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Global stocks ended the first half of 2024 up by more than 12%, and investors stand to make good money over the next six months if history repeats itself. Since the late 1980s, though, after a first-half rise of over 12%, stocks rose every single time in the second half of the year. The analysis also reveals that since 1970, the global stock market index had an average 21.25% price return for the whole year when the index was up more than 12% halfway through the year. The U.S.-only S & P 500 index has behaved in a very similar way to the MSCI World Index since 1989. The stock market had risen by more than 25% in the first half of that year.
Persons: Organizations: CNBC Locations: U.S
(Photo by Ajay Aggarwal/Hindustan Times via Getty Images)Indian government bonds reached a major milestone on Friday with their inclusion in JPMorgan's emerging market government bond index. Take the broad L&G India Government Bond exchange-traded fund, for instance. Anticipating the Wall Street bank's decision, alongside Bloomberg's move to include India in a similar index next year, markets have partly pushed up bond prices in 2024 despite the risks of inflation reigniting. While these moves by big Wall Street institutions might be lucrative for investors today, it's likely to dampen their returns over the longer term. After all, as bond prices rise their yields fall.
Persons: Ajay Aggarwal, Bloomberg's, that's Organizations: Hindustan Times, Getty Images, G India Government Bond Locations: DELHI, INDIA, New Delhi, India
A seller is arranging onions at a vegetable market in Nagaon district, in the northeastern state of Assam, India, on February 1, 2024. This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. Food prices, which rose an annual 8.7% in both April and May, account for nearly half of the overall consumer price basket. "The Indian economy remains hostage to intersecting food price shocks," Michael Patra, deputy governor of the Reserve Bank of India, said in his statement at the latest monetary policy meeting. "Food prices are holding back any consideration of possible changes in the monetary policy stance," he added.
Persons: Michael Patra, Jayanth Varma, bode, Sanjeev Chopra, Narendra Modi, abate, James Thom Organizations: CNBC, Reserve Bank of India, New, New India Investment Trust Locations: Nagaon district, Assam, India, New India, London
Six exchange-traded funds have outperformed the S & P 500 index every year for the past five years, according to analysis by CNBC Pro. In 2022, when the S & P 500 fell by nearly 20%, the six ETFs each had a smaller loss. The Taiwanese dollar-denominated Sinopac TAIEX ETF also outperformed the S & P 500 over the same period in local currency terms. First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance Of the six ETFs, the First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF (ticker: AIRR) has performed best over the period. It logged a cumulative total return of 178% over the past five years, compared to the S & P 500's 112%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs Organizations: CNBC Pro, Four, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta, Equity, Trust, Industrial Renaissance, JPMorgan U.S, Research Locations: Four U.S, Taiwan, U.S, United States, United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, Switzerland
The bank's analyst labeled the London-listed stock as "materially undervalued" as the company announced the resumption of dividends earlier this month after a five-year hiatus. Investec raised its price target to £2 ($2.53) a share, which points to a 116% upside potential. However, earlier this month, Card Factory said its 2024 fiscal year showed improved profitability, with the company expecting normal growth rates to return. UBS predicts Card Factory will earn £65 million in the next financial year, with sales running up to about £535 million. The investment bank raised its price target to £1.16 a share, indicating a 26% upside potential, but also maintained its "neutral" rating.
Persons: Kate Calvert, Investec, Saranja Sivachelvam, Sivachelvam Organizations: Factory, Card Factory, Investment, UBS, Card Locations: London, U.S, England, Calvert
The big storyEmerging markets have been on tenterhooks for the better part of this year as the Federal Reserve has been dangling the prospect of an interest rate cut. Historically, as U.S. interest rates fall, the allure of the mighty dollar fades to the benefit of other currencies. Indeed, unlike most developed economies, India's interest rate regime in 2024 isn't any different from that of 2018. There lies the disconnect between the economy, the stock market, and a single stock. Non-bank lender Akme Fintrade India and engineering firm DEE Development Engineers will debut on the stock market on Wednesday.
Persons: Sumant Sinha, we've, Sinha, It's, Fitch, Rahul Jain, Goldman Sachs, Jake Sullivan, Modi, Narendra Modi, CNBC's Charmaine Jacob, Raamdeo Agrawal, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Jain Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, India Inc, Nasdaq, Reserve Bank of, U.S, Societe Generale, Goldman, Clean Energy, CNBC, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, of India, Bangladesh, Australia, DEE Development Engineers Locations: Tuticorin, India, Reserve Bank of India, Japan, Britain, Delhi
Gecko Capital's Maunakea Emerging Markets Debt Recovery Fund has delivered an impressive 74% return over the past year, and its fund manager is particularly bullish on two South American economies looking ahead. Maunakea's two largest positions are in Venezuela and Argentina, which Durand considers among "the most attractive and compelling" trades he has ever placed. Elections are expected to be held on 28 July which will be a key moment for investments in the country, according to the fund manager. However, the fund manager is optimistic that Argentina will reverse its economic woes. The next trade Durand said he is eyeing Bolivia, once a market darling that has recently experienced significant problems, for opportunities as its bonds start to trade at discounted levels.
Persons: Jean, Jacques Durand, Durand, " Durand, Edmond de Rothschild, They've, Fitch Organizations: U.S, Edmond, EU, CCC Locations: Venezuela, Argentina, U.S, Venezuelan, Durand, Bolivia
Industrial property firm Goodman Group is converting its traditional warehouses into data centers to meet the surging demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure. Citi believes this trend will likely drive "double-digit medium-term earnings growth" and has added the Australian stock to its "Pan-Asia Focus list." Data centers are large buildings that house critical computing infrastructure and equipment. "As it progresses opportunities in data centers, it is likely to deliver a large range of products from powered sites and turnkey projects." Electricity has been a key bottleneck preventing many data centers from further expansion.
Persons: Howard Penny, Goodman Organizations: Goodman Group, Citi, GMG Locations: Asia, Sydney, United States, Australia, Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore
As stock markets press against all-time highs driven by the potential of artificial intelligence, the question of how to invest $100,000 has become more urgent than ever. "But perhaps relative to the global equity universe, we would probably have a bit more outside of the United States." Echoing that view, Matthews says he sees opportunities in equity markets, particularly in small- and mid-cap stocks in the United Kingdom and Europe. "We have been adding to this area in the U.K. through Chelverton United Kingdom Equity Growth Fund ." Looking ahead, Flax acknowledges the potential impact of political risks like upcoming elections in the United Kingdom and the United States.
Persons: Richard Flax, Moneyfarm, Robert Matthews, WH, they've, Matthews, Flax, Organizations: CNBC Pro, WH Ireland, CNBC, Chelverton United Kingdom Equity Growth, Health, AstraZeneca, HICL Infrastructure PLC Locations: United States, United Kingdom, Europe, London, U.S
Analysts have slashed price targets on three stocks from around the world over the past week: Adobe , France's Remy Cointreau , and Israeli software provider NICE . Adobe Five analysts cut their price targets ahead of Adobe's second-quarter earnings report, released after the bell Thursday. Remy Cointreau It's also been a tough week for Remy Cointreau, the makers of cognacs, liqueurs, and champagne. Ten analysts cut their price target on the stock over the past week. NICE NICE, which builds customer relationship management software, saw five analyst price target cuts over the past week.
Persons: France's Remy Cointreau, Remy Cointreau, Oppenheimer, Brian Schwartz, Remy Cointreau It's, Sanjeet Aujla, Remy, Rishi Jaluria Organizations: NICE, CNBC Pro, Adobe, Google, UBS, Nasdaq, RBC Locations: U.S, Adobe's, Cognac, China, Europe, United States
Shares of AFC Energy , a provider of hydrogen-fueled power generation technologies, is expected to more than double over the next year, according to RBC Capital. The London-listed company, founded in 2006, makes a range of proprietary hydrogen fuel cell systems aimed at off-grid and remote power generation for construction, mining, and transportation industries. U.K. shares are generally priced in pence, with 100 pence equal to one British pound ($1.28). The 30-kilowatt generators consume hydrogen for fuel and will be available to customers in the U.K. through its joint venture with equipment hire firm Speedy Hire . The three-year deal with Speedy Hire — under its Speedy Hydrogen Solutions brand — will target U.K. and Irish construction and emergency power markets.
Persons: Erwan Kerouredan, Victoria McCulloch, Saudi Arabia's Organizations: AFC Energy, RBC Capital, RBC, AFC, Saudi, Speedy Hire Locations: London, British, United States, Germany, East, North Africa, Saudi
India has been dubbed the "perfect" emerging market to invest in, but it can be tricky for those outside the country to gain access. India's stock market has been making headlines this year, and for good reason. "India remains one of the best-performing equity markets this year, underpinned by the world's fastest-growing major economy and a resilient macro backdrop," said James Thom, senior investment director Asian equities at Abrdn, in a note to clients. Some of the top ETFs in North America include the Columbia India Consumer ETF , the First Trust India NIFTY 50 Equal Weight ETF and the BMO MSCI India ESG Leaders Index ETF . In Europe, the list includes the iShares MSCI India UCITS ETF , which provides exposure to around 85% of the stock market, and the Xtrackers MSCI India Swap UCITS ETF Capitalisation 1C .
Persons: Krishnamurthy Subramanian, Narendra Modi's, Kevin T, Carter, Goldman Sachs, James Thom, aren't, GDRs, Arjun Jayaraman, there's, Jayaraman, Abrdn's Thom, Surendra Goyal, Thom, EMQQ Global's Carter, Modi's, it's, Jonathan Pines, — CNBC's Ganesh Rao, Tuul, Bruno Morandi Organizations: CNBC Pro, IMF, Bharatiya Janata Party, EMQQ, CNBC, Wealthmills Securities, Global, Causeway, Mutual, Columbia India Consumer ETF, First Trust India, BMO, India, Nasdaq, Investors, Nokia, Bank of America, Citi, Edge, Reliance Industries, U.S ., Bank of India, Network18, Bank, Getty Locations: India, China, North America, Europe, Singapore, U.S, Indian, Chhatrapati Shivaji Terminus, Mumbai
Informatica , a U.S.-listed software developer, is well-positioned to benefit from the rise of artificial intelligence, according to analysts at Scotiabank. The California-headquartered firm last month launched its AI model — CLAIRE GPT — which is designed to help businesses use their data for generative AI applications. Generative AI, or GenAI, is the technology behind the hugely popular chatbot ChatGPT and other similar products. According to FactSet, the average price target of 16 analysts points to a 39% upside for the stock. RBC Capital analysts expect the stock to rise by 43% to $41 a share over the next 12 months.
Persons: CLAIRE GPT, Patrick Colville, FactSet, Matthew Hedberg, Salesforce Organizations: Scotiabank, The, RBC Capital, Microsoft, Data Management, RBC, Wall Street Journal Locations: Informatica, U.S, The California, Snowflake
"The stat that really blew my mind is that the forecast cash flow for Nvidia for 2026 is higher than Microsoft ," Yuri Khodjamirian, CIO at Tema ETFs, told CNBC's Squawk Box Europe, emphasizing the remarkable growth trajectory of Nvidia. This projection is driven by the surging demand for Nvidia's AI chips, as software companies increasingly rely on these powerful processors to fuel their artificial intelligence models. The spending by software giants such as Microsoft , Amazon and Google is propelling the share prices of Nvidia and other semiconductor companies to new heights. NVDA 1Y line Khodjamirian noted that Nvidia is "setting the pace" in the industry with annual product announcements that competitors struggle to match. Ginsberg predicts that Fortune 500 companies will increasingly outsource their AI and algorithmic business to cloud service providers, benefiting companies like Google Cloud and Microsoft Cloud.
Persons: Yuri Khodjamirian, CNBC's, Nvidia's, Microsoft's –, Khodjamirian, Anthony Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Satya Nadella, Sundar Pichai Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Apple, Gins, Tech, CNBC Pro, Amazon Locations: America
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi gestures, at the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) headquarters in New Delhi, India, June 4, 2024. Adnan Abidi | ReutersThis report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. Far from rewarding Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party with a supermajority — as polls had predicted — Indians elected 240 BJP lawmakers to India's 543-seat Parliament, which falls short of a simple majority for Modi's party. However, as the largest party, the BJP will form a coalition government thanks to its alliance with smaller parties ahead of the elections. This "radical transformation" is expected to lead to a significantly more efficient economy and help India's currency, according to Sullivan.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Adnan Abidi, Narendra Modi's, Modi, Gavekal, Tom Miller, Udith Sikand, Malcolm Dorson, Aastha Gudwani, who's, India's, Morgan, Ridham Desai, Will, Goldman Sachs, Abhiram Eleswarapu, Eleswarapu, Tanvir Gill, Sri Jegarajah, Sumathi Bala, Seema Mody, Amala Balakrishner, Vinay Dube, could've, James Sullivan, Sullivan Organizations: Indian, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Reuters, CNBC, Global, of America, Gavekal Research, India Active, BNP, CNBC Pro, JPMorgan, U.S . Federal Locations: New Delhi, India, CNBC's
European chip stock ASML "is almost in a quasi-monopoly position" to drive developments in artificial intelligence over the next decade, according to fund manager Marcus Morris-Eyton. Its customers include TSMC , which makes the AI chips designed by Nvidia , AMD and Intel , as well as Samsung and SK Hynix . Shares fell by 7% on the day as the company provided what analysts labeled "soft" guidance for the current quarter. Earlier this week, the company opened a test laboratory for its next-generation lithography equipment with Belgium chip research firm Imec. "Ultimately, if you need AI, if you need [electric vehicles], if you need data centers, you need more chips," Morris-Eyton added.
Persons: Marcus Morris, that's, ASML, It's, Francois, Xavier Bouvignies, Tammy Qiu, Didier Scemama, Marie Ganneval, Eyton, Morris Organizations: Nvidia, AMD, Intel, Samsung, SK Hynix, U.S, Infineon, BE Semiconductor, Wall Street, UBS, of America, AllianceBernstein's, ASML, CNBC Locations: United States, TSMC, Belgium, Veldhoven, Netherlands, ASML
Cadence Design Systems , a U.S. company that provides electronic design software to chip makers, has been "completely missed" by investors, according to Clare Pleydell-Bouverie, fund manager at Liontrust. Liontrust's Global Technology Fund , with $265 million in assets, is invested in both stocks with around 3.3% allocated to each as of April 30. "Cadence is going to be the key enabler of this, and that's been completely missed by the market." Pleydell-Bouverie also pointed out that Cadence benefits from a "dual growth driver" — companies designing more chips to bring AI capabilities to consumers and Cadence using AI to improve its own chip design process and efficiency. Analysts remain broadly bullish on the stock, however , with 67% rating it as a buy and 28% maintaining a hold rating.
Persons: Clare Pleydell, CNBC's Arabile, Bouverie, Blackwell, that's Organizations: Cadence Design Systems, Cadence, Liontrust's Global Technology Fund, Palladium, Nvidia Locations: U.S
Despite an interest rate cut expected this week, profits at a handful of major European banks will remain robust, according to Berenberg. The European Central Bank appears on course to cut interest rates this week, the first reduction since 2019, despite a higher-than-expected inflation print . However, European banks underperformed their global peers over the past decade as the European Central Bank kept interest rates below or near zero until 2022. The investment bank's analyst also pointed out that European banks are currently trading at a 20% discount to their long-run average valuation despite improvements in their balance sheets and returns. According to Berenberg, historical data shows that European banks only traded below current valuations for 6% of the time between 1988 and 2020.
Persons: Banks, Peter Richardson, Richardson, Berenberg Organizations: European Central Bank, Chartered, Barclays, Nordea Bank, UniCredit, HSBC —, Bank Locations: U.S
This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. Separately, the stock market will also deliver its verdict when markets open on Monday. Nervousness among investors over the results has meant that the India VIX index, the market's so-called fear gauge, has shot up by more than 135% since its April lows. However, some equity strategists point out that even a landslide victory for Modi's BJP could potentially sour the stock market. Meanwhile, Gautam Chhaochharia, head of global markets for India at UBS, said foreign investors are in a "wait and watch mode" ahead of India's election results despite economic fundamentals looking "very, very strong."
Persons: Narendra Modi's, Modi, Bradley Saunders, Saunders, Venugopal Garre, , Garre, Fitch, SRH, Mark Mobius, Gautam Chhaochharia Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, BJP, Traders, " Bank of America, Capital Economics, Modi's BJP, , Reuters, Kolkata Knight Riders, IPL, Sunrisers, Knight Riders, CNBC, UBS Locations: Delhi, India, Kolkata, Sunrisers Hyderabad
Caledonia Investments could see its stock price soar by more than 35% if restrictions on share buybacks are lifted, according to fund manager Brian McCormick. McCormick, who runs the Jupiter Global Value fund at Jupiter Asset Management, said Caledonia's share buybacks are limited due to restrictions in share ownership as set out in the U.K.'s Takeover Code. In addition, when the fund performs a share buyback while its stock trades below its NAV, it is buying its own assets at a 37% discount. Caledonia's buyback limits When a company buys back shares, those shares are canceled, which can increase the percentage ownership of remaining shareholders. Analysts also agree that Caledonia's limits on share buybacks right now are holding back the share price.
Persons: Brian McCormick, Philip Morris, McCormick, Robert Memmott, Iain Scouller Organizations: Microsoft, Oracle, British American Tobacco, London Stock Exchange, Jupiter Asset, CNBC Pro, London Value Investor Conference Locations: Caledonia, United States
As the price of gold hits new all-time highs and silver rallies to a multi-year high, Bank of America has identified four exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that offer attractive exposure to precious metals. The top-rated ETFs include abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF (ticker SIVR), iShares Silver Trust (SLV), Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund (DBP) and abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF (GLTR). Bank of America rated all four ETFs "more attractive" in comparison to other ETFs with similar assets. These funds reflect baskets of physical precious metals, with varying allocations to silver, gold, palladium, and platinum. abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF SIVR is the cheapest silver fund in Bank of America's coverage, with a total expense ratio of 0.50%.
Persons: Jared Woodard, SLV, Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Precious Metals Fund, Bank of, Treasury, Bank, Precious Metals Locations: BofA
This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. "This particular product, and broadly speaking, the domestic investor, has driven the upsurge in the Indian stock markets," Mahesh Nandurkar, head of India research at Jefferies, told CNBC. For instance, of the nearly 4,900 actively traded India-listed stocks, 300 stocks had a fall in revenue in the last two consecutive financial years. Foreign investors have historically had a significant influence on local equity markets. For now, the savings directed into equity markets are still a tiny proportion of the overall savings Indians put away annually.
Persons: it's, Mahesh Nandurkar, Hermes, Jonathan Pines, Deepak Jasani, Jefferies, Nandurkar Organizations: Association for Mutual Funds, SBI Equity, Opportunities, ICICI Prudential, Advantage Fund, Jefferies, CNBC, Federated Hermes, HDFC Securities Locations: India, Japan
HarbourVest Global Private Equity , a diversified listed private equity investment company, could see its share price rise by more than 40%, according to analysts at investment banks Peel Hunt and Jefferies. Richard Hickman, the managing director of HVPE, describes it as the "most diversified, listed private equity investment company in London." "We're a global fully diversified portfolio covering buyout funds, the more established businesses from small cap through medium to large cap." NAV represents the value of an investment fund's assets per share. They estimate that share buybacks at the current discount could result in a 1.4% uplift in net asset value per share.
Persons: Peel Hunt, Jefferies, Richard Hickman, HVPE, Hickman, Alan Brierley, Ben Newell, Warren, Buffett Organizations: HarbourVest Global, Equity, Peel, London Stock Exchange, CNBC, NAV, Jefferies, Investec Locations: London
When Nvidia beats estimates, these 6 AI stocks tend to rise
  + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Six artificial intelligence-related stocks tend to react positively to Nvidia 's quarterly results, according to CNBC Pro analysis. Five U.S.-listed stocks — Super Micro Computer , AMD , Marvell Technology , Vertiv , and Synopsys — along with Japan-listed Advantest Corp have each risen between 6% and 33% in the past after Nvidia revealed bumper earnings. Super Micro Computer Super Micro Computer, a tech infrastructure company, has become one of the biggest winners of Wall Street's appetite for AI investments. Advanced Micro Devices AMD, the biggest competitor to Nvidia, has also seen its shares jump after Nvidia's earnings. The stock rose 7.5% after Nvidia revealed its last quarterly figures and 16.2% after the first quarter 2023 numbers were out.
Persons: Nvidia's, Synopsys, Leswing, Alex Koller Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, U.S, Computer, AMD, Marvell Technology, Advantest Corp, CNBC Pro, Wall Street Locations: Japan, United States
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wall Street reaches new highsThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite rose to fresh record highs as investors await earnings from AI chipmaker Nvidia after the close on Wednesday. Nvidia's shares rose 0.6% with option traders pricing in swings of as much as 9% up or down in reaction to its earnings. Rate cuts several months awayFederal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he does not think further rate increases are necessary, but he will need convincing before backing any rate cuts. [PRO] When Nvidia risesCNBC's Ganesh Rao takes a look at six artificial intelligence-related stocks that have historically reacted positively to Nvidia's quarterly earnings.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Biden, Jennifer Granholm, Walt Disney, Bob Iger, Ganesh Rao Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Federal, Gasoline, East, Pixar, Studios, Disney, Walt Disney Animation, CSI, Nikkei, Reserve Bank of New Locations: New York City, Israel, Asia, Hong Kong, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, United States, Japan
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