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☆ It's time to review big positions in your portfolio — including in A.I., says Saxo UK CEO
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's time to review big positions in your portfolio — including in A.I., says Saxo UK CEOCharlie White-Thomson, CEO of Saxo UK, says "at the heart of it, I remain very worried about the United Kingdom."

Persons: Charlie White, Thomson Organizations: Saxo Locations: A.I, United Kingdom

☆ Asian shares rise, dollar dips as traders await US inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Japanese yen strengthened against most major currencies and last fetched 139.43 against the dollar, its highest in a month. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was 0.61% higher, while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.54%. "However, if the core CPI decelerates as anticipated, investors may continue to keep the odds for September and November rate hikes low." China shares (.SSEC) eased 0.14%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (.HSI) rose 0.5% in early trading. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six peers, fell 0.197% at 101.40, having slid as low as 101.37, its lowest in two months.

Persons: Australia's, Hong, Rodrigo Catril, Wells, Saira Malik, Brent, Ankur Banerjee Organizations: Federal, Japan's Nikkei, Reuters, Saxo Markets, National Australia Bank, Investor, JPMorgan, Citigroup, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China, Wall, dealmaking

HONG KONG, July 12 (Reuters) - China's major tech companies have shed more than $1 trillion in value -equivalent to the entire Dutch economy - since the government's regulatory crackdown on the sector began more than two years ago, according to Refinitiv data. Reuters GraphicsTechnology stocks (.HSTECH) in Hong Kong have rallied 4.1% since Monday as investors bank on an easing regulatory environment to boost earnings, but some analysts have sounded a note of caution. "Mega-cap tech companies will allocate increasingly large amounts of capital expenditure towards developing generative AI technologies and products in a hostile external environment, potentially impacting profitability," said Redmond Wong, Saxo Markets strategist in Hong Kong. Steven Leung, UOB Kay Hian sales director, said current valuations would last "until we see more supporting policies from authorities". Reporting by Donny Kwok in Hong Kong and Scott Murdoch in Sydney; Editing by Kevin LiffeyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Tencent, Redmond Wong, Steven Leung, UOB Kay Hian, Donny Kwok, Scott Murdoch, Kevin Liffey Organizations: People's Bank of China, Tencent Holdings, HK, Alibaba, Baidu Inc, Reuters Graphics Technology, Saxo Markets, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, Hong Kong, Sydney

☆ Oil steady as demand woes from weak economic data offset by OPEC+ cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Arathy Somasekhar | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

HOUSTON, July 10 (Reuters) - Oil prices were little changed on Monday in choppy trading as demand woes after weak economic data from top consumers the United States and China were offset by expected crude supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia. "Oil traders may be cautious ahead of the U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) and China's slew of economic data later this week," CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng said of inflation data due on Wednesday. Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand. However, crude prices could rebound after producer group OPEC+ announced plans to reduce supply further, Teng added. Money managers stepped up net long positions in oil futures and options contracts in the latest weekly data.

Persons: Brent, Tina Teng, Loretta Mester, Teng, Ole Hansen, Hansen, Arathy Somasekhar, Noah Browning, Florence Tan, Emily Chow, Alexander Smith, David Goodman, Peter Graff Organizations: . West Texas, U.S . CPI, Consumer, CMC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank, Cleveland, OPEC, International Energy Agency, Saxo Bank, Money, Thomson Locations: United States, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, ., Saudi, WTI, Brent

BENGALURU, July 6 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar will hold its ground against most major currencies for the rest of the year despite expectations of narrowing interest rate differentials as the U.S. economy stays resilient, according to FX strategists polled by Reuters. "The tightness of the U.S. labour market may help the economy and the dollar in the very short term," said Kit Juckes, chief FX strategist at Societe Generale. "Even if we see (interest) rate convergence, it seems unlikely a new major euro uptrend will start without stronger growth." Indeed, a majority of common contributors showed the dollar view against most major currencies for the coming six months has been either upgraded or kept unchanged from a month ago. "The dollar is getting a tailwind from the Fed ... the current strength is on a repricing of the Fed (rate) higher," said John Hardy, head of FX strategy at Saxo Bank.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Kit Juckes, Jonas Goltermann, Sterling, John Hardy, Indradip Ghosh, Shaloo Srivastava, Sarupya Ganguly, Anitta Sunil, Veronica Khongwir, Hari Kishan, Ross Finley, Matthew Lewis Organizations: U.S, Reuters, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England, Societe Generale, Futures Trading Commission, Capital Economics, Saxo Bank, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, U.S, Europe, Asia, Britain, Bengaluru

The greenback was down 0.18% at 1104 GMT to 144.44 yen , after rising 0.27% on Monday. However, the yen remained close to last week's almost eight-month low of 145.07 per dollar, which prompted Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki to warn against excessive yen selling. Market activity was relatively subdued with U.S. markets closed for the July 4 public holiday. Across currency markets, investors remained on watch for possible intervention by Japanese authorities to stem yen losses. Tan said the dollar is likely to rise past 150 yen, which would make intervention "more likely than not".

Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, Alvin Tan, Masato Kanda, Janet Yellen, Charu, Tan, Harry Robertson, Ankur Banerjee, Kevin Buckland, Shri Navaratnam, Emma Rumney, Christina Fincher Organizations: LONDON, Japan's Finance, U.S, Federal, U.S ., Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, Reserve Bank of Australia, Australian, Treasury, Reuters, Saxo Markets, Japan, Bank, Bank of, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Bank of Japan, London, Singapore

☆ Yen steady, markets on intervention alert; Aussie up before RBA decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

"This is sending signals that a coordinated intervention may be coming as yen continues to hover above 144 per dollar," said Charu Chanana, market strategist at Saxo Markets. "A coordinated intervention usually has a longer lasting impact on the yen than a unilateral intervention would have." RBA WATCHThe focus in Asian hours will be on the policy decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). "We estimate that a hike would push up Aussie modestly by 0.8% so long as the post‑meeting statement was not dovish. The Australian dollar was at $0.668, up 0.16% against the U.S. dollar, while the New Zealand dollar was also up 0.16% at $0.616.

Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, Masato Kanda, Janet Yellen, Charu, Kristina Clifton, CBA's Clifton, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Saxo Markets, Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S . Federal, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters, Australian, U.S ., New Zealand, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Japan, U.S, United States, U.S ., Tokyo, Singapore

☆ Explainer: Why are OPEC+ supply cuts failing to boost oil prices?
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Members Saudi Arabia and Russia, the world's biggest oil exporters, deepened oil supply cuts on Monday in an effort to send prices higher. Here are the main reasons why OPEC+ output cuts are failing to significantly lift oil prices:CONCERNS ABOUT WEAK DEMANDData from China has sparked fears that the economic recovery from coronavirus lockdowns in the world's second-largest oil consumer is losing steam. The Energy Information Administration projects U.S. crude oil production will climb by 720,000 bpd to 12.61 million bpd this year, above a prior forecast increase of 640,000 bpd. This compares with around 10 million bpd as recently as 2018. LESS BULLISHIn 2020, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman warned traders against betting heavily in the oil market, saying those who gamble on the oil price would be "ouching like hell".

Persons: Brent, Carsten Fritsch, Tamas Varga, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, pare, Ole Hansen, Maha El Dahan, Ahmad Ghaddar, Mark Potter Organizations: of, Petroleum, Eurasia Group, U.S . Federal Reserve, International Energy Agency, OPEC, Energy Information Administration, Saudi Energy, Saxo Bank, Thomson Locations: DUBAI, LONDON, OPEC, Russia, Saudi Arabia, China, Japan, U.S, Eurasia, WTI

☆ Yen steady, markets on intervention alert, Aussie up before RBA decision
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The yen nudged up on Tuesday but remained vulnerable to more weakness, hovering near the key 145 per dollar level as markets were on alert for signs of intervention, while the Australian dollar moved up ahead of a central bank policy decision. "This is sending signals that a coordinated intervention may be coming as yen continues to hover above 144 per dollar," said Charu Chanana, market strategist at Saxo Markets. "A coordinated intervention usually has a longer lasting impact on the yen than a unilateral intervention would have." The focus in Asian hours will be on the policy decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia, or RBA. The Australian dollar was at $0.668, up 0.16% against the U.S. dollar, while the New Zealand dollar was also up 0.16% at $0.616.

Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, Masato Kanda, Janet Yellen, Charu, Kristina Clifton, CBA's Clifton Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Saxo Markets, Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S . Federal, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters, Australian, U.S ., New Zealand Locations: Japan, U.S, United States, U.S .

☆ Futures rise ahead of inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

SummarySummary Companies Nike slides after downbeat Q1 sales outlookApple up as Citigroup starts coverage with "buy"May PCE data due at 8:30 a.m. "The backdrop for equities is still no recession, inflation is sticky and financial conditions are still loose. "Key risks ahead for U.S. equities remain potential expanded export controls on AI chips and the upcoming Q2 earnings season." The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditure index (PCE) for May, will be released at 8:30 a.m. Adobe (ADBE.O) slipped 0.8% after UK's competition regulator ordered a second round of review of its deal to buy Figma.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Peter Garnry, Jefferies, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M, Shinjini Organizations: Nike, Apple, Citigroup, Dow, Federal Reserve, Saxo Bank, Nasdaq, Reuters, Traders, Dow e, Nike Inc, Apple Inc, Carnival Corp, Thomson Locations: U.S, North America, Bengaluru

Goldman Sachs said this week that rising interest rates would remain a "persistent drag" on oil. "There's been little sign of weakness in China's oil demand even if the general reopening boost has disappointed some investors. Global oil demand is forecast to grow between 1 to 2 million barrels per day (bpd), as per the poll. "Once these deficits become visible in on-land oil inventories, we expect prices to trend higher," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo. Respondents also largely agreed that the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would take measures to keep the floor for oil prices at $80.

Persons: Brent, Ole Hansen, Saxo, Goldman Sachs, There's, Ian Moore, Bernstein, Giovanni Staunovo, Seher, Arpan Varghese, Noah Browning, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: bbl, International Energy Agency, Saudi, of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: China, Saudi, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Aramco, India, Moscow, Turkey, Bengaluru

☆ Oil pares gains as rate hike fears offset US inventory drop
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Alex Lawler | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Benchmark Brent crude prices are down more than 15% this year as rising interest rates hit investor appetite, while China's economic recovery has faltered after several months of softer-than-expected consumption and other data. "For now, the market remains stuck with demand concerns weighing," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank. "Overall, the commodity sector, including crude oil, is suffering from risk adversity amid China growth worries and U.S. data strength pointing to higher rates," he said. The Energy Information Administration's official supply report is due out at 1430 GMT. Higher interest rates can weigh on economic activity and oil demand.

Persons: Brent, Ole Hansen, Oil, Christine Lagarde, Tamas Varga, Mohi Narayan, Jason Neely, David Evans Organizations: Oil, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Saxo Bank, American Petroleum Institute, Energy, European Central Bank, ECB, PVM, Saudi, Thomson Locations: contango, China

☆ Asian stocks teeter as Russia, rates and China risks weigh
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( Kane Wu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

MSCI's gauge of Asia Pacific stocks outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was up 0.08% at 0126 GMT, after dropping 0.06% an hour earlier. "Asian equities are set for a downturn on Tuesday, prompted by Wall Street's risk-aversion behavior," said Anderson Alves, a global macro analyst at ActivTrades. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in the red on Monday, with megacap momentum stocks pulling the tech-heavy Nasdaq down the most. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 0.04%, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 0.45% and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.16%. Hang Seng Index (.HSI) and China's benchmark CSI300 Index (.CSI300) opened up 0.3% and 0.1%, respectively, shaking off losses from the past four sessions.

Persons: Wall, Anderson Alves, Alves, Goldman Sachs, Redmond Wong, Wong, Vladimir Putin's, Brent, Kane Wu, Sam Holmes Organizations: Nikkei, ActivTrades, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S, Global, China, Saxo Markets, Treasury, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, Russia, Asia Pacific, Japan, Europe, U.S, ActivTrades, Asia

☆ China's modest rate cut sends stocks lower
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

LONDON, June 20 (Reuters) - European stocks and U.S. futures fell on Tuesday after China cut interest rates by less than expected and the market awaited more detail on Beijing's plans to shore up a stuttering economic recovery. The People's Bank of China lowered the medium-term lending facility rate on Thursday last week. "The meeting helped improve sentiment, but the market also understands that there's strategic competition between the U.S. and China," said Redmond Wong, Greater China market strategist at Saxo Markets. A central banker on Tuesday also hinted there was room for policy adjustment from the current path of aggressive rate hikes. Gold edged up 0.1% to $1,951.74 as the dollar index eased at 102.45 but lacked clear momentum as traders awaited U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's testimony later this week for more direction on the interest rate path.

Persons: Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown, Xi, Rodrigo Catril, Issei Kato, Antony Blinken's, Redmond Wong, Jerome Powell's, Brent, Joice Alves, Selena Li, Anisha, Susan Fenton, Jason Neely Organizations: Hargreaves, People's Bank of, National Australia Bank, REUTERS, Citi, U.S, Saxo Markets, Reserve Bank, Australia's, Bank of England, Federal, Thomson Locations: China, Asia, U.S, Beijing, People's Bank of China, Tokyo, Japan, United States, Greater China, German, London, Hong Kong, Bengaluru

China cut its benchmark loan prime rates (LPR) for the first time in 10 months on Tuesday, with a smaller-than-expected 10-basis point reduction in the five-year LPR. China's benchmark CSI (.CSI300) slipped 0.17%, with the real estate index (.CSI931775) falling 1.9%, its biggest daily decline in a month. "I don't think they (the LPR cuts) are going to move the needle at all," said Redmond Wong, Greater China market strategist at Saxo Markets. He said a 15 basis-point cut would have sent a "stronger message" that could boost sentiment in China's property sector. The People's Bank of China lowered the medium-term lending facility rate on Thursday last week.

Persons: Redmond Wong, Xi, Rodrigo Catril, Antony Blinken's, Saxo's Wong, Brent, Selena Li, Joice Alves, Anisha Sircar, Susan Fenton Organizations: CSI, Saxo Markets, People's Bank of, National Australia Bank Senior, Citi, U.S, Reserve Bank, Australia's, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Greater China, Beijing, People's Bank of China, United States, Hong Kong, London

☆ Asia shares fall on China's modest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( Selena Li | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

HONG KONG, June 20 (Reuters) - Stocks in Asia fell on Tuesday as investors worried China's latest rate cut was not enough to boost confidence in the weakening economy and awaited a wider stimulus package by Beijing. China, in a highly anticipated move, cut two key benchmark lending rates for the first time in 10 months on Tuesday, with its one-year loan prime rate (LPR) lowered by 10 basis points to 3.55% and the five-year LPR cut by the same margin to 4.20%. "I don't think they (the LPR cuts) are going to move the needle at all," said Redmond Wong, Greater China market strategist at Saxo Markets. He said a 15 basis-point cut would be a "stronger message" to boost China's property sector. The People’s Bank of China lowered the medium-term lending facility rate on Thursday last week.

Persons: China's, Redmond Wong, Xi, Rodrigo Catril, Goldman Sachs, Antony Blinken, Saxo's Wong, Brent, Selena Li, Sonali Paul Organizations: CSI, Saxo Markets, People’s Bank of, National Australia Bank Senior, U.S, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, Asia, Beijing, China, Pacific, Japan, U.S, Greater China, People’s Bank of China, United States, Hong Kong

☆ Warren Buffett pours more money into Japan’s stock market
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-19 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA) has added to its holdings in Japan’s five biggest trading houses, likely underpinning strong momentum propelling the nation’s stock market to multi-year highs. Berkshire said Monday its stakes in Itochu (ITOCF), Marubeni (MARUY), Mitsubishi Corp, Mitsui & Co (MITSY), and Sumitomo now average more than 8.5%. “The tailwinds for Japanese equities continue to multiply,” said Charu Chanana, market strategist at broker Saxo Markets in Singapore. Known as “sogo shosha,” Japanese trading houses deal in a variety of materials, products and food, often serving as intermediaries, and provide logistical support. The trading firms’ regulatory filings of June 12 showed Berkshire holding 7.4% of Itochu’s stock, 8.3% of Marubeni and Mitsubishi’s stock, 8.1% of Mitsui’s stock and 8.2% of Sumitomo’s stock.

Persons: Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway, Monday’s, ”, Charu Organizations: Berkshire, Mitsubishi Corp, Mitsui & Co, Sumitomo, Nikkei, Saxo Markets, America Berkshire Locations: Singapore, Berkshire, United States

☆ Oil heads for weekly gain as supply cuts balance demand concerns
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( Alex Lawler | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The Bank of England is set to raise interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point next week. Rising interest rates could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand. However, both oil benchmarks were heading for a small weekly gain after declines in the past two weeks. Oil gained about 3% on Thursday on hopes of increasing Chinese demand. China's refinery throughput rose in May to its second-highest total on record and Kuwait Petroleum Corp's CEO expects Chinese demand to keep climbing during the second half.

Persons: Ole Hansen, Alex Lawler, Sudarshan Varadhan, Stephanie Kelly, David Goodman Organizations: Bank of England, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal, Saxo Bank, Brent, West Texas, Oil, Kuwait Petroleum, Organization of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: Bank, OPEC, Brent, Saudi Arabia

☆ Asia shares near 4-month peak, yen falls as BOJ maintains policy
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The BOJ rounded up a central bank heavy week, keeping its pledge to "patiently" sustain massive stimulus to ensure Japan sustainably achieves its 2% inflation target accompanied by wage hikes. As widely expected, the BOJ maintained its -0.1% short-term interest rate target and a 0% cap on the 10-year bond yield set under its yield curve control (YCC) policy. Markets are now pricing in 67% chance of the U.S. central bank raising its interest rate by 25 basis points next month, according to CME FedWatch tool. The European Central Bank on Thursday left the door open to more rate hikes as it flagged risks from rising wages and revised up its inflation projections. The ECB also raised interest rates by 25 bps taking its policy rate to 3.5%, a level not seen since 2001.

Persons: DAX, Kazuo Ueda's, Charu, HSI, Ryan Brandham, Lagarde, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Kim Coghill Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, Ueda, Saxo Markets, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Validus Risk Management, European Central Bank, ECB, NatWest Markets, China . U.S . West Texas, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, North America, U.S, China . U.S

☆ European Central Bank more hawkish than expected, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEuropean Central Bank more hawkish than expected, strategist saysJohn Hardy, head of FX strategy at Saxo Bank, weighs in on the European Central Bank's latest interest rate decision and assesses what it could mean for global currency markets, saying better economic outcomes are needed across Europe for the euro to turn higher.

Persons: John Hardy Organizations: Central Bank, Saxo Bank, Central Locations: Europe

Media tycoon Berlusconi founded Forza Italia when he entered politics in 1994. "I expect Brothers of Italy to be attractive to Forza Italia members," Lorenzo De Sio, a politics professor at LUISS University in Rome, said. The relationship between Berlusconi and Meloni repeatedly came under strain since they won general elections together last year. That triggered a long process which ended up in a merger between Forza Italia and MSI's heir Alleanza Nazionale in a single party. Althea Spinozzi, fixed income strategist at Saxo Bank, said the risk associated with investing in Italy can decrease with a downsized Forza Italia.

Persons: Marina, Silvio Berlusconi, Giorgia Meloni, Berlusconi, Matteo Salvini's, Meloni's, Giuliano Cazzola, Lorenzo De, Meloni, Alleanza, Brothers, Sergio Mattarella, Yara, Eugenio Pizzimenti, Antonio Tajani, Pizzimenti, Althea Spinozzi, Marina Berlusconi, Angelo Amante, Giuseppe Fonte, Antonella Cinelli, Angus MacSwan Organizations: Forza Italia, Media, Matteo Salvini's League, Forza Italia's, Forza, Reuters, Analysts, LUISS University, Italian Social Movement, Berlusconi's, Alleanza Nazionale, REUTERS, Pisa University, Union, Saxo Bank, Meloni, Thomson Locations: ROME, Italy, Rome, Ukraine, Brussels

☆ Asian shares slide as traders fret on Fed rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was down 0.53%, while Japan's Nikkei (.N225) edged 0.08% higher. The move from the BoC comes after Australia's central bank also stunned markets by hiking interest rates earlier this week. Treasury yields were stable in early Asian hours after surging overnight after the move from Canada's central bank. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was up 0.4 basis points at 4.554%. In the currency market, the dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six major peers, eased 0.029%, with the euro up 0.09% to $1.0707.

Persons: Ryan Brandham, hawkish, Hong, HSI, Saxo, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Christian Schmollinger Organizations: Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, Japan's Nikkei, BoC, Validus Risk Management, Reserve Bank of Australia, Fed, Saxo Markets, Traders, Reuters, Treasury, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, North America, China, Canada's

In the previous session, the index dropped as data pointing to tepid U.S. business activity sparked profit-taking following gains in the prior week. MSCI's broadest index of world stocks (.MIWD00000PUS) was largely flat, while Tokyo's Nikkei (.N225) gained 0.90% and China's blue-chip index (.CSI300) dropped almost 1%. Three months ago, the question was how fast would rate hikes come. Now, a pause and then more U.S. rates hikes could follow as a result of sticky inflation, said Mike Kelly, head of multi-asset at PineBridge Investments. In oil markets, prices gave up most gains from the previous session after the world's top exporter, Saudi Arabia, said it would further cut output.

Persons: Toby Melville, Germany's DAX, Mike Kelly, We're, Gary Dugan, bitcoin, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara Ranasinghe, Mark Potter Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, City of, REUTERS, Reserve, British Retail Consortium, Tokyo's Nikkei, Reserve Bank of Australia, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, PineBridge Investments, Saxo Markets, Dalma, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, U.S, Saudi Arabia

☆ Oil falls as economic fears overshadow Saudi output cut
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Rowena Edwards | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Brent crude futures were down $1.50, or 1.96%, to $75.21 a barrel by 1046 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell $1.47, or 2.04%, to $70.68 a barrel. Backwardation in Brent crude oil futures — where the current value is higher than in later months — steepened after the weekend announcement with the six-month spread hitting a five-week high of $2.20/bbl on Monday. The U.S. services sector barely grew in May as new orders slowed, and market participants are waiting to see if the U.S. Federal Reserve will hike or hold interest rates in June. Higher interest rates could curb energy demand.

Persons: Brent, Backwardation, — steepened, Ole Hansen, Tamas Varga, PVM, Rowena Edwards, Arathy Somasekhar, Trixie Yap, Sriraj Kalluvila, Jason Neely Organizations: EIA, LONDON, Saudi, Brent, . West Texas, Citi, bbl, PMI, Saxo Bank, The, U.S . Federal, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Thomson Locations: Saudi Arabia, OPEC, U.S, Europe, China, Brent, The U.S, London, Houston, Singapore

☆ Asian stocks wobble as traders weigh Fed rate pause option
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A string of economic data along with last week's dovish rhetoric from Fed officials have emboldened bets of the Fed refraining from an interest rate hike at its June 13-14 meeting. Saxo strategists said recession concerns, firmer signs of Fed rate cuts or China stimulus measures may be needed to turn sentiment on the energy markets. In the currency market, the dollar index , which measures greenback against six major peers, eased 0.01%. The Australian dollar eased 0.02% to $0.661 as traders wait for the policy decision from the country's central bank. "We expect the RBA to leave the cash rate on hold," analysts at Commonwealth Bank of Australia said in a note.

Persons: Australia's, Hong, nonfarm, Gary Dugan, Brent, Saxo, Sterling, bitcoin, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Federal Reserve, Tokyo's Nikkei, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Federal, Saxo Markets, Dalma, OPEC, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, CBA, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China, U.S, Saudi Arabia

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