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Yen drops to 38-year low, U.S. dollar slumps after weak data
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
A report indicating that the U.S. services sector contracted last month and factory orders fell also weighed on the dollar. The dollar was last up 0.1% at 161.64, after earlier falling to a session low below 161 following weak U.S. data. The yen also hit an all-time low of 174.48 against the euro . The euro rose to a three-week high against the dollar, and was last up 0.3% at $1.0781. Further pressuring the dollar was a weak U.S. services report from the Institute for Supply Management.
Persons: Sterling, Helen, , Shunichi Suzuki, Jonas Goltermann, nonfarm Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Monex USA, U.S, Finance, ADP, Reuters, Capital Economics, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Fed Locations: United States, Washington ., U.S
Gold inches up after weak data fuels U.S. rate cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices drifted higher on Thursday after softer-than-expected U.S. economic data fueled hopes that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates as soon as September. Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,362.10 per ounce, as of 0200 GMT after hitting a near two-week high in the previous session. U.S. economic data on Wednesday, including a weak services and ADP employment reports, showed a slowing economy. "A softer-than-expected ISM services report was the gift that Fed doves have been waiting for ahead of a NFP. Markets are now pricing in a 74% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates at its September meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Federal, Traders, NFP, U.S Locations: U.S
Euro rises after France's first-round vote, yen struggles
  + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The euro rose on Monday after the first round of France's snap election put the far-right in pole position, though by a smaller margin than projected, while a downgrade to Japan's first-quarter growth figures knocked the yen lower. "They (RN) have actually performed a little bit worse than what was expected," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. The yen struggled to gain ground against a broadly weaker dollar, and was last 0.05% lower at 160.93 per dollar. That could lead to a cut to the Bank of Japan's growth forecasts in fresh quarterly projections due later this month and affect the timing of its next interest rate hike, analysts said. Elsewhere in Asia, the Chinese yuan - also a victim of stark interest rate differentials with the U.S. - was last 0.02% higher at 7.2981 per dollar in the offshore market.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Carol Kong, Michael Brown, CBA's Organizations: Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Reserve, New Zealand, Bank of, U.S Locations: Japan, Asia
Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Friday as investors assessed key economic data out of Japan and awaited U.S. inflation reading due later in the day. The core inflation rate —which strips out prices of fresh food — rose to 2.1% from 1.9% in May. Tokyo inflation data is widely considered to be a leading indicator for nationwide trends. The country's industrial production grew 2.8% month on month in May, beating expectations of 2% from economists polled by Reuters. On a year-on-year basis, industrial production rose 0.3%.
Persons: April's Organizations: Reuters Locations: Asia, Pacific, Japan, Tokyo, South Korea, Korea
Battered yen pinned near multi-decade low amid resilient dollar
  + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The yen languished near a 38-year low on Thursday and struggled on the weaker side of 160 per dollar, keeping markets on alert for any signs of intervention from Japanese authorities to prop up the currency. The yen languished near a 38-year low on Thursday and struggled on the weaker side of 160 per dollar, keeping markets on alert for any signs of intervention from Japanese authorities to prop up the currency. In the broader market, the dollar was on the front foot and stood near an eight-week high against a basket of currencies, helped in part by a weaker yen and as it rose in step with U.S. Treasury yields. In a carry trade, an investor borrows in a currency with low interest rates and invests the proceeds in higher-yielding assets. Analysts said while the risk of intervention has increased, Japanese authorities could be holding out for Friday's release of the U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index before entering the market.
Persons: Boris Kovacevic Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Ministry of Finance Locations: Japan, Tokyo
Persistent weakness in the yen is raising concerns about the potential for a resurgence in cost-push inflation, likely weighing on private consumption. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe Japanese yen hit a near-38 year low against the U.S. dollar late Wednesday, raising expectations that authorities could intervene in currency markets again. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconThe last time the yen crossed the 160 level, the currency subsequently strengthened sharply during the trading session, prompting analysts to speculate about an intervention. Japan's Ministry of Finance later confirmed the intervention in May, saying that it had spent 9.7885 trillion yen ($62.25 billion) on currency intervention between April 26 and May 29, according to a Google-translated statement. That was the first time that the Japanese government has undertaken such a market measure since October 2022, according to ministry records.
Organizations: National Printing Bureau, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S ., Japan's Ministry of Finance Locations: National Printing Bureau Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
A bank employee count China’s renminbi (RMB) or yuan notes next to U.S. dollar notes at a Kasikornbank in Bangkok, Thailand, January 26, 2023. Beijing has long touted its ambitions for increasing global use of the Chinese yuan — also known as the "renminbi" or "RMB" — in an international financial market where the U.S. dollar is the dominant currency. watch nowLast year, the HKEX announced a "Dual-Counter" program that allows investors to trade Hong Kong-listed securities in Hong Kong dollars or Chinese yuan. The euro was slightly higher at 5.6%, while the U.S. dollar dominated with a nearly 85% share, the data showed. A maturing financial marketDeveloping more Chinese yuan-denominated investment products also requires a maturation of the local financial sector.
Persons: China’s renminbi, Athit Perawongmetha, Bonnie Chan, Chan, We're, SWIFT, Fred Hu, Hu, it's, Patience, Kenny Lam Organizations: Reuters, Hong Kong Exchanges, U.S ., International Monetary Fund, U.S, Primavera Capital, Sigma Asia Locations: U.S, Bangkok, Thailand, Reuters DALIAN, China, Beijing, Russia, Dalian, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Pacific
Oil extends losses as strong dollar weighs on commodities markets
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Oil prices fell in early Asian trade on Monday for a second straight session, weighed down by a stronger dollar after concerns of higher-for-longer interest rates resurfaced and cooled investors' risk appetite. Brent crude futures slid 40 cents, or 0.5%, to $84.84 a barrel by 0036 GMT, after settling down 0.6% on Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $80.34 a barrel, down 39 cents, or 0.5%. In Ecuador, state oil company Petroecuador has declared force majeure over deliveries of Napo heavy crude for exports following the shutdown of a key pipeline and oil wells due to heavy rains, sources said on Friday. In the U.S., operating oil rigs fell three to 485 last week, their lowest since January 2022, Baker Hughes said in its report on Friday.
Persons: Brent, Tony Sycamore, Petroecuador, Baker Hughes Organizations: Midland, . West Texas, U.S, PMI, IG, greenback, ANZ Locations: Odessa, Texas, Sydney, U.S, Gaza, Ecuador
Saudi Arabia has not renewed a deal that ensures the use of US dollars in the oil trade. The end of this "petrodollar" agreement will dent dollar dominance, the Atlantic Council wrote. This month, Saudi Arabia did not renew a 1974 accord that mandates the exclusive use of greenbacks when selling its crude oil. What's more, US dependence on Saudi oil has slid considerably, given a historic explosion in US domestic production. "China has become Saudi Arabia's largest oil customer, accounting for more than 20% of the kingdom's oil exports.
Persons: , nonresident, Hung Tran, Tran, What's Organizations: Atlantic Council, Service, Saudi Locations: Saudi Arabia, Europe, American, China, Saudi, Beijing, Riyadh
Sterling steady ahead of BoE decision; dollar wobbles against yen
  + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The British pound held broadly steady on Thursday ahead of a rate decision from the Bank of England later in the day, while the dollar was on the back foot as it awaited fresh market catalysts. The British pound held broadly steady on Thursday ahead of a rate decision from the Bank of England later in the day, while the dollar was on the back foot as it awaited fresh market catalysts. Sterling last bought $1.2719 after having eked out a slight gain in the previous session, while the euro rose 0.03% to $1.0747. The dollar slipped 0.05% against the yen to 157.99, though the Japanese currency remained not too far from an over one-month low of 158.255 per dollar hit last week. The BoE is widely expected to keep rates steady on Thursday, and the focus will be on any guidance on how soon an easing cycle could begin.
Persons: BoE, Tony Sycamore, Rodrigo Catril Organizations: Bank of England, Sterling, Wednesday, IG, Swiss National Bank, Swiss, National Australia Bank, New Zealand Locations: United States, Switzerland, Norway, France
Dollar firm as euro wallows; yuan brushes aside China data
  + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was firm on Monday as the euro hovered near a more than one-month low amid continued concerns about the political outlook in Europe. The yuan held close to a multi-month low after China released a slew of economic data that pointed to an uneven recovery in the world's second-largest economy. A Reuters poll published last week showed 63 of 65 economists thought a first cut would not come until Aug. 1. Elsewhere, the yuan was mostly flat at 7.2550 per dollar after domestic data showed a mixed economic picture in China. China's central bank left a key policy rate unchanged as expected on Monday as the weak yuan continued to hamper policy easing.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron's, Matt Simpson, Neel Kashkari, Index's Simpson, Sterling, Kazuo Ueda, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Gazprom, European Central Bank, Reuters, Index, . Minneapolis Federal, Bank of England, Bank of Japan Locations: Poland, Bulgaria, Europe, China, U.S
Yen on guard ahead of BOJ; euro stutters with weekly loss in sight
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was a touch weaker at 157.08 per dollar and on track for a marginal weekly loss of about 0.2%, though moves were largely subdued ahead of the conclusion of the BOJ's two-day monetary policy meeting later on Friday. The euro was little changed at $1.0737, and was poised for a weekly loss of roughly 0.6%. Against the British pound, the euro was last languishing near a 22-month low and staring at a weekly decline of 0.9%.
Persons: Ray Attrill, Wall, Powell, Jean Boivin, Emmanuel Macron's, Macron, France's, Erik, Jan van Harn Organizations: Bank of, National Australia Bank, New Zealand, Federal Reserve, BlackRock Investment Institute, Fed, Aussie, Rabobank Locations: Bank of Japan, BlackRock
Russia's Moscow Exchange halted dollar and euro trading on Thursday. AdvertisementRussia's central exchange has barred dollar and euro trading, spelling an end to a market that's been open since the Cold War. Trades were halted Thursday on the Moscow Exchange after it became one of many targets of an expansive new US sanctions package. The latest sanctions are part of a US effort to sever Russia from foreign financial support, taking aim at virtually any global lender that transacts with Moscow. Last month, the yuan made up over half of foreign currency trades in Russia, the FT reported.
Persons: That's, , Moex Organizations: Russia's, Russia's Moscow Exchange, US, Service, Clearing Center, Settlement Depository, Financial Times, Bloomberg Locations: Russia's Moscow, Moscow, Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Beijing
Read previewThe US dollar is in a state of "stealth erosion," the International Monetary Fund, or IMF, wrote in a report on Tuesday. This effect masked the shift of central banks and governments out of dollar reserves. Instead, the shares of "non-traditional reserve currencies" have risen, according to the IMF. These include the Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, Chinese renminbi, South Korean won, Singaporean dollar, and Nordic currencies. AdvertisementThe dollar's decline in FX reserves doesn't appear to be about sanctionsThe IMF's report comes amid ongoing discussions about de-dollarization.
Persons: Organizations: Service, International Monetary Fund, Business, US Federal Reserve, IMF, Canadian, South Korean, greenback Locations: Russia, Moscow, Ukraine
Economists polled by Reuters expect headline consumer price inflation to ease to 0.1% from 0.3% last month, and core price inflation to remain steady on the month at 0.3%. Powell is likely to strike a relatively dovish tone at the press conference, however, given disappointing growth indicators since the last Fed meeting, Williams said. Japanese wholesale prices rose 2.4% in the year to May, Bank of Japan data showed on Wednesday, beating market forecasts for a 2% increase. The yen held steady at 157.16 per greenback after slipping to its lowest since June 3 at 157.40 the previous day. While Japan's central bank will likely discuss bond buying cuts to pre-empt yen selling pressure, dollar/volatility this week largely depend on Wednesday's U.S. CPI and Fed meeting, he added.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Kieran Williams, Powell, Williams, Emmanuel Macron's, Sterling, Wei Liang Chang, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Consumer, Fed, Reuters, Asia FX, InTouch, Bank of Japan, Bank of, DBS, CPI Locations: Czech, U.S, Asia, Bank of Japan
A group of emerging countries are planning a payments platform to bypass the US dollar, Lavrov announced. The initiative follows a BRICS summit call for trade in national currencies. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementA group of major emerging countries is working on a way around the dollar — but they face an uphill battle to diminish the greenback's dominance. On Monday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said BRICS countries are developing a payments platform that will allow them to bypass the US dollar, per TASS, a state news agency.
Persons: Lavrov, , Sergey Lavrov, South Africa — Organizations: Kazan, Service, Russian, Business Locations: Johannesburg, Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa
The US can counter de-dollarization efforts, a think tank expert says. Currency experts have sounded the alarm on what it could mean for the dollar hegemony in global trade and finance. To that end, the US should look to prevent counter-coalitions from forming, and do so by seeking out healthy foreign policy and positive trade partnerships, she said. To prevent the trend from accelerating further, the US should also actively pursue dollar stability through tech-based financial solutions, such as developments in digital payments. The same argument was posed by two other think tank experts on Monday, who warned that internal US dysfunction was the real threat to the dollar.
Persons: , Carla Norrlöf, Norrlöf, it's, dollarization Organizations: Service, greenback, Project Syndicate, Atlantic Council Locations: Russia, China, Washington
Foreign de-dollarization efforts are unlikely to spur the greenback's demise. Instead, internal dysfunction could cut into the dollar's dominance, two think tank experts wrote in the FT.That's because the US's global and economic power are the basis for the currency's might. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementWhile they've grabbed a lot of attention, foreign efforts to advance the trend are questionable at best, Kamin and Sobel wrote. Amplifying de-dollarization is rising trade protectionism and the potential for unilateral financial sanctions.
Persons: , Steven B, Kamin, Mark Sobel, they've, Sobel, bode Organizations: Service, Financial Times Locations: Russia, Ukraine
If you're living and working abroad and still need to file 2023 taxes, the deadline is only one week away. While the regular tax deadline was April 15 for most taxpayers, there's an automatic two-month extension to June 17 for those U.S. citizens and resident aliens, including dual citizens, who live outside the country. There are two ways to qualify for the June 17 deadline, according to the IRS. You must live outside of the U.S. and Puerto Rico or serve in the military outside the country during the regular tax deadline. The "fastest and easiest" ways to make payments are via an IRS Online Account, Direct Pay and the Electronic Federal Tax Payment System, according to the IRS.
Persons: John Lennon, Mike Wallace Organizations: Finance, Biden, Trump, IRS, Tax Services, Electronic Locations: Puerto Rico
Oil slips on dollar's strength from U.S. jobs data
  + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Oil wells are seen at an oil facility by the Highway 5 near Bakersfield in California, U.S. on Nov. 27, 2022. Oil prices nudged lower for a second straight session on Monday, weighed down by a firmer dollar as expectations of interest rate cuts were pushed out further following strong U.S. jobs data on Friday. On Friday, data showed the U.S. added more jobs than expected last month, leading investors to trim expectations for rate cuts and causing the dollar to rally. In the U.S., Washington stepped up purchasing of crude oil to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve after prices fell. Last week, U.S. energy firms cut the number of oil and natural gas rigs operating to the lowest since January 2022, energy services firm Baker Hughes said on Friday.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Le, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Brent, WTI, FGE, Washington, Baker Hughes, Hayan Abdel, Ghani Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, greenback, European Union, IG, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Organization of, Petroleum, bbl, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Iraq's Oil Locations: Bakersfield, California, U.S, European, Sydney, OPEC, Kurdistan, Iraq, Turkey
U.S. dollar drifts higher from multi-month lows, yen gains
  + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Job openings, a measure of labor demand, were down 296,000 to 8.059 million on the last day of April, the lowest since February 2021. Market participants had their focus on the JOLTS data ahead of Friday's U.S. job report, which is expected to show 185,000 new jobs created in May, up from 175,000 in April. "Certainly we had the JOLTS data which was pretty weak. The JOLTS report followed data on Monday showing a second straight month of slowdown in manufacturing activity and an unexpected decline in construction spending. In afternoon trading, the dollar index was up 0.1% at 104.12, having fallen to its lowest since mid-April overnight at 103.99.
Persons: Eugene Epstein, Epstein Organizations: U.S, Swiss, Labor, Survey, Federal Reserve, North America, European Central Bank, Bank of Canada, BoC, BOC, ECB Locations: Friday's, Moneycorp, New Jersey
The emergence of new regional payment systems likely won't spur de-dollarization, OMFIF said. According to commentary published Thursday, obstacles are already afflicting new regional payment systems, even as de-dollarization rhetoric creeps up. AdvertisementMeanwhile, efforts to assemble regional financial systems have delivered the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System, OMFIF cited as one example. For instance, it's even launched its own payments infrastructure, the Cross-border Interbank Payment System. But China's efforts to create an alternative system are a defensive ploy for now, OMFIF wrote in a separate note from May.
Persons: OMFIF, , Julian Jacobs, it's, That's, Zoe Liu Organizations: Service, Monetary, Financial, Forum, United Arab, China, Foreign Relations Locations: China , Hong Kong, United Arab Emirates, Thailand, Russia, Ukraine, Beijing, Taiwan
The investing environment is loaded with risks, according to top forecaster Gary Shilling. AdvertisementStock market investors are facing the risk of huge losses as the economy slows, and there are five rules they should follow to prepare for future headwinds, according to elite forecaster Gary Shilling. The stock market's setup also looks troubling. Shilling has advised investors in Chinese stocks to switch to Indian assets for months, citing factors like better economic growth prospects and population growth. AdvertisementShilling has maintained a notably bearish view on stocks and the economy, despite more investors warming up to the possibility of soft landing.
Persons: Gary Shilling, , Shilling, Steer Organizations: Service, Stock, Reserve, Nvidia Locations: China, India
Bad economic news so far has been mostly positive for the stock market, as investors worry over whether the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates. The greenback often rises on bad news as investors seek the safety of cash and equivalents, while the stock market gains on good news. .SPX .DXY line 2024-04-01 Stocks vs. the dollar At the same time, economic data has generally deteriorated, or at least not met Wall Street forecasts. For the most part, bad economic news likely could help convince the Fed that the time is right to start lowering interest rates. Based on the prior two months, the unemployment rate would have to rise to 4.3% in May for that to happen.
Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon, Dow Jones, Claudia Sahm, BofA Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Citi, Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New Century Advisors
Dollar steadies before inflation test; yen brushes off Tokyo CPI
  + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was licking wounds against peer currencies on Friday after a downward revision to U.S. GDP for the first quarter suggested room for rate cuts this year, while investors braced for inflation data. The dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, consolidated around 104.82 after dipping as low as 104.63 overnight. Softer U.S. consumer price inflation data earlier in May rekindled rate cut expectations for this year, weakening the dollar across the board and setting it on track to post its first monthly losses in 2024. "All told, the Tokyo CPI leaves us confident that nationwide underlying inflation will fall below 2% as soon as July." Price data for the euro zone is due on Friday, following a stronger-than-expected April inflation reading for Germany on Wednesday.
Persons: John Williams, Matt Simpson, Index's Simpson, Marcel Thieliant, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Treasury, greenback, New York Fed, Index, PCE, Capital Economics, Japan's Ministry of Finance, Germany Locations: U.S, Tokyo, Asia
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