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That’s because no stress test scenario could perfectly predict the conditions that would cause a bank to collapse. And besides, that’s not the purpose of stress tests, said Covas, a former Fed economist who developed some of the central bank’s early stress tests. The test scenarios were designed before the banking crisisFed officials update the stress test scenarios each year to capture the latest vulnerabilities in the economy. It’s a misconception that “if no bank fails these stress tests are not useful,” or the tests were too easy, Covas said. “You really don’t need a stress test to figure out that SVB had some significant issues,” he added.
Persons: Francisco Covas, that’s, Covas, , , João Granja, they’ve, SVB Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Bank Policy Institute, University of Chicago Booth School of Business, Fed, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, CNN Locations: New York, Silicon
It's been a tough go for investment bankers recently. As if all that wasn't bad enough for bankers, The Wall Street Journal recently reported that even lawyers are now making more money than them. It turns out the culprit, as is often the case on Wall Street, is inflation. It's getting really tough these days to make the case for getting into investment banking. That begs the question: Why bother getting into investment banking at all?
Persons: Dan DeFrancesco, we've, Klaus Vedfelt, It's, , Robert Kindler's, Morgan Stanley, Paul Weiss —, hasn't, Seth Rogen, Nick Offerman, Paul Dano, Steve Cohen, Alexandra, Emily Oster, David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Solomon, Jeffrey Cane, Nathan Rennolds Organizations: GameStop, Street Journal, Sony, Bloomberg, Harvard, JPMorgan, Economist Intelligence, LinkedIn Locations: Republic, Semafor, New York, London
Small cap stocks are domestic bellwethers, since smaller companies generate most of their revenue from US customers. Investors say that recent gains in small caps are helping prop up the burgeoning bull market, even as a potential economic downturn draws near. Cheap buysNow, the rally in small caps suggests that Wall Street is optimistic about the economy’s health. Some investors say cheap valuations and and hopes for a muted economic downturn means small caps look more attractive than they have in months. Optimism about the economyThe small caps’ rally is also an auspicious sign for the broader economy, says Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial.
Persons: they’ve, Rambus, , John Ragard, Quincy Krosby, Russell, Francis Gannon, Anna Rathbun Organizations: New, New York CNN, Investors, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Shockwave, Management, LPL, Penn Capital Management, Royce Investment Partners, Federal Reserve, CBIZ Investment Advisory Services Locations: New York, That’s
House Democrats release wave of bank reform bills
  + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Chelsey Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
WASHINGTON — House Democrats on Wednesday will release a slate of reform bills in response to the recent bank failures that triggered the worst crisis for the sector since 2008. "The failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic Bank make clear that it is past time for legislation aimed at strengthening the safety and soundness of our banking system and enhancing bank executive accountability," she said. President Joe Biden called for these actions shortly after the FDIC took over SVB and Signature Bank in March. The bill would have prevented SVB bank executives from cashing out after repeated warnings by regulators, according to Democrats. Neither Signature Bank nor SVB had a bank holding company before they collapsed.
Persons: Maxine Waters, Dodd, Frank, Waters, Joe Biden, Nydia Velazquez, Brad Sherman, Juan Vargas, David Scott, Al Green, Sylvia Garcia of, Emanuel Cleaver, Joyce Beatty, Steven Horsford, Rashida, Velazquez, Sherman, Cleaver, Beatty, Frank Act's, SVB, Vargas, Garcia, Tlaib, Banks, Sean Casten, Josh Gottheimer, Ritchie Torres, Wiley Nickel, Stephen Lynch, Brittany Pettersen Organizations: Financial Services, Washington , D.C, WASHINGTON —, Democrats, Financial Services Committee, Treasury Department, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Banking Committee, Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, FDIC, Democratic, Sylvia Garcia of Texas, Republicans, Sound Banking, Prudential, prudential, Bank, Green, Sherman, Rep, Federal, Office, Federal Reserve, FAIR, Tlaib, Safety, Sherman . Locations: California, Washington ,, New York, Georgia, Missouri, Ohio, Michigan, Green, Horsford, H.R, Silicon, Illinois, New Jersey, North Carolina, Colo
The Federal Reserve announced it's pausing interest-rate hikes at its Wednesday meeting. This comes after 10 consecutive interest-rate increases in 15 months. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced it's holding interest rates steady at its Wednesday meeting, putting a pause on the central bank's 10 consecutive increases in 15 months. "Without a meaningful downside surprise in both jobs and inflation, a final interest-rate hike remains in the cards for July." Following the failures of Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank, credit conditions tightened, in part pushing the Fed to skip this month's rate hike amid a lending pullback.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, Seema Shah, Shah, Thomas Simons, Simons, Marta Norton, Kathy Gramling, Gramling, Norton, there's, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Market, Fed, Asset Management, Jefferies, Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Morningstar Wealth's America, EY, Consumer, Morningstar Wealth, Norton
Some anticipate the Fed will raise rates again in July in an attempt to bring inflation down to the 2% target. Even if the Fed forgoes a rate increase on Wednesday, Fed officials have suggested the Fed may hike rates again at later meetings. The survey also found people's expectations of job loss fell 1.3 percentage points to 10.9%, suggesting rising job market strength. "I do not think that wages are the principal driver of inflation," Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters after the Fed's May policy meeting. "For instance, recent evidence shows that wage growth tends to follow inflation, as well as expectations of future inflation."
Persons: , it's, Jerome Powell, Adam Shapiro, Shapiro Organizations: Federal, Service, Committee, Fed, payrolls, Labor Statistics, Labor, Index, BLS, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, New York Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of San, National Federation of Independent Business Locations: Ukraine, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
New York CNN —The US economy has been surprisingly resilient this year, but painful bumps are likely coming, said Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon in an interview with CNBC on Monday morning. In this good-is-bad economy, strong employment and higher wages mean higher inflation as companies pass on increased labor costs by raising the price of goods. Like its Wall Street rivals, Goldman Sachs has been hit by a slump in dealmaking and activity. In January, Goldman Sachs launched much deeper layoffs that were expected to result in the loss of as many as 3,200 employees. Last September, Goldman also let go of underperformers as part of a normal process at the bank.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, , Solomon, ” Solomon, , , JPMorgan Chase, Goldman, “ We’re Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNBC, Federal, Fed, Silicon Valley Bank, Bank, JPMorgan, CNN Locations: New York, United States, Silicon, underperformers
LONDON, June 9 (Reuters) - Turkey's new central bank governor Hafize Gaye Erkan faces the tough task of alleviating a bruising cost-of-living crisis while hoping to restore investor confidence at home and abroad after years of unorthodox policymaking. Appointed on Friday, the 43-year old is the first woman at the helm of the country's central bank, taking over from Sahap Kavcioglu, who spearheaded President Tayyip Erdogan's rate-cutting drive against a backdrop of soaring inflation. Her new role makes her one of only around a dozen women currently serving as central bank governors around the world, including the likes of ECB President Christine Lagarde, Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina and Serbia's Jorgovanka Tabakovic. Having spent all of her professional life outside Turkey, Erkan has no formal central banking experience, making her leanings for monetary policy unclear. Kathryn Wylde, president and CEO of Partnership for New York City, a nonprofit organization where Erkan once served as a board director, says Erkan was seen as "tough, smart, and effective."
Persons: Hafize Gaye Erkan, Sahap Kavcioglu, Tayyip Erdogan's, Christine Lagarde, Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina, Erkan, Goldman Sachs, Mark Carney, Mario Draghi, William Dudley, Goldman, Marsh McLennan, Kathryn Wylde, Wylde, Karin Strohecker, Jonathan Spicer, Hugh Lawson Organizations: Russian Central Bank Governor, Bogazici University, Harvard Business School's, Management, Research, Financial Engineering, Princeton University, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, New York Fed, First Republic Bank, Banking, Finance, New, Thomson Locations: Sahap, Istanbul, Turkey, New York City
Exterior of the Turkish Central Bank, known as Turkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankasi in Ankara. Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has appointed a former Wall Street banker Hafize Gaye Erkan as the country's new central bank governor — another move that could potentially mark a policy pivot away from economic unorthodoxy. Erkan, Turkey's first female central bank chief, was a former managing director at Goldman Sachs and co-CEO at First Republic Bank. She is also Turkey's fifth central bank governor in four years. The caveat would lie in how much autonomy the central bank could exercise, and to what extent —something that Demiralp says investors will have to wait and see.
Persons: Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Hafize Gaye Erkan, , Turkey's, Goldman Sachs, Mehmet Simsek's, Selva Demiralp, Demiralp Organizations: Turkish Central Bank, Wall Street, First Republic Bank, Princeton, Koç University, CNBC Locations: Ankara, U.S, Istanbul
How Jamie Dimon Turned Chase Into the Most Powerful Bank in the U.S. When JPMorgan Chase bought First Republic Bank in May, all eyes were on its CEO, Jamie Dimon. Here’s how the executive’s strategy for managing risk propelled him to the top of the banking world. Photo illustration: John McColgan
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, John McColgan Organizations: Bank, JPMorgan, First Republic Bank Locations: U.S
Goldman COO John Waldron said economic uncertainty has been a major challenge for the bank. 2 said he could not guarantee the bank won't make more job cuts this year, citing continued economic uncertainty. When asked about the potential for future job cuts, Waldron cited those "crosscurrents" as a reason the bank's cost-cutting may not be over. In September, Goldman cut a few hundred staffers, including members of the investment bank's technology, media, and telecommunications team, Insider reported. "I think we have done a better job in the last four or five years really trying to build a deeper succession pipeline," Waldron said.
Persons: Goldman, John Waldron, Goldman Sach's, Goldman Sachs, Waldron, it's, Goldman isn't, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bloomberg Invest, Street, JPMorgan, First Republic Bank Locations: Manhattan
The central bank's first female governor, Erkan is also its fifth chief in four years, underlining the challenge she may face delivering a lasting policy turnaround after Erdogan has all but stamped out the bank's independence in recent years. Analysts now expect Turkey's central bank to hike interest rates to between 20% and 25% from 8.5% as soon as this month. ORTHODOX FINANCE MINISTERErdogan, a self-proclaimed "enemy" of interest rates, has pressed the central bank to deliver stimulus in recent years and has been quick to replace its governor. The central bank slashed its policy rate to 8.5% from 19% in 2021, leaving real rates deeply negative and the lira largely managed by dozens of regulations covering credit and foreign exchange. But the last central bank governor to raise rates, Naci Agbal, was fired in 2021 after less than five months on the job.
Persons: Tayyip Erdogan, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Goldman Sachs, Erdogan's, Erdogan, Kavcioglu, Selva Demiralp, Mehmet Simsek, Simsek, Erkan, Naci Agbal, Marsh, Kathryn Wylde, Wylde, Ali Kucukgocment, Jonathan Spicer, Daren Butler, Cynthia Osterman, Hugh Lawson Organizations: Lira, First Republic Bank, Official Gazette, Koc University, U.S . Federal Reserve, Princeton University, First, JPMorgan, Analysts, FINANCE, Greystone, Partnership, New, Thomson Locations: ISTANBUL, United States, unorthodoxy, Erkan, U.S, New York City
How Jamie Dimon Turned Chase Into the Most Powerful Bank in the U.S. When JPMorgan Chase bought First Republic Bank in May, all eyes were on its CEO, Jamie Dimon. Here’s how the executive’s strategy for managing risk propelled him to the top of the banking world. Photo illustration: John McColgan
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, John McColgan Organizations: Bank, JPMorgan, First Republic Bank Locations: U.S
June 5 (Reuters) - Tighter lending standards from regional banks are making it harder for U.S. hotel developers to secure funding, slowing construction of new hotels at a time Americans' appetite for travel is ripe. Analysts say slower hotel development will also limit profits of blue-chip manufacturers like Caterpillar Inc. , whose commercial real estate customers account for around 75% of construction sales. Overexposed regional banks are now offloading commercial real estate loans at a discount. Troubled regional lender PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) announced in May it would sell $2.6 billion worth of real estate construction loans. Banks started to reduce their hotel loan portfolios in the first quarter of 2023, an analysis by S&P Global Market Intelligence found.
Persons: Joseph Delli Santi, James Hansen, Andy Ingraham, Ingraham, Evens Charles, Banks, Mitchell Hochberg, Bianca Flowers, Caroline Stauffer, Deepa Babington Organizations: U.S, Silicon Valley Bank, Shopoff, Reuters, Build Central Inc, Hilton, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc, Marriott International, Caterpillar Inc, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, National Association of Black, Developers, Frontier Development, Hospitality Group, Washington D.C, PacWest Bancorp, P Global Market Intelligence, Lightstone, Thomson Locations: Silicon, California, Florida , Texas, Washington, Arizona, New York, Chicago, Bengaluru
Meredith Whitney is back. Here's her latest market call
  + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Famed analyst Meredith Whitney has ended a self-imposed exile from a finance world that she said had become "like watching paint dry." "Why I say there's no risk for an immediate downturn is because there's no forced selling," Whitney told CNBC's Sara Eisen during a " Squawk on the Street " interview. That forecast came after she had left Oppenheimer to start the Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, which she eventually shuttered to launch a hedge fund that no longer exists. Finance "was like watching paint dry, and things started to change about 18 months ago," Whitney said. In the current landscape, Whitney thinks the problems plaguing regional banks are collective "one-offs" that won't cause systemic damage.
Persons: Meredith Whitney, Whitney, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Oppenheimer Organizations: CNBC, Lehman, Citigroup, Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, Finance Locations: Silicon, Republic
But Main Street isn’t listening. New data from TD Ameritrade shows that retail investors shrugged off US debt ceiling uncertainty and recessionary fears last month as they increased their exposure to markets. That index aggregates Main Street investor positions and activity to measure how they’re positioned in the market. Retail investors also piled out of AI and tech stocks as the sectors surged in May, opting instead to put their money into riskier bets. But these trades are risky and while an institutional investor might lose their job for making a big mistake, a Main Street trader could lose their shirt.
Persons: New York CNN — “, recessionary, Dow, they’ve, Alex Coffey, Ameritrade, , , Coffey, Binance, Changpeng Zhao, Zhao, Gary Gensler, Hanna Ziady, Willie Walsh, ” Walsh, Walsh Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, First Republic Bank, Nasdaq, Research, CNN, PayPal, Disney, Coffey Retail, US Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, Global, International Air Transport Association, Airlines Locations: New York, USA, bro
Erkan met with Mehmet Simsek, Turkey's newly-appointed treasury and finance minister, in Ankara on Monday, one of the sources said. The two sources told Reuters she is set to meet Erdogan soon to discuss the possible role. Turkey's policy rate was cut to 8.5% from 19% in 2021, setting off a historic currency crash in late 2021. Erkan would be the country's fifth central bank chief in four years. The central bank has been the linchpin of Erdogan's programme of monetary stimulus and targeted credit to boost economic growth, exports and investments.
Persons: Erdogan, Tayyip Erdogan, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Erkan, Mehmet Simsek, Sahap Kavcioglu, Goldman Sachs, Simsek, Kathryn Wylde, Wylde, Naci Agbal, Marsh, Jonathan Spicer, Daren Butler, Angus MacSwan, Emelia Organizations: Reuters, First Republic Bank, Treasury, Ivy League, Princeton, New, First, JPMorgan, Greystone, Thomson Locations: Turkey, ANKARA, United States, Ankara, New York City, U.S
June 5 (Reuters) - Tighter lending standards from regional banks are making it harder for U.S. hotel developers to secure funding, slowing construction of new hotels at a time Americans' appetite for travel is ripe. Analysts say slower hotel development will also limit profits of blue-chip manufacturers like Caterpillar Inc. , whose commercial real estate customers account for around 75% of construction sales. Overexposed regional banks are now offloading commercial real estate loans at a discount. Troubled regional lender PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) announced in May it would sell $2.6 billion worth of real estate construction loans. Banks started to reduce their hotel loan portfolios in the first quarter of 2023, an analysis by S&P Global Market Intelligence found.
Persons: Joseph Delli Santi, James Hansen, Andy Ingraham, Ingraham, Evens Charles, Banks, Mitchell Hochberg, Bianca Flowers, Caroline Stauffer, Deepa Babington Organizations: U.S, Silicon Valley Bank, Shopoff, Reuters, Build Central Inc, Hilton, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc, Marriott International, Caterpillar Inc, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, National Association of Black, Developers, Frontier Development, Hospitality Group, Washington D.C, PacWest Bancorp, P Global Market Intelligence, Western Alliance, Lightstone, Thomson Locations: Silicon, California, Florida , Texas, Washington, Arizona, New York, Chicago, Bengaluru
How Jamie Dimon Turned Chase Into the Most Powerful Bank in the U.S. When JPMorgan Chase bought First Republic Bank in May, all eyes were on its CEO, Jamie Dimon. Here’s how the executive’s strategy for managing risk propelled him to the top of the banking world. Photo illustration: John McColgan
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, John McColgan Organizations: Bank, JPMorgan, First Republic Bank Locations: U.S
JPMorgan Chase, the nation's largest bank by assets, is getting bigger every day. The bank's second-in-command said the fintech threat is driving some of its expansion plans. 2, Daniel Pinto, suggested that the looming fintech threat is also responsible for JPMorgan's retail banking expansion in Europe. It plans to spend $15.3 billion on tech in 2023, up $14 billion from last year. Last month, JPMorgan agreed to pay about $10.6 billion to buy First Republic Bank after the smaller bank was seized by regulators.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Daniel Pinto, Jamie Dimon's, fintechs, Dimon's, Pinto, Bernstein, JPMorgan Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, Morning, Bloomberg, First, Bank Locations: Europe, United States, Germany, America
[1/4] Holly O’Neill, President of Retail Banking at Bank of America speaks during a Newsmaker interview with Reuters in New York City, New York, U.S., May 31, 2023. "The consumer is still very healthy," Holly O'Neill, Bank of America's president of retail banking, said at a Reuters Newsmaker event. U.S. consumer spending increased more than expected in April, boosting the economy's growth prospects for the second quarter. Consumer spending on Bank of America cards fell 1.2 percent in April compared with a year earlier, the first year-on-year decline since February 2021, its data showed. The biggest shot O'Neill took in her career was moving to the consumer bank after serving as chief operating officer of the private-banking division.
Persons: Holly O’Neill, Mike Segar, Holly O'Neill, O'Neill, Erica, Lananh Nguyen, Saeed Azhar, Nupur Anand, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Retail Banking, Bank of America, Reuters, REUTERS, Bank of America Corp, Bank of, JPMorgan Chase &, First, Bank, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S
NEW YORK, June 1 (Reuters) - JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) will shut 21 branches of First Republic Bank by the end of the year as it integrates the failed lender into its operations, a JPMorgan spokesperson said on Thursday. The locations account for about a quarter of First Republic's 84 branches across eight states. "These locations have relatively low transaction volumes and are generally within a short drive from another First Republic office," the spokesperson said. After that, they will be eligible to apply for other roles at JPMorgan, which currently has 13,000 vacancies. JPMorgan is the largest U.S. lender, with more than 296,000 employees and 4,800 branches.
Persons: Nupur Anand, Lananh Nguyen, Christopher Cushing Organizations: YORK, JPMorgan Chase &, First Republic Bank, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: New York
How Jamie Dimon Turned Chase Into the Most Powerful Bank in the U.S. When JPMorgan Chase bought First Republic Bank in May, all eyes were on its CEO, Jamie Dimon. Here’s how the executive’s strategy for managing risk propelled him to the top of the banking world. Photo illustration: John McColgan
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, John McColgan Organizations: Bank, JPMorgan, First Republic Bank Locations: U.S
Premarket stocks: The banking crisis isn't over
  + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —Amid the US debt ceiling turmoil, a potential recession and the upcoming Fed meeting, Wall Street has a lot on its plate. Even as US lawmakers race to prevent a catastrophic default, the lingering effects of the regional banking crisis have not been completely extinguished. CEO Jamie Dimon said that his company’s emergency intervention had ended the immediate turmoil of the banking crisis. The SPDR Regional Banking ETF (KRE), which tracks a number of small and mid-sized bank stocks, is down about 3% so far this month and over 30% lower so far this year. Analysts are concerned that as rates get higher, the borrowing environment becomes tougher for regional banks, hurting their ability to lend.
Persons: New York CNN —, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, , Janet Yellen, ” Fitch, , What’s, Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, Biden’s, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, First Republic Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, JPMorgan, First Republic, Fitch, Governors, Federal Reserve, Banking, PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance Bancorp, Republican, Treasury Department, CNN, Saudi, Wall Street Journal Locations: New York, Banking, EY, , Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, China, Vienna
WASHINGTON, May 31 (Reuters) - U.S. banks saw total deposits decline by a record 2.5% in the first quarter of 2023, and industry-wide profits were relatively flat after taking into account the effects of two large bank failures, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation said Wednesday. The FDIC said the $472 billion in deposit outflows in the first quarter was the largest it had recorded since it began collecting such data in 1984. The decline was primarily from uninsured funds, as insured deposits actually rose $255.1 billion, or 2.5%, amid the failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. The decline in deposits was offset by increased wholesale funding, which rose 14.4% in the first quarter. The results showed banks shrinking the amount of unrealized losses on their books and maintaining strong capital ratios.
Persons: Martin Gruenberg, Gruenberg, Pete Schroeder, Sinead Carew, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, FDIC, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, Comerica, Citizens, Thomson
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