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☆ Analysis: Investors brace for hard landing as banking woes stoke recession fears
  + stars: | 2023-03-16 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
[1/3] The Charging Bull, or Wall Street Bull, is pictured in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., January 16, 2019. “The no landing scenario has quickly evaporated,” said Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Asset Management. A financial accident has happened, and we are going from no landing to a hard landing driven by tighter credit conditions,” he wrote in a Wednesday note. Some investors believe regulators' quick backstop of Silicon Valley Bank, which included guaranteeing the funds of depositors, will prevent a crisis and allow for a soft landing. “The odds of a soft landing have gone down and the likelihood of a hard landing has gone up,” he said.
☆ Tech stocks emerge as haven in sell-off fueled by bank worries
  + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Among the big tech stocks, Apple Inc (AAPL.O) has fallen 1.5% over that time, while Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) climbed 3.4% and Intel Corp (INTC.O) rose over 7%. Large tech stocks generally screen well on "quality" metrics, such as balance sheet strength and profit margins, heightening their allure when economic uncertainty arises, said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management. Reuters GraphicsA swift tumble in Treasury yields is also helping boost tech stocks. Tech shares were pummeled in 2022 as the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes drove up Treasury yields, hurting "long duration" assets such as tech stocks. The utilities sector (.SPLRCU) has climbed 1% since last Wednesday, consumer staples (.SPLRCS) has slipped 0.5%, while healthcare (.SPXHC) has dipped 1%.
☆ Here's what the latest inflation data could mean for the markets
  + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's what the latest inflation data could mean for the marketsKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI vice chairman, and Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how much pressure the Fed has not to raise rates next week, Roland's thoughts on the Federal Reserve's next moves and more.
☆ Wall St Week Ahead Defensives may not be safe place to hide as stock market stumbles
  + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
"Last year it was really easy to hide out in defensives," said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial. When compounded by the fact that some defensive stocks carry relatively expensive valuations, investors may avoid them even if the broader market sours. The S&P 500 was last up 3.7% in 2023, but had pulled back since posting its best January performance since 2019. However the sector's financial prospects this year are relatively weak; S&P 500 healthcare earnings are expected to fall 8.3% against a 1.7% increase for the overall S&P 500, according to Refinitiv IBES. Should concerns about recession spike, as they did last year, defensives could outperform again on a relative basis, according to investors.
☆ Wall St Week Ahead: Defensives may not be safe place to hide as stock market stumbles
  + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
"Last year it was really easy to hide out in defensives," said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial. When compounded by the fact that some defensive stocks carry relatively expensive valuations, investors may avoid them even if the broader market sours. The S&P 500 was last up 3.7% in 2023, but had pulled back since posting its best January performance since 2019. However the sector's financial prospects this year are relatively weak; S&P 500 healthcare earnings are expected to fall 8.3% against a 1.7% increase for the overall S&P 500, according to Refinitiv IBES. Should concerns about recession spike, as they did last year, defensives could outperform again on a relative basis, according to investors.
☆ Onshoring is a secular trend that benefits U.S. mid cap industrials, says John Hancock's Emily Roland
  + stars: | 2023-02-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOnshoring is a secular trend that benefits U.S. mid cap industrials, says John Hancock's Emily RolandEmily Roland of John Hancock Investment Management and Charlie Bobrinskoy, vice chairman and head of investment group at Ariel Investments, join 'The Exchange' to discuss Fed policy expectations, recession risks and industrial mid-caps benefiting from secular trends.
☆ January CPI accelerates, but trend easing
  + stars: | 2023-02-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +9 min
Data for December was revised higher to show the CPI gaining 0.1% instead of the 0.1% fall as previously reported. “It's not going to necessarily influence the Federal Reserve one way or another. "You have a little bit of a negative reaction because these numbers are not going to take the pressure off the Federal Reserve. "The real issue is what is the Federal Reserve going to do, it's pretty widely expected that they're going to raise rates both at their March meeting as well as their May meeting. "There's not much there for the Federal Reserve to give them some sort of a justification for taking their foot off the brake and reducing interest rates."
☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with New York Life Investments' Lauren Goodwin, iCapital’s Anastasia Amoroso and John Hancock’s Emily Roland
  + stars: | 2023-02-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with New York Life Investments' Lauren Goodwin, iCapital’s Anastasia Amoroso and John Hancock’s Emily RolandNew York Life Investments' Lauren Goodwin, iCapital’s Anastasia Amoroso and John Hancock’s Emily Roland join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the Fed, tomorrow's CPI report and what it means for markets.
☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with John Hancock's Emily Roland
  + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with John Hancock's Emily RolandEmily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss how investors should treat a narrowing probability of a soft landing, managing risk in this environment, and more.
☆ Soft landing path is narrowing, says John Hancock's Emily Roland
  + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSoft landing path is narrowing, says John Hancock's Emily RolandEmily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss how investors should treat a narrowing probability of a soft landing, managing risk in this environment, and more.
☆ Wall St Week Ahead Recession fears pose challenge to energy shares after stellar year
  + stars: | 2023-01-28 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The S&P 500 energy sector (.SPNY) is up 4.2% year-to-date, slightly lagging the rise for the broader index (.SPX). Goldman Sachs, RBC Capital Markets and UBS Global Wealth Management are among the Wall Street firms recommending energy stocks. He said he is slightly overweight the energy sector, including shares of Chevron and Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD.N). But earnings are expected to decline 15% this year, the biggest drop among the 11 S&P 500 sectors. Energy companies executed $22 billion in share buybacks in the third quarter, just over 10% of all S&P 500 buybacks.
☆ Wall Street Week Ahead Recession fears pose challenge to energy shares after stellar year
  + stars: | 2023-01-27 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The S&P 500 energy sector (.SPNY) is up 4.2% year-to-date, slightly lagging the rise for the broader index (.SPX). Goldman Sachs, RBC Capital Markets and UBS Global Wealth Management are among the Wall Street firms recommending energy stocks. He said he is slightly overweight the energy sector, including shares of Chevron and Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD.N). But earnings are expected to decline 15% this year, the biggest drop among the 11 S&P 500 sectors. Energy companies executed $22 billion in share buybacks in the third quarter, just over 10% of all S&P 500 buybacks.
☆ Top-line revenue growth saved the day for earnings in 2022, says John Hancock's Emily Roland
  + stars: | 2023-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTop-line revenue growth saved the day for earnings in 2022, says John Hancock's Emily RolandKeith Lerner of Truist Wealth and Emily Roland of John Hancock Investment Management join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to discuss stocks versus bonds, elevated earnings estimates and modest expectations for Q1 2023.
☆ Financial assets are fighting the Fed and winning, John Hancock's Emily Roland
  + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinancial assets are fighting the Fed and winning, John Hancock's Emily RolandSeema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Global Investors, and Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss what they expect from Jerome Powell's upcoming comments and how the market will respond.
☆ Watch CNBC’s full post-market interview with Virtus' Joe Terranova, Truist’s Keith Lerner and John Hancock’s Emily Roland
  + stars: | 2023-01-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full post-market interview with Virtus' Joe Terranova, Truist’s Keith Lerner and John Hancock’s Emily RolandVirtus' Joe Terranova, Truist’s Keith Lerner and John Hancock’s Emily Roland join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the likelihood of a soft landing and stocks closing near session highs.
☆ Wall St Week Ahead Stock swoon resets valuations but recession risk, rates cloud outlook
  + stars: | 2023-01-06 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The S&P 500 tumbled 19.4% in 2022, as the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes designed to tamp down 40-year high inflation punished asset prices. The market's 2022 slide cut the ratio of price to forward earnings estimates to around 17 from about 21.7 a year ago, according to Refinitiv Datastream. S&P 500 forward price-to-earnings ratio over timeValuations may still be too high if a recession comes to pass, as many on Wall Street expect. Combined with an expectation of weakening earnings estimates, that would lower the S&P 500 to 3,200, UBS said, roughly 16% below current levels. The 2022 surge in interest rates also could undermine stock valuations by making relatively safe assets like U.S. Treasuries more attractive alternatives.
☆ Wall St Week Ahead Stumbling Treasury rally clouds bond market outlook for 2023
  + stars: | 2022-12-30 | by ( Davide Barbuscia | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
[1/2] A street sign for Wall Street is seen outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., July 19, 2021. December’s BofA Global Research survey showed fund managers were the most overweight bonds versus stocks in nearly 14 years. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields have climbed over 40 basis points since mid-December to nearly 3.9%, the highest in over a month. At the moment, the Treasury market “is more focused on inflation still than … recession," said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management. Matthew Nest, head of active global fixed income at State Street Global Advisors, believes yields will likely fall in 2023.
☆ Watch CNBC’s full post-market discussion with Virtus' Joe Terranova, John Hancock’s Emily Roland and CIC Wealth’s Malcolm Ethridge
  + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full post-market discussion with Virtus' Joe Terranova, John Hancock’s Emily Roland and CIC Wealth’s Malcolm EthridgeVirtus Investment Partners' Joe Terranova, John Hancock Investment Management’s Emily Roland and CIC Wealth’s Malcolm Ethridge join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss markets rallying today and what it could mean going into next year. FedEx and Nike earnings are also discussed.
☆ Tax-loss selling in battered U.S. stocks could spur January snap-back
  + stars: | 2022-12-12 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Yet some investors are betting a number of those beaten-down stocks and possibly the broader market could snap back in January, once the selling period is over. DoubleLine founder Jeffrey Gundlach told CNBC on Wednesday that risk assets will likely rally in January once retail investors finish tax-loss selling. Strategists at Evercore wrote on Nov. 30 that they were "buyers of stocks whose 2022 Tax Loss selling pressure will soon abate." Investors appear to have already started selling underperforming shares. Private clients at BofA, for instance, sold nearly $1.4 billion of stocks in likely tax-motivated selling in November, up from roughly $800 million last year, and appear poised to continue that outsized rate of selling this month, the firm said.
☆ Europe's BNP Paribas appoints senior executives to Global Markets Americas division
  + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Dec 7 (Reuters) - BNP Paribas SA (BNPP.PA) has appointed several senior executives to its Global Markets Americas division, the European bank said on Wednesday, in a move to further consolidate its presence in the United States. The French bank appointed former Morgan Stanley executive Kunal Maini as the co-head of Global Macro - Americas and he will be responsible for globalizing the US Rates franchise. In addition, BNP also hired a string of executives to strengthen its credit portfolio at a time when global fixed income markets have come under immense pressure from soaring inflation and outsized interest rate hikes. John Hanisch was appointed the co-head of Secondary Credit Americas and Global Head of Securitized Products Trading; Charlie Shah the Head of IG & CDS Trading Americas and Bo Bazylevsky the Head of LatAm Flow Credit Trading. BNP's move to hire across divisions sharply contrasts global banks including HSBC Holdings PLC (HSBA.L) and Goldman Sachs (GS.N), which axed jobs to rein in costs.
☆ Watch CNBC’s full post-market discussion with SoFi's Liz Young, John Hancock’s Emily Roland and JPMorgan’s Jordan Jackson
  + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full post-market discussion with SoFi's Liz Young, John Hancock’s Emily Roland and JPMorgan’s Jordan JacksonSoFi's Liz Young, John Hancock’s Emily Roland and JPMorgan’s Jordan Jackson join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss their respective market outlooks, the Fed and economic trends heading into the new year.
☆ Yellen to Colbert: ‘I practiced and I practiced’ signature for US currency
  + stars: | 2022-12-01 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Minneapolis CNN Business —Sheets of dollar bills rolling off the presses at the Fort Worth Bureau of Engraving and Printing will soon bear the signature of US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. “And I practiced, and I practiced.”In her first time as a guest on the late-night talk show, Yellen chatted inflation, economic uncertainty and the chicken scratch of the Treasury Secretaries who came before her. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen talks on November 30 with Stephen Colbert, host of the "Late Show with Stephen Colbert," about her signature that will appear on US bills. It’s been tradition for more than a century that both the US treasurer and the Treasury secretary sign currency to make them legal tender. Beyond the banter about handwriting, Yellen earlier in the conversation discussed inflation and fielded questions about whether a recession is imminent.
☆ China's anti-lockdown protests shake stocks and oil
  + stars: | 2022-11-28 | by ( Sinéad Carew Lawrence White | Sinéad Carew | Lawrence White | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) slipped 0.50% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.71%. Emerging market stocks (.MSCIEF) dropped 0.94%. In currencies, the safe-haven Swiss franc and Japanese yen gained, while the Aussie dollar and Chinese yuan underperformed. CHINA FEARSIn Treasuries Benchmark 10-year notes were down 2.8 basis points to 3.674%, from 3.702% late on Friday. The 30-year bond was last down 2.7 basis points to yield 3.725%, from 3.752%, while the 2-year note was down 3.9 basis points to yield 4.4402%.
☆ Watch CNBC’s full post-market discussion with Ritholtz's Josh Brown, John Hancock’s Emily Roland and Axonic’s Peter Cecchini
  + stars: | 2022-11-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full post-market discussion with Ritholtz's Josh Brown, John Hancock’s Emily Roland and Axonic’s Peter CecchiniRitholtz's Josh Brown, John Hancock’s Emily Roland and Axonic’s Peter Cecchini, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss NVIDIA ahead of its earnings, retail and crypto stocks.
☆ These mutual funds are planning to hit investors with capital gains distributions. How to decide the right move for you
  + stars: | 2022-11-11 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
There may be some pain ahead for mutual fund investors in the form of capital gains taxes. "That means funds that have suffered steep falls this year could still distribute capital gains to investors," Welch said. John Hancock will pay double-digit capital gains distributions on several of its funds. Almost a dozen Nuveen funds will make 5% to 10% capital gains distributions, while twice that number of T. Rowe price funds will pay out between 4% and 21%. Passively managed funds may have distributions but they tend to be smaller than actively managed funds, Benz pointed out.
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