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Market volatility will likely increase from here as the race for the White House enters its final weeks, according to Wolfe Research. Technical strategist Rob Ginsberg tracked the average move of the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) during a presidential election year. With momentum rolling over and several sectors seeing healthy pullbacks of late ... we feel the S & P is overdue for another 3 – 4% correction." To be sure, any troubles in the market into Election Day would mark a turn after an unusually strong year. Notably, Bespoke Investment Group found the S & P 500 notched its largest gain over the first nine months of a year since 1997.
Persons: Brace, Rob Ginsberg, bode, Ginsberg, What's Organizations: White, Wolfe Research, Traders, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investment, Carson Group Locations: Israel
Bitcoin investors are grappling with a demand dearth that has pushed the cryptocurrency into bear market territory at times. (In the first quarter, bitcoin ETFs bought about 9,000 BTC daily on average, following their January launch.) In the fourth quarters of 2012, 2016, and 2020 — the previous Bitcoin halving years — bitcoin prices rose by 9%, 59%, and 171%, respectively. The most recent halving — the supply cutting event that takes place every four years — happened this April. BTC.CM= YTD mountain Bitcoin (BTC) year-to-date Bitcoin is set up well for the final quarter , but it's still working through a supply overhang from the U.S. and German governments as well as Mt.
Persons: It's, John Todaro, Needham, uptrend, it's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Owen Lau, Oppenheimer Organizations: CNBC, BTC, Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: China, U.S
Community volunteers carry gas at a relief area and community coordination center in Bills Creek, North Carolina, on Thursday. Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty ImagesMen remove items from a fine arts business in Marshall, North Carolina, on Thursday. Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty ImagesA volunteer helps clean out a flooded crawlspace under a home impacted by Hurricane Helene in Cruso, North Carolina, on Thursday. In North Carolina, guard members have been dropping in supplies from the air and airlifting people and pets to safety. President Joe Biden visits an area affected by Hurricane Helene in Keaton Beach, Florida, on Thursday.
Persons: Helene, Joe Dancy, CNN’s Laura Coates, ” Helene, Allison Joyce, Polly Trottenberg, Frank Matranga, ” Matranga, Melissa Sue Gerrits, Hurricane Helene, Jonathan Drake, Helene ., Jaclyn Rothenberg, we’re, Alejandro Mayorkas, Matranga, Joe Biden, ” Biden, Mandel Ngan, Joe Biden's, Tom Brenner, Eddie Hunnell, Hunnell, Phil Worth, Leslie, couldn’t, Phil, , ” Hunnell, , Leslie Worth, “ Leslie, “ I‘d, CNN Hunnell, CNN’s Kayla Tausche, Sam Fossum, Haley Talbot, Sara Smart, Emma Tucker, Andy Rose, Steve Almasy Organizations: CNN, Hurricane, Community, Getty, US Transportation Department, Reuters Cell, National Guard, FEMA, Homeland, Reuters Local, Small, Republicans, SBA Locations: Virginia, Carolina’s Buncombe County, Asheville, tatters, Swannanoa , North Carolina, United States, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, Bills, , North Carolina, AFP, Marshall , North Carolina, Cruso , North Carolina, Hurricane, Keaton Beach , Florida, Grassy Creek , North Carolina, Worth
World Central Kitchen, a relief organization that provides meals after humanitarian crises and weather disasters, said Tuesday it has served more than 64,000 meals in the aftermath of Helene. Thirty-five food trucks are in operation, and the group is setting up field kitchens in Asheville, North Carolina, and Clearwater, Florida, according to an email from World Central Kitchen. More than 23,000 meals have been served in Tennessee and North Carolina. “We’ll be ramping our hot meal distribution up very shortly as our kitchens come online,” World Central Kitchen said in the email. Five water tankers capable of carrying 6,200 gallons were sent to western North Carolina because shortages caused by infrastructure damage, according to World Central Kitchen.
Persons: Helene, Jose Andres, CNN’s Anderson Cooper, José Andrés, JTPPxobwfD — Anderson Cooper, , Andres, Arthur Blank Organizations: Kitchen, Central, Federal Emergency Management Agency, National Guard, NFL’s Atlanta Falcons, Major League Soccer’s Atlanta United Locations: Asheville , North Carolina, Clearwater , Florida, Georgia, Florida, Asheville, Anderson, Asheville , NC, North Carolina, Tennessee
JPMorgan upgrades Parr Pacific to overweight from neutral JPMorgan said the gas exploration and production company has overcorrected. JPMorgan downgrades MercadoLibre to neutral from overweight JPMorgan downgraded the online Latin American marketplace mainly due to valuation. Wells Fargo reiterates Meta as overweight Wells Fargo raised its price target on Meta to $652 per share from $647. JPMorgan upgrades SAIC to overweight from neutral The firm says it sees "profitable growth" for the IT company. Berenberg upgrades Rio Tinto to buy from hold Berenberg says the metals and mining company is a "medium-term diversified winner."
Persons: Roth, DA Davidson, Davidson, PARR, Wolfe, Raymond James downgrades, Raymond James, Guggenheim, Mizuho, it's bullish, tailwinds, Wells, Wells Fargo, Canaccord, Tesla, Berenberg, Baird downgrades Harley, Baird, Harley, Gordon, FANG, Bernstein Organizations: Iren Energy, Industries, JPMorgan, Parr, Northland, TAM, Raymond James downgrades GE, GE, Deutsche Bank, Nike, Absci Corporation, Mizuho, Kodiak, Kodiak Gas Services, Meta, SAIC, IT, Tesla, Mobile, T Bank, Buffalo, Rio Tinto, BHP, Home Depot, Barclays, Diamondback Energy, Nvidia, Apple Locations: OW, Asia, Vegas, Northland, Salesforce, Rio, American
"American Pickers" star Frank Fritz, who traveled across America looking for treasurers in the most random corners, died Monday after a long illness, loved ones said. Mike Wolfe and Frank Fritz before a televisio appearance in New York in 2011. "Pickers" had a slightly different vibe, with childhood friends Fritz and Wolfe hitting the road and looking for those hidden treasures. "Frank filmed 'American Pickers' for over a decade," the statement said. Our thoughts are with Frank’s loved ones during this difficult time."
Persons: Frank Fritz, Frank, Mike Wolfe, Fritz, Ray Tamarra, Wolfe, , evaluators, Cineflix, , Frank’s Organizations: Getty, PBS, NBC News Locations: America, New York
Mules are helping deliver supplies to North Carolina residents devastated by Hurricane Helene, according to Mountain Mule Packer Ranch. Mike Toberer told the AP he decided to bring a dozen of his mules to deliver food, water and diapers to hard-to-reach mountainous areas. The ranchers and mules “headed out” Monday morning, “and will continue to reply as quickly as possible to those in need,” his posts said. Mountain Mule Packer Ranch is located in Raeford, about 110 miles east of Charlotte and about 245 miles from Weaverville. “We have two fully loaded trucks and 20’ stock trailers heading to” western North Carolina for assistance, according to the post.
Persons: Mike Toberer, , , Hurricane Helene Organizations: Facebook, AP Locations: North Carolina, Hurricane, Weaverville, Raeford, Charlotte
Consumers who heat with electricity will be hit the hardest, with their costs projected to rise 13.6% to $1,208 for the winter season, the association found. The expense of maintaining and upgrading the electric grid is driving up costs, particularly in the West, where fires have ravaged the grid and electric heating costs could soar nearly 23%. The price tag for heating with propane will rise 7.3% to $1,442 this winter, while natural gas users will see a 7.2% increase to $644. Natural gas prices have stabilized but are expected to rise over the winter as US exports increase, said Mark Wolfe, the association’s executive director. But those who heat with oil will catch somewhat of a break after a pricey heating season last year, with costs expected to rise only 6.1% to $1,963 this winter.
Persons: Mark Wolfe, Wolfe, , Organizations: CNN, Northeast, National Energy Assistance, Association, Consumers, Low Income, Energy Assistance Locations: Midwest
A look back in history shows how a key group of transportation stocks performed the last time there was a major port strike, according to Wolfe Research. Against that backdrop, Scott Group, a senior analyst covering freight transportation at Wolfe, looked at transportation stocks in 2002, the last time there was a major port strike in the U.S. That strike, which lasted just 11 days and affected only West Coast ports, hurt transportation stocks throughout the protest, he said. But those same stocks staged a major comeback in the month after the strike ended. Here are how some key stocks performed during and after the last major strike. Robinson Worldwide was among the biggest laggards during the last port strike.
Persons: Wolfe, Joe Biden, Taft, Hartley, C.H, Robinson, It's Organizations: Wolfe Research, International Longshoremen's Association, Eastern Seaboard, Scott Group, ISI, Hunt Transport Services, FedEx, Norfolk Locations: North America, of Mexico, Eastern, Wolfe, U.S, West Coast, Norfolk Southern
North Carolina accounted for the most deaths at 49 as of Monday afternoon, according to a count by NBC News. At least 12 deaths were reported in Florida, and Georgia has reported 25 deaths, South Carolina 29, Tennessee four and Virginia two. North Carolina Gov. Western North Carolina and particularly the mountain city of Asheville were hit hard by the storm, with flooding making some neighborhoods unrecognizable. More than 200 people from South Carolina State Fire are conducting welfare checks, officials said Monday.
Persons: Helene, Roy Cooper, Lillian Govus, ” Govus, Joe Biden, Deanne Criswell, , ” Biden, , Alejandro Mayorkas, Sara Wolfe, Erwin, ” Gerald O’Connor, Kevin Burch, Rachel Burch, Ron DeSantis, “ It’s Organizations: NBC News, Tennessee, Virginia, North Carolina Gov, Federal Emergency Management, Homeland, North, Impact Plastics, National Guard, Fire, Gov Locations: Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, South Carolina, Asheville, Buncombe County, Weaverville, Tennessee, , Erwin, Pinellas County , Florida
Morgan Stanley upgrades Blackline to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the software company is undervalued. Morgan Stanley upgrades US Bancorp to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said U.S. Bancorp is well-positioned going forward. Barclays reiterates Tesla as equal weight Barclays says it's not sure the EV maker's upcoming robotaxi day will be a game changer. Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley says the iPhone 16 cycle remains "unchanged" for now for Apple. Morgan Stanley downgrades JPMorgan to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley sees better value elsewhere than shares of JPMorgan.
Persons: Wolfe, Hess, Brent, Morgan Stanley, reprice, Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, Tesla, it's, Uber, Apple, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, JPMorgan, Piper Sandler, Piper, Forman, Gamble, TD Cowen Organizations: Chevron, Bancorp, U.S, MU, Autodesk, Barclays, Citi, Meta, Apple, Pro, Westlake, Resources, JPMorgan, DIS, Brown, Barclays downgrades Procter, Accenture, UBS, Brookfield, Partners Locations: AVGO, ASML, TER, OW, 4Q24
Utility stocks this year have mounted a rally unseen in more than two decades. In the third quarter, utilities are the best out of 11 sectors that comprise the S & P 500, climbing 18%. As a group, utilities are poised to score their largest quarterly gain since George W. Bush was president in 2003. If that holds through yearend, utilities will see their biggest annual advance since 2000, when they surged more than 50%. "Utilities are the hottest sector in the market currently," Wolfe Research Rob Ginsberg said in a note to clients in August.
Persons: George W, Bush, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, hasn't, It's, buildout, Ginsberg, Subramanian, Wells Fargo, Christopher Harvey, Harvey, LSEG Organizations: Utilities, Federal Reserve, Bank of, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Constellation Energy, CenterPoint Energy Locations: yearend, The Texas, Houston
This signal comes as the S & P 500 trades at all-time highs, boosted by a shift in Federal Reserve policy. The Fed earlier this month cut interest rates by a half percentage point, the first easing of policy in more than four years. Wall Street sees further reductions ahead, too. The Cboe Volatilty Index spiked north of 23 earlier this month, as worries over the U.S. economy weighed on sentiment. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning , Morgan Stanley upgraded Wynn Resorts to overweight from equal weight.
Persons: Wolfe, Janney Montgomery Scott, Dan Wantrobski, Wantrobski, Morgan Stanley, WYNN's Organizations: Federal, Wynn Resorts Locations: U.S
The lender disclosed that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau could punish JPMorgan for its role in Zelle, the giant peer-to-peer digital payments network. In response, JPMorgan issued a thinly veiled threat: "The firm is evaluating next steps, including litigation." Trade groups say that in the aftermath of the financial crisis, banks became easy targets for populist attacks from Democrat-led regulatory agencies. Amid the scrutiny, the bank began warning Zelle users on the Chase app to "Stay safe from scams" and added disclosures that customers won't likely be refunded for bogus transactions. While all of these battles are ongoing, the financial industry has racked up several victories so far.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Jamie, Evelyn Hockstein, Tobin Marcus, Joe, Marcus, That's, Biden, Marianne Lake, Zelle, Banks, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Mark Pittman Organizations: JPMorgan, U.S . Senate Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Wall, Capitol, Washington , D.C, Reuters, JPMorgan Chase, Consumer Financial, Democrat, Republican, Wolfe Research, Services, PayPal, Bank of America, Senate, Electronic, Federal Reserve, U.S . Chamber of Commerce, Northern, Northern District of Texas Locations: Washington ,, Zelle, Basel, Wells Fargo, Northern District
Bitcoin rallied on Thursday, but if trading this year is any guide, this pop will be one to fade. Bitcoin is down 13% from its March 13 record and ether has tumbled 34% in the same period. With a year-to-date gain of 50%, bitcoin is considered to be in a bull cycle that began in March 2023. The most recent Bitcoin halving took place in April, and the post-halving highs historically don't come until about 18 months after the supply cutting event . Between the popularity of bitcoin ETFs that launched in January, the slowing of the bitcoin supply and a slew of other macro and micro catalysts, many traders are holding out for a price surge.
Persons: Bitcoin, it's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg Organizations: Federal Reserve, BTC, Securities, Exchange, & $
The communications services sector has been on an unbelievable tear for nearly two years. Since hitting a low on October 2022, the Communication Services Select Sector (XLC) has nearly doubled, outperforming the S & P 500 in that time. "The smallest sector in the market (by constituents not value) has been one of the most dominant over the past two years," wrote Wolfe Research's Rob Ginsberg. Our sense is that is better for sale here," Ginsberg wrote. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, Bernstein upgraded Starbucks to outperform from market perform.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Bernstein, Brian Niccol, Danilo Gargiulo Organizations: Communications, Netflix, Taco Bell Locations: GOOGL
Analysts are warning that Coinbase could be entering a down trend after the stock scored a six-day-long advance. In early trading Wednesday, Coinbase rose as much as 1.3%, paving the way for what may be its seventh straight gain. "Coinbase looks very toppy to me as the recent bounce out of the oversold condition looks to be stalling out," Wolfe Research macro strategist Rob Ginsberg told CNBC. Lau also cited muted trading volume on crypto exchanges and pressure on subscription and services revenue due to the declining interest rate outlook. But cryptocurrency "trading volume could jump" when interest rates move even lower and if bitcoin again challenges its all-time high, Lau noted.
Persons: Coinbase, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Tamplin, Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, Lau, bitcoin, Bitcoin, Nick Wells Organizations: Wolfe Research, CNBC Locations: bitcoin
Wells Fargo upgrades Baker Hughes to overweight from equal weight Wells says it likes the oil service company's business model. Morgan Stanley upgrades AutoNation to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley says AutoNation is well positioned in a bumpy macroeconomic environment. Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley says it's remaining cautious after checks of iPhone 16 demand for Apple. Morgan Stanley downgrades Ford to equal weight from overweight and General Motors to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley downgraded several automakers on Wednesday and said it's concerned about market share losses. Morgan Stanley reiterates Nike as equal weight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Nike to $82 per share from $79 ahead of earnings on October 1.
Persons: Wolfe, Sallie Mae, it's bullish, Wells, Baker Hughes, Piper Sandler, Tesla, Piper, Morgan Stanley, AutoNation, Mike Manley, Duolingo, MARA, CORZ, Piper Sandler downgrades Tyson, it's, Oppenheimer, GOOG's, Baird, Locker Baird, Apple, TD Cowen downgrades Expedia, Cowen, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley downgrades Ford, Roblox Organizations: APO, Bank of America, Macquarie, Tyson Foods, Barclays, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, DOJ, Google, Foot, Apple, ISI downgrades, Pacific, Evercore, UNP, Disney, JPMorgan, Oil & Gas, Petrobras, Motors, GM, Citi, Investors, Nike Locations: CLSK, Foot Locker, Mexico, China, Fortnite
Vistra overtakes Nvidia as S&P 500's top gainer in 2024
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailVistra overtakes Nvidia as S&P 500's top gainer in 2024Steve Fleishman, Wolfe Research utilities analyst, joins “Squawk on the Street” to discuss Vistra overtaking Nvidia as the S&P 500's top gainer for the year, energy futures, and more.
Persons: Steve Fleishman, Squawk Organizations: Nvidia, Wolfe Research
Fintech stocks have been in a rut since 2021. Wolfe Research technical strategist Rob Ginsberg pointed out the Global X FinTech ETF (FINX) is close to reaching the $30 level for the first time since 2022. The FINX ETF illustrates this well. This year, the ETF has made some progress, rising more than 9%, as the Fed begins its policy easing campaign. FINX mountain 2021-11-01 FINX since Nov. 2021 A breakout could have broader implications outside of fintech.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, It's, Tim Long, HPE Organizations: Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow Jones, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Barclays, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Juniper Networks Locations: fintech
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBiggest impediment to any acquisition for Intel is regulatory approval, says Wolfe's Chris CasoChris Caso, Wolfe Research senior analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the various interest in Intel, what to make of Qualcomm's potential takeover and Apollo's investment in the company, the challenges facing Intel, and more.
Persons: Wolfe's Chris Caso Chris Caso Organizations: Intel, Wolfe Research
Orangeburg, South Carolina KFF Health News —Amari Marsh had just finished her junior year at South Carolina State University in May 2023 when she received a text message from a law enforcement officer. South Carolina state Rep. Seth Rose, a Democrat in Columbia and one of Marsh’s attorneys, called it a “really tragic” case. But at the hospital, Marsh learned that her infant, a girl, had not survived. Historically, birth outcomes for Black women in Orangeburg County, where Marsh lost her pregnancy, have ranked among the worst in South Carolina. She is taking classes at a local community college and hopes to reenroll at South Carolina State University to earn a four-year degree.
Persons: Amari Marsh, ” Marsh, Marsh, , Amari's, Herman Marsh, Regina, , ’ ” Sam Wolfe, KFF, James Clyburn, ’ ” Clyburn, , , “ I’ve, I’ve, Seth Rose, Zipporah, Amari, ” Sumpter, Sam Wolfe, Marsh “, y’all, David Pascoe, Pascoe, Dana Sussman, Court’s Dobbs, Dobbs, Holly Gatling, Michele Heisler, ” Chelsea Daniels, ” Daniels, Sumpter, Dr, Sanjay Gupta, God, Daniel Chang Organizations: South Carolina KFF Health, South Carolina State University, Calhoun Regional Detention, KFF Health, U.S, Supreme, Jackson, Health Organization, White, Rep, Carnegie Hall, Democrat, Regional Medical, South Carolina’s Republican, South, Judicial, Pregnancy, Local, The Times, South Carolina Citizens, Life, National, Physicians, Human Rights, Medical University of South, CNN, CNN Health, Health News, Health, KFF Locations: Orangeburg, South Carolina, Calhoun, , Columbia, South, South Carolina’s, Miami, Florida, Montana , Missouri, Maryland, Medical University of South Carolina, Orangeburg County, Health News Florida
A staffer of vice presidential candidate JD Vance called Springfield City Manager Bryan Heck on September 9 and asked if there was any truth in rumors that Haitian immigrants were taking and eating pets in Springfield, Heck told the Journal. I told them these claims were baseless.”“Yes, that call was made,” Springfield Mayor Rob Rue told CNN’s “Laura Coates Live” Thursday. Although the false claims about Haitian immigrants abusing animals have been widely discredited, Trump and Vance have doubled down since the debate. Asked Sunday by CNN’s Dana Bash to back up his claims, Vance, a US senator from Ohio, said he has received concerns from constituents, though he did not provide evidence. Two Ohio state trooper vehicles parked outside the Springfield City Schools office Friday.
Persons: JD Vance, Bryan Heck, Heck, ” Heck, , Rob Rue, CNN’s, Laura Coates, , Donald Trump, Springfield, Mike DeWine, ” DeWine, Sassy, Jeff Winter, Anna Kilgore, Kilgore, Trump, Vance, CNN’s Dana Bash, Dana, ” Vance, Rue, Vilbrun Dorsainvil, ” Rue, “ We’ve, Warren Davidson, ” Davidson, ” CNN’s Jeff Winter, Meridith Edwards, Omar Jimenez Organizations: CNN, Trump, Springfield City, Springfield, ” CNN, ” Ohio Republican Ohio Gov, The New York Times, Clark State College, Wittenberg University, Wall Street, Springfield City Schools, Springfield “, Trump . Ohio, Republican, Locations: Springfield , Ohio, Springfield, ” Ohio, Ohio, he’s
Gabriel wrote that the fellow fantasy football player was “headed around Oslo and has a shooting planned with multiple people on his side involved. Law enforcement officers in Norway and the US dedicated five days and hundreds of hours to investigating the threat, prosecutors said. While investigating Gabriel for the international hoax in Norway, prosecutors said they learned that Gabriel emailed another fictitious threat earlier this year – this time to the University of Iowa. In March, Gabriel emailed the university indicating the same fantasy football group member was threatening to “blow up the school,” which Gabriel knew was untrue, prosecutors said. Romero warned in her statement that hoax threats are a crime.
Persons: Matthew Gabriel, Gabriel, , , Jacqueline Romero, ” Gabriel, Romero, ’ ” Organizations: CNN, Philadelphia, US Justice Department, US, Office, Eastern, Eastern District of, Norwegian Police Security Service, FBI, University of Iowa, Eastern District of Pennsylvania Locations: Philadelphia, Eastern District, Eastern District of Pennsylvania, Norway, Oslo
Forty-one percent of analysts polled by FactSet have a buy rating on Tesla stock, while 21% have a sell rating. About 43% of analysts surveyed by FactSet maintain a buy rating on IBM stock, but 21% are at a sell. He also noted that the risk-to-reward skew on IBM stock is more balanced, leaving less upside for the stock. IBM YTD mountain IBM stock. Goldman Sachs recently added IBM to its conviction list with a $220 price target, or 2% above where shares closed Wednesday.
Persons: Tesla, TSLA, Wolfe Research's Emmanuel Rosner, Rosner, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Elon Musk, Bernstein's Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi, Goldman Sachs, Jim Schneider, Campbell Soup Organizations: CNBC Pro, FactSet, U.S, automakers, IBM, Pepperidge
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