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Microsoft set to report quarterly results after the close
  + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jordan Novet | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Microsoft will report results for its fiscal first quarter after the close of regular trading on Wednesday. Mobility and security services, along with some Windows revenue, will now be part of the Productivity and Business Processes unit, which includes Office software. Analysts expect $24.04 billion in revenue from the Intelligent Cloud segment that includes Azure cloud infrastructure. Amazon , which leads the cloud infrastructure market, is slated to report results after the close on Thursday. During the quarter, Microsoft worked to help customers recover after a flawed update to CrowdStrike security software brought down Windows PCs globally.
Persons: Satya Nadella, OpenAI Organizations: Partnership for Global Infrastructure, Microsoft, Productivity, Gartner, Windows, BlackRock, UBS, Capital, Nasdaq Locations: Borgo, Savelletri, Italy
The outcome of upcoming elections in the world's leading economy is set to ripple into global markets no matter who clinches leadership of the White House, UBS head Sergio Ermotti told CNBC on Wednesday. "We do expect, no matter who wins and the outcome, we do expect some market movements. Markets are bracing as voters flock to the polls on Nov. 5, with the U.S. holding both the world's foremost reserve currency and the largest stock exchange by market capitalization. Under a [Donald] Trump presidency, we see that as being inflationary on the back of his focus on immigration and on tariffs. But we don't see any outcome as being particularly growth positive.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, CNBC's Annette Weisbach, Ermotti, Donald, Trump, Arun Sai, CNBC's Organizations: White House, UBS, CNBC, Swiss, U.S, U.S . Federal, . Treasury, Pictet Asset Management, Trump Locations: U.S
Swiss banking titan UBS on Wednesday posted a large profit beat, after completing its first wave of client migrations following its integration of collapsed domestic rival Credit Suisse. Net profit attributable to shareholders came in at $1.43 billion, compared with a mean forecast of $667.5 million in a LSEG poll of analysts. UBS defends it is not "too big to fail." UBS still faces the lofty tasks of integrating its IT system with that of Credit Suisse, along with migrating clients — with the latter transition set to take around 18 months, Reuters reported earlier this month. The UBS results come after the profit beat of Germany's largest lender Deutsche Bank last Wednesday and join this week's spate of third-quarter reports from European lenders, including from BNP Paribas and Santander.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: UBS, Wednesday, Credit Suisse, Credit Suisse —, Reuters, Swiss National Bank —, Deutsche Bank, BNP Paribas, Santander
Experts told BI that all three companies face slumping EV sales and brutal competition in China. BMW and Mercedes-Benz have issued profit warnings in recent weeks amid slumping EV sales in Europe and brutal competition in China, while Volkswagen is also facing a reckoning. German carmakers are losing out to Chinese EV makers such as BYD. She added that Mercedes, BMW, and Volkswagen offer comparatively few hybrid and extended-range vehicles — categories that have proven extremely popular in China. Slow sales in EuropeAt the same time, Germany's automakers are also dealing with a slowdown in EV sales in Europe.
Persons: , Arno Antlitz, Mercedes, Hendrik Schmidt, Daniel Pier, Getty Images Helena Wisbert, Wisbert, Matthias Schmidt, Tesla, JENS SCHLUETER, that's Organizations: BMW, Mercedes, Benz, Service, Volkswagen, Wednesday VW, VW, dpa, China Passenger Car Association, Getty Images, Ostfalia University, Getty, European Union, Volkswagen Group, UBS Locations: Germany, China, Europe, North America, South America, China —, AFP
AMD's GPU sales are nearing CPU sales, driven by AI data center demand. AMD raised its 2024 GPU sales forecast to over $5 billion, up from $4.5 billion. AdvertisementWhat could also keep this dynamic from becoming permanent is the immaturity of the ecosystem around AMD GPUs. UBS analysts warned that 2025 may be yet another transition year in which AI data centers and GPU sales don't reach maturity — predicting higher GPU sales in 2026 than in 2025. The analysts expect $5 billion in GPU sales this year to reach around $8 billion next year.
Persons: , Lisa Su, Su, Morgan Stanley Organizations: AMD, Service, Bank of America, Nvidia, UBS
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Bank of America reiterates Advanced Micro Devices as buy Bank of America said the stock is best positioned following earnings on Tuesday. JPMorgan reiterates First Solar as overweight The firm said the solar company is still best positioned following earnings on Tuesday. "Attractive entry point ahead of EDN's tariff review, a key value driver that could drive significant earnings growth & trigger stock re-rating. "We remain confident in BOOT's ability to deliver attractive relative earnings growth supported by compelling unit expansion opportunity." Raymond James downgrades Crocs to market perform from outperform Raymond James downgraded the shoe company following earnings citing margin pressures.
Persons: Wells, Reddit, Morgan Stanley, Raymond James, it's, Bernstein, Baird, Raymond James downgrades Qorvo, Barclays downgrades Lear, Goldman Sachs, Chipotle, Goldman, Raymond James downgrades Crocs, Wedbush downgrades Williams Organizations: Bank of America, Devices, AMD, JPMorgan, Catalyst, " Bank of America, DoJ, Citi, YouTube, Bank of, Holdings, of America, Incyte, Boeing, UBS, Barrick Gold, Barrick, Barclays, CMG, Walmart, Apple, Apple Intelligence, 3Q, 4Q, WSM Locations: China, OW, America, Sonoma
Big Tech stocks have a high earnings bar to clear
  + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Overall S & P 500 profit growth is tracking below what analysts anticipated heading into the reporting period. Still, the S & P 500 is less than 1% below a record high reached earlier this month. Solita Marcelli, UBS Global Wealth Management chief investment officer for the Americas, also warned that high valuations could be a problem for megacap tech stocks as earnings roll out. Technical patterns based on price charts aren't too favorable, either, heading into megacap tech earnings. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) in June hit its highest level relative to the S & P 500 since March 2000 , when the dot-com bubble peaked.
Persons: Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Wells Fargo Organizations: Google, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, UBS Global Wealth Management, Netflix Locations: Americas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNo need to be 'purely defensive' because of US election risk, says CIOHartmut Issel, Head CIO Equities APAC at UBS Global Wealth Management, makes the case for investment-grade bonds and financials as strategic plays, regardless of who wins the presidency in the U.S. election race.
Persons: Hartmut Issel Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: U.S
"We believe we are still in the early stages of the AI growth story," UBS equity strategist Sundeep Gantori wrote in a Monday note to clients, noting the launch of ChatGPT in 2022 as an inflection point for AI adoption. "The company should benefit from healthy user engagement, improving monetization of Reels, and longer-term monetization of Instagram and WhatsApp offer longer-term opportunities," UBS wrote. Moving forward, UBS sees a favorable risk/reward profile for the name, citing steady iPhone growth and strong growth in its services, among others, as catalysts. UBS thinks this early adopter of AI applications is still "well placed" to benefit from use cases that are relevant to the industry. "While we agree that rising competition will result in some subscriber churn, we expect Netflix to continue to report strong growth globally."
Persons: Sundeep Gantori, Gantori, AAPL, INTC Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, Reality Labs, Apple, Intel, Apple Intelligence, Netflix
UBS updates its S&P year-end '25 target to $6,600
  + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS updates its S&P year-end '25 target to $6,600Alli McCartney, UBS Alignment Partners managing director, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the firm's new year-end target, what it reflects, and what gold's outperformance means for equity markets.
Persons: Alli McCartney Organizations: UBS, Partners
The hackers also targeted prominent Democrats including the staff of Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, another source briefed on the matter told CNN. There are no indications anyone was able to access data related to Jared Kushner or his devices, a person familiar with the matter told CNN. The Trump campaign is operating under the assumption that the hackers could still have access to the phone communications they targeted that belong to Trump and Vance, two of the sources said. Given how pervasive the Chinese hacking campaign has been in US telecom networks, some US allies are checking their own computer networks for signs of compromise. The ongoing Chinese hacking campaign means that the next administration — whether Trump or Harris wins — will likely inherit another major cybersecurity incident with big implications for national security.
Persons: Eric Trump’s, Jared Kushner’s, Donald Trump’s, Trump, JD Vance, Harris, Walz, Chuck Schumer, Eric Trump, Kushner, , , Eric’s, Lara, Ivanka Trump, Kamala, Biden, Jared Kushner, Vance, ” Sen, Mark Warner, , Joe Biden, Ted Barrett, Natasha Bertrand, Kaitlan Collins, Kristen Holmes Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democratic, FBI, The New York Times, AT, Verizon, Trump, Investigators, Justice Department, Department of Justice, Huawei, Republican National Committee, Embassy, US, Infrastructure Security Agency, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Department of Homeland Security, DHS, Virginia Democrat Locations: Beijing, China, Washington ,, People’s Republic of China, United Kingdom
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Worst is likely behind us': Analyst discusses regulatory crackdown on China's internet sectorKenneth Fong, head of China internet research at UBS Investment Bank, says the regulatory environment is now more "supportive" and "pro-growth."
Persons: Kenneth Fong Organizations: UBS Investment Bank Locations: China
Former President Donald Trump reiterated his frustration with Taiwan over the weekend when he appeared on "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast and accused Taiwan of stealing America's chip industry. Trump criticized the U.S. CHIPS Act and said he would implement tariffs on chips from Taiwan if elected president. Shares of Taiwan Semiconductor closed down 4.3% on Monday. The U.S. Commerce Department funds have yet to be allocated to Taiwan Semiconductor or other major semiconductor firms. "We put up billions of dollars for rich companies to come in and borrow the money and build chip companies here.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Rogan, Trump, Bernstein, Stacy Rasgon, Rasgon, CC Wei, shouldn't, They're, he'll, Patrick Moorhead, Kamala Harris, it's, Biden Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, Apple, Taiwan Semiconductor, Amazon, Google, Microsoft, UBS, Intel, Samsung, U.S, CNBC, U.S . Commerce Department, CC, Funds, Mizuho, Trump, Analysts, Citi, VanEck Semiconductor, Global, Texas, China, Micron Locations: Taiwan, U.S, China, Arizona
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrong holiday spending could catalyze softline retailers like On Holding, says UBS' Jay SoleJay Sole, UBS retail analyst, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss how consumer spending will impact softline stocks like On and Deckers, expectations for holiday spending, and more.
Persons: Jay Sole Jay Sole Organizations: UBS
They Used to Be Ahead in the American Economy. But over 40 years, even as their inflation-adjusted income has remained relatively flat, they’ve fallen well below the average income. But over 40 years, even as their inflation-adjusted income has remained relatively flat, they’ve fallen well below the average income. In the reordering of the U.S. economy since 1980, white men without a degree have been surpassed in income by college-educated women. As the American economy has shifted over the past 40 years away from manufacturing and toward services and “knowledge” work, this less visible hierarchy within the economy has shifted, too.
Persons: Jobs, metalworkers, , , Kathy Cramer, David Autor, Tom Kochan, Susan Houseman, , Lisa Boscola, Arlie Hochschild, , appraisers, Cramer, Scott Paul, who’ve, Stephanie Ternullo, Boscola, they’re, Donald J, Noam Gidron, Trump, Rather, Biden, Kamala Harris, Stefanie Stantcheva, Stantcheva Organizations: University of Wisconsin, Workers, Labor, Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, Democratic, Bethlehem Steel, Berkeley, Alliance for American Manufacturing, Harvard, Electoral College, Democratic Party, Republican, Securities, Bank, Radio, Observers, Mr, Obama Locations: American, U.S, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, M.I.T, Manitowoc County, Wis, Wisconsin, Michigan, , I’m, America, Bethlehem, Pa
Royal Caribbean is set to release its quarterly results on Tuesday, followed by Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings ' report on Wednesday. That means the cruise lines may have more room to grow, she said. "The wider that gap, the better the opportunity for the cruise lines to have upside," Farley said in an interview with CNBC. However, Scholes said his research shows that out of the three major cruise lines, the Carnival brand is facing the most pricing competition from private cruise operator, MSC. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Norwegian Cruise Lines stock year to date
Persons: Marco Bello, Patrick Scholes, Hilton, Christopher Nassetta, industry's, Brandt Montour, Montour, Josh Weinstein, CNBC's, Robin Farley, Farley, Truist's Scholes, Scholes, It's, Caribbean's Organizations: Port, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Wednesday, Barclays, Royal, Cruise Line Holdings, UBS, Orlando, Vegas, Royal Caribbean, Bloomberg, Royal Caribbean's, Citi, Cruise Lines Locations: Port of Miami, Miami , Florida, Caribbean, Royal Caribbean, 200bps, PortMiami, Norwegian
UBS says buy this homebuilder with more than 25% upside
  + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Analyst John Lovallo initiated coverage on the stock with a buy rating, with his price target of $232 implying more than 27% upside from Thursday's close. Lovallo joins 11 other analysts covering the stock on Wall Street who have a strong buy or buy rating, per LSEG. Within that same time, he also sees adjusted earnings growing roughly 16% annually and mid-to-high single-digit organic revenue growth. "We believe BLDR is uniquely positioned to grow with its homebuilder customers and drive above market organic growth through its size/scale advantage and idiosyncratic growth initiatives, including the digital platform rollout," Lovallo also said. BLDR YTD mountain BLDR, year-to-date The stock rose around 1% in premarket trading Friday after his move.
Persons: John Lovallo, Lovallo Organizations: UBS, Wall Locations: FirstSource, U.S
The S&P 500 closed higher on Thursday to end a three-day losing streak. The index was fueled by a surge in Tesla's stock, which closed 22% higher after a strong earnings beat. AdvertisementUS stocks closed mixed Thursday, though the S&P 500 was able to push higher after three days of losses. Its operating profit also exceeded expectations, up 54% from a year ago to $2.7 billion, while analysts expected $2.0 billion. Some analysts, though, remain cautious that the strong earnings will be sustainable in future quarters.
Persons: , Tesla Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, IBM, UBS, JPMorgan
Here are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street: KeyBanc downgrades Verizon to sector weight from overweight KeyBanc downgraded the telecom provider following earnings. Jefferies initiates California Resources at buy Jefferies says the energy company has a differentiated offering. " TD Cowen reiterates Microsoft as buy The firm recommended Microsoft heading into earnings next week. Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America touted Amazon ahead of earnings next week. Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight The firm says it's sticking with top pick Tesla following earnings on Wednesday.
Persons: KeyBanc, Jefferies, Bernstein, ServiceNow, TD Cowen, Wells, Susquehanna, Lisa Su, SRE, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, Rosenblatt, Apple Organizations: Verizon, " Bank of America, IBM, Bank of America, CRC, Facebook, Google, Microsoft, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, JPMorgan, NextEra Energy Partners, NextEra Energy, AMD, Sempra Energy Locations: California, Regions
The art market is in a correction as big spenders fade
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Robert Frank | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
The number of wealthy collectors surveyed who plan to purchase art in the next year fell to 43% from over half in 2023. The median spending on art by wealthy collectors remains stable at around $50,000 a year, according to the survey. Higher interest rates also raised the opportunity cost of buying art, since wealthy collectors could earn an easy 5% or more from cash and Treasuries. Just as in the classic-car market, the art market is going through a generational shift that's created a mismatch between supply and demand. According to the survey, the high end of the art market, or works priced at $10 million or more, was the strongest before 2022.
Persons: Andy Warhol, Jean, Michel Basquiat, Wiktor, Robert Frank, Phillips, Bonhams, Paul Donovan, Xers, they're, Donovan, Gen Xers, Gen Organizations: Art Basel, UBS Survey, UBS Global Wealth Management, Art Basel Miami Beach, Dealers, UBS Locations: London, United Kingdom, Christie's, Sotheby's, New York, East, Ukraine, Europe, China
For Chinese imports, Trump has proposed an even steeper 60% tariff. Many economists have warned that tariffs planned by Trump will hurt global economic growth and drive up inflation in the US, as well as abroad if other countries introduce higher levies on US imports in response. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) also sees a hit to global gross domestic product from increased tariffs around the world, according to its latest World Economic Outlook. Mario Tama/Getty ImagesA rise in protectionism around the world means open trade is already under threat and the ability of its champion, the World Trade Organization, to settle international trade disputes is severely constrained. “What we’d see in Trump 2 is far more radical than what we saw in Trump 1.”
Persons: Smoot, Donald Trump, Federal Reserve — Trump, Trump, , Evan Vucci, he’s, Maurice Obstfeld, Kristalina Georgieva, , Mario Tama, ” Obstfeld, ” Petros Mavroidis, Scott Olson, Joe Biden, André Sapir, Bruegel, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Trump, ” Edward Alden, ” Alden Organizations: London CNN, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Economic, of Chicago, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Republican, UBS, Monetary Fund, ABN AMRO, Peterson Institute, IMF, White, Port, World Trade Organization, CNN, Columbia Law School, US, European Union, EU, greenback, Foreign Relations, Locations: United States, Hawley, Washington, DC, China, Ukraine, Chicago, Japan, France, South Korea, Port of Los Angeles, Indiana, Portage , Indiana, Brussels, Trump
But there are some weak points — like a growing federal debt load. There are a few less-rosy data points out there, like rising long-term unemployment and a historically high level of federal debt. Federal debt is high compared to GDP, even looking beyond the spike of the debt as a share of GDP during the pandemic. While federal debt as a share of GDP was slightly above 100% before the pandemic, recent figures are much higher than in the past. Federal debt was 120% of GDP in the second quarter of this year.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Mark Hamrick, Kurt Reiman, Reiman, They're, aren't, Hamrick, There's, Biden Organizations: Service, The New York Times, Siena College, Pew Research, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, University of Michigan's, Consumers, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, MarketWatch Locations: America, Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGold may hit $2,500 by mid-2025, 'not surprised' if $3,000, says UBS' Kelvin TayKelvin Tay, regional CIO of UBS global wealth management, also said markets have priced in a potential Trump victory.
Persons: Kelvin Tay Kelvin Tay Organizations: UBS, Trump
But recent sales data from the auto-industry tracker Cox Automotive is worth examining ahead of Tesla's results on Wednesday. Tesla sold almost 17,000 Cybertrucks in the third quarter, Cox estimated, making it the third-most-popular EV in the US during the period. That's more than Ford's F-150 Lightning, Rivian's R1T, and Chevy's Silverado EV, Cox data shows. General Motors reported surprisingly solid results earlier this week and highlighted strong EV sales. Related storiesSome of this recent EV strength has been driven by lease incentives, which are available in the US to more buyers.
Persons: Elon, Tesla, Cox, Rivian's R1T, It's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bernstein Organizations: Cox, Tesla, Silverado, DeLorean, Motors, EV, UBS
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket still underinvested in gold, price seen at $3,000 by next year: StrategistJoni Teves of UBS Investment Bank lays out the case for gold at $3,000 per ounce by 2025, saying investors sill have a lot of room to build positions in the yellow metal.
Persons: Joni Teves Organizations: UBS Investment Bank
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