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As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, investors should review their bond portfolio, which could see a boost from dovish Fed policy. Typically, bond prices and market interest rates move in opposite directions. While it may be tempting to cling to cash, it will become “less attractive, less productive as interest rates fall,” Ward said. Many corporations leveraged rock-bottom interest rates during the pandemic to strengthen balance sheets and refinance debt, said Ward. As interest rates fall, those longer-maturity bonds should reward investors, experts say.
Persons: , Scott Ward, ” Ward, Ted Jenkin, Ward, , Jenkin Organizations: Federal Reserve, dovish Fed, Fed, Morningstar, Bond, CNBC’s Locations: Birmingham , Alabama, Atlanta,
True to its name, the S&P 500 index includes 500 large U.S. companies. They are the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust , which trades under the ticker SPY; iShares Core S&P 500 ETF , with ticker IVV; and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF , which trades as VOO. Future index performance could be 'muted'The S&P 500 index has continued to make headlines for new all-time highs in 2024. Goldman Sachs just raised its S&P 500 index forecast for 2024 to 6,000 up from 5,600 to reflect expected earnings growth. S&P 500 'hard to beat in the long run'Investing in the S&P 500 index is a popular strategy.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Berkshire, Morningstar, VOO, Larry Adam, Raymond James, Adam, Goldman Sachs, Tom Lee, Bryan Armour, Armour, Sean Williams, Williams Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, Cnbc, Nbcuniversal, Trust, Vanguard, U.S, ETF, Fundstrat Global Advisors, CNBC, Morningstar, Cadence Wealth Partners Locations: St . Petersburg , Florida, U.S, Concord , North Carolina
As investors consider whether — and how — to invest in China, two experts share their views on the market right now. "We believe the scale and focus of these measures, particularly the targeted liquidity injection, address the critical issue of insufficient domestic capital flows into China's stock market. 'China is no longer cheap' Lorraine Tan, director of Asia's equity research at Morningstar, is more cautious looking ahead. "At this point in time, China markets are no longer cheap. Stocks on her radar include "higher quality, moaty names," such as fast-food restaurant chain Yum China Holdings and property developer China Resources Land .
Persons: Jingwei Chen, , Europe —, Chen, Lorraine Tan, Tan, Stocks, — CNBC's Lim Hui Jie Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI, Wall, Wrise Private Singapore, CNBC Pro, Companies, BYD, Tencent Holdings, Morningstar, China Holdings, China Resources Locations: China, Asia, East, Europe, Hong Kong
New York CNN —Hopes for avoiding a recession are growing on Wall Street. Now, investors are looking to the upcoming earnings season for clues about the US economy’s health. The earnings season begins in earnest Friday with quarterly updates from big banks including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and BlackRock. Wall Street will also parse the September Consumer Price Index report and wholesale inflation figures due later this week. Wall Street will also eye developments from the tech companies whose mammoth stock returns have helped power this year’s bull market.
Persons: Motors, , , Sarah Henry, Wells, Mark Malek, Siebert, Dave Sekera Organizations: New, New York CNN, Economic, PepsiCo, Conagra Brands, Logan Capital, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, Tech, , FactSet, Apple, Nvidia, Communication, Morningstar Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, BlackRock
"We reiterate our Overweight rating on the name as NVDA remains our Top Pick." JPMorgan reiterates Charles Schwab as overweight JPMorgan raised its price target on the stock to $86 per share from $78. "We are initiating coverage of Morningstar (MORN) with a Buy rating and a $390 price target. Wells Fargo reiterates Tesla as underweight Wells says it remains "skeptical" heading into Tesla's robotaxi day later this week. "We are initiating coverage of MBX Biosciences with an Overweight rating and Dec 2025 price target of $30."
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, TD Cowen, Cowen, Wolfe, Wells, Bernstein, Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs, Milton, Irma, JPMorgan, Charles Schwab, Morningstar, Redburn, Goldman, Tesla, TSLA, Key, Affirm's, it's, Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Abbott, Susquehanna, KeyBanc Organizations: Anheuser Busch InBev, InBev, Humana, STARS, Microsoft, Disney, JPMorgan, UBS, Biotech, Legend Biotech, Barclays, Optimus, Qualcomm, Express, American Express, Netflix, Bicara Therapeutics, Abbott Labs, Howmet Aerospace, Commercial Aerospace & Defense, Bank of America, Apple, MBX Biosciences, Delta, Argus, McDonald's Corp Locations: China, Wells Fargo, F4Q17, 1H26, Tesla's
Here are 33 of the firm's favorite stocks heading into a pivotal fourth quarter. Therefore, it's no shock that those growth stocks are responsible for the market's lofty valuation. AdvertisementMorningstar33 top stocks to ownIn Morningstar's fourth-quarter note, the firm designated 33 stocks as its top picks across sectors and groups like cyclicals, defensives, and economically sensitive companies. "To outperform, we think investors will need to look for contrarian investments and story stocks," Sekera wrote. Along with each company is its ticker, market capitalization, group, sector, rating, price target, upside to that target, and selected commentary from Morningstar.
Persons: , Dave Sekera, Morningstar, Sekera Organizations: Morningstar, Service, Stocks
AdvertisementOpenAI has officially closed a historic funding round. AdvertisementTiger Global is also one of the firms that backed OpenAI in this latest funding round. AdvertisementNotably absent from the list of OpenAI investors was Apple, which is said to have dropped out of the deal at the 11th hour. Apple's inclusion in OpenAI's funding round may have gone a long way toward quieting doubts about OpenAI's palace intrigue and general chaotic vibe. A few weeks ago, this funding round was being talked about as the arrival of the adults in the room.
Persons: OpenAI, , Adam Neuman, Masayoshi Son, Neuman, SoftBank, Morningstar, You'd, Goldman Sachs, Tim Cook, Cook, Elon Musk Organizations: Nvidia, United, United Arab Emirates, Service, SoftBank's, Business, Ark Venture, BI, Apple Locations: United Arab, Silicon, Silicon Valley
Buffer ETFs, also known as defined-outcome ETFs, use options contracts to offer investors a pre-defined range of outcomes over a set period. As of August 2024, there were 327 buffer ETFs, representing more than $54.8 billion in assets, up from 73 such ETFs and roughly $4.6 billion in August 2020, according to data from Morningstar Direct. For example, a buffer ETF could shield investors from the first 10% of losses while limiting upside returns to 15%. Another downside is the assets have higher fees than traditional ETFs, with 0.8% for the average buffer ETF compared to 0.51% for the average ETF, Armour said. The benefits of buffer ETFs
Persons: Jordi Mora Igual, Bryan Armour, Armour Organizations: North America, Morningstar, Morningstar Direct
Over the 12-month period ending June, about 2 of 3 active bond managers trounced their average passive counterpart, according to a recent analysis from Morningstar . There were a few tailwinds in active managers' favor. With the Fed recently cutting rates by a half point — and Chair Jerome Powell noting that two more quarter-point cuts could be in the cards this year — a new challenge awaits these active bond funds. As interest rates fall, active managers can position accordingly, said Roger Hallam, global head of rates at Vanguard. "We expect active managers to make a little more, and they should be because they're doing more trades and it costs more to manage active portfolios," said Olmsted.
Persons: , Ryan Jackson, Jerome Powell, it's, Jackson, Paul Olmsted, Roger Hallam, wouldn't, Hallam, Morningstar, Olmsted Organizations: Federal Reserve, Morningstar, Vanguard, Bond Fund, SEC
The strategy is meant to minimize interest rate risks, explained Saraja Samant, a manager research analyst at Morningstar. Wisdom Tree has two Treasury ladder ETFs: a one- to three-year fund and a seven- to 10-year fund. Schwab has Treasury bond ladder strategies in separately managed accounts operated by its Wasmer Schroeder Strategies' team. "They can add to or take from the entire bond ladder all at once, which is challenging to do with an individual bond ladder." The 'comfort' of a ladder To build a Treasury ladder, investors can go to Treasury Direct or use a broker dealer and tailor it to their needs, Samant said.
Persons: you'll, Saraja Samant, Robert Scrudato, Schwab, Schroeder, Barry Glassman, Morningstar's Samant, Samant, Michael Kessler, Glassman, Kessler, he's Organizations: Federal, Morningstar, Treasury, BlackRock, Securities and Exchange Commission, Wealth, Albion Financial, AAA Locations: Vienna , Virginia, Salt Lake City
OpenAI's $6.6 billion funding raise attracted some big names across the industry. The $6.6 billion round gave OpenAI a $157 billion post-money valuation and minted it into one of the most valuable startups in the world. MicrosoftMicrosoft invested a little under $1 billion into OpenAI's latest funding round, according to The Wall Street Journal report. FidelityFidelity also participated in OpenAI's latest funding round. AdvertisementAltimeter Capital ManagementAltimeter Capital Management also contributed to OpenAI's latest funding round, according to reports.
Persons: , Sam Altman, OpenAI, Here's, Anderson Cooper, Josh Kushner, Instagram, Kushner, Altman, josh, SoftBank, Masayoshi Son, Son, Marco Bello, Wood, Morningstar, Bing, Jensen Huang, Sam Yeh, Elon Musk's, Brad Gerstner, Gerstner, Vinod Khosla, Vaughn Ridley, Khosla, MGX Organizations: Service, Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference, Getty, Capital, Business, VC, Wall Street, Reuters, Vision Fund, Venture, ARK Invest, ARK Venture Fund, SpaceX, Microsoft Microsoft, Wall, Rival Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia Nvidia, Nvidia, Tiger Global Management, Fidelity Fidelity, Elon, Elon Musk's xAI, Fidelity, Capital Management, . Khosla, Getty Khosla Ventures, Sun Microsystems, United Arab, Bloomberg Locations: OpenAI, Silicon Valley, OpenAI ., Tokyo, Saudi, ARK, AFP, IPOs, America, United Arab Emirates
On a more micro level, many ETF investors can sidestep the fund-level capital gains taxes incurred by many investors who own mutual fund shares, experts said. However, mutual fund managers can also generate capital-gains taxes within a fund itself when they buy and sell securities. Costs are lowThe first ETF was an index fund: the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY ). Index funds, also known as passively managed funds, track a market index like the S&P 500 . Investors have equated ETFs with index funds since their inception, even though there are also index mutual funds, experts said.
Persons: Michael McClary, Bryan Armour, Armour, McClary, Morningstar, Michael Iachini, Charles Schwab, Morningstar's, they're, Michael M Organizations: Getty, Exchange, Morningstar, Valmark Financial, Investors, North America, Trust, Financial, Retail, McKinsey, SEC, Securities, Exchange Commission, Stock, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago
Vistra Corp. leads the S&P 500 with a 216% gain in 2024, driven by clean energy demand. Vistra acquired four nuclear power plants earlier this year to help boost its clean energy profile. To meet that demand, Vistra has been focusing on generating clean energy via nuclear power plants. Vistra's gains far outpace the second-best performing S&P 500 stock this year, Nvidia, which is up 138%. AdvertisementCoincidentally, the third best-performing stock in the S&P 500 so far this year is Constellation Energy, which has surged 126% year-to-date.
Persons: Vistra, Morningstar, , it's, Travis Miller, Miller Organizations: Vistra, Service, Nvidia, Vistra Corp, Energy Harbor Corp, Constellation Energy, Microsoft Locations: California, Maine
It's only been two weeks since the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time in more than four years, but investors are already getting paid less to park their extra cash. Central bank policymakers trimmed a half point from the fed funds rate in September, bringing it down to a range of 4.75% to 5%. That means that the days of 5% yields on idle cash are largely in the past, at least for the current cycle. Lock in with ladders Three key considerations for investors holding cash would be liquidity, yield and risk. For clients who want ready access to their cash, a high-yield savings account could be a solid bet, Sergunina said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Arvind Narayanan, Anna Sergunina, Sergunina, Narayanan, Amy Arnott, isn't Organizations: Federal Reserve, Vanguard, Main, Financial, ., Federal Deposit Insurance, Morningstar, Bond, SEC Locations: Central, Los Gatos, Calif
Investors have been watching tech stocks keenly in the past year, amid a significant bout of volatility in the sector. Morningstar's top strategist, however, has an underweight on the sector and is staying clear of several Big Tech names. On Oracle, Sekera believes the market is "overestimating the long-term growth for their cloud business." Morningstar has a one star rating on the the stock. 'Hitting on all cylinders' There is one Big Tech stock that Sekera still likes: Microsoft .
Persons: David Sekera, CNBC's, Morningstar, Sekera, — CNBC's Jordan Novet Organizations: Big Tech, U.S . Markets, Tech, Apple, Oracle, IBM, Morningstar, Microsoft, Baidu, Yum Locations: U.S, China, Yum China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAmongst the U.S. tech stocks, sell those and buy these, says strategistDave Sekara of Morningstar believes that the U.S. stock market is currently well priced despite some overvalued stocks. He recommeneds some undervalued small cap and value stocks.
Persons: Dave Sekara, Morningstar
The S&P 500 is up about 1.5% in September. Below are our investors of the month for September. AdvertisementStocks had a tough first week of September, with the S&P 500 tumbling more than 4%, thanks partly to a mediocre August jobs report. As of Friday, the S&P 500 was up around 1.5% in September, bucking the month's historical downward trend. Below are our investors of the month for September, including managers of the top US-focused and international-focused funds, as well as the "Holy Shit" fund of the month, which is the best-performing overall fund.
Persons: , Stocks, Dow Jones, Malcolm R, Fobes, Peter Hubbard, Benoit Autier, Jeff Klearman Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Google Finance, Investor, Focus, Nvidia, Broadcom Investor, Invesco, Dragon China Locations: Lipper, China
"I think the 'miracle' at Prada is Miu Miu," Luca Solca, a senior analyst at Bernstein, told Business Insider. Miu Miu is doing just that. "Miu Miu is resonating with consumers because of a savvy mix of product and communication marketing," Solca said. Miu Miu has embraced stars (Sydney Sweeney and Gigi Hadid were featured in recent campaigns), which has energized its following. AdvertisementIn short — pun intended — you can't get trendier than Miu Miu right now, and being trendy is good for business.
Persons: that's, Miu Miu, Luca Solca, Bernstein, Miu, , Moncler, Stifel's Rogerio Fujimori, Edward Berthelot, Solca, Sydney Sweeney, Gigi Hadid, Lexie Liu, Zhao Jinmai, Wu Yanshu, Miu Miu's Mary Jane, It's, Prada, Prada hadn't, Jelena Sokolova, Morningstar, Burberry, Gucci, Andrea Guerra, Raf Simons, Muccia Prada, Goldman Sachs, Gen, Scarlett Johansson, Arqué, Sokolova, Alessandro Michele, Guerra, L'Oréal, " Guerra Organizations: Prada, HSBC, Little, Business, New York Times, LVMH, Gucci Locations: Prada, Asia, China, Tokyo, Taipei, Nanjing, LVMH, Hong Kong
Stock futures were little changed on Monday evening, after the S&P 500 closed at a record to end September. S&P 500 futures inched lower by 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures were just below the flatline. In the regular session, the S&P 500 and the 30-stock Dow notched closing records. All three major averages posted monthly gains, and it was the first positive September for the S&P 500 since 2019. The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq Composite also ended the third quarter in positive territory.
Persons: Jerome Powell, nonfarm, Dave Sekera Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal, Investors, Morningstar, Traders, International Longshoremen's Association, Gulf Coasts, U.S, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Survey, P Global U.S, Manufacturing, ISM, PMI Locations: New York City, U.S, Gulf
Micron has seized the limelight in the AI space after its latest earnings report. AdvertisementMicron is stealing the show in the AI space — at least for now — as investors bask in its latest earnings results. Though its year-to-date gains have badly lagged other AI behemoths like Nvidia, Micron shares rose as much as 20%. Trading volume jumped to 42.5 million mid-day Thursday, outpacing interest in other firms in the AI space, like Intel, Tesla, and Palantir. Bank of America raised its price target for Micron to $125 a share, implying over 30% upside.
Persons: , Rosenblatt, William Kerwin, David Morrison Organizations: Micron, Wall Street, Service, Nvidia, Intel, Micro Computer, Tesla, Bank of America, MU, Morningstar, Bloomberg, Nasdaq, Micron Technology, Trade Nation Locations: New York
AdvertisementLorraine Tan, Morningstar's director of equity research for Asia, also thinks monetary stimulus won't be sufficient. History says their skepticism is warranted, as China's past stimulus efforts have often failed to lead to sustainable gains. Even if this surge holds up, it won't necessarily spark a self-fulfilling prophecy that provides a lasting boost for China's economy. But others like Tan from Morningstar believe this bad news is reflected in Chinese stocks' cheap valuations. The team at UBS Global Wealth Management is also cautiously optimistic about Chinese stocks after this news.
Persons: , they're, Betty Wang, Marcelli, Lorraine Tan, Tan, Brian Mulberry, Mulberry, Wang, China isn't, Jeff Kleintop, Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Rory Green, Xi Jinping, Biden, Trump, That's, Kleintop, Morningstar, she'd Organizations: Service, Business, People's Bank of, Oxford Economics, UBS Global Wealth Management, Zacks Investment Management, Federal Reserve, BI Locations: China, People's Bank of China, Asia, Central, Republic
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. According to a simulated model that factors in things like changes in health, nursing home costs, and demographics, about 45% of Americans who leave the workforce at 65 are likely to run out of money during retirement. When you have more leisure time on your hands, more money goes toward entertainment and travel, especially in the first few years of retirement. The outcome is a higher withdrawal rate, which can push you into a higher tax bracket, he noted. "People don't take into account how expensive things get over time, not realizing that they can live another 40 years in retirement.
Persons: , Spencer Look, they're, JoePat Roop, Roop, Bob, would've, it'll, Gil Baumgarten, Baumgarten, it's Organizations: Service, Morningstar's Center for Retirement, Business, Belmont Capital Advisors, IRA, IRS, Wealth Management Locations: breakeven
3 trades for falling interest ratesFor investors concerned about the yield on their cash, one solution might be ultrashort bond funds. In the last 12 months, ultrashort bond funds have materially outperformed taxable money market funds, returning an average of 6.36% compared to 5.09% for money markets, according to Morningstar. McCarthy recommends investing in a mix of ultrashort securities such as investment-grade corporates, asset-backed securities, and government securities for diversification purposes. AdvertisementThe Nuveen Ultrashort Income ETF (NUSB) and the Goldman Sachs Access Ultrashort Bond ETF (GSST) are examples of ultrashort bond funds. Investors can gain exposure to premium income funds through the SPDR SSGA US Equity Premium Income ETF (SPIN) and JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF(JEPI).
Persons: , Scott Diamond, Brendan McCarthy, Goldman Sachs, Morningstar, McCarthy, Diamond Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Equity, Business, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bond, Bond ETF, JPMorgan Ultrashort, Investors, JPMorgan Equity Locations: Treasurys
So if you’re looking for help along the way, there are plenty of increasingly low-cost digital and human adviser options. Now they offer a much wider array of services and financial planning tools. Many also offer hybrid solutions: automated portfolio management plus access to human advisers who can help with your more holistic financial planning needs. To figure out if a robo-advisor might be a good fit for you, here are some things to consider:Preference: Digital first or human first? “Perspective, judgment and coaching — talking through something and addressing fears and concerns, such as managing (a client’s) reaction to short-term (market) volatility,” said Paul Brahim, president-elect of the Financial Planning Association and managing director of the Wealth Enhancement Group.
Persons: It’s, , Paul Brahim, ” Brahim, Brian Concannon, , ” Concannon, you’re, , Ben Johnson, Morningstar’s, it’s, Johnson, Schwab Organizations: CNN, Financial, Association, Vanguard, Vanguard Digital, Fidelity
He's also outperformed the S&P 500 over that time by returning 14% per year on average versus the index's 13.8% annualized gains. Between July and September 1999, Buffett shared his outlook for the market in a series of talks that were summarized by Fortune's Carol Loomis in November of that year. AdvertisementSince then, however, investors have enjoyed 15 years of ultra-low interest rates and growing corporate profits — a fact that has Smead worried. "The only problem is it's a curse on long-term S&P 500 performance," Smead said of the 15-year run. Related storiesBaked into Smead's outlook is an against-consensus view that inflation is set to surge again as the Fed cuts interest rates.
Persons: , Bill Smead, Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Smead, Munger, He's, Buffett, Fortune's Carol Loomis Organizations: Service, Business, Morningstar, Apple, Bank of America
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