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☆ Ray Dalio says US is reaching an 'inflection point' as debt starts rapidly accelerating
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US is nearing an "inflection point" as the debt pile accelerates, Ray Dalio told CNBC. AdvertisementThe US's fiscal situation is heading for an "inflection point" as government debt grows faster than income, according to billionaire investor Ray Dalio. With the government borrowing more money to just pay for debt service while spending continues unabated, the hole gets deeper and deeper, he said on a CNBC interview on Friday. AdvertisementSuch issues have also impacted foreign demand, Dalio warned, noting that 40% of US debt is sold to foreigners. We are near that inflection point."

Persons: Ray Dalio, —, it's, Torsten Sløk Organizations: CNBC, Service, Bridgewater Associates, Apollo Management

☆ Microsoft emerges as big winner from OpenAI turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Aditya Soni | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] Microsoft Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Satya Narayana Nadella speaks at a live Microsoft event in the Manhattan borough of New York City, October 26, 2016. The turmoil at OpenAI since Friday had raised fears about the fallout for Microsoft, which has pumped in billions of dollars and uses the pioneer's technology for most of its AI offerings. That was nearly equal to the valuation OpenAI commanded in its last fundraise. We view Microsoft now even in a stronger position with Altman and Brockman at Microsoft running AI. "The OpenAI for-profit subsidiary was about to conduct a secondary at a $80 billion+ valuation.

Persons: Satya Narayana Nadella, Lucas Jackson, Sam Altman, Altman, Dan Ives, Brockman, OpenAI, Greg Brockman, Szymon Sidor, SemiAnalysis, Mira Murati, Aditya Soni, Akash Sriram, Sriraj Organizations: Microsoft, REUTERS, Google, Wedbush Securities, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City, OpenAI, Bengaluru

☆ Microsoft emerges as big winner from OpenAI turmoil with Altman on board
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Aditya Soni | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

That was nearly equal to the valuation OpenAI commanded in its last fundraise. "If Microsoft lost Altman, he could have gone to Amazon, Google, Apple, or a host of other tech companies," said Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives. We view Microsoft now even in a stronger position with Altman and Brockman at Microsoft running AI. Altman will lead a new research team at the software giant following his surprise ouster by OpenAI that shocked the tech industry. "The OpenAI for-profit subsidiary was about to conduct a secondary at a $80 billion+ valuation.

☆ China and Saudi Arabia sign a $7 billion currency swap agreement, adding to de-dollarization push
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

China and Saudi Arabia signed a currency swap agreement worth around $7 billion. China's o utstanding balance of forex swap lines hit a record 117.1 billion yuan, Bloomberg reported. AdvertisementChina and Saudi Arabia reached a currency swap agreement worth around $7 billion, marking another step in the dedollarization trend as countries around the world shift away from the greenback. The three-year deal allows for a maximum of 50 billion yuan or 26 billion riyals. And although Russia is China's top oil supplier, China imported $65 billion worth of Saudi crude oil in 2022, according to Chinese customs data cited by Reuters.

Persons: — Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, greenback, Reuters, RBC, JPMorgan, Initiative Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, dedollarization, Russia, Argentina, Beijing, Peru, Malaysia

☆ Here's how the rise of generative AI could change a core investing strategy
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-18 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Generative AI could change the 60/40 portfolio strategy, according to Morgan Stanley. AdvertisementThe latest corner of your life warped by generative AI? According to Morgan Stanley, the AI boom has the potential to change a core tenet of investing for the basic, moderate-risk investor: the 60/40 portfolio. "Similar to ICT, AI — especially generative AI — has the potential to improve productivity broadly across sectors," analysts wrote. The debate over the 60/40 portfolio has intensified after a historic meltdown in the bond market sent Treasury yields soaring.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, — Organizations: Service, Morgan, Morgan Stanley Research, Treasury, Fed, Vanguard Locations: BlackRock

☆ US stocks edge higher and notch 3rd consecutive week of gains
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

US stocks edged higher on Friday and notched a third consecutive week of gains. Markets rode a wave of optimism this past week around the potential end of Fed policy tightening. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Friday and notched gains for the third straight week as markets rode a wave of optimism around the potential end of Fed policy tightening. Prices had been in a slump all week but surged upwards following news that Saudi Arabia is considering prolonging its production cuts into 2024.

Persons: — Organizations: Dow, Markets, Service, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Saudi Arabia

☆ US stocks dip but head for weekly gains as bond yields continue to drop
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

US stocks dipped Friday but are poised for weekly gains as bond yields fell further. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are up about 2% or more this week. That's as inflation data came in lower than expected, raising hopes for the end to Fed rate hikes. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks slipped Friday but are poised for weekly wins, riding the wave of optimism around the end to the Fed's rate hikes.

Persons: — Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Service, Treasury Locations: Here's

☆ What we can expect from 'Deadpool 3,' starring Ryan Reynolds and Hugh Jackman
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Olivia Singh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Read previewA third "Deadpool" film is in the works, starring Ryan Reynolds as the titular Marvel mercenary and anti-hero. This time around, Reynolds will be joined by his longtime friend Hugh Jackman, who's reprising his role as Logan/Wolverine. According to Jackman, 'Deadpool 3' will take place before 'Logan'Hugh Jackman as Logan/Wolverine in "Logan." "And the fact that he's going to be on our 'Deadpool' set each and every day is nerve-wracking for me. 'Deadpool 3' is currently set for release on July 26, 2024Ryan Reynolds and Hugh Jackman in "Deadpool 3."

Persons: —, Ryan Reynolds, Reynolds, Hugh Jackman, who's, Logan, Shawn Levy, Jackman, Wolverine, James Mangold's, Deadpool, Hugh, Wade, he's, Emma Corrin, Jordan Strauss, It's, Matthew Macfayden, Matthew Macfadyen, Jae C, Tom Wambsgans, Morena, Morena Baccarin, Vanessa, Baccarin, Michael Rosenbaum, everybody's, Karan Soni, Leslie Uggams, Al, Stefan Kapicic, Rob Delaney, Peter, Brianna Hildebrand, Shioli Kutsuna, Yukio, Jennifer Garner, Elektra Jennifer Garner, Elektra, Fox Garner, Ben Affleck, Garner, AFTRA, @ShawnLevyDirect, @VancityReynolds Organizations: Service, Marvel, Business, Collider, Disney, Fox, Canada, Twitter, Hollywood, Etalk, Hollywood Reporter, Marvel Studios, British, SAG Locations: Logan

☆ Stock market winners and losers are already emerging from the next extreme weather cycle
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The market is beginning to price in the effect of the new El Niño weather pattern, Morgan Stanley said. Mentions of "El Niño" in earnings conference calls have also been on the rise. That's because the upcoming El Niño phenomenon has come into clearer focus, allowing Wall Street to predict who the top winners and losers could be. "Extreme weather events are broadening and strengthening," Morgan Stanley analysts led by Javier Martinez de Olcoz wrote in a note issued Tuesday. On the flip side, insurance stocks as well as Brazilian sugar and ethanol producers trading way higher.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, It's, —, Javier Martinez de Olcoz, El Niño, Mor, Niño Organizations: Service, El, El Niño Bloomberg Locations: Panama, El, America, Southern California, United States, Australia

☆ Treasury-yield surge boosts tokenization of real-world assets on blockchains, leading 'huge paradigm shift' in finance
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-12 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The rise of Treasury yields since 2022 has delivered a major boost to the tokenization of real-world assets. The total value of on-chain, real-world assets sits at $118.6 billion, according to Fundstrat. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe breathless rise of Treasury yields since 2022 has delivered a major boost to the tokenization of real-world assets. AdvertisementAdvertisementRight now, the total value of on-chain, real-world assets sits at $118.6 billion, according to Fundstrat. But the tokenization of real-world assets onto the blockchain is a newer trend that's picking up steam.

Persons: It's, —, Franklin Templeton, Tom Couture, SWIFT, Couture, Lee Bratcher, Bratcher, Fundstrat Organizations: Service, Boston Consulting Group, JPMorgan, BlackRock, Barclays, Texas Blockchain Locations: tokenize, Texas

The world's biggest shopping event happens in China each year - and it's called Singles Day. WHEN DID THE IDEA OF SINGLES DAY ORIGINATE? The idea for Singles Day had originated at China's Nanjing University back in 1993 and was originally called "Bachelor's Day." Cyber Monday immediately follows Black Friday, which falls on the day after the U.S. Thanksgiving Day holiday, the busiest shopping day of the year in the United States. "The presale period of Tmall and particularly on -- in general, the Singles Day, confirms a softer trend versus a year ago," said Estee Lauder CEO Fabrizio Freda last week, adding that the company was more optimistic about the next part of the Singles Day events in November.

Persons: it's, Bain, Jacob Cooke, Pinduoduo, Cooke, Estee Lauder, Nike, JD.com, Fabrizio Freda, Nicolas Hieronimus, Hieronimus, Granth, Aditya Soni, Diane Craft Organizations: China's Nanjing University, Adobe Analytics, U.S, Reuters, Technologies, Cyber, HK, PDD Holdings, Adobe, Bain, HOPE, Nike, Procter & Gamble, Apple, L'Oreal, Thomson Locations: China, United States, Beijing, Greater China, Bengaluru

☆ Take-Two surges on report widely awaited 'GTA VI' may be unveiled this week
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Grand Theft Auto The Trilogy by Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is seen for sale in a store in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., February 7, 2022. Take-Two, slated to report earnings later in the day, did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment. The game's predecessor, "GTA V", has garnered around $7.68 billion in sales since its launch in 2013 and ranks among one of the most profitable titles ever. Take-Two was on track to add nearly $2 billion to its market value, based on the premarket share price of $148.6. The stock has risen by nearly a third this year, partly due to growing expectations of a reveal for the "GTA VI".

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Aditya Soni, Sriraj Organizations: Inc, REUTERS, Bloomberg, Rockstar Games, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Foreign exchange funds double average returns due to the biggest divergence in central bank rates since 2008
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Foreign exchange funds are headed for an annual return of around 7%, according to Bloomberg. AdvertisementAdvertisementCurrency investors are seeing big returns this year as differences in interest rates across the top 10 global economies are at their widest since 2008. Foreign exchange funds are looking at an annual return of around 7%, according to data from BarclayHedge cited by Bloomberg. Currency carry trades are one of the most popular trades in the foreign exchange market, but they have been quaking as returns have become harder to maintain. Many foreign exchange funds have closed over the years, unable to defend paltry growth.

Persons: — Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Nomura's Group, US Federal, Bank of Japan

☆ Top bitcoin miners sold everything they produced last month and cashed out some of their own holdings as the token's price surged
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Top bitcoin miners sold more tokens than they produced last month, according to data portal The Miner Mag. Thirteen public miners sold $164 million worth of bitcoin, cashing in on its price rally in October. Miners' bitcoin liquidation-to-production ratio last month was 104%, up from 70% over the summer. AdvertisementAdvertisementTop crypto miners capitalized on the surge in bitcoin prices last month, selling more tokens than they produced. According to a post on crypto data portal The Miner Mag, 13 public bitcoin miners, including Hut 8 and Bit Digital, sold a total of 15,492 tokens worth $164 million.

Persons: —, bitcoin Organizations: Miners, Service Locations: Riding, what's

☆ Apple ticks lower after warning of dull holiday quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Aditya Soni | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Nov 3 (Reuters) - Apple shares on Friday pared losses that were driven by its forecast for a subdued holiday quarter after a U.S. jobs report bolstered hopes of a pause in interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. The iPhone maker on Thursday forecast sales for the holiday quarter, usually its biggest, below Wall Street estimates, blaming weak demand for iPads and wearables. An Apple iPhone 12 is pictured in a mobile phone store in Nantes, France, Sept. 13, 2023. "We view management's flat sales guidance as proof the company cannot rely on iPhone sales to drive shares higher, as it has in the past," D.A. "In mainland China, we set a quarterly record for the September quarter for iPhone," Cook told Reuters.

Persons: Bernstein, Stephane Mahe, D.A, Davidson, Tom Forte, Tim Cook, Apple, Cook, Dan Ives, Aditya Soni, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Apple, Federal Reserve, U.S . National Retail Federation, Deloitte, REUTERS, Huawei, Reuters, Wedbush Securities, Thomson Locations: Nantes, France, China

☆ Apple tumbles after warning of dull holiday quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Nov 3 (Reuters) - Apple fell 3% on Friday after it disappointed Wall Street with a forecast that indicated growth will stay subdued in the quarter where the holiday season usually drives its strongest sales. The iPhone maker on Thursday predicted quarterly sales that were below market estimates, blaming weak demand for iPads and wearables, especially in key market China. "We view management's flat sales guidance as proof the company cannot rely on iPhone sales to drive shares higher, as it has in the past," D.A. "In mainland China, we set a quarterly record for the September quarter for iPhone," Cook told Reuters. He was also positive on the outlook for the services business, whose strong growth in the September quarter had helped the company top quarterly revenue expectations.

Persons: Bernstein, D.A, Davidson, Tom Forte, Tim Cook, Apple, Cook, Dan Ives, Aditya Soni, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Apple, U.S . National Retail Federation, Deloitte, Huawei, Reuters, Wedbush Securities, Thomson Locations: China

☆ There are 2 factors that may be driving bond yields more than Fed meetings, Societe Generale says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Fed meetings may not be the biggest mover of the bond market, Societe Generale said. AdvertisementAdvertisementDespite US bond yields plunging after Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting, central bankers may not be moving the market as much as other factors, according to Societe Generale. Another factor elbowing yields higher is the Bank of Japan, according to Edwards. AdvertisementAdvertisementThis week, the BoJ further loosened its grip on bond yields, marking another step back from its so-called yield curve control policy meant to stimulate the economy by keeping interest rates low. "That pressure intensified at exactly the same time as it became apparent just how gargantuan US Treasury issuance had become," he added.

Persons: —, Albert Edwards, Fedspeak, Edwards Organizations: Societe Generale, Bank of Japan, Service, Reserve, Treasury, Treasury Department

☆ Wall Street can breathe easy. ChatGPT isn't smart enough to be a financial analyst yet.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

ChatGPT wouldn't be able to pass all levels of the exam required to get become a CFA. GPT-4 did better than ChatGPT and could pass the first two levels of the exam with enough prompting. According to a study, ChatGPT couldn't pass the chartered financial analyst exam—a benchmark qualification for many finance professionals across Wall Street. According to the CFA institute, only 38% of test-takers who took the level one exam in February 2023 passed. "GPT-4 would have a decent chance of passing the CFA Level I and Level II if prompted with [few shot] and/or [chain of thought scenarios]," the researchers wrote.

Persons: wouldn't, ChatGPT, —, couldn't, OpenAI —, it's Organizations: CFA, JPMorgan, Service, Wall

☆ The bitcoin white paper is 15 years old. Here's what it is and who people think its mysterious author could be.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The bitcoin white paper was published 15 years ago by Satoshi Nakamoto. The paper outlined the blockchain technology that would underpin a decentralized payment system. The paper has made its mark, but intriguingly, nobody today has figured out who Satoshi Nakamoto is. What's in the white paperWhile bitcoin was officially launched in January 2009, in the 2008 paper Satoshi Nakamoto laid out the fundamental framework of the blockchain-based payment system. It wasn't written in the white paper, but the system is designed so that there are only 21 million bitcoins that will ever exist.

Persons: Satoshi Nakamoto, —, Nakamoto, Mike Hearn, Gavin Andresen, Dorian Nakamoto, Craig Wright, Nick Szabo, bitcoin, Bitcoin Organizations: Service, Newsweek Locations: Australian

☆ Apple's holiday-quarter forecast faces threat from Huawei, weak China market
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Yuvraj Malik | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

People stand outside an Apple Store as Apple's new iPhone 15 officially goes on sale across China, in Shanghai, China September 22, 2023. Apple's (AAPL.O) own iPhone 15 line-up has gotten off to a slow start in the crucial international market. Counterpoint estimates China sales of the latest series were nearly 5% lower compared with the iPhone 14 in the first 17 days after launch. Reuters GraphicsWall Street analysts expect iPhone sales to rise about 6% in the October-December period, according to LSEG data. The segment has often outpaced growth in Apple's hardware business in recent years and now accounts for nearly a quarter of its total revenue.

Persons: Aly, Bernstein, Jefferies, Yuvraj Malik, Aditya Soni, Saumyadeb Organizations: Apple, REUTERS, Huawei, Data, Wall, IDC, Thomson Locations: China, Shanghai, Bengaluru

☆ The US is borrowing too much money, and that's what's driving rates higher, former Dallas Fed President says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US is borrowing too much money and that's what is keeping rates up, the ex-Dallas Fed Chair says. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe higher for longer outlook for interest rates sparked a historic crash in Treasury bonds this month, but there's another factor that's set to keep yields higher going forward, and that's US fiscal policy. According to former Dallas Federal Reserve President Richard Fisher, massive government borrowing needed to fund massive spending will be a culprit of higher bond yields. "I believe what's driving rates higher and what will keep them higher for longer is our fiscal policy," Fisher told CNBC on Tuesday. Compounding the issue of soaring debt is rising interest rates, as borrowing costs rocket higher amid the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation.

Persons: Fisher, —, Richard Fisher, Rowe Price's Organizations: Dallas Fed, Service, Dallas Federal, CNBC, Treasury Locations: Europe

☆ The boomer market boon
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

With that in mind, Bank of America has a way the rest of us can cash in on the boomer boon, writes Insider's Aruni Soni. Millennials vs. boomer spending Bank of AmericaIf you don't want to invest in boomers, you could always just invest like them. Regardless of what you decide to do with your money, just don't bank on getting more of it from your relatives. The billionaire hedge fund boss and owner of the New York Mets isn't expecting a deep recession or prolonged market downturn. The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, senior editor and anchor, in New York City.

Persons: —, John Knox, Joe Raedle, boomers, They're, Insider's Aruni Soni, Treasurys, Insider's Filip De Mott, Cuban, Neil Cavuto, Steven Ferdman, Charlie Munger, Bill Ackman, Michael Baron, Steve Cohen, Linda Yaccarino, Elon Musk, Jerod Harris, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, it's, Arantza Pena, Taylor Swift, Devin Booker, John Adams, Diego Maradona, Ivanka Trump, Keyatta Mincey, Parker, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Service, Bank of America, of America, Big Tech, Fox Business Network Studios, Dallas Mavericks, New York Mets, Elon, Elon Musk's, Microsoft, Google, Amazon Web Services, Kansas, HSBC Locations: Pompano Beach , Florida, New York City, Phoenix , Arizona, Local Kansas City, Kansas City, McDonald's, San Diego, London, New York

☆ Boomers are dominating the economy and benefiting from historic rate hikes. BofA explains which stock trades to make as Millennials struggle.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-28 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The way Boomers and Millennials are spending can inform investment decisions, Bank of America analysts say. In a note published Friday, BofA analysts wrote that investors should go "long Boomer stocks" and "short Millennial stocks." Specifically, they're spending a lot on health care, entertainment, and home improvement. When they are shelling out, they're spending more on housing and apparel, but are generally more strapped for cash. Millennials, meanwhile, are skint as borrowing costs shoot up and wealth accumulation gets stymied by a historically unaffordable housing market.

Persons: —, BofA, they're, Millennials, Boomer Organizations: Bank of America, Boomers, Service, of America, AARP, Toll

☆ Amazon rallies on cloud optimism as it chases Microsoft for AI business
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Aditya Soni | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Smaller cloud rival Microsoft (MSFT.O) rose 1.5%, while Alphabet (GOOGL.O) was down about 1.3%. Amazon shares have rallied about 40% this year, but they have lost nearly 8% in the past two days after Alphabet (GOOGL.O) warned that cloud customers were curbing spending. In the July-September period, Amazon posted its first quarter-on-quarter increase in cloud growth in nearly two years. The 12.3% growth in AWS was slower than the 29% rise seen at Microsoft's (MSFT.O) Azure cloud business, which had topped market estimates. To be sure, Amazon's cloud business is larger than that of Microsoft and Google.

Persons: Pascal, Andy Jassy, Bernstein, brokerages, Morningstar, Dan Romanoff, Aditya Soni, Arun Koyyur Organizations: REUTERS, Microsoft, Amazon, Amazon Web Services, Reuters Graphics, Tech, Google, Tejas Dessai, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru

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