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RBI Governor: 7.5% GDP growth for India is sustainable
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBI Governor: 7.5% GDP growth for India is sustainableThe Governor of the Reserve Bank of India, Shaktikanta Das, joins CNBC's Tanvir Gill in an exclusive interview to discuss India's long-term growth trajectory.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Tanvir Gill Organizations: Reserve Bank of India Locations: India
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe are not artificially keeping the Indian Rupee strong, says RBI GovernorShaktikanta Das, Reserve Bank of India's Governor discusses the reasons behind Indian Rupee's relative stability against the U.S. dollar the past 2 years.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das Organizations: Reserve Bank, India's, U.S .
Punit Paranjpe | Afp | Getty ImagesIndia can achieve sustainable economic growth of up to 8% over the medium term, according to the country's central bank governor. The figures have ratcheted up pressure on the central bank to launch its own rate-cutting cycle sooner rather than later. Shaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), speaks during the Global Fintech Fest 2024 in Mumbai, India, on August 28, 2024. Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesIt comes as major central banks have started to ease monetary policy in recent months, including the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank. Women (silhouetted) walk past Reserve Bank of India (RBI) logo displayed at Global Fintech Fest exhibition in Mumbai.
Persons: Punit Paranjpe, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Shaktikanta Das, Das, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Afp, Getty, Reserve Bank of India, International Monetary Fund, Nurphoto, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, The U.S . Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of India, Global Locations: Mumbai, India, Japan, Germany, U.S, China
Kevin Dietsch | Getty ImagesA flurry of major central banks will hold monetary policy meetings this week, with investors bracing for interest rate moves in either direction. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to join others around the world in starting its own rate-cutting cycle. Elsewhere, Brazil's central bank is scheduled to hold its next policy meeting across Tuesday and Wednesday. Traffic outside the Central Bank of Brazil headquarters in Brasilia, Brazil, on Monday, June 17, 2024. The central bank delivered its first interest rate cut in more than four years at the start of August.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Kevin Dietsch, John Bilton, CNBC's, Bilton, David Volpe, Volpe, 25bps, Wilson Ferrarezi, BOE, Ruben Segura Cayuela Organizations: Federal Reserves, Washington , D.C, Federal, Traders, The Bank of England, Norway's Norges Bank, South Africa's, Bank, Bank of Japan, Morgan Asset Management, European, Bank of England, ECB, Emerald Asset Management, Banco Central, TS Lombard, Central Bank of, Bloomberg, Getty, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Brazil's, Brazil, Central Bank of Brazil, Brasilia, South Africa, Norway, Japan
Axis AMC CIO: Banking earnings to "be more muted" this year
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAxis AMC CIO: Banking earnings to "be more muted" this yearAshish Gupta, CIO at Axis Mutual Fund sees a pickup in Indian IPOs in response to increased demand to invest in the Indian market, but a more muted earnings picture for banks as the Reserve Bank of India looks to cut rates in 2024.
Persons: Ashish Gupta Organizations: Mutual Fund, Reserve Bank of Locations: Reserve Bank of India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBI Governor: Monitoring for any signs of stress in banking sectorShaktikanta Das, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of India, spoke at length about the strict regulation of the NBFC sector, highlighting the RBI's commitment to maintaining India's financial stability.
Organizations: Shaktikanta Das, Reserve Bank of India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Reasonable sense' that consumption in India will rebound, economist saysKrishna Bhimavarapu, Asia-Pacific economist at State Street Global Advisors, shares his prediction on when the Reserve Bank of India will cut interest rates.
Persons: Krishna Bhimavarapu Organizations: State Street Global Advisors, Reserve Bank of Locations: India, Asia, Pacific, Reserve Bank of India
Historically, a rate cut has been a signal for central banks in emerging markets, like India, to follow by easing monetary policy in their regions. The latest data shows that the inflation rate appears to be heading in the wrong direction in India. The headline inflation rate rose in August to 3.65% compared to 3.6% in the previous month. Instead, markets have simply hit snooze on a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India for the moment. If there's no global recession, a risk-on sentiment will likely help push up emerging market equities in the medium term after the U.S. central bank cuts rates.
Persons: Shah, Mahesh Nandurkar, Surendra Goyal, CNBC's, BofA, Banks Organizations: Federal, Reserve Bank of India, Reserve Bank, Capital Economics, India, greenback, Federal Reserve, Jefferies, Bank of America, Citi, India Research, Bank Locations: India, U.S
That’s because employers might be putting some of their hiring plans on hold — and for good reason. Businesses consider many factors when deciding to hire, but across a wide spectrum of industries, the economic outlook carries always great deal of weight. Both those factors are prompting employers to think twice about hiring more workers now, according to economists and recent comments from businesses around the country. But she’s proposing raising the corporate tax rate to 28%. So when interest rates are as elevated as they are right now, monthly debt payments could be too costly for many firms.
Persons: there’s, ” Kathy Bostjancic, Reserve Banks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, , Sean Snaith, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter’s, ” Pollak, “ It’s, Pollak Organizations: CNN, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Nationwide, , Reserve, Trump, America, Economic, of New, Institute for Economic, University of Central, Fed, Treasury Locations: China, of New York, University of Central Florida
Afternoon commuters sit in traffic on southbound Interstate 5 near downtown San Diego on March 12, 2024. Kevin Carter | Getty Images"Rush" hour isn't what it used to be. Ridership sank during the pandemic, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis data shows, and never fully recovered. The result is a surge in traffic congestion throughout the peak midday and evening hours, according to Pishue. "Pre-Covid, the morning rush hour would be a peak and then the evening peak would be much larger," he said, describing two apexes with a valley in between.
Persons: Kevin Carter, Bob Pishue, Louis, Gallup Organizations: INRIX Inc, Midday, Federal Reserve Bank of St Locations: San Diego
Traders continued to price in a greater likelihood that the Fed will kick off what is expected to be a protracted easing campaign in September with a quarter percentage point, or 25 basis point, reduction. "My base-case scenario is that we are on a journey of 25 basis point cuts, probably for the next eight meetings, a couple hundred basis points cumulative," economist Paul McCulley said on CNBC's " Squawk on the Street ." "But if we see weaker growth, and particularly weaker jobs, then I think we could have a bit of front-loading and start the process with 50 basis point cuts." That, among other vows to support the economy now that inflation has waned, provided some indication that a 50 basis point move is at least on the table. Markets expect the central bank to knock off a full percentage point this year and at least that much in 2025.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Paul McCulley, Powell, Joseph LaVorgna, you've, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Rick Rieder, Goolsbee Organizations: Federal, Traders, CME, Cornell, Georgetown, Fed, Nikko Securities, CNBC, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Locations: Powell's, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Atlanta, Chicago
If Your Debt Is Ballooning, There Are Steps You Can Take
  + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Ann Carrns | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Americans are increasingly struggling with credit card debt and other loans, and consumers are paying more for basic banking services like A.T.M. And 42 percent of households carrying balances on credit cards reported that their overall debt level was “unmanageable,” up from 38 percent in 2022, the network found. More borrowers have been falling behind on credit card payments, especially those who have maxed out spending on their cards, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Making payments on credit cards as well as car loans, student loans and other installment loans has been increasingly challenging for consumers, the financial network found. (The analysis, which the network publishes annually, is based on public data and a nationally representative survey of consumers.)
Persons: , Hannah Gdalman Organizations: Financial Health Network, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
CNN —The shape of the US labor market is changing, job growth is slowing and new survey data released Monday shows that Americans are starting to feel increasingly unsettled about it all. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s latest survey on consumers’ labor market experiences and expectations showed that job, wage and benefits satisfaction all sank in July. Job offer activity held steady from July 2023, and the average expected likelihood of receiving at least one job offer increased from last year. Additionally, the average reservation wage (the lowest wage one would accept for a new job) remained well above July 2023 — and significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels. Job growth has slowed, especially in recent months, as the US labor market has settled back into a more balanced state amid a slower-growing economic backdrop.
Persons: Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Shopping hauls are so back
  + stars: | 2024-08-17 | by ( Erika Tulfo | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
CNN —Aria Liu, 17, regularly posts shopping haul videos to her YouTube channel, which has 300,000 subscribers. “I don’t know what it is, but when I’m shopping online, money doesn’t feel real.”Liu’s not alone. Shopping hauls have existed for years, if not decades. Aria Liu says that the shopping haul videos she posts on her YouTube channel, “urmomsushi,” are the ones that garner the most views. There’s also a growing body of research that is questioning whether social media can be dangerous, especially for younger users.
Persons: Aria Liu, , , ” Liu’s, Liu It’s, Philippa Ward, Katie Fang, TikTok, Fang, hashtags, Alistair Berg, Matthias Lehner, ” Lehner, Katrina Caspelich, There’s, there’s, ” Caspelich Organizations: CNN, YouTube, Consumer, US Commerce Department, Consumer Financial, University of Gloucestershire, Research, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Centre for Retail Research, Lund University Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, TikTok, Lund , Sweden,
Asia-Pacific markets have extended gains on Wednesday after producer prices in the U.S. came in lower than expected for July. In Japan, business sentiment at manufacturers turned slightly less confident in August compared with the month before, according to the Reuters Tankan survey. The Tankan survey — which tracks the Bank of Japan's quarterly survey of the same name — showed that the sentiment index for manufacturers slipped to +10 in August, while the non manufacturers index fell to +24. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is also due to announce its latest decision on its official cash rate on Wednesday. Economist expectations are varied, with a Reuters poll forecasting the central bank will maintain rates at 5.5%.
Persons: Dow, Organizations: Dow Jones, Reuters, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Ginza, Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, U.S, South Korea, China, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Read previewThe labor market is trending in the wrong direction, but it might not be time to sound the alarm just yet. The unemployment rate has risen for four consecutive months and at 4.3%, it's the highest it's been in nearly three years. However, there are some reasons it might be too soon to freak out about the labor market. AdvertisementSatyam Panday, chief US economist for S&P Global Ratings, said in a note published on August 6 that the slowing labor market appears to suggest a "normalization" of a previously red-hot labor market, rather than an "economy that's about to slip into a recession." The labor market might get worseTo be sure, there are plenty of reasons to remain concerned about the state of the labor market.
Persons: , there's, it's, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Manuel Abecasis, they've, It's, Goldman Sachs that's, Satyam Panday, Michael Gapen, JP Morgan, Claudia Sahm Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Department, Federal, Satyam, Bank of America, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, New Century Advisors Locations: US
A security guard stands in the main entrance to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand located in central Wellington, New Zealand, July 3, 2017. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered its cash rate by 25 basis points to 5.25% on Wednesday. The move surprised economists polled by Reuters, which were expecting the central bank to hold rates unchanged at 5.5%. This is the first time the central bank has cut the official cash rate since March 2020. In its release, the RBNZ noted that consumer price inflation is returning to its target range of 1% to 3%.
Organizations: Reserve Bank of New, Reuters Locations: Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Wellington , New Zealand, New Zealand
The dollar remained on the back foot on Wednesday after tumbling versus major peers overnight as a benign reading for U.S. producer prices reinforced bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. Risk-sensitive currencies stayed strong after the unexpected softening in inflation buoyed equities, even with crucial U.S. consumer price index figures still looming later on Wednesday. New Zealand's dollar hovered near a four-week high ahead of a Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy decision, with markets split over the potential for a rate cut. The dollar was stable at 147.06 yen as it continued to consolidate around the 147 level this week. The kiwi edged up 0.07% to $0.6081, close to Tuesday's high of $0.60815, a level last seen on July 18.
Persons: CME's, Carol Kong, Sterling, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Australian, New, Reserve Bank of New, Traders, Federal, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S, CPI, CBA, IG Locations: Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Australia's second-quarter wages rise at slowest pace in a year
  + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Australian wages rose at their slowest pace in a year in the June quarter, falling short of expectations, while softer gains in the private sector suggest the labor market was easing. "The RBA will be somewhat relieved to see wage pressures subsiding," said Sean Langcake, head of macroeconomic forecasting for Oxford Economics Australia. "However, absent an improvement in productivity growth, the current pace of wage growth is still a little too strong for inflation to return to target quickly." The overall increase in annual wages was still just enough to take it above inflation of 3.6%, a welcome return to real pay growth after years of negative outcomes. Incomes will get an added boost from a major round of tax cuts that started in July.
Persons: Sean Langcake Organizations: Australian Bureau, Statistics, Oxford Economics Australia, Reserve Bank of Australia
Yen slips, markets brace for U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Last week ended calmer, with Thursday's stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data leading markets to pare bets for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. "It's more a case of market squaring up a little bit ahead of the U.S. inflation data," said Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC Bank in Singapore. The dollar was trading at 146.87 yen , up 0.2% from late U.S. levels on Friday. The Aussie was barely up at $0.6577 on Monday, while the New Zealand dollar stayed below last week's three-week high of $0.6035. Implied volatility on the yen, measured in yen options, has also subsided.
Persons: Bank of Japan's hawkishness, Jackson, Christopher Wong, J.P, Morgan Organizations: Bank of Japan's, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, OCBC Bank, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Bank, Japan, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission Locations: U.S, Singapore, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Credit card debt is on the rise. Over the last year, roughly 9.1% of credit card balances transitioned into delinquency, the New York Fed reported. The average credit card charges more than 20% — near an all-time high. “With credit card balances at an all-time high and the average credit card rate hovering near record territory, it’s more important than ever to pay down this debt as soon as possible,” Rossman said. If you’re carrying a balance, try consolidating and paying off high-interest credit cards with a lower interest personal loan or switch to an interest-free balance transfer credit card, he advised.
Persons: TransUnion, , Michele Raneri, , Ted Rossman, Bankrate, ” Raneri, ” Rossman Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Consumers Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, TransUnion
On Thursday, investors in Asia will assess trade data from Japan and interest rate decision from the Reserve Bank of India. Global equities and currencies plunged earlier this week after the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates to their highest levels since 2008, and the U.S. released weaker-than-expected employment numbers. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly down in choppy trading on Thursday after U.S. stock benchmarks fell overnight, while investors assessed trade data from Japan and awaited India's rate decision. "Assuming that the price stability target will be achieved in the second half of fiscal 2025, the Bank should raise the policy interest rate to the level of the neutral interest rate toward that time," the summary read. Japanese technology investor SoftBank Group said in a statement on Wednesday that it would buy back up to 500 billion yen ($3.4 billion) of its shares as part of its efforts to boost shareholder returns.
Persons: Shinichi Uchida, Lasertec, Korea's Kospi Organizations: Reuters, The Reserve Bank of, Reserve Bank of India, Global, Bank of Japan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Nikkei, Bank, SoftBank, Semiconductor, Isuzu Motors, China's CSI, Cathay, Hong Kong's, Airbus Locations: The Reserve Bank of India, Asia, Japan, U.S, Pacific, Hong, Cathay Pacific
Japan stocks rebounded sharply on Tuesday after the Nikkei 225 and the Topix dropped over 12% in the previous session. The Bank of Japan raising rates to their highest level since 2008 on July 30 caused the yen to strengthen to a seven-month high, pressurizing stocks. Markets globally were also spooked by fears of a U.S. recession stoked by a weaker-than-expected jobs report. Real wages in Japan also grew 1.1% in June compared with a year ago, the first time that wages have risen in 26 months. Strong wage growth offers more room for the Bank of Japan to tighten its monetary policy.
Persons: Topix, Korea’s Kospi, Hong, Australia’s, Brent, Dow Organizations: Nikkei, Bank of, Softbank Group Corp, U.S ., South Korean, Samsung Electronics, chipmaker SK Hynix, China’s CSI, . West Texas, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of Australia, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific, Bank of Japan, U.S
RBA commentary 'more balanced out this time,' strategist says
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBA commentary 'more balanced out this time,' strategist saysShane Oliver, head of investment strategy and chief economist at AMP, discusses the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to keep interest rates on hold.
Persons: Shane Oliver Organizations: AMP, Reserve Bank
The S & P 500 is off by nearly 9%, and it could soon join the tech-heavy index. .VIX 1D mountain VIX On Wall Street, however, many investors expect the fears of a slowing economy are overdone, and that markets are overreacting. "We don't see an earnings recession, we don't see an economic recession," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. The strategist expects the S & P 500 could fall into a correction, somewhere between 10% and 15%. To be sure, investors who aren't expecting a recession say any weakness in the consumer should continue to be monitored.
Persons: It's, Stocks, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, nonfarm, John Butters, , Sam Stovall, Stovall, that's, aren't, Siebert's Malek, Jamie Meyers, he's, we've, it's, I've, Meyers, CFRA's Stovall Organizations: Nikkei, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta's, Bank of America, CFRA, Nvidia Locations: Japan, U.S
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