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[1/2] The International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo is seen outside the headquarters building in Washington, U.S., September 4, 2018. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said the extra resources were needed to ensure the IMF can respond to another large-scale crisis. But with anti-China sentiment running high in the U.S. Congress, any IMF funding increase that increases Beijing's influence would face stiff opposition. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen proposed the money now, shares later plan as a way to sidestep the China issue and speed resources to the IMF. A 50% quota increase would be equivalent to about $312 billion at current exchange rates.
Persons: Yuri Gripas, Fernando Haddad, Kristalina Georgieva, Janet Yellen, Ernest Addison, David Lawder, Alex Richardson, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Monetary Fund, REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Monetary, IMF, U.S . Congress, Treasury, International Monetary, Financial Committee, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Rights MARRAKECH, Morocco, France, Britain, Ghana, Switzerland, Finland, Belgium, China, Brazil, U.S, Algeria, Iran, Libya, Pakistan, Tunisia
IMF Director of Fiscal Affairs Vitor Gaspar speaks to reporters at the headquarters of the International Monetary Fund in Washington, U.S., October 12, 2022. Continuing along their projected fiscal paths will ultimately cause difficulties for the world's two largest economies, Gaspar told Reuters in an interview. The U.S. and China are fueling a projected return to higher debt levels after two years of falling debt-to-GDP ratios as a post-COVID growth surge fades. DEFICITS RISINGGaspar said the challenge for the United States was persistently high and growing budget deficits. GROWTH FADESChina faces different challenges, the largest of which is slowing economic growth.
Persons: Vitor Gaspar, James Lawler Duggan, Gaspar, David Lawder, John Stonestreet Organizations: Fiscal, International Monetary Fund, REUTERS, Rights, Monetary Fund Fiscal, Reuters, U.S, Congressional Budget Office, Social, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Rights MARRAKECH, Morocco, U.S, China, United States, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe shouldn't be settling for lower global growth, IMF's Gopinath saysGita Gopinath, first deputy MD at the International Monetary Fund, discusses the structural reforms needed to boost growth and the challenge for policymakers.
Persons: IMF's Gopinath, Gita Gopinath Organizations: International Monetary Fund
REUTERS/Susana Vera Acquire Licensing RightsMARRAKECH, Morocco, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday that it is seeing "significant support" for a U.S.-backed increase in quota lending resources without changes to its shareholding structure at IMF and World Bank meetings in Morocco. "I think it would be a good thing to have a deadline on the formula, because without changing the formula, we are stuck." An IMF spokesperson confirmed that she was referring to a deadline for adjusting the shareholding structure. Georgieva said the decision on a realignment deadline was up to members. The IMF is scheduled to complete a long-delayed review of quota resources by Dec. 15.
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Susana Vera, Georgieva, David Lawder, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: International Monetary Fund, IMF, World Bank, REUTERS, Rights, Monetary Fund, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Marrakech, Morocco, Rights MARRAKECH, U.S, China, United States, Ukraine, India, Brazil
[1/4] The International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo is seen outside the headquarters building in Washington, U.S., September 4, 2018. The IMF adjusted this year's stress test to probe the impact of its baseline economic scenario of higher interest rates for longer, as well as the possibility of consumers yanking deposits. "Under the baseline, it's about 5% of banks that are relatively weak in terms of their capital. And in severe stress, that number goes up to 30% or sometimes higher," Adrian said. The IMF did not identify the banks that could be in trouble if those economic circumstances arose, but they included both small and large lenders.
Persons: Yuri Gripas, Tobias Adrian, Adrian, There's, Pete Schroeder, Michelle Price, Paul Simao Organizations: Monetary Fund, REUTERS, Rights, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Valley Bank, Switzerland's Credit Suisse Group, Monetary, Capital Markets Department, Palestinian, World Bank, U.S, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, California, Israel, Gaza, Marrakech, Morocco, Italy, Federal, U.S
IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said the selloff of U.S. bonds could reflect a mismatch in supply, rather than serious concerns about further hikes in interest rates or heightened concerns about long-term risks. "We're not seeing a huge decline in risk appetite in equity markets and credit markets, so it's a little bit odd," he said. "If you're looking at the U.S. Treasury market, maybe there's a question about who the buyers might be in the context where the government is also issuing quite a bit of that stuff." "In good times, that's a time to maybe reduce the deficit so that you can expand them when times are bad," he said. "The markets are asked to absorb a lot of debt out there ... maybe there is a little bit less appetite for that.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, that's, Andrea Shalal, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Monetary Fund, selloff, World Bank, U.S . Treasury Locations: MARRAKECH, Morocco, U.S, Marrakech
サマリー Global growth forecast unchanged at 3.0% in 2023Inflation dropping but 'not quite there yet'-IMF chief economistIMF raises U.S. forecast, cuts outlook for China, euro areaMARRAKECH, Morocco, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its growth forecasts for China and the euro area and said overall global growth remained low and uneven despite what it called the "remarkable strength" of the U.S. economy. The IMF left its forecast for global real GDP growth in 2023 unchanged at 3.0% in its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO), but cut its 2024 forecast by 0.1 percentage point to 2.9% from its July forecast. "The global economy is showing resilience. "We see a global economy that is limping along and it's not quite sprinting yet." It left Japan's 2024 growth outlook unchanged at 1.0%.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, It's, it's, Andrea Shalal, Andrea Ricci Organizations: IMF, Monetary Fund, Economic, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Reuters, Labor, U.S, autoworkers Locations: China, MARRAKECH, Morocco, U.S, Ukraine, Israel, Marrakech, United States, Japan
China Daily via REUTERS Acquire Licensing RightsSummary Global growth forecast unchanged at 3.0% in 2023Inflation dropping but 'not quite there yet'-IMF chief economistIMF raises U.S. forecast, cuts outlook for China, euro areaMARRAKECH, Morocco, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its growth forecasts for China and the euro zone and said overall global growth remained low and uneven despite what it called the "remarkable strength" of the U.S. economy. In its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF left its forecast for global real GDP growth in 2023 unchanged at 3.0% but cut its 2024 forecast to 2.9% from its July forecast of 3.0%. Even in 2028, the IMF is projecting global growth of just 3.1%. You put all these things together and you have a slowdown in medium-term growth," Gourinchas told Reuters. If the real estate crisis deepened, China's growth could be lowered by as much as 1.6% percentage point, which in turn would knock 0.6 percentage points off global growth, Gourinchas said.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, It's, it's, Andrea Shalal, Andrea Ricci, Catherine Evans Organizations: REUTERS Acquire, IMF, Monetary Fund, World Bank, Reuters, Research, Labor, U.S, autoworkers, Thomson Locations: Jinhua, Zhejiang province, China, MARRAKECH, Morocco, U.S, COVID, Ukraine, Israel, Marrakech, United States, Japan
IMF Says It's Too Soon to Assess Economic Impact
  + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
The top economist at the International Monetary Fund said it is too soon to tell whether the war between Israel and Hamas will have broad economic consequences. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said the conflict risks creating an energy-supply shock, which could raise oil prices, feed inflation and reduce growth. IMF research shows a 10% increase in oil prices reduces global economic growth by 0.15 percentage point. While oil prices have jumped since the fighting started, Gourinchas said the increases may not last. I think it's too early to really assess what the impact might be," he said, at the IMF's annual meetings in Marrakesh, Morocco.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas Organizations: International Monetary Fund Locations: Israel, Marrakesh, Morocco
The IMF warned of bond market risks amid fears of a Silicon Valley Bank repeat. Sharp rises in bond yields could pose a risk to banking portfolios, as happened earlier this year. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe sharp rise in Treasury bond yields provoked warnings from the International Monetary Fund, which called on regulators to increase their financial markets oversight. In March, Silicon Valley Bank was forced to sell its bond holdings at a major loss, sparking a flight in deposits that triggered its collapse along with other lenders.
Persons: Tobias Adrian, Sharp, , Adrian, Michael Barr Organizations: Financial Times, Service, International Monetary Fund, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, American Bankers Association Locations: Silicon Valley, China, Europe, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGlobal economy 'limping along' below pre-pandemic growth level, IMF's chief economist saysPierre-Olivier Gourinchas, economic counsellor and director of the research department at the International Monetary Fund, discusses divergences in global growth, resilience in the U.S. and revisions to the IMF's outlook.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: International Monetary Fund Locations: U.S
US stocks climbed Tuesday as investors continued to monitor the Israel-Hamas conflict. The 10-year Treasury yield dipped by about nine basis points. BlackRock, meanwhile, cautioned that the bond market rout is far from over. AdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks climbed slightly at the start of trading Tuesday and bond yields moved lower while investors continued to watch the Israel-Hamas conflict unfold. While yields slipped further from 16-year highs notched just last week, BlackRock cautioned that the bond market sell-off still isn't over, and further pain could still be on the way.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Janet Yellen, Jim Rogers Organizations: Treasury, BlackRock, Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, RBC Locations: Israel, Global
[1/2] The International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo is seen outside the headquarters building in Washington, U.S., September 4, 2018. Doing so, Ivory Coast President Alassane Ouattara said on Thursday, would "increase the voice and agency of member countries who are the most vulnerable" at the Fund. Martin Muhleisen, a former IMF strategy chief, said the plan "puts the Chinese on the spot to agree". A delay would be a major disappointment for the IMF after contentious 2019 negotiations left quota resources and shareholding untouched. "The Fund's not tight," said Mark Plant, a former IMF official now with the Center for Global Development.
Persons: Yuri Gripas, Joe Biden, Janet Yellen, Alassane Ouattara, Mark Sobel, Martin Muhleisen, Mark Plant, David Lawder, Andrea Shalal, Marcela Ayres, Peter Graff Organizations: Monetary Fund, REUTERS, Rights, International Monetary Fund, IMF, World Bank, Reuters, U.S . Congress, U.S, Treasury, U.S . Treasury, Brazilian, Center for Global Development, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, China, India, Brazil, Marrakech, Morocco, Ukraine, Saharan Africa, Coast, Washington, Beijing, Brasilia
[1/2] A view shows the entrance of the venue for the upcoming meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, following last month's deadly earthquake, in Marrakech, Morocco October 1, 2023. Reuters GraphicsThe yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond this week pierced 5% for the first time since 2007. Long-term U.S. yields have climbed roughly 1 percentage point in the past three months compared with a single quarter-percentage-point Fed rate hike during that period. Keeping the world's largest economy out of recession provides steadier demand for other countries' exports, as well as more certainty as Fed rate hikes hit a stopping point. The fallout depends on "how much further, and how quickly, bond yields rise," they said.
Persons: Abdelhak, China's, Goldman Sachs, Gene Tannuzzo, Tannuzzo, Karen Dynan, it's, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: International Monetary Fund, World Bank, REUTERS, Rights, U.S ., Treasuries, Reuters, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Columbia Threadneedle, Harvard University, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Capital Economics, Valley Bank, Thomson Locations: Marrakech, Morocco, U.S, Washington, California
That's despite Congress recently passing a short-term funding package that averted a U.S. government shutdown but dropped $6 billion in aid to Ukraine. Political Cartoons View All 1199 ImagesOfficials from the Washington-based IMF also said Ukraine’s economy was showing surprising resilience despite widespread damage from Russia’s war. Ukraine is “making good progress” on passing legislation on a specialized anti-corruption prosecutor, said IMF Ukraine mission chief Gavin Gray. IMF loan agreements with Ukraine before the war had stalled due to lack of progress in curbing corruption and the influence of politically influential business moguls. ___This story has been corrected to show that the IMF loan package is over four years, not three.
Persons: It's, , Biden, Uma Ramakrishnan, Gavin Gray, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Nathan Epstein, ___ McHugh Organizations: , International Monetary Fund, Institute, IMF, Ukraine, Bills Locations: KYIV, Ukraine, United States, U.S, Kiel, Germany, Kyiv, Washington, Ukrainian, Frankfurt
Bullrich, a conservative former lawmaker and security minister, is running against center-left candidate Sergio Massa and Javier Milei, a radical libertarian. The advisor claimed that IMF officials would likely support Bullrich's approach. They told us, 'If you win and put this program on the table and it begins to advance, we will be giving it the necessary support,'" said Martinez Maino. Former President Mauricio Macri, a member of Bullrich's party, renegotiated a previous IMF loan deal for $44 billion in 2018. Bullrich aims to grow foreign investment, said Martinez Maino, adding that he and the candidate's would-be pick for economy minister, Carlos Melconian, will travel this week to New York to meet with banks and investors.
Persons: Patricia Bullrich, Facundo Martinez Maino, Sergio Massa, Javier Milei, Milei, Martinez Maino, Mauricio Macri, Bullrich, Carlos Melconian, Lucila Sigal, David Alire Garcia Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Thomson Locations: BUENOS AIRES, August's, South, New York
Oligarch Oleg Deripaska told the FT he was surprised at Russia's economic resilience. Deripaska, who is worth $2.3 billion, said demand from the global south is supporting Russia's economy. It's an about-turn for Deripaska, who, in March, said sanctions-hit Russia may run out of money next year. Anton Siluanov, the country's finance minister, told the CGTV channel last month he expects the Russian economy to grow by at least 2.5% this year. "Out of the next billion people who're about to be born, 70% will be in this region," Deripaska told the FT. "Let's face reality.
Persons: Oligarch Oleg Deripaska, Deripaska, , oligarch Oleg Deripaska, It's, Anton Siluanov, it's Organizations: Service, Financial, New York Times, International Monetary Fund, US, European Union, Russia Locations: Russia, Ukraine
CAIRO, Sept 23 (Reuters) - Egypt said it had agreed with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to merge the fund's first and second reviews of its economic reform programme, after the first review was repeatedly delayed amid questions over Egypt's progress in meeting the IMF's terms. The IMF in December approved a $3 billion Extended Fund Facility loan for Egypt, which has been under acute financial pressure since long-standing problems were exposed by economic fallout from the war in Ukraine. Disbursements under the 46-month program are subject to eight reviews, the first of which, originally scheduled to take place in March, has yet to happen amid reports the IMF was unhappy with Egypt's progress in fulfilling the terms of the agreement. It added that negotiations with the IMF were proceeding "fruitfully and positively" in accordance with the terms of the program concluded with the Fund. In June, Egypt President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi appeared to rule out a further devaluation anytime soon, saying such a move could harm national security and hurt Egyptian citizens.
Persons: Abdel Fattah al, Sisi, Hatem Maher, David Holmes Organizations: International Monetary Fund, IMF, Egypt, Fund, Thomson Locations: CAIRO, Egypt, Ukraine, Disbursements
This would in turn secure regional supply chains, boost trade connectivity and economic activity — all similar to objectives underpinning China's Belt and Road Initiative, a global infrastructure investment strategy that Beijing launched in 2013. - | Afp | Getty ImagesThis Biden-led initiative will comprise of two separate corridors, the east corridor connecting India to the Middle East and the northern corridor connecting the Middle East to Europe. Middle East influenceChina's BRI offers a glimpse into Biden's ambition and perhaps what his infrastructure pact will come up against. Debt risksEven then, China's 10-year head start offers some cautionary lessons for Biden's global infrastructure pact. "25% of debt of emerging markets is treading in distressed territory," IMF's Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told CNBC on the sidelines of the Delhi G20 leaders' summit.
Persons: Crown Prince, Mohammed bin Salman, Narendra Modi, Joe Biden, Ludovic Marin, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Evan Feigenbaum, Emmanuel Macron, Joko Widodo, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Gandhi, Biden, China's BRI, Beijing's BRI, Chong Ja Ian, Kristalina Georgieva, Janet Yellen, Chong, Modi Organizations: Saudi, Crown, India's, Bharat, Afp, Getty, Biden, Initiative, Carnegie Endowment, International, Brazil's, European Union, Democratic, Fudan University, for Economics, Business Research, Arab, United Arab, Bloomberg, IMF, National University of Singapore, Monetary Fund, World Bank, CNBC, Treasury, NUS, India, Shanghai Cooperation Organization Locations: New Delhi, Turkey, Delhi —, Beijing, U.S, Raj, India, East, Europe, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Israel, Delhi, Democratic Republic of, Congo, Zambia, Lobito, Angola, Middle, Shanghai, London, China, United Arab Emirates, Washington, Saudi, Iran, People's Republic of China, New York, United States
Questions have swirled over whether the IMF and World Bank would still hold their annual meetings in Morocco's tourist hub of Marrakech since a devastating, 6.8-magnitude earthquake struck in the High Atlas Mountains, killing more than 2,900 people. Marrakech, 45 miles (72 km) from the quake's epicenter, suffered some damage in its ancient Medina quarter, but Moroccan officials have pressed the IMF and World Bank to proceed with the gathering, which would bring some 10,000-15,000 to the city. "The Moroccan authorities are fully committed to the meetings," Georgieva said in her first public comments on the matter since the disaster. In describing discussions with Moroccan Prime Minister Aziz Akhannouch, Georgieva expressed concern that the IMF and World Bank "don't want to be a burden" to the country as it deals with recovery efforts. Morocco also has access to a $5 billion flexible creditline from the IMF, approved in April, that is aimed at strengthening the countries' crisis prevention capabilities.
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, William Ruto, Emmanuel Macron, Janet Yellen, Ajay Banga, Georgieva, Aziz Akhannouch, Andrea Shalal, David Lawder, Chris Reese, Diane Craft Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Treasury, World Bank, New Global Financial, Monetary Fund, Bank, Reuters, IMF, Sustainability Trust, Moroccan, World, IMF's, Thomson Locations: Kenya, U.S, Paris, WASHINGTON, Morocco, Marrakech, Medina
But that programme failed to put South America's second-largest economy back on its feet. Even if he wins the Oct. 22 election and takes power in December, Milei would need alliances in Congress to push through reforms and a new IMF programme - Argentina's 23rd. That effort paved the way for the $57 billion programme, which ultimately failed and was replaced by the current one. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsPREFERENTIAL TREATMENTThe current programme could end before its expiration in September 2024, but Argentina will still require funds. Without mentioning Argentina, the U.S. - holding the largest voting power in the Fund - recently raised its concerns.
Persons: Javier Milei, Agustin Marcarian, Mauricio Macri's, Mark Sobel, Milei, Sobel, Sergio Massa, Martin Muehleisen, Muehleisen, Nestor Kirchner, Stephen Nelson, Nelson, Walter Stoeppelwerth, Simon Quijano, Evans, Gemcorp Capital, Jay Shambaugh, Jorgelina, Karin Strohecker, Paul Simao Organizations: Argentine, La Libertad Avanza, REUTERS, IMF, International Monetary Fund, South, Peronist, Analysts, Graphics, Review Department, U.S ., Northwestern University, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Gletir SA, Gemcorp, Thomson Locations: La Plata, Buenos Aires, Argentina, Washington, U.S, Chicago, Zambia, Sri Lanka, Ghana, Egypt, Burundi, Saharan Africa, Rosario
From left, World Bank President Ajay Banga, Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi, South Africa's President Cyril Ramaphosa and U.S. President Joe Biden in New Delhi on Sept. 9, 2023. "There's no way there's enough money in the multilateral development bank, or even in governments ... that can drive the kinds of changes we need for this polycrisis. Biden backs World BankLeaders at the summit agreed that this isn't something the World Bank can tackle alone. The World Bank was created in 1944 to help rebuilding efforts in Europe and Japan after the Second World War. Both the World Bank and IMF have pledged to form a stronger partnership to help countries with their debt struggles, sustainability goals, and digital transition.
Persons: Joe Biden, Ajay Banga, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Narendra Modi, Cyril Ramaphosa, Evan Vucci, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Banga, Biden, Kristalina Georgieva, CNBC's Martin Soong, Georgieva Organizations: World Bank, World, India's, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Bank, IMF, White Locations: U.S, New Delhi, Europe, Japan, China, Ukraine, People's Republic, China's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF chief says new economic corridor should not exclude any countriesThe IMF's Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks to CNBC's Martin Soong at the G20 leaders' summit in Delhi.
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, CNBC's Martin Soong Organizations: IMF Locations: Delhi
Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, arrives to attend a G20 Finance Ministers' and Central Bank governors' meeting at Gandhinagar, India, July 18, 2023. "To make the global economy stronger and more resilient in a more shock-prone world, it is vital to reach an agreement to increase the IMF's quota resources before the end of the year," she said. Such a pact would secure resources needed for the Fund's interest-free support to the poorest countries through the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust, she added. The G20 summit also pledged to strengthen and reform multilateral development banks, while accepting a proposal to regulate cryptocurrencies more tightly worldwide. Reporting by Swati Bhat; Editing by Sudipto Ganguly and Clarence FernandezOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Amit Dave, Georgieva, Swati Bhat, Sudipto Ganguly, Clarence Fernandez Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Ministers, Central Bank governors, REUTERS, Growth Trust, Thomson Locations: Gandhinagar, India, DELHI, New Delhi
IMF chief: World needs institutions to work together
  + stars: | 2023-09-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF chief: World needs institutions to work togetherThe IMF's Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks to CNBC's Martin Soong at the G20 leaders' summit in Delhi. She discusses whether the lines are blurring between the roles of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, CNBC's Martin Soong Organizations: IMF, International Monetary Fund, World Bank Locations: Delhi
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