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☆ Stocks surge, dollar slumps as traders cheer inflation surprise
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Overnight the Nasdaq (.IXIC) jumped 2.4%, bonds surged and the dollar slumped more than 1.6% on the euro. Yields fall when bond prices climb. In foreign exchange trade, the dollar suffered its heaviest selling in 12 months, with the sharpest losses against risk-sensitive currencies such as the Australian dollar. In Japan, the Bank of Japan stepped back and pared its regular bond buying as markets rallied. Ten-year Japanese government bond yields hit a one-month low of 0.775%.

Persons: Androniki, Sam Rines, Chetan Seth, Brent Donnelly, Tom Westbrook, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Federal, CPI, Japan's Nikkei, New Zealand, Nomura, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Texas, U.S, Canada

☆ Here’s the inflation breakdown for October 2023 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed aims for a 2% annual inflation rate over the long term. Gasoline prices fell in OctoberWhat's happening under the surfaceEnergy prices can whipsaw inflation readings due to their volatility. That's why economists like to look at a measure that strips out these prices when assessing underlying inflation trends. This pared-down measure — known as the "core" CPI — fell to an annual rate of 4% in October from 4.1% in September. Housing inflation declined in October, to 6.7% relative to a year earlier, and has fallen from a peak over 8% in March 2023, according to BLS data.

Persons: Joe Biden, David Paul Morris, Sarah House, Mark Zandi, Zandi, It's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty Images Bloomberg, Getty, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Moody's, CPI, BLS Locations: Hercules , California, U.S, Wells Fargo, American, Russia, Ukraine

☆ US consumer prices unchanged; core inflation slowing
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Grocery food inflation increased 0.3%, driven by gains in the prices of meat, fish and eggs. Reuters GraphicsGOODS DEFLATIONExcluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI increased 0.2% amid higher costs for rental housing. Health insurance costs rebounded as the BLS implemented changes to the methodology it uses to calculate health insurance prices, effective with October's CPI release. The old method was based on an annual calculation using aggregated health insurance premium and benefit data. There were concerns about the volatility in the annual data and the lag involved in incorporating the health insurance financial data.

Persons: Bing Guan, Christopher Rupkey, Jerome Powell, Powell, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Tuesday, Treasury, Reuters, Fed, CPI, Thomson Locations: SoHo, New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON

☆ Stock futures tick higher after S&P 500 and Nasdaq post best day since April: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock exchange during morning trading on November 10, 2023 in New York City. U.S. stock futures ticked higher on Tuesday night. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures climbed 47 points, or 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures also advanced 0.2%. "Even a small dip in mortgage rates was enough to provide that pop in mortgage application demand last week, and a fall in long rates spurs mortgage demand and keeps upward pressure on housing prices. I think that's why they, in theory, want to hold [rates] higher for longer," he said.

Persons: Joe Biden, Dow, Dow Jones, Ross Mayfield, Mayfield, CNBC's Chelsey Cox Organizations: New York Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Senate, Investors, Federal Reserve, Baird, Target, Traders Locations: New York City . U.S, U.S

☆ UBS sees a raft of Fed rate cuts next year on the back of a U.S. recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Meanwhile, the bank's economists suggested that "fewer of the supports for growth that enabled 2023 to overcome those obstacles will continue in 2024." Between March 2022 and July 2023, the FOMC enacted a run of 11 rate hikes to take the Fed funds rate from a target range of 0.25-0.5% to 5.25-5.5%. The bank believes this has renewed growth concerns and shows the economy is "not out of the woods yet." watch now"In our view, the private sector looks less insulated from the FOMC's rate hikes next year. Looking ahead, we expect substantially slower growth in 2024, a rising unemployment rate, and meaningful reductions in the federal funds rate, with the target range ending the year between 2.50% and 2.75%."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Evelyn Hockstein, Arend, You've, CNBC's Joumanna Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Reuters UBS, U.S . Federal Reserve, UBS, Labor, CNBC, UBS European Conference Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Swiss, Europe

☆ The Fed will shift to 'full-on accommodation' mode in 2024 with nearly 3 percentage points of rate cuts as economy slows, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Federal Reserve is set to shock markets with aggressive interest rate cuts next year, according to UBS. UBS said slow economic growth will drive the Fed to cut rates by 275 basis points by the end of 2024. "We expect substantially slower growth in 2024, a rising unemployment rate, and meaningful reductions in the federal funds rate," UBS said. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe Federal Reserve is going to shock investors next year by aggressively cutting interest rates amid a slowing economy, according to UBS' 2024 economic outlook. UBS said it expects the Fed to cut rates by 275 basis points, leaving the effective federal funds rate at 2.50%-2.75%.

Persons: — Organizations: Federal, UBS, Service, Fed, CME Locations: Washington, DC

☆ Euro zone should not ease bank buffers, ECB says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

European Central Bank (ECB) Vice-President Luis de Guindos arrives at the Presidential Palace for a meeting with Cyprus President Nikos Christodoulides in Nicosia, Cyprus, October 4, 2023. REUTERS/Yiannis Kourtoglou/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsFRANKFURT, Nov 13 (Reuters) - Euro zone economic growth will remain weak in the near term as services and the labour market weaken but nations in the bloc should not free discretionary bank buffers to ease the pain, European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said. A potential concern is that the euro zone economy has been broadly stagnating all year and any recovery next year will be shallow, keeping growth below 1%. "It is likely that the euro area economy will remain subdued in the near term." On the prospects for interest rates, de Guindos said the ECB would have more information in December "to reassess the inflation outlook and required policy action".

Persons: Luis de Guindos, Nikos Christodoulides, Yiannis, de Guindos, Guindos, Balazs Koranyi, Francesco Canepa, Emelia Sithole Organizations: European Central Bank, Cyprus, REUTERS, Rights, ECB, Thomson Locations: Nicosia, Cyprus, Germany, France, Netherlands

Lending data from China's central bank offers a glimpse of government priorities: as of the end of September, outstanding loans to the troubled property sector fell 0.2% year-on-year but lending to the manufacturing sector jumped 38.2%. This time, the government's focus is narrower, targeting high-tech and "advanced manufacturing", a goal laid out in 2021 in the 14th five-year plan. It grew 11.3% in the first nine months of 2023 year-on-year, compared with 6.3% for overall manufacturing investment, according to data from China's National Bureau of Statistics. For example, Guangdong province has increased lending to both high-tech and advanced manufacturing by about 45%, state media reported. During the first half of 2023, outstanding loans to the high-tech manufacturing sector in the eastern province of Shandong jumped 67%.

Persons: Jens Eskelund, Eskelund, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden, Frederic Neumann, Neumann, Tao Wang, Wang, Fu, Lu Zhengwei, Siyi Liu, Kripa Jayaram, Robert Birsel Organizations: Rights, European Chamber of Commerce, Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation, U.S, Reuters Graphics, overcapacity, HSBC, UBS, China's National Bureau of Statistics, Rystad Energy, EV, China Passenger Car Association, Bank, Industrial Bank, Thomson Locations: Suqian, Jiangsu province, China, CHINA, Rights BEIJING, Europe, Beijing, San Francisco, Xi, Asia, Guangdong province, Shandong, Dongguan, Shanghai

☆ China's consumer prices dip back into decline amid limp demand
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

BEIJING, Nov 9 (Reuters) - China's consumer prices swung back into contraction and factory-gate deflation persisted in October as domestic demand struggled, weighing on the outlook for any broader-based recovery in the world's second-largest economy. The headline figure was dragged by a further slump in pork prices, down 30.1%, speeding up from a 22% slide in September, amid an oversupply of pigs and weak demand. Consumer prices slipped into deflation in July and returned to positive territory in August but were flat in September. "The data shows combating persistent disinflation amid weak demand remains a challenge for Chinese policymakers," said Bruce Pang, chief economist at Jones Lang Lasalle. "We expect China's economy to grow by 5.0% in 2023, in accordance with the target set by authorities, followed by 4.0% growth in 2024 and 2025," said Moody's on Thursday.

Persons: China's, Bruce Pang, Jones Lang Lasalle, Gao, Ella Cao, Ryan Woo, Sam Holmes Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Jones, Authorities, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing, West

Nov 9 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Producer and consumer price inflation figures will be released, the highlights of a regional calendar that also includes Japanese bank lending, trade and current account figures, Indonesian retail sales, and Philippines GDP. Global yields are moving too - the 10-year Japanese Government Bond yield is back below 0.85%, having come within two basis points of 1% last week. The decline in U.S. bond yields is removing some of the dollar's shine, which in turn is allowing Asian currencies to fight back. Yen traders on Thursday are also eyeing Japanese bank lending figures for October and September's trade and current account report.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Pan Gongsheng, Ping, Fed's Powell, Josie Kao Organizations: Treasury, People's Bank of China, Financial, Ping An Insurance Group, Reuters, Nissan, Honda, Sony, Group, China PPI, CPI, Thomson Locations: Asia, Philippines, Beijing, China's, Japan, Philippine, China

☆ Central banks look to have hit peak rates. Here's how markets think they'll come down
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Bank of England dramatically hiked rates over the last 18 months in a bid to tame runaway inflation. Reid also highlighted that this is the seventh time this cycle that markets have notably reacted on dovish speculation. "Clearly rates aren't going to keep going up forever, but on the previous 6 occasions we saw hopes for near-term rate cuts dashed every time. In clear, waiting for inflation to reach 2% before cutting rates would be 'overkill,'" Moëc said. However, minutes from last week's meeting reiterated the Monetary Policy Committee's expectations that rates will need to stay higher for longer, with U.K. CPI holding steady at 6.7% in September.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, nonfarm payrolls, DBRS Morningstar, Jim Reid chalked, Reid, we've, Gilles Moëc, Moëc, Christine Lagarde, Yannis Stournaras Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of, Fed, PCE, DBRS, Deutsche Bank, ECB, AXA, National Bank of Greece, of, Bank of England, CPI, BNP Locations: New York City, Bank of England, U.S, Europe

☆ Brazil cenbank cuts rates, with more likely to come, but flags 'adverse' backdrop
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Marcela Ayres | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The bank's rate-setting committee, known as Copom, unanimously reduced its Selic benchmark interest rate to 12.25%, a move expected by all 40 economists polled by Reuters. However, despite its expectation of keeping its pace of rate cuts, the bank mentioned an "adverse" global outlook that "requires caution on the conduct of monetary policy." The prospect of higher long-term U.S. interest rates has led to a tightening of global liquidity and strengthening of the dollar, adding to inflation pressures in emerging markets like Brazil. In its statement, the central bank also highlighted the persistence of elevated core inflation in several countries, alongside emerging geopolitical tensions following the outbreak of the Israel-Palestine conflict. The inflation target for the upcoming year and beyond stands at 3%, with the same tolerance interval.

Persons: Daniel Cunha, Luiz Inacio Lula da, Lula, Marcela Ayres, Diane Craft Organizations: Reuters, Thomson Locations: BRASILIA, Brazil, Israel, Palestine

ECB chief Christine Lagarde may stick with the high-for-longer mantra that has pushed up long-dated bond yields. A weakening economy meanwhile suggests the need for further tightening is limited but the ECB is likely to push back against rate-cut speculation. ECB chief economist Philip Lane says the ECB will need time, possibly until next spring, before it can be confident that inflation is coming down. The ECB expects headline inflation to ease to 3.2% in 2024 from an average of 5.6% in 2023. Oil price moves, inflation outlook shifts4/ What does the ECB do if things go wrong with Italy?

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Johanna Geron, Francis Yared, Philip Lane, Lagarde, PEPP, Reinhard Cluse, Chris Jeffrey, Cluse, ING's Brzeski, Dhara Ranasinghe, Stefano Rebaudo, Naomi Rovnick, Susan Fenton Organizations: European Central Bank, Parliament's, Economic, Monetary Affairs, REUTERS, ECB, Deutsche Bank, Reuters Graphics Reuters, UBS, Reuters, Legal, General Investment Management, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Brussels, Belgium, Europe, United States, Italy, Germany

Electronic boards showing stock information are pictured at the stock market, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, November 5, 2020. "Such an escalation could lead to increased oil prices, concerns about oil supply, and the potential for a global economic downturn." In the unlikely event the United States sends troops into the Middle East, Belote expected a $20 jump in oil prices, "if not more". "Israel has better relations with other Arab countries compared to then," JP Morgan private bank strategist Madison Faller said in a note, "and global oil supply is not as concentrated." Reuters Graphics5/ TECH JITTERSWhat's good for oil stocks can be bad for big tech.

Persons: Abdel Hadi Ramahi, Hamza Meddeb, Malcolm H, Brent Belote, Belote, JP, Madison Faller, Nadia Martin Wiggen, Alessia Berardi, Amundi's Berardi, Trevor Greetham, Morgan Stanley, Jeff, London's Greetham, Naomi Rovnick, Nell Mackenzie, Marc Jones, Dhara Ranasinghe, Sharon Singleton Organizations: United Arab Emirates, REUTERS, Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center, Oil, JP Morgan, Svelland, Reuters Graphics Reuters, U.S, Reuters, Swiss, Royal, Aegon, Deutsche Bank, Aerospace, Thomson Locations: Dubai, United Arab, Israel, Gaza, Beirut, IRAN, Iran, U.S, United States, Arab, Turkey, Ukraine, Egypt, Jordan, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, Suez, London

☆ VIEW Canada's annual inflation cools in September
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

TORONTO, Oct 17 (Reuters) - Canada's annual inflation rate edged down to 3.8% in September on broad-based price reductions for some travel-related services, durable goods and groceries, Statistics Canada said on Tuesday. This beat analysts' expectations for annual inflation to remain at 4.0%. "It's pretty clear that (the central bank) won't be raising rates in my opinion in October. I think if we had gotten another inflation print like August in September - that was the big risk to have another hike. DEREK HOLT, VICE PRESIDENT OF CAPITAL MARKETS ECONOMICS AT SCOTIABANK"I think on a trend basis, the Bank of Canada is behind the inflation wage cycles.

Persons: CLAIRE FAN, MICHAEL GREENBERG, FRANKLIN TEMPLETON, JULES BOUDREAU, MACKENZIE, There's, They'll, DEREK HOLT, Divya Rajagopal, Steve Scherer, Fergal Smith, Denny Thomas Organizations: TORONTO, Statistics, ROYAL BANK, CANADA, Bank of Canada, Business Outlook Survey, ECONOMICS, SCOTIABANK, Thomson Locations: Statistics Canada

☆ Former Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart: There's a disinflationary trend underway
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart: There's a disinflationary trend underwayFormer Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's rate hike campaign, whether the slowdown in inflation is a trend or momentary blip, the state of the economy, rate path outlook, and more.

Persons: Dennis Lockhart, There's Organizations: Former Atlanta Fed, Atlanta Fed

☆ Inflation held steady in September as housing and gas prices keep going up
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

That's the same as the year-over-year increase of 3.7% in August. Core CPI increased 4.1% from September 2022 to September this year. AdvertisementAdvertisementInflation is still elevated and held steady in September, based on Consumer Price Index or CPI data out Thursday. The year-over-year increase in this index had been falling, based on data before Thursday's data release. AdvertisementAdvertisementCore CPI index increased 0.3% from August to September.

Persons: —, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter, Pollak, Price, Gregory Daco Organizations: Service, Consumer, Index, CPI, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, payrolls

☆ US wholesale inflation heated up last month amid higher gas prices
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Minneapolis CNN —Wholesale price increases of US goods and services jumped higher for a third consecutive month, influenced by still-high energy prices, according to data released Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. September’s overall increase was driven by a 0.9% gain in goods prices due to higher energy prices and food prices, BLS data shows. Gas prices hit new yearly highs in September, as oil prices pushed past $92 a barrel amid supply cuts and catastrophic flooding in Libya. The higher gas prices seen in August and September may filter through to some products and services but shouldn’t ultimately keep inflation higher in the months to come, said Stuart Hoffman, PNC Financial Services’ senior economic adviser. However, the Israel and Hamas war in the Middle East does add volatility to energy prices, he said.

Persons: Price, ”, Gregory Daco, Jerome Powell, Chris Rupkey, FwdBonds, shouldn’t, Stuart Hoffman, ” Hoffman Organizations: Minneapolis CNN —, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, PPI, PNC Financial Services Locations: Minneapolis, August’s, Libya, Israel

Israel responded with a declaration of war and a strong military response in the Gaza Strip, home to 2 million Palestinians. President Joe Biden ordered a U.S. naval carrier strike group to the region after pledging full support to Israel. Biden on Sunday spoke with Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, and pledged the full support of the U.S., including military assistance. “Geopolitical risks are back in focus amid the attack in Israel on Saturday,” said James Demmert, chief investment officer at Main Street Research. Key data on U.S. inflation is due to be released Wednesday with the producer price index and then Thursday with the consumer price index.

Persons: Joe Biden, Yoav Gallant, Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, ”, James Demmert, Tony Welch, “ It’s, Dan Swan, Swan, ” Swan, “, Kevin McCarthy Organizations: Israeli, Main, Research, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Fed, McKinsey, “ Airlines, Rep Locations: Israel, Gaza, U.S, New York, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Washington

Oct 6 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. A batch of data from Japan includes household spending and consumption figures, leading indicators, and the latest foreign exchange reserves. But Bank of Japan money market data indicates that the yen's jump on Tuesday was not the product of yen-buying intervention. The big policy event in Asia will be the Reserve Bank of India's interest rate decision, and more importantly, its guidance. The rupee goes into the meeting trading at 83.00 per dollar, right down at August's record low 83.45 per dollar.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, payrolls Organizations: Bank, Reserve Bank, U.S, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Japan, Asia, U.S, India

"It's not going to be a matter of struggling to get the inflation rate higher. While higher interest rates are good news for savers, businesses and consumers have become used to paying nothing for money over the past 15 years. Reuters GraphicsREADING YIELDSA market-based Fed model that breaks down the 10-year Treasury yield into its components provides further insight into investors' thinking. This rise in term premium, which spent much of the last decade below zero, reflects high levels of uncertainty about economic outlook and monetary policy, investors said. While the market appears to be confident in its belief in the end of the era of zero interest rates, it is far less so about the economy's actual likely path.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Greg Whiteley, It's, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Adrian, Crump, Emanuel Moench, John Velis, Leslie Falconio, BNY's Velis, Velis, Paritosh Bansal, Anna Driver 私 Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, York Fed, Minneapolis, Moench, Frankfurt School of Finance, Management, Americas, BNY Mellon, UBS Global Wealth Management, San, San Francisco Fed Locations: Washington ,, U.S, DoubleLine, San Francisco

☆ Net neutrality may be US regulators’ next quagmire
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Jonathan Newton/Pool via REUTERS Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 26 (Reuters Breakingviews) - U.S. regulators risk another quagmire. The Federal Communications Commission wants to reinstate net neutrality rules that regulate how traffic flows on the internet. As with antitrust enforcers’ often-frustrated deal crackdown, the agency is stuck in a cycle of trying to litigate future problems, today. Regulators are trying to use yesterday’s tools to address the hypothetical problems of tomorrow. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Jessica Rosenworcel, Jonathan Newton, ’, Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s, Jennifer Saba, Jonathan Guilford, Sharon Lam, Aditya Sriwatsav Organizations: U.S . Senate Commerce, Science, Transportation Committee, Federal Communications Commission, REUTERS Acquire, Reuters, Verizon Communications, Netflix, Regulators, X, Republicans, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Ukraine

☆ JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon warns of the risk of 7% interest rates: "Are you prepared?"
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Joseph Wilkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Jamie Dimon has warned that it's possible for US interest rates to rise as high as 7%. "If I was advising a company, I would say, are you prepared for 7% rates? AdvertisementAdvertisementJamie Dimon has warned that it's possible for US interest rates to surge as high as 7%, thanks to inflationary pressures stoked by factors including huge fiscal spending and the global energy transition. "I absolutely think they're possible," the JPMorgan CEO told the The Economic Times in an interview, referring to 7% rates. The Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate is currently in the 5.25%-5.5% band, up 525 basis points since early 2022.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, —, Dimon didn't, I'm, Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan, Economic Times, Service, Federal Reserve Locations: disinflationary, China, that's

☆ Fed's Neel Kashkari sees 40% chance of 'meaningfully higher' interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Neel Kashkari, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, attends an interview with Reuters in New York City, New York, U.S., May 22, 2023. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari thinks there's nearly a 50-50 chance that interest rates will need to move significantly higher to bring down inflation. In that instance, the inflation rate falls but stays above the Fed's 2% target, posing a challenge for policymakers. Noting that rate-sensitive areas such as housing and autos have held strong despite Fed tightening, Kashkari remarked, "These dynamics raise the question, How tight is policy right now? Services inflation, excluding the cost of renting shelter, has been coming down, but has otherwise remained elevated, raising longer-term concerns.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, there's, Kashkari Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Reuters, Minneapolis Federal Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, Minneapolis

☆ Republicans leave Ukraine, weed, crypto in limbo
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy speaks with reporters at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, U.S. September 20, 2023. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 21 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Legislative casualties of U.S. Congress’s budget fight are emerging. His caving to extreme members of the party augurs poorly for measures like Ukraine aid and cannabis banking. Republicans including Representative Matt Gaetz and Representative Andy Biggs have already denied calls for new Ukraine aid. By siding with further-right members, McCarthy gives them more power to hold the line.

Persons: Kevin McCarthy, Jonathan Ernst, Joe Biden, Biden, McCarthy, Matt Gaetz, Andy Biggs, Ben Winck, Bernie Sanders’s, Lauren Silva Laughlin, Sharon Lam Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, Reuters, Republican, Wednesday, Banking, X, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Ukraine, Washington

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