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Oil prices rose on Tuesday on concerns the intensifying conflict between Israel and Hezbollah may impact supply in the key Middle East producing region and a tropical storm may impact output in the U.S., the world's biggest crude producer, later this week. Oil prices rose on Tuesday on concerns the intensifying conflict between Israel and Hezbollah may impact supply in the key Middle East producing region and a tropical storm may impact output in the U.S., the world's biggest crude producer, later this week. Brent crude futures for November were up 21 cents, or 0.3%, at $74.11 a barrel at 0030 GMT. "The oil market has been concerned that rising tensions in the region were dragging the OPEC oil producer closer to engagement," said ANZ bank said in a note, referring to Iran. U.S. oil producers were evacuating staff from Gulf of Mexico oil production platforms as forecasters predicted the second major hurricane in two weeks could tear through offshore oil producing fields.
Organizations: Brent, Hezbollah, ANZ, U.S, National Hurricane Center Locations: Israel, U.S, Lebanon, Iranian, Hamas, Gaza, Iran, Gulf Coast, Gulf, Mexico, Cuba
In today's big story, why you should care about a potential Intel-Qualcomm deal , even if it might not work. Getting all that varied experience has proved particularly beneficial for TSMC in the age of cutting-edge mobile and AI chips. The US needs Intel to keep (and get better at) manufacturing chips. The problem with that is that this manufacturing business would have almost no customers, and would fall even further behind TSMC. Experts seem incredibly skeptical about a Qualcomm deal going through.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, Moneyball, Rupert Murdoch's, Chelsea Jia Feng, I'm, it's, Palantir alums, Jamie Dimon Tom Williams, he's, Goldman Sachs, Chelsea JIa Feng, ChatGPT, Vinod Khosla, Chris Gash, Lachlan Murdoch, Murdoch, Lachlan's, Caroline Ellison, Biden, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Jack Sommers, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Intel, Qualcomm, Business, Tech, Getty, TSMC, Inc, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Big Tech, Web Services, Employees, Bloomberg Global Business Forum, FAA, OPEC, Oil Locations: Taiwan, China, San Francisco, Nevada, New York, London
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Piper Sandler initiates Colgate-Palmolive and Church & Dwight as overweight Piper said both consumer products company offer an attractive risk/reward. Piper Sandler upgrades Salesforce to overweight from neutral Piper said it sees an attractive risk/reward for the stock. Bernstein reiterates Amazon as outperform Bernstein said advertising is "key to the bull case once again" for Amazon. Wedbush upgrades Comerica to outperform from neutral The firm added the regional bank to its best ideas list. " CFRA reiterates Nvidia as buy The firm says it sees Nvidia with "sustained compute demand" over the coming years.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Dwight, Piper, Baird, Jefferies, it's bullish, Raymond James reinstates Uber, Raymond James, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, KeyBanc, Morgan Stanley, immuno, Oppenheimer, Lowe's, Redburn, it's, Truist, Baird downgrades McKesson, Needham, Apple, Pinterest, Leerink, Guggenheim, Tesla, TSLA, Bernstein, CFRA Organizations: Colgate, Palmolive, Church, Jefferies, Starbucks, Avidity Biosciences, BP, Exxon, Costco, Walmart, Apple, GE Vernova, UBS, Citi, Mastercard, Visa, U.S, DOJ, Comerica, CMA, Nvidia
Low global demand forecasts, coupled with new oil supply coming from non-OPEC countries, spell a long period of subdued crude prices. Has demand growth hit its apex, and is it just downhill from here? The oil producer group's 2024 World Oil Outlook report, released Tuesday, predicts strong energy demand growth of 24% globally between now and 2050. It also forecasts "robust medium-term growth" in oil demand reaching 112.3 million barrels per day in 2029, an increase of 10.1 million barrels per day compared to 2023. The IEA still sees global oil demand rising; it just forecasts a smaller rise, and expects it to peak by the end of the decade.
Persons: It's Organizations: Brent, International Energy Agency, The, IEA Locations: Saudi, Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, The Paris
Piper Sandler upgraded shares of Salesforce to overweight, with its new price target implying upside of more than 20%. Helfstein placed a $45 price target on shares, implying about 48% upside from Monday's close. Along with the downgrade, Low reduced the firm's oil price target to $75 from $80 a barrel. — Samantha Subin 6:02 a.m.: Jefferies downgrades Starbucks to underperform Jefferies is bracing for more troubles ahead for shares of Starbucks . SBUX mountain 2024-06-28 SBUX in Q3 — Samantha Subin 5:45 a.m.: Piper Sandler upgrades Salesforce Piper Sandler is turning more bullish on shares of Salesforce .
Persons: Piper Sandler, Lowe's, Oppenheimer, Jason Helfstein, Pinterest, Helfstein, — Samantha Subin, Jefferies, Keith Devas, Samantha Subin, Peter Low, underperform Jefferies, Andy Barish, Barish, they've, Salesforce Piper Sandler, Brent Bracelin, Bracelin, Brian Nagel, Nagel, it's, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Oppenheimer, Amazon, Google, Kenvue, Atlantic, Exxon Mobil, BP, Starbucks, U.S, Federal Reserve Locations: China, Salesforce, Monday's
Investors have turned bearish on oil amid fears of an OPEC+ price war and weak China oil demand. But if world GDP grows 3.3% next year, energy demand will likely surge, Bank of America says. That's because if GDP grows according to estimates, energy demand growth will likely follow. AdvertisementOPEC+ plans to add crude oil barrels into an existing surplus oil market after a series of cuts in the last two years. Those factors, along with the chance for a global economic slowdown, pose downside risks to the analysts' oil price target.
Persons: Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Federal Reserve, bbl Locations: OPEC, China
HSBC in a Sept. 17 report examined the relationship between Fed rate cuts and copper and aluminum prices over the past 30 years. In its base case, Citi sees copper prices averaging $9,000 per ton for the rest of this year, citing U.S. election uncertainty and weak manufacturing sentiment. Energy Citi anticipates that oil will suffer renewed price weakness in 2025, with Brent falling to around $60 a barrel. Based on what happened in 2019, trade tariffs lowered global oil demand growth by 0.2 million barrels a day. A slowdown in China, among the world's largest importer and consumer of oil, has been blamed on slowing global oil demand.
Persons: annualized, it's, that's, Brent Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Citi, HSBC, Commodities, Energy Citi Locations: China, U.S, Europe, Iran
U.S. crude oil rose nearly 1% on Thursday, one day after the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates for the first time in more than four years and as tensions in the Middle East continued to escalate. The Fed surprised the market on Wednesday with a bigger-than-expected cut of a half percentage point. Oil prices, however, closed slightly lower as rate cuts had largely already been priced in. Here are Thursday's energy prices:Crude futures are on the rebound again as tensions soar between Israel and the Iranian-backed militia group Hezbollah in Lebanon. Oil market analysts have warned for months that an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah, which until now have traded rocket fire, could force OPEC member Iran to directly intervene, raising the risk of disruptions to Middle East crude oil supplies.
Persons: Israel, Yoav Gallant Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, NBC News, Israeli Locations: Israel, Lebanon, Lebanon . U.S, Gaza, Iran
U.S. crude oil fell Wednesday ahead of the Federal Reserve's pivotal decision on interest rates later this afternoon. The oil market has been rattled this month by worries about a growing imbalance between supply and demand. Bulls are hoping that a decision by the Fed to cut interest rates for the first time in years could put a bid into the market. Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, said a 25 basis point cut is probably already priced into the oil market. Traders are also waiting for the latest data on U.S. crude oil inventories at 10:30 am ET.
Persons: Matt Smith, Andy Lipow, Lipow Organizations: Federal, Americas, Kpler, Brent, Bulls, Fed, Lipow Oil Associates, Hezbollah, Traders Locations: U.S, China, OPEC, Canada, Brazil, Guyana, Israel, Iran, Lebanon
U.S. crude oil traded above $70 per barrel on Tuesday, as production in the Gulf of Mexico is still in recovery mode after Hurricane Francine. More than 200,000 barrels per day remained offline in the Gulf as of Monday, according to Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement. Production from undamaged facilities will be brought back online immediately after checks have been completed, according to the agency. The central bank is widely expected to lower rates, though Wall Street is divided on the magnitude of the cut. U.S. crude oil is down more than 13% this quarter while Brent has fallen nearly 16% as demand slows in China, the world's largest crude importer, and OPEC+ plans to increase production in December.
Persons: Francine, Brent Organizations: of Safety, Environmental Enforcement, Federal Reserve Locations: Gulf, Mexico, China, OPEC
Russia's oil revenue has plummeted as global crude prices fall. Oil sales dropped to $1.44 billion in the week ending September 8, per data cited by Bloomberg. AdvertisementRussia's oil business has taken a hit, with the nation's crude revenue dropping to its lowest levels in seven months, according to Argus Media data cited by Bloomberg. Urals crude, Russia's flagship oil blend, has edged lower to $67.61 a barrel, down around 20% from its peak in the spring of this year. Russia is set to make even steeper oil production cuts later in 2024, as part of OPEC's goal to boost crude prices.
Persons: , Russia's Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Argus Media, Russia's Energy Ministry Locations: Moscow, Russia, Hungary, Asia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOPEC will want to put pressure on Iraq around compliance, analyst saysAndrew Critchlow, global head of news at S&P Global Commodity Insights, discusses oil prices and OPEC.
Persons: Andrew Critchlow Organizations: P, Commodity Locations: Iraq
U.S. crude oil jumped more than 1% to trade above $68 per barrel on Thursday, after Hurricane Francine churned through the Gulf of Mexico, disrupting oil production before making landfall in Louisiana. Oil futures rose more than 2% in the previous session as the storm threatened supplies. "Hurricane Francine has likely disrupted about 1.5mn barrels of US oil production, which we estimate will reduce September production in the Gulf of Mexico by around 50,000bpd," Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS, told clients in a Thursday note. Staunovo said the recent slump may be due to traders losing confidence in OPEC's ability to maintain compliance with production cuts at lower price levels. UBS expects oil prices will continue to rise, at least the short term.
Persons: Hurricane Francine, Francine, Giovanni Staunovo, Staunovo, Brent Organizations: UBS, bbl Locations: Gulf of Mexico, Louisiana, Gulf, Mexico, 50,000bpd
U.S. crude oil rebounded more than 2% on Wednesday, regaining some ground after prices closed at the lowest level in nearly three years in the previous session. Here are Wednesday's energy prices:The steep selloff Tuesday came after OPEC lowered its demand growth outlook for the second time in two months, and as China crude oil imports slow in 2024. Some traders are worried about Brent prices heading toward $60 per barrel, but this level of bearishness is unwarranted, Galimberti said. Supply and demand fundamentals point toward stockpiles falling, and prices can only rise if China's economy rebounds and OPEC+ complies with its own production quotas, the analyst said. "We don't think we're going to see $60 per barrel in a consistent manner for the next three months."
Persons: Claudio Galimberti, CNBC's, Brent, Galimberti Organizations: OPEC, Traders, Rystad Energy, Supply Locations: China
An oil pumpjack in the Inglewood Oil Field, seen from the Kenneth Hahn State Recreation Area, on July 13, 2022, in Los Angeles, California. Crude prices bounced on Wednesday as concerns about Tropical Storm Francine disrupting supply of oil outweighed worries about demand. OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.74 million bpd from 1.78 million bpd. But the U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Tuesday global oil demand is set to grow to a bigger record this year while output growth will be smaller than prior forecasts. Meanwhile, China's daily crude oil imports rose last month to their highest in a year, customs data and Reuters records showed on Tuesday, as shipments staged a tentative recovery on lower crude oil prices and improving refining margins.
Persons: Kenneth Hahn, Brent, Hiroyuki Kikukawa, Storm Francine Organizations: Inglewood Oil, Recreation Area, Brent, NS, Nissan Securities, U.S, National Hurricane Center, U.S . Bureau of Safety, Environmental, Organization of, Petroleum, OPEC, U.S . Energy, Administration Locations: Inglewood, Los Angeles , California, Louisiana, Gulf, Mexico, U.S . Gulf, U.S
So why were Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump talking so much about expanding oil production during Tuesday night’s debate? Fossil fuel will be dead,” Trump said. For all the candidates’ talk of promoting fossil fuel production, it’s not clear that America needs drastically more oil. US oil production has already spiked to a record of 13.4 million barrels per day, according to weekly federal data. So it would likely take an extreme — or calamitous — event to get gas prices back below $2.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, fracking, Biden, Trump, they’ll, ” Trump, Andy Lipow, he’s, It’s, it’s, Lipow, , Bob McNally, doesn’t, McNally, George W, Bush, , America Organizations: CNN, Senate, Lipow Oil Associates, AAA, Rapidan Energy, US Energy Information Administration, Travel Locations: America, United States, Pennsylvania, OPEC, China
Oil prices plunged to their lowest level since December 2021, with Brent oil falling 4% to $68.99 on Tuesday. OPEC cut its oil demand outlook and delayed production boosts, while US production hits record highs. In its monthly oil market report, OPEC cut its outlook for oil demand because of the deceleration in China's economy. That's nearly double its oil production levels in 2014. Senior market analyst David Morrison at Trade Nation said in an email that investors shouldn't expect a rebound in oil prices anytime soon.
Persons: Brent, , oil's, That's, David Morrison, Morrison Organizations: ., Service, brent, OPEC, Trade Nation Locations: Brent, YCharts
U.S. crude oil futures on Tuesday fell more than 1%, shedding gains from the previous session as OPEC lowered its demand forecast for the second time in two months. OPEC now expects demand to grow by about 2 million barrels per day in 2024, some 80,000 bpd slower than its previous forecast. The group of oil producers sees demand growth of 1.7 million bpd next year, some 40,000 bpd lower than originally anticipated. OPEC had cut its demand outlook in August due to softening consumption in China, the world's largest crude importer. Here are Tuesday's energy prices:Worries about softening demand in China as electric vehicle sales surge has loomed over the oil market for months now.
Persons: Morgan Stanley Organizations: OPEC, Brent, Futures Locations: OPEC, China, Gulf
After last week's steep sell-off, oil prices suggest traders are pricing in a demand slowdown that is similar to a mild recession, according to a Morgan Stanley analysis. Crude oil futures have declined precipitously in September, with Brent and U.S. crude oil on Friday posting their worst weeks since October 2023. Morgan Stanley is forecasting a surplus of about 1 million barrels per day in 2025. Demand Morgan Stanley looked for similar patterns in the past 35 years of Brent oil price data. Over the past five U.S. recessions, these stockpiles built by 150 million to 220 million barrels.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Martijn, Brent Organizations: Brent Locations: U.S, Brent, OPEC, Canada, Brazil, Guyana
Andy Lipow, president of consulting firm Lipow Oil Associates, expects that another nine states will join the sub-$3 list in the next two weeks. “Gas prices, after two-plus years of sizzling because of outside factors like Covid and Russia, are finally coming back into balance,” said De Haan. The accelerating drop in gas prices should help ease financial pressure on consumers and contribute to the cooling inflation rate. Some economists say gas prices will likely be a deciding factor, and lower prices will favor the current administration. ‘Panic and fear’ at OPECAnalysts told CNN that this trend of lower gas prices is likely to continue, despite the shift in strategy from OPEC+.
Persons: Andy Lipow, Patrick De Haan, , De Haan, Kamala Harris, , ” Lipow, Bob McNally, McNally, George W, Bush, Trump, We’re, ” Trump, Tom Kloza, Kamala Harris ’, CNN’s Chris Isidore Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, Drivers, Lipow Oil Associates, CNN, , Federal Reserve, OPEC Analysts, Rapidan Energy Group, OPEC, Trump, Oil Price Information Service Locations: New York, Texas , Kentucky, Kansas, OPIS, Russia, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, OPEC, China, United States, Saudi Arabia, Ukraine, America
OPEC+ extends oil output cuts again through November
  + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
This isn’t the first time OPEC+ has extended output cuts in a bid to boost crude prices. That same month, OPEC+ extended a cut of 1.65 million barrels per day announced in April 2023 until the end of 2025. Oil prices rose initially but settled slightly lower Thursday. Oil prices have declined this year despite continued output cuts and ongoing geopolitical tension in the Middle East. In June, the International Energy Agency said that a glut of oil supply could weaken the sway OPEC+ has over oil prices.
Persons: Organizations: New, New York CNN, of, Petroleum, West Texas, Brent, International Energy Agency, IEA Locations: New York, OPEC, China, United States
Dow falls by more than 600 points as September turns ugly
  + stars: | 2024-09-03 | by ( Lucy Bayly | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN —Wall Street kicked off the month of September with a bust, after a disappointing economic report dragged down the Dow by 626 points, or 1.5%, Tuesday afternoon. Traders were already jittery ahead of a big month of economic news, from Friday’s key jobs report to next week’s inflation readings and then the long-awaited rate cut from the Fed mid-month. Investors were reacting to a weaker-than-expected jobs report that underscored fears that the Fed had mishandled inflation and pushed the economy right into a recession. Friday’s jobs report is arguably the most important piece of economic data that central bank officials will have to parse before their monetary policy meeting on September 17-18. International benchmark Brent fell to $73.70 a barrel and US benchmark West Texas Intermediate closed at just above $70 a barrel.
Persons: , Mark Hamrick, Brent Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wall, Dow, Institute for Supply Management, Federal Reserve, Traders, Nasdaq, Investors, Fed, Oil, OPEC, West Texas Locations: New York, stoke, payrolls, Libya
And demand in China this summer has contracted compared with the prior year, according Struyven. These vehicles reduced oil demand in China by 500,000 barrels per day in the first half of 2024, according to Goldman. Oil demand for vehicles in China is expected to peak in 2025 as a consequence, decades ahead of other emerging market economies, according to Goldman. If demand in China remains flat, Brent prices could fall to $68 per barrel by the end of next year, according to the investment bank. While China is the furthest ahead, global gasoline demand is slowing as electric vehicles are adopted around the world.
Persons: Brent, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, Struyven, CNBC's, Bank of America's Francisco Blanch, Goldman, Jeff Currie, Currie Organizations: OPEC, Bank of America's, Bank of America, China Passenger Car Association, Goldman, Trucks Locations: China, East, Eastern Europe, Israel, Iran, U.S, EVs
Three officials from different countries said the measured response comes as they are mindful of what happened after Maduro’s 2018 reelection. Then, the vote was quickly condemned as a sham and led to the most severe sanctions yet on the OPEC nation. In Washington, which under Republican President Donald Trump blocked Venezuela’s critical oil exports, there seems little appetite for more severe sanctions. The European Union last week said there was not enough evidence to support Maduro’s victory as announced by the CNE. Countries including China, Russia, Nicaragua and Cuba have recognized Maduro’s victory and offered him support.
Persons: Nicolás Maduro, Edmundo González, Jose Manuel Albares, Maduro’s, Donald Trump, Biden, Maria Corina Machado, Gonzalez, , Vedant Patel, Maduro, Elvis Amoroso, Kamala Harris, , , Machado Organizations: Electoral Council, Maduro, United Nations, EU, Republican, Democratic U.S, Venezuela’s, U.S ., . State Department, . Washington, U.S, U.S . Treasury Department, State Department, Reuters, American States, Electoral, International, European Union, CNE, NBC Locations: U.S, Brazil, Venezuela, Spanish, Spain, OPEC, Maduro, Washington, ., reneging, Elvis Amoroso ., Mexico, Colombia, Canada, Panama, China, Russia, Nicaragua, Cuba
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOPEC 'sticking to their plan' to relax their voluntary cuts, expert saysCarole Nakhle, founder and CEO of Crystol Energy, says OPEC will proceed with its decision to relax some of the voluntary cuts starting from the fourth quarter this year.
Persons: Carole Nakhle Organizations: Crystol Locations: OPEC
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