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☆ Wall Street is again making predictions for next year, but don't pay too much attention
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Not surprisingly, Wall Street tends to be a bullish group. Wall Street has a terrible track record All of this gets investor juices flowing. Wall Street strategists collectively have a terrible track record. As a result, you might be tempted to think you should pay no attention to Wall Street, or anybody else. If nothing else, the predictions of Wall Street strategists are a good starting point for all of us to think about the near future.

Persons: Lori Calvasina, America's Savita Subramanian, Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Jeff Sommer, Sommer, Morgan Housel, I'm Organizations: Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, RBC Capital Markets, Bank, America's, Wall Street, of America, Barclays, UBS, Wealth, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, Street, New York Times, Yardeni Research, Federal Reserve, Wall Locations: Wells Fargo, Russia, Ukraine, Israel

☆ Make these 5 investments as stocks climb to record highs in 2024, according to top strategists at Bank of America and BMO Capital Markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

COVID), and active funds are hugging their benchmarks," Subramanian wrote in a note about her 2024 outlook. "We're bullish not because we expect the Fed to cut, but because of what the Fed has accomplished," Subramanian wrote. BMO Capital MarketsBofA analysts are calling for slower inflation, better profit margins, and improved efficiency, Subramanian wrote. BMO is less optimistic about energy stocks since they've lagged behind oil prices in the last year. Consumer discretionary is a strong bet if interest rate hikes are over and consumers keep spending, Subramanian wrote.

Persons: Brian Belski, Belski, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Bank of America BMO's Belski, he's, boomers, BofA Organizations: Bank of America, BMO Capital Markets, Business, BMO, Federal Reserve, " Bank of, Energy, BMO isn't Locations: Ukraine, Israel

☆ BofA's Savita Subramanian on why the S&P 500 will hit 5,000 by end of 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA's Savita Subramanian on why the S&P 500 will hit 5,000 by end of 2024Savita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why she believes next year will be a 'stock picker's paradise' with the S&P hitting 5,000 by year-end, and more.

Persons: Subramanian, Savita Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities

☆ Premarket stocks: Why investors are looking forward to 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The S&P 500 currently sits around 4,550. BMO’s chief investment strategist Brian Belski has predicted that the S&P 500 will close out 2024 at a healthy 5,100. The S&P 500 has gained about 18.5% so far this year after falling nearly 20% in 2022. Despite elevated borrowing costs, three years of high inflation and increasing numbers of Americans dipping into their retirement plans, consumers continue to keep the US economy chugging. Google accounts include everything from Gmail to Docs to Drive to Photos, meaning all content sitting across an inactive user’s Google suite is at risk of erasure.

Persons: New York CNN — It’s, ”, Candace Browning, Browning, Goldman Sachs, Lori Calvasina, America’s Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Brian Belski, “, Matt Egan, ” Michelle Meyer, Jennifer Korn, it’s, Google Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bank of America, RBC, BMO Capital Markets, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets, Bank, America’s, Federal Reserve, Mastercard Economics Institute, CNN, Adobe Analytics, Google Locations: New York

☆ Deutsche Bank sees S&P 500 gaining more than 11% and reaching a record next year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Deutsche Bank expects the S & P 500 could climb more than 11% to a record next year — and said its base case seems "conservative." The investment bank set its 2024 year-end S & P 500 target at 5,100, or more than 11% above where the broader index closed Friday at 4,559.34. In its bull case, Deutsche Bank expects the S & P 500 could even climb to 5,500, or more than 20% above where the benchmark closed last. "We note that the S & P 500 has been in a clear trend up channel since the [Great Financial Crisis]. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin expects the S & P 500 will chop around and finally end next year at 4,700 .

Persons: —, Jim Reid, Reid, America's Savita Subramanian, Lori Calvasina, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Bank, America's Locations: London, financials

☆ Bank of America sees the S&P 500 rising to 5,000 next year, anticipates a 'stock picker's paradise'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Savita Subramanian, the bank's head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, wrote Tuesday she sees the S & P 500 ending 2024 at 5,000. "We are past maximum macro uncertainty," wrote Subramanian. The S & P 500 on Friday posted a three-week winning streak — its longest run since this past summer. The strategist also noted other reasons she's bullish heading into 2024, including: Expectations of S & P 500 earnings rising more than 6% year over year. How to play it She anticipates a "stock picker's paradise" as certain companies separate themselves from the pack.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, she's Organizations: of America, Federal, Bull Locations: Monday's

☆ Cramer broadly agrees with Bank of America's bullish analysis, says next year could bring gains for the S&P 500
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday reacted to Bank of America 's bullish outlook for 2024, agreeing that it's possible S&P 500 could reach 5000 by the end of next year. "Broadly speaking, I actually agree with Savita Subramanian at Bank of America that we could go to 5000 on the S&P," he said. The S&P 500 is seen by most on Wall Street as the best gauge for large-cap U.S. stocks, and it closed on Tuesday at 4,538.19. After a tough few months, the S&P 500 has seen a turnaround, advancing 8.4% for the month, it's largest monthly increase since July 2022. Subramanian wrote the market has moved past its "maximum macro uncertainty," explaining that it has already absorbed significant geopolitical shocks and companies have adapted to higher rates and inflation.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Cramer Organizations: Bank of America, Reserve, Nvidia, Microsoft, FTC

___Their recommendations include securing land rights for women, promoting women's cooperatives and encouraging women to lead on developing climate policy. The link between phenomena like uterine prolapse and climate change is indirect but significant, said Seema Bhaskaran, who tracks gender issues for the nonprofit Transform Rural India Foundation. “It must prioritize awareness programs that emphasize the specific health challenges women face in the wake of climate change as a critical step towards increasing public knowledge. These efforts will also serve as a call to action for governments, institutions, and communities to prioritize women’s health and well-being as a central component of their climate initiatives,” she added. “Definitely there is a very clear recognition that climate has a health impact and health needs to be considered more seriously,” she said.

Persons: Manju Devi, Devi, hadn’t, ___, Seema Bhaskaran, Bhaskaran, Savita Singh, Singh's, Singh, ”, Babita Kumari, Kumari, Poonam, COP28, Anjal Prakash, Shweta Narayan Organizations: DELHI, India Climate Journalism, Associated Press, Stanley Center for Peace, Security, Press Trust of India, India's, Transform Rural, Foundation, Climate Central, Population Foundation of India, Bharat Institute of Public, Indian School of Business, United Nations, Health, AP Locations: Delhi, Dubai, India, New Delhi, Syaraul, Uttar Pradesh, Nanu, U.S

☆ Bank of America: 4 signs that a company might be acquired and see shares pop — and 12 stocks primed for a deal right now
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Our experts answer readers' investing questions and write unbiased product reviews (here's how we assess investing products). There are few catalysts that are almost guaranteed to juice a stock's value. One of the most surefire ways to send a company's stock soaring is for another company to acquire it. Unfortunately, if it were easy to predict mergers and acquisitions before they happened then everyone would be doing it. Among these is their "preferred M&A valuation metric: FCF/EV, where we screen for those trading below the universe median," Subramanian wrote.

Persons: Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of

☆ These losing stocks could surge as the year winds down, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

One investor's portfolio loser could be another's winning stock as 2023 draws to a close, according to Bank of America. Buy rated and cheap Bank of America screened for buy-rated stocks that fell at least 10% in 2023 through the end of October that were also overweight by long-only funds as of September. However, Bank of America still rates both names as buys – and others on Wall Street spot potential. Retailer Target is another name that made the cut, garnering a buy rating from Bank of America. Other stocks in Bank of America's list include agriculture play Mosaic , life insurer MetLife , defense giant Northrop Grumman , as well as gas and electric utility CenterPoint Energy .

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Dexcom, Insulet, –, Piper Sandler's Matt O'Brien, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Internal Revenue, Bank of, Target, MetLife, Northrop, CenterPoint Energy Locations: Bank of America, Bank

☆ Bank of America says there are two things that will drive the next bull run in stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Artificial intelligence's influence on increased productivity and a strong consumer could underpin the next bull run on Wall Street, according to Bank of America. "I think this is actually a very underappreciated bull case," she added. The "Magnificent Seven" stocks in the S & P 500 have been large growth drivers for Wall Street for most of 2023. As long as those factors don't change, we think that the consumer can hang in there," she said. "We've had a big move in rates, but companies have so far been able to withstand it.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, it's, We've, Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Wall, Nvidia, Apple, Federal Reserve, Survey

☆ Bank of America: Buy these 56 losing stocks that are on the verge of becoming winners, thanks to a little-known investing strategy that has consistently outperformed the market since 1986
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Tax-loss harvesting is simple: investors reduce capital gains taxes by selling securities for a capital loss. Bank of America analysts led by head of US equity & quantitative strategy Savita Subramanian endorse a new twist on the strategy. In a recent note to clients, Subramanian identified what she calls TLCs: tax-loss candidates. "We've historically seen evidence of tax-loss selling by institutional investors in Oct. (peak outflows), and by retail investors in Dec. ahead of the Dec. 31 cut-off for individual investors," Subramanian wrote. Institutional investors must sell their losing stocks to claim the benefits of tax-loss harvesting by October 31, while retail investors have until December 31.

Persons: shrug, Subramanian, they've Organizations: Bank of America, 1.9ppt, Institutional

☆ Bank of America: Buy these 21 stocks that will profit if the Federal Reserve decides to keep hiking interest rates next month
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Investors breathed a sigh of relief late Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell announced that interest rate hikes would remain paused. That pause was welcomed by the market after 11 interest rate hikes since March 2022 brought rates to their highest point in 22 years. But just because Powell decided to keep rate hikes paused for now doesn't mean they can't head higher from here. Higher interest rates tend to be a drag on stocks. Along with each company is its ticker, last closing price, sector, industry, and nominal interest rate beta.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, there's, We're, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of, Bank of America

☆ Stocks paying high dividends that are safe and ones that are not, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Dividend stocks can be a good way to earn income amid market volatility, but not all dividends are necessarily safe. Here are some of those stocks that offer a strong balance sheet and high, but safe, dividends, according to Bank of America. In October, KeyCorp reported third-quarter earnings per share of 29 cents, slightly above the 27 cents expected by analysts, per StreetAccount. Walgreens Boots Alliance , with an 8.8% dividend yield, is also highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.8, according to Bank of America. Adjusted earnings per share came in at 67 cents, versus the 69 cents expected from analysts polled by LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv.

Persons: they're, Savita Subramanian, Rowe Price, StreetAccount, KeyCorp, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investors, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Revenue, Walgreens Boots Alliance, LSEG Locations: Baltimore, Cleveland

☆ The S&P 500 could soar 16% in the next year as a 'buy' signal with strong track record close to flashing, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market is close to flashing a "buy" signal with a strong track record, according to BofA. BofA's sell side indicator is three times closer to a "buy" reading than a "sell" reading. The indicator suggests 15.5% upside in the S&P 500 over the next year, analysts said. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe stock market is close to flashing a "buy" signal that's almost always resulted in positive returns for the S&P 500 in the following 12 months, according to Bank of America. That's caused equities to look less attractive and ratcheted up fears of a coming recession, sparking a sell-off in stocks that drove the S&P 500 to its third-straight monthly loss.

Persons: —, Bank of America's Savita Subramanian Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Wall, SSI, Bank of America's, Fed

☆ Bank of America: 12 stocks with inflation-protected dividend yields that can provide stability in an uncertain market
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Investors are holding their breath this week as Jerome Powell contemplates his next move in the ongoing battle against inflation. But for investors who'd rather tune out all the noise surrounding inflation and simply focus on finding profitable investments, Bank of America can help. First, they made sure the stocks were worthwhile, searching only for dividend yields that were greater than the 10-year Treasury yield. And finally, they looked for stocks with a positive relative beta to inflation. Along with each stock is its ticker, sector, dividend yield, dividend growth over the last four years, employees-to-sales ratio, relative beta compared to Bank of America's inflation composite, its analyst rating, and its last closing price.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, who'd, Subramanian Organizations: Federal, Bank of America, Bank of

☆ Take advantage of this stock market correction and another quarter of strong earnings by making these 10 moves now, according to top strategists at 4 investment firms
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The S&P 500 is down 7% since the start of September and briefly entered correction territory from its summer high last week. However, strategists say these threats are mostly priced into stocks, but higher earnings aren't. After three straight quarters of contracting profits, both BofA and UBS expect earnings to grow at least 3% year-over-year in Q3. "Within the context of our expectations for a continued choppy backdrop, we are incrementally more positive," Lerner wrote in a late October note. Truist's more constructive view on equities is based on strong results so far in Q3, Lerner wrote.

Persons: Oppenheimer, Savita Subramanian, Marcelli, David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, Keith Lerner, Lerner, it's, Truist, Mark Haefele Organizations: Bank of America, UBS, Bank of America's, Equity, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Israel, Oppenheimer Asset Management Locations: Israel, Ukraine, Truist, Real, Charlotte

☆ Analyzing the market sell-off: Routine S&P 500 correction or something more serious?
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-28 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD The S & P 500 is also down 10% over the past two years and at a level first reached 30 months ago, with U.S. GDP now 18% larger than it was then and annualized earnings 10% higher. This places the S & P 500 at around 17 times forward earnings, roughly the past decade's average. The equal-weight S & P is near a 14 multiple and the equal-weight consumer discretionary sector is under 13, near the 2022 low P/E. Bank of America equity and quantitative strategist Savita Subramanian points out that "Consensus long-term growth expectations for S & P 500 earnings have dropped to record lows, a rather powerful contrary indicator." Yes, market breadth is lousy, the equal-weight S & P 500 less than 5% above the October 2022 low, but this is also how markets look when they're getting "sold out."

Persons: it's, Goldman Sachs, It's, Savita Subramanian, Stocks Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Bank of America Locations: Israel, Iraq

☆ We are setting ourselves up for 'growth surprise' next year, says BofA Securities' Subramanian
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe are setting ourselves up for 'growth surprise' next year, says BofA Securities' SubramanianSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why she has a year-end S&P price target of 4600, why she believes we will see a 'growth surprise' next year, and more.

Persons: Savita Subramanian Organizations: BofA, BofA Securities

☆ Breaking down the complicated and erratic relationship between stocks and bonds
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-21 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

At Friday's close of 4224 on Friday, the S & P 500 is off 8% from the July high, with its equal-weighted version down 11%. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD Yet the S & P was also at about the current level on Sept. 22, when the 10-year was a half-percentage-point lower, as well as on June 2, when it was at 3.7%. It's taken as a given in most corners of the investment business that higher rates available on bonds serve mechanically to compress equity valuations. Which is how the stock market finds itself here, with real or incipient breakdowns in regional banks and transportation stocks, the median S & P 500 component down for the year. The S & P 500 has gone on to drop a bit further, rally weakly and then roll back toward a five-month low.

Persons: James Carville, Bill Clinton, Stocks, it's, It's, Savita Subramanian, Jay Powell, LEI, Bond Organizations: Treasury, Bank of America, Group, Bloomberg News Locations: Friday's, corporates, Israel

☆ Bank of America: Buy these 10 stocks set to shatter expectations after earnings growth accelerated in the third quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Earnings will rise in Q3 and bring stocks along for the ride, according to Bank of America. Earnings estimates haven't budged in the last three months, which is better than the typical 4% pre-quarter drop. 10 stocks set for success as Q3 earnings reboundProfits have exceeded GDP by an average of 1.5 percentage points since 1950, according to BofA. Bank of AmericaHowever, Bank of America is confident that a new quarter will bring a clean slate for earnings. Below are 10 stocks that Bank of America believes are most likely to beat expectations in Q3.

Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Savita Subramanian, there's, Kwon, Subramanian, BofA Organizations: Bank of America, Wall, Bank of America Companies, Bank, Companies

☆ Here's why it's so dangerous for Wall Street to bet against the American consumer
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

"Betting against the American consumer is a dangerous proposition," Ned Davis Research said. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe American consumer has defied expectations over the past year as spending remains resilient, but Wall Street continues to anticipate a recession. The dynamic highlights why it's dangerous to bet against the American consumer, according to a Friday note from Ned Davis Research. YChartsMeanwhile, rising interest rates only impacts new loans or refinancings, and just over 75% of mortgage holders have an interest rate below 5%. Betting against the American consumer is a dangerous proposition," NDR concluded.

Persons: Ned Davis, —, Bank of America's Savita Subramanian Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Service, Bank of America's, NDR

☆ History says there's a 95% chance that US stocks rise from here despite recession calls, and Bank of America shared 4 investments to make as the market recovers from its September slump
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

However, higher-for-longer rates don't always crush valuations and earnings, Bank of America strategists recently noted. In fact, the firm found that the S&P 500 had a 15% total return per year from 1985 to 2005 with inflation-adjusted rates at 3.5%, which is far above today's 2% rate. "Historically, when the indicator has been here or lower, 12m forward S&P 500 returns were positive 95% of the time (vs. 81% overall) with a median return of 21%," Subramanian wrote. The Charlotte-based firm recently raised its year-end price target for the S&P 500 to 4,600, which implies 7.5% upside. The S&P 500 is top-heavy and expensive, which Bank of America thinks makes funds following the equal-weight version of the index more compelling.

Persons: That's, Savita Subramanian, BofA's, Subramanian, Financials Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Bank of America's, of America, SSI, Bank of, Energy Locations: Charlotte

☆ Strong earnings will reverse decline in megacap tech stocks: Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Oct 2 (Reuters) - Strong upcoming earnings results could reverse the decline in mega-cap technology and growth stocks, which have been hammered by the rise in Treasury yields and are trading at their cheapest levels in six years by one measure, according to Goldman Sachs strategists. At the same time, the group is expected to post sales growth of 11% in the third quarter, compared with a 1% improvement for the S&P 500, the firm noted. The S&P 500 has dropped nearly 5% over the last 10 trading days but remains slightly more than 11% up since the start of the year. "We expect the S&P 500 to rally into year-end, with more upside in the equal-weighted index," Subramanian wrote.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Goldman Sachs, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Mark Potter Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, BofA Global Research, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ 'It's the economy, stupid': 5 reasons why investors should stay bullish on the stock market
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementAdvertisementDespite rising interest rates, higher oil prices, and ongoing labor strikes, investors should stay bullish on the stock market. But since 2021, 50% more large caps have become small caps than small caps becoming large caps (the reverse of prior decades), suggesting a purge of weaklings. comparing the earnings yield based on the S&P 500 PE of 20x to nominal Tsy yields of 5%. "The equal-weighted S&P 500 ERP is 50bp+ higher than the cap-weighted S&P 500, and trades at 17x on trough earnings. The equal-weighted S&P 500 also almost always beat the cap-weighted S&P 500 in past 'Recovery' cycles."

Persons: Bank of America's Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, —, Savita Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America's, Service, Bank of, Boomers

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