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A fresh market projection by the Bank of Japan on Friday hints at a possible intervention of around $22 billion into the currency markets as the country tries to prop up the ailing yen . The Japanese currency popped 3% against the dollar late Thursday as the market responded to surprisingly soft U.S. inflation data. On Friday, daily current account balance data from the Bank of Japan projected that a drain of 3.17 trillion yen ($20 billion) will occur on July 16. This compares to an earlier forecast for a surplus of around 400 billion yen, according to news agencies the Nikkei and Reuters, leaving a surprise 3.57 trillion yen ($22.49 billion) gap in the finances. This is expected to have been spent on currency intervention on Thursday, with foreign exchange transactions taking two working days to settle.
Persons: Masato Kanda, wasn't Organizations: Bank of Japan, Reuters, Nikkei, Ministry of Finance, Jiji Press, CNBC Locations: Tokyo
People stand outside a money changer looking at the rates of the Japanese yen against foreign currencies, along a street in central Tokyo on April 29, 2024. The dollar lost around 2% against the Japanese yen on Thursday as the market was suddenly jolted by fresh inflation U.S. data. The dollar rose as the U.S. reacted to its lowest CPI (consumer price index) reading in more than three years. But it comes at a time when traders are on high alert for more yen intervention from Japanese authorities as they try to prop up its ailing currency. Masato Kanda, the vice-minister of finance for international affairs of the Ministry of Finance, told Jiji Press that he was not in a position to comment on any possible intervention.
Persons: Kit Juckes, Marc Ostwald, Masato Kanda, wasn't Organizations: U.S, Reuters, Societe Generale, CNBC, ADM Investor Services, CPI, Ministry of Finance, Jiji Press Locations: Tokyo, London, JPY
SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesThe U.S. Federal Reserve may start cutting interest rates before year's end. How interest rates impact the U.S. dollarIn reality, the dynamics driving dollar fluctuations are more complex than whether the Fed raises or lowers interest rates. The European Central Bank cut interest rates in June, for example. This is happening against the backdrop of a relatively strong U.S. economy, which also generally supports a strong dollar, Petersen said. For example, investors generally get a better return on cash when interest rates are high.
Persons: SeongJoon Cho, Jonathan Petersen, Petersen, " Petersen, that's, Richard Madigan, Benjamin Atwater, Atwater, Morgan's Madigan, Jerome Powell, Bonnie Cash Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, . Federal, U.S ., Capital Economics, U.S, Morgan Private Bank, European Central Bank, Fed, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, ECB Locations: Japan, Asia, Denver, Europe, U.S
The Chinese yuan made up 99.6% of Russian foreign exchange market in June, Bloomberg reported. This comes after the dollar and euro were barred from Russia's main exchange. One expert predicted this would happen, claiming the yuan would become Russia's main trade currency "once and for all." AdvertisementAverage daily volumes in the foreign exchange market contracted by close to a third in the month's second half, the bank report said. AdvertisementHowever, a surge of Russian demand for the Chinese currency has created a yuan liquidity shortage, Bloomberg separately reported.
Persons: , Moex, Alexandra Prokopenko Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, of, Moscow Exchange, Treasury, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Bank of Locations: of Russia, Moscow, Russia, Beijing, Bank of Russia
Read previewNate Anderson, the chief mind behind activist short-seller Hindenburg Research, has had an eventful past 18 months. AdvertisementDetailed below is the considerable back-and-forth that's taken place since Hindenburg's initial shot across the bow of Adani Group. It cited "numerous examples"of those companies funneling money through private companies owned by Adani, before cash was set to Adani's listed public companies. AdvertisementThe short-seller's investigation also found Adani's private and public companies to have "numerous" undisclosed transactions with other parties, the researchers found, which violates regulatory laws in India. Conflict over Hindenburg's short-selling arrangementIndian regulators have raised specific questions about the structure of Hindenburg's short bet on Adani Group.
Persons: , Nate Anderson, Gautam Adani, Hindenburg, it's, Anderson, Gautam, Hindenburg's, Adani, SEC —, Kingdon, who's, he's, Nikola, Carl Icahn Organizations: Service, Hindenburg, Business, Group, Adani, Adani Group, Hindenburg Research, The Securities, Exchange Board, SEC, Kingdon Capital Management, Regulators, Lordstown Motors, Icahn Enterprises, New York Times, Times, charlatans Locations: India, Manhattan, Adani, New York
“What worries policymakers is the interest rate risk, which will rise once the dominant narrative shifts from deflation to reflation,” Hu from Macquarie said. If that happens, bond yields will rise as investors switch back into riskier stocks. The country’s “4,000 or so small and medium-sized banks” will be particularly vulnerable to the interest rate risk, he added. “The bubble formed by the rush of funds into the bond market is accumulating interest rate risks,” the Securities Times said in an editorial. Economic risksThe rapid decline in Chinese bond yields also poses significant risks to the economy.
Persons: , , Pan Gongsheng, SVB, Larry Hu, ” Hu, Macquarie, Hu, Zhang Jiqiang, Ken Cheung Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Silicon Valley Bank, People’s Bank of China, prudential, , Federal Reserve, Macquarie Group, Zheshang Securities, Securities Times, Japan’s Norinchukin Bank, Huatai Securities, Mizuho Securities Locations: Hong Kong, Silicon, United States, Shanghai, China, Beijing, SVB, outflows
Jeff Greenberg | Universal Images Group | Getty ImagesIn a lyric on her latest album, Beyoncé sings "denim on denim, on denim, on denim." Levi Strauss executives are ecstatic. Western wear is booming as consumers opt for top-to-bottom denim looks, the iconic, 171-year-old clothing maker said on Wednesday. Sales of denim skirts, jumpsuits and dresses all at least doubled in the latest quarter, Gass said. On the other hand, Levi Strauss earned 16 cents per share, excluding items, ahead of the 11-cent average estimate by analysts.
Persons: LEVI, Jeff Greenberg, Beyoncé, Levi Strauss, jean, Michelle Gass, Levi's, Carter, Louis Vuitton, Taylor, Gass, Levi, " Gass, Wall, Lee Organizations: Orlando Vineland, Universal, Getty, LSEG, CNBC, Dockers, Kontoor Brands Locations: Florida, Levi's, California, Kohl's
As Wall Street digested the dismal outlook from the world's largest sportswear company, at least six investment banks downgraded Nike's stock. Analysts at Morgan Stanley and Stifel took it a step further, specifically calling the company's management into question. The company also said it expects fiscal 2025 sales to be down mid-single digits when it previously expected them to grow. If you ask Phil Knight, Nike's founder and its chairman emeritus, Donahoe is doing just fine. "I am optimistic in Nike's future and John Donahoe has my unwavering confidence and full support."
Persons: Jim Duffy, Morgan Stanley, Stifel, Donahoe, Matt Friend, That's, Hoka, Jessica Ramírez, Jane Hali, Nike didn't, they've, Kevin McCarthy, Neuberger Berman, CNBC's Scott Wapner, " McCarthy, They've, you've, it's, he's, Phil Knight, John Donahoe Organizations: Nike, eBay, Air Force, Air, Associates, CNBC Locations: 2HCY25, China, , U.S
Dollar barges past 161 yen and eyes quarterly rise
  + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar was headed for a second straight quarterly gain and jumped to a near four-decade high on the battered yen in Asia trade on Friday, ahead of a crucial U.S. inflation reading. The dollar was headed for a second straight quarterly gain and jumped to a near four-decade high on the battered yen in Asia trade on Friday, ahead of a crucial U.S. inflation reading. At 172.37 per euro it traded at a lifetime low on the common currency as yen bears test authorities' resolve. The New Zealand dollar dipped 0.3% to $0.6065 on Friday, but was up 1.5% for the quarter. The U.S. dollar index was 0.2% stronger at 106.07 on Friday for a 1.5% quarterly rise.
Persons: Ray Attrill, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, NAB's Attrill Organizations: Republican, Democratic, New Zealand, U.S, Federal Locations: Asia, Tokyo, Australia, Sydney, Atlanta, U.S
Sri Lanka's President Ranil Wickremesinghe announced a debt restructuring deal with countries including India, France, Japan and China in a televised address to the nation Wednesday. Sri Lanka President Media Division / Handout | Anadolu Agency | Getty ImagesSri Lanka's President Ranil Wickremesinghe announced a debt restructuring deal with countries including India, France, Japan and China in a televised address to the nation Wednesday. Furthermore, Sri Lanka will be able to repay all the loans on concessional terms, with an extended period until 2043. By 2022, Sri Lanka had to repay about $6 billion in foreign debt every year, amounting to about 9.2% of gross domestic product. The agreement would enable Sri Lanka to maintain debt payments at less than 4.5% of GDP between 2027 and 2032.
Persons: Ranil Wickremesinghe, Sri Lanka, Wickremesinghe Organizations: Sri, Sri Lanka President Media, Anadolu Agency, Getty, International Monetary Fund, China's Exim Bank Locations: India, France, Japan, China, Sri Lanka, Paris, Beijing, Sri Lankans
The jeans creator on Wednesday posted fiscal second quarter revenue that fell just short of Wall Street's expectations at a time when shoppers are stocking their wardrobes with denim dresses, skirts and ultra-low-rise baggy pants. It's not clear how sales at Docker's were affected by the timing of Levi's wholesale orders. The changes are necessary because nearly half of Levi's sales these days are coming from its own website and stores. During the quarter, wholesale revenue grew 7%, but excluding the shift in timing of wholesale orders, sales in the channel decreased 4%. Singh noted that wholesale revenue improved on a sequential basis, but the company has a "conservative" view of the channel's growth moving forward.
Persons: hasn't, Levi Strauss, Levi's, Harmit Singh, Singh, Michelle Gass Organizations: LSEG, Finance, CNBC, Levi's, Nike Locations: U.S, Europe, Macy's
Steady dollar sends yen to the brink of 160
  + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar was firm on Wednesday and trading on the precipice of the 160 yen barrier as investors turned cautious and counted down to the release of U.S. price data at the end of the week. The dollar was firm on Wednesday and trading on the precipice of the 160 yen barrier as investors turned cautious and counted down to the release of U.S. price data at the end of the week. The Australian dollar dipped 0.1% to $0.6640 and the New Zealand dollar similarly slipped to $0.6115, with small moves reflecting thin trade. Sterling was steady at $1.268, while bitcoin has recovered somewhat from a dip below $60,000 this week to trade at $61,668. "The yen moves more, and yuan moves are more controlled, but they seldom move in opposite directions," said Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes.
Persons: Pat Bustamante, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, bitcoin, Kit Juckes Organizations: Canadian, Westpac, Federal, Fed, New Zealand, Citi, Sterling, Generale Locations: Asia, U.S, China
Photographs and news agency reports showed protesters clashing in the streets of Kenyan capital Nairobi on Tuesday, as the African state passed a controversial finance bill set to raise national taxes. Kenya's Human Rights Commission on Tuesday shared a video of officers shooting at protesters, calling for accountability. At least 50 people were injured by gunfire during the latest demonstrations, Reuters reported, citing a local paramedic outside of the parliament. The news agency further said sections of the parliament building were set on fire, as the compound was stormed. Blood has already been shed in similar protests, after two people died in separate demonstrations held last week, the Associated Press reported.
Organizations: Kenyan, Rights, Reuters, CNBC, Kenyan Police Service, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Associated Press Locations: Nairobi, Kenya
Dollar steady ahead of inflation reading; yen teeters toward 160
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar was steady on Monday as traders looked ahead to fresh clues on the U.S. inflation path that will likely influence interest rates, while talk from Japanese authorities did little to temper the yen's decline back the round number of 160. The dollar was steady on Monday as traders looked ahead to fresh clues on the U.S. inflation path that will likely influence interest rates, while talk from Japanese authorities did little to temper the yen's decline back the round number of 160. The yen weakened to 159.94 per dollar in early trade on Monday, its lowest since April 29, when the yen touched a 34-year low of 160.245 leading to Japanese authorities spending some 9.8 trillion yen to support the currency. "The combination of slowing activity, a loosening labor market and slower inflation readings make us increasingly confident that the Fed will begin reducing policy rates in September," Citi said. The Australian dollar was last at $0.6640 and the New Zealand dollar was little changed at $0.6113.
Persons: Masato Kanda, Carol Kong, Emmanuel Macron, Christopher Wong Organizations: Bank of, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Reuters, Citi, Fed, National, New Zealand Locations: Japan, U.S
CNBC Daily Open: S&P 500 briefly crosses 5,500, closes lower
  + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. S&P 500 slips from record highThe S&P 500 briefly passed the 5,500 mark for the first time before ending the session lower. Open AI challengerAnthropic, a leading AI competitor to OpenAI, unveiled Claude 3.5 Sonnet, its most advanced AI model to date. [PRO] AI real estateCiti analysts pinpoint a "compelling emerging" real estate trend fueled by AI and nearshoring.
Persons: Gilead, Anthropic, Claude, Donald Trump's, Trump, Masato Kanda Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Gilead Sciences, Google, Trump Media, New, Nikkei, Bank of, Reuters, United, CSI, Citi Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Japan, United States, Asia, Pacific
Mike Segar | ReutersBEIJING — Chinese authorities this week announced new policy for supporting venture capital, raising hopes for faster approvals of initial public offerings in the near future. The new policy included a section on expanding exit channels for venture capital, with an emphasis on supporting companies with technological breakthroughs. Investors, especially those who put U.S. dollars into China-based venture capital funds, have preferred IPOs in the U.S. as the largest and most liquid market. Separately, the U.S. has increased its scrutiny of U.S. capital going into China, especially military-related entities. The China Securities Regulatory Commission has increased fines for misleading investors and clarified requirements for overseas IPOs.
Persons: Mike Segar, Marcia Ellis, Morrison Foerster, Ellis, Winston Ma, Ming Liao, Didi, Morrison Foerster's Ellis, Fang Xinghai, Fang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, State Council, U.S, Venture, NYU School of Law, Investors, Prospect, CNBC, China Securities Regulatory Commission Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Reuters BEIJING, China, Prospect Avenue, Hong Kong, London
New US sanctions against Russia have caused an immediate suspension of trading in dollars and euros on the country’s leading financial marketplace, the Moscow Exchange. “Due to the introduction of restrictive measures by the United States against the Moscow Exchange Group, exchange trading and settlements of deliverable instruments in US dollars and euros are suspended,” the central bank said. The move means banks, companies and investors will no longer be able to trade either currency via a central exchange, which offers advantages such as better liquidity and oversight. The central bank said it would use data from those trades to set official exchange rates. The central bank reassured people these deposits were secure.
Persons: MOEX Organizations: Moscow Exchange, Moscow Exchange Group, , Reuters, Moscow, Norvik Bank, Tsifra Bank, US Treasury, Investments, Forbes Russia, MOEX, Clearing Locations: Russia, Moscow, Russian, Washington, Ukraine, United States, Beijing,
India: Policy continuity will be welcomed, economist says
  + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIndia: Policy continuity will be welcomed, economist saysDhiraj Nim, economist and foreign exchange strategist at ANZ Research, says, however, that "reform momentum may partially slow down."
Persons: Dhiraj Nim Organizations: ANZ Research
The dollar posted its first monthly decline of the year in May, weighed down by shifting expectations on when the U.S. central bank will cut rates and by how much. Traders are now pricing in about a 53% chance of a rate cut in September, versus about 49% before the report. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.067% lower at 104.51 on Monday. Sterling was 0.04% higher at $1.27475, while the euro last fetched $1.085325 ahead of the European Central Bank policy meeting on Thursday when the central bank is seen as almost certain to cut rates. The comments from ECB officials will be in focus for traders along with economic projections as they assess whether the central bank will provide further cuts after Thursday in the wake of data showing a rise in euro zone inflation in May.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Sterling, Chris Weston, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Annex Wealth Management, European Central Bank, ECB, Japan's Ministry of Finance, U.S, IG Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, U.S, Tokyo
How the world got into $315 trillion of debt
  + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Nessa Anwar | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
In 2024, global gross domestic product — or GDP — amounted to $109.5 trillion dollars — slightly over a third of that global debt number. So, with global debt at a record high, should you be concerned? The first debt wave originated from Latin America in the 1980s, which led 16 countries in that region to restructure their borrowings. Global debt rose to 256 percent of GDP in 2020, a 28-percentage point increase - and the biggest one-year debt rise since the Second World War. The fourth wave has been the biggest, fastest and most wide-ranging rise in debt we've seen since World War II.
Persons: we've Organizations: World Bank, International Monetary Fund, United Locations: Prussian, Civil, United States, America, Asia, U.S, Europe, Zambia, Japan, China, India, Mexico
Dollar firm ahead of global inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-05-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar made a steady start to the week, as investors were focused on U.S., European and Japanese inflation data to guide the global interest rate outlook. The euro , which gained 0.9% on the dollar last week, was in the middle of a range it has held for more than a year at $1.0846. German inflation on Wednesday and euro zone readings on Friday will be watched for confirmation of a European rate cut that traders have priced for next week. The dollar had fallen back after data showed a slowdown in consumer price rises in April and disappointing retail sales, before strengthening last week thanks to better-than-expected PMI survey data. China's yuan finished last week weaker than 7.24 per dollar, its lowest level since early May.
Persons: Sterling, Bob Savage, BNY, China's, Scott Gold, would've, Justin D'Anethan Organizations: New, U.S, Federal, Swiss, Tokyo CPI Locations: Britain, United States, U.S, Asia, New York
A youth walks past the entrance of the Reserve Bank of India head office in Mumbai on Nov. 17, 2021. The board of India's central bank approved a record surplus transfer of 2.11 trillion rupees ($25.35 billion) to the government for the fiscal year ended March, sharply above analysts' and government projections. The government had budgeted a dividend of 1.02 trillion rupees from the Reserve Bank of India, state-run banks and other financial institutions, interim budget estimates for the fiscal year 2024/25 show. The RBI board also decided to raise the contingency risk buffer (CRB) to 6.5% from 6% previously. Analysts had expected a surplus transfer in the range of 750 billion rupees to 1.2 trillion rupees, aided by strong foreign exchange earnings.
Persons: Garima Kapoor Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, Elara Locations: Mumbai, India's
TJX Companies shares climbed to an all-time high Wednesday after reporting better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter results Wednesday. Executives also said they see further ability to grow because TJX is becoming an increasingly important channel for its vendors. In the quarter, TJX returned a total of $886 million to shareholders in the quarter, with $609 million coming via buybacks and another $377 in dividend payments. Full year sales guidance was revised lower by about $150 million at the midpoint due to foreign exchange dynamics. Comparable same store sales guidance was left unchanged.
Persons: Wednesday's, Ernie Herrman, TJX, Herrman, we're, HomeGoods, John Klinger, Klinger, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, TJMaxx, Jeff Greenberg Organizations: TJX Companies, LSEG, TJX, Marshalls, Ross Stores, Burlington Stores, Consumers, Companies, TJX Canada, Management, CNBC, Universal, Getty Locations: Maxx, HomeGoods, U.S, buybacks, Canada, Florida, Port
Practically no one is phasing out the dollar for trade or foreign reserves, he said. No one is dumping dollars," Christian said of de-dollarization in a recent presentation. Its closest competitor, the euro, accounted for just 19% of all central bank reserves in 2022, down from around 29% several decades ago. Advertisement"There has been a diversification of central bank foreign exchange holdings, but it's not at the expense of the dollar, and it's not away from the dollar," Christian said. "Clearly people are buying dollars in a much greater volume than they are selling dollars," Christian said.
Persons: Jeffrey Christian, , Christian, it's, Chris Wallace, Wallace Organizations: CPM, Service, Bank of International Settlements, Monetary Fund, Federal Locations: Russia, China
There's one major thing the West could, but won't, do: kill all Russian banks' access to the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, or SWIFT. 'Russia's economy is in deep, deep trouble'Despite the West's frustration with how Russia's economy still appears to be holding up, the sanctions appear to be finally working. "In five years, you're going see a really disastrous slowdown in the Russian economy," said Portes, who called for stronger sanctions enforcement. AdvertisementIn April 2022, Russia's central bank governor Elvira Nabiullina warned Russia's reserves can't last forever. "A significant problem is that they are running out of foreign exchange reserves, and you can't create foreign reserves," Portes added.
Persons: , hasn't, SWIFT, Alex Capri, Richard Portes, Portes, Alexander Kolyandr, Elvira Nabiullina, Russia's Organizations: Service, West, Society, Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, Business, SWIFT, European Union, National University of Singapore, US Customs Service, London Business School, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Central Bank of Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Russian, SWIFT, Capri, Asia Pacific, Europe, India, China, Central Bank of Russia, Russia's
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