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US annual home price growth at 6.1% in September, FHFA says
  + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
REUTERS/Sarah Silbiger/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 28 (Reuters) - U.S. annual home price growth accelerated again in September, underscoring the rebound of the housing market as it entered the final quarter of the year, data showed on Tuesday. Home prices rose 6.1% on a year-over-year basis in September, up from an upwardly revised 5.8% increase in the prior month, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) said. On a quarterly basis, annual house prices increased 5.5% between the third quarter of last year and the comparative period this year. The report also showed prices rose moderately on a month-over-month basis, in line with recent trends. Annual house prices rose the most in the New England and Middle Atlantic regions in August, with gains of 11.4% and 8.3%, respectively, the FHFA data showed.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Lindsay Dunsmuir, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Housing Finance Agency, Federal Reserve, Chicago, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, New England, Atlantic, Detroit
Home Prices Hit Fresh Record in September
  + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Nicole Friedman | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Home sales have slumped from a year ago, but prices aren’t falling because inventory is unusually low. Photo: Gene J. Puskar/Associated PressHome prices rose to a new record in September due to a shortage of homes for sale, even as high interest rates made home purchases less affordable. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index, which measures home prices across the nation, rose 3.9% from a year earlier in September, compared with a 2.5% annual increase the prior month. The September level was the highest since the index began in 1987.
Persons: Gene J Organizations: Associated Press
Stocks traded mixed on Tuesday as investors slowed down on the November rally. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Tuesday as investors pulled back on the November rally ahead of remarks from a cadre of Federal Reserve officials. Policymakers on the docket today include Fed Governors Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, and Michael Barr, as well as Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee.
Persons: Stocks, , Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Michael Barr, Austan Goolsbee, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Traders, Federal Reserve, Service, Fed, Chicago Fed, Bank of America, RBC Capital Markets, Here's, Dow Jones
Washington, DC CNN —US home prices continued to rise in September, hitting a new record high and marking the eighth consecutive month of increases, according to data released Tuesday. Even as mortgage rates lingered above 7% in September, historically low inventory continued to push up the price of a home. Prices rose 0.7% in September from the month before, according to seasonally adjusted data from the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index. Compared to a year ago, the national composite index also rose, with prices up 3.9% from September 2022, the data shows. Higher prices and higher mortgage rates led to crushing affordability challenges for homebuyers in September, bringing existing home sales to 13-year lows.
Persons: , Craig Lazzara, Dow, Charlotte ,, Hannah Jones, Jones Organizations: DC CNN, Dow Jones, Las, Realtor.com, homebuyers Locations: Washington, Atlanta, Boston, Charlotte, Charlotte , North Carolina, Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, Miami ; New York, Tampa , Florida, San Diego, New York, Las Vegas, Portland , Oregon, Northeast, Midwest
Higher mortgage rates appear to be doing very little to cool home prices. Nationally, prices were 3.9% higher in September compared with the same month a year earlier, up from a 2.5% annual gain in August, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index. "We've commented before on the breadth of the housing market's strength, which continued to be impressive," Craig Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI, said in a release. "Although this year's increase in mortgage rates has surely suppressed the quantity of homes sold, the relative shortage of inventory for sale has been a solid support for prices." "Unless higher rates or exogenous events lead to general economic weakness, the breadth and strength of this month's report are consistent with an optimistic view of future results," Lazzara added.
Persons: We've, Craig Lazzara, DJI, Lazzara Locations: Detroit, San Diego, New York, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Portland , Oregon
Consumers grew somewhat more optimistic about the future of the economy in November as expectations about inflation improved, but their sense of the current state of affairs worsened a bit. Still, two-thirds of consumers surveyed still expect a recession to be “somewhat” or “very likely” within the next 12 months. However, that is well above current inflation of 3.2% and forecasts from the Federal Reserve and mainstream economists. In the peak hour from 10 p.m. to 11 p.m. EST, consumers spent $15.7 million a minute, according to online analytics firm Adobe. One thing that might make some consumers happy is that home prices continued to increase in September.
Persons: , Dana Peterson, ” Peterson, Jeffrey Roach, Craig J, Lazzara, Lisa Sturtevant Organizations: Conference, Federal Reserve, LPL, , Adobe, MLS Locations: Detroit, San Diego
"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.
Persons: , Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries
Right now, it shows the S&P 500 at levels higher than during the dot-com bubble. According to Hussman's model, the S&P 500 will underperform Treasurys by about 7.5% over the next 12 years, the lowest projection since the 2000 and 1929 bubbles. Actual S&P 500 performance tends to follow Hussman's projections closely. Here's the Shiller cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500, which averages valuations over the prior 10 years. Much of those gains are thanks to the so-called "Magnificent 7" stocks, the S&P 500's biggest seven stocks by market cap.
Persons: John Hussman, Hussman, Here's, Adam Turnquist Organizations: Hussman Investment Trust, Business, Treasury, Federal, LPL Financial Locations: it's
Wall Street is set to wrap up a strong month next week as stocks gun for new highs heading into year end. The Nasdaq Composite is on pace to close out the month with a double-digit advance, up 10%. In contrast to September and October, which are typically weak periods for stocks, the seasonal patterns are now in favor of equities. This week, LPL Financial's Adam Turnquist pointed out that more than half, or 55%, of S & P 500 stocks closed above their 200-day moving average. It's set to show a rise of 0.2%, down from the 0.7% rise in the prior month, according to FactSet consensus estimates.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Sam Stovall, That's, CFRA's Stovall, What's, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Morningstar's Dave Sekera, Sekera, Morningstar's Sekera, Salesforce, Gartner Organizations: Nasdaq, Bank, Treasury, Costco Wholesale, Kroger, New, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, NetApp, Intuit, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, PMI, Manufacturing, Dominion Energy, Cboe, Cardinal Health Locations: Chicago
Wannabe homebuyers are getting hammered by a painful combination of high mortgage rates and high home prices. For the first time, monthly payments are above $2,500 – and that doesn’t even include taxes, insurance or other fees. Turmoil in the bond market and the Federal Reserve’s war on inflation have driven up mortgage rates to levels unseen since 2000. Aided by emergency action from the Fed, mortgage rates briefly tumbled below 2.7% in late 2020 and early 2021. At today’s rates, monthly payments on a $500,000 home would stand at roughly $3,265 after putting 20% down.
Persons: Ronald Reagan, Andy Walden, They’ve, Freddie Mac Organizations: New, New York CNN, Intercontinental Exchange, ICE, New York Stock Exchange Locations: New York, homeownership
U.S. Home Prices Rose to Record in August
  + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Nicole Friedman | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
The combination of high home prices and rising mortgage rates is making home purchasing unaffordable to many would-be buyers. Photo: Jamie Kelter Davis for The Wall Street JournalHome prices rose in August to a record high as a shortage of homes for sale kept the market competitive. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index, which measures home prices across the nation, rose 2.6% from a year earlier in August, compared with a 1.0% annual increase the prior month. The August level was the highest since the index began in 1987.
Persons: Jamie Kelter Davis Organizations: The Wall Street
Washington, DC CNN —US home prices continued to rise in August, hitting a new record high and marking the seventh consecutive month of increases. Prices rose 0.9% in August from the month before, according to seasonally adjusted data from the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index released Tuesday. Compared to a year ago, the national composite index also rose, with prices up 2.6% from August 2022, according to Case-Shiller data. On a seasonally adjusted basis, prices increased in 19 of 20 cities in August — and Cleveland only missed by a hair. Where prices are rising and falling the mostWhile 12 of the 20 cities reported higher prices in the year ending August 2023 versus the year ending July 2023, seven of 20 cities reported lower prices.
Persons: , Craig Lazzara, Dow, Charlotte ,, ” Lazzara, Lazzara Organizations: DC CNN, Dow Jones Indices, , Cleveland Locations: Washington, Atlanta, Boston, Charlotte, Charlotte , North Carolina, Chicago, Detroit, Miami, New York, , Las Vegas, West
Treasury yields fall as traders look to Fed meeting
  + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The 2-year Treasury yield was trading more than 1 basis point lower at 5.025%. U.S. Treasury yields declined on Tuesday as traders turned their eyes to Washington with the Federal Reserve set to kick off its policy meeting. Several policymakers have said they believe rates won't have to go any higher in recent weeks, often citing tighter financial conditions brought on by higher Treasury yields as a key factor. Higher yields are often associated with an easing economy. Elsewhere on Tuesday, the Bank of Japan announced it would keep interest rates unchanged but make its yield curve control policy more flexible.
Persons: Jerome Powell's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Investors, U.S . Treasury, Bank of Japan Locations: Washington
Home prices rose 0.4% in August and at an annual rate of 2.6%, as low inventories buoyed prices even while mortgages hit the 7% level. The CoreLogic Case-Shiller index for the month found 12 of the 20 cities in the index saw higher prices in August from the year-ago period. home prices continued to rise in August 2023,” said Craig J. Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI. “The year’s increase in mortgage rates has surely suppressed housing demand, but after years of very low rates, it seems to have suppressed supply even more. Political Cartoons on the Economy View All 604 Images“The affordability challenge is being exacerbated by persistently higher mortgage rates,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist for Bright MLS.
Persons: , Craig J, Lazzara, ” Selma Hepp, Lisa Sturtevant, Hannah Jones, That’s, Rhys Williams, It’s, Venkat Balakrishnan, , Dana Peterson, , ” Peterson Organizations: Bright MLS, Federal Reserve, , Census Bureau, , Realtor.com, Management, Fed, Conference Board, Hamas, Financial Group Locations: Chicago, New York, Detroit, Las Vegas, , Israel
Washington, DC CNN —The Fed’s fight against inflation is about to enter a new phase, but the central bank’s enormous balance sheet will continue to play a key role. The Fed also manages a multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet that accounts for trillions in government securities and lists how much currency is in circulation. For over a year now, the Fed has been steadily shrinking its balance sheet to help cool the economy. The Fed’s balance sheet is currently at around $7.9 trillion, down from its peak of $9 trillion in early 2022 right before the runoff. They also see alternative scenarios for the end of the balance sheet runoff if there isn’t a recession.
Persons: that’s, Lael Brainard, What’s, Wells, Jerome Powell, JPMorgan Chase’s Jamie Dimon, Jamie Dimon, Krystal Hur, Dimon —, Mr, Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, what’s, Estee Lauder, Kraft Heinz, Yum, Bausch, Eli Lilly, Molson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Congress, Fed, Wall Street, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Chase, CNN, HSBC, McDonald’s, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Bank of Japan, Pfizer, Caterpillar, Marathon Petroleum, Sirius XM, Anheuser, Busch, BP, Chesapeake Energy, US Labor Department, Global, Board, CVS, GSK, Humana, Reuters, Apollo Global Management, Brands, Garmin, Cruise Line Holdings, Qualcomm, Airbnb, PayPal, MetLife, Aflac, AIG, Allstate, Prudential, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Federal Reserve, ConocoPhillips, Starbucks, Duke Energy, Shopify, Ferrari, Marriott International, Moderna, Fox, Molson Coors, Hyatt, Apple, Motorola, Bank of England, Dominion Energy, Gartner, Restaurant Brands Locations: Washington, Treasuries, China’s, Mondelez, DoorDash, Avis, Shell, Cigna
The Federal Reserve meeting and October jobs report are on the docket next week as investors wrap up a brutal month for markets. Both the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slid into correction territory this week following some disappointing megacap tech reports. "I suspect that the Fed is not going to comfort the market," said James Camp, managing director at Eagle Asset Management. Many investors expect stocks could remain choppy until the markets gain clarity on when the Fed will start to cut rates. Jobs report Investors will get another look into the labor market next week soon after the Fed decision.
Persons: Jerome Powell, James Camp, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Dow Jones, Nick Galluccio, you'll, Powell, Charlie Ripley, Ripley, Galluccio, we've, Eli Lilly Organizations: Reserve, Nasdaq, Eagle Asset Management, Fed, Teton Advisors, Treasury, Asset, Apple, Investors, Allianz Investment Management, Advisors, Dallas Fed, Simon Property, Semiconductor, Western, ECI Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, Devices, Caesars Entertainment, Pfizer, GE Healthcare Technologies, Caterpillar, ADP, PMI, Manufacturing, Costco Wholesale, Qualcomm, Cruise Line Holdings, Brands, Labor, Factory, News Corp, Booking Holdings, Paramount Global, Moderna, Jobs, Services PMI, Health Locations: U.S, FactSet, Chicago
Daniel Bustamante, the hedge-fund CIO who won big in his short bet against shares of Carvana last year, is now betting millions of dollars that the housing market will slow significantly. Bustamante's call for home prices is an outlier in terms of where most Wall Street economists see the housing market headed. ATTOMAnother sign that things may go sour in the housing market is that institutional investors, or "smart money", has increasingly stopped buying residential properties, he said. RedfinAgain, Bustamante sees significant downside to home prices ahead. Recession warnings on Wall Street have become quieter in recent months as jobs and consumer spending data have held up.
Persons: Daniel Bustamante, DR, they'll, Bustamante, Bustamante anecdotally, ATTOM Organizations: Bustamante & Co, KB, Federal, National Locations: Carvana, Maricopa County , Arizona
But the housing market isn't necessarily locked into a period of sustained high home prices, at least yet, according to housing-focused Moody's economist Matthew Walsh. Walsh told Insider on Thursday that he expects national home prices to fall by around another 4% by the end of the current cycle. Below, we've listed the 10 markets where Walsh sees the highest upside from August 2023 through August 2026. While Walsh is most bullish on these markets, he said the appreciation wouldn't be flashy. We've also listed the current median home price in each market, according to Redfin data.
Persons: Matthew Walsh, Walsh, We've Organizations: National, National Association of
Aspiring homebuyers won't like what Goldman Sachs has to say about the housing market. Home prices will likely end this year up 1.8% before accelerating by 3.5% in 2024, according to Goldman Sachs' latest projections. By contrast, some cities in the West and Southwest saw prices plunge after soaring significantly during the pandemic. Ten of these metropolitan areas saw outsized property price growth while the other half saw prices decline from 2022. Along with each city is its year-over-year growth, total and annualized price growth since 2000, and median price.
Persons: homebuyers, Goldman Sachs, Roger Ashworth, Goldman, Corelogic, Ashworth Locations: Goldman Sachs, West, Southwest, Denver , Colorado
Tom Barkin, president of the Richmond Fed, recently commented on housing on the "Odd Lots" podcast. Home prices have stayed high as the pandemic sparked a "secular change" in the way people think about housing. That could mean sectors other than housing will need to see slowdowns, he suggested. AdvertisementAdvertisementHe added that the housing market ultimately remains imbalanced, and that could mean sectors other than housing will need to see slowdowns. But relative prices move all the time, and if what we've seen is a secular shift toward more demand for housing, that might mean somewhat less lessening of housing prices and somewhat more lessening of other prices."
Persons: Tom Barkin, , Barkin Organizations: Richmond Fed, Service
CNN —As momentum shifts toward clean energy, coal has had some unexpected staying power. A new report by the International Energy Agency found that global coal demand hit an all-time high in 2022 amid the energy crisis, eclipsing the previous record set in 2013. For example, Panasonic built a new electric vehicle plant in Kansas to aid its transition to clean energy. Why it matters: Coal, the highest carbon emitting and dirtiest energy source, is the single biggest contributor to human-created climate change. The Hollywood writers’ strike is overThe Hollywood writers’ strike is finally over after 148 days.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, , Dow tumbles, It’s, Stocks, Krystal Hur, , Bill Adams, Moody’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Commodities, Bloomberg, International Energy Agency, IEA, Panasonic, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Fed, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Comerica Bank, Government, Fitch, Hollywood, Writers Guild of America, WGA, SAG Locations: Ukraine, Europe, United States, Kansas
Home prices rose 0.6% in July, holding their own amid high mortgage rates and a low supply of houses for sale, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index released on Tuesday. On an annual basis, the national index is now up 1% from a year ago. “Areas in the Midwest continue to lead the national gains given their relative affordability. Markets that saw home prices reset following the recent surge in mortgage rates are expected to see stronger gains over the next 12 months, particularly those in the West,” Hepp added. While mortgage rates that have recently topped 8% for a 30-year fixed rate loan are dampening demand, a shortage of homes for sale is keeping prices high.
Persons: , Craig J, Lazzara, ” Selma Hepp, ” Hepp, Today’s, Danielle Hale, Locations: Chicago, Cleveland, New York
US home prices rose in July to record-high levels
  + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Prices rose 0.6% from the month before, according to seasonally adjusted data from the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index released Tuesday. Compared to a year ago, the national composite index also rose, with prices up 1% from July 2022, the prior peak, according to Case-Shiller data. In July, prices rose in all 20 cities after seasonal adjustment. Prices in Las Vegas were down 7.2% from a year ago and in Phoenix prices were down 6.6%. The West, where prices are down 3.8% from a year ago, and the South, with prices down 3.6%, continue to see annual price declines.
Persons: , Craig Lazzara, Dow, Selma Hepp, Freddie Mac Organizations: DC CNN, Dow Jones, CoreLogic, Federal Reserve Locations: Washington, Chicago, Cleveland, New York, Las Vegas, Phoenix
Consumers Are Growing More Pessimistic About the Economy
  + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Tim Smart | Sept. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +3 min
Consumers are growing more pessimistic about future prospects for the economy, according to the latest survey from the Conference Board released on Tuesday. “Consumer confidence fell again in September 2023, marking two consecutive months of decline,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at the business organization. “September’s disappointing headline number reflected another decline in the expectations index, as the present situation index was little changed. “Write-in responses showed that consumers continued to be preoccupied with rising prices in general, and for groceries and gasoline in particular,” Peterson added. “Consumers also expressed concerns about the political situation and higher interest rates.
Persons: , Dana Peterson, , ” Peterson, “ Consumers, Kelly Mangold, Lisa Sturtevant Organizations: Conference, , Federal Reserve, Census Bureau, U.S . Department of Housing, Urban Development, Real Estate Consulting, MLS, American Financial Corporation
US stocks tumbled on Tuesday as weak economic data sparked the worst loss since March. Investors are also contending with a possible interest rate hike and a government shutdown. AdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks plummeted on Tuesday as weak economic data sparked fears of a recession, adding to worries about rates and a government shutdown. "So far, higher interest rates haven't made a dent in housing prices this year. AdvertisementAdvertisementBefore this, investors were already grappling with uncertainty, as the Federal Reserve indicated that another interest rate could come up before the year end.
Persons: , haven't, Jamie Cox Organizations: Service, Harris Financial, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones
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