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Morning Bid: Oil-fueled rally turns to Powell
  + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
[1/2] Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell answers a question during a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., November 1, 2023. And that's hit home by dragging U.S. pump prices down to levels not seen since March. Overall, U.S. 10-year yields remained on the back foot at 4.57% first thing and ahead of Wednesday's auction. Although Asian and European stocks fell back a bit, Wall St stock futures were unchanged before the bell. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Mike Dolan, who's, Christine Lagarde, Andrew Bailey, Michelle Bowman, Austan Goolsbee, Christopher Waller, BoE, Ping, Donald Trump, White, Philip Jefferson, Michael Barr, Lisa Cook, John Williams, Joachim Nagel, Walt Disney, Ralph Lauren, Toby Chopra Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Committee, REUTERS, Mike Dolan Wall, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Atlanta, Fed, Chicago Fed, St, Reuters, Ping An Insurance, HK, New York Fed, Warner Bros Discovery, MGM Resorts, Biogen, Energy, Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Gaza, Tokyo, Ohio, Kentucky, Brussels, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Both Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee also refused to rule out rate cuts. The pullback in yields helped lift megacap growth names such as Microsoft (MSFT.O), up 1.5%, and Apple (AAPL.O), up 1.7%, as the biggest boosts to both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Also due to speak on Tuesday was New York Fed President John Williams. The S&P 500 (.SPX) is on pace for its seventh straight day in the green, with the Nasdaq (.IXIC) on track to rise for the eighth day in a row, the longest such streak for each index in two years. The S&P 500 posted 13 new 52-week highs and three new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 43 new highs and 132 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, Jerome Powell, Powell, Ken Polcari, John Williams, Dow, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Chicago Fed, Kace Capital Advisors, Microsoft, Apple, Dow Jones, Energy, New York Fed, Uber Technologies, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Boca Raton , Florida, Bengaluru
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Market participants will parse commentary from Fed Board Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President John Williams later on Tuesday for more clues on the central bank's interest rate path. Among the 11 major S&P 500 sectors, energy (.SPNY) led declines tracking a 2% fall in crude prices on mixed economic data from China. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.30-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.55-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded three new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 12 new highs and 48 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Dow Jones, Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, Sam Stovall, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Jerome Powell's, Stovall, Wall, advancers, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Chicago Fed, CFRA Research, Treasury, U.S, Fed, New York Fed, Dow Jones, Uber Technologies, Mongodb, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Bengaluru
Morning Bid: Some payback, but bonds hug gains on oil
  + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The oil price slide was helped by signs from Israel that it's open to pauses in the Gaza fighting. The typically hawkish Minneapolis Fed boss Neel Kashkari insisted it was still too early to take another rate hike off the table. Elsewhere, the Reserve Bank of Australia raised its policy interest rate again, as expected, by another quarter point to a 12-year high of 4.35%. Overall, the global stocks picture reflected some of the cooling of last week's rally and some of the China export numbers. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, that's, Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller, Michael Barr, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Jeffrey Schmid, Zimmer, Jack Henry, Akamai, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Minneapolis Fed, International Monetary Fund, Reserve Bank of Australia, Asia bourses, UBS, Credit Suisse, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Michael Barr , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Horton, Mosaic, Emerson Electric, Occidental, Devon Energy, Products, Chemicals, Gen, Fidelity, Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Israel, Gaza, China, Asia, Japan, Hong Kong, Swiss, Canada, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Michael Barr ,, Lorie Logan , Kansas, eBay, Gilead, Occidental Petroleum
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari doused hopes of early rate cuts late on Monday, saying the central bank likely has more work ahead of it to control inflation. Market participants will parse commentary from Fed Board Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President John Williams later on Tuesday for more clues on the central bank's interest rate path. Uncertainty about the timing of potential rate cuts and some dismal corporate forecasts for the fourth quarter have cast a doubt on whether there could be a year-end rally for stocks. ET, Dow e-minis were down 106 points, or 0.31%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 14.5 points, or 0.33%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 43.25 points, or 0.28%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Jerome Powell's, Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Treasury, U.S, Fed, New York Fed, Swissquote Bank, EBay, Dow e, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, Intel, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China
Expectations the Fed was likely done with rate hikes sent the S&P 500 up 5.85% last week and the Nasdaq up 6.61%, their biggest weekly jumps since November 2022. The session marks the sixth straight advance for the Dow and S&P 500 and seventh straight gain for the Nasdaq. The streak is the longest for the S&P 500 since early June, since July for the Dow and since January for the Nasdaq. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits through Friday the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. The S&P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and no new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 46 new highs and 113 new lows.
Persons: Bumble, CME's, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Stephen Massocca, Brendan McDermid, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, Chuck Mikolajczak, Richard Chang Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Wedbush Securities, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Dow, University of, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New, San Francisco, New York City, U.S
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Markets will look for more clarity on the Fed's intentions from officials speaking later in the week, including Chair Jerome Powell, and voting members such as New York Fed chief John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Expectations the Fed was likely done with rate hikes sent the S&P 500 up 5.85% last week and the Nasdaq up 6.61%, their biggest weekly jumps since November 2022. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits through Friday the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. The S&P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and no new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 43 new highs and 99 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, CME's, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Stephen Massocca, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, Chuck Mikolajczak, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Wedbush Securities, University of, Dow Jones, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New, San Francisco
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors climbed, with information technology (.SPLRCT) and consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) leading gains. Other speakers include voting members such as Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook, New York Fed President John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits to date in the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.01-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.24-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Tesla, Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Jamie Cox, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, advancers, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dish, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Tesla, Reuters, Traders, Federal Reserve, Lisa Cook , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Harris Financial, Fed, University of, Dow Jones, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Berlin ., Lisa Cook , New
Futures edge up on rate cut hopes; Fed speakers awaited
  + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Other speakers include voting members such as Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook, New York Fed President John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Walt Disney (DIS.N), Instacart (CART.O) and Biogen (BIIB.O) are among major companies reporting earnings this week. 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits to date in the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. ET, Dow e-minis were up 28 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 8.5 points, or 0.19%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 41.5 points, or 0.27%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mohit Kumar, Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Walt Disney, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Treasury, Jefferies, Federal Reserve, Lisa Cook , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Tesla, Reuters, University of, Dow e, PDD Holdings, Baidu, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, Lisa Cook , New, Berlin, Beijing
The job market or spending? The spending argument: But there have been instances in which spending weakened before the job market. “I think it starts with the perception of the labor market,” Drew Matus, chief market strategist at MetLife Investment Management, told CNN. The ticket-industry giant said it has sold a record 140 million tickets so far this year, up 17% year-over-year and has already surpassed the 121 million tickets sold in all of 2022. In the third quarter, Ticketmaster sales surged 57% to $833 million and 90 million fee-bearing tickets were sold in the period.
Persons: can’t, ” Shannon Seery, “ It’s, ” Seery, Luke Tilley, ” Tilley, Jerome Powell, ” Drew Matus, , Taylor Swift, Parija Kavilanz, Swifties, Taylor, Michael Rapino, Beyoncé, Harry Styles, Bunny, Jonas Brothers, Bruce Springsteen, Lisa Cook, Michael Barr, Jeffrey Schmid, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Ralph Lauren, Steve Madden, Phillip Jefferson, Raphael Bostic, Tom Barkin, Christine Lagarde Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, CNN, Employers, Investment Advisors, Companies, National Bureau of Economic Research, CNN Wednesday, Federal, MetLife Investment Management, Ticketmaster, Ryanair, Goodyear, Fed, Reserve Bank of Australia, Uber, Occidental Petroleum, KKR, The Carlyle Group, US Commerce Department, Biogen, Warner Bros, Teva Pharma, The New York Times Company, Armour, SeaWorld, MGM Resorts, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Sony Group, Astrazeneca, Tapestry, News Corp, US Labor Department, Soho House, National Statistics, European Central Bank, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, Wells, Wilmington, Lyft, Brookfield, Soho
U.S. equity futures were flat on Sunday evening after the major averages capped their best week so far this year. S&P 500 futures ticked higher by 0.03% and Nasdaq 100 futures hovered below the flat line at 0.01%. November is the best-performing month for the S&P 500, according to the Stock Traders' Almanac. The S&P 500 has generated an average return of 7% from November through April since then, he said. Several other Fed officials are making public remarks later in the week as well, including New York Federal Reserve President and CEO John Williams, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic, Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan.
Persons: Dow, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Walt Disney, Wynn, Jerome Powell, Bharat Ramamurti, CNBC's, Lisa D, Cook, John Williams, Raphael Bostic, Thomas Barkin, Lorie Logan Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Stock Traders, MGM Resorts, Occidental Petroleum, National Economic Council, New York Federal Reserve, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Richmond Federal, Dallas Fed Locations: Horton, Atlanta, Richmond
Stocks will try to maintain their upward momentum next week after a strong start to November, with Treasury yields falling from their highs and investors betting the Federal Reserve may well be done raising interest rates. Those gains came after the Fed kept rates unchanged for a second straight meeting, and as bond yields tumbled. Earnings and economic data Of course, investors will absorb some notable data next week. "Bond yields are the primary concern for investors and what drives bond yields are supply and demand," Stovall said. Initial Claims (11/04) Earnings: Wynn Resorts Friday, Nov. 10, 2023 10 a.m. Michigan Sentiment preliminary (November) 2 p.m. Treasury Budget (October)
Persons: Stocks, Sam Stovall, Stovall, FactSet, D.R, Horton, Jerome Powell, he's, they've, Dave Sekera, Cook, John Williams, Sekera, you've, Erika H, James, Ralph Lauren, Warner Organizations: Treasury, Reserve, Nasdaq, Fed, Stock Traders, International Monetary Fund, Morningstar Research Services, Duke University, New York Federal Reserve, Duke University ,, Economic Club of New, Harvard Club, Consumer Credit, Occidental Petroleum, eBay, Air Products, Chemicals, DC, Walt Disney Company, MGM Resorts International, Warner Bros, Wynn Resorts, Treasury Budget Locations: Michigan, U.S, Washington ,, Duke University , Durham, N.C, Economic Club of New York, Horton, Washington, a.m
[1/3] A woman passes by The Federal Reserve Bank of New York in New York City, U.S., March 13, 2023. The New York Fed foray into the topic comes as the central bank has retreated from the climate issue after facing heat from some members of Congress. Meanwhile, the central bank formally joined in late 2020 with other major central banks in efforts to shore up the financial system against climate-related disruptions. Some in Congress have seen the Fed’s climate work as a sign of a politicized central bank. That said, the Fed has not ruled out thinking about how climate disruptions affect the full measure of the economy.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, there's, Jerome Powell, Loretta Mester, John Williams, ” Williams, Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, REUTERS, , New York Fed, Fed, Cleveland Fed, Queens College, Thomson Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City, U.S, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Puerto Rico, Congress
Dollar holds near 150 yen ahead of Fed Chair remarks
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A Japanese 10,000 yen and a U.S. 100 dollar banknote juxtaposed against each other in Tokyo, Japan, on Monday, June 20, 2016. The dollar held the yen near a two-week low, as growing expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep rates higher for longer had the greenback and U.S. Treasury yields on the rise overnight and markets awaited a speech by Fed Chair Powell. The dollar index , which measures the dollar against a basket of currencies, held steady near Wednesday's high of 106.63 in the Asian morning. "I think it highly likely the Fed Chair will reinforce the more cautious commentary heard from Fed speakers over the past week and half," said Sycamore. The Japanese yen strengthened slightly to 149.77 per dollar, off Wednesday's two-week low of 149.94 but still near the 150-level that markets perceive as a potential trigger for currency intervention by Japanese authorities.
Persons: Powell, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Waller, Tony Sycamore, Jerome Powell, Carol Kong, Sterling Organizations: . Federal Reserve, greenback, U.S, Treasury, Fed, Market, Tony Sycamore . Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Tokyo, Japan
A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 83.26-83.27 to the U.S. dollar compared with 83.2575 in the previous session and within a whisker of the 83.29 record low. The Reserve Bank of India has over the last several days intervened to prevent the rupee from falling to a lifetime low. "From what I have seen this week, odds of a new low (on rupee) are now higher." The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.9550% in Asia, the highest in sixteen years.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, John Williams, Jun Rong, Nimesh Vora, Sohini Goswami Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, U.S, Reserve Bank of, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, IG Asia, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, Reserve Bank of India, Asia, Singapore
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. Demand for safe-haven assets sent gold prices to a more than two-month high, up over 1%, while the U.S. dollar also strengthened. Stronger crude prices pushed energy stocks (.SPNY) 1% higher, while industrials (.SPLRCI) and materials (.SPLRCM) led the decline in major S&P 500 sectors. Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 3.90-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 2.69-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 11 new 52-week highs and 14 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 20 new highs and 149 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Joe Biden, Biden, Treasuries aren't, Brian Jacobsen, homebuilding, Chris Giamo, Morgan Stanley's, New York's John Williams, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell's, Patrick Harker, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Sruthi Shankar, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Tuesday United Airlines, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S ., Annex Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, TD Bank, Abbott Laboratories, Consumer, Procter, Gamble, Tesla, Netflix, . Philadelphia Fed, Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Biden, China . United Airlines Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, New, China, Bengaluru
Morning Bid: US growth topping China as megacaps report
  + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
A street sign for Wall Street hangs in front of the New York Stock Exchange May 8, 2013. The combination of high-pressure growth and U.S. crude oil prices back up to their highest in two weeks has re-ignited inflation concerns. And with a 20-year Treasury bond auction also due later in the day, bond markets are back running scared. Two-year Treasury yields hit their highest since 2006 on Tuesday at 5.24% and held most of those gains overnight - while 20-year yields are hovering around 5.2% as well. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, Joe Biden's, megacaps Tesla, Jerome Powell, China's, Republican Jim Jordan, Morgan Stanley, Kinder Morgan, Elevance, Joe Biden, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, Patrick Harker, Toby Chopra Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Atlanta, Netflix, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Treasury, Bank of England's, Wall St, Republican, Procter, Gamble, Abbott Laboratories, Northern Trust, Nasdaq, Citizens Financial, US Bancorp, Zions Bancorp, Discover, Lam Research, Alcoa, Steel Dynamics, Federal, New York Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Graphics Retail, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Gaza, Israel, trepidation, United States, Britain, Wall, Stocks, Asia, Europe, Northern, POPG, Equifax
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. On the earnings front, consumer goods maker Procter & Gamble (PG.N) edged up 0.2% after its quarterly sales topped market expectations. EV maker Tesla (TSLA.O) and streaming services company Netflix (NFLX.O) are scheduled to report quarterly results after market close. ET, Dow e-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 18.5 points, or 0.42%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 88.25 points, or 0.58%. Travelers Companies (TRV.N) reported a 14% fall in quarterly profit.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, New York's John Williams, Governors Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Patrick Harker, Neel Kashkari, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, United Airlines, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Occidental Petroleum, Treasury, Procter, Gamble, Abbott Laboratories, Tesla, Netflix, Federal Reserve, Governors, Generale, Philadelphia Fed, Wall Street Journal, Minneapolis, Dow e, Nvidia, Biden, China . United Airlines Holdings, Rivals American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Interactive, Travelers Companies, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United, Gaza, Israel, New, China, Bengaluru
Fed on pause as policymakers parse mixed data
  + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
"I believe we can wait, watch and see how the economy evolves before making definitive moves on the path of the policy rate," Fed Governor Christopher Waller told the European Economics & Financial Center Seminar in London. It can't continue this way, he said, but it's too soon to know which way the data will break. Should the economy soften, he said, "we can hold the policy rate steady." Speaking at a separate event at Queens College, New York Fed President John Williams offered a similar perspective. Fed policymakers are weighing whether that level is high enough to get inflation on a path to their 2% goal.
Persons: Christopher Waller, it's, John Williams, Waller, Ann Saphir, Michael S, Dan Burns, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Economics & Financial, Queens College, Queens College , New York Fed, Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: London, Washington, Queens College ,
Morning Bid: Banks, Biden visit buoy markets
  + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Biden leaves later on Tuesday for a high stakes visit to Israel and Jordan and Washington said Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had agreed to let humanitarian aid reach besieged Gazans. That reversed a pre-weekend 'safety bid' that emerged amid fears an Israeli ground invasion into Gaza could draw other regional countries and groups into the war. Before then, bond markets will have to negotiate tomorrow's 20-year Treasury auction. The relatively new 20-year tenor has often proved unpopular and will be watched closely after a poor reception for the latest 30-year bond last week.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Joe Biden's, Biden, Washington, Benjamin Netanyahu, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, Jerome Powell's, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Lockheed Martin, Johnson, JB Hunt, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, Neel Kashkari, Tom Barkin, Luis de Guindos, Joe Biden, Olaf Scholz Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, Federal Reserve, HK, Bank of England, Lockheed, United Airlines, Michelle Bowman , New York Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Richmond Fed, European Central Bank, European Union, Luxembourg Retail, Reuters Graphics Reuters, EIA, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, Jordan, Israeli, Gazans, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, China, Russian, Beijing, Ukraine, United, Canada, Michelle Bowman , New, Frankfurt, Luxembourg, Venezuela
Washington, DC CNN —The global economy is facing tremendous uncertainty from the war between Hamas and Israel in the Middle East, on top of the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. They say Israel’s declaration of war against Hamas could be yet another catalyst for deglobalization, though the extent of that is still up in the air. If deglobalization does get exacerbated, what would that mean for inflation and monetary policy, globally? With deglobalization, you get a global economic environment that’s less competitive, and when there’s less competition, that is ultimately inflationary, causing prices to rise. Over the Covid era, China shut down production, disrupting the global supply chain, so deglobalization would bring some production back within US borders.
Persons: Wells, Bell, Brendan McKenna, that’s, Trump, there’s, Hanna Ziady, we’ve, , Avi Hasson, Patrick Harker, John Williams, Tom Barkin, Michelle Bowman, Tesla, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Trump, Hamas, Nation Central, Philadelphia Fed, US Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, National Association of Home Builders, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Procter & Gamble, United Kingdom’s, National Statistics, American Airlines, US Labor Department, Federal, Fed Locations: Washington, Israel, Russia, Ukraine, China, Wells Fargo, Gaza, deglobalization, United States, Mexico, US, Tel Aviv, New York
MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD We certainly hope Morgan Stanley's numbers are as good as Friday's report from our other bank holding Wells Fargo (WFC). Morgan Stanley is expected to grow revenue by more than 2% year over year to $13.2 billion in the third quarter. During a recent conference, Morgan Stanley executives said that capital markets will likely improve in 2024. Shares of Morgan Stanley have struggled this year, dropping more than 8% compared to the S & P 500's nearly 13% advance in 2023. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Stocks, WTI, Jerome Powell's, There's, Patrick Harker, John Williams, Harker, Austan Goolsbee, Lorie Logan, Powell, Christopher Waller, Philip Jefferson, Waller, Jefferson, – Morgan Stanley, Gamble –, Morgan Stanley YTD, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, there's, Gamble, Jim, we'll, Charles Schwab, Goldman Sachs, Johnson, Philip Morris, — CNBC's Zev Fima, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Columbus Day, West Texas, Federal Reserve, Club, Fed, Market, Philadelphia Fed, New York Fed, Chicago Fed, Dallas Fed, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Chrysler, Ford, National Association of Realtors, Procter, Procter & Gamble, Natural Resources, Exxon Mobil, Coterra Energy, of America, United Airlines, Gamble, Housing, Netflix, Alcoa, American Airlines, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Alaska Air, CSX, American Express, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Israel, U.S, New, Wells, KBW, Silicon, Manhattan, New York City
So, Fed officials are divided, but it doesn’t really matter. Fed officials are still people, and as the saying goes, opinions are like bellybuttons in that everyone’s got one. Fed officials in that committee with voting power have the option to dissent, but it’s only happened twice this cycle. This year’s voters, which are Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, will be rotated out next year. Up NextMonday: Fed officials Lorie Logan, Michael Barr and Phillip Jefferson deliver remarks.
Persons: Mary Daly, Michelle Bowman, , Biden, That’s, Michael Feroli, everyone’s, “ It’s, ” Feroli, Esther George, Ed Al, Hussainy, JPMorgan’s Feroli, It’s, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Austan Goolsbee, Patrick Harker, Neel Kashkari, Logan, Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, San Francisco Fed’s Daly, – CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald, Michael Barr, Phillip Jefferson, Christopher Waller Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Federal, San Francisco Fed, JPMorgan, Fed, Market Committee, Kansas City, Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Governors, New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Chicago Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Minneapolis Fed, San Francisco, Treasury, PepsiCo, The National Federation of Independent Business, US Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Delta, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, The University of Michigan Locations: San, Kansas, Columbia, Cleveland, Richmond, Atlanta, San Francisco, Walgreens
Despite considerable progress, she said, "inflation continues to be too high, and I expect it will likely be appropriate for the (Fed) to raise rates further and hold them at a restrictive level for some time." The Fed targets 2% inflation. Given that progress, U.S. central bankers last month opted to keep the policy rate in its current 5.25%-5.50% range even as most signaled another rate hike would likely be needed before year's end. Speaking at a separate event in New York on Monday, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr said he believes rates are now "at or very near" a sufficiently restrictive level. The same Fed forecasts also show policymakers as a group expect stronger economic growth and a stronger job market than they had expected just three months earlier.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Ann Saphir, Michael Barr, Barr, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Bowman, Thomas Barkin, we've, Dan Burns, Pete Schroeder, Anna Driver, Andrea Ricci Organizations: U.S . Federal, Hoover Institution, REUTES, . Federal Reserve, Fed, New, New York Fed, Richmond Fed, Thomson Locations: Palo Alto , California, U.S, New York, York , Pennsylvania
Morning Bid: Markets strap in for PMI data dump
  + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
A round of purchasing managers index (PMI) data from across the globe continues with Europe on Monday, following Chinese PMI data over the weekend that pointed to mixed levels of services and manufacturing activity last month. Markets have been feeling the pain after stocks, bonds and non-dollar currencies around the world mostly fell in the previous month, as investors adjusted to the idea that U.S. interest rates will stay elevated for longer. Meanwhile, the euro zone has been grappling with recession jitters amid a slew of other indicators, putting a damper on last week's good news that inflation in the area fell to its lowest in two years. Monday's final manufacturing PMI data from the EU will be closely watched after the preliminary report last month painted a mixed picture of the region's economic health; the index showed a rise in September from August's 33-month low, yet still lingered below the mark separating expansion from contraction. Meanwhile, oil prices are up again on Monday, reversing some of Friday's losses.
Persons: Brigid Riley, Luis de Guindos, Michael Barr, John Williams, Patrick Harker, Loretta Mester, Muralikumar Organizations: PMI, August's, Federal, Reuters, ECB, NY, Philly Fed, Cleveland Fed, Thomson Locations: Europe, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Switzerland, Sweden, Cleveland
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