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Quantitative and technical strategist Javed Mirza pointed out in a note to clients that the Nasdaq 100 has not set a record high since July. On Monday, the Nasdaq 100 was trading about 2% below its record close. "The Nasdaq 100 just triggered a new short-term 'mechanical sell' signal, diverging from the other North American equity indices," Mirza said. The Nasdaq 100's slump is not the only factor pointing to toward a new phase for the bull market. To be sure, even the late stage phases of a bull market can last for quite a while.
Persons: Raymond James, Javed Mirza, Mirza, Dow Jones Organizations: Nasdaq, TSX, Canadian
Asking prices for UK homes barely rise in October, Rightmove says
  + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Asking prices for British homes rose only marginally in October as more properties came onto the market, according a survey on Monday that also suggested some buyers were waiting for clarity on tax changes in the new government's upcoming budget. Asking prices rose by just 0.3% in October, well below their average for a 1.3% monthly increase for the month, property website Rightmove said. Overall activity in the property market remained strong, with buyer demand rising. "Despite a budget-shaped cloud on the horizon, the big picture still looks positive for the market heading into 2025. Mortgage lenders Halifax and Nationwide both reported rises in house prices in September.
Persons: Rightmove, Tim Bannister, Bannister Organizations: Bank of England, Nationwide Locations: London's Muswell Hill, London, Halifax
Four months later, she was diagnosed with triple-negative breast cancer, one of the most aggressive forms of the disease. AAPI women in this age cohort had the second-lowest rate of breast cancer among all racial groups in 2000. “Breast cancer is still more common the older we get, but it’s alarming to see younger women being diagnosed,” said Dr. Helen Chew, director of the clinical breast cancer program at UC Davis Health. Korean, Chinese, Filipina and South Asian American women face the highest risk of breast cancer. Disaggregating data is key to understanding what’s driving the rapid rise in breast cancer among Asian women, Chew said.
Persons: Chi Huang, Huang, , Helen Chew, Scarlett Lin Gomez, who’s, ” Gomez, Gomez, Chew, ” Chew, Xers, it’s, Organizations: American, Pacific, American Cancer Society, UC Davis Health, University of California, , South, Filipina, Indians, Pacific Islanders, UCSF Locations: Asia, San Francisco, U.S, Southeast
Why nobody knows who will win the 2024 election
  + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
CNN —Almost two weeks to Election Day, I feel more uncertain about this year’s result than any election I’ve covered professionally. Many Republicans are hoping that the close polling points to a blowout win for Trump next month. If we had a polling miss like two years ago, Harris would probably win over 300 electoral votes. Jonathan Drake/ReutersYou might be tempted to guess the direction of a potential polling miss by the macro trends. Ironically, only 24% of those undecided voters agree that this election is the most important of their lifetime.
Persons: I’ve, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, it’s, Harris, Joe Biden, Trump, we’ve, Jonathan Drake, he’d, pollsters, underperformed, White Organizations: CNN, Trump, Let’s, Nebraska’s, Republicans, New York Times, Siena College, Pennsylvania, Keystone State, Republican, Black, Democratic Locations: Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Asheville , North Carolina, Keystone, Pennsylvania
Earnings drove the stock market higher — can they do it again in the week ahead? But he acknowledged that timing is key because our portfolio discipline mandates that we consider lightening up our stock exposure in an overbought market. In fact, AMD was our worst-performing stock for the entire week, losing more than 7% following the prior week's 1.8% slide. Energy was the worst sector of the week for the market as oil prices sank. In the week ahead, housing numbers are the main draw on the economic front.
Persons: Jim Cramer, ASML, Morgan Stanley, WTI, industrials, We're, Sartorius, Danaher, we're, Stanley Black, Lockheed Martin, Philip Morris, Clark, Baker Hughes, Lam, DOV, CARR, Davidson, Northrop, Edwards Lifesciences, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Stocks, Tuesday's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Netflix, Modelo, Corona, Constellation Brands, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Energy, Texas, Honeywell, Danaher, Federal Reserve, Treasury, SAP, Logitech, Verizon, General Motors, GE Aerospace, GE, Lockheed, Quest Diagnostics, Norfolk Southern, Polaris, Seagate Technology, Texas Instruments, Canadian National Railway Company, Boeing, GE Vernova, Fisher, Boston, General Dynamics, Hilton, Lam Research, Business Machines, IBM, Newmont, Viking Therapeutics, Vista Energy, Mattel, O'Reilly Automotive, Whirlpool, American Airlines, United Parcel Service, Southwest Airlines, Tractor Supply Company, Carrier Global, Dow Chemical, DOW, Harley, Union Pacific, Valero Energy, Hasbro, Northrop Grumman, Ryder, Boyd Gaming, Western, Boston Beer Company, York Community Bancorp, Colgate, Palmolive, Newell Brands, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, NEW, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: BlackRock, CrowdStrike, U.S, Dover, Freeport, McMoRan, Kimberly, Norfolk, Las, ORLY, VALE, New York City
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 16: Traders and others work on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) floor in New York City. U.S. stock futures ticked higher Sunday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 notched their best weekly win streaks of 2024. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.13% and 0.16%, respectively. Roughly one-fifth of S&P 500 companies are set to report through Friday. Of the 14% of S&P 500 companies that have already posted third-quarter results, 79% have beaten expectations, according to FactSet's John Butters.
Persons: FactSet's John Butters, Sam Stovall Organizations: NEW, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, U.S, CFRA Research Locations: New York City . U.S
Small-cap stocks surged in July, with the Russell 2000 rising 11.5% in a week. Morgan Stanley thinks they could be set for more upside in the months ahead. "We recently upgraded Small caps to neutral vs Large caps after a persistent 3 ½ year period of underperformance. "For us to get outright bullish on Small caps, leading macro indicators would likely need to reflect a clear acceleration in growth," he added. Below, we've compiled the 10 stocks on the list with the highest upside to their Morgan Stanley price targets.
Persons: Russell, Morgan Stanley, , Nicholas Lentini, Lentini, we've Organizations: Service
US stocks usually fall in autumn. "The amount of warning you often get between the peak happening and a pretty significant downturn is pretty limited, right? "What usually happens in an election year is, November and December are pretty bullish for stocks," Keller said. The veteran strategist also talked about what he's half-jokingly calling "Dave's election-proof portfolio" of investments. AdvertisementBelow are Keller's best ideas for either a Trump or Harris win, plus five investments that should be fine either way.
Persons: Stocks, David Keller, , hasn't, Keller, shouldn't, Harris, Whoever's, he's, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Sierra Alpha Research, Trump
Economist David Rosenberg warns the stock market is in a "mega-bubble." The S&P 500 continues to register new highs and has climbed an incredible 23% so far this year. For investor positioning, here's household equity ownership as a percentage of assets as of the start of this year. Related storiesBy Rosenberg's measure, the S&P 500 is at least 25% higher than where fundamentals suggest it should be. AdvertisementSince then, the S&P 500 has risen to 5,864.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, , That's, it's, J.P, Morgan Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Federal Reserve
Here are five of Morgan Stanley's 10 highest conviction plays, which the firm sees near-term catalysts driving "a meaningful move" upward. Morgan Stanley sees a positive set up for Eaton and is forecasting beats on all key performance indicators, including Americas organic growth and margins. "Our detailed organic growth build supports steady ~8% organic growth in 2025-26, roughly ~200 bps above Consensus, which drives [mid-single digit] EPS upside and argues for multiple expansion on sustained strength," he added. Eaton is set to report third-quarter earnings on Oct. 29. His price target of $100 suggests shares could rise 29% from Friday's close.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michelle Weaver, Morgan Stanley's, Eaton, Chris Snyder, Ron Kamden, Keith Weiss, , Sarah Min Organizations: CNBC Disruptor, Microsoft Locations: Eaton, Americas, 4Q24, Friday's
The stock market could face a 7% correction by mid-November, says Fundstrat's Mark Newton. AdvertisementThe stock market looks poised for a 7% correction by mid-November, according to technical analyst Mark Newton of Fundstrat. AdvertisementNewton is monitoring the 5,900 level on the S&P 500 as potential resistance for the index. The S&P 500 traded at around 5,850 on Friday. "This market has seemingly 'dodged a bullet' thus far during one of the historically worst periods during most election years.
Persons: Fundstrat's Mark Newton, , Mark Newton of, Newton, Tom Lee's Organizations: Investor, Service, Equity, Technology, RSI Locations: Newton, Mark Newton of Fundstrat
Earnings next week will be key to where stocks head from here. While roughly one-tenth of S & P 500 companies reported over the past week, about 20% of the broader index plans to report next week. He noted that the S & P 500 is trading at a 40% premium to its long-term P/E ratio, while tech stocks are trading at upwards of 60%. For the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 , it's the first such streak going back to December 2023. Meanwhile, the equal-weighted S & P 500 slightly outpaced the market-cap weighted benchmark this week, a bullish signal for sectors such as health care.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall, FactSet's John Butters, Butters, it's, Tesla, Lockheed Martin, Russell, Nelson Yu, Harker Organizations: U.S, CFRA Research, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Lockheed, GE Aerospace, Business Machines, General Motors, Verizon Communications, United Parcel Services, Southwest Airlines, Nvidia, Philadelphia Reserve, Chicago, PMI, New, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Locations: Independence, Philadelphia, . Kansas
The People's Bank of China triggered two market support programs after China announced economic data. China's economy grew 4.6% in the third quarter of this year, the country's statistics bureau announced as it touted a "stable growth trend." "The property market unsurprisingly remains the biggest drag on China's growth," wrote Song, adding that stabilization in the real estate market remains "elusive." China's economy is being dragged by factors including a property crisis, high youth unemployment, and deflation. He added that he expects Beijing to continue to do more to support growth so the economy can enter 2025 on better footing.
Persons: , Sheng Laiyun, China's, Lynn Song, Betty Wang, Larry Hu, Rajiv Biswas, who's, Wang Organizations: People's Bank of China, Service, Reuters, Greater China, ING, Oxford Economics, People's Bank of, Macquarie Group Locations: China, Greater, People's Bank of China, Beijing
Grant said stocks could soon enter a period of weak returns, possibly for "many years." AdvertisementThe bull market in stocks looks like it's close to the top, according to an investment chief. AdvertisementSentiment and position indicators are also flashing signs investors are overexcited about the stock market, Grant said. The 3-month moving average of year-ahead stock market expectations has climbed to its highest on record, according to Conference Board data. That suggests there's little "cushion" in the event the stock market declines or experiences a shock, Grant said.
Persons: Michael Grant, Grant, , subpar, Morgan Organizations: Calamos Investments, Service, Conference, Board, Federal, Federal Reserve, Governors, Morgan Research, Bloomberg, Investors
US stocks were mostly higher on Friday amid a string of solid third-quarter earnings reports. Netflix and Intuitive Surgical beat Wall Street estimates, boosting their stock prices to new record highs. 82% of S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings so far have surpassed Wall Street's profit estimates. AdvertisementUS stocks traded higher on Friday, with all three major averages at or near record highs as investors digested third-quarter earnings results. Intuitive Surgical also reported solid third-quarter earnings that beat Wall Street estimates for revenues and profits.
Persons: Organizations: Netflix, Service, Wall
The Dow and the S&P 500 hit all-time highs Thursday as US stocks hit a six-week win streak. Strong third-quarter earnings from Netflix and Intuitive Surgical led to massive 10%+ stock gains. Upcoming earnings reports and economic data releases will be closely watched by investors next week. Shares of Netflix and Intuitive Surgical soared more than 10% to record highs after their third-quarter earnings bested analyst's profit and revenue estimates. Next week, on the economic data front, investors will monitor the release of September's US leading economic indicators index, data on existing home sales, and consumer sentiment.
Persons: , Dow Organizations: Dow, Netflix, Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Texas, Tesla Locations: FactSet
LOS ANGELES — Netflix is due to report third-quarter earnings after the closing bell Thursday. Wall Street will be paying close attention to details surrounding the company's advertising-supported business model, upcoming live sporting events and the continued effects of its password crackdown on subscriber numbers. After all, this is one of the last times Netflix will report subscriber data to shareholders, as it plans to focus on revenue and other financial metrics as performance indicators. This has led some Wall Street analysts to predict that Netflix will soon announce price hikes. New Street Research analyst Dan Salmon and Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne both noted expected price increase announcements in recent research notes to investors.
Persons: Dan Salmon, Morgan Stanley, Benjamin Swinburne Organizations: Netflix, LSEG Revenue, Street Research
While charts like Carnival Corp. (CCL) have once again become overbought, the strength of the recent breakout suggests they may just be getting started. The longer a resistance level is tested, the more meaningful it becomes when the price finally breaks above this price ceiling. As long as CCL remains above this breakout level, the uptrend phase appears to be in good shape. Note the daily RSI which has pushed above the crucial 70 level on the recent breakout. The recent breakout for cruise lines like Carnival Corp. suggests that the uptrend phase may just be beginning.
Persons: Alan Shaw, Alexander Elder, David Keller Organizations: Carnival Corp, RSI, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Morgan Stanley shares soared to all-time highs Wednesday after third-quarter beats on the bank's top and bottom lines, with strength seen across the board. MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD Club stock Morgan Stanley was up 7.5%. Morgan Stanley outpaced expectations in just about every aspect of each operating division and put up very strong quarterly results in terms of firmwide key performance indicators. Given its 15.1% CET1 ratio, Morgan Stanley has plenty of excess capital at its disposal to both continue investing in growth and return excess capital to shareholders. Morgan Stanley Why we own it : We own Morgan Stanley for the rebound taking place in IPO and M & A activity along with growth in wealth management, which provides more durable fee-based revenues.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley's, Sharon Yeshaya, Morgan Stanley repurchased, Goldman Sachs, Ted Pick, Morgan, Yeshaya, That's, Eaton Vance, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Bing Guan Organizations: Revenue, LSEG, Morgan Stanley YTD, Investment, Bloomberg, Institutional Securities, Bank of Japan, CNBC, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo
Investors should snatch up shares of Flutter Entertainment following a recent sell-off, according to Wells Fargo. Analyst Daniel Politzer upgraded shares of the online sports betting company to overweight from equal weight. The change comes after the stock sold off 8.8% on Friday following reports that the U.K. is weighing higher taxes on the gambling industry. Wells Fargo isn't the only firm turning more bullish on Flutter. "Despite similar-to-better business and financial characteristics, Flutter trades at a 35% discount to its "new peers", highlighting strong re-rating potential."
Persons: Daniel Politzer, Politzer, Wells, Adrien de Saint Hilaire Organizations: of America Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S, Friday's
Getting ready for the "two problematic stories," Wells Fargo and JPMorgan , which came later in the morning, took some real digging. ET – Wells Fargo shares turned and started inching up. With what you saw in Wells Fargo and JP Morgan on Friday. Think like this: When the psychology of the market changes, people don't want to bang out of Wells Fargo, they want to get in. But there is no doubt that Wells Fargo at 11 times forward earnings now seems a little silly given that the background is so positive.
Persons: Larry Fink, Wells, Wells Fargo, Charlie Scharf, Jamie Dimon, Jeff Marks, JP Morgan, Scharf, It's, Warren Buffett, Morgan Stanley, Eli Lilly, haven't, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Squawk, Virginia Sherwood Organizations: BlackRock, JPMorgan, Wall, Club, Wells Fargo, Elon, SpaceX, Federal, New York Stock Exchange, Fed, Bank of America, Boston, Walmart, Costco, Semiconductors, Enterprise, JFrog, Microsoft, , Dow, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, NII, U.S
This is while S&P 500 valuations remain high, putting the market at risk for big declines. In a September note, Wolfenbarger shared the below chart from Bank of America showing 19 of 20 valuation measures they monitor as being overvalued. That means the S&P 500 would have to fall 60% just to return to the historical average. But it's still unclear how accurate the September jobs data is. Future revisions and further lackluster jobs data could resume investor fears that a downturn is a serious potential threat.
Persons: Jon Wolfenbarger, , Merrill Lynch, St, Louis Fed, Wolfenbarger, September's, it's, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, JPMorgan, Conference Board, Global, Bank of America, Rosenberg Research, Nvidia Locations: St
Zehrid Osmani, a portfolio manager at the $21 billion investment manager Martin Currie, has actually increased his recession odds. US-China tensions are escalating over Taiwan, home to the world's largest semiconductor foundry, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Osmani sees what he calls "seismic thematic shifts" in these areas. And Osmani sees potential for parts of the market driving the energy transition, such as alternative energy and electric vehicles. AdvertisementHis top picks include Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), chemical company Linde plc (LIN), and industrial manufacturing company Atlas Copco (ATLKY).
Persons: Martin Currie, , Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Zehrid, Currie, hasn't, Osmani Organizations: Service, Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Semiconductors, Nvidia, Microsoft, Linde, LIN, Atlas, Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust Locations: Europe, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, China, Taiwan
In this article DJT Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTOmar Marques | Lightrocket | Getty ImagesShares of Trump Media shot up as much as 19% Thursday morning, keeping up the momentum of a rally that has recovered some of the Truth Social operator's steep losses from a recent weekslong sell-off. DJT stock was trading around $24 per share shortly after the market open, more than double the $11.75 price it fetched in an intraday trading low, just over two weeks ago. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Trump Media (DJT) Stock PriceThe surge came amid little positive news about the company, but coincided with some recent presidential election polls and other indicators that allies of former President Donald Trump, its majority shareholder, took as positive signs. "It doesn't have anything to do with fundamentals," said Anne Stevenson-Yang, founder and research director of short seller J Capital Research, in an interview with CNBC. "It's a bet on Trump, is all," she said.
Persons: Omar Marques, Donald Trump, Trump, Anne Stevenson, Yang Organizations: Lightrocket, Getty, Trump Media, Republican, White, J Capital Research, CNBC, Trump
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept its key interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, as widely expected, but tweaked its policy stance to "neutral," opening the door for rate cuts amid early signs of a growth slowdown in the economy. The Monetary Policy Committee, which consists of three RBI and three external members, kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.50% for a tenth straight policy meeting. The committee, however, changed its policy stance to "neutral" from "withdrawal of accommodation." The MPC last changed rates in February 2023, when the policy rate was raised to 6.50%. India's overall growth slowed to 6.7% in the June quarter.
Organizations: Bank of, Global, Reserve Bank of India, Monetary, Committee, Reuters, MPC, PMI Locations: Bank of India, Mumbai, India
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