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The so-called "Magnificent Seven" were among the hottest stocks last year, but one wealth manager says they are "wildly overvalued" and has his sights elsewhere. The Magnificent Seven comprises Alphabet , Amazon , Apple , Meta Platforms , Microsoft , Nvidia and Tesla , which continue to be in the spotlight thanks to the buzz around artificial intelligence. Other global stocks Global stocks Dennison is betting on include Fresenius Medical Care , a German health-care company, and Kazatomprom, a Kazakhstan-headquartered producer of uranium. "It is a top position in many pension portfolios and has become a value stock because of the strong Swiss Franc," he said. Value stocks are often cheaper than so-called growth stocks and typically trade at a lower price than what the company's performance indicates.
Persons: Tariq Dennison, Dennison, he's, Russell, Chow, Fook, Tencent, Goldman Sachs, Kazatomprom Organizations: GFM Asset Management, CNBC Pro, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Nasdaq, Value, Avantis U.S, Abercrombie, Fitch, Cadence Bank, Commercial Metals, KB, Jackson Financial, Warrior, MTR Corp, Global, Dennison, Fresenius, London Stock Exchanges, U.S, Nestle, Six Swiss Exchange Locations: U.S, China, Hong Kong, Kazakhstan, Swiss
Cramer’s Stop Trading: MSCI
  + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCramer’s Stop Trading: MSCICNBC’s Jim Cramer explains why he is keeping an eye on shares of MSCI Inc.
Persons: Jim Cramer Organizations: MSCI Inc
United Parcel Service — The package delivery company plunged more than 12%, hitting a new 52-week low, after posting a miss on both top and bottom lines in the second quarter. Pentair beat expectations for the second quarter, posting earnings of $1.22 per share, excluding items, compared to the FactSet consensus estimate of $1.14 per share. NXP Semiconductors posted adjusted earnings of $3.20 per share, which was below the LSEG consensus estimate of $3.21 per share. Inter Parfums — The stock jumped more than 6% after the fragrance manufacturer posted record net sales for the second quarter. The regional bank earned $1.28 per share, above the consensus estimate of $1.10 a share from analysts polled by LSEG.
Persons: LSEG, MSCI, FactSet, Pentair, Danaher, Rainer Blair, Sherwin, Williams, Lockheed Martin, , Alex Harring, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim Organizations: Spotify, United Parcel Service, UPS, Revenue, NXP, Crown Holdings, Inter, Comcast —, LSEG, General Motors, Buick, GE Aerospace, Lockheed, Comcast, CNBC Locations: U.S, Michigan
Read previewAs we near the November elections, investors are increasingly focused on what a Donald Trump win would mean for global markets and economies. The charts below show how stock sectors moved in the 24 hours after the debate and how a Trump administration might impact sectors with varying regulatory burdens. If Trump wins, investors will need to cut through the noise and at least understand how he might impact different parts of the economy. Where monetary policy is concerned, leading economist Christophe Barraud believes a Trump administration could pressure the Federal Reserve to be very accommodative on rates, in other words, steeper or sooner cuts. It expects a Trump Administration to allow LNG export permits after the Biden Administration attempted to halt them.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Trump, Solita, Samantha Lamas, Goldman, Goldman's Jan Hatzius, Christophe Barraud, Bloomberg Businessweek Trump, Morgan Stanely, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Service, Trump, Business, Trump Media, Technology, UBS, Americas Global Wealth Management, Morningstar, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg Businessweek, Korea, Asia Pacific's, Republican, Trump Administration, Biden Locations: Predictit, Mexico, Canada, China, Japan, Germany, Asia, Goldman Sachs, Washington
Investors looking for stock investments on the cheap should look abroad, according to Schroders investment strategist Bob Armstrong. Europe's Stoxx 600 index and the Japanese Nikkei 225 hit record highs earlier this year, along with the S & P 500 . FactSet data shows the former trades at 15 times trailing 12-month earnings, while the latter has a multiple of 23. The S & P 500, meanwhile sports a 27 times earnings multiple. Year to date, the Nikkei is up nearly 20%, outpacing the S & P 500's 17% jump.
Persons: Bob Armstrong, Europe's, Armstrong, Armstrong didn't Organizations: Nikkei, CNBC, Tokyo, European Central Bank and Bank of England, Franklin FTSE United Kingdom ETF Locations: U.S, Europe, Armstrong, Russia, Ukraine, Japan
The Astoria US Equal Weight Quality Kings ETF (ROE) , which launched in 2023, is up 17.6% year to date through Tuesday's close, according to FactSet. By comparison, the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) and iShares MSCI USA Equal Weighted ETF (EUSA) are up 9.7% and 10.1%, respectively. ROE YTD mountain This equal weighted ETF is outperforming some of its rivals in 2024. The Astoria fund is underperforming some other funds that focus on quality, like the iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) . The Astoria fund also has a higher expense ratio than some of its rivals at 0.49%.
Persons: John Davi, ROE, Davi, Frank Tedesco, Todd Sohn Organizations: Astoria, RSP, EUSA, Nvidia, Big Tech Locations: ROE
But for those looking for alternatives, UBS has refreshed its list of "highest conviction and most investable" tech stocks in Asia. So far, UBS' Asian Super 8 has gained 8.3% since its inception in February, beating the 6.7% returned by the benchmark MSCI Asia-Pacific index. "We believe the valuation discount across the value chain in Asia's technology sector offers a defensive catch-up play for investors," UBS' analysts wrote. Tencent has been making headlines recently, with several analysts bullish, including Goldman Sachs , which included the stock in its conviction list. The company, which also goes by the name Foxconn, is expecting over 40% year-on-year growth in its AI server sub-segment this year, UBS' analysts noted.
Persons: Tencent, Goldman Sachs, Hon Hai Taiwan's, Hai, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, UBS, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, U.S, Hai Precision Industry, Taiwan Stock Exchange, Lenovo Lenovo, Lenovo, Hong Kong Exchange Locations: Asia, China, U.S
Morgan Stanley says it's time for stock-picking in Europe as earnings season and rate cuts are imminent. Stock-level dispersion refers to the range of returns for stocks, while market breadth tracks the number of stocks going up relative to those declining. It named its top picks for Europe, which are its analysts' "highest conviction ideas" within the universe of stocks that they cover. Morgan Stanley called Commerzbank "one of the best yield payers in the sector," and is strongly profitable. "Repsol's financial framework also remains solid, where there is both ability and willingness for high distributions and dividend growth," Morgan Stanley analysts wrote.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Europe, Merck, Electronics Locations: Europe
With over 50 years of experience in the gold industry, Milling-Stanley believes today's macroeconomic environment is ripe for gold to outperform. The possibility of a rate cut in the next six months has been looming over the economy, which should boost the price of gold, Milling-Stanley said. State Street Global AdvisorsUS dollar depreciation will also push gold prices up, he said. He estimates a 50% probability of gold prices ending the year in the $2,200 to $2,500 range and a 30% probability of prices rising between $2,500 and $2,700. Other cost-efficient options include the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM), iShares Gold Trust (IAU), Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF (AAAU), and GraniteShares Gold Trust (BAR).
Persons: , George Milling, Stanley, there's, I've, He's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Stanley, Trust, Business, Street Global Advisors, Stanely, Street Global, MiniShares, Gold Miners, Miners Locations: Nigeria, Ukraine, China, Taiwan
The outlook for stocks is becoming more favorable as inflation slows and the Federal Reserve looks to cut interest rates by yearend, according to UBS. Against that backdrop, UBS thinks investors should maintain a neutral view and remain strategic in their stock allocations. Here are some of the stocks on the UBS list: One of the stocks added to the list was San Diego-based, medical device maker Dexcom . Despite growth in the continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) segment of the diabetes market over the past few years, the sizable diabetes market has a "relatively low" penetration rate, according to UBS. "We expect DXCM to remain a leading player within the very concentrated CGM market."
Persons: Eric Potoker, that's, Ralph Lauren Organizations: Federal, yearend, UBS, San, MGM Resorts, Super, Las Vegas, Samsung Locations: Swiss, San Diego, Las Vegas, Las
Citi has identified several undervalued global stocks exposed to artificial intelligence that present substantial investment opportunities. AI has driven approximately half the 11% return in the MSCI All Country World Index so far, according to Citi. The picture resembles the S & P 500 , where mega-cap stocks focused on AI have driven much of the rally. While many AI stocks have benefited from both expanding multiples and upward earnings revisions, Citi has identified a subset of 19 stocks that buck this trend. This dual tailwind of improving valuations and fundamentals has not been present in stocks with medium or low AI exposure — such as those in the table above.
Persons: Drew Pettit, Beata Manthey, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, Digital Realty Trust, Apple, Toyota Motor, Visa, ServiceNow, Samsung Electronics
For passive investors, it's the best of times: They're seeing new highs on the two major cap-weighted indexes — S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite — with low volatility. One example is the Invesco S & P 500 Momentum ETF (SPMO) , which tracks the S & P 500 Momentum Index. That index follows the performance of stocks in the S & P 500 that have a high "momentum score." Momentum ETFs in 2024 S & P 500 up 18.1% Invesco S & P Momentum ETF (SPMO) up 39.9% iShares USA Momentum Factor (MTUM) up 28.5% Both ETFs also have concentrated bets. Why momentum is a risky strategy Let the buyer beware: Everyone looks like a genius holding on to winners in up markets.
Persons: Staples, Invesco, Eli Lilly, it's, It's, rebalanced, Rebalancing Organizations: Nasdaq, Tech, YTD Technology, Energy, Services, Momentum, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Broadcom, Berkshire Hathaway, JPMorgan, Costco Locations: rebalancing
The uncertainty has led Morgan Stanley to reiterate its recommendation to buy dividend stocks. The investment bank noted that the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan High Dividend Index has slightly underperformed the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index in the second quarter of the year, albeit by only 0.34 percentage points. "We still prefer Dividend stocks given cautious risk sentiment in Asia/EM and see support in valuations for quality dividend stocks due to their defensiveness. Investor appetite on corporate reform and shareholder return theme in Asia/EM also remain high, which are likely to benefit dividend stocks." The company provides distillery services and Morgan Stanley sees it benefitting from "improving demand for high-end products and mid-market brands."
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Wuliangye, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Asia, UST, U.S . Treasury, Wuliangye Yibin Company, China's Shenzhen Stock Exchange, FTSE, G, Won, Korea Exchange, American Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, FTSE China, Korean, U.S
Jeffrey Buchbinder, the chief equity strategist at LPL Financial, doesn't think the rally is sustainable. Although stocks will likely continue rising for a while longer this earnings season, Buchbinder advises investors to prepare for a pullback later this year. Given his uninspired view on how stocks will perform, Buchbinder recommends waiting and buying the dip when the market eventually corrects. For investors' existing equity allocations, Buchbinder recommends leaning toward domestic equities, with a focus on growth stocks. ETFs like the Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG), iShares Morningstar Growth ETF (ILCG), and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) all provide exposure to growth stocks.
Persons: , Jeffrey Buchbinder, doesn't, Buchbinder, LPL, iShares Organizations: Service, LPL, Business, Wall Street, Bloomberg, ISM, Investors, Buchbinder, Vanguard, Franklin FTSE Locations: Japan, Franklin FTSE Japan
The rally for Japanese stocks is set to continue in the second half of the year, but the best way for American investors to participate in it could change, according to the BlackRock Investment Institute. The firm said in its midyear outlook that being overweight on Japanese stocks is one of its highest conviction calls. Many Americans have already been rushing into funds that track Japanese stocks, part of a broader increase in foreign investor money . HEWJ YTD mountain Currency-hedged Japanese funds like the HEWJ are outperforming their unhedged counterparts in 2024. Goldman Sachs Asset Management said in its midyear outlook that "in Japan, we expect strong equity market performance to continue being driven by structural changes."
Persons: Wei Li, Li Organizations: BlackRock Investment Institute, U.S ., BlackRock, Goldman, Management Locations: U.S, BlackRock, Japan, bullish
As the third quarter kicks off, RBC Capital Markets added a solar company and oil giant to its list of Top 30 Global Ideas for 2024. RBC's list includes the firm's highest-conviction stocks offering strong, long-term upside potential that its analysts view as "well-positioned in the current environment." For the third quarter, RBC added solar solutions provider First Solar , oil giant Shell and global logistics provider Brambles to its list. The bank also removed Mastercard and Alnylam Pharmaceuticals , which was its best-performing stock in the group last quarter. Digital payments stock PayPal is another RBC pick, with its price target suggesting 42% potential upside over the next year.
Persons: Graeme Pearson, CrowdStrike, Matthew Hedberg, Hedberg, Daniel Perlin, Brambles Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, RBC, Mastercard, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Big Tech, Pearson, PayPal, Shell, Australian, RBC . Locations: U.S
Despite the pullback, a primary uptrend remains in place for the CAC 40, in addition to the related iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ) . Both proxies for French stocks appear to be finding their footing, which suggests that the market is welcoming the latest news regarding the election. Once the final outcome is determined, it would be natural for investors to respond favorably to the removal of uncertainty, particularly given the oversold status of French stocks. This suggests a counter-trend phase of outperformance is possible for French stocks versus U.S. stocks. Recent stabilization in many French stocks shows a positive reaction to widespread intermediate-term oversold conditions, which we gauge using the weekly stochastic oscillator.
Persons: LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton, Katie Stockton Organizations: CAC, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: France, EWQ
Investors looking for outperformance in the third quarter may want to check Bank of America's global "Best of Breed" portfolio. Its third-quarter Best of Breed list is heavily exposed to tech, with the sector netting a 64% portfolio weighting. Here are some of the stocks in the portfolio: Nvidia made the list after a monstrous run this year, surging about 159%. The firm reiterated its overweight rating and raised its price target to $144 from $116 in a Monday note. The firm sees revenue growth accelerating in the second half of this year and operating income growth inflecting in 2025.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Shopify, BofA, Tyler Radke, NetEase Organizations: America's, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Citi, U.S, Palantir Technologies Locations: U.S, China
Investors in 14 global stocks could get lucky over the next six months if history repeats itself. CNBC Pro screened the MSCI World index for stocks that have consistently risen in the second half of each year over the past decade. Broadcom AI chip designer Broadcom had the second biggest upside potential, with Wall Street analysts expecting shares to rise 18% over the next 12 months. Analysts expect shares to rise by 39% over the next 12 months to 300 euros ($322). Since the late 1980s, when markets rose by more than 12% in the first half, they rose every time in the second half of the year.
Persons: Stocks, Booz Allen Hamilton, Berkley, Chubb, Assicurazioni Generali, Sofina, Alimentation, that's Organizations: CNBC Pro, Broadcom, New York Stock, Intercontinental Exchange, CDW Corporation, Swiss, Wall Street, Belgian, TSX, Consumer Staples, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC Locations: Munich, Canada, U.S
Global stocks ended the first half of 2024 up by more than 12%, and investors stand to make good money over the next six months if history repeats itself. Since the late 1980s, though, after a first-half rise of over 12%, stocks rose every single time in the second half of the year. The analysis also reveals that since 1970, the global stock market index had an average 21.25% price return for the whole year when the index was up more than 12% halfway through the year. The U.S.-only S & P 500 index has behaved in a very similar way to the MSCI World Index since 1989. The stock market had risen by more than 25% in the first half of that year.
Persons: Organizations: CNBC Locations: U.S
Morgan Stanley analysts say they are expecting the computer memory sector to hit new highs over the rest of 2024, despite investors "generally" not being comfortable buying such stocks at such lofty prices. Aside from their attractive valuations, memory stocks are expected to see a lift in demand on the back of stronger usage of artificial intelligence-powered applications, infrastructure, tools and services, the analysts added. Top pick and overweight-rated stocks SK Hynix , the South Korean chipmaker, is Morgan Stanley's "top pick." Both stocks trade on the Korean Exchange and in the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (SK Hynix has a 10.7% weight while Samsung Electronics has a 22.2% weight). Morgan Stanley is overweight on the stock and gives it a price target of $86, or nearly 12% upside.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Shawn Kim, Morgan Stanley's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, South Korean, SK Hynix —, Samsung, Korean Exchange, Western Locations: Korean, Korea
"Since India is a strong secular growth market, we would say the mid and small-cap [market] is the place to be. Against that backdrop, he named one ETF to play this small-cap corner of the market: the iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF . For investors who want to invest in large-cap stocks, he recommends the iShares MSCI India ETF . A third ETF that Jayaraman likes is the WisdomTree India Earnings Fund , which tracks an index that measures the performance of companies traded in India that are profitable. While both funds invest in emerging market stocks, the International Opportunities Fund also has stocks of companies in developed countries outside the United States.
Persons: Arjun Jayaraman, Jayaraman Organizations: CNBC, Markets Fund, International, Fund, U.S Locations: India, United States
Risk sentiment was also capped as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials kept near-term U.S. rate cut expectations in check in a boost to the dollar. The comments along with data showing a stable housing market kept expectations in check over when and by how much the Fed will cut rates. Markets are pricing in 47 basis points of easing this year, with a rate cut in September pegged at 66% probability, CME FedWatch tool showed. In the currency market, the dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit against six peers, was steady at 105.64, while the euro was at $1.0715. The yen touched a 34-year low of 160.245 per dollar on April 29, prompting Tokyo to spend roughly 9.8 trillion in late April and early May to support the currency.
Persons: Androniki, Lisa Cook, Cook, Michelle Bowman, Selena Ling, OCBC, OCBC's Ling, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, . Federal, Reuters, Bank of Japan's, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, Pacific
Causeway Capital Management's Arjun Jayaraman is bullish on one pure-play infrastructure stock: REC , a company which issues loans to power utilities and to other infrastructure. "It is one of the cheapest ways to play infrastructure," the portfolio manager told CNBC Pro Talks last week. Jayaraman manages Causeway's Emerging Markets Fund and International Opportunities Fund . Though he called the Indian market a "very strong growth story," he said he would focus on its small- to mid-cap segment. "Since India is a strong secular growth market, we would say the mid and small-cap [market] is the place to be.
Persons: Arjun Jayaraman, Jayaraman, Narendra Modi Organizations: Investments, CNBC, International, REC, Markets Fund, Fund Locations: India, bullish
Read previewMajor stock market indexes look virtually unstoppable. 3 alternatives to market cap-weighted indexesTo combat growing concentration risk for the S&P 500, Geraci laid out three alternative investing approaches to consider. In a downside scenario for a stock like Nvidia, this could help minimize the damage it would do to the cap-weighted S&P 500. And third, consider international stocks, which have dramatically lagged US stocks, Geraci said. Core Equity 2 ETF (DFAX), and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) offer exposure to international stocks.
Persons: , Nate Geraci, Geraci, LPL Financial's Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, There's Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business, Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, RSP, First Trust NASDAQ, Schwab, FTSE, Core Equity
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