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☆ Morning Bid: Tech splits, banks merge and Fed decides
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Unlucky for some perhaps, but a 13th today would make it the longest winning streak for the Dow since 1987. Meta Platforms (META.O) is up next after Wednesday's closing bell and its share rose 2%. Wells Fargo (WFC.N), meantime, climbed 2.8% after the bank's board authorized a new $30 billion share buyback program. The Fed decision comes in the wake of another set of forecast-beating U.S. consumer confidence readings for July. Elsewhere, the European earnings season was in full swing too, with banks dominating the diary and the European Central Bank meeting tomorrow.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Dow Jones, Wells Fargo, Kazuo Ueda, Jerome Powell, Molina, Rollins, Edwards, John Stonestreet Organizations: Microsoft, Dow, Netflix, Google, Federal Trade Commission, European Central Bank, Deutsche Bank, Bank of Japan, HK, . Federal, eBay, Boeing, General Dynamics, Seagate, Union Pacific, CME, Hilton Worldwide, Lam Research, Water Works, United Rentals, Otis, Treasury, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wall, Nasdaq, California, Lam, Everest

☆ Morning Bid: Big Tech litmus test as Fed gather
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The wider blue-chip CSI 300 Index (.CSI300) snapped a six-day losing streak to pop 3% and buying from state banks propped the yuan. Both oil and Treasury yields gave back some of those gains again today, however, with year-on-year crude price declines still tracking more than 21%. There was little ostensible reaction to the formal rebalancing of the Nasdaq 100 (.NDX) index that pared weightings of several of the big caps to reduce "over-concentration". The approach of Wednesday's Fed decision may limit market moves until then. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, sagged, Dow Jones bluechips, Alphabet's, Clark, Chubb, Paccar, Sherwin, Williams, Archer, Ed Osmond Organizations: Big Tech, Microsoft, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, ebbing, Nasdaq, Google, Texas, NextEra Energy, Visa, GE, GM, Dow, Verizon, Universal Health, Daniels, Richmond Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Federal, Market, Monetary Fund, Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Hong, Europe, China, Danaher, Corning, Kimberly, Biogen, Dover, Nucor, Midland

☆ Morning Bid: Euro biz ebbs, China property and rate peaks?
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Arguments for calling a halt to the credit tightening were strengthened on Monday as early July business surveys for the euro area came in well below forecasts, showing a deepening contraction in overall activity this month. The euro dropped more than half a percent against the dollar as euro government debt yields fell back, with an indecisive weekend election result in Spain adding pressure. With the ongoing slide in manufacturing still the biggest drag and due in large part to China's spluttering post-Covid recovery, further turbulence in China's property markets will only increase the anxiety. For Wall St, the looming Fed decision dominates this week - with a check on U.S. July business surveys topping the data on Monday's calendar in another huge corporate earnings week. U.S. Treasury yields fell back, but the dollar (.DXY) climbed against the euro, yuan and sterling - also hit by disappointing UK business readings for July.

Persons: Mike Dolan, China's, readouts, Dow Jones, Brown Organizations: Futures, Bank of, Dalian, Japan's Nikkei, Tech, Microsoft, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Chicago Fed, Whirlpool, Packaging Corp of America, Cadence, Trade Organization, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Bank of Japan, Spain, United States, Alexandria, Geneva

☆ Morning Bid: Dollar flexes into Fed week, calm returns
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Another unexpectedly tight weekly reading from the U.S. labour market sowed some lingering doubts that we're on the cusp of 'peak Fed' just yet. The tech wobble saw the Nasdaq (.IXIC) recoil 2% in its biggest drop since March. A quieter earnings schedule is topped by American Express - but nearly all the other banks have been impressive over the past week. Pessimists think the Fed is not done tightening yet and any further rate hikes after next week will just hasten a downturn in 2024. That has sobered up the Treasury market a touch after a couple of weeks of disinflation relief.

Persons: Mike Dolan, jockeying, we're, Dow Jones industrials, Johnson, Pessimists, Huntington Bancshares, Janet Yellen, Angus MacSwan Organizations: Big Tech, Tesla, Netflix, Nasdaq, American Express, Treasury, Bank of Japan, Comerica, Regions, Roper Technologies, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Huntington, Schlumberger, Canada, Hanoi

☆ Morning Bid: Tesla, Netflix underwhelm
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/2] A Tesla logo is seen outside a showroom of the carmaker in Beijing, China May 31, 2023. REUTERS/Thomas Peter/File PhotoA look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanAn overdue cold shower? July 20 (Reuters) - The first of the supercharged Big Tech firms to report in this earnings season - Tesla and Netflix - seemed to underwhelm markets overnight, cutting across the enthusiastic reception for big banks and knocking back bulled-up Wall St from 2023 highs. Although electric car giant Tesla (TSLA.O) comfortably beat second quarter profit forecasts, markets seized on plans for continued price discounting and squeezed margins as a reason to drag its shares down almost 4% in overnight trading. In the fixed income world, Treasury yields crept back higher ahead of next week's Federal Reserve meeting.

Persons: Thomas Peter, Mike Dolan, Dow Jones, McLennan, Philip Morris, WR, DR Horton, Janet Yellen, John Organizations: REUTERS, Big Tech, Netflix, Overseas, Citizens, US Bancorp, Energy, Healthcare, Abbott Laboratories, Johnson, Blackstone, Truist Financial, American Airlines, Marsh, WR Berkley, CSX, Philadelphia Federal Reserve, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Housing, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Beijing, China, U.S, Russia, Britain, Newmont, Freeport, McMoRan, DR, Philadelphia, Turkey, South Africa, Vietnam

☆ Morning Bid: Banks lob earnings into giddy markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

But there's likely to be a scattering of the herd in terms of performance during that three months. For universal banks such as JPMorgan and Wells Fargo that serve retail consumers and firms, earnings per share are expected to have jumped more than 40% over the previous year. Overall, the U.S. earnings season is expected to show S&P500 profits down 6.4% from the same period a year earlier - with revenue down a more modest 0.8%, according to Refinitiv research. Stock markets around the world and S&P500 futures held most of their outsize weekly gains, however, and were mostly flat into the open. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Wells, behemoths Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Christopher Waller, that's, Toby Chopra Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank, Export, Stock, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, University of Michigan, European Union, Brussels Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, China, Brussels

☆ Morning Bid: Markets bet July 2023 is 'peak Fed'
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanSurprise news of a 2%-plus print on U.S. headline inflation rate for June has world markets betting the peak of the Federal Reserve's interest rate campaign will now be this month. Either way, the latest inflation cheer means U.S. rate futures have wiped out bets of another Fed rate hike after a final quarter-point move to 5.25-5.50% at July 26's meeting. Although they see peak rates held there to year-end, futures now price as much as a full percentage point of cuts by this time in 2024. The VIX "fear index" (.VIX) fell back below 14 to its lowest of the month so far. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, That's, Christopher Waller, Mary Daly, Joe Biden, Christine Lagarde, Toby Chopra Organizations: Fed, Nasdaq, PepsiCo, Delta Airlines, Bank of, Swiss, Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Nordic, European Central Bank, . Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Beijing, Jackson, Fastenal, Helsinki, Brussels, Japan

☆ Morning Bid: Dollar swoons in upbeat inflation vigil
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanWorld markets leaned positively into another critical U.S. inflation report later on Wednesday, seeding a dollar (.DXY) slide to two-month lows that's revved-up yen and sterling gains. And June's CPI readout should be a marker if the consensus forecast for almost a full percentage-point drop in the headline inflation rate to two year lows of just 3.1% is borne out. Still, encouraged by a screed of other positive disinflation signals this week, U.S. markets are relatively buoyant going into the release and still feel the end of the Fed rate rise campaign is nigh. UK bank stocks pushed higher on the rates view and a relatively clean bill of health from Wednesday's financial stability report from the BOE. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand paused its long-running rate rise campaign early on Tuesday.

Persons: Mike Dolan, BOE, Thomas Barkin, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Loretta Mester, Joe Biden, Nick Macfie Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, yearend, Treasury, Bank of Japan, Bank of, recoiling, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Bank of Canada, Japan's Nikkei, Microsoft, Activision, Richmond Federal, Atlanta Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Cleveland Fed, NATO, . Treasury, Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Shanghai, Hong Kong, British, Vilnius

☆ Morning Bid: Bruised bonds relying on disinflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

While that data took the edge off the red-hot private-sector jobs readout the previous day, it left a bruised bond market still wary of further Federal Reserve interest rate rises and praying disinflation may stay its hand after one more hike later this month. Although Treasury bond volatility (.MOVE) backed off six-week highs on Friday, its weekly rise was the biggest since the wild swings around the banking stress in March. Stock futures were in the red again ahead of Monday's open despite gains in Chinese and European bourses. British markets - where the UK government bond market selloff last week had been worse than in Treasuries - remained edgy. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, disinflation, Janet Yellen, Joe Biden, Jeremy Hunt, Andrew Bailey, Michael Barr, Mary Daly, Loretta Mester, Raphael Bostic, Ed Osmond Organizations: Wednesday's, Treasury, NATO, HSBC, Sunday . Bank of England, Federal, San Francisco Fed, Cleveland Fed, Atlanta Fed, Bank of England, . Treasury, Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Vilnius, British, Treasuries, South Korea, Ukraine

☆ Morning Bid: Data-hit bond markets end summer lull
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

On top of that, there were signs that activity at dominant U.S. service sector firms picked up steam again last month too. Friday's release of the Labor Department's monthly national payrolls report will seal the picture. U.S. Treasury yields hit 16-year highs above 5%, German equivalents hit their highest in 15 years and British gilt yields scaled 2008 peaks. The VIX (.VIX) gauge of implied Wall St volatility - which had been peculiarly subdued right through last month - jumped to its highest since June 1. Crucially, 2-year Treasury yields edged back below 5%.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Lorie Logan, payrolls, HSI, Janet Yellen's, Elon, Lorrie Logan, Christine Lagarde, Joachim Nagel, Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann, Emelia Sithole Organizations: readouts, Federal, Labor, Dallas Fed, Fed, Treasury, Nikkei, Twitter, Meta, Dallas Federal, Central Bank, Bank of England, NATO, Vilnius Reuters Graphics, Reuters Graphics Reuters, PMI Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, China, Canada, New York, Vilnius Reuters

LONDON, July 7 (Reuters) - Unsure which way the cookie crumbles from here - investors are being tempted to drop the bond. The broadest measures of government and corporate bonds have just stuck in mud. Two-year government bond yields are soaring. With June U.S. jobs growth going up yet another gear, U.S. Treasury yields hit 16-year highs above 5%, German equivalents hit their highest in 15 years and British gilt yields scaled 2008 peaks. For all but longer-term pension and insurance funds or banks, bonds may be neither fish nor fowl for a while to come.

Persons: hasn't, Stocks, midyear underperformance, Mike Dolan, Josie Kao Organizations: Global, Bloomberg U.S, Treasury, Bank of, JPMorgan, Europe, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson

LONDON, July 5 (Reuters) - Dismissal of this year's much-scorned equity market rally as the frothy preserve of a handful of AI-fuelled stocks may be both misleading and also one of its strengths. Or, put another way, if you remove the top 10 stocks, the other 490 would only have gained 4%. And an eye-popping 75% surge in the high-octane 10-stock FANG+TM index (.NYFANG) - mega cap U.S. digital and tech stocks including Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla - underlines that. In short, they're hard to avoid unless you dodge either U.S.-listed companies or equity markets altogether. "While stock market investments may be risky in the short run, when viewed against inflation they have offered far more certainty in the long run," he told clients.

Persons: Russell, Andrew Lapthorne, Japan's, Germany's DAX, Italy's, Duncan Lamont, Lamont, Mike Dolan, Mark Potter Organizations: Nasdaq, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, H1 Stock, Japan's Nikkei, MIB, McKinsey, Bank, Big Tech, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Europe, Japan, U.S, United States

☆ Morning Bid: Second-half lift, Tesla beat
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The news was a bit less rosy for America's largest cap stock Apple (AAPL.O), which last week became the first ever company to top a $3 trillion market capitalization. Aided by loose monetary policy, the exporting-fillip of a weakening yen and new chip-sector alliances, Japan's Nikkei (.N225) closed at a 33-year high. U.S. stock futures were a fraction higher again, with Tuesday's Independence Day holiday likely to keep trading volumes subdued. Two-year Treasury yields rose as high as 4.96%, their highest in almost 4 months. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Tesla, Italy's, Delfin, Janet Yellen, Toby Chopra Organizations: Nasdaq, Monday's Financial Times, Apple, Japan's Nikkei, MIB, Treasury, Federal, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, bourses, Asia, Europe, Beijing

☆ Morning Bid: Midyear market mettle, Nike clipped
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. jobless claims posted their biggest drop in 20 months last week, first-quarter economic growth was revised higher and inflation below forecast. The Federal Reserve's favoured PCE inflation gauge for May is due for release later. The constellation of resilient growth, a tight labour market, buoyant consumer confidence and a rebounding housing market are pushing back recession fears despite sharply rising interest rates that the Fed is signalling could rise twice more. The offshore yuan hit its weakest since Nov. 4 as pressure for lower domestic interest rates builds - in contrast to the U.S. direction of travel. Events to watch for later on Friday:* U.S. May personal income, spending and PCE inflation gauge.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Federal Reserve's, Russell Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, International Monetary Fund, Dallas Fed PCE, Chicago, PMI, University of Michigan's, Constellation Brands, Reuters Graphics, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Britain, Pakistan, Brussels

☆ Morning Bid: Fed turns screw, Micron pops
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

But as investors hit the half-year mark tomorrow, the tightening credit environment tempered fresh risk-taking. Two-year Treasury yields crept higher to 4.77% on Thursday after all the news, with the dollar (.DXY) firmer too and S&P500 futures marginally positive - helped by Micron. The VIX (.VIX) volatility gauge remains subdued at 13.6. Powell's relative hawkishness was mostly matched by counterparts at the European Central Bank and Bank of England yesterday. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Riksbank, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Paychex, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: Federal Reserve, Micron, European Central Bank and Bank of England, Atlanta Fed, Nike, McCormick, Paychex Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Europe, Japan, China, Madrid, Dublin, Brussels

☆ Morning Bid: G4 central bankers speak, chips wars rumble
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The picture was complicated further overnight as Tuesday's macro-driven rally in Wall St stocks was sideswiped by renewed Sino-U.S. trade tensions. AI darling Nvidia recoiled 4% (NVDA.O) in out-of-hours trade after reports Washington is considering new curbs on chip exports to China. But Wednesday's trading may well be dominated by news from a power panel at the European Central Bank's annual forum in Portugal. In currency markets, the dollar (.DXY) was firmer - especially against China's yuan , which hit a new low for the year. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan Eyeing, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, Andrew Bailey, disinflation, Joe Biden, Wall, General Mills, Mike Dolan, John Stonestreet Organizations: Nvidia, Central, Federal, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Wall St, Japan's Nikkei, People's Bank of China, European Central Bank, Bank of, ECB, Treasury, Micron Technology, General, General Mills New, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Wall St, Washington, China, Portugal, Australia, Canada, Chicago, Shanghai

☆ Morning Bid: Dogged central banks rein in risk
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Markets have been here before over the past year - continually underestimating the economy's resilience and Fed's trajectory. There was far less ambiguity in moves from Europe's central banks on Thursday. The Swiss National Bank raised rates by 25bp earlier, as expected, but also left the door open for more tightening. And Norway's central bank surprised with an aggressive 50bp rise to a 15-year high of 3.75% and signaled another move in August. In the emerging market world, Turkey was expected to more than double its 8.5% interest rate in a post-election macroeconomic policy reset.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell, Powell, Raphael Bostic, BoE, Britain's, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Loretta Mester, Thomas Barkin, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: Federal, Financial, Fed, Atlanta Fed, Yahoo Finance, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, Treasury, The Times, Bank of, U.S, Kansas City Federal, Chicago Fed, Cleveland Fed, Richmond Fed, Accenture, Darden, Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Britain, Europe's, Turkey, Mexico

☆ Here are Thursday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Eli Lilly, Broadcom, Microsoft & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-22 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Bank of America upgrades XP to buy from neutral Bank of America said the Brazilian investment company's shares will re-rate higher. JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as overweight JPMorgan reiterated the stock as a top idea and said it sees a runway for more growth for Amazon Prime. " Deutsche Bank adds a catalyst call buy on Walgreens Deutsche says it's bullish heading into earnings next week. Bank of America reiterates Eli Lilly as buy Bank of America said the biopharma company is still one of the firm's favorite ideas. Bank of America reiterates Broadcom as buy Bank of America raised its price target on AI beneficiary Broadcom to $1,050 per share from $950.

Persons: Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Bud, Bud Light, Bernstein, Kellogg, underperform Bernstein, Morgan Stanley downgrades Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, " Bank of America downgrades Dow, DOW, it's, Riley, Expedia, TripAdvisor, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Raymond James, Alcoa, Piper Sandler, Piper Organizations: Bank of America, of America, Deutsche Bank, Anheuser Busch InBev, Deutsche, Nielsen, JPMorgan, Amazon Prime, Kellogg, " Bank of America, Walgreens Deutsche, Microsoft, Apple, Developers, Broadcom, Alcoa, Citi, Boston Scientific Citi, PFA, Card Locations: Brazil

☆ Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Nike, Tesla, Amazon, Apple, Adobe, Uber, Micron and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Goldman Sachs upgrades Petrobras to buy from neutral Goldman Sachs said the Brazilian petroleum company has an attractive valuation. "As such, we believe the potential for sustained upside to Street OI estimates ahead will be a key catalyst for shares." Citi initiates Everest as buy Citi initiated coverage of the insurance company and said it's "capitalizing on the most favorable reinsurance underwriting environment in decades." Goldman Sachs reiterates Nike as buy Goldman Sachs said it's standing by its buy rating heading into Nike earnings next week. Goldman Sachs reiterates Micron as buy Goldman said it's standing by its buy rating on the stock heading into earnings next week.

Persons: Barclays downgrades Tesla, Goldman Sachs, Wolfe, it's bullish, TD Cowen, Ralph Lauren, it's, Cowen, Jefferies, OneSpaWorld, Oppenheimer, Uber, Bud, JPMorgan, Tyler, Goldman, Bernstein, Oracle, Needham, Christine McCarthy, Snowflake, Shopify, Morgan Stanley, Dell, Yvonne McGill, Apple Organizations: Street, Barclays, LT, Petrobras, Spotify, BMO, Adobe, Citi, Bank of America, FedEx, Nike, IAC, Amazon, Molson Coors Citi, TAP, Tyler Technologies, Micron, Oracle, — Oracle, Windows, Disney, DIS, Carnival, TAM, Deutsche Bank, Dell, IR, Apple Locations: OW, 2H23, Nike's

☆ Morning Bid: Powell patter, UK shock, FedEx warning
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanThe Fed chair has a tricky message to communicate. Powell's colleagues on Tuesday stressed again they would stay the course until inflation is back to its 2% target. UK inflation defied expectations of a slowdown and held at 8.7% in May, while 'core' inflation jumped above 7% for the first time since 1992. In corporate news, FedEx FDX.N shares dropped almost 3% overnight after a profit warning. Events to watch for later on Wednesday:* Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifies to House Financial Affairs Committee.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, rationalises, Powell's, Treasuries, BoE, Sterling recoiled, Rivian, Jerome Powell, Adrian Kugler, Philip Jefferson's, Lisa Cook, Austan Goolsbee, Loretta Mester, Christina Fincher Organizations: Federal Reserve, National Association of Home Builders, Bank of, FedEx FDX.N, Rivals Rivian, European, Financial, Fed Board, Chicago Fed, Cleveland Fed, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Britain, Bank of England, China

☆ Morning Bid: US housing rebound, China prime cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The main macroeconomic news overnight was a rather underwhelming Chinese rate cut that seemed to disappoint the local stock and currency markets, both of which fell. The People's Bank of China cut two benchmark lending rates - its one-year and five-year loan prime rates - by 10 basis points each. With Goldman Sachs on Monday the latest to cut China growth forecasts for this year and next, nerves about the economy's trajectory are rising again. The big U.S. data input this week is from the housing sector, where signs of some recovery are reinforcing 'soft landing' hopes for the wider economy. On Monday, the NAHB's house market sentiment index rose in June to its highest in almost a year and far above forecasts.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Goldman Sachs, Xi Jinping, Antony Blinken, Joe Biden, what's, BOE, Jerome Powell, Michael Barr, John Williams, St Louis, James Bullard, Narendra Modi, Susan Fenton Organizations: Nasdaq, People's Bank of China, Washington, China's, of, Global, Bank of, Federal Reserve, FedEx, Philadelphia Fed, Federal, New York Fed, St, St Louis Fed, Indian, United States Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Xi, Europe, Britain, Switzerland, Norway, Turkey, Bank, Bank of England, United

☆ Morning Bid: Wall St 'bull', China deflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Its annual consumer price inflation rate was just 0.2% - also below forecast. But along with easing supply chain pressures and annual crude oil price deflation still near 40%, there was enough to restore hopes that central bank tightening is gaining traction and further extreme moves unnecessary. The Bank of Japan is expected to retain its super-easy money policy and the European Central Bank is due to nudge up rates another quarter point. On the hawkish side, the International Monetary Fund on Thursday urged global central banks to "stay the course" on monetary policy and remain vigilant. Events to watch for later on Friday:* Canada May employment reportReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsBy Mike Dolan, editing by Susan Fenton <a href="mailto:mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com" target="_blank">mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com</a>.

Persons: Mike Dolan, abating, El Nino, Binance.US, Donald Trump, Susan Fenton Organizations: Bank of, European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund, U.S, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Bank of Japan, Ukraine, Miami

☆ Morning Bid: Fearless VIX, China miss, Canada hike?
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Wall St's 'fear index', the VIX (.VIX) gauge of implied S&P500 equity volatility, closed below 14 on Tuesday for the first time since February 2020 - more than 5 points below its 33 year average. What's more, the OECD saw Fed rates peaking after just one more hike to the 5.25-5.5% range and "modest" cuts next year. Oil prices remain lower on the week despite new Saudi output cut plans and year-on-year prices are still falling at 36%. Events to watch for later on Wednesday:* Bank of Canada key policy interest rate announcement* U.S. April trade balance. Federal Reserve issues Consumer Credit report for April* Britain's Prime Minister Rishi Sunak travels to Washington to meet with U.S. President Joe Biden* U.S. corporate earnings: Campbell Soup, Brown-FormanReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsBy Mike Dolan, Editing by Louise Heavens <a href="mailto:mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com" target="_blank">mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com</a>.

Persons: Mike Dolan, you'd, eked, Tayyip Erdogan, Mehmet Simsek, Rishi Sunak, Joe Biden, Campbell, Brown, Forman, Louise Heavens Organizations: U.S, Organisation for Economic Cooperation, Development, World Bank, OECD, Bank of Canada, Canadian, Bank of, Federal, Britain's, Forman Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, York, Saudi, Asia, Bank of Canada, Washington

☆ Morning Bid: Markets level, Aussie hikes, crypto judders
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

It raised interest rates by a quarter-point on Tuesday to an 11-year high and warned further tightening may be required to ensure that inflation returns to target, boosting the Aussie dollar as markets had been leaning towards a pause. Eyes will now be trained on the Bank of Canada's latest policy decision on Wednesday, with many forecasting it will resume tightening interest rates after a four-month pause. The crypto world was far from calm, with Bitcoin trying to find its feet after a 5% recoil to three-month lows on Monday. The Securities and Exchange Commission complaint listed 13 charges against Binance, Zhao and the operator of its purportedly independent U.S. exchange. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Binance, Changpeng Zhao, Zhao, Nansen, Antony Blinken, Smucker Organizations: Apple, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Canada's, . U.S, Securities, Exchange, Binance, U.S, Saudi, Smucker Reuters Graphics, PMI Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Australia, ., Saudi Arabia

☆ Morning Bid: Jobs glow, crude pops, dollar lifts
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanWorld markets retained a warm afterglow from Friday's shining U.S. employment reading, with only minor gains in crude oil prices on Saudi Arabia's output cut clouding the picture. While Brent crude oil prices popped up about $1 per barrel on the Saudi output cut plans, the move was limited and year-on-year crude losses continue to clock some 35%. May U.S. service sector readings dominate the Monday diary, as does the likely start of Treasury rebuilding its depleted coffers with 3- and 6-month bill auctions. Soundings from China's service sector earlier helped partly to offset fears that dour factory readings questioned its post-COVID recovery. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Russell, Morgan, Mehmet Simsek, Christine Lagarde, Loretta Mester, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Apple, Brent, Treasury, Wall Street, Global, Central Bank, Cleveland Federal, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Saudi, Asia

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