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“It’s premature to have rate cuts this summer,” Rubenstein, the co-founder and co-chairman of The Carlyle Group, told CNN on Monday. The Fed will look silly if it declares victory at 4%,” said Rubenstein. But Wednesday’s inflation report is expected to show consumer prices are still rising at more than twice the Fed’s target. Despite pessimism on Wall Street and Main Street, Rubenstein said the US economy is “doing okay.”“This has been the most predicted recession in the history of recession predictions. “You could see the credit rating go down and interest rates go up,” said Rubenstein.
Even with the unemployment rate tumbling to historic lows, nearly half (48%) of Americans say they have almost no confidence in Biden on the economy. Only 36% of Americans say they have confidence in Powell on the economy, a new low during Powell’s six-year tenure as Fed chief, while 28% say they have almost no confidence. The poll, taken April 3 to April 25, demonstrates how the anxiety caused by high inflation continues to overshadow the nation’s surprisingly strong job market. The economy added 253,000 jobs in April, dropping the unemployment rate to 3.4% — tied for the lowest since 1969. Gallup notes that confidence in leaders tends to rise and fall along with the fortunes of the economy.
When he was just 25 years old, baseball superstar Alex Rodriguez signed a 10-year, $252 million contract with the Texas Rangers. The deal not only set A-Rod up for life from a financial standpoint, it also helped him create a valuable relationship with legendary investor Warren Buffett. In an interview with Bloomberg's David Rubenstein this week, A-Rod said he decided to cold-call the investor — who is 45 years his senior — after learning that Berkshire Hathaway was insuring his contract. "I reached out to him and I said "Warren, now that we're business partners, maybe I can come out and see you in Omaha,'" Rodriguez explained. "I said 'I'll be there, 'cause we're not going to the playoffs,'" Rodriguez replied.
James Stavridis, a retired Navy Admiral, is leading a new leadership program for Carlyle partners. Now, he's leading a new training course for the firm's partners called the Admiral Leadership Program. James Stavridis, a retired four-star Admiral, served in the Navy for 37 years before joining Carlyle in 2018. Inside Carlyle's first training program for partnersAbout 15 partners at Carlyle, from ESG to credit and tech, are participating in the Navy admiral's leadership program. Anna Tye, a partner on Carlyle's technology investing team, is also part of the leadership program.
Fenway Park at sunrise Photo: Boston Red SoxDavid Rubenstein —business leader, Washington insider, mover, shaker and a philanthropist of considerable renown—is too smart to imagine himself an electrifying TV personality. As host of “Iconic America: Our Symbols and Stories With David Rubenstein,” he might best be described as endearingly colorless. Iconic America: Our Symbols and Stories With David Rubenstein Wednesday, 10 p.m., PBSAs explored in the eight-episode series, the subjects are not the big-ticket, big-budget Ken Burns -style thematic launch points—jazz, or the Old West or the Civil War. But each chapter does represent something about America that is under-explored and worth exploring, if only because it is so sorely taken for granted. Or Fenway Park, the focus of episode 1.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's clear we're unable to get unemployment as high as the Fed would like, says David RubensteinDavid Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group co-founder and billionaire philanthropist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss his thoughts on the Fed, the banking crisis, and more.
"That being said, given the fact the Fed has tightened as aggressively as they have, the economy is still very good." But recent days have shown the Fed has another problem on its hands besides inflation. watch nowBecause prices fall when rates go up, the Fed hikes have cut into the market value of those fixed income holdings. Rate hike expected"If you're waiting for inflation to go back to 2% and that's what's caused you to raise rates, you're making a mistake," said Joseph LaVorgna, chief economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. Since the rate increases started, depositors have pulled $464 billion from banks, according to Fed data.
The Fed is likely to keep raising interest rates after the collapse of SVB, David Rubenstein said. Markets see a potential pause in rate hikes after SVB was seized last week. For the March 21-22 meeting, the "big decision that has to be made by the Federal Reserve is do they increase interest rates by 50 basis points, 25 basis points, or no basis points?" But an increase of 50 basis points might be too much for some of the banking companies right now, he added. "So I suspect 25 basis points is the split-the-baby decision that's most likely," Rubenstein said.
While ostensibly focused on monetary policy, the questions tend to range across issues, and the sessions this week - the first since Republicans took control of the House after midterm elections - may be particularly wide in scope. Powell's last monetary policy report to Congress was in June, early in what became the most aggressive cycle of Fed rate increases since the 1980s. Fed rate hikes "are designed to harm the labor market. Despite some high-profile layoff announcements, weekly new jobless claims have remained below 200,000 for seven consecutive weeks, comparable to pre-pandemic levels. That ongoing strength has posed perhaps the key question for Powell to answer: Whether the impact of monetary policy is just delayed and on the way, or whether the current economy needs even tighter monetary policy, with all the risks that entails.
[1/2] U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks to David Rubenstein (not pictured) during a meeting of The Economic Club of Washington, at the Renaissance Hotel in Washington, D.C., U.S., February 7, 2023. REUTERS/Amanda Andrade-Rhoades/File PhotoMarch 7 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever. Arguably the main event in Asia will be the expected quarter point rate hike from the RBA, which would take the cash rate up to 3.60%. Tuesday's focus rests squarely on the first of two Congressional appearances this week from Powell. On the Asian data front, China's FX reserves for February could cast a light on whether Beijing is starting to reduce its huge holdings of dollar-denominated assets amid the sharp rise in U.S.-Chinese tensions.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market finally recognizes inflation is not going away, says David RubensteinDavid Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group co-founder and billionaire philanthropist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his macroeconomic outlook, finding value in stocks, inflation and his thoughts on private equity.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with The Carlyle Group's David RubensteinDavid Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group co-founder and billionaire philanthropist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his macroeconomic outlook, finding value in stocks, inflation and his thoughts on private equity.
The billionaire investor and Carlyle cofounder also forecast superior returns in private markets than public ones, and underlined the global growth opportunities for private equity. Trying to get to 2% and getting there quickly, you're going to almost certainly get a very high unemployment rate." "When you don't know if you're going into a recession or not, it tends to freeze markets. The largest part of the population of the world still has relatively modest penetration of private equity. (Rubenstein pointed to China, India, Latin America, Africa, and especially the Middle East as attractive growth markets for private equity.)
Structural changes in the labor market: The US economy added an astonishing 517,000 jobs in January, blowing economists’ expectations out of the water. “The labor market is extraordinarily strong,” he said. Core services inflation: Powell noted that he’s seeing disinflation in the goods sector and expects to soon see declining inflation in housing. Service-sector inflation, which is more sensitive to a strong labor market, is up 7.5% from the year prior through the end of 2022, and has not abated, he said. Tech layoffs, Big Oil and soft landings: What investors are watching▸ The labor market is strong, but tech layoffs keep coming.
"We didn't expect it to be this strong," Powell said, but it "shows why we think this will be a process that takes quite a bit of time." It has just confounded all sorts of attempts to predict," Powell said, noting that wage growth has slowed even with continued strong job gains. Officials raised the target interest rate a quarter point to a range between 4.5% and 4.75% at that session, and said in the latest policy statement that "ongoing increases" would be needed. 1 2 3 4 5As of December, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation was increasing at a 5% annual rate, still more than double the Fed's target. While Powell said he expected "significant declines in inflation" this year, the U.S. economy was still "in the beginning of getting that down."
Fed Chair Powell: We're passively shrinking the balance sheet
  + stars: | 2023-02-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell: We're passively shrinking the balance sheetFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks Tuesday afternoon with Carlyle Group Chairman David Rubenstein at The Economic Club in Washington, D.C.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell: 2023 will be a year of significant declines in inflationFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks Tuesday afternoon with Carlyle Group Chairman David Rubenstein at The Economic Club in Washington, D.C.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell: There will be more rate increases to get to our 2 percent inflation goalFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks Tuesday afternoon with Carlyle Group Chairman David Rubenstein at the Economic Club in Washington, D.C.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks Tuesday afternoon in a question-and-answer session with Carlyle Group Chairman David Rubenstein. The discussion comes less than a week after the Fed raised its benchmark interest rate another quarter percentage point to a target range of 4.5%-4.75%. Following the move, Powell said he sees some signs that inflation is cooling in the economy but added that the central bank needs to keep up its guard. Read more:Fed's Neel Kashkari says central bank has not made enough progress, keeping his rate outlookThe Fed raised rates. Chair Powell says it's 'premature' to declare victory against inflationImportant wage inflation measure for the Fed rose less than expected in Q4
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday that inflation is beginning to ease though he expects it to be a long process. "The disinflationary process, the process of getting inflation down, has begun and it's begun in the goods sector, which is about a quarter of our economy," the central bank chief said during an event in Washington, D.C. "But it has a long way to go. Powell spoke in a question-and-answer session at the Economic Club of Washington, D.C. with Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein. Markets turned positive as Powell spoke as investors are hoping the Fed soon will halt the aggressive interest rate hikes it began last year. "My guess is it will take certainly into not just this year, but next year to get down close to 2%."
Minneapolis CNN —The US labor market remains “extraordinarily strong” and Friday’s monster jobs report underscores that the central bank has more work to do to bring down inflation, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday. “We didn’t expect it to be this strong,” Powell said of the January jobs report, which showed the US economy added 517,000 jobs. “The disinflationary process has begun,” Powell said, noting progress especially in goods prices. The robustness of the labor market has stood somewhat at odds with the Fed’s efforts to lower inflation. A key reason Fed Chair Jerome Powell wants more slack in the labor market is out of concern that a tight employment situation will continue to push up wages, which could then keep inflation elevated.
The firm's interim CEO, Bill Conway, said Schwartz will be tasked with boosting the stock price. First of all, we want to increase the stock price," said William Conway, a Carlyle cofounder and interim CEO. Notably, he has the opportunity to make some $180 million over five years, depending on how well the firm's stock performs, according to a regulatory filing. The uncertainty that came with the firm's scramble to find a new leader has weighed on the firm's stock price. On Tuesday morning, Carlyle stock dropped 3% while the S&P 500 fell less than 1%.
Fed Chair Powell: Ongoing rate increases appropriate
  + stars: | 2023-02-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell: Ongoing rate increases appropriateFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks Tuesday afternoon with Carlyle Group Chairman David Rubenstein at The Economic Club in Washington, D.C.
Carlyle's new boss will be virtuoso second fiddle
  + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( Jonathan Guilford | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
That’s the best way of interpreting the private equity firm’s appointment of former Goldman Sachs (GS.N) banker Harvey Schwartz on Monday. He never quite made it to the CEO job at Goldman, though served in a number of high-level roles like chief financial officer and chief operating officer. They felt that the ousted Lee, who pushed hard to diversify Carlyle’s business, hadn’t adequately consulted them on big moves, according to Reuters. The firm’s co-founder Bill Conway, also one of Carlyle’s two co-chairmen, has been filling the role on an interim basis. Schwartz previously held various senior roles including chief financial officer and chief operating officer at investment bank Goldman Sachs, which he left in 2018.
Months later, when TikTok was grilled by Congress over privacy and security concerns, Pappas was the TikTok executive in the hot seat fielding questions. But Chew, who took over as TikTok CEO in April 2021, has largely stayed out of the spotlight at a time when the app he leads can’t seem to avoid it. He eventually went on to become the CFO of Chinese tech giant Xiaomi, which he helped take public in 2018. While Chew is not a Chinese national, Quint noted Chinese tech companies and leaders that have drawn too much attention to themselves have faced tough government crackdowns. Ultimately, Quint said, “I don’t think the CEO of TikTok has much relevance at all” for US lawmakers scrutinizing its ties to China.
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