Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "FiveThirtyEight"


25 mentions found


With Trump absent, Vivek Ramaswamy was the center of attention at the first GOP presidential debate. He argued with high-profile candidates all evening but didn't speak a word against Trump. Trump declared Ramaswamy the night's winner for supporting him. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. "This answer gave Vivek Ramaswamy a big WIN in the debate because of a thing called TRUTH," Trump wrote.
Persons: Vivek Ramaswamy, Trump . Trump, Ramaswamy, Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Pence, Chris Christie, gunning, Nikki Haley's, Christie, Barack Obama, isn't, who's, Trump, Tucker Carlson, Vivek Organizations: Trump, Trump ., Service, GOP, New, New Jersey Gov, White, Republican, Truth, WIN Locations: Wall, Silicon, USSR, New Jersey, FiveThirtyEight, Indiana
Presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy was the breakout star of the first GOP debate on Wednesday. According to a series of polls taken by the Washington Post/FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos in the lead up to the first Republican presidential debate, 13% of Republican primary voters had an "unfavorable" view of Ramaswamy before he took the stage. After the debate, the poll found, 26% of potential primary voters who watched the debate rated Ramaswamy the winner, behind only DeSantis. Throughout the debate, Ramaswamy jumped in as often as he could, seizing the second-largest portion of speaking time, according to the New York Times. The other candidates, however, didn't let Ramaswamy simply get away with his repeated attacks on the debate stage.
Persons: Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Chris Christie, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, didn't, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Trump, , Andrew Yang Organizations: Service, Washington Post, Republican, New York Times, New, New Jersey Gov, South Carolina Gov, White, Trump, GOP, Democratic, Trump Administration, Biden Administration Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Jersey
A new poll shows that likely GOP primary voters vastly prefer a candidate who respects election rules. Trump maintains a 37.7 percentage point average lead in national polls over his opponents. He has been indicted by 2 grand juries for attempting to overturn the 2020 presidential election. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. And in the event he faces prison time, 52% of Republicans said they wouldn't vote for him, either.
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, GOP Sen, Bill Cassidy, Jack Smith's Organizations: GOP, Service, Washington Post, Republican, FiveThirtyEight, Gov, Trump Locations: Wall, Silicon, Florida
Chris Christie thinks Trump is skipping the GOP primary debates because he's scared of him. Trump is averaging 52.5% support in the 2024 Republican primary, according to FiveThirtyEight. The former president is currently averaging 52.5% support in the Republican primary, per FiveThirtyEight's weighted average. On Sunday night, Trump made it clear he will not be attending the first GOP primary debate in Milwaukee on Wednesday. "Christie, he's eating right now, he can't be bothered," Trump recently said at a New Hampshire rally.
Persons: Chris Christie, Trump, FiveThirtyEight, Christie, Donald Trump, Tucker Carlson, Joe Biden, he's Organizations: Republican, Service, Politico, Fox News, CBS, Energy Independence, Military, New, Trump Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Jersey, Milwaukee, New Hampshire
The first Republican presidential debate is scheduled for August 23, 2023, in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Without Trump at the debate, seven other candidates are set to make their cases for the White House. Here's a look at how the debate is coming together, as the GOP candidates had to meet a set of criteria to even appear onstage. Christie, once a close ally of Trump, has consistently been the fiercest critic of the former president in the GOP race. Suarez, should he make it onstage, will likely just focus on boosting his profile to GOP voters beyond South Florida.
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Trump —, Ramaswamy, Mike Pence, Sen, Tim Scott of, Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Nikki Haley, Miami Mayor Francis Suarez, Asa Hutchinson of, Vivek Ramaswamy, Scott Eisen, dethrone Trump, DeSantis, Christie, who's, Pence, Burgum, Haley, Alex Brandon Haley, Scott, Hutchinson, Suarez Organizations: GOP, White, Service, Trump, Republican, Gov, Fox News, Fox Nation, Miami Mayor, Republican National Committee, DeSantis, Daily, Politico, UN, Palmetto State, Republicans, New, Capitol Locations: Milwaukee , Wisconsin, Wall, Silicon, Florida, Milwaukee, Iowa, New Hampshire , Nevada, South Carolina, Tim Scott of South Carolina, North Dakota, New Jersey, Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas, Nazi, United States, Palmetto, Israel, New Hampshire, South Florida
Former President Donald Trump won't be attending the first presidential debate on August 23. Instead, according to the New York Times, he'll be interviewed online by Tucker Carlson. In March, filings in a defamation lawsuit revealed that Carlson privately trashed Trump: "I hate him personally." The Times reports that Trump will be interviewed by Carlson in "an online interview" at a time to be determined. A defamation suit between Dominion Voting Systems and Fox News revealed that Carlson privately trashed Trump in text messages.
Persons: Donald Trump, he'll, Tucker Carlson, Carlson, Trump, he'd, he's, who's, Chris Christie Organizations: New York Times, Trump, Service, Fox News, Truth, Times, GOP, Florida Gov, PAC, New, New Jersey Gov, Dominion Voting Systems Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Jersey
In a new court filing, Disney asks for damages and alleges Florida violated its contracts. It's the latest in a lawsuit in which the Florida board says Disney shouldn't have total power over its district. Disney said in the document that it "has fully complied with any and all of its obligations under the Contracts." The company alleged that the Florida board "repudiated its duty" to adhere to the contract. As the lawsuit between Disney and the Central Florida Tourism Oversight District continues to proceed, DeSantis has been on the presidential campaign trail.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Disney, Bob Iger, DeSantis, Trump, who's Organizations: Disney, Gov, Service, Florida, CNN, DeSantis, District, Central, FiveThirtyEight Locations: Florida, Wall, Silicon, Reedy, Central Florida
The first GOP presidential debate is scheduled for August 23. A strategy memo suggests DeSantis should defend Trump following any attacks from Gov. Ron DeSantis' presidential campaign urges him to defend former President Donald Trump from any personal attacks by fellow candidate Chris Christie. Among the documents included on the site was a debate memo giving DeSantis and his campaign general advice about how to approach the first Republican presidential debate. "Trump isn't here so let's just leave him alone," the memo suggests DeSantis could say in response.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Chris Christie, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Joe Biden, Vivek Ramaswamy, Trump, he'd, Christie, who's Organizations: PAC, Trump, Gov, Service, Florida Gov, New York Times, MSNBC, GOP, FiveThirtyEight Locations: Wall, Silicon, Christie, New Jersey, New Hampshire
Ron DeSantis refused to say how he would respond if one of his children is gay. DeSantis has fought to pass restrictions in Florida on how gender identity and other topics can be taught. But when asked by Time Magazine how he would respond if one of his three kids turned out to be gay or trans, he didn't have much to say. DeSantis' presidential campaign has been struggling, to put it mildly. As of today, according to FiveThirtyEight, DeSantis trails Trump by nearly 40 percentage points in major national polls.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Molly Ball, he's, Time's Molly Ball, He's, Donald Trump, Chris Christie Organizations: Service, Disney, Time Magazine Locations: Florida, Wall, Silicon, New Hampshire, FiveThirtyEight, Trump
The average US president has been charged with 1.9 felonies. The fact is a result of former President Donald Trump being a statistical outlier: he alone has been charged with 91 felonies. Before Donald Trump, the average number felonies charged per president was zero. Trump has been charged with a whopping 91 felonies total across four indictments, two federal and one each in Georgia and New York. According to an average of national polls deemed "major" by FiveThirtyEight, Trump currently draws in an average of 52.7% support, nearly 38 percentage points ahead of Florida Gov.
Persons: Donald Trump, He's, Georg, Trump, Ron DeSantis, who's Organizations: Service, GOP, FiveThirtyEight, Trump, Florida Gov Locations: Wall, Silicon, United States, Georgia, New York, Florida
Trump has denied wrongdoing in all the cases, saying “the witch hunt continues” in response to the Georgia state court indictment on alleged interference in the 2020 election results. This is true purely as a practical matter, regardless of what Republicans or anyone else think of the merits of the legal cases against him. Paradoxically, the state cases could be an even bigger problem in this area than either of special counsel Jack Smith’s. If convicted of a state crime, Trump wouldn’t possess even the theoretical ability to pardon himself after the election. Unless the reality of the political danger these indictments pose soon sets in, Republicans could be sleepwalking toward disaster in 2024.
Persons: James Antle III, Donald Trump, James Antle, James Antle III Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, don’t, Biden, president’s surrogates, Jack Smith’s, Brian Kemp, doesn’t, Kemp Organizations: Washington Examiner, CNN, Republican, GOP, White, Democrats, Democratic, Justice Department, Republicans, Biden Justice Department, ABC, Trump, Twitter, Facebook, Republican Gov, New York’s Democratic Locations: Georgia, New York, Iowa, Fulton
He's the latest former DeSantis ally to take a shot at the governor's struggling presidential campaign. Gruters told The Washington Post that he "fully expected the downfall" of DeSantis' campaign. DeSantis' campaign has clearly struggled early on. Rep. Byron Donalds, another former DeSantis ally who also endorsed Trump, said he knew that DeSantis just didn't excel at building relationships. A representative for DeSantis' campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Persons: Joe Gruters, Ron DeSantis, Gruters, It's, DeSantis, Donald Trump, Byron Donalds, Trump, Donalds, Paul Renner, He's, I'm, Renner Organizations: Florida GOP, Gov, Washington Post, Service, Former, Former Florida GOP, Trump, Florida Republican, Republican, GOP, Florida's Locations: Florida, Wall, Silicon, Former Florida, Washington
Harris to play a leading role in Biden's 2024 campaign
  + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Emma Kinery | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
US Vice President Kamala Harris speaks about the impact of "Bidenomics," at Sycamore and Oak retail village in the Congress Heights neighborhood of Washington, DC, on August 4, 2023. Be prepared to see a lot more of Vice President Kamala Harris. The central role that Harris will play in President Joe Biden's reelection effort was laid out in a campaign memo Friday, that coincided with the three year anniversary of Biden's tapping Harris to be his running mate. The role could provide Harris with an opportunity to redefine herself after a mixed tenure as vice president. But it's not just Democrats who are eager to see Harris on the campaign trail.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Joe Biden's, ", Biden, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Becca Siegel, Chavez Rodriguez, Sandy, it's Organizations: Biden, Democratic, Safety, Republicans, California Democrat Locations: Sycamore, Heights, Washington, Chicago, Sandy Hook, California
Ron DeSantis suspended Democratic State Attorney Monique Worrell. It was the second time in just over a year DeSantis has suspended an elected, Democrat-identifying state attorney. Florida's Attorney General, Ashley Moody, called Worrell's suspension, "democracy in action." Ron DeSantis on Thursday after he suspended an elected state attorney, calling it "democracy in action." While appearing on "Fox & Friends First," Moody was asked if it was controversial that DeSantis singlehandedly removed an elected official from office.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Monique Worrell, Ashley Moody, Andrew Bain, Moody, DeSantis, , Worrell, Donald Trump, Generra Peck, James Uthmeier, didn't Organizations: Florida Gov, Democratic, Service, Republican, Orange, Orange County Court, Fox & Friends Locations: Florida, Wall, Silicon, Orange County
Ron DeSantis suspended State Attorney Andrew Warren, alleging he picked and chose which laws to enforce. Just over a year later, on Wednesday, DeSantis suspended State Attorney Monique Worrell, citing a "neglect of duty and incompetence." In a published opinion piece, Warren claimed that DeSantis suspended Worrell because he "is desperate to rescue his presidential campaign." On Wednesday, just over a year after Warren's suspension, DeSantis suspended State Attorney Monique Worrell, citing a "neglect of duty and incompetence." DeSantis' decision to suspend Worrell on Wednesday comes as his campaign trails behind former President Donald Trump in polling.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Andrew Warren, DeSantis, Monique Worrell, Warren, Worrell, he's, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Florida Gov, Service, Daily, Gov Locations: Florida, Wall, Silicon, Orlando
Social media users are calling out former Vice President Mike Pence for his new campaign video. The clip features Pence pretending to pump gas into his truck, when he's clearly not. He talked about energy prices for a full minute, but failed to pay for gas or squeeze the pump handle. "Hey, everybody, Mike Pence here," he said in the video, grabbing a gas pump nozzle. People commenting on his video also noted that Pence neither paid for his gas nor selected the fuel he wanted.
Persons: Mike Pence, Pence, he's, Joe Biden, Mike, Mehmet Oz's, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy Organizations: Service, Twitter, White, GOP Locations: Wall, Silicon, United States
Ron DeSantis just suspended an elected Democratic state attorney. He said State Attorney Monique Worrell neglected her duty as a prosecutor. This is the second time in just over a year that DeSantis suspended an elected, Democratic state attorney. Ron DeSantis just replaced an elected Democratic state prosecutor, the second time he's done so in just over a year. Worrell, a Democrat, was elected as Florida's Ninth Judicial Circuit State Attorney in November 2020, where she garnered 66.6 percent of the final vote against her Republican opponent.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Monique Worrell, DeSantis, Andrew Bain, Worrell, Andrew Warren, Warren, Donald Trump, Trump, Generra Peck, James Uthmeier Organizations: Florida Gov, Democratic, Service, Orange, Orange County Court, Democrat, Judicial Circuit, Republican Locations: Wall, Silicon, Orange County, Central Florida, FiveThirtyEight
Ron DeSantis keeps hiring people to lead his campaign who have no national campaign experience. Ron DeSantis keeps putting rookies in charge as he attempts to take control of his sinking campaign. When DeSantis launched his presidential campaign in May 2023, he chose trusted ally Generra Peck as his campaign manager. The inexperience at the top may have hurt DeSantis' presidential ambitions. As his campaign continues to circle the drain, it would make sense for DeSantis to replace Peck with someone with ample experience working on presidential campaigns.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Generra Peck, Peck, FiveThirtyEight, James Uthmeier, Uthmeier, David Polyansky, Polyansky Organizations: Florida Gov, GOP, Service, DeSantis Locations: Wall, Silicon, Nazi, Florida, Uthmeier
Ron DeSantis completed his campaign reset by replacing his campaign manager. Ron DeSantis on Tuesday completed the full-scale reboot of his once-promising presidential campaign, reassigning his campaign manager and elevating a loyal hand from his governor's office. James Uthmeier, DeSantis' chief of staff in Tallahassee, will now lead his campaign, news first reported by The Messenger. DeSantis' former campaign manager Generra Peck, who also led DeSantis' midterm reelection romp, will remain as a chief strategist. Uthmeier's elevation comes after the DeSantis campaign laid off more than a third of its staff that once boasted more than 90 people.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, James Uthmeier, Uthmeier, reassigning, Trump's, Donald Trump, it's, Trump, Joe Biden, Generra Peck, Peck, David Polyansky, Andrew Romeo, FiveThirtyEight Organizations: Service, Gov, GOP, Florida Republican, PAC, Republicans, Trump, Politico Locations: Wall, Silicon, Milwaukee, Tallahassee, Florida, Iowa, Trump
Chris Christie said Trump "certainly committed crimes" related to his classified documents indictment. Christie has already qualified for the first GOP presidential debate later in August. In June, a federal grand jury indicted Trump, accusing him of mishandling classified documents after he left the White House. The superseding indictment alleged that De Oliveira, Nauta, and Trump conspired to delete surveillance footage at the resort and obstruct the federal investigation. "And now the superseding indictment where he was ordering folks allegedly to delete the surveillance cameras, you know, it reminded me of like what maybe 'Abbott and Costello' meets the 'Corleones' would've looked like."
Persons: Chris Christie, Trump, Abbott, Costello, Christie, Donald Trump, Waltine, Carlos De Oliveira, De Oliveira, He's, FiveThirtyEight, Ron DeSantis, he's Organizations: Service, New, New Jersey Gov, Trump, White, Florida Gov Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Jersey, Lago, Nauta, Whe, Florida
Is Trump Leaving an Opening in Iowa?
  + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Nate Cohn | More About Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +3 min
But unlike the national poll, our Iowa poll has revealed a few cracks in Mr. Trump’s armor. debate on Aug. 23 in our national poll earlier this week. One is that it’s about survey administration: In an online survey, you see a long list of candidates, read them over, and then you choose one. The Democratic primary, however, is a case where more sophisticated modeling of the primary electorate might make a huge difference. My guess: if we had done an elaborate Democratic primary poll — and we did not, in the absence of a competitive race — Mr. Biden’s lead would have grown.
Persons: DeSantis, Trump, Will Hurd, Hurd, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, YouGov, Biden, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Democratic leaners, Biden’s Organizations: Republican, Republicans, Democratic Locations: Iowa, Texas, Siena
Former US president and 2024 Republican Presidential hopeful Donald Trump arrives to speak at the Republican Party of Iowa's 2023 Lincoln Dinner at the Iowa Events Center in Des Moines, Iowa, on July 28, 2023. The dynamic between Trump and his would-be challengers has held firm even as Trump racks up criminal charges in multiple cases, with possible additional indictments forthcoming. Republican presidential candidate former Texas Congressman Will Hurd speaks to guests at the Republican Party of Iowa 2023 Lincoln Dinner on July 28, 2023 in Des Moines, Iowa. Republican presidential candidate businessman Perry Johnson speaks to guests at the Republican Party of Iowa 2023 Lincoln Dinner on July 28, 2023 in Des Moines, Iowa. "If I weren't running, I would have nobody coming after me," he said at the Lincoln Dinner.
Persons: Donald Trump, Sergio Flores, , Ron DeSantis —, Trump, DeSantis, Ron DeSantis, Scott Morgan, Nikki Haley, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy, Mike Pence, Will Hurd, Scott Olson, Hurd, Asa Hutchinson, Joe Biden's, Perry Johnson, Biden Organizations: Republican Party of, Iowa, AFP, Getty, Republican, Florida Gov, GOP, Florida Governor, Republican Party of Iowa's, Reuters, Trump, White, Iowa Republicans, Former Texas Rep, Republican Party of Iowa, Former Arkansas Gov, NBC, New York Times, Siena, DeSantis, Biden, The New York Times, Save, Former U.S Locations: Des Moines , Iowa, Iowa, Des Moines, Corn, U.S, South Carolina, Manhattan, Former
Republican Alan Pincus told WaPo that DeSantis may have tanked his political future in Florida over his 2024 bid. DeSantis once led Trump in earlier Florida surveys of the Republican presidential primary. But Trump has continued to dominate the GOP race and DeSantis has had to reboot his campaign. DeSantis once led in early Florida polling among the GOP presidential contenders. But even in the Sunshine State, he's fallen behind Trump — in a head-to-head contest, the latest Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research survey had Trump leading DeSantis 54%-37%.
Persons: Alan Pincus, WaPo, DeSantis, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Sen, Tim Scott of, Charlie Crist, Republican Alan Pincus —, , Pincus, he's, Vivek Ramaswamy Organizations: Trump, Republican, GOP, Service, Democratic Rep, Republicans, Washington Post, Sunshine State, Florida Atlantic University, Mainstreet Locations: Florida, Wall, Silicon, Tim Scott of South Carolina
Joe Biden, 80, is the oldest U.S. president to ever serve in the White House, and nearly two decades older than the median age of the world's national leaders, 62, Pew Research found. Republican Senator Chuck Grassley of Iowa, 89, Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein of California, 89, and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, 81, are older than McConnell. Many congressional lawmakers are in their 70s, and the median age of the Senate is 65.3, FiveThirtyEight calculated, the oldest ever, versus a median age of 38.8 years in the United States as a whole. Reuters GraphicsBiden's advanced age has raised questions about whether he should stand for a second term. Biden doesn't make the top 10 of the world's oldest currently serving leaders, according to Pew, which in addition to Biya is led by Mahmoud Abbas, president of the Palestinian Authority, at age 87.
Persons: Mitch McConnell's, Joe Biden, Biden, Paul Biya of, Gabriel Boric, Sanna Marin, McConnell, McConnell's, Chuck Grassley, Dianne Feinstein, Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump, Biden doesn't, Biya, Mahmoud Abbas, Steve Holland, Heather Timmons, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: Republican, Pew Research, U.S . Congress, Capitol, Democratic, U.S . Senate, Interparlimentary, Reuters Graphics, Pew, Palestinian Authority, Thomson Locations: U.S, Paul Biya of Cameroon, Chilean, Iowa, California, Vermont, United States, Japan, Italy, Greece
Joe Biden, 80, is the oldest U.S. president to ever serve in the White House, and nearly two decades older than the median age of the world's national leaders, 62, Pew Research found. Republican Senator Chuck Grassley of Iowa, 89, Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein of California, 89, and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, 81, are older than McConnell. Many congressional lawmakers are in their 70s, and the median age of the Senate is 65.3, FiveThirtyEight calculated, the oldest ever, versus a median age of 38.8 years in the United States as a whole. Reuters GraphicsBiden's advanced age has raised questions about whether he should stand for a second term. Biden doesn't make the top 10 of the world's oldest currently serving leaders, according to Pew, which in addition to Biya is led by Mahmoud Abbas, president of the Palestinian Authority, at age 87.
Persons: Mitch McConnell's, Joe Biden, Biden, Paul Biya of, Gabriel Boric, Sanna Marin, McConnell, Chuck Grassley, Dianne Feinstein, Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump, Biden doesn't, Biya, Mahmoud Abbas, Steve Holland, Heather Timmons, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: Republican, Pew Research, U.S . Congress, Capitol, Democratic, U.S . Senate, Interparlimentary, Reuters Graphics, Pew, Palestinian Authority, Thomson Locations: U.S, Paul Biya of Cameroon, Chilean, Iowa, California, Vermont, United States, Japan, Italy, Greece
Total: 25