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☆ Paul Ryan Says Even MAGA Diehards Believe Trump Can’t Win in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-06 | by ( David Marchese | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +23 min

Photo illustration by Bráulio Amado Talk Paul Ryan Says Even MAGA Diehards Believe Trump Can’t Win in 2024For a good long time during the George W. Bush and Obama presidencies, Paul Ryan was considered one of the intellectual leaders and shining stars of the Republican Party. Get out of this race.” But I don’t think Trump is going to get the nomination. I don’t think we want the lack of liberty that comes with government-made equality. Where I part company with the left is I don’t believe in socialism. I don’t believe in equality of outcomes.

The tumult that broke out last month during the election of Kevin McCarthy for speaker illustrated the potential for profound dysfunction in the new House Republican majority. Here is a closer look at the fractious House Republican caucus. Chart of House Republicans highlights members who denied the 2020 election results, were supported by the House Freedom Fund, or both. Representative Harriet Hageman of Wyoming, who has also denied the 2020 election results, defeated Representative Liz Cheney in the primary. A Venn diagram shows the Republican newcomers in the House who either denied the 2020 election results, were supported by the House Freedom Fund, or both.

WASHINGTON — Republicans, newly empowered with a House majority, are demanding spending cuts as a price for lifting the debt ceiling and averting a catastrophic default on U.S. debt. Republicans are divided over whether Medicare and Social Security spending should be on the chopping block. Jose Luis Magana / APLuna said she wants to do it without tax increases or Social Security or Medicare cuts. The White House has vowed that Biden won’t grant concessions on the debt limit and that paying the country’s bills is non-negotiable. But I think we’ve got to also honor our commitment to Americans when it comes to Social Security and Medicare,” Garcia continued.

☆ Exclusive: Goldman Sachs: Even a near-default on US debt could spark a recession and market mayhem
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-25 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Asked if a default or even a near default could cause a recession, Hatzius said yes. Still, Goldman Sachs is expecting a deal on the debt ceiling will be reached, eventually. “These solutions are often found at the very last moment.”Why Goldman Sachs says a recession isn’t comingAssuming the United States gets through the debt ceiling episode, Goldman Sachs is optimistic about the prospects for the US economy. Goldman Sachs expects the red-hot labor market will continue to cool down, but only gradually. The Goldman Sachs economist said his forecast is for the US economic expansion to continue through the 2024 presidential election, though that’s not a slam-dunk.

NBC News has repeatedly contacted Santos’ team with requests for comment about his lies and other allegations against him. Here is a timeline mapping out the controversy:Nov. 3, 2020: Santos loses his first bid for Congress to Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi. Sept. 6, 2022: Santos files his personal financial disclosure report, claiming his assets are as much as $11 million. The New York Times later reported that none of the 49 victims appear to have worked at the various firms named in his biography. In another Dec. 26 interview with the New York Post, Santos acknowledges some of the specific fabrications in his résumé.

☆ U.S. House Republicans who bucked McCarthy are powered by small-dollar donors
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-11 | by ( Jason Lange | Joseph Ax | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. House of Representatives Republicans who tried to block Kevin McCarthy’s leadership bid last week share more than far-right political views. That’s about twice the share reported by the rest of the Republican House conference. Trump raised massive amounts of cash from small donors, thanks to a supply of controversial statements that drew him constant media attention. Close to 60% of his funding came from small donors. Both Gaetz and Boebert were in the top 15 House Republican campaigns ranked by funds raised.

WASHINGTON — After a grueling five-day, 15-ballot floor fight for speaker, House Republicans on Monday night will face what's expected to be the first of many tough legislative battles ahead: Passing a package of rules that will govern how they run the House over the next two years. These are the easy part[s], the speaker vote and the rules vote," Gonzales said on Fox News on Monday. Because of their razor-thin majority, McCarthy’s leadership team can only afford to lose four GOP votes on the rules package for the new Congress. GOP leaders, including new Majority Leader Steve Scalise of Louisiana, indicated Monday that they believe Republicans will be able to stick together and pass the rules package. "Obviously the rules package is the first piece allowing us to get started with our agenda to fight for the American people," Scalise told reporters.

☆ What’s in Kevin McCarthy’s Deal With Conservatives
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( Natalie Andrews | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

WASHINGTON—Rep. Kevin McCarthy ‘s election early Saturday morning to the House speaker role came after 14 unsuccessful ballots—and a lot of negotiating with roughly 20 Republican opponents. To win them over, the Californian made several concessions, some of which could have a real impact on how he does his job and how Congress functions, while others could end up being more symbolic or short lived. The full list of concessions hasn’t been released publicly and may never be, with some details still to be worked out, but here is what we know so far.

Share this -Link copiedMcCarthy elected speaker in 15th round McCarthy was elected House speaker Saturday shortly after midnight on the 15th ballot. Share this -Link copiedHouse reconvenes to hold 14th round of speaker votes The House has reconvened to begin the 14th round of speaker votes. Read the rest of the story, The House speaker election, in three charts. Share this -Link copiedHouse begins 13th round The House is beginning the 13th round of speaker votes. At least 14 House GOP flip to support McCarthy in twelfth speaker vote Jan. 6, 2023 01:52 Share this -Link copied

Obviously, this is not a story about Washington, D.C., where Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s unsuccessful — and still ongoing — attempt to become speaker will go down in history. Gregory said he was joking around with state Rep. Tim O’Neal, a member of the Republican leadership, about tapping Rozzi to be speaker. State Democrats, however, list Rozzi as a Democratic speaker on their official website. House Republicans told NBC News they are not looking to work with Democrats to elect a more center-right speaker to govern their new majority. Gregory said the Pennsylvania election was "not really apples to apples" with the ongoing battle for control of the U.S. House.

“I’m not telling you we have an agreement,” McCarthy said at one point, according to two people. Share this -Link copiedReporters appear to be live tweeting the GOP conference call Members of the Capitol press corps were live-tweeting what was being said on the House GOP Conference call Friday morning. Share this -Link copied‘I’m not even a congressman’: House lawmakers and staffers can’t function while speaker fight drags on WASHINGTON — There is no speaker of the House. And because of the GOP’s new razor-thin majority, McCarthy can only afford four GOP defections on any speaker vote. If members are not present for votes, it would lower the threshold McCarthy, of California, needs to win a majority and become House speaker.

☆ Kevin McCarthy’s House Speaker Bid Heads to Fourth Day as Talks Continue
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-06 | by ( Natalie Andrews | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

WASHINGTON—House lawmakers headed into their fourth day of voting for a new speaker Friday, with Kevin McCarthy and his allies pressing for a deal that would flip enough detractors for him to take the gavel after 11 rounds without a winner. Republicans involved in the talks huddled late into Thursday, trying to bridge the gulf between Mr. McCarthy’s supporters and his 20 opponents. Negotiators indicated they were closing in on an agreement, and Mr. McCarthy expressed optimism and played down the idea that planned concessions would weaken him as speaker.

There are no active House lawmakers. Other business in the House is paralyzed, as well, and the rules that previously governed the lower chamber have expired. Some members worry they and their staff members will stop receiving paychecks if the new Republican majority remains unable to elect a speaker. Incoming House Rules Committee Chair Tom Cole, R-Okla., said members are expecting to get paid through Jan. 13. Some lawmakers are asking questions about whether their staffers will be covered by health care if the Republican impasse drags on.

The group of hard-line Republicans standing firm in opposing Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s bid for speaker has coalesced around an alternative: Rep. Byron Donalds, a conservative two-term lawmaker from Florida who is considered a rising star in the GOP but is still relatively unknown nationally. Donalds said the incident inspired him to change his life and eventually emerge from businessman to politician. In 2021, Donalds was denied membership in the Congressional Black Caucus and insisted it was because of his conservative views. Donalds’ wife, Erika Donalds, with whom he has three children, is also a conservative Republican and involved in state politics. Rep. Byron Donalds, R-Fla., center right, speaks with a colleague in the House chamber at the U.S. Capitol, on Wednesday.

☆ Kevin McCarthy’s Allies Push to Win Over Republican Holdouts After Six House Speaker Votes
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-05 | by ( Natalie Andrews | Siobhan Hughes | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

WASHINGTON— Kevin McCarthy and his allies launched a new round of talks late Wednesday with a small but stubborn band of conservative holdouts who have blocked his bid for House speaker, reviving hopes of a possible deal following a second day without a winner. The discussions heated up after Mr. McCarthy didn’t reach the majority in three rounds of voting Tuesday, nor in another three Wednesday, which served to deepen doubts about his prospects and fuel talk of alternative GOP candidates.

“We’ll see what happens,” Trump said when asked directly whether he was sticking with McCarthy, the GOP leader, in a brief phone conversation. But let’s see what happens and we’ll go — I got everybody calling, wanting my support,” he said. Trump had repeatedly backed McCarthy for the job and urged his allies in the conservative Freedom Caucus to unite behind McCarthy as well. Trump's distancing himself from McCarthy could prove fatal to his already imperiled bid for speaker. McCarthy was a top ally of Trump when he was in the White House, and the then-president repeatedly referred to him as "my Kevin."

☆ House Prepares to Vote for Speaker as Kevin McCarthy Tries to Rally Support
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-03 | by ( Natalie Andrews | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

WASHINGTON—House lawmakers prepared to select their new speaker Tuesday, as Republican leader Kevin McCarthy’s bid remained up in the air due to opposition from some conservative lawmakers, setting the stage for a dramatic vote. The speaker election is set for midday, and comes after Mr. McCarthy spent the weekend trying to get the votes necessary from House Republicans to win the gavel. House Republicans are expected to meet in the morning ahead of the vote, which will give Mr. McCarthy and his allies one final time to make a pitch that he should be elected speaker.

☆ Kevin McCarthy’s House Speaker Bid Teeters Ahead of Tuesday Vote
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-02 | by ( Natalie Andrews | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy spent the weekend trying to get the votes necessary from House Republicans to lead the chamber. WASHINGTON—Republican leader Kevin McCarthy’s bid to lead the House as the new speaker remained uncertain even as the party prepared to take control of the chamber on Tuesday, with lawmakers bracing for an unpredictable and dramatic opening session. The speaker vote is set for midday, and comes after Mr. McCarthy spent the weekend scrambling to get the votes necessary from House Republicans to win the gavel. He acquiesced on requested rules changes that give rank-and-file members more power, including making it easier to oust a speaker, but a significant number of GOP lawmakers said they remain opposed to the Californian’s bid.

☆ Kevin McCarthy’s Speaker Bid Faces Final Hurdle
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-01 | by ( Natalie Andrews | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

WASHINGTON—For Kevin McCarthy , the last decade and a half spent climbing the Republican Party ranks in Congress have led to Jan. 3. The House is set to vote Tuesday to choose the next speaker, with the California congressman the choice of most Republicans as the GOP reclaims the majority after defeating Democrats in the midterms. With the gavel nearly within his grasp, Mr. McCarthy now must overcome a small but determined group of GOP critics who, because of the party’s slim majority, have the power to block his bid.

☆ Kevin McCarthy Talks Tough on Spending to Lock Down Support for Speaker Run
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-24 | by ( Natalie Andrews | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy’s strong opposition to the spending bill has become central to his campaign for the post of speaker. WASHINGTON—House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy used his last speech on the House floor this year to pitch himself to his colleagues as a hard-line spending hawk who will confront Democrats in the new Congress, as he tries to firm up support in his run for speaker. Ahead of votes Friday on the $1.65 trillion omnibus bill, the California Republican lambasted the package in a 25-minute speech on the House floor, criticizing its price tag and what it contained.

☆ Spending Bill Energizes Kevin McCarthy’s GOP Critics in Speaker Race
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( Natalie Andrews | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R., Calif.) has said he opposes the current spending bill that is making it way through Congress. WASHINGTON—The impending passage of a spending bill later this week is helping to fuel opposition to Republican leader Kevin McCarthy (R., Calif.) in his run for House speaker. Many House Republicans, including Mr. McCarthy, have said they oppose the current spending bill, arguing instead to start talks early next year when they control the chamber and have more leverage on spending cuts. Mr. McCarthy has told Republicans he is a “hell no” on the bill and urged GOP senators to pass a short-term deal to hand the reins to the new Republican majority early next year. But detractors say Mr. McCarthy and other party leaders haven’t done enough to block it.

CNN —The House Republican Conference is still entrenched in an internal war over whether to reinstate an arcane rule that would empower any member to bring up a vote to oust a speaker at any time. The bitter divide is only heating up and has emerged center stage in House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy’s quest for 218 votes to win the position. “There’s a reason [the motion to vacate] already got debated. It’s a healthy process.”For now, leadership is keeping their options open on the motion to vacate with Republican Whip Steve Scalise telling reporters Tuesday, “There are continuing negotiations going on. Video Ad Feedback GOP lawmaker explains why he won't vote for McCarthy to become House Speaker 03:08 - Source: CNNThe House is scheduled to hold another rules meeting on Wednesday where they will debate the issue.

☆ Allies of Kevin McCarthy Implore GOP Holdouts to Back Him for Speaker
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-06 | by ( Natalie Andrews | Eliza Collins | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

WASHINGTON—House Republicans across the ideological spectrum implored some conservative members to drop their efforts to tank GOP leader Kevin McCarthy’s bid for speaker, warning that Democrats could end up selecting the next speaker if the party didn’t unify behind him. In a closed-door meeting on Tuesday morning, lawmakers lined up to voice support for the California Republican. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia, an outspoken populist ally of former President Donald Trump, enthusiastically backed Mr. McCarthy’s bid, as did Rep. Nancy Mace of South Carolina, who occasionally crosses party lines and has regularly sparred with Mrs. Greene.

In Arizona Senate, Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly is ahead of Republican Blake Masters by 115,000 votes with 80% in. On Dobbs, the national exit poll showed 27% of voters picking abortion as their No. And remember that our final NBC News poll found Trump as one of the most unpopular political figures we measured, especially compared with President Biden. In each state, those Democratic secretaries of state nominees were running against Republicans who cast doubt on the 2020 election result. Two of those five feature Democrat vs. Democrat contests, thanks to the state’s Top 2 primary, so those will stay in the Democratic column.

☆ Kevin McCarthy’s Bid for Speaker Complicated by GOP’s 2022 Midterm Results
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-11 | by ( Natalie Andrews | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy is lobbying colleagues to support him for speaker of the House. WASHINGTON—Republicans’ weaker-than-expected performance in the midterms has complicated House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy’s path to becoming the next speaker of the House and created potential headaches if he does get the top job. House Republicans appear likely to win a slim House majority in the next Congress, putting the California lawmaker on the cusp of his long-held ambition to oust Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi. The party heads into a leadership vote next week.

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