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Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell said Friday he expects the central bank will cut its key interest rate in the near future in response to slower economic growth and cooling inflation. "The labor market is no longer overheated, and conditions are now less tight than those that prevailed before the pandemic. Starting in the spring of 2022, the Fed raised interest rates to a level not seen in nearly two decades as it worked to combat soaring inflation. "Make no mistake, if the labor market shows signs of further cooling, the Fed will cut with conviction," Shah wrote. Lower interest rates will provide some relief to consumer borrowers, but it will not be immediate, according to Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com.

Persons: Jay Powell, Powell, ” Powell, “, Seema Shah, —, Shah, Greg McBride, McBride Organizations: ”, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, midmorning, Market Committee, Management Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S

☆ A recession is coming in the U.S., and 'a few rate cuts' won't prevent it, says strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Evans pointed to signs of the economy slowing down, including what he called the "deteriorating" U.S. labor market. The Fed funds futures market suggests that investors are expecting at least three rate cuts by the end of the year, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. "A few rate cuts are not going to prevent a recession. Average recession is 10 months… It takes something like a year before fed cuts actually start to give a boost to the economy," he said. "The market believes that the fed fund rate at the end of next year will be 3%.

Persons: Garry Evans, Evans, It's, Jerome Powell, isn't Organizations: BCA Research, . Federal, BCA Research's, U.S . Labor Department, Traders Locations: U.S, Jackson

☆ Stock futures are little changed ahead of key inflation and retail data: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. equity futures fell on Sunday evening as investors braced for key inflation data, after almost completely reversing its violent market rout last week. S&P 500 futures dipped 0.08% and Nasdaq 100 futures inched lower by 0.05%. Fear often works in our favor as stock market investors. "Another round of good [inflation] data could help calm fears that the Fed is potentially losing the plot," Cox said. "Retail sales and retailer earnings may show that fears of a job market slowdown are overblown," she added.

Persons: Callie Cox, they'll, Cox Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Ritholtz Wealth Management, CNBC, Walmart

Mortgage rates fell dramatically this week, with 30-year mortgage rates even briefly dipping below 6% for the first time since early 2023, according to Zillow data. This should remove a lot of the upward pressure off of mortgage rates and allow them to ease. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start cutting the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to drop.

Persons: they've, Fannie Mae Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron

The S&P 500 advanced 0.47% to finish at 5,344.16. This week marked the most volatile week of 2024 for the market. The Dow on Monday tumbled 1,000 points, while the S&P 500 lost 3% for its worst day since 2022. At the Monday lows, the S&P 500 was down nearly 10% from its recent all-time high. It is not just equity markets that have had a volatile week.

Persons: Stocks, Spencer Platt, Jay Hatfield, ” Hatfield Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, Wall, Treasury, Capital Locations: U.S, unwind, Hatfield, “

Stocks ticked up Friday as the stock market built on its incredible comeback from Monday's violent rout. The broad market index ended the week just shy of completely reversing its weekly losses. The S&P 500 advanced 0.47% to finish at 5,344.16. Week to date, the broad market index was just 0.04% lower. The Dow on Monday tumbled 1,000 points, while the S&P 500 lost 3% for its worst day since 2022.

Persons: Stocks Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal Reserve

☆ Golden Opportunity to Boost Job, Labor Market: Raise the Minimum Wage
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

The federal minimum wage, which has been stuck at $7.25 an hour for 15 years. Given the situation, here's an idea: Why not raise the federal minimum wage right now? Getting anything done legislatively is always a challenge, especially in an election year, but polls indicate a higher minimum wage is broadly popular. AdvertisementOnce the minimum wage gets so high that it starts to cause a bunch of job loss, that's a problem. If a higher minimum wage lifts millions of people out of poverty, that's incredible.

Persons: it's, Yannet Lathrop, California's, It's, Jacob Vigdor, Vigdor, Justin Wiltshire, Michael Reich, David Neumark, shouldn't, we've, they've, Emily Stewart Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, National Employment, New York Times, Congressional, University of Washington, University of Victoria, UC Berkeley's Center, Dynamics, University of California, Business Locations: Nebraska, Florida, Washington ,, Washington, West, Wisconsin, Iowa, Mississippi, South Carolina, Seattle, California, British Columbia, New York, Irvine, America, Wiltshire

☆ Oil hovers at 8-month lows as U.S. recession fears offset Mideast tensions
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices hovered at eight-month lows on Monday as fears of a recession in the United States, the world's top oil consumer, offset concerns that escalating tensions in the Middle East may affect supplies from the largest producing region. The market had been expecting OPEC+ to delay the phase out of voluntary production cuts beyond the third quarter, ANZ analysts said. A Reuters survey showed on Friday that OPEC oil output rose in July despite production cuts by the group. Weak economic data across the globe weighed on oil prices, on concerns that a sluggish global economic recovery would dampen fuel consumption. Slumping diesel consumption in China, the world's biggest contributor to oil demand growth, is weighing on global oil prices.

Persons: Ismail Haniyeh, Fuad Shukr, WTI, Baker Hughes Organizations: New Harmony Oil, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Hezbollah, ANZ, Organization of, Petroleum, Reuters Locations: Grayville , Illinois, United States, Gaza, Cairo, Israel, Iran, Lebanese, East, Brent, U.S, Russia, China, Europe

The epicenter is Japan," Jim said during the Club's Morning Meeting. However, significant changes in the currencies can "force you to unwind the trade," Jim explained. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, we'll, Jim, Wells Fargo, we're, It's, Morgan Stanley, Stanley Black, Jim Cramer's, DOV Organizations: CNBC, Overseas, Nikkei, U.S ., U.S, Nextracker, Microsoft, Treasury, Energy, Uber Technologies, Caterpillar, Super Micro, Corp, NXT Locations: Japan, U.S, Dover, DuPont, Wells

☆ 41 cities for hopeful homebuyers looking for leverage at work as unemployment rises
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-03 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Leading real-estate analyst Ivy Zelman recently told Business Insider that entry-level houses are still about 20% more expensive than normal. While the unemployment rate remains relatively low, it has now risen for four straight months and appears to be accelerating. A higher unemployment rate is a troubling sign for employees, including those who have jobs and aren't looking to leave. In a tight job market, workers can demand higher raises since there aren't as many viable replacements for them if they left. Note that data for the cities is from June — the most current data obtained by Business Insider — while the national data is from July.

Persons: —, shouldn't, Ivy Zelman, Jobs, Realtor.com Organizations: Service, Business, Street Locations: Realtor.com

☆ A little-known law has forced over 120,000 veterans to return the money they got to leave the military, new data shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms | Melissa Chan | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +10 min

He said the VA is legally bound to recover special separation benefits from veterans before those eligible can begin receiving disability payments. The VA had to recoup separation pay from 8,130 veterans in fiscal year 2020 and 8,550 in 2021. In 2021, the Veterans Benefits Administration began scanning all veterans’ service and medical records into electronic files, which “reduces the likelihood of this situation reoccurring,” Hayes said. Unique exceptions to the lawVeterans have a chance to pursue a waiver of their recoupment responsibilities for only certain special separation benefits under the law. In 2023, the Navy authorized reducing the amount of disability pay that is withheld while voluntary separation pay is recouped, Navy spokesperson Charlie Spirtos said.

Persons: “, ”, Vernon Reffitt, recoupments, Terrence Hayes, Shawn Teller, Teller, ” Teller, “ It’s, Reffitt, ‘, Hayes, ” Hayes, Erika Yepsen, Yepsen, recoupment, ” Yepsen, Charlie Spirtos, Marquis Barefield, ” Barefield, Ruben Gallego Organizations: NBC News, Army, U.S . Department of Veterans Affairs, NBC, “, VA, Veterans, Administration, The Air Force, Air Force, Air Force, Navy, Marine Corps, Coast Guard, DAV, American Veterans, ” Veterans, recoupment, RAND Corporation Locations: U.S, Storm, Walnut Creek , California, Twin City , Georgia, United States

☆ Daily Open: Stocks fall; 10-year Treasury yield drops; Apple beats Street while Amazon disappoints
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Kevin Lim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. U.S. stocks retreatU.S. stocks fell sharply on Thursday as weaker-than-expected jobs and manufacturing data sparked concerns about a rapid economic slowdown. Treasurys gainThe benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4% for the first time since February as investors digested weak job numbers and braced for a September rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The 10-year yield last traded at 3.981%, down 12.3 basis points, while the two-year yield eased to 4.156%. Asian stocks tumbleJapanese stocks dropped 5.8% on Friday as Asia-Pacific markets reacted negatively to the sell-off on Wall Street.

Persons: Russell, Tim Cook, CNBC's Steve Kovach, Brian Olsavsky Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Labor Department, Institute for Supply, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Nikkei, SoftBank, Mitsui, Marubeni, CSI, Services, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Olympics, Tech, CNBC Pro Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific

☆ Daily Open: U.S. stocks fall; 10-year Treasury yield drops below 4%; Apple beats Street while Amazon falters
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Kevin Lim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Stocks retreatU.S. stocks fell sharply on Thursday as weaker-than-expected jobs and manufacturing data sparked concerns about a rapid economic slowdown. The 10-year yield last traded at 3.981%, down 12.3 basis points, while the two-year yield eased to 4.156%. Looking ahead, Apple expects services to grow by about 14%. Apple CEO Tim Cook told CNBC's Steve Kovach the company has increased spending on Apple Intelligence to get it ready by fall.

Persons: Russell, Tim Cook, CNBC's Steve Kovach Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Wall, CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Labor Department, Institute for Supply, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Tech, CNBC Pro Locations: New York City, Stocks

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Apple, Amazon, Intel, Snap and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Apple reported fiscal third-quarter earnings of $1.40 per share while analysts polled by LSEG called for $1.35 per share. The company reported weaker-than-expected revenue for the second quarter and issued a disappointing forecast for the third quarter. Revenue in its cloud division increased 19% in the second quarter, beating analysts' estimates, however. In the second quarter, revenue came in at $1.45 billion, slightly above estimates of $1.40 billion, according to LSEG. Gross bookings for the second quarter came in at $41.4 billion, missing consensus estimates of $41.73 billion, per StreetAccount.

Persons: LSEG, DoorDash, Coinbase, Roku, Clorox, Coterra, GoDaddy, FactSet, Gross, —, Sarah Min, Yun Li, Samantha Subin, Tanaya Macheel, Darla Mercado Organizations: Apple Vision, Apple, Intel, Revenue, Management, LSEG, StreetAccount, Coterra Energy, Holdings Locations: Shanghai, China, LSEG .

☆ Stock futures slip after Amazon posts results, traders brace for July payrolls report: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on July 31, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures slid on Thursday night as traders considered fresh results from Amazon and Intel. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures lost 143 points, or 0.4%, and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.8%. Even the small-cap Russell 2000 hasn't been spared from the recent tumult, down about 3.3% in the period and on pace for its worst weekly performance since January. On the earnings front, energy giants Chevron and Exxon Mobil will be announcing their quarterly results Friday before the market open.

Persons: July's, Dow, Quincy Krosby, Arnim Holzer, Russell, " Holzer, hasn't, payrolls, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Amazon, Intel, Investors, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, LPL, EAB Investment, Chevron, Exxon Mobil Locations: New York City . U.S, Thursday's

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Meta Platforms, Qualcomm, Arm Holdings and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Meta Platforms topped revenue and earnings expectations for the recent quarter, posting earnings of $5.16 per share on $39.07 billion in revenue. Qualcomm posted adjusted earnings of $2.33 per share on $9.39 billion in adjusted revenue. Arm forecast adjusted earnings ranging between 23 cents and 27 cents per share for the fiscal second quarter , while analysts called for 27 cents, per LSEG. Kyndryl Holdings posted revenue of $3.74 billion, falling short of the $3.79 billion expected by analysts surveyed by LSEG. Adjusted earnings topped estimates, while revenue came up short of the $4.53 billion expected by analysts polled by LSEG.

Persons: Teladoc, LSEG, Etsy, Lam, C.H, Robinson, —, Alex Harring, Lisa Han, Jesse Pound, Darla Mercado Organizations: Qualcomm, Arm Holdings, Revenue, Cheesecake Factory, eBay, EBay, Western Digital, Lam Research, MGM Resorts, LSEG, Holdings, IBM, Kyndryl Holdings Locations: FactSet

☆ CNBC Daily Open: U.S. stocks little changed ahead of Big Tech earnings, McDonald's misses estimates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Kevin Lim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Treasury yields slipped and U.S. oil prices fell amid increasing tensions between Israel and the Iran-backed militia Hezbollah in Lebanon. McDonald's missMcDonald's quarterly earnings and revenue fell short of analysts' expectations as same-store sales declined globally for the first time since 2020. The fast-food giant's second-quarter net income fell to $2.02 billion from $2.31 billion a year ago, while revenue was nearly flat at $6.49 billion. Bond investors benefit from price appreciation in a falling interest rate environment as bond prices and yields move inversely to each other.

Persons: McDonald's, iPhones, Max, Bitcoin, Donald Trump, Trump, Gary Gensler, Janus Henderson Organizations: CNBC, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Treasury, Hezbollah, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Republican, Bitcoin Conference, Metrics, Securities, Exchange Locations: U.S, Israel, Iran, Lebanon

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Asian shares slide, U.S. stocks flat ahead of Big Tech earnings; McDonald's earnings miss
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Kevin Lim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. McDonald's missMcDonald's quarterly earnings and revenue fell short of analysts' expectations as same-store sales declined globally for the first time since 2020. The fast-food giant's second-quarter net income fell to $2.02 billion from $2.31 billion a year ago, while revenue was nearly flat at $6.49 billion. Asia stocks weakenAsian stocks traded lower as the Bank of Japan began a two-day meeting where it is widely expected to raise benchmark interest rates. Japan central bank meetsThe Bank of Japan began its two-day policy meeting Tuesday amid expectations of an interest rate hike.

Persons: McDonald's, iPhones, Seng, Fortescue, JPMorgan, Yuri Khodjamirian, CNBC's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Dow Jones Industrial, Treasury, Hezbollah, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Max, Bank of Japan, Nikkei, CSI, Australian Financial Review, Tema Locations: U.S, Israel, Iran, Lebanon, Asia, Australia, Japan

☆ Stock futures are flat in overnight trading ahead of key corporate earnings: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Monday as investors awaited key corporate earnings and the beginning of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both traded 0.1% higher. That compares to a five-year average earnings beat rate of 77%. "Both 2024 and 2025 consensus EPS are holding up, with 2024 EPS tracking a typical non-recessionary year revision trend. "Inflation is trending lower, supporting Federal Reserve rate cuts," said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Jerome Powell, Seema Shah Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Merck, Pfizer, PayPal, Procter, Gamble, JetBlue, Microsoft, Devices, Bank of, Fed, Asset Management

☆ Earth’s Hottest Days Ever
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

This past Sunday was the warmest single day ever recorded, according to the Copernicus Climate Change Service, the European Union-funded research organization. That is, until Monday, when global temperatures inched up a bit more. Then Monday became the hottest day in modern history, with an average global temperature of 17.16 Celsius or 62.88 Fahrenheit. The previous record for the planet’s warmest day came last July. “What is truly staggering is how large the difference is between the temperature of the last 13 months and the previous temperature records,” said Carlo Buontempo, director of Copernicus.

Persons: ”, Carlo Buontempo, Copernicus Organizations: European Union

☆ When you're job-seeking, don't think 'I have to send out 100 applications a week,' says expert—do this instead
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( Gili Malinsky | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Altogether, 6.8 million people are out of a job, which means millions are currently looking for their next role. If you're job searching yourself, remember that sending out resumes is only part of the equation. Networking is "one of the most pivotal things you can do," says Jasmine Escalera, career expert at My Perfect Resume. That's because asking people in the field questions one-on-one "helps you understand, what are industry trends that I should be focused on?" It helps you understand, "how do I best market myself to be the individual who can do this job?"

Persons: Jasmine Escalera, you'll Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ Gold prices climb as investors focus on U.S. economic data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday, with investors awaiting U.S. economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve's rate-cut timeline. Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday, with investors awaiting U.S. economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve's rate-cut timeline. Bullion prices scaled an all-time high of $2,483.60 last week amid rising bets of rate cuts. Spot gold may break resistance at $2,417 and bounce further to $2,432, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. "Growth estimates in photovoltaic panel usage have been markedly revised higher, resulting in silver demand draws far exceeding supply.

Persons: Tim Waterer, KCM, Wang Tao Organizations: ANZ, Management Locations: India

☆ Nasdaq futures fall after Alphabet, Tesla report earnings: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City on July 22, 2024. Nasdaq stock futures traded lower Tuesday night after megacap tech companies Alphabet and Tesla reported their second-quarter results. Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 moved down 0.5%, while S&P 500 futures fell 0.4%. Shares of Google parent company Alphabet fell 1.7% in extending trading. Although Alphabet reported a top and bottom line beat, Youtube advertising revenue fell below the consensus estimate.

Persons: Tesla, Dan Greenhaus, Greenhaus, I've Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Google, Dow, Investors, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, Dynamics, Boston Locations: New York City

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Tech rebounds, CrowdStrike tumbles, Wiz rejects Google
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wiz walks awayCloud security startup Wiz rejected a $23 billion acquisition offer from Google, opting instead to pursue an IPO. The move allows Warner Bros. to retain some of its NBA broadcasting rights. However, the NBA may not want Warner Bros. as a media rights partner and could reject the company's matching rights, which could lead to a legal tussle.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Russell, CrowdStrike, George Kurtz, Mark Green, Andrew Garbarino, Wiz, Hai Precision Industry —, Hong Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Tech, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Homeland Security, Microsoft, Delta Air Lines, Google, NBA, Warner Bros, Discovery, National Basketball Association, Amazon Prime, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp, Hai Precision Industry, CSI, U.S Locations: New York City, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Taiwan

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Wall Street looks past political uncertainty
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Tech reboundThe S&P 500 posted its biggest gain since June 5, recovering from its worst weekly slide since April, as tech stocks rebounded led by Nvidia. The move allows Warner Bros. to retain some of its NBA broadcasting rights. However, the NBA may not want Warner Bros. as a media rights partner and could reject the company's matching rights, which could lead to a legal tussle.

Persons: Russell, CrowdStrike, George Kurtz, Mark Green, Andrew Garbarino, Berkshire Hathaway, Walter Cho, Joe Biden's, Kamala Harris Organizations: CNBC, Tech, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Homeland Security, Microsoft, Delta Air Lines, Buffett, Warren, Bank of America, Apple, Boeing, Korean Air, Farnborough, NBA, Warner Bros, Discovery, National Basketball Association, Amazon Prime, Trump Locations: U.S, Berkshire

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