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☆ Analysis: US debt ceiling deal could stall safety flight fueling megacap rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Their rally has been responsible for all of the 8.3% year-to-date gain in the S&P 500 (.SPX) through Wednesday's close, a Deutsche Bank report showed. A recent survey of global fund managers from BofA Global Research showed that 71% believe a deal to raise the debt ceiling will be reached before the X-date. Excitement over artificial intelligence, which has boosted some megacap names this year, is another factor that could support the category. At the same time, the debt ceiling has been only one of of several worries weighing on the market. Paul Christopher, head of global market strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, expects lawmakers will reach an agreement to extend the debt ceiling through September.

☆ How to protect your investments in the debt ceiling standoff
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-17 | by ( Jeanne Sahadi | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

But even if that’s the case, between now and then bond investors should expect volatility. Bond investors are all about pricing in the risk that they may not be paid back on debt they buy — either on time or at all. But the lack of a deal to raise lawmakers’ self-imposed debt ceiling so close to the X-date is introducing unwanted risk into each investor’s calculus. “We’ve already seen some pricing stress around short-term bills, Treasury bills, and a little bit of change in the… sovereign credit default swap spreads,” said Gary Gensler, chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission, at an event on Monday. Right now, yields on one-month T bills are well above the yields for 10-year and 30-year Treasury bonds.

☆ Washington is at an impasse on the debt ceiling. Here’s what that might mean for your portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-11 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Income-focused investors seeking yield and safety in Treasury bills are likely nervous as debt ceiling rhetoric heats up in Washington, but they should take a breather before they dump these assets. In the short-term Treasury market, investors are already showing some signs of anxiety. In that case, holders of short-term T-bills could see declines in their portfolio values as yields spike, he added. Review your holdings Now could be a good time to review your bond holdings, particularly the short-term T-bills that are seeing a big jump in yields. But the longer-term advice is to snap up longer-dated bonds to prepare for the day the Federal Reserve starts to dial back its tight monetary policy.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Kevin McCarthy, Hakeem Jeffries, Janet Yellen, Yellen, Kathy Jones, Gustavo Schwenkler, Jones, Thomas McLoughlin, McLoughlin, Christine Benz, Jamie Hopkins, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Treasury, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Santa Clara University Leavey School of Business, Federal Reserve, UBS, Morningstar, Carson Group Locations: Washington, D, U.S

There are some signs that the broader $275 billion AT1 market is recovering. Reuters GraphicsLast month, Japan's Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316.T) was the first major global bank to sell AT1s since the March rout. With time, analysts expect UBS to sell AT1s aplenty to meet its capital requirements. It has a 700 million Singapore dollar ($755 million) AT1 bond repayable in November followed by a heftier $2.5 billion bond in January. RATINGS GAMEInvestor appetite for a UBS AT1 could also hinge on its future credit profile.

Investors will look for clues on whether inflation is continuing to ease following the Labor Department's consumer price index (CPI) report on Wednesday. Shares of PayPal Holdings (PYPL.O) dropped and pressured the benchmark S&P 500 after the company cut its margin forecast. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 4, 2023. Under Armour Inc (UAA.N) fell 5.66% as the sports apparel maker forecast its annual sales and profit below street expectations. The S&P 500 posted 14 new 52-week highs and 14 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 77 new highs and 171 new lows.

☆ Meme stock mania: Little-known Chinese stocks skyrocket
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMeme stock mania: Little-known Chinese stocks skyrocketHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC. Lydia Moynihan, New York Post, and Herb Greenberg, Empire Financial Research, join the show to discuss surging yet little-known Chinese meme stocks.

☆ Big beats for major banks: JPMorgan, Citi and Wells Fargo top earnings estimates
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBig beats for major banks: JPMorgan, Citi and Wells Fargo top earnings estimatesHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC. Tom Sosnoff, Tastytrade founder and co-CEO, and Herb Greenberg, Empire Financial Research editor, join the show to discuss the latest Big Bank earnings.

☆ Warren Buffett says bank depositors haven't had a crisis
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWarren Buffett says bank depositors haven't had a crisisHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC. Herb Greenberg, Empire Financial Research editor, joins the show to discuss Warren Buffett's comments on the bank crisis fallout.

☆ These 6 beaten-down bank stocks are about to make a big comeback in the upcoming earnings season, according to the director of equity research at CFRA
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Here are six banks that should fare well in the Q1 earnings season despite the sector's challenges. A series of bank failures in early March sent shares of financial institutions plunging, and while bank stocks have stabilized in recent weeks, they haven't yet been able to mount a comeback. But when they kick off the Q1 earnings season in mid-April, banks can change the negative narrative — or reinforce existing concerns about the sector. "Banks may see higher revenue year-over-year and may surprise to the upside, beating consensus earnings estimates," Leon wrote. Below are the six bank stocks that CFRA expects to fare well in the first quarter earnings season, along with the ticker, market capitalization, and investment thesis for each.

☆ Bank carnage rages on: President Biden calls for stricter regulation
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank carnage rages on: President Biden calls for stricter regulationHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC. Herb Greenberg, Empire Financial Research; Richard Bove, Odeon Capital Group; Liz Hoffman, Semafor, join the show to discuss whether the bank crisis is over.

☆ Hindenburg takes aim at Dorsey's payments firm Block, shares plunge
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Manya Saini | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Block shares fell as much as 22% before paring losses and were last down 14% at $62.61 in afternoon trading. After reviewing the full report, Block said it was "designed to deceive and confuse investors". Hindenburg said that Block "obfuscates" how many individuals are on the Cash App platform by reporting misleading "transacting active" metrics filled with fake and duplicate accounts. The app had 51 million monthly transacting actives, a 16% year-over-year increase during December 2022, Block said in fourth-quarter earnings letter. "What I am really concerned about is the Cash App, accusations of fraud, multiple accounts, opening accounts and fake names.

☆ Hindenburg shorts Jack Dorsey's payments firm Block, shares plunge
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/2] The logo of Cash App is seen at the main hall during the Bitcoin Conference 2022 in Miami Beach, Florida, U.S. April 6, 2022. REUTERS/Marco BelloMarch 23 (Reuters) - Hindenburg Research on Thursday disclosed short positions in Block Inc (SQ.N) and alleged that the Jack Dorsey-led payments firm overstated its user numbers and understated its customer acquisition costs. Shares of Block slid 20% to $57.85 in premarket trading following the report. Hindenburg added that Block "obfuscates" how many individuals are on the Cash App platform by reporting misleading "transacting active" metrics filled with fake and duplicate accounts. Founded in 2017 by Nathan Anderson, Hindenburg is a forensic financial research firm that analyses equity, credit and derivatives.

☆ A prominent short-seller just released a bombshell report on payments darling Block. Here are the 4 biggest claims.
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Hindenburg Research on Thursday released a scathing report about Block, saying it inflated metrics. The short-seller financial research firm led by Nathan Anderson said it has taken a short position on Block shares after its two-year probe. The firm also said it ordered and "promptly received Our Donald J. Trump Visa Cash App card in the mail." It saw multiple Cash App accounts bearing the name "Jack Dorsey" as well as dozens of "Elon Musk"' and "Donald Trump'" fake accounts as well. "The only payment provider mentioned in the indictment was Cash App, which was used to facilitate the fraudulent COVID relief payments," wrote Hindenburg.

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview on Hindenburg's allegations against Block with SVB MoffettNathanson's Lisa Ellis and Empire Financial's Herb Greenberg
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview on Hindenburg's allegations against Block with SVB MoffettNathanson's Lisa Ellis and Empire Financial's Herb GreenbergSVB MoffettNathanson's Lisa Ellis and Herb Greenberg of Empire Financial Research join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss Hindenburg Research's allegations that Block is engaged in fraud.

☆ We're in the middle of the banking crisis, says Odeon's Dick Bove
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're in the middle of the banking crisis, says Odeon's Dick BoveDick Bove of Odeon Capital, Herb Greenberg of Empire Financial Research and Liz Hoffman, Semafor business and finance editor, join CNBC's Brian Sullivan and 'Last Call' to discuss the recent banking crisis and how it could impact the Fed's rate decision next week.

Even though reading anything with certainty from such volatile prices is difficult right now, the runes of the bond market suggest unfolding banking stress will suppress inflation anyway - regardless of further central bank action. "That would be very much in line with what the central banks want." U.S. equivalents were steadier about 2.5%, but five-year "breakeven" inflation rates from the index-linked market fell to 2.3%. To be fair to central bank policymakers, their own early warning systems - such as the ECB's Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress - don't yet show any more pressure on the system than they did during last year's tightening. Armed with Thursday's trial run from the ECB, the Fed and BoE will now have to make that judgment next week.

☆ Buybacks can be great use of a company's cash, says Empire Financial's Herb Greenberg
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBuybacks can be great use of a company's cash, says Empire Financial's Herb GreenbergHerb Greenberg, editor with Empire Financial Research, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss Biden's policy around buybacks, how companies may respond to changing buyback costs and management compensation protocols.

☆ How to Invest in the S&P 500
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-12 | by ( ) www.wsj.com time to read: +9 min

The S&P 500 index, short for Standard & Poor’s 500 index, is one of the most widely traded and talked about stock indexes in the world. The Largest S&P 500 Index Funds Ticker Symbols Expense Ratio Fund Size Vanguard S&P 500 Index Fund VOO, VFFSX, VFIAX 0.010%-0.040% $792 billion SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY 0.095% $380 billion Fidelity 500 Index Fund FXAIX 0.015% $374 billion iShares Core S&P 500 ETF IVV 0.030% $307 billion Vanguard Institutional Index Fund VINIX, VIIIX 0.020%-0.035% $238 billion Morningstar DirectS&P 500 mutual funds vs. S&P 500 ETFsAnother thing to consider is whether you want to buy a traditional mutual fund or an exchange-traded fund, which trades like a stock. Equal weight, value or ESG S&P 500 fundsMoreover, if you’re concerned about the heavy weighting of certain sectors in the S&P index you can invest instead in an equal weight S&P 500 index fund or add those shares to your portfolio. Alternatively, you can buy an S&P 500 value fund, which represents stocks that are considered undervalued or an S&P 500 growth fund, which represents the fastest-growing companies in the S&P 500. Another variation on the S&P 500 index theme incorporates ESG (environmental, social and governance) values while maintaining similar overall industry group weights as the S&P 500.

☆ Explainer: Adani vs Hindenburg: What you need to know
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Founded in 2017 by Nathan Anderson, Hindenburg Research is a forensic financial research firm which analyses equity, credit and derivatives. Hindenburg disclosed that it holds short positions in Adani companies through U.S.-traded bonds and non-Indian-traded derivative instruments. Reuters reported the regulator will continue this scrutiny and draw on any fresh information in the Hindenburg report. The Adani group said that several of the CFOs that the Hindenburg report points to have remained within the group and moved on to new roles. The report says key listed Adani companies have substantial debt and are over-leveraged.

☆ Adani vs Hindenburg: India’s top businessman faces biggest test
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

So, how did a relatively young and small New York financial research firm manage to bring the Adani juggernaut to a juddering halt? Much of his fortune is tied up in the sprawling Adani Group, which he founded over 30 years ago. This is not the first time analysts have expressed fear that the rapid expansion of Adani businesses comes with huge risk. In its response, Adani Group said that the “leverage ratios” of its companies “continue to be healthy and are in line with the industry benchmarks in the respective sectors. Adani Group “is not going anywhere,” said Rajat Sharma, founder of financial advisory firm Sana Securities.

☆ Why a tiny American firm is taking aim at an Indian conglomerate
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-30 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —Asia’s richest man is in the crosshairs of a research firm whose very name evokes panic. Gautam Adani is a 60-year-old tycoon who founded the Adani Group over 30 years ago, building it into India’s largest port operator, with businesses spanning infrastructure and energy production. Hindenburg said Adani Group shares are massively overvalued, and it has taken a short position (more on that in a minute) on them, meaning Hindenburg wins when Adani shares fall. What is Hindenburg Research? Hindenburg is a short-seller that specializes in forensic financial research, founded in 2017 by Nathan Anderson.

☆ Current market sentiment presents risks, says Empire Financial's Herb Greenberg
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCurrent market sentiment presents risks, says Empire Financial's Herb GreenbergHerb Greenberg, editor at Empire Financial Research, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the rate tightening cycle, market sentiment about the Fed, and stocks making a comeback.

☆ Explainer: Who is behind Hindenburg, the company that is shorting Adani?
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-25 | by ( Carolina Mandl | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

NEW YORK, Jan 25 (Reuters) - Short-seller Hindenburg Research disclosed on Wednesday short positions in India's Adani Group, citing potential stock manipulation and accounting fraud in a report. WHAT IS HINDENBURG RESEARCHFounded in 2017 by Nathan Anderson, Hindenburg Research is a forensic financial research firm which analyses equity, credit and derivatives. On its website, Hindenburg says it looks for "man-made disasters," such as accounting irregularities, mismanagement and undisclosed related-party transactions. After finding potential wrongdoings, Hindenburg usually publishes a report explaining the case and bets against the target company, hoping to make a profit. HOW MANY COMPANIES HAS HINDENBURG TARGETEDHindenburg has flagged potential wrongdoing in at least 16 companies since 2017, according to its website.

☆ Insana: Signs of slowing inflation emerge, and the Fed now risks doing too much
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-23 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Certainly, Friday's inflation data, included in the personal income and spending report, showed a marked deceleration in so-called personal consumption expenditure inflation. Over the past five months, many measures of inflation have fallen more quickly than forecast, including those most closely watched by the Federal Reserve. It now risks doing too much and pushing the U.S. economy into an entirely unnecessary recession next year. That comes at a time when seasonal and historical patterns — like the presidential cycle — favor a positive stock market performance in 2023. First, as was the case in 2021, U.S. population growth was abysmal this year, rising only 0.4%, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

☆ Elon Musk sells chunk of Tesla shares worth $3.6B
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-15 | by ( Lora Kolodny | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +1 min

Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold about 22 million more shares in his electric vehicle business worth around $3.6 billion, according to a financial filing out Wednesday night. After Musk’s Twitter takeover, he told employees there that he sold Tesla shares to “save” their business. Tesla shares have been declining this year and sliding even further since he took on that new responsibility. Shares of Tesla closed down 2.6% on Wednesday at $156.80, dropping the company’s market capitalization to $495 billion. Tesla shares were down 55% year-to-date as of Wednesday’s close.

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