After the bizarre Fed press conference yesterday, there was much chest-thumping from the punditry class loudly trumpeting how much they knew — just knew — that the move off the recent lows was nothing but a bear market rally.
"A retest of the October lows, particularly Growth centric NDX [Nasdaq 100], becomes base case," Julian Emanuel, a senior managing director at Evercore ISI, said.
For strategists and analysts, the psychological effect may be earnings estimates will continue to come down, something Haefele acknowledged.
"We now expect global earnings per share to fall by 3% in 2023, versus the bottom-up consensus for 5% growth," Haefele said.
While the November Fed meeting does clear away some uncertainty (the VIX dropped Wednesday), the election next week is the next anxiety point for the markets.