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Work is getting really weird
  + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
The big storyBizarro workplaceLorenzo Matteucci for BILet's be honest: Work has gotten really weird. Workers hiring shadow stand-ins can be unqualified for their jobs, overwhelmed, greedy, or just lazy. Shadow stand-ins are typically paid a fraction of the salary earned by the actual employee. One employee also described to Rob struggling to deal with a shadow stand-in's sub-par work and eventually "firing" them. Getty Images; Alyssa Powell/BIMeanwhile, the people who are doing all the work themselves are having a tough time getting any recognition.
Persons: , Lorenzo Matteucci, Rob Price, Rob, Alyssa Powell, BI's Aki Ito, Roaring Kitty, Bain, Chris Miller, Greg Peters, Ted Sarandos, Peters, Chelsea Jia Feng, Coach's, David Rosenberg, Donald Trump's, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, BI, Super, Facebook, Workers, Corporations, Getty, GameStop, McKinsey, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Netflix, Walgreens, CVS, Rite, Wimbledon Locations: Chicago, India, Pakistan, China, Taiwan, New York, London
The US housing market has entered bizarro world
  + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +1 min
The US housing market is distorting a core principal of economics: supply and demand. Home prices soared to record highs in May, even as existing home sales fell and supply of homes for sale jumped. AdvertisementThe US housing market has officially entered bizzaro world. The law of supply and demand is a basic principle of any free market, and right now, it's being subverted by strange happenings in the real estate market. "When it comes to the housing market, the laws of supply and demand don't seem to apply any longer," economist David Rosenberg said in a note this week.
Persons: David Rosenberg, , it's Organizations: Service, Business
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHalf of the U.S. economy is in recession, says research firm founderDavid Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research, says "people are focused on the half that isn't," adding that "we're already in [a] soft landing, the question is what happens next."
Persons: David Rosenberg Organizations: Rosenberg Research Locations: U.S
Microsoft's AI chief, Mustafa Suleyman, has laid out his main goals for the company. In a podcast chat with Seth Rosenberg, Suleyman said he wanted to "uplevel" Copilot's quality. AdvertisementMicrosoft's newly installed AI chief, Mustafa Suleyman, is keen to ensure that the Big Tech company is not underestimated. On a recent podcast with Seth Rosenberg, Suleyman explained his new responsibilities at the company. He said he oversaw key teams, including Bing and Edge, and Copilot, Microsoft's flagship AI product.
Persons: Mustafa Suleyman, Seth Rosenberg, Suleyman, , he'd Organizations: Bing, Service, Big Tech, Business
Read previewAmerica's stimulus-fueled shopping spree looks just about over — and lower spending could be a signal that a consumer-led downturn is on the horizon, economic experts say. Retail spending ticked 0.1% higher in May, but sales volume has dropped 1.3% year-over-year over the last three months, US Census data shows. That adds to a 4% decline in retail sales in the first quarter — and it's a strong sign the long-awaited consumer recession is on the horizon, economist David Rosenberg said recently. "Early signs of a consumer recession finally coming to the fore." AdvertisementThe US has 52% chance of slipping into recession by May of next year, according to projections from the New York Fed.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Stephanie Pomboy, Ian Shepherdson Organizations: Service, Business, McKinsey, Deutsche Bank, Consumer, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Pantheon Macroeconomics
Burgeoning debt and deficits are threatening to make the next recession deeper while tying the hands of policymakers, according to two leading economists. The Congressional Budget Office this week revised its estimates to paint an even bleaker version of the U.S. financial picture. Teetering on trouble In fact, Rosenberg thinks the economy already is nearing or in the early stages of recession. "With budget deficits historically high relative to an economy operating at full employment, the government could be facing double-digit budget deficits when the next downturn hits." While equity markets have largely shrugged off worries over the fiscal situation, LaVorgna and Rosenberg both insist that bond investors should pay attention.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Teetering, Janet Yellen, Joseph LaVorgna, Donald Trump, LaVorgna Organizations: Congressional, Rosenberg Research, Federal, CBO, CNBC, White House, Nikko Securities, National Economic Council Locations: U.S
Read previewThe prosecutors in Donald Trump's criminal hush-money case say they're OK with the former president resuming his attacks on Michael Cohen, Stormy Daniels, and other witnesses in the case — but that they want the judge to maintain other parts of his gag order. A courtroom sketch of Michael Cohen while under questioning by prosecutor Susan Hoffinger at Donald Trump's Manhattan hush-money trial. REUTERS/Jane RosenbergAfter the jury verdict, Trump's lead defense attorney, Todd Blanche, asked for the gag order to be lifted, saying the First Amendment's protections should take precedence. The prosecutors in the case will continue to be engaged in Trump's appeal, so they should continue to be protected by the gag order, prosecutors wrote. AdvertisementJust because the gag order should no longer restrict Trump's attacks on witnesses doesn't mean they won't have other protections, prosecutors wrote.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, Michael Cohen, Stormy Daniels, Trump shouldn't, nemeses, Cohen, Daniels, Trump, Juan Merchan, Merchan, Susan Hoffinger, Donald Trump's Manhattan, Jane Rosenberg, Todd Blanche, Blanche, Cohen —, Joe Biden, Biden, Attorney Alvin Bragg, Jean Carroll, Rudy Giuliani's Organizations: Service, Manhattan, Attorney's, Business, New, Trump, REUTERS, assail, New York Police Department, Attorney, E Locations: United States, Georgia
A U.S. military jury on Thursday ordered a former Qaeda commander to a serve a 30-year prison sentence for war crimes carried out by his insurgent forces in wartime Afghanistan in the early 2000s. The military judge excused the panel from the chamber and then announced that, under a plea agreement, the prisoner’s sentence would end in eight years. The outcome was part of the arcane system called military commissions, which allows prisoners to reach plea deals with a senior official at the Pentagon who oversees the war court but requires the formality of a jury sentencing hearing anyway. Mr. Hadi, 63, was aware of the deal that reduced his sentence to 10 years, starting with his guilty plea in June 2022. It was unclear whether victims of attacks by Mr. Hadi’s forces and their family members had been told.
Persons: Abd al, Hadi al, Hadi Organizations: U.S, Pentagon Locations: Afghanistan, C.I.A
Investors are currently reveling in the 'better', as an ongoing eight-month melt-up once again pushed the S&P 500 to fresh highs this week. But sooner or later, the 'worse' will come, warns David Rosenberg, the founder of Rosenberg Research, who famously called the 2008 recession while working as Merrill Lynch's chief economist. AdvertisementAnother sign the market is out over its skis is the performance divergence between the market cap-weight and the equal-weighted S&P 500 indexes. On June 12, the Dow underperformed the S&P 500 by 0.94%, one of only 71 trading days since 1982 where that's happened, according to Rosenberg's technical analysis consultant, Walter Murphy. AdvertisementIn addition to concerning market technicals, fundamentals could also be in a troubling place in the form of labor market weakness, Rosenberg said.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch's, Rosenberg, Bob Farrell, Walter Murphy, Murphy, — Rosenberg, it's, Louis Fed, Piper Sandler Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Tech, Dow Jones, Dow, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Federal Locations: lockstep
AdvertisementWill Merchan sentence Donald Trump to jail? Merchan will not sentence Trump to prison, the four agreed. Merchan could theoretically sentence Trump to as little as a single day in Rikers, said Kamins, now in private practice at Aidala, Bertuna & Kamins. But even in the unlikely event of a low-jail sentence, Trump's appeals would keep him at liberty for years, all four judges said. "I certainly don't know what the right decision is, or what Judge Merchan will do," Obus told BI.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Will, Juan Merchan, Trump, blunts, Attorney Alvin Bragg, Bragg, Jane Rosenberg, Michael Obus, Barry Kamins, Charles Solomon, Solomon, Shannon Stapleton, Kamins, Richard Drew Appeals, — Obus, Trump's, Ted Cruz, Joshua Steinglass, Obus, I've, Ron Kuby, Kuby, Merchan, STEVEN HIRSCH, Judge Merchan, Susan Necheles, Stormy Daniels, Jane Rosenberg Merchan, Rehashing, he's Organizations: Service, Will New, Business, Attorney, REUTERS, New York, New, New York City, BI, Trump, Manhattan, Republicans, AP, National Enquirer, Getty Images, Harvard Business School, Reuters, Manhattan Criminal Locations: Rikers, Manhattan, New, New York, Brooklyn, , New York, New York's, Aidala, United States, Florida, Washington
But much more must be done and, as with most change, it’s important to start by admitting there’s a problem. The phenomenon of Democrats dismissing the polls in favor of misplaced optimism has been termed “hopium” by data journalist Nate Silver. Polling denial is not unanimous in the party, as many Democrats are reportedly in a full-blown “freakout” over Biden’s chances. It’s essential they admit the polling is correct, because if Biden is winning, there is little need to change course. This means these groups likely share top concerns with moderate voters generally.
Persons: Liam Kerr, Joe Biden’s, Liam Kerr Liam Kerr, there’s, Nate Silver, Simon Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Biden, it’s, Trump, Biden’s, Harry Enten, , , , Hilary Clinton, Tom Suozzi, George Santos ’ Organizations: GOP, CNN, Democratic, Trump, Biden, Gallup, Black Democrats, White Democrats, Harvard Youth, Gaza, “ Biden, New York Times, Trump Republicans, Republican, NBC, Twitter, Facebook, Chicago Democratic National Convention Locations: Pennsylvania , Wisconsin, Michigan, Siena, New York,
CNN —Slim Shady is back, back again. Eminem also released a music video for the song in which he gets a little help from some of his celebrity friends. Eminem battles it out with his younger-self in the video, which will remind fans of his 2002 “Without Me” video. Recently a faux obituary appeared for his Slim Shady alter ego in his hometown newspaper, the Detroit Free Press. It referred to Slim Shady a “a rogue splinter in the flourishing underground rap scene.”“The Death of Slim Shady (Coup de Grâce)” follows Eminem’s 2020 album, “Music to Be Murdered By.” The full collection of new music is set for release this summer.
Persons: Slim Shady, Grace, “ Houdini, Steve Miller, , Megan Thee, Tory, Lanez, Eminem, Paul Rosenberg, Dre, “ We’ve, Snoop Dogg, Pete Davidson, Slim Organizations: CNN, Detroit Free Press
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomy has hit 'stall speed' and could weaken even further from here, says David RosenbergDavid Rosenberg, Rosenberg Research founder and president, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the data that may have gotten Rosenberg's attention, how the jobs number will impact Rosenberg's view, and more.
Persons: David Rosenberg David Rosenberg, Rosenberg Organizations: Rosenberg Research
The jury filed into the courtroom and climbed into the jury box. The jurors confirmed that they had reached a verdict. According to Jane Rosenberg, a courtroom sketch artist who had a clear view of Mr. Trump in the moment, the former president looked over at the foreman as he began to stand up, but then immediately closed his eyes as the verdict came rolling in. The decision had come at what seemed to be a routine moment in the jury’s deliberations. Around 4:15 p.m., the judge, Juan M. Merchan, had told the prosecution and Mr. Trump that he was planning to dismiss the jury within the next 15 minutes.
Persons: Donald J, Jane Rosenberg, Trump, Ms, Rosenberg, Juan M Organizations: Trump Locations:
WWE Chairman and CEO Vince McMahon speaks at a news conference announcing the WWE Network at the 2014 International CES in Las Vegas. Janel Grant, a former employee of World Wrestling Entertainment who in a January lawsuit accused founder Vince McMahon of sex trafficking and abuse, has agreed to temporarily pause her case pending a federal investigation. An attorney for McMahon maintained that the allegations against McMahon were false. WWE and its parent company, TKO , have said that they take Grant's allegations "very seriously." WWE had disclosed last summer that investigators served McMahon with a federal grand jury subpoena and executed a search warrant in July.
Persons: Vince McMahon, Janel Grant, Grant, Ann Callis, McMahon, Jessica Rosenberg, John Laurinaitis, Callis, Laurinaitis Organizations: WWE, WWE Network, World Wrestling Entertainment, NBC News, U.S, Attorney, Southern, of, The Southern, District of Connecticut, World Wrestling Locations: Las Vegas, of New York, U.S
Read previewFormer President Donald Trump's Manhattan jury deliberated for four-and-a-half hours on Wednesday — and their first note to the judge shows they were deep in the hush-money conspiracy weeds before breaking for the day. Pecker's testimony continued. Reuters/Mike Segar'The boss is going to be very angry'The second chunk of the transcript to be read back Thursday morning concerns still more of Pecker's testimony. It was at this meeting that the illegal campaign conspiracy underlying Trump's indictment was hatched, according to the witnesses. Under the alleged conspiracy, Pecker, Trump's longtime friend, would alert Cohen when negative stories arose.
Persons: , Donald Trump's Manhattan, they'll, Trump's, David Pecker, Michael Cohen, Trump, We've, Juan Merchan, Karen McDougal Dimitrios Kambouris, Karen, Donald Trump, Pecker, Karen McDougal, Playboy Bunny, Michael, Mike Segar, It's, McDougals's, Cohen, Stormy Daniels, Daniels, Jane Rosenberg, Ted Cruz Organizations: Service, Business, National Enquirer, Trump, Reuters, Trump Organization, Trump Tower Locations: New Jersey, Mexican, New York, Manhattan, Trump's
The stock market is primed for a correction as equity valuations hit historically high levels, according to economist David Rosenberg. AdvertisementThe stock market is "primed for a correction" as earnings valuations hit historically high levels, according to economist David Rosenberg. That suggests that the expansion in the S&P 500's forward price-to-earnings valuation multiple to 21x from 18x in October is getting stretched. Wall Street consensus for the S&P 500's 2024 earnings per share is $245, which is the same forecast today as it was in October, before the stock market staged a near-30% rally. AdvertisementThat has informed Rosenberg's consistently bearish view, but the economist did say that high valuations on their own do not mean the stock market can't go higher from here.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, , " Rosenberg, Rosenberg's Organizations: Service
On its own, the crime of "falsifying business records" in New York is considered a misdemeanor crime. AdvertisementNew York Supreme Court Justice Juan Merchan explained it clearly in his hourlong instructions to the jury on Wednesday morning. "What you're asking me to do is change the law, and I'm not going to do that," Merchan told Trump's legal team. On Truth Social, Trump posted quotes from Fox News host Jesse Watters, falsely claiming "the jury can pick whatever crime they want." "The other thing, the confusion is, nobody knows what the crime is, because there is no crime," Trump told reporters in the hallway outside the courtroom before he left.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, Stormy Daniels, Trump, Joshua Steinglass, Juan Merchan, Merchan, Justice Juan Merchan, Jane Rosenberg, Emil Bove, I'm, Trump's, Sen, Marco Rubio, Trump —, Jason Miller, Jesse Watters Organizations: Service, Trump, Business, New, Election, Republican, REUTERS, Fox News Locations: New York, Marco Rubio of Florida, Trump
Jabin Botsford-Pool/Getty ImagesFalsifying business records in the first degreeThe standard jury charge for falsifying business records in the first degree. NYCourts.govProsecutors say Trump caused 34 business records to be falsified as part of an illegal conspiracy to influence the 2016 election. Merchan read to jurors from the standard jury charge for felony falsifying business records. Read the judge's "jury charge" here. To convict, jurors must find that Trump falsified business records to conceal an attempt to violate 17-152.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, intently, Juan Merchan, Trump, Donald Trump, Todd Blanche, Emil Bove, Jabin, reimbursements, Trump's, Michael Cohen, Cohen, Daniels, Merchan, Jane Rosenberg, Donald Trump , Jr Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, Getty, NYCourts.gov Prosecutors, REUTERS, New Locations: New, New York, York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI'm concerned the Fed is chasing lagging indicators, says David Rosenberg on inflationDavid Rosenberg, Rosenberg Research founder & president, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the state of the economy, where he sees inflation bottoming, and more.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg Organizations: Rosenberg Research
"I like a crisp document and a messy meeting," Bezos said in a conversation with podcaster Lex Fridman in December. Microsoft had just bought the company Williams worked at. Gates "was always curious, always wanted to understand, always drilling for more detail," Williams wrote for BI in 2023. AdvertisementAfter Jobs died in 2011, Segall wrote a book about Apple's work culture, "Insanely Simple." "He stopped cold," Segall wrote.
Persons: , Mark Cuban, Jeff Bezos, Cooper Neill, Bezos, Lex Fridman, Bill Gates, Sean Gallup, Chris Williams, Gates, Williams, he'd, Steve Jobs, Justin Sullivan, Ken Segall, Jobs, Segall, Lorrie, Eric Schmidt, Antoine Antoniol, Schmidt, Jonathan Rosenberg, Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Business, Getty, Microsoft, Intel, BI, Getty Former, Google
Manhattan district attorney's office/BIWhy is this evidence — our third smoking gun — so important? AdvertisementEvidence People's 35 in the Trump hush-money trial. Robert Costello, a key defense witness in the Donald Trump hush-money trial in New York. Manhattan district attorney's office/BI"Rudy was thrilled and said this could not be a better situation for the President or you. From People's 374 Manhattan district attorney's office/BICohen testified that immediately after these calls with Trump, he took the elevator down from his Trump Organization offices at Trump Tower.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Michael Cohen, David Pecker, Stormy Daniels, Trump, Michael Cohen Alex Brandon, Eduardo Munoz, " Cohen, Cohen, Karen McDougal's, Karen McDougal, McDougal, Daniels, Trump's, Allen Weisselberg, Jonathan Ernst, Jon Elswick, MARK PETERSON, Todd Blanche, Mamaroneck , New York —, Madeleine Westerhout, Westerhout, Cohen —, Weisselberg, Robert Costello, Jane Rosenberg, Rudy Giuliani, Costello, Bob Costello, Rudy, Jay Sekelow, Giuliani, It's Trump, Timothy A, Clary, Donald, he's, — Trump, reimbursing Cohen, Pecker —, Pecker, — that's, Cohen's, Melissa Duran, Duran, Susan Hoffinger Organizations: Service, Business, Reuters, Trump, Prosecutors, National Enquirer, Trump Org, Manhattan Criminal, Getty, Defense, White House, , Read, Wall Street Journal, FBI, Giuliani, CQ, Cohen's, AMI, Department of Justice, Federal, First Republic Bank, Trump Organization Locations: Manhattan, Trump, New York City, Mamaroneck , New York, Republic, New York, United States
AdvertisementGetting accepted is just the startThe Manhattan mental health court is one path available to those who plead guilty to felonies. Related storiesMerchan is the sole judge of the mental health court in all of Manhattan, and has presided over it since its founding in 2011. If the office allows it, a mental health court treatment plan can become part of their plea agreement, which includes different consequences for failures. "It's really hard, a huge burden to even get so far as to be accepted into mental health court," said Orlins. If you fail the mental health court program in such a dramatic fashion, the next step can be a sentencing hearing.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, Stormy Daniels, Juan Merchan, Merchan, Donald Trump, Curtis Means, Trump, I'm, Eliza Orlins, Justice Juan M, Seth Wenig, Juan Merchan's, ANGELA WEISS, Orlins, Jane Rosenberg, Iris Organizations: Service, Republican, Business, New, Trump, Justice, AP, Manhattan, Attorney's, Getty, Associated Press Locations: United States, Washington, Manhattan, New York City
A judge found Trump liable for fraud for inflating his net worth to get friendly loans, and juries found Trump liable for sexual abuse and defaming Carroll. DEL VALLE: This is actually my fourth Trump trial. Here, it’s almost been interesting how at moments it just felt like a regular trial. Reporters in the courtroom sat behind Trump – with a view often blocked by the many officers in the aisles of the gallery. The response prompted one of the biggest laughs in the courtroom in the entire trial – even several jurors were laughing.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, CNN’s Kara Scannell, Lauren del Valle, Jeremy Herb, Jean Carroll, Trump, defaming Carroll, del, he’s, it’s, That’s, I’ve, Kara, Lauren, Daniels, It’s, Susan Hoffinger, Christine Cornell, Michael Cohen’s, Todd Blanche, Blanche, Cohen, Keith Schiller, Cohen …, flailing, Kaitlan Collins, Robert Costello, Emil Bove’s, Costello, Judge Juan Merchan, ” Merchan, , admonish, David Pecker, Trump’s, Pecker, Jane Rosenberg Hope Hicks, Hope Hicks, CNN Madeleine Westerhout, Madeleine Westerhout, Attorney Alvin Bragg, Boris Epshteyn, , Joshua Steinglass, Emil Bove, Jaden Jarmel, Schneider, Bove, , ” Jarmel, ” Bove Organizations: CNN, Trump, New, DEL VALLE, Midway, National Enquirer, Trump … DEL VALLE, White House, VALLE, White, Attorney, Republican Locations: York, New York, del Valle, Manhattan
The Biden administration was poised to send about a dozen detainees at Guantánamo Bay to Oman for resettlement last year, but it abruptly halted the secret operation amid questions from Congress about security in the Middle East after Hamas attacked Israel, according to administration officials. None of the prisoners have ever been charged with crimes, and all of them had been cleared for transfer by national security review panels. A military cargo plane was already on the runway at Guantánamo Bay ready to airlift the group of Yemeni prisoners to Oman when the trip was called off, people familiar with the military operation said. Belongings they could take with them had been collected, signaling to the prisoners that they would soon be going. Then the plane flew away empty, and their belongings were returned.
Persons: Biden Locations: Guantánamo, Oman, Israel
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