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A TV presenter gets ready for the daily reporting from the floor of the German share price index DAX at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, November 15, 2023. LONDON — European stocks were poised for a higher open Friday as traders continue to monitor the escalating conflict in the Middle East and look ahead to the latest U.S. jobs report. The FTSE 100 was seen opening up 7 points at 8,281, Germany's DAX 38 points higher at 19,029, France's CAC up 23 points at 7,489 and Italy's FTSE MIB 100 points higher at 32,171, according to IG data. It comes after the Stoxx 600 shed 1% Thursday as geopolitical tensions have contributed to a shaky start to October. Investors are looking ahead Friday to the September's payrolls report, with U.S. futures little changed overnight.
Persons: DAX, Germany's DAX Organizations: LONDON, France's CAC, Investors Locations: Frankfurt, Germany
The Fed will still deliver jumbo rate cuts to stabilize the weakening job market, the firm predicted. AdvertisementThough most on Wall Street are cheering September's blowout labor report, not everyone is so sure the labor market is booming. Advertisement"The extremely low response rate to the payroll survey waves a red flag," the firm wrote on Friday. The firm scrutinized last month's payroll strength against the fact that other labor market indicators have shown a pullback in hiring. Meanwhile, this week's JOLTS data prompted Deutsche Bank to question how tight the labor market really is.
Persons: , Larry Summers Organizations: Macroeconomics, Service, Deutsche Bank, of Labor Statistics, Conference, Federal, Bank of America Locations: joblessness, tanked
The Tokyo Tower, left, and commercial and residential buildings in Minato district of Tokyo, Japan, on Saturday, Oct. 1, 2022. Photographer: Akio Kon/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesSINGAPORE — Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed on Friday following losses on Wall Street, with concerns over Middle East tensions keeping investors on edge in the run up to September's U.S. payrolls report. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index futures were at 22,091, lower than the HSI's last close of 22,113.51. Markets in mainland China will reopen on Oct. 8. Chinese stocks had been on a tear after authorities announced a slew of support measures last week.
Persons: Akio Kon, Australia's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty Images, Nikkei Locations: Tokyo, Minato district, Japan, Getty Images SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, China
Gold rangebound as investors brace for key U.S. economic data
  + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices were trading in a tight range on Thursday as traders remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. economic data that may provide clues about the size of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts expected later this year. Gold prices were trading in a tight range on Thursday as traders remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. economic data that may provide clues about the size of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts expected later this year. Investors are watching out for the ISM services data and the initial jobless claims, due later in the day, along with the U.S. non-farm payroll data expected on Friday. Gold tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment and political turmoil. Elsewhere, Perth Mint's gold product sales touched a 10-month high in September, while silver sales hit a seven-month high.
Persons: Brian Lan, , CME's, Lan Organizations: GoldSilver Central, Investors, U.S . Locations: Singapore, Israel, Beirut, Iran, Perth
Indexes edged lower Thursday as investors assessed jobless claims and geopolitical tensions. On Friday, investors will get a fresh labor market update from the September nonfarm payrolls report. AdvertisementUS stocks inched lower on Thursday, fueled by an uptick in jobless claims ahead of a key jobs report and continued tensions in the Middle East. Analysts say the report will likely have a big influence on both markets and the Fed in the coming weeks. Advertisement"We think a soft employment report is likely to generate a larger market response vs a strong labor report," Bank of America analysts said in a Wednesday report.
Persons: , Israel Organizations: Service, Labor Department, Israel, Federal, Bank of America, Trump, RBC Locations: Iran
Traders are watching rising risks to oil supplies as tensions in the Middle East escalate. US oil spiked 5.5% to $73.98 a barrel and Brent prices rose more than 5% to trade at $77.86. If the conflict destroys Iran's oil infrastructure, oil prices could surge 161% to over $200 a barrel, according to SEB's chief commodities analyst Bjarne Schieldrop. AdvertisementInvestors are eagerly awaiting the September jobs report, due Friday, for further signs of labor market health. Markets are pricing in a 65% chance of a smaller 25 basis point cut in November, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Friday's nonfarm, Biden, , Joe Biden, retaliating, Biden's, Brent, Bjarne Schieldrop, Economists, Jensen Huang, Blackwell Organizations: Traders, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Israel, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Costco Locations: Israel, Iran
"The jobs market is slowing down and becoming less tight," said Katie Nixon, chief investment officer at Northern Trust Wealth Management. Then there are the monthly revisions that have been dramatic at times, causing the Labor Department to overcount hiring by more than 800,000 for the 12-month period through March 2024, adding uncertainty to jobs market analysis. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the report at 8:30 a.m. Looking for cluesStill, markets will in fact be watching the report closely. At the same meeting where they approved the reduction, policymakers indicated another half percentage point, or 50 basis points, in cuts before the end of 2024 and another full percentage point in 2025.
Persons: Angus Mordant, Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Katie Nixon, We've, there's, David Kelly, Helene —, JPMorgan's Kelly, Kelly Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, Trust Wealth Management, Labor Department, Asset Management, Labor Statistics Locations: Albany, Latham , New York
The euro languished not far from a three-week trough reached in the previous session, after normally hawkish European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel took a dovish tone on inflation, cementing bets for a rate cut this month. Currently, traders lay 34.6% odds of another 50 basis-point U.S. rate cut on Nov. 7, after the Fed kicked off its easing cycle with a super-sized reduction last month. "I do think that if the payrolls report overall is not too shabby tomorrow night, then we will see that pricing (for a 50 basis-point cut) coming in quite significantly." The dollar added 0.09% to 146.575 yen after earlier reaching 146.885 for the first time since Sept. 3. The euro was little changed at $1.10455, sitting not far from Wednesday's low of $1.10325, a level last seen on Sept. 12.
Persons: European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel, Ray Attrill, Attrill, Asahi Noguchi, Sterling Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Private U.S, ADP, Fed, National Australia Bank, Dovish Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel
U.S. stock futures were flat on Thursday night as traders looked ahead to the widely anticipated release of September's jobs report on Friday morning. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were also unchanged. These moves came after the major averages ended Thursday's trading session with losses. U.S. oil futures climbed about 5% Thursday, weighing on the major averages. Indeed, all three major averages are already on pace for weekly losses.
Persons: Dow Jones, Barbara Doran, I'd, it's, Doran Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, International Longshoremen's Association, United States Maritime Alliance, Dow, BD8 Capital Partners Locations: New York City . U.S, U.S, East, Iran, Israel
Treasury yields rise as attention shifts to jobs data
  + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over two basis points to 3.8056%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.6539% after rising by more than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Thursday as investors looked to the latest labor market insights and considered the state of the economy. Investors assessed the state of the economy as attention turned to the latest jobs data. Figures from ADP on Wednesday showed that private payrolls grew by more than expected in September, with private companies adding 143,000 jobs.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Investors, U.S . Labor, Federal Reserve
Gold prices flat as dollar strength counters safe-haven demand
  + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bar bullions ingot, selective focus, crisis safe haven for investment or reserve for country economics. Gold prices were flat on Wednesday, as a firmer dollar partially offset safe-heaven demand amid heightened Middle East tensions, while investors awaited U.S. data for further economic cues. Spot gold held its ground at $2,659.79 per ounce, as of 0325 GMT, after rising more than 1% in the previous session. "Gold benefited from safe-haven demand during a risk-off session on Tuesday. Meanwhile, physical demand for gold in key markets has dropped due to high prices, with some retail consumers selling their holdings to lock in profits, industry players and analysts said.
Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu, Bullion, Matt Simpson, payrolls, Simpson Organizations: Israel, Index, Federal Reserve, NFP, Traders Locations: Iran, Tehran
Key data prints are hovering in recession territory, Megan Horneman said. "I think investors got a little ahead of themselves," she said. This over-enthusiasm could cost the market heavily, pushing stocks toward a 7% to 10% drop, the chief investment officer said. "I think investors got a little ahead of themselves as far as the what strength there is in the economy," she told Yahoo Finance. Still, these data prints have taken a backseat to labor data, which holds the spotlight on Wall Street.
Persons: Megan Horneman, , Tim Fiore, Morgan Stanley, Horneman Organizations: Yahoo Finance, Service, Conference Board, September's, PMI, US Federal Reserve
President Biden said on Tuesday that his administration will be "monitoring for any price gouging activity" that benefits foreign ocean carriers, including those on the USMX board. He also said "foreign ocean carriers have made record profits since the pandemic, when Longshoremen put themselves at risk to keep ports open." UBS forecast that 20% of Maersk's total volume would touch a U.S. port that would be impacted by the strike. Acting Secretary Julie Su lashed out at the idea that labor wage increases would be passed onto U.S. exporters and importers. I know they understand, just as consumers and American workers understand, that foreign companies who profit from our economy and who employ American workers and have an impact on American consumers should do the right thing, and in that battle, we are always going to stand with American workers, American businesses and American consumers."
Persons: Biden, Longshoremen, majeure, Daggett, Harold Daggett, Lars Jenson, Pete Buttigieg, Julie Su, Taft, Hartley, Buttigieg, Larry Lindsey, Su, Peter Friedmann, I've, nonfarm, Helene, switchers, they're, Jim Bianco, CNBC's, Peter Boockvar, Alan Baer, Steve Lamar, Taft Hartley, Lamar, CNBC's Jeff Cox Organizations: CMA, U.S, United States Maritime Alliance, Vespucci, Federal Reserve, Transportation, Labor, International Longshoremen's Association, UBS, Maersk, Federal Maritime Commission, ILA, Boeing, The Lindsey Group, Agriculture Transportation Coalition, Bianco Research, Bleakley Financial, USA, American Apparel and Footwear Association, Biden Administration, Locations: East, Gulf Coast, U.S, autoworkers
Apple Intelligence : Club stock Apple turned positive Wednesday, despite more analysts trimming their 2024 iPhone 16 estimates. Interestingly, Apple Intelligence is the sixth top reason someone would buy a new iPhone, according to a recent survey by JPMorgan analysts. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, payrolls, Jensen Huang, Levi Strauss, Michelle Gass, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., U.S, Israel . Semiconductor, Broadcom, Nvidia, Accenture, Financial Times, Amazon, Apple Intelligence, Apple, JPMorgan, Club, Constellation Brands, Modelo, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Iran, Israel, Corona, Pacifico
Private sector hiring picked up in September, indicating the labor market is holding its ground despite some signs of weakness, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. While hiring increased, the rate of pay growth took another step down. The ADP count comes two days ahead of the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to show growth of 150,000, following August's disappointing showing of 142,000, of which 118,000 came from private sector hiring. While the ADP report serves as a precursor to the official count, the two can differ, sometimes by wide margins. In a speech Monday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell characterized the labor market as "solid" while noting that it has "clearly cooled" over the past year.
Persons: Dow Jones, switchers, Job, nonfarm, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Companies, Labor, Federal Reserve
The best-case scenario for stocks is if Friday's jobs report comes in slightly above consensus, according to JPMorgan. Here are the bank's five scenarios: Above 200,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 trades flat or as much as 0.5% higher. Between 160,000 to 200,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 gains between 1% and 1.5%. Between 140,000 to 160,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 rises by 0.75% to 1.25%. Between 110,000 to 140,000 jobs added: JPMorgan traders see the S & P 500 sliding between 0.5% and 1.5%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow Jones, JPMorgan's, Michael Feroli, nonfarm Organizations: JPMorgan, Investors, Federal Locations: U.S
Dollar firm as war widens in Middle East
  + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar held its sharpest gain in a week on Wednesday after an Iranian missile attack on Israel drove buying of safe assets as investors fretted about the widening of conflict in the Middle East. The dollar held its sharpest gain in a week on Wednesday after an Iranian missile attack on Israel drove buying of safe assets as investors fretted about the widening of conflict in the Middle East. The bid for safety kept the yen broadly steady at 143.45 per dollar and the Swiss franc at 0.8463 per dollar. The New Zealand dollar was nursing a 1.1% overnight fall at $0.6283 and oil prices had jumped 2.5%. Westpac strategist Imre Speizer said the Middle East was unpredictable but that in the absence of escalation market sentiment could recover and focus return to economics.
Persons: Sterling, Imre Speizer, Tim Walz, JD Vance Organizations: Swiss, New Zealand, U.S, Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps, Hezbollah, ANZ, Westpac, BNZ, Gulf Coast dockworkers Locations: Iranian, Israel, Early Asia, Iran, Lebanon, Asia, New Zealand, dockside, East, Gulf Coast
Stock futures ticked higher Wednesday night as investors look ahead to September's payrolls report due later this week. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 40 points, or less than 0.1%. S&P 500 futures advanced 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures climbed about 0.2%. October trading is off to a rough start this month as escalating tensions in the Middle East dampen investors' enthusiasm. "Embrace October's volatility, as there is still plenty of fuel left in this bull market," she added.
Persons: September's, Levi Strauss, Stocks, , Mary Ann Bartels Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dockers, Investors, ADP, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Iran, Israel, Lebanon
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock exchange during morning trading on May 17, 2024. Stock futures slipped in overnight trading following a sour start to the new trading month and final quarter of 2024. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged down 80 points, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures lost about 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively. In after-hours action, Nike slid about 7% after the sneaker giant pulled its full-year guidance ahead of its CEO change. Ahead of Friday's keynote September jobs report, Wall Street on Wednesday will gain insight into the state of private payrolls with ADP's Employment Survey.
Persons: Elliott Hill, Ryan Detrick, nonfarm Organizations: New York Stock, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nike, LPL, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Tesla, U.S, Treasury, ADP's, Federal Locations: Iran, Israel, Lebanon
ET the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 3.7638%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than two basis points lower to 3.6289%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Tuesday as investors looked ahead to fresh economic data and weighed comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. On Monday, he indicated that if economic data remained consistent, two more rate cuts could come this year but in smaller, 25-basis-point increments. More Fed policymakers are set to give remarks throughout this week, which investors will be following closely alongside the latest data releases.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Investors, P Global U.S, Manufacturing, ISM, PMI, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Survey
Ultimately, the slow starts to August and September did not stand in the way of Wall Street recording a strong third quarter . Tech woes : The S & P 500 tech sector is having a rough day on several different fronts. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, There's, Elliott Hill, John Donahoe, Lamb Weston, we'll, Slim Jim, Hunt's, Orville Redenbacher's, We're, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Stocks, Federal Reserve, Coterra Energy, Tech, Apple, Citigroup, HP Inc, CDW Corp, Citi, Samsung Electronics, Nvidia, Broadcom, Energy, Nike, Maine Foods, Labor, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: East, Iran, Israel, China
When a stock or ETF becomes overbought, it can maintain that condition for an extended period. In the one-year daily chart of Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) below, I've highlighted two similar instances from the past. RSI (Relative Strength Index): As a stock rises, the relative strength index (RSI) measures the strength of the trend. Once in overbought territory, it's advisable to wait until the RSI falls back below 70 before considering a contrarian trade. The trade To benefit from a pullback in XLY, the trade structure I am going to use is called a "bear put spread".
Persons: Nishant Pant Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: overbought
Stock futures were little changed on Monday evening, after the S&P 500 closed at a record to end September. S&P 500 futures inched lower by 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures were just below the flatline. In the regular session, the S&P 500 and the 30-stock Dow notched closing records. All three major averages posted monthly gains, and it was the first positive September for the S&P 500 since 2019. The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq Composite also ended the third quarter in positive territory.
Persons: Jerome Powell, nonfarm, Dave Sekera Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal, Investors, Morningstar, Traders, International Longshoremen's Association, Gulf Coasts, U.S, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Survey, P Global U.S, Manufacturing, ISM, PMI Locations: New York City, U.S, Gulf
Another pivotal U.S. jobs report this week will determine the market's direction, and Bank of America strategists think it is likely to push stocks to more record highs. The September jobs report is due Friday, with the economy expected to have added 144,000 jobs, up from 142,000 jobs in August, according to a Dow Jones estimate. It projects payrolls grew by 150,000 in September, with the unemployment rate at 4.2%. For options traders, Bank of America is recommending buying calls on cyclical equities, which currently offer the best value across asset classes. It said options on SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) are the most attractive right now to play the jobs data.
Persons: Dow Jones, payrolls Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Regional Banking
A strong jobs report would boost low-quality stocks, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley analysts say. AdvertisementInvestor eyes are locked on the upcoming jobs report, due Friday. If it comes in strong, that will be great news for less-loved, lower-quality stocks, analysts from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley say. Morgan Stanley's equity-strategy team is also keyed in on the jobs report. Wilson also highlighted the jobs report as a possible catalyst for rotation towards low quality in the stock market.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, , David Kostin, Morgan, Mike Wilson, Wilson, nonfarm payrolls Organizations: Service, firm's
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