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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market is in the midst of an 'unconfirmed breakout', says Fairlead Strategies' Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, 'Magnificent Seven' stock performance, Treasury yields, bitcoin outlook, and more.
Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton
The S & P 500 rallied more than 1% on Friday, above both its closing and intraday records that it last reached in January 2022. "Meaning that when a major index like the S & P 500, like the Nasdaq 100, reaches a new all time high, what it does is, it clears the charts of resistance." For 2024, Wald anticipates the S & P 500 will end the year at the 5,400 level, representing a roughly 12% rise from Friday's close of 4,839.81. Inflation data, earnings ahead Next week will also bring the Fed's preferred inflation gauge for December, which is expected to confirm the recent trend of easing inflation. Leading Indicators Tuesday Jan. 23 10 a.m. Richmond Fed Index (January) Earnings: General Electric , Synchrony Financial , D.R.
Persons: it's, Katie Stockton, we've, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, Dow Jones, That's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Jan, Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Lockheed Martin Wednesday Jan, Kimberly, Clark, Northrop Organizations: Fed, Nasdaq, Morningstar Research Services, Richmond Fed, Synchrony, Raytheon Technologies, Verizon Communications, Halliburton, Johnson, Procter, Gamble, Lockheed, Lockheed Martin Wednesday, PMI, SA, PMI Manufacturing SA, PMI Services SA, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, New, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Northrop Grumman, Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Comcast, PCE, Norfolk, American, CNBC Locations: Stockton, U.S, Horton, Freeport, McMoRan, . Kansas
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: Katie Stockton Organizations: Inc, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: Japan
Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: KNSL, Katie Organizations: CNBC, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: Kinsale
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPositive short-term momentum is still behind the major indices: Fairlead Strategies' Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, rest of year outlook, the Fed's inflation fight, Treasury yields, and more.
Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIf the Nasdaq holds near current levels, it'll benefit the entire market, says Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Founder and Managing Partner at Fairlead Strategies, discusses the technical outlook for the markets.
Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton Organizations: Nasdaq
Bank of America changed its Fed outlook on Tuesday after a softer-than-expected CPI report. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementOctober's softer-than-expected inflation reading prompted Bank of America on Tuesday to change its outlook on further interest rate increases, with strategists declaring that the Federal Reserve's rate hiking cycle is over. Inflation in October came in at 3.2% year-over-year, down from 3.7% in September and the lowest reading since June. In its note on Tuesday, the bank called the report "the straw that broke the hiking cycle's back."
Persons: , Katie Stockton, seasonality, Stockton Organizations: of America, Service, Bank of America, Markets, Fed, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq Locations: New York
Technical strategist Katie Stockton said that recent stock gains have been "explosive." But falling bond yields should continue to provide a boost to stocks if the pullback persists. The surge in equities, Wilson explained, is mostly a consequence of falling bond yields. Key government bond yields have pulled back sharply from 16-year highs in recent weeks. She said signs flashing in the TLT Treasury ETF point to an extended period of bond yields correcting from recent highs.
Persons: Katie Stockton, Stockton, , November's, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Wilson, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic Organizations: Service, CNBC Wednesday, TLT Treasury Locations: Stockton, TLT
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI wish the relief rally was 'a little bit less explosive', says Fairlead Strategies' Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest technical indicators, market outlook, and more.
Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton
On Wednesday, the company started selling the Microsoft 365 Copilot artificial intelligence add-on for its Office app subscriptions targeting businesses. Wong said Gartner encourages organizations to experiment with generative AI, which can create synthetic images and text with just a few words of human input. "I think getting to 20% will be reasonable within two to three years for technologies like Copilot, because there's going to be early adopters, and there's going to be fast followers," he said. Microsoft acknowledges on its website that "the responses that generative AI produces aren't guaranteed to be 100% factual." Microsoft says prompts and responses in Copilot aren't used to train language models and adhere to the company's privacy standards.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Brent Bracelin, Hannah Rudoff, Piper Sandler's, Bracelin, Satya Nadella, Nadella, we've, Jason Wong, Wong, Gartner, Piper Sandler's Bracelin, ChatGPT, aren't, Katie Stockton Organizations: Microsoft, Google, CNBC, Copilot, Bayer, KPMG, Mayo Clinic, Suncorp, Visa, Gartner, Companies
Chart analysts are optimistic on the price of gold as the metal tests a ceiling that has previously capped gains. Spot gold has traded around the closely-watched $2,000 level in recent days for the first time since May. And, if previous highs can be surpassed, "we do think it's got some room to run here." That's based on analysis of previous movement in the gold chart to estimate how high the metal could go in the near term. Cappelleri, meanwhile, is first watching $2,180 after previous highs, based on a technical analysis of measured moves.
Persons: Thomas DiFazio, it's, Katie Stockton, Frank Cappelleri, Cappelleri, DiFazio, Mark Newton, Newton, It's Organizations: Bank of Japan Locations: Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe've already seen a corrective phase unfold, says Fairlead Strategies' Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the key technical signals in the markets, rest of year outlook, and more.
Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton
The S&P 500 could fall another 5% to test a critical support level, according to Bank of America. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe S&P 500's 10% decline since the end of July is putting the index within striking distance of a critical technical support level, according to Bank of America. The 200-week moving average measures the average price of the S&P 500 over the past four years, and it's been consistently rising ever since 2012. The S&P 500 has had a tendency to test this line during periods of market stress over the past decade. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 recently broke below a shorter-term technical support level: the 4,180 to 4,195 range, according to Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton.
Persons: BofA's Michael Hartnett, , Michael Hartnett, it's, Hartnett, Katie Stockton Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Bank of America . Investment
The S&P 500 is on the verge of a technical breakdown, according to Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe S&P 500 is on the verge of a technical breakdown, but Fairlead Strategies' founder Katie Stockton says don't sell stocks just yet. AdvertisementAdvertisementStockton's support range for the S&P 500 slightly differs from the closely watched 4,200 level among technical analysts. The S&P 500 traded below 4,180 for the first time since June on Thursday, trading to as low as 4,151. If interest rates can stop moving higher, that would be a good sign that stock prices can stage a recovery.
Persons: Katie Stockton, , Stockton, there's Organizations: Service, CNBC, Treasury Locations: Stockton
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Stephanie Link, Joe Terranova, Jenny Harrington, and Katie StocktonStephanie Link, Joe Terranova, Jenny Harrington, and Katie Stockton join 'Halftime Report' to discuss Microsoft shares increasing after its earnings report, the outlook for tech earnings, and more.
Persons: Stephanie Link, Joe Terranova, Jenny Harrington, Katie Stockton Stephanie Link, Katie Stockton Organizations: Microsoft
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTech trade looks 'thoroughly exhausted,' says Gilman Hill's Jenny HarringtonStephanie Link, Joe Terranova, Jenny Harrington, and Katie Stockton join 'Halftime Report' to discuss Microsoft shares increasing after its earnings report, the outlook for tech earnings, and more.
Persons: Gilman, Jenny Harrington Stephanie Link, Joe Terranova, Jenny Harrington, Katie Stockton Organizations: Email Tech, Microsoft
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMicrosoft will have a short-term breakout if it holds current levels, says Fairlead's Katie StocktonStephanie Link, Joe Terranova, Jenny Harrington, and Katie Stockton join 'Halftime Report' to discuss Microsoft shares increasing after its earnings report, the outlook for tech earnings, and more.
Persons: Katie Stockton Stephanie Link, Joe Terranova, Jenny Harrington, Katie Stockton Organizations: Microsoft
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFairlead's Katie Stock lays out the key technical indicators to watch this weekKatie Stockton, Founder and Managing Partner at Fairlead Strategies, charts out the key technical indicators to watch on tech stocks this week.
Persons: Katie Stock, Katie Stockton
Major earnings reports and economic data will be in focus next week as investors seek clarity on how the Federal Reserve will proceed from here. But next week will bring the lion's share of results including reports from mega-cap darlings Alphabet, Amazon , Meta Platforms and Microsoft . While the S & P 500 is higher by 10% in 2023, the equal-weighted index is down slightly. Of note, Tesla shares sank more than 9% on Thursday following a pessimistic economic outlook from CEO Elon Musk during the company's earnings call. Its the S & P 500's first weekly loss in three weeks.
Persons: bode, Elon Musk, We're, Sam Stovall, it's, Raphael Bostic, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, Katie Stockton, Rob Ginsberg, I'm, CFRA's Stovall, Stovall, Sherwin, Williams, Kimberly, Hess, Raymond James Financial, Keurig Dr Pepper, Northrop, Willis Towers Watson, Stanley Black, Rowe Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Investors, CFRA, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Wolfe Research, Chicago, P, PMI, P Global PMI Manufacturing, P Global PMI Services, Richmond Fed, Visa, Texas Instruments, General Electric, NextEra Energy, Raytheon Technologies, Dow, Inc, General Motors, Halliburton, Coca, Corning, Hilton Worldwide, General Dynamics, Dominion Freight, Mobile US, Boeing, Raymond, Technology, Whirlpool, International Business Machines, O'Reilly, Honeywell, Northrop Grumman, Mastercard, Amazon, Royal Caribbean Group, Tractor Supply, United Parcel Service, Hasbro, Southwest Airlines, Comcast, Hershey, Intel, L3Harris Technologies, Ford Motor, Energy, Chevron, Decker, Exxon Mobil, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: U.S, Atlanta, AbbVie
US10Y 5D mountain 10-year yield this week The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield briefly reached the 5% milestone late Thursday, raising questions of how long it will stay elevated and what the effect will be on stocks. "This is the last leg of the upmove" from the 2020 low, when 10-year yields touched 0.31%, he said. Fairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton also pinned 5.25% as the next resistance level for the 10-year bond yield. Meanwhile, Piper Sandler's chief market technician Craig Robinson also said the 10-year yield is due for a pullback. Ciana, on the other hand, estimates the 10-year yield likely staying above 5% for a while.
Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Paul Ciana, Elliott, Ciana, Katie Stockton, Piper, Craig Robinson, Robinson Organizations: Treasury, Atlanta, RBC, Wolfe Research, Bank of America Locations: Stockton
3-Stock Lunch: NFLX, BBY & T
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email3-Stock Lunch: NFLX, BBY & TKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies, joins ‘Power Lunch’ to discuss three stocks: Netflix, Best Buy and AT&T.
Persons: Katie Stockton Organizations: Netflix
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailShort-term momentum shift 'decisive enough' for near-term upside follow-through, says Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the key technical levels in the markets, rest of year outlook, and more.
Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton
Many investors expect that could be the capitulation event equities need to bottom out before rebounding. "If you get down to five and a quarter all hell's gonna break loose," Rob Ginsberg, managing director at Wolfe Research. The yield on the 10-year Treasury has spiked sharply to about 4.8% this week, about 1 whole percentage point above where it was in mid-July at around 3.7%. In fact, it won't take much for the positive narrative to start to take hold in markets, Hogan said. Hogan anticipates the S & P 500 could rise to 4,800 by year end, about 13% above where it is currently.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Fitch, Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon, Wolfe Research's Ginsberg, Ginsberg doesn't, You'll, Ginsberg, Riley Financial's Art Hogan, they'll, Read, Hogan, Kevin McCarthy, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Katie Stockton, Bank of America's Stephen Suttmeier, Jeffrey Hirsch, I'm, Hirsch Organizations: Dow Jones, Treasury, Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, CNBC Pro's, Supply, Bank of America's Locations: Saudi Arabia
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has hit its highest level in 16 years, but a host of economists and money managers and investors expect it can go still further. If the 10-year yield broke out convincingly above 5.25%, Ginsberg said it could next move above 7% — although he'd be "shocked" to see yields that high. He assumes that even a 10-year yield above 5% will cause something to go wrong in one corner of the market or the economy. "It's gonna be a challenging environment for investors, for stock investors," Ginsberg said. However, he expects the 10-year yield could stabilize around 4.5% and 5%.
Persons: Ed Yardeni, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, We're, Russell, Katie Stockton, Stockton, Wolfe Research's Ginsberg, Ray Dalio, Yardeni Organizations: Treasury, Yardeni, Research, Apple, Nvidia, U.S ., Bridgewater Associates Locations: Stockton
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe expect the market correction to mature as early as next week, says Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest technical analysis, what to make of the current market correction, rest of year outlook, and more.
Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton
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