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☆ Wall Street is betting big on a soft landing for the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewRisk is back in fashion on Wall Street as investors shed their fears and become more adventurous with their cash. Wall Street is betting big on a soft landing, where the Fed succeeds in bringing inflation down without unemployment surging or a recession taking hold. Related storiesSimilarly, Goldman Sachs analysts said in a recent outlook that "risk appetite is poised to grow" this year as recession relief and rate cuts embolden investors. When the music stopsThe outlook for stocks and the economy might seem brighter, but it's worth being at least a little skeptical of the current enthusiasm. "Nobody seems to care about valuations, and now you have Wall Street strategists laying claim that we are in a brand new era," veteran economist David Rosenberg said in a recent note.

Persons: —, BII, Goldman Sachs, David Rosenberg, Jeremy Grantham, there's, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Investors, BlackRock Investment Institute, Nvidia, Grantham, Swissquote Bank Locations: BlackRock

☆ Premarket stocks: Investors are on cloud nine. That could be a bad sign
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Unsurprisingly, several flashing indicators suggest that investors are feeling good about the market:• CNN’s Fear & Greed Index: The indicator, which measures seven barometers of market sentiment including the VIX, Wall Street’s most well-known measure of expected stock volatility, is in “greed” territory. Market sentiment is often seen as a contrarian indicator. That means that when the herd is optimistic, money managers take it as a sign that stocks will fall, and vice versa. A closely watched gauge of US wholesale inflation rose at its fastest pace in months, according to new data released Thursday. In February, car sales climbed 1.8%, purchases of electronics and appliances increased 1.5% and sales at restaurants rose 0.4%.

Persons: • Charles Schwab, Yardeni, “, Alicia Wallace, Price, Gus Faucher, Read, Bryan Mena Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intelligence, Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, of Labor Statistics, PNC Financial Services, Retail, Commerce Department, Gas Locations: New York

☆ This is a long-term bull market, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis is a long-term bull market, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss a possible broadening of the market and the tech sell-off.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni

☆ The 'Magnificent 7' isn't all that magnificent, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 'Magnificent 7' isn't all that magnificent, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Apple's weakness and the tech sector's outlook.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni

☆ Premarket stocks: What ‘Super Tuesday’ means for your portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Welcome to “Super Tuesday.” Today, a whopping 16 states and territories hold primary elections. But stock market analysts say not to fret and to hold tight. Based on annualized returns for the S&P 500, stocks gained an average 13.75% during Trump’s presidency. Election year math: History shows that stocks typically gain during the fourth year of presidential terms. The S&P 500 has gained 6.2% on average during the fourth year of presidential terms since 1932, according to Yardeni Research.

Persons: ’, Edward Jones, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Angelo Kourkafas, ” Kourkafas, Raymond James, Trump, Obama, ”, Simon Hamilton, Barack Obama, “ That’s, it’s, Hamilton, Goldman Sachs, Allison Morrow, Bitcoin, —, Simone McCarthy, Premier Li Qiang, Hong Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, ”, Markets, White House, Congress, CNN, Republicans, Republican, “, Research, Dow Jones, University of Cincinnati, University of Missouri, Securities and Exchange, Bloomberg, Premier, National People’s Congress Locations: New York, Washington, Hamilton, United States, China, Beijing

☆ Stocks hate this one weird trick from the calendar
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —Leap Day might seem like fun and games — until you consider Wall Street. To account for that gap, Julius Caesar in 45 BC decreed that an extra day be added every four years, leading to the Julian calendar. Pope Gregory XIII in 1582 AD created the Gregorian calendar, coined the term “leap year” and established February 29 as the official leap day. He adds that a leap day can also help marginally raise corporate earnings, since companies get an extra day in a fiscal quarter to operate. History shows that stocks tend to perform worse when an additional day is added to the calendar.

Persons: Julius Caesar, Pope Gregory XIII, Matt Weller, Weller, Dow, ”, “ Barbie ”, “ Oppenheimer, ’, Samantha Delouya, It’s, Read, Sam’s, Sam, Matt Egan, Banks Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Bulls, Research, AMC Entertainment, AMC, Treasury Department, CNN, Treasury Locations: New York, FOREX.com

☆ Citi is betting big on high-profile executives to turn things around
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

In today's big story, we're looking at the reshuffling of top executives at two of the biggest US banks . Viswas Raghavan, JPMorgan's top dealmaker, has joined Citi as its head of banking and executive vice chair, reporting directly to CEO Jane Fraser. The move is a big deal, but even more shocking since Raghavan was just promoted to be the sole head of JPMorgan's deals business. Since high interest rates aren't stopping stocks from reaching record highs, cuts might not come at all this year , according to analyst Jim Bianco. Market vet Ed Yardeni said interest rates are actually in a sweet spot for stocks, similar to the late '90s.

Persons: Viswas Raghavan, Jane Fraser, Raghavan, Filippo Gori, Doug Petno, Insider's Reed Alexander, Patrick T, Fallon, Fraser, Merrill Lynch, Andy Sieg, Warren Buffett, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway's, Jim Bianco, Ed Yardeni, Gemini, Demis Hassabis, Long, Alyssa Powell, they've, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock Organizations: Citi, JPMorgan, Warren, Warren Buffett REUTERS, Chip, Berkshire, Buffett, Research, Wall, BI, Google, eBay Locations: Bronx, Gori, Rivian, New York, London

☆ The S&P 500 could hit 5,400 by year-end, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe S&P 500 could hit 5,400 by year-end, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the U.S. economy, inflation outlook, the Fed's interest rate outlook, latest market trends, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research Locations: U.S

☆ Why some investors don’t mind waiting longer for rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Stocks and bonds both sold off as investors painfully recalibrated their expectations for five to six interest rate cuts this year to align more with the Fed’s projected three cuts. For example, Yardeni Research has pushed back against the idea that immediate rate cuts are necessary to avoid the Fed overshooting on slowing the economy. Stocks wouldn’t crater even if cuts were off the table completely in 2024, according to Bank of America, despite what Tuesday’s losses suggest. “No cuts could stymie a full-fledged recovery in more credit-sensitive areas,” wrote BofA strategists in a note on February 9. That means regional lenders will no longer have that crutch if they run into trouble after the program’s expiration on March 11.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ”, Ed Yardeni, it’s, Marc Dizard, Allison Morrow, Bitcoin, bitcoin, Antoni Trenchev, ” Read, Alicia Wallace, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Wall, Federal Reserve, Traders, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, US Treasury, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Yardeni Research, Bank of America, PNC Asset Management Group, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Liberty Street Economics, , New York Fed Locations: New York, pare, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, , New

☆ Ed Yardeni: Inflation will continue to moderate
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEd Yardeni: Inflation will continue to moderateEd Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether Yardeni's thesis changed after Tuesday's CPI print, if the CPI data could interrupt the downward inflation trend, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni, CPI

☆ Ed Yardeni: There's no need to cut rates, the economy is doing fine
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEd Yardeni: There's no need to cut rates, the economy is doing fineEd Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the S&P closing in on breaking the 5,000 level.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni

☆ Why parts of the ‘Magnificent 7’ are losing their luster
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-03 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

After turbocharging late 2023's stock market rally, some of the " Magnificent 7 " technology darlings are looking less magnificent this year. Shares of Meta and Nvidia are leading the Magnificent 7 for the year, with both stocks jumping roughly 34% each. The rest of the Magnificent 7 stocks, however, have received anywhere from 70% to 85% buy rating consensus. While the other five are forecast to see at least double-digit earnings growth estimates, analysts predict Apple's earnings growth to stay relatively unchanged. On the other hand, consensus estimates call for Tesla earnings to fall by 20%.

Persons: turbocharging, Tesla, Art Hogan, Hogan, Baird, Elon Musk's, Ben Kallo, Tim Long, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Charles Schwab, Kevin Gordon, Gordon, Ed Yardeni, isn't, Yardeni, Russell, Fred Imbert Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Wall Street, Riley Wealth Management, CNBC, BYD, Barclays, Blips, Yardeni Research, titans Locations: Delaware, China

☆ The Fed should hold off on any easing at all, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed should hold off on any easing at all, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, latest market trends, the Fed's rate path outlook, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research

☆ Quality stocks are dominating the market, up 25% in the past year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-27 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Among the most broadly played investment "factors" — including value, momentum, low volatility, dividend yield — quality has dominated the market, the representative iShares MSCI USA Quality ETF (QUAL) up 25% in the past year, compared to 13% for S & P 500 value and less than 5% for the equal-weighted S & P 500. Even within industry sectors, the stocks with higher quality scores have sped ahead ( Costco in retail, WW Grainger in industrials, etc.). The quality label is based on strong balance sheets, high and steady profit margins, consistency of earnings growth and the like. Sure, there are multi-year secular growth stories animating the AI innovators and weight-loss-drug developers, but most quality stocks stand out for steadiness. Any give-back of the leading quality growth names wouldn't be easily absorbed by the broader market.

Persons: iShares, WW Grainger, Berkshire Hathaway, Goldman Sachs, FactSet, Michael Gates, Ed Yardeni, it's, Jerome Powell Organizations: Costco, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Visa, Mastercard, Nike, Bank of America, Citi, Invest, BlackRock's, Yardeni Research Locations: industrials, Berkshire

☆ The US economy is likely headed for another 'roaring '20s' of rapid growth, market veteran says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The US economy may be about to relive the "roaring '20s," according to Ed Yardeni. "We're in the early stages of a productivity growth boom," the veteran strategist told Bloomberg. His comments come with the economy expanding at a stronger-than-expected pace and the S&P 500 trading at an all-time high. AdvertisementVeteran market strategist Ed Yardeni thinks the US economy might be about to relive the "roaring '20s". I think we've got a technology revolution that started in the 1990s… every company is a technology company.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Bloomberg, —, Merryn, he's, We've, we've Organizations: Service, Yardeni, Bloomberg, UBS Locations: Swiss

☆ Stock futures are little changed as investors prepare for GDP report: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were little changed as investors readied for the fourth-quarter gross domestic product report. Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures flickered near the flat line. In after-hours action, electric vehicle maker Tesla slumped more than 5% after the company missed fourth-quarter estimates on the top and bottom lines. During regular trading Wednesday, a post-earnings surge in Netflix shares helped carry the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite to a fifth winning day. On the earnings front, health-care giant Humana is expected to report before the bell, along with Southwest Airlines and American Airlines.

Persons: Tesla, I've, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, IBM, Netflix, Dow Jones, Yardeni Research, Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Intel, Mobile, Western Digital

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Ed Yardeni and Requisite's Bryn Talkington
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Ed Yardeni and Requisite's Bryn TalkingtonEd Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, and Bryn Talkington, Requisite Capital Management managing partner, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss their market watchlist and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Bryn, Bryn Talkington Organizations: Yardeni Research, Capital Management

☆ The Fed will make a mistake to lower interest rates, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed will make a mistake to lower interest rates, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss what he's watching in the market and why he's now a hesitant bull.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni, he's Organizations: Yardeni

☆ Yardeni worries the Fed could fuel an 'irrational exuberance' bubble with rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Federal Reserve is risking a dotcom bubble-like market problem unless it lowers Wall Street's expectations for interest rate cuts, widely followed market strategist Ed Yardeni said. Yardeni is worried that aggressive Fed easing "risks fueling irrational exuberance," a term that former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan coined in 1996 for the runup in stock prices ahead of the dotcom bubble bursting. Those developments come a little more than a week ahead of the Fed's next policy meeting Jan. 30-31. "The Fed's last big mistake was falling behind the inflation curve in 2021 and early 2022," Yardeni said. "The Fed's next big mistake could be inflating a speculative stock market bubble.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Jerome Powell, Alan Greenspan, we've, Powell, Yardeni Organizations: Federal, Yardeni Research, CME

☆ Nvidia and Big Tech are still the driving forces for the market, bringing S&P 500 back to record levels
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Thank the "Magnificent Seven" stocks for the S & P 500 's bounce to record levels in 2024 . "It's a bet on secular growth," said Truist's Keith Lerner. "AI stocks … are going bonkers," he said. "People see a secular growth story even with all the different type of cross-currents in the economy, interest rates and markets," he said. "However, strong secular tailwinds from Gen AI could extend the rally well beyond the typical 2-year up-cycles, in our view."

Persons: Truist's Keith Lerner, It's, Adam Sarhan, Lerner, –, Ed Yardeni, Raymond James, Srini Pajjuri, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Tesla, Investments, Devices, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Semiconductor, Yardeni, SOX, stoke

"Not only are we seeing exuberance by investors, but certainly we're seeing exuberance by analysts," Yardeni said. "They dramatically increased their earnings expectations for Nvidia ," and that drove down the stock's forward P/E multiple to the 20s from the 80s. "But look, it's a hot stock, and it's probably going to remain a hot stock as long as AI delivers. I think it's going to take somewhat longer for AI to deliver as much as the market seems to expect." What's more, investors are expecting too many interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2024, Yardeni said.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, it's, we're, — Scott Schnipper Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Cisco

☆ S&P 500 will surge all the way to 6,000 in 2025 in ‘Roaring 2020s’ scenario, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-12 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Widely followed Wall Street strategist Ed Yardeni issued a head-turning bull call on the stock market, seeing the S & P 500 soaring all the way to 6,000 in two years. The president of Yardeni Research raised his year-end 2025 target to 6,000, which represents a 30% leap from Monday's close of 4,622.44. His forecast assumes 2026 earnings for the S & P 500 of $300 per share, and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 20. The S & P 500 just registered a six-week winning streak, bringing 2023 gains to 20%. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 "This year's Santa Claus rally started early," Yardeni wrote.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Santa Claus, Michael Bloom Organizations: Yardeni Research Locations: Santa

☆ Bull market in view after S&P 500 hits fresh year-high
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A close above 4,796.56 on the S&P 500 would confirm that the index has been in a bull market since bottoming out on Oct. 12, 2022, by one commonly used definition. By that definition, the bear market that began when the S&P 500 hit its previous record on Jan. 3, 2022 was not particularly painful. The S&P 500 closed down 25.4% at its lowest point, making this the fourth shallowest bear market experienced by the index since 1928, according to data from Yardeni Research. Over the last 50 years, the S&P 500 has risen an average of 16% in the three-month period leading up to a bull market. By contrast, the S&P 500 has logged average gains of just 0.2% and 2.0%, in the one-month and three-month period after a bull market is confirmed.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, San Francisco Fed, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: St, REUTERS, Yardeni Research, Reuters, San Francisco, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S

☆ Wall Street is again making predictions for next year, but don't pay too much attention
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Not surprisingly, Wall Street tends to be a bullish group. Wall Street has a terrible track record All of this gets investor juices flowing. Wall Street strategists collectively have a terrible track record. As a result, you might be tempted to think you should pay no attention to Wall Street, or anybody else. If nothing else, the predictions of Wall Street strategists are a good starting point for all of us to think about the near future.

Persons: Lori Calvasina, America's Savita Subramanian, Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Jeff Sommer, Sommer, Morgan Housel, I'm Organizations: Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, RBC Capital Markets, Bank, America's, Wall Street, of America, Barclays, UBS, Wealth, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, Street, New York Times, Yardeni Research, Federal Reserve, Wall Locations: Wells Fargo, Russia, Ukraine, Israel

☆ Inflation will come back down to 2-2.5% within the next 12-18 months, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation will come back down to 2-2.5% within the next 12-18 months, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he believes the Santa Claus rally in stock prices will continue through year-end, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research Locations: Santa

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