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Here’s what could knock the stock market’s momentum
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The S & P 500 also reached an all-time high last week and posted a weekly advance of 1.4%. Here's a look: Valuations The S & P 500 trading near record highs is a double-edged sword, as valuations are also at historically high levels. "The S & P 500 is already trading a little above where it deserves to at year-end 2024." Scott Chronert of Citi also noted that six of the 11 S & P 500 sectors have "valuation composites near/at top decile levels." The S & P 500 has averaged a 2.3% loss in September over the past 10 years, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Stocks, it's, Lori Calvasina, Scott Chronert, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Gonzalo Asis, RBC's Calvasina, Citi's Chronert Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, RBC Capital Markets, Citi, NBC, Presidential, PCE, Bank of America
CNBC Daily Open: One day makes all the difference
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "Recalibration" Fed Chair Jerome Powell's use of the word "recalibration" seemed to reassure investors that the central bank's 50 basis point cut wasn't that worrying. It signaled the Fed wasn't responding to a slowing economy, but shifting focus to ensuring employment doesn't dip further, wrote CNBC's Jeff Cox. At the end of Washington's song, she croons, "What a difference a day makes / And the difference is you."
Persons: BOE, Jerome Powell's, Jeff Cox, Dinah Washington, Oppenheimer, Brian Belski, Powell, , Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Hakyung Kim, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, JPMorgan Chase, of England, Monetary, Fed, Dow, Nvidia, Apple, BMO Locations: New York, Dinah Washington . Washington
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. [PRO] Commodity price movements Stocks have rallied on the back of the Fed's rate cut. The S&P climbed 1.7% to end at 5,713.64, the first time the broad-based index has broken through the 5,700 ceiling. At the end of Washington's song, she croons, "What a difference a day makes / And the difference is you."
Persons: Stocks, it's, Jerome Powell's, Jeff Cox, Dinah Washington, Oppenheimer, Brian Belski, Powell, , Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Hakyung Kim, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Citi, HSBC, People's Bank of, Bank of, Fed, Dow, Nvidia, Apple, BMO Locations: New York, China, Japan, Asia, People's Bank of China, Bank of Japan, Dinah Washington . Washington
Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley downgraded PepsiCo to equal weight. 7 a.m.: FedEx could slide more than 30% as 'structural challenges' are here to stay, Morgan Stanley says Morgan Stanley analyst Ravi Shanker downgraded FedEx to underweight from equal weight after the shipping company's earnings came in below expectations. — Pia Singh 6:33 a.m.: E-commerce stock MercadoLibre has more than 18% upside, according to Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley is bullish on Argentine e-commerce firm MercadoLibre . — Pia Singh 5:49 a.m.: Evercore ISI hikes Amazon price target Evercore ISI is betting big on Amazon's streaming service. — Pia Singh 5:49 a.m.: Morgan Stanley downgrades PepsiCo Don't expect PepsiCo shares to make much headway going forward, according to Morgan Stanley.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ravi Shanker, Shanker, — Pia Singh, Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley, Andrew Ruben, Ruben, Morgan Stanley downgrades ASML, ASML, Lee Simpson, Simpson, Mark Mahaney, Mahaney, Andy Jassy, Dara Mohsenian, OSG, Mohsenian, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, ISI, PepsiCo, FedEx, Semiconductor, Intel, NBA, Amazon Prime, Amazon, Pepsi Locations: FedEx's, Argentine, Argentina, Netherlands, China, Thursday's
That rally may not be sustainable, based on the venerable " Dow Theory ." The century-old Dow Theory looks at the relationship between the Dow Industrials and the Dow Transports , and argues that market trends must be confirmed by both groups. In other words, if the Dow Industrials are going lower, then Transports most also be falling to confirm a prolonged negative run. Right now, investors are presented with the Dow Industrials at all-time highs and Transports barely positive for the year. FDX 5D mountain FDX year to date To be sure, other market trends paint a more positive picture.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Mark Mahaney Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Dow Transports, Transports, FedEx, UPS, Tech, Energy, NBA
The Fed cut rates by a half percentage point on Wednesday, surprising some traders who anticipated a quarter-point reduction. S & P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures were also up sharply, boosted by gains in tech. Data shows gains ahead And the data shows if a recession is avoided, Fed rate cuts lead to strong gains for stocks. The rate cut also took place with the S & P 500 trading around record levels. "Over the past 40 years, the Fed has cut rates 12 times with the S & P 500 within 1% of an all-time highs.
Persons: Canaccord Genuity, Tom Essaye, BTIG, Jake Fuller Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, JPMorgan
7:03 a.m.: Bernstein cuts price target on Nike amid innovation critiques Bernstein sees slightly less room for Nike to rebound. — Alex Harring 6:25 a.m.: Jefferies recommends buying NextEra Energy Partners despite buyout concern Jefferies came out of the gates optimistic on NextEra Energy Partners . Analyst Julien Dumoulin-Smith initiated coverage of the Florida-based renewable energy stock at a buy rating. — Alex Harring 5:54 a.m.: AI helps HubSpot compete, BofA says Bank of America is keeping an eye of HubSpot's artificial intelligence work. — Alex Harring 5:46 a.m.: JPMorgan says to sell Five Below JPMorgan turned bearish on Five Below , citing challenges that are hard to surmount for the value-focused retailer during a tough year.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Bernstein, Aneesha Sherman, Sherman, Alex Harring, BTIG, it's, Jake Fuller, Fuller, DoorDash, — Alex Harring, Jefferies, Julien Dumoulin, Smith, Hertz, Dan Levy, Levy, Avis, HubSpot, BofA, BofA's Brad Sills, Sills, monetization, Matthew Boss, Boss, Abbott, Adam Maeder, necrotizing, ABT, Maeder, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Laboratories, JPMorgan, Nike, Dow Jones, Jefferies, NextEra Energy Partners, Barclays, Hertz, Bank of America, LSEG, Abbott Laboratories Locations: Wednesday's, Florida, Thursday's premarket
7:02 a.m.: JPMorgan hikes Roku price target Roku's focus on monetization for its Platform segment may spell good news for the stock. Analyst Cory Carpenter kept his overweight rating on the stock but upped his price target by $10 to $90. "We believe Lilly's launch of an obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) indication for its GLP-1 medication tirzepatide poses significant patient funnel disruption/distortion risks," the analyst wrote. Analyst Sara Senatore upped its price target by $6 to $118, which implies more than 22% upside from Tuesday's close. "Licensing China would also allow SBUX management to train its focus on the US (73% of 2023 EBITDA before corporate expenses)," the analyst wrote in a Wednesday note.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Cory Carpenter, Carpenter, Roku, TTD, they've, — Sean Conlon, Wolfe, Resmed Wolfe, Mike, Eli Lilly, Sara Senatore, Senatore, Brian Niccol's, Lizzie Dove, Hilton, Dove, Adrienne Yih, Yih, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Marriott International, Barclays, Corp, JPMorgan, Google, Amazon, Bank of America, Marriott, Wyndham, Hilton, VF Corp Locations: Starbucks, China, Tuesday's, Timberland, VFC
Traders across Wall Street expect the Fed to lower rates, ending the tightening cycle that began in March 2022. That said, investors aren't sure how big the rate reduction will be. To be sure, it closed more than 30 points below the closing all-time high of 5,634.58 set in July. We tend to agree with that, but also think the setup for a 'false breakout' remains high," wrote Krinsky. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning , Barclays upgraded VF Corp to overweight from equal weight.
Persons: Chris Murphy, Susquehanna, Jonathan Krinsky, It's, Adrienne Yih Organizations: Federal, Traders, Barclays, Corp
Gold's rally to records shows no signs of slowing
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices just won't stop rising. Year to date, gold is up nearly 26% — outpacing the S & P 500's 18% gain. Since ETF holdings only increase gradually as the Fed cuts, this upside is not yet fully priced in." Investors seeking exposure to gold can obtain it through exchange traded funds, such as the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) . The fund, which tracks gold prices and charges 0.4% in fees, is up nearly 25% in 2024.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lina Thomas, Thomas, Christopher Danely Organizations: Reserve, Goldman, Miners, Gold Miners, Citigroup, Micron Technology
Microsoft — Shares were up about 2% after the tech giant increased its quarterly dividend by 10.7% to 83 cents per share. Shopify — Shares of the e-commerce stock gained 2.6% after Redburn Atlantic upgraded Shopify to buy from neutral. Shopify should continue gaining market share as the U.S. social e-commerce market appears poised for explosive growth over the next few years. AppLovin — The mobile software company rose more than 2% after UBS upgraded shares to buy from neutral. Gannett — Citi upgraded the newspaper company to neutral from sell, sending shares higher by 4%.
Persons: Jefferies, Dell, AppLovin, Gannett, , Fred Imbert, Sarah Min, Sean Conlon, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: Microsoft, Intel, Dell Technologies, Mizuho Securities, UBS, Gannett — Citi Locations: 4Q24
Citi lowered its price target on Micron Technology ahead of earnings. The analyst downgraded the solar photovoltaic system stock to underperform from hold and lowered its price target to $17 per share from $27. The firm upgraded the biotechnology stock to buy from hold and raised its price target to $150 per share from $95. The firm initiated coverage of the personal computing and technology stock with an outperform rating and a $135 per share price target. "Shopify holds a significant advantage in the social ecommerce space, with its breadth of direct social media integrations that are crucial for social ecommerce," Ball added.
Persons: Jefferies downgrades SolarEdge Jefferies, Dushyant Ailani, Brian Evans, BioNTech Jefferies, Jefferies, BioNTech, Akash Tewari, Vijay Rakesh, DELL, — Brian Evans, Dominic Ball, Ball, Shopify, Christopher Danely, Danely, Fred Imbert, ~$ ( ~ $ ~$) Organizations: CNBC, Tuesday, Citi, Micron Technology, Jefferies, BNT327, Mizuho, Dell, Mizuho Securities, Micron, MU Locations: Europe, 2024E, China, Monday's
Evercore ISI lowered its price target on Alphabet to $200 from $225 , citing antitrust worried. Analyst Atif Malik's $130 price target, up from $119, implies that the stock could rally 17% from here. The firm upgraded the software giant to a buy rating and hiked its price target to $210 from $155. The investing firm downgraded the online bank to neutral from buy and removed its $44 price target. — Lisa Kailai Han 5:49 a.m.: Evercore ISI trims Alphabet price target Alphabet's antitrust issues will limit upside going forward, according to Evercore ISI.
Persons: Atif, Malik, — Lisa Kailai Han, Ben Reitzes, Reitzes, BTIG, Vincent Caintic, Caintic, Lisa Kailai Han, KeyBanc, Justin Patterson, Patterson, GE Vernova, Julian Mitchell nodded, Mitchell, Mark Mahaney, Mahaney, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, ISI, Barclays, GE Vernova, Citi, Oracle Melius Research, Oracle, Ally, Spotify, TAM, GE, General Electric, Electric Utilities, DOJ, Google, Microsoft, TAC Locations: Friday's, MI, United States, U.S
The S & P 500 is on the verge of something unexpected — especially for September. The broad market index entered the week less than 1% below a record last reached in July. Krinky isn't the only one on the Street treading carefully with the S & P 500 near record highs. "With the S & P 500 close to our YE 2024 price target again, we remain neutral on the S & P 500 for now," wrote Lori Calvasina, head of global equity research at RBC Capital Markets. "However, after a sharp move lower in 10-year yields, the earnings yield gap for the S & P 500 is starting to head in a more favorable direction for stocks," Calvasina added.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, BTIG, Krinsky, Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, Mark Mahaney Organizations: Traders, Federal, Market Committee, RBC Capital Markets, ISI, of Justice
The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are headed for their fourth weekly gain in five weeks, up 3.5% and 5.3%, respectively. Those gains have come even after a massive but brief intraday sell-off Wednesday — which was quickly erased after the S & P 500 stayed above a key level. .SPX 5D mountain SPX 5-day chart Indeed, after all the wild swings, the S & P 500 is a scant 1.2% below an intraday record of 5,669.67 reached in July. "Erratic price action in equities suggests confusion amid ever changing market narratives," Cau wrote. "Therefore, equity price action may stay volatile and data dependent, until we get more clarity on the economic outlook."
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Emmanuel Cau, Cau Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Wolfe Research, Fed, Barclays Locations: U.S
(This is CNBC Pro's live coverage of Friday's analyst calls and Wall Street chatter. A biotech stock and an energy company were among the names being talked about by analysts on Friday. — Sean Conlon 6:19 a.m.: Pivotal says buy TKO Group A competitive media landscape could mean gains for TKO Group , according to Pivotal Research Group. TKO Group shares are up nearly 41% year to date. TKO YTD mountain TKO in 2024 — Sean Conlon 5:49 a.m.: JPMorgan downgrades Moderna to underweight JPMorgan sees a rocky road ahead for Moderna .
Persons: Raymond James, Srini Pajjuri, — Sean Conlon, Jeffrey Wlodarczak, Jessica Fye, Fye, it's, Ameet, Thakkar, he's, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan, Moderna, BMO Capital Markets, GE Vernova, ARM, Research, JPMorgan downgrades Moderna, Food and Drug Administration, BMO, GE, General, Gas Power, General Electric Locations: Thursday's
The bank raised its price target on MercadoLibre Thursday to $2,500 from $2,225, suggesting 22% upside from Wednesday's close. The bank increased its price target to $230 from $200, implying nearly 16% upside from Wednesday's close. Supino also lifted the firm's price target to $93 a share, reflecting about 33% upside from Wednesday's close. Analyst Adam Berlin lowered his 12-month price target to $29 from $34, implying 6% downside. The investment firm's price target of $159 implies more than 2% downside from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Robert Ford Aguilar, — Michelle Fox, Wells, Wells Fargo, Eric Luebchow, Luebchow, Lisa Kailai Han, Sean Conlon, Wolfe, Peter Supino, Supino, Samantha Subin, BofA, George Staphos, a.m, Adam Berlin, Berlin, IPG, — Sean Conlon, Bernstein, Mark Moerdler, — Lisa Kailai Han, Stifel, Simon Yarmak, Andrea Pistacchi, Brandt Montour, it's, Montour, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Barclays, Bank of America, Diageo, Mercado, Mobile, Sprint, Wolfe Research, UBS downgrades, UBS, billings, GM, Pfizer, Oracle, Simon Property, Property Group, SPG, U.S, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Brazil, Mercado Pago, Wells Fargo, Wells, Roku, Berlin, America, U.S
The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite shed as much as 1.6% and 1.4%, respectively. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq, meanwhile, posted gains of 1.1% and 2.2%, respectively. The comeback came as Wall Street struggles to find its footing in September, with seasonal headwinds and worries over the economy putting pressure on stocks. The S & P 500 has already posted four 1% moves in September. Correction: The Dow on Wednesday closed 124.75 higher, while the S & P 500 and Nasdaq gained 1.1% and 2.2%, respectively.
Persons: whiplash, Dow, Adam Crisafulli, Marco Iachini, Iachini, Steve Sosnick Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Vital, Vanda Research, Interactive Brokers, Dow
6:59 a.m.: Citi raises AT & T price target A wave of improving outlook for telecommunications could benefit shares of AT & T , according to Citi. The firm upgraded the telecommunications company to neutral from sell and left its $350 per share price target unchanged. "Although our 2028 EPS is still c16% ahead of consensus, we now see less scope for earnings outperformance 2024/2025," the analyst added. The firm upgraded the home furnishings stock to buy from hold and increased its price target to $156 per share to $148. His price target of $105, down from $122, implies upside of just 8.7% from Tuesday's close.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Michael Rollins, Rollins, — Brian Evans, Graham Parry, Parry, Sonoma Jefferies, William, Jonathan Matuszewski, Matuszewski, Brian Evans, Goldman Sachs downgrades Morgan Stanley, Richard Ramsden, Ramsden, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Williams, Citi, AT, JV, Apple, Communications Citi, Communications, Charter Communications, Bank of America downgrades Novartis Bank of America, Novartis, William, Elm, Brands, WSM, Goldman Sachs downgrades Morgan Stanley Investors Locations: U.S, Sonoma, Swiss, William, Tuesday's
Investors haven't become super pessimistic on stocks since the recent volatility bout began. Specifically, the firm's Crowd Sentiment Poll — a gauge for intermediate market sentiment — shows excessive optimism among investors after dipping to neutral last month. NDR's nearer-term daily trading composite, meanwhile, points to more neutral sentiment. Wall Street is also anxiously looking ahead to the U.S. presidential election in November. So bottom line: It may take another bout of selling to shake out the weak bullish investors and restart the long-term trend.
Persons: Ned Davis, London Stockton, Goldman Sachs downgrades, Morgan Stanley, Richard Ramsden Organizations: Ned Davis Research, London, Reserve, U.S Locations: NDR's
While many investors have been distracted by the recent drop in leading technology shares, a traditionally overlooked part of the market is seeing a major boom: consumer staples. The S & P 500 consumer staples sector hit a record on Monday, putting it more than 8% higher over the past three months. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said 142,000 jobs were created in August, well below the 161,000 expected by economists. Against this backdrop, we used the CNBC Pro Stock Screener tool to find consumer staple stocks that could outperform going forward. Kroger is expected to gain more than 12% going forward, based on analysts consensus price targets.
Persons: It's, Kroger, Bernstein, Douglas Harned Organizations: Tech, of Labor Statistics, CNBC, Stock, Kroger, Constellation Brands, Bunge Global, Modelo, Bunge, GE Aerospace, GE Locations: U.S
Bank of America sees yet another tailwind for utilities: The sector is a way to play falling interest rates. To that end, CNBC Pro used FactSet data to screen the S & P 1500 utilities sector, looking for companies that meet the following criteria. A total return – the stock price plus the value of reinvested dividends – of at least 10% in 2024. The stock offers a dividend yield of 3.0% and has a 2024 total return of nearly 23%. Year to date, the stock has a total return of nearly 38%, and it offers a dividend yield of 2.5%.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Garrick Rochow, Morgan Stanley, David Arcaro, Diego's, , Fred Imbert Organizations: Constellation Energy, NRG Energy, Mizuho Securities, Bank of America, Utilities, Real, CNBC Pro, Street, CMS Energy, Consumers Energy, CMS, NextEra, Management, Google, CNBC, PPL Locations: Jackson, Michigan, , Florida, 1Q24, Allentown, Penn
Deutsche Bank resumed coverage of Tesla with a buy rating, calling it a top pick. He also notched his price target $4 higher to $80, implying shares could gain 16.6% from Monday's close. Along with the new iPhone 16 line, the company unveiled Apple Intelligence for beta rollout next month, or new artificial intelligence capabilities for the iPhone. The iPhone 16 and 16 Plus are available for pre-order starting Friday. "At the core, we do not see Tesla as an automaker but rather a technology platform attempting to reshape multiple industries, deserving of a unique type of valuation framework," the analyst wrote.
Persons: Andrew Obin, Obin, — Hakyung Kim, David Vogt, Vogt, Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Woodring, Goldman Sachs, Michael Ng, Ng, Bernstein, Douglas Harned, Harned, Daniela Nedialkova, Hakyung Kim, Tesla, Edison Yu, Yu, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Deutsche Bank, Atlantic, Costco, Bank of America, Johnson, Wall Street, Apple Intelligence, UBS, Apple, GE Aerospace GE Aerospace, GE Aerospace, GE Locations: Monday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCNBC Pro Talks: Mike Khouw on getting the most out of options and how to trade market turbulenceCNBC Pro Talks features one-on-one interviews with Wall Street's top investors, smartest traders and rising stars. CNBC's Dominic Chu finds out what makes them tick, what makes them money, and how you can follow in their footsteps.
Persons: Mike Khouw, Wall, CNBC's Dominic Chu Organizations: CNBC
Cleanspark released its mining update for August, which showed that it mined 478 bitcoins last month. Vaxcyte – Shares were recently up more than 36% and earlier hit a record high after the vaccine company reported positive results from the Phase 1/2 study for its 31-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine candidate. Semiconductor stocks – Shares of some of the biggest chipmakers fell during the first trading session of the month. Last week, shares fell 19% on news of its filing delay and Hindenburg's disclosed short position. United States Steel – Shares fell around 6% after Vice President Kamala Harris opposed the planned sale of U.S. Steel to Japan's Nippon Steel at a Labor Day rally for union members in Pittsburgh.
Persons: Cleanspark, Vaxcyte, Leerink, Morgan Stanley, Redfin, Charles Liang, Hindenburg's, Hindenburg, Kamala Harris, Harris, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh, Jesse Pound, Fred Imbert, Michelle Fox Organizations: Leerink Partners, Boeing, Riley Securities, Semiconductor, KLA, Nvidia, Micron Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Broadcom, Hindenburg, Securities and Exchange, United States Steel, Steel, Japan's Nippon Steel, Labor, U.S Locations: Wells, U.S, Pittsburgh, American
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