald Trump, He's, It's, Quincy Krosby, he's, Inflation's, Krosby, Patrick Harker, you've, Harker, CNBC's Steve Liesman, Jackson Organizations: Financial, Federal, Getty, Federal Reserve, Nikko Securities America, Research, National Economic Council, LPL, Cleveland, San Francisco Fed, Philadelphia Fed Locations: Washington , DC, circumspect Powell
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Tech rallied amid rising yieldsThe Nasdaq Composite rallied Monday, breaking a four-day losing streak, even as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 4.342%, a decades-long high. Nasdaq listing for ArmArm filed for a Nasdaq listing Monday. CNBC Pro's Bob Pisani gives two reasons why investors are still calm — and one why they should perhaps start worrying.
Persons: Softbank, aren't, Bob Pisani Organizations: Nvidia, Entertainment, CNBC, Tech, Nasdaq, Treasury, Dow Jones, New, Federal, aren't panicking Locations: China, Shanghai
There's "no way" bonds are better than stocks for long-term investors, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel said. By the time investors have doubled their money in bonds, they've quintupled their money in stocks, he estimated. Siegel has turned more bullish on stocks and the US economy over the past year amid inflation's decline. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is currently trading with price-to-earnings ratio of about 20, which means stocks have around a 5% yield. "By the time you've doubled your money in bonds, you've multiplied your money by five times in stocks," Siegel said in an interview with CNBC on Monday.
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, they've, Siegel, Jay Powell Organizations: Service, Treasury, Securities, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: Wall, Silicon
The balanced portfolio — reported by many to have died in 2022 — is experiencing a revival. The iShares Core Growth Allocation ETF (AOR) that mimics the strategy lost 15.6% in 2022, including reinvested dividends. Investors sitting tight were rewarded, however, as 2023's run-up in stocks helped lift the 60/40 model. "And thanks to higher interest rates, investors are getting much higher compensation for taking interest rate risk compared to 2021-2022." A 60/40 portfolio isn't right for all investors and their situations, but it does create a foundation for sound investments, said Preston Cherry, CFP and founder of Concurrent Financial Planning.
Persons: , Seema Shah, Ryan Salah, Salah, US6M, Preston Cherry, bode, Cherry Organizations: Asset Management, Capital Financial Partners, Federal, CFP, CNBC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is not going to cut rates 'in absence of anything breaking down': JPMorgan’s Oksana AronovOksana Aronov, JPMorgan Asset Management head of market strategy and alternative fixed income, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's rate hike campaign, risks to inflation's downward path, and more.
Persons: Oksana Aronov Oksana Aronov Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
Investors are ignoring the risks of market turmoil and a recession in early 2024, Steve Hanke warns. The full impact of the decline in US money supply hasn't been felt yet, he says. Hanke is worried about the federal debt, but doesn't see BRICS nations threatening dollar dominance. "I'm saying, 'No, we haven't seen the decline in the money supply hit the real economy yet,'" Hanke continued. "Money is a fuel that runs the economy, and we had a huge buildup of excess fuel," Hanke said.
Persons: Steve Hanke, hasn't, Hanke, Johns Hopkins, We're, Ronald Reagan Organizations: Service, Johns, Stansberry Research Locations: Wall, Silicon
Some Wall Street analysts are sounding the alarm for a coming sell-off in stocks. That comes as the S&P 500 enjoys its best year since 1927, gaining 18% from January. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. That comes as the S&P 500 enjoys one of its best years since 1927, largely thanks to Wall Street's excitement for artificial intelligence. But he sees the overall S&P 500 ending the year at 4,600-4,800, above current levels.
Persons: Eduardo Munoz JPMorgan, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Shannon Stapleton Wells, Scott Wren, Wren, Brendan McDermid, Rosenberg, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, REUTERS, Reuters BlackRock, Rosenberg Research, Dow Locations: Wall, Silicon
Sterling initially dropped, reflecting disappointment after traders had priced in a 30% chance of another 50 bp hike. Longer-term gilt yields, more responsive to investors' perceptions about the economic growth trajectory, rose by the most in a month. Governor of the Bank of England Andrew Bailey attends a press conference for the Monetary Policy Report August 2023, at the Bank of England in London, Britain, August 3, 2023. Two-year gilt yields have risen by more than 120 basis points this year, more than double the increase of their U.S. equivalent. On Thursday, two-year gilt yields were down 5 bps in late trade, while those on 30-year debt rose 10 bps, the most in a month, to 4.66%.
Persons: BoE, Andy Burgess, Andrew Bailey, Sterling, we've, Bank of England Andrew Bailey, Alastair Grant, Jeremy Hunt, Carl Shepherd, they'll, juicier, Peter Goves, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Bank, Bank of England, Monetary, REUTERS, Conservative, Newton Investment Management, Swiss, MFS Investment Management, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: AMSTERDAM, LGIM, London, Britain, U.S
CEOs at 500 major firms make 272 times more than their workers, according to a new report. That's per the latest executive pay report from the AFL-CIO, which looks at S&P 500 compensation. On average, CEOs make $16.7 million, a $5 million increase over the last decade. Over the last ten years, CEOs' paychecks have swelled by $5 million on average — leading to average compensation of $16.7 million in 2022, according to the AFL-CIO's latest iteration of its annual Executive Paywatch report. On average, CEOs in that field make nearly $38 million.
Persons: paychecks, Duncan Crabtree, , Brandon Rees, Rees, Insider's Jennifer Sor Organizations: AFL, CIO, Service, SEC, SAG Locations: Wall, Silicon, Ireland
Investors shouldn't chase the current FOMO-fueled rally in stocks, Wells Fargo warned. Core inflation accelerated 0.2% in June, and though payrolls rose by a less-than-expected 209,000 jobs last month, the labor market remains resilient, a factor that could potentially drive inflation higher. "If inflation's descent flattens out and reverses as interest rates rise higher, we believe the sectors that have driven this rally should be vulnerable to sharp pullbacks," Wren warned. Wells Fargo predicted the S&P 500 would end the year between 4,600-4,800. In addition to stubborn inflation, investors could also be slammed with a corporate earnings recession, Morgan Stanley has warned.
Persons: Wells, Wells Fargo, Scott Wren, Wren, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Service Locations: Wall, Silicon
A woman carrying a Union Flag umbrella stands near the Bank of England in the City of London, Britain, July 30, 2023. Analysts and investors are mostly expecting a quarter-point increase in Bank Rate, taking it to a 15-year high of 5.25%. But they also say they must quash an inflation rate that is the highest among major economies. INFLATION THREATBritish consumer price inflation fell by more than expected in June to 7.9% in annual terms, down sharply from 8.7% in May. Reuters GraphicsHOUSING MARKETThe most obvious impact of the increase in the BoE's Bank Rate from 0.1% in December 2021 to the current 5.0% has been in the housing market.
Persons: Adams, BoE, Andrew Bailey, Bailey, GfK, Sumanta Sen, Kripa Jayaram, Vincent Flasseur, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: Flag, Bank of England, City of, REUTERS, Analysts, Reuters, Nationwide, Halifax, insolvencies, Reuters Graphics LABOUR, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, BoE's, England, Wales, Germany
"We now believe that the Fed is on a prolonged 'hawkish hold,'" she said. "In our base case, their next move will likely be a cut but it will take until 2024 until we see it. That said, Powell will have no choice but to keep the threat of hikes alive, lest he encourage markets to prematurely price in cuts and re-ignite inflation expectations." "Indeed, throughout this coming extended pause, the risk to our base case will likely almost always be for one last hike to cement the disinflationary trend," she added. — Tanaya Macheel
Persons: Frances Donald, Powell Organizations: Fed, Manulife Investment Management
Here's the inflation breakdown for June, in one chart
  + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
The CPI is a key barometer of inflation, measuring prices of anything from fruits and vegetables to haircuts and concert tickets. Hourly earnings increased 0.2%, on average, from May to June after accounting for inflation, according to BLS data. 'Encouraging' inflation signals moving forwardThe inflation slowdown has been broad-based, Zandi said. watch nowGrocery price inflation is also down significantly from its peak around 14% last summer, which had been the highest rate since 1979. Economists say it's a near certainty that housing prices will continue to fall through the second half of the year.
Persons: Michael M, Mark Zandi, Zandi, we're, Mark Hamrick, Andrew Hunter, Ben Bernanke, Olivier Blanchard, Stephanie Roth, Roth Organizations: Lincoln Market, Santiago, Getty, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Moody's, BLS, Capital Economics, Finance, U.S . Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Morgan Private Bank Locations: Brooklyn , New York, U.S, Ukraine
But the BoE is also aware that the economic impact of its 18-month campaign of rate hikes has yet to be felt fully. Below is a summary of key measures of the economy that the BoE will be watching before its next announcement on interest rates on Aug. 3. INFLATION THREATBritish consumer price inflation held at 8.7% in annual terms in May, down from a peak of 11.1% last October but the highest among the Group of Seven advanced economies. Reuters GraphicsINSOLVENCIESThere are signs that companies, especially smaller ones, are struggling as borrowing costs rise and the economy barely grows. Reuters GraphicsGraphics by Sumanta Sen, Kripa Jayaram and Vincent Flasseur; Editing by Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: BoE, GfK, Sumanta Sen, Kripa Jayaram, Vincent Flasseur, Paul Simao Organizations: Bank of England's, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Nationwide, Halifax, Reuters, insolvencies, Wales, Reuters Graphics LABOUR, Thomson Locations: BoE's, Britain, England, Germany
Stock futures were little changed in overnight trading following a losing session on Wall Street. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures hovered around the flat line. The shortened trading week resumed Wednesday after a break for the Fourth of July holiday. The shortened trading week continues Thursday with a slew of fresh economic data points, including ADP private payrolls data for June and initial jobless claims. A reading of S&P Global services PMI and ISM services PMI are also on deck.
Persons: Powell, Malcolm Ethridge Organizations: Futures, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, JetBlue Airways, American Airlines, Spirit Airlines, Federal, CIC Wealth, P Global, PMI
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDisinflation will have a positive market impact in the near term: Vital Knowledge's Adam CrisafulliAdam Crisafulli, Vital Knowledge founder, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to discuss the day's market action, disinflation's impact on markets, and more.
Persons: Adam Crisafulli Adam Crisafulli Organizations: Vital Knowledge
But Friday's retail sales figures showed that, at least for now, British consumers were weathering the cost-of-living storm. "But our view is still that the growing drag on activity from higher interest rates will eventually tip the economy into recession, generating a 0.5% peak to trough fall in real consumer spending." The statistics agency said the one-off holiday to celebrate the king's coronation was not factored into its seasonal adjustments, meaning it helped to boost the sales volumes reading. Retail sales volumes in May were 2.1% lower than a year earlier. The Reuters poll of economists had pointed to a fall of 2.6% in sales volumes on an annual basis.
Persons: Sterling, King Charles, Ruth Gregory, Samuel Tombs, Heather Bovill, William Schomberg, William James, Catherine Evans Organizations: Bank of, Bank of England, U.S ., Office, National Statistics, Capital Economics, ONS, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Britain
SummarySummary Companies FTSE 100 down 0.2%, FTSE 250 off 0.4%June 23 (Reuters) - UK's benchmark indexes extended their slide on Friday, led by a decline in homebuilders, as investors' concerns over recession heightened following the Bank of England's outsized interest rate hike. The benchmark FTSE 100 (.FTSE) was down 0.2% at 0706 GMT, while the FTSE 250 (.FTMC) mid-cap index lost 0.4%. Both indexes were on track for their worst weekly drop since the U.S. banking turmoil in March. Retail sales, however, unexpectedly rose in May, suggesting most consumers were coping with rigid inflation's impact on their spending power. Reporting by Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-PhillipsOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: BoE, Ankika Biswas, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: Bank of England's, Federal Reserve, GSK, Thomson Locations: homebuilders, U.S, Norway, Switzerland, Bengaluru
Images By Tang Ming Tung | Digitalvision | Getty Images"This is clearly a function of inflation starting to come down," Terrazas said. 'Unprecedented' pay jumps during pandemicWage growth started to spike in 2021 as workers enjoyed the benefits of a hot job market. In some cases, workers' pay growth was strong enough to outrun inflation's impact — especially for those who quit their jobs for higher-paying gigs elsewhere. Meanwhile, wage growth has also declined but at a slower pace — translating to a net boost to Americans' financial well-being in May relative to last year. These data sets are more inclusive than that of wage growth.
Persons: Tang Ming Tung, Terrazas, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Mark Zandi, Aaron Terrazas, Zandi Organizations: ZipRecruiter, CPI, . Bureau, Moody's, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: U.S, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
If the S&P 500 can avoid a pullback, it could make a push toward its all-time high. Investors who weren't ready for the remarkable stock market rally of the last three months may not have completely missed out yet, according to several strategists Insider recently spoke with. While some top investing minds think this market rally isn't trustworthy, others are confident that the path of least resistance for US stocks is higher. He believes the S&P 500 is more likely to hit new highs in early 2024 than retest its Fall low of about 3,500. The S&P 500 is trading at roughly 19.2x forward earnings, he said, adding that equal-weighted funds have a forward earning ratio of about 15.5x.
Persons: Brad Bernstein, we've, I've, Bernstein, Jason Draho, Bernstein's, Draho, Jack Caffrey, Caffrey, Michael Sheldon, chartmaster David Keller, Keller, who's, David Keller, StockCharts.com, Brian Belski, Sheldon, Belski, that's Organizations: Federal Reserve, UBS Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth Management, JPMorgan Asset Management, Fed, RDM Financial, BMO Capital Markets, BMO Capital Locations: US
Asia-Pacific markets are set to largely rise on Tuesday ahead of the U.S. inflation report and Federal Reserve's two-day meeting later in the day – the central bank is widely expected to hold rates for the first time in 15 months while inflation's annual outlook marked a two-year low in the latest New York Fed survey. Japan's Nikkei 225 is set to reach new 2023-highs – its futures contract in Chicago is at 32,795, and its counterpart in Osaka at 32,644 against its last close at 32,434. Australian markets come back from a public holiday with futures for the S&P/ASX 200 at 7,123, just slightly higher than the index's last close of 7,122. However, Hong Kong's Hang Seng index is set to snap a four day winning streak, with futures at 19,358 compared to the HSI's close of 19,404.31.
Persons: Hong Organizations: Fed, Nikkei Locations: Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka
Here's the inflation breakdown for May 2023, in one chart
  + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
The CPI is a key barometer of inflation, measuring prices of anything from fruits and vegetables to haircuts and concert tickets. Where consumers saw inflation, deflation in MayConsumers saw gasoline prices decline 5.6% between April and May, according to the CPI report. "Energy prices at this time last year were just absurd," Leer said. watch nowBut food and energy prices can be volatile. "The progress on core inflation has stalled out in recent months," said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.
Persons: Michael M, Leer, Greg McBride, They're, Ben Bernanke, Olivier Blanchard Organizations: Lincoln Market, Santiago, Getty, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumers, CPI, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, U.S . Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Bankrate Locations: Prospect, Brooklyn, New York City, U.S, Ukraine
Restaurants grapple with a surge in beef prices
  + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Kate Rogers | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRestaurants grapple with a surge in beef pricesCNBC's Kate Rogers joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss surging beef prices, food inflation's impact on menu prices, and the forces driving the protein price hikes.
Persons: Kate Rogers
Total: 25