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Europe's weaker economy limits fallout of US bond rout
  + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Last week, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields touched their highest relative to Germany's since December. For rate-sensitive short-dated German bond yields yields are even down 17 bps in August as weak data has raised expectations of a European Central Bank rate hike pause in September. SPILLOVERBofA, Goldman Sachs and Barclays expect Treasury yields to end the year slightly below current levels. Barclays's Khanna estimates German bond yields would have been 50-60 bps lower had they only been driven by domestic factors. The spillover from higher Treasury yields is more challenging elsewhere.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Mauro Valle, Valle, Salman Ahmed, Rohan Khanna, Fitch, Mondher, SPILLOVER BofA, Goldman Sachs, Jackson, Barclays's Khanna, Frederik Ducrozet, Ataru Okumura, Yoruk, Chiara Elisei, Junko Fujita, Kevin Buckland, Dhara Ranasinghe, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: REUTERS, Generali Investment Partners, European Central Bank, Fidelity International, U.S, Fitch, AAA, Vontel Asset Management, Barclays, Treasury, Federal Reserve, ECB, Pictet Wealth Management, of Japan, Nikko Securities, Yoruk Bahceli, Thomson Locations: U.S, United States, Europe, Germany, Britain, Germany's, It's, Italy, France, Japan, Amsterdam, London, Tokyo
An electronic board shows Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indexes, at the Lujiazui financial district in Shanghai, China October 25, 2022. "It's pretty weak," said Sat Duhra, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson who devises a macro score for countries by tracking seven factors including PMI surveys, real exchange rates, current accounts, growth estimates and liquidity. Even in Japan, the stock market success story of the year so far, portfolio manager Zuhair Khan at UBP Investments says he's shorting or avoiding companies reliant on China sales. However, I think more importantly, it has fallen short of initial expectations," said Jagdeep Ghuman, a portfolio manager for U.S. asset manager Nuveen. Reporting by Tom Westbrook and Rae Wee in Singapore, Dhara Ranasinghe in London and Summer Zhen and Xie Yu in Hong Kong.
Persons: Aly, Janus Henderson, Seema Shah, Zuhair Khan, Prashant Bhayani, it's, Jagdeep Ghuman, Nuveen, Tom Westbrook, Rae Wee, Dhara, Zhen, Xie Yu, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, BHP, PMI, Global Investors, UBP Investments, Vegas Sands, Wealth Management, U.S, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Rights SINGAPORE, London, Bangkok, Zealand, Europe, Thailand, Asia, Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong
[1/2] U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. The U.S. dollar index - which measures the currency against six major counterparts - was about flat at $104.06 after rising to 104.44, its highest since June 1. Interest rate futures tied to the Fed's policy rate on Friday priced in a more than even chance of tightening at either the November or December policy meetings. On Friday, the euro was 0.01% lower against the dollar at $1.08085. Against the yen , the dollar was up 0.31% to 146.28.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jerome Powell, Powell, Karl Schamotta, Ben, Bernanke, Mario, Draghi, Schamotta, bitcoin, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Dhara Ranasinghe, Ankur Banerjee, Kirsten Donovan, Christina Fincher, Nick Zieminski, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Federal, European Central Bank, Global Research, Reuters, of, Thomson Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, Toronto, Britain, London, Singapore
Aug 25 (Reuters) - Strategists at BofA Global Research see second-half "trouble" for technology stocks even as the sector took in its largest inflow in 10 weeks, the firm said in a note on Friday. BofA pointed to the correlation between a surge in central bank liquidity and the Nasdaq over the past 15 years. "We say tech = H2 trouble rather than era of new AI rules," BofA said in the note. In the latest weekly data, the tech sector saw a $2.3 billion inflow, its largest inflow in 10 weeks, BofA said. Emerging markets debt meanwhile lost out, BofA said, seeing the largest weekly outflow since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, BofA, Lewis Krauskopf, Dhara Ranasinghe, Alistair Bell Organizations: BofA, Research, Nasdaq, U.S . Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Silicon, New York, Amsterdam
[1/2] Euro currency bills are pictured at the Croatian National Bank in Zagreb, Croatia, May 21, 2019. The euro hit its lowest since mid-June at around $1.0766 before drifting higher. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six others, rose to 104.31, the highest since June 6, but edged lower during London trade. Powell speaks at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium at 1405 GMT, while ECB chief Christine Lagarde speaks at the same gathering later in the day. Sterling touched its lowest level since June at around $1.2560 before recovering to around $1.2610 to trade just a touch softer on the day.
Persons: Antonio Bronic, Fed's Powell, Jerome Powell, Powell, Christine Lagarde, Jeremy Stretch, Sterling, Marc Chandler, Dhara Ranasinghe, Ankur Banerjee, Kirsten Donovan, Christina Fincher Organizations: Croatian National Bank, REUTERS, Central Bank, Federal, Reuters, Jackson, ECB, CIBC, Bannockburn Global Forex, Thomson Locations: Zagreb, Croatia, London, Britain, U.S, Bannockburn, Singapore
Take Five: Farewell to a bruising August
  + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 14, 2023. Other data such as consumer confidence, the state of manufacturing, and inflation, with the latest personal consumption expenditures index is also due. Line chart with data from Refinitiv Datstreamn shows U.S. unemployment rate and federal funds target rate from January 2021 to July 2023. Yet Thursday's flash euro area August inflation number, which follows releases from some member states, could be the decider. The world's most populous country is already concerned about the threat to production of several basic commodities, including rice and sugar.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Lewis Krauskopf, Kevin Buckland, Nigel Hunt, Dhara, payrolls, Bundesbank, buybacks, Xi Jinping, Karin Strohecker, Sharon Singleton Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, ECB, Reuters, Nino, Climate, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Lewis, New York, Tokyo, Amsterdam, London, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Indonesia, Thailand
REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsHONG KONG/AMSTERDAM, Aug 24 (Reuters) - Global investors fleeing China have one simple message for the country's leadership: put prudence aside for a short while, and start spending big. "At this point there is confusion and, as long as there is confusion, then there's lack of credibility and that means investors are more likely to stay away," said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Global Investors in London. Prominent examples are heavy Chinese government spending during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and its swift intervention during the 2015 market crash. But the subsidies need to come from local governments, many of which are cash-strapped or even drowning in debt and unable to pay their civil servants. The lack of concrete stimulus measures now is prompting many China watchers to downgrade their growth estimates for the next few years.
Persons: Aly, China's, Seema Shah, Chen Zhao, Zhao, hasn't, Frederik Ducrozet, Ducrozet, Principal's Shah, Yan Wang, Xi Jinping's, we’ve, Lorraine Tan, Dhara Ranasinghe, Davide Barbuscia, Yoruk, Xie Yu, Ankur Banerjee, Tom Westbrook, Li Gu, Vidya Ranganathan, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Global, Global Investors, policymaking Politburo, Pictet Wealth Management, Local, UBS Bank, Federated Hermes, Foreigners, Asia, Morningstar, Thomson Locations: Huangpu, Shanghai, China, HONG KONG, AMSTERDAM, London, Beijing, Japan, United States, New York, Amsterdam, Hong Kong, Singapore
Money markets cut Sep ECB rate hike bets after German PMI
  + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: 1 min
LONDON, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Traders on Wednesday scaled back bets for a September interest rate hike in the euro area following much weaker-than-expected business activity data from Germany, Europe's biggest economy. Money market futures now price just a 40% chance of a quarter point rate hike from the European Central Bank next month, compared with roughly a 60% chance priced in ahead of the data . German business activity contracted at the fastest pace for more than three years in August, a preliminary survey showed on Wednesday. Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; editing by Dhara RanasingheOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Stefano Rebaudo, Dhara Organizations: Traders, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Germany, Europe's
But it was U.S. Treasuries that hogged the limelight once again, with benchmark 10-year yields climbing to 4.366% - their highest level since 2007 and up almost 40 bps month-to-date - before losing some ground to 4.3141%. "There's a more cautiously optimistic mood across financial markets," said Fiona Cincotta, senior markets analyst at City Index in London. At the same time, however, inflation expectations have hardly budged - meaning "real" yields, which discount inflation expectations, have surged - a development likely to prompt investors to re-evaluate taking risks. The 10-year real rate breached 2% late last week. In Europe, benchmark bond yields in Germany, France and Italy eased after Monday's sharp climb , , .
Persons: BOJ's Ueda, Fiona Cincotta, Jackson, Padhraic Garvey, Vishnu Varathan, Kazuo Ueda, Karin Strohecker, Elizabeth Howcroft, Dhara Ranasinghe, Tom Westbrook, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Staff, Nvidia, Wall, Index, Federal Reserve, Treasury, ING . Markets, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Mizuho Bank, NVIDIA, Wednesday, Tech, P, Brent, Benchmark, Dalian, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Europe, Asia, U.S, London, Americas, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Singapore, France, Italy
U.S. Dollar and Chinese Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration taken January 30, 2023. Rising U.S. Treasury yields, with benchmark 10-year yields hitting 16-year highs on Tuesday, and unease over China have boosted the dollar this month. "What we're seeing is a bit of a pause," said Fiona Cincotta, senior markets analyst at City Index, in London. The U.S. dollar index - which measures the currency against six major counterparts, was a touch softer at 103.30, holding below Friday's 10-week highs at 103.68. The Australian dollar was 0.4% firmer at $0.6441 as global risk appetite recovered.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Bond, Powell, Jackson, Fiona Cincotta, We've, Kazuo Ueda, Jerome Powell, Sterling, Lee Hardman, Dhara Ranasinghe, Kevin Buckland, Angus MacSwan, Bernadette Baum Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, City Index, Bank of Japan, Federal, Thomson Locations: China, London, , Wyoming, U.S, Toyko
While disappointment sent Asian shares lower, European shares rose on Monday and U.S. stock futures also pointed to a recovery there. ,Europe's STOXX 600 (.STOXX) index was up 0.7% by 1207 GMT, following last week's 2.3% drop, with energy companies outperforming as oil prices rose with tightening supply from Saudi Arabia offsetting demand concerns. Oil prices rose as much as $1 after snapping a seven-week winning streak last week on concerns about Chinese demand. Bond yields move inversely with prices. The ascent of the dollar and yields was weighing on gold at $1,894 an ounce , after it touched a five-month low last week.
Persons: Fed's Jackson, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown, Europe's, Brent, Jerome, Powell, Seema Shah, Jackson, Nvidia, Yoruk Bahceli, Wayne Cole, Dhara Ranasinghe, David Evans, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Staff, Treasury, Hargreaves, Global, U.S . Federal, U.S ., Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, China, Saudi Arabia, U.S ., Atlanta
REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Aug 21 (Reuters) - Japan's threshold for currency market intervention on the yen is likely to be around 150 per dollar, investment bank JPMorgan's analysts said on Monday. "We think that the MoF (Ministry of Finance Japan) will not intervene in the FX market at around (the) 145 level. Our threshold level of JPY buying intervention is around 150," they said in a note. The yen was trading at 145.87 to the dollar on Monday, having been as weak as 146.56 last week. "Intervention needed is not as acute as in the September and October intervention cases," they said.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Marc Jones, Dhara Organizations: National Printing Bureau, Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Ministry of Finance Japan, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan
Summer of angst as bond yields surge and global stocks wobble
  + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Meanwhile, U.S. real yields, which show what investors can expect to earn on government bonds after adjusting for inflation, stand near their highest point since 2009. Benchmark yields also guide other key economic rates, raising the cost of capital as they climb. In Europe, a key long-term gauge of market inflation expectations remains well above the European Central Bank's 2% inflation target . Reuters GraphicsHigher bond yields, falling equities and a rising dollar are all tightening financial conditions fast, adding to investor concerns. Property accounts for roughly a quarter of China's economy, which is already suffering from tepid domestic consumption, faltering factory activity, rising unemployment and weak overseas demand.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Hong, Yoruk Bahceli, Alun John, Dhara Ranasinghe, Lewis Krauskopf, Vincent Flasseur, Ira Iosebashvili, Mark Potter Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Japan’s Nikkei, Reuters, Treasury, Central, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, Britain, China's
Bitcoin drops to new two-month low as world markets sell off
  + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A representation of cryptocurrency Bitcoin is placed on a PC motherboard, in this illustration taken June 16, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Aug 18 (Reuters) - Top cryptocurrency bitcoin hit a fresh two-month low on Friday, breaking out of its recent tight range, as a wave of risk off sentiment grips world markets. It then slipped to a two-month low of $26,172 during Asian trading hours on Friday, its lowest since June 16 . It was lifted in June by BlackRock applying to launch a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States. Some investors interpreted that move as an indication that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission would approve spot bitcoin ETF applications from various asset managers, including Grayscale.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, bitcoin, FTX, Wall, Joseph Edwards, Bitcoin, Edwards, Elizabeth Howcroft, Dhara Organizations: REUTERS, Enigma Securities, BlackRock, U.S . Securities, Exchange, SEC, Thomson Locations: United States
Take Five: Summer at Jackson Hole
  + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
REUTERS/Jason Reed Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Aug 16 (Reuters) - It's summer camp season and not to be left out, U.S. rate setters and overseas pals gather in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to talk central banking. U.S. Federal Reserve officials (plus friends from the ECB, BoE and BOJ) descend on Jackson Hole, Wyoming on Aug. 24-26 for their annual central bank confab. Inflation remains sticky in places and investors want to know how long it will take for central banks to switch to easing. European PMIs could provide a bigger signal on whether the European Central Bank will hike again in September and if the Bank of England opts for a big rate increase. Turkey's central bank is poised to raise rates on Thursday for the third time in a row since Hafize Gaye Erkan was appointed as governor in early June.
Persons: Jason Reed, Ira Iosebashvili, Li Gu, Yoruk, Rosario, Marc Jones, Rachel Savage, BoE, Jackson, Vladimir Putin, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Erkan, Tayyip Erdogan, Dhara Ranasinghe, Stephen Coates Organizations: U.S . Federal, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, ECB, Nvidia, CARE, HK, China, European Central Bank, Bank of England, West, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington, U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, China, Ira, New York, Shanghai, Amsterdam, Jorgelina, London, Johannesburg, confab, CHINA, Beijing, United States, European, Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, Argentina, Egypt, Turkey
Coins and banknotes of China's yuan are seen in this illustration picture taken February 24, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Aug 17 (Reuters - Hedge fund EDL Capital is betting on further falls for China's offshore currency and says the yuan's slide could be the next "black swan event" to rattle world markets, according to an investor presentation this month seen by Reuters. The U.S. dollar has strengthened roughly 6% against the offshore yuan so far this year and Chinese state banks have been seen selling dollars this week to stem the yuan fall. The hedge fund held a short position in the offshore yuan , the Aug. 2 presentation shows. The hedge fund, run by star manager Edouard de Langlade, was up about 8% this year, said the presentation.
Persons: Florence Lo, Edouard de Langlade, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara Ranasinghe, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Capital, Reuters, The U.S, Thomson Locations: China, Vietnam, India, United States, Switzerland
The Adyen share plunge "was because expectations were much higher. Analysts believed that Adyen would take significantly more share in this difficult market environment," said Jefferies equity analyst Hannes Leitner. Was the share price reaction justified? One European equities trader, who asked not to be named, noted there were orders to sell Adyen shares at any price and referred to "apocalypse selling." According to data from Refinitiv, 17 analysts rated Adyen "buy", 12 "hold", and 4 "sell" before the earnings announcement.
Persons: Eva Plevier, Jefferies, Hannes Leitner, Refinitiv, Adyen, Worldline, Italy's, Marco Simion, Pieter van der, , Samuel Indyk, Elizabeth Howcroft, Danilo Masoni, Toby Sterling, Dhara, Alun John, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: REUTERS, Analysts, Citigroup, UBS, KPMG, Privately, Thomson Locations: Amsterdam, Netherlands, MILAN, North America, Swiss, Adyen, EMEA, Refinitiv, London, Milan
Savings accounts currently offer interest rates of about 5.5% in the United States, and 3.75% in Europe. About 73% of the investors surveyed were based in the United States, Goldman said in the note sent to clients on Monday. Reuters GraphicsMost investors use an index compiled by Hedge Fund Research (HFR) to determine whether or not their hedge fund has performed well enough to earn a bonus or performance fee. Reuters GraphicsSome agreements between a hedge fund and their investors base fees not on a minimum threshold but on a past high the hedge fund has hit, a so-called high-water mark. Half of the investors surveyed said hedge funds met their expectations this year but only 8% said they had outperformed, the lowest proportion since 2018.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Nell Mackenzie, Elisa Martinuzzi, Dhara Ranasinghe, Alexander Smith Organizations: REUTERS, Savings, Reuters Graphics, Hedge Fund Research, Reuters, Thomson Locations: United States, Europe, Anecdotally
Yet a sharp drawdown in the excess savings created by COVID-19 could be a curve ball that slams into bullish sentiment. U.S. excess savings have fallen to around $500 billion from around $2.1 trillion in August 2021, the San Francisco Federal Reserve estimates. In Europe, Deutsche Bank reckons excess savings in Sweden, struggling to contain a property slump, have dwindled. Reuters GraphicsRUNNING OUTDefinitions for excess savings differ, but economists generally agree that this means savings that went beyond trend levels during the pandemic. Cardano chief economist Shweta Singh said U.S. pandemic excess savings are likely to be depleted by year-end.
Persons: Rachel Adams, Janus Henderson, Oliver Blackbourn, Shweta Singh, Guy Miller, Jamie Dimon, Ben, Eren Osman, Arbuthnot Latham, Janus Henderson's Blackbourn, U.S . Russell, Russell, Goldman Sachs, Blackbourn, Zurich's Miller, Simon Bell, Guilluame Paillat, Paillat, Naomi Rovnick, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Oxford, REUTERS, San Francisco Federal, Deutsche Bank, Reuters, Insurance Group, Ryanair, JPMorgan, Unilever, U.S ., London's, Bank of, Aviva, Thomson Locations: Britain, London, China, Europe, U.S, Sweden, United States, downturns, Australia
LONDON/SYDNEY, July 31 (Reuters) - Commercial real estate investors and lenders are slowly confronting an ugly question - if people never again shop in malls or work in offices the way they did before the pandemic, how safe are the fortunes they piled into bricks and mortar? WALL OF DEBTGlobal banks hold about half of the $6 trillion outstanding commercial real estate debt, Moody's Investors Service said in June, with the largest share maturing in 2023-2026. U.S. banks revealed spiralling losses from property in their first half figures and warned of more to come. Borrowers in the UK real estate holding & development category were 4% more likely to default. But the whale could be commercial real estate in the U.S.".
Persons: Richard Murphy, Jeffrey Sherman, Charles, Henry Monchau, Bank Syz, Jones Lang LaSalle, Savills, JLL, Dhara Ranasinghe, Huw Jones, Clare Jim, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Employers, UK's Sheffield University, Reuters, Investors, Moody's Investors Service, Fed, Federal, Bank, Suisse, Washington D.C, HSBC, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, London, Los Angeles and New York, U.S, New York, Beijing, San Francisco, Tokyo, Washington, Shanghai, North America, Hong Kong
REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/IllustrationLONDON, July 28 (Reuters) - Corporate credit quality is weaker than financial markets currently price in, while defaults are likely to pick up in the second half of the year, a report by Janus Henderson Investors said on Friday. Tighter lending standards, higher refinancing costs and a slowing economy would take their toll on the credit quality of corporates, the report said. This suggests that defaults could pick up in the second half, even if the pace of defaults is slower than in previous cycles, it added. Additionally, a recent trend of small businesses being forced to file for bankruptcy is likely to spread more broadly into capital markets, Janus Henderson noted. "As recession fears scaled back, markets have been pricing in a more muted credit default cycle.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Janus Henderson, Jim Cielinski, Chiara Elisei, Dhara Ranasinghe, Conor Humphries Organizations: REUTERS, Janus Henderson Investors, P Global, U.S, Casino, Thomson Locations: industrials
Five hedge funds shared five trading ideas on global property markets, adding that they cannot reveal trading positions for regulatory reasons. CM REITs are companies that own mortgages of multi-family residential homes as well as commercial real estate loans. Cell phone data Litt bought to research a REIT run by Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE.N), showed that buildings which that were supposed to be almost fully occupied were only half full. Alexandria Real Estate responded pointing to public filings which said that it was the advancement of science and related intellectual property in Alexandria’s Labspace buildings, and not employee foot traffic that drove its demand for space. But Litt believes that the shift away from office working will also hurt life and sciences real estate, generally.
Persons: Jonathan Mizrachi, CMBSs, David Amaryan, Ben Hunsaker, Hunsaker, Jonathan Litt, Litt, ANSON, Moez Kassam, Vistry, Kassam, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara Ranasinghe, Alison Williams Organizations: Property, Capital, Beach, Beach Point Capital Management, REITs, Alexandria Real, Reuters, Vistry, Thomson Locations: York, Russia, Russia's, Ukraine, Armenia, Beach Point, Alexandria, Alexandria’s, London, Carolina, New York
The euro slipped 0.25% against the dollar, government bond yields across the bloc edged lower while European stock markets dipped, with Spain's benchmark index down 0.65% in a clear underperformance. Meanwhile, U.S. stock futures , rose 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively, pointing to a positive open for Wall Street. With the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan meeting this week, a note of caution underpinned the mood across global markets. The benchmarks continued their fourth straight of week of gains last week, as supply is expected to tighten following OPEC+ cuts. HOST OF EARNINGSOn top of central bank meetings and economic data, investors also braced for a slew of earnings from both sides of the Atlantic.
Persons: Kai Pfaffenbach, Bruno Schneller, Schneller, Eddie Cheng, Allspring's Cheng, SPAIN UNDERPERFORMS, Fiona Cincotta, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara, Wayne Cole, Amanda Cooper, Peter Graff Organizations: REUTERS, Nasdaq, Fed, ECB London, Wall, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan, ECB, INVICO Asset Management, Bank of Japan, Japan's Nikkei, Allspring Global Investments, Brent, . West Texas, Intel, Microsoft, GE, Boeing, Exxon Mobil, Coca Cola, Ford, GM, U.S, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Spain, U.S, Spain's, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Ukraine, Russia, China, SPAIN, SPAIN UNDERPERFORMS Spain, Sunday's, Basque, Catalan, Coca, London, SYDNEY
Euro zone interest rates have risen 400 basis points in the last year to 3.5%, their highest in 22 years, and are now close to peaking as headline inflation cools and the economy weakens. 1/ How much will the ECB hike rates? "The ECB will hike again and anything else would be a major surprise," said RBC Capital Markets global macro strategist Peter Schaffrik. Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics3/ When does the ECB expect core inflation to fall? Euro zone business activity stalled in June as a manufacturing recession deepened and a previously resilient services sector barely grew.
Persons: Silvia Ardagna, Peter Schaffrik, Christine, Lagarde, Massimiliano Maxia, Reinhard Cluse, Ruben Segura, BofA, Philip Lane, BofA's Segura, Naomi Rovnick, Stefano Rebaudo, Vincent Flasseur, Sumanta Sen, Pasit, Kripa Jayaram, Catherine Evans Organizations: European Central Bank, Barclays, ECB, Capital, Reuters, Allianz Global Investors, U.S . Federal, Reuters Graphics Reuters, UBS, Bank, Thomson Locations: Cayuela, Europe, London, Milan
LONDON, July 20 (Reuters) - The European Union said on Thursday it has reached a deal on revising its rules for managers of hedge funds and other alternative investments, easing industry fears of a post-Brexit crackdown on managers in London. Representatives of EU states and the European Parliament reached the deal overnight to update the bloc's Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD) rules that cover investments in hedge funds, private equity, private debt funds and real estate funds. Under the agreement, European asset managers will have to disclose more details to regulators about their investments with private funds in the United States, Britain and other non-EU countries. But it stops short of toughening up "delegation" rules for managers outside the EU that pick assets for funds listed in the bloc. The agreement includes new rules on funds that issue new loans, including higher requirements to keep money aside to cope with liquidity demands in stressed markets.
Persons: Taggart Davis, Davis, Jiri Krol, AIMA, Deborah Zurkow, Nell Mackenzie, Huw Jones, Dhara Ranasinghe, Sharon Singleton Organizations: European Union, European, Investment, European Commission, Collective Investment, Securities, EU, Alternative Investment Management Association, Alternative Credit Council, Allianz Global Investors, Thomson Locations: London ., United States, Britain, London, Luxembourg, Dublin, Europe
Total: 25