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The S&P 500 has gone 377 days without a 2.05% sell-off. That's the longest stretch for the benchmark since the great financial crisis, according to FactSet data compiled by CNBC. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards The S&P 500 has gone 377 days without a selloff of 2.05% or more, which is the longest period since the Great Financial Crisis. Year to date, the S&P 500 is up more than 14%. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards The S&P 500 has notched the longest stretch without a 2.15% or more gain since the Great Financial Crisis.
Persons: Angela Weiss, Adam Turnquist Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Nvidia, LPL
Once-obscure chipmaker Broadcom has enjoyed a record-setting rally that's pushed its market capitalization inches behind Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway conglomerate and its portfolio of household names and economic bellwethers. When Broadcom hit an all-time high earlier this week, its market capitalization briefly surpassed drug maker Eli Lilly's. As of Tuesday's close, Broadcom had a market cap of $839 billion, right behind Eli Lilly's $845 billion and Berkshire's $882 billion. Omaha-based Berkshire is currently No.7 in market value, after a cluster of megacap technology giants. Big AI beneficiary Broadcom, meanwhile, is seeing strong demand from customers in need of high-capacity chips that can power complex AI applications.
Persons: that's, Warren Buffett's, Eli Lilly's, Hock Tan, Steve Sosnick, Tesla, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Broadcom, Warren, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Apple, Berkshire, BNSF Railway, Geico Insurance, U.S ., PetroChina, Bank of America, Interactive Brokers, VMware Locations: Palo Alto , California, Omaha, Berkshire, U.S, Saudi Aramco
CNBC Daily Open: Boeing's 'moment of reckoning'
  + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Immigrants, jobs and inflationImmigration has helped the U.S. job market sustain a strong run in recent months without reigniting inflation, economists and analysts say. This dynamic — a hot job market and cooling inflation — is in part the result of increased inflows of immigrants. The conglomerate sold 1.3 million shares for $39.8 million, reducing its holding to 6.9%. [PRO] S&P 500 to hit 6,000Evercore ISI predicts the stock market will soar to unprecedented heights, setting a new year-end target for the S&P 500 at a record 6,000.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, CNBC's Rebecca Picciotto, Ryan Cohen, Keith Gill, Matthew Bartolini, Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie Munger, Tesla Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Minneapolis Federal, GameStop, Fund, Nvidia, SPDR Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, Berkshire, BYD
Goldman Sachs sees upside for the S & P 500 for the rest of this year as corporate earnings strengthen. Chief U.S. Equity Strategist David Kostin hiked his year-end S & P 500 price target by 400 points, or about 7.7%, to 5,600. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 index in 2024. That's 11.6% off where the S & P 500 wrapped up last week. The S & P 500 has climbed nearly 14% since the start of 2024.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Godman, Kostin, Goldman Organizations: Chief U.S, Equity, Microsoft, Nvidia, Wall, CNBC
The S & P 500 is higher by 14% already this year, having topped 5,400 for the first time, already blowing past the year-end forecasts of many strategists. In its revised forecast, Goldman Sachs anticipates the S & P 500 still has further to climb. It would mean a 13% fall for the S & P 500, back down to 4,700. Megacap exceptionalism If AI stocks continue to outperform, defying expectations, stocks could see a huge megacap tech rally between now and year's end. In this scenario, investors can expect the S & P 500 to close out the year at 6,300, a gain of about 16%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David J, Kostin, Goldman, Nvidia — Organizations: Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Federal Reserve
Wall Street is wondering whether the tech rally that's pushed the S & P 500 through record after record this year can continue, even as some cracks emerge in the market outlook. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 near record highs A peek inside the major indexes also reveals a similar pattern. Information technology is the best-performing sector in the S & P 500 this week, gaining 6.2%. As it is, the S & P 500 is already above 5,400, having advanced more than 13% this year. Winners and losers market David Miller, investment chief at Catalyst Funds, also said the S & P 500 could end 2024 with a 17% or 18% gain.
Persons: Jeff Klingelhofer, it's, Klingelhofer, Brian Nick, Nick, Dave Sekera, Dave Donabedian, Donabedian, David Miller, Miller Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Apple, Thornburg Investment Management, CNBC, Macro, Federal Reserve, Morningstar, CIBC Private Wealth, Catalyst Funds, Microsoft, Google, Visa, MasterCard, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Novo Nordisk, TransDigm, Index, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Kroger, Darden, PMI Locations: U.S, NAHB
Investors may want to be careful when buying tech stocks, as some names in the sector have become overvalued after their recent gains. Additionally, the CNBC Magnificent 7 Index has seen gains nearly twice that of the XLK and Nasdaq year to date, rising about 35%. CNBC Pro screened FactSet data for stocks in the XLK whose forward price-earnings ratio is above the S & P 500's. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 23.4, which is nearly double its five-year average P/E of 12.6. The megacap tech stock's forward P/E of 32.8 is 13.1% above its five-year average.
Persons: Jefferies, Oppenheimer Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Barclays, Broadcom, JPMorgan, Citi, UBS, Microsoft
The dominant e-commerce platform has a momentum score, measuring 12-month and one-month relative strength, of 53%, and its earnings estimates have risen 17% since the end of March. Footwear maker Deckers also made the cut, with a 73% momentum score and a 6% swing in upward earnings revisions. Sports betting stock DraftKings also appeared on the Wolfe screen, with a 73% momentum score and a 270% increase in earnings estimates since the end of March. The majority of analysts polled by LSEG have a buy rating with a price target suggesting shares can surge more than 38%. But he called those worries "overdone" while pointing to earnings upside as a catalyst for shares to continue rallying.
Persons: Chris Senyek, Russell, Joseph Civello, Wolfe, Morgan Stanley's Stephen Grambling Organizations: Wolfe Research, Wolfe, LSEG, Amazon, Truist Securities, Sports, Grambling Locations: California, Illinois
It's historically been a smart move to buy Apple shares around this time of year coming off the technology giant's developer conference, according to Morgan Stanley's sales team. Apple's biggest announcement was its push into artificial intelligence — the buzzy software that has helped propel large tech names, such as Nvidia , to record highs. Apple executives at the event unveiled Apple Intelligence, AI tools that will be available on the Mac, iPhone and iPad. AAPL YTD mountain Apple, year to date Shares rebounded on Tuesday, rallying more than 6% to a new all-time high. But the stock has underperformed both the S & P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite this year with a gain of just over 6%.
Persons: Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Siri Organizations: Apple, Developers, Nvidia, Apple Intelligence
For investors hoping Nvidia 's stock split could translate into a sustainable rally, Goldman Sachs cautioned that the benefits from such an event are usually minimal. Last month, Nvidia announced a 10-for-1 forward stock split in its fiscal first-quarter earnings report. A stock split doesn't change a company's underlying fundamentals or the intrinsic value of its shares. Goldman said companies saw only a 0.2 percentage point increase in retail share of trading activity following stock splits on average. Notably, Nvidia's 2021 stock split led to a 7 percentage point increase in the average share of retail trading.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin Organizations: Nvidia, Russell, Amazon
Some stocks have forward earnings momentum that investors don't want to overlook, according to Liberum. He noted that companies with this momentum outperformed counterparts by 0.2% over the past month. Earnings momentum can be a good sign for a company as it tends to align with growth in revenue, improving margins or cost reductions, or some combination of these factors. Klement noted that earnings per share momentum has a "very chequered past" in the U.S. market. This also comes as the broader market has traded near all-time highs , forcing traders to look harder for individual stocks that have more room to run.
Persons: Joachim Klement, Klement, Nvidia, what's, Motors, LSEG, Tim Rokossa Organizations: Nvidia, Wall, LSEG, Amazon, Meta, Netflix, General Motors, Deutsche Bank, Motors, Ford Locations: U.S, Europe
On top of that, the S & P 500 is trading at record levels thanks in large measure to the unrelenting momentum in Nvidia. Hot jobs growth + weaker-than-expected wage growth: The S & P 500 would advance 0.25% to 0.75% in this event, the traders said. In-line jobs growth + strong wage growth: This outcome indicates inflation persists given tight labor market conditions. Disappointing jobs growth + hotter-than-expected wage expansion: JPMorgan traders think this would be the worst outcome for market bulls, with the S & P 500 losing 1.25%-2%. JPMorgan expects the S & P 500 to rise, or fall, as much as 0.25%.
Persons: Dow Jones, stagflation Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, JPMorgan Locations: U.S
Owning overcrowded trades that are most popular among hedge funds could be risky for individual investors in the event of a herd-like stampede by systematic traders, according to Morgan Stanley, which looked at stocks to avoid. Despite their popularity and performance, none of the megacap tech stocks made the list of overcrowded stocks. That's because their enormous share count makes hedge funds' ownership less significant. Morgan Stanley found that hedge funds were most overweight in consumer discretionary, industrial and health care stocks last quarter, while they were most bearish on technology and consumer staples companies. Janus Henderson , The New York Times , Planet Fitness and Wayfair were also on the list of crowded trades.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Russell, Howard Hughes, Janus Henderson, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Avis Budget Group, Howard Hughes Holdings, The New York Times Locations: The
The Wall Street investment bank analyzed the holdings of 707 hedge funds with $2.7 trillion of gross equity positions at the start of the second quarter. Goldman found that hedge funds added to under-the-radar winners across the entire AI universe, particularly players in infrastructure, including Marvell Technology , TD Synnex , AES Corporation and Littelfuse . Copper miner Freeport-McMoRan and solar tracking company Nextracker, both involved in AI's power production, also saw increased popularity among hedge funds. Hedge funds also trimmed positions in other megacap stocks benefiting from the AI enthusiasm, including Microsoft , Meta Platforms and Amazon . Apple was the exception in the so-called " Magnificent Seven " group — hedge funds added exposure to the Tim Cook-led iPhone maker, according to Goldman.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Ben Snider, Tim Cook Organizations: Marvell Technology, AES Corporation, Littelfuse, Walgreens Boots Alliance, American, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Apple Locations: Freeport, McMoRan
Stock-picking hedge funds have become more selective on megacap technology stocks after their drastic rallies, according to VerityData. The research firm identified "fundamental" hedge funds that disclosed 10 to 300 holdings and aggregate holdings of at least $100 million in recent 13F filings. Microsoft continued to be the most popular stock among those hedge funds, extending its No.1 status to a seventh quarter, according to the data. Several hedge funds also flocked to Nvidia despite its jaw-dropping advance over the past year, the data said. Less popular On the flip side, hedge funds dialed back their exposure to Alphabet and Apple last quarter.
Persons: Tesla, weathers Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia
Dan Loeb's Third Point largely bought into the big technology space during the first quarter, offering a sign of confidence in further gains after a big rally. That can indicate expectations of more room to run within megacap tech and "the Magnificent Seven." He raised his Amazon stake by more than 20%, making the e-commerce stock his second-largest holding at about $920 million. The big tech name, which joined the Dow Jones Industrial Average earlier this year, gained close to 19% in the first quarter. Outside of tech, he opened stakes in names including Goldman Sachs and Cinemark during the quarter.
Persons: Dan Loeb's, It's, bode, Loeb, Warburg Pincus, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Microsoft, Google, Dow Jones, Columbia, UC, Berkeley, Meta, Jefferies, Citigroup, United States Steel, DuPont de Nemours Locations: New York, McKesson
Viking Global shifts Big Tech holdings in first quarter
  + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Ole Andreas Halvorsen's Viking Global appeared to relocate money within megacap technology in the first quarter. Viking Global zeroed out a position of nearly 3.3 million shares in Alphabet during the first three months of 2024, regulatory fillings show. It's nearly 1.6 million shares at a total value of more than $670 million. With that increase, Viking Global holds more than 1.9 million shares, or more than $1.2 billion. Outside of tech, Viking Global began holding Clorox , Dollar Tree , Skechers and Las Vegas Sands during the period.
Persons: Ole Andreas Halvorsen's, Halvorsen, Julian Robertson Organizations: Big Tech, Viking, Microsoft, Tiger Management, Viking Global, Las Vegas Sands, U.S . Bancorp, MetLife, Deere Locations: Ole Andreas Halvorsen's Viking, Viking, Apple, Las, U.S, Stryker
CFRA's Sam Stovall has emerged as one of the biggest bulls on Wall Street, seeing more room for the S & P 500 to run to a double-digit gain this year. This updated target marks one of the highest on the Street, behind only the 5,500 target from John Stoltzfus at Oppenheimer. It is also 6% higher than the average projection of 5,105, according to the CNBC Pro Market Strategist Survey , which rounds up the targets from the top 14 Wall Street strategists. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The S & P 500 is up more than 9% this year, driven by the continuous rally in many megacap tech names. Stovall sees the S & P 500 hitting 5,610 in the next 12 months, which would translate into a 7.6% gain from Thursday's close of 5,214.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall, John Stoltzfus, Stovall, he's, Jerome Powell, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC Pro Market, Survey, Federal Locations: Oppenheimer
Stocks have been churning higher lately after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated rate hikes are likely off the table , a position that investors expect is a bullish event for equities. A strong earnings season, as well as some cooler labor data , also have investors more optimistic in this year's outlook. On Friday, all three major averages are on pace for a winning week, with the 30-stock index up by more than 2%. The market reaction Inflation data has been crucially important this year for investors. Export Price Index (April) 8:30 a.m. Housing Starts (April) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mike Dickson, Stocks, Dickson, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder, Strategas, Jason De Sena Trennert, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Charles Schwab, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Horizon Investments, Nasdaq, UBS, Investments, ICE, Fed, LPL, Asset Management, Walmart, Deere, Retail, Cisco, Price, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, Materials Locations: NAHB
There may be a case to bet on technology stocks, even if interest rates remain higher for longer. While conventional wisdom suggests high rates should punish the group, investors still favor the earnings growth offered by megacap tech stocks, according to The ETF Store President Nate Geraci. "Investors are viewing megacap tech as a quality play," he told CNBC's "ETF Edge" on Monday. Even if a U.S. economic slowdown takes hold, Geraci thinks quality tech names can remain in a leadership role. "I think that causes investors to rethink making bets on companies with earnings that are far out into the future."
Persons: Nate Geraci, CNBC's, Cathie, Geraci Organizations: Technology, Innovation Locations: LSEG, U.S
Trimming Apple One surprising move from the conglomerate was selling about 10 million Apple shares (just 1% of its massive stake) in the fourth quarter. Second, it could have been Buffett's investment deputies Todd Combs and Ted Weschler who trimmed the Apple stake in order to fund other purchases. There's a chance that Buffett might reveal at the annual meeting the mystery bank stock that Berkshire has been buying for two quarters straight . Berkshire now owns more than 70 million of the tracking stock. "You need higher prices, or it doesn't work," Buffett said at Berkshire's 2023 annual meeting.
Persons: Warren Buffett's, Buffett, Todd Combs, Ted Weschler, Debbie Bosanek, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, SIRI, Bob Bakish, Berkshire's, You've Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, CNBC, Apple, Oracle, Securities and Exchange Commission, Verizon, Berkshire, Liberty, Liberty Media Corp, Liberty Media, Liberty Media Sirius, Paramount, Paramount Global, Skydance Locations: Berkshire, Woodstock, Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, Chevron, New York, The Omaha
Therefore, investors would be more incentivized to buy companies that have a strong record of dividend payments. The strategist expects more companies to add dividends payouts going forward, as firms begin to increasingly understand the appeal for investors. The stocks had to meet the following criteria: Buy-rated by Citi Research 3-year dividend per share with a compound annual growth rate above 5% Above median expected dividend growth Potential dividend per share upside Reasonable payout ratio Reasonable dividend yield One name on the list was Visa , which currently has a dividend yield of 0.7%, according to Citi Research. Semiconductor firm Lam Research also made the list, with a dividend yield of 0.9%. More than half of analysts covering the stock rate it a buy or strong buy and see a potential upside of nearly 6%.
Persons: Scott Chronert, Chronert, TD Cowen, Bryan Bergin, Riley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Citi, Fed, Citi Research's, Citi Research, Visa, LSEG, Mastercard, Semiconductor, Lam Research, Research Locations: Asia, Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA's Savita Subramanian: More to the S&P 500 than just semiconductors and megacap tech companiesSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities
Alphabet on Thursday delivered a knockout first-quarter report, with sales, operating margin and profits all topping Wall Street expectations. Alphabet Why we own it : Alphabet's Google Search is an invaluable tool for advertisers. Alphabet's big three watch items for investors — Search, YouTube, and Google Cloud — all delivered better-than-expected revenues in the quarter, leading to companywide sales topping estimates. It exited the quarter with $108 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities on its balance sheet, compared with $110.9 billion at the end of 2023. At 20 cents a share, Alphabet's dividend yield stands at 0.51% based on Thursday's close.
Persons: we've, It's, Sundar Pichai, Ruth Porat, TikTok, Philipp Schindler, Pichai, Porat, we're, Alphabet's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, David Paul Morris Organizations: YouTube, Microsoft, Management, , Google, Google Services, Capital, buybacks, Meta, Apple, CNBC, O, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: That's, Mountain View , California
While a market correction can be bad for a portfolio, CNBC Pro has some ideas for how to weather a downturn. The average analyst surveyed by LSEG also has a buy rating with an upside showing shares can rally about 18% in the next year. In addition to having a buy rating, the typical analyst polled by LSEG anticipates shares climbing nearly 21%. It also has the second-highest earnings per share growth rate at nearly 265%. But the average analyst has a buy rating on the stock with a price target suggesting shares can jump nearly 16%, per LSEG.
Persons: catalyzing, Ventas, LSEG, Steve Sakwa, Sakwa Organizations: CNBC Pro, Gross, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Resorts
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