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One basis point equals 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield fell more than 1 basis point to 4.390%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury slipped by nearly 2 basis points to 4.291%. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield dipped on Thursday as investors await a fresh batch of economic data and a flurry of speeches from Federal Reserve policymakers. Existing home sales for October and the Kansas City Fed survey for November are scheduled to follow slightly later in the session. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr are all poised to deliver remarks about the U.S. economy on Thursday.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Beth Hammack, Austan Goolsbee, Jeff Schmid, Michael Barr, Michelle Bowman, Samantha Subin, Sophie Kiderlin Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Philadelphia Fed, Kansas City Fed, Cleveland Fed, Chicago Fed Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Washington, Moscow, Kansas, U.S
Dollar pulls ahead as markets focus on Trump policies, Fed outlook
  + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
After stalling for three sessions, the greenback was back on the march higher, with investors lifting the dollar index measure against its key rivals closer to a one-year high of 107.07 hit last week. The dollar has rallied more than 2% since the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election on bets Trump's policies could reignite inflation and temper the Fed's future rate cuts. The dollar index held steady at 106.56, up from a one-week nadir hit in the previous session. "The Russia-Ukraine conflict is heating up, which is further denting sentiment towards the euro alongside the prospects of trade tariffs," another "bullish cue" for the dollar index given the euro's heavy weighting, City Index's Simpson said. The dollar gave up some gains against the yen, down 0.33% at 154.91 yen , although the Japanese currency remained under pressure.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, CME's, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Index's Simpson, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, bitcoin, Bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Wednesday, Storm, ATACMS, Bank of Japan, Bank of England's Locations: Europe, China, Russia, Ukraine, Paris
His Cabinet picks, including the Treasury secretary, traditionally have to be confirmed by the Senate. “The Treasury secretary has historically played a significant role in advancing the administration’s tax policy priorities,” Akabas said. Next year, Trump’s Treasury secretary will act as the quarterback, executing his economic gameplan. It will also fall to Trump’s Treasury secretary to put out fires in financial markets or in the real economy like the regional bank failures that rocked Wall Street and Washington early last year. Trump’s Treasury pick will also help manage the complicated relationship between the president and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, , , Ed Mills, Raymond James, Janet Yellen, Shai Akabas, Steven Mnuchin, ” Akabas, Isaac Boltansky, Jerome Powell, Powell, Mills Organizations: CNN, Quarterbacking, Treasury Department, Department, Treasury, Trump, Senate, Republicans, Capitol, Wall, Washington, Committee, Federal, Fed, Trump White House Locations: Washington, filers
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over four basis points to 4.4178%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last trading at 4.2932% after rising by more than two basis points. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Wednesday as investors considered the geopolitical situation and assessed the latest economic data. Elsewhere, investors weighed the latest economic data, with new housing starts falling short of expectations in October, and building permits slipping month over month, according to data published Tuesday. Later in the week, investors will be watching out for October's flash purchasing managers' index reports from S&P Global for the services and manufacturing sector.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Global, Federal Reserve Locations: Russia, Ukraine, U.S, Ukraine's, Kyiv
Brewing worker resentment could fuel a 2025 quitting spree
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Jennifer Liu | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The job market could be poised for a fresh wave of people quitting, according to a new Glassdoor report. Employees' satisfaction in their career opportunities has been on the decline since 2022 after people settled into new roles following the post-pandemic hiring boom known as the Great Resignation. "People don't feel like the job market is working for them right now, even if you hear economists and policymakers talk about how strong and resilient the job market is," Glassdoor senior economist Daniel Zhao tells CNBC Make It. "The desire [to quit] is there, but the opportunities aren't," Zhao says. For example, some sectors, like housing, real estate and tech, could be buoyed by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, Zhao says.
Persons: Daniel Zhao, Zhao, Terry Petzold, Donald Trump Organizations: CNBC, Fox Search, White
Gold gains on softer dollar, widening Russia-Ukraine tensions
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Close up stack of gold bars, financial wealth concepts and businessGold prices rose for a third consecutive session to a one-week high on Wednesday, driven by a softer dollar and escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions that raised the demand for safe-haven assets. Spot gold added 0.32% to $2,640.19 per ounce by 0323 GMT, its highest since Nov. 11. The U.S. dollar rally paused after hitting a one-year high last week, making bullion more appealing to buyers holding other currencies. The market is adjusting its expectations for the Fed's cuts next year as inflation is becoming a bigger concern, which could be negative for gold, Spivak added. Spot silver was steady at 31.22 per ounce, platinum added 0.1% to $975.10 at $973.90 and palladium flat at $1,035.43.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Washington, Ilya Spivak, Donald Trump's, Spivak, Jeffrey Schmid Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: Russia, Ukraine, , Kansas
AdvertisementTraders see a 45% chance the Fed pauses rate cuts in December, up from 17% last week. The rising odds come as markets digest a win for Trump, whose policies could complicate the Fed's plans. After two consecutive interest rate cuts, markets think the Federal Reserve might be ready to hit pause. AdvertisementThe rising odds come as markets continue to digest a win for Donald Trump, and as Fed officials have sounded cautious on the path of future policy easing in recent remarks. AdvertisementThe rising odds of a pause also come as Fed speakers this week have struck a cautious tone.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joseph Stiglitz, David Kelly, Jerome Powell, he'd, Trump, JPMorgan's Kelly, They're, Kelly, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Cook, Powell Organizations: Trump, Reserve, JPMorgan, Fed, Federal, University of Virginia Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida, Charlottesville, Dallas
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Persons: APYs, , Cash, we've Organizations: Federal Reserve, Cash Locations:
Stock futures are near flat Wednesday night as investors parsed the all-important earnings release from artificial intelligence darling Nvidia . Investors kept a close eye on after-the-bell earnings from Nvidia, the chipmaker that has dazzled Wall Street for more than a year as a key AI beneficiary. While the company beat expectations for the third quarter and issued strong guidance, shares shed more than 1%. On the other hand, Snowflake jumped more than 19% after the data analytics software company beat expectations for the third quarter. That action follows a mixed day on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 ending near flat.
Persons: University's, Snowflake, Dow, Beth Hammack, Austan Goolsbee, Jeff Schmid Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nvidia, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Investors, Dow, University's Stern School of Business, Traders, Cleveland Federal, Chicago Fed, Kansas City, Intuit Locations: New York City, New
AdvertisementMeredith Whitney expects home prices to fall by 10% to 20% as the frozen housing market starts thawing. The veteran researcher said baby boomers aren't selling, restricting the number of homes available. Home prices are poised to fall by up to a fifth as the frozen housing market thaws — and that could help baby boomers sell at last and younger people to become homeowners, Meredith Whitney says. Advertisement"The problem is the baby boomers own 60% of the housing stock," she said, referring to single-family, owner-occupied homes. AdvertisementSeveral economists have predicted a "silver tsunami" as baby boomers sell their homes to downsize or move into care homes, increasing the available supply of single-family homes and reducing prices.
Persons: Meredith Whitney, It's, Price, Whitney, millennials Organizations: Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, Homeowners, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, CNBC
In this article BRBY-GB.N225SMCI.SPXNVDA.IXIC.DJI Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTChip company Nvidia's headquarters in Silicon Valley in February 2024. Andrej Sokolow | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. I clearly expect to see some kind of immediate reaction, knee-jerk reaction," Tiffany McGhee, CEO and CIO of Pivotal Advisors, told CNBC. Considering Nvidia's performance over the past two years, however, it's hard to think of any other asset that will give investors the same sense of safety.
Persons: SPX, Andrej Sokolow, Tiffany McGhee, Stocks, McGhee, Gonzalo Asis, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, bubbled, Iordache, Katrina Bishop, Brian Evans, Samantha Subin, Pia Singh Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Reserve, Bank of America Securities Locations: Silicon Valley, Russia, Ukraine
Donald Trump's proposed tariffs will dent U.S. economic growth going into 2026, said Morgan Stanley's chief global economist Seth Carpenter. In the event that they are enacted all at once, they could result in a "big negative shock" to the economy, Carpenter told CNBC's Sri Jegarajah on the sidelines of Morgan Stanley's annual Asia Pacific Summit in Singapore. Carpenter, who maintained Morgan Stanley's base case of these tariffs being spread over 2025, said they would lead to higher inflation. "Then into 2026, we think growth starts to come down a great deal in the U.S. because of those tariffs and some of the other policies," he cautioned. Very clear, tariffs are a drag on growth for the U.S., not just for the countries that the tariffs are put on," Carpenter added.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Morgan Stanley's, Seth Carpenter, Trump, Carpenter, CNBC's Sri, Morgan, Mark Malek, Siebert, Joe Biden, Trump's, Malek, Ben Emons Organizations: Asia Pacific Summit, Microsoft, Apple, U.S . Federal Reserve, FedWatch Advisors Locations: China, CNBC's Sri Jegarajah, Morgan Stanley's, Singapore, U.S
Bitcoin pushed to a fresh all-time peak above $94,000, carried by expectations for a friendlier regulator environment for cryptocurrencies under Trump. "The 'Trump Trade' that boosted the greenback is facing challenges from Trump's controversial cabinet nominations and the escalation in the Russian-Ukraine war," DBS strategists wrote in a client note. Traders continue to pare back expectations for an interest-rate cut at the Fed's next meeting in December. The dollar added 0.9% to 154.84 yen after falling sharply to 153.28 on Tuesday following the Russia news. The euro held steady at $1.0598 , having recovered from a drop to $1.0524 in the previous session.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Bitcoin, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Trump's, pare, CME's, Jerome Powell Organizations: U.S, Moscow, Trump, Treasury, Wall Street, Commerce Department, Trump Trade, DBS, Traders, Financial Times Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Russia
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesDonald Trump's U.S. election victory has ratcheted up concerns about higher prices, prompting strategists to rethink the outlook for global bond yields and currencies. Trump's return to the White House is seen as likely to throw a wrench in the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle, potentially keeping an upward bias on Treasury yields. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher prices or a growing budget deficit. "Trump's election advances both possibilities as a trade war and increased fiscal spending work at cross purposes," he added. Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, stood at 2.337% on Wednesday, marginally lower for the session.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Alim Remtulla, Remtulla, Kamala Harris, there's, Trump, There's, Shannon Kirwin, Kirwin, Sameer Goel, CNBC's, doesn't, Goel, MUFG Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, Fed, CNBC, Treasury, Democratic, New York Stock Exchange, China News Service, Morningstar, European Union, Deutsche Bank, Trump, U.S, U.S ., Singapore, Malaysian, South Korean, ING Locations: Greensboro , North Carolina, Europe, United States, New York City, U.S, Mexico, Asia, China
The euro has declined rapidly, meanwhile, briefly dipping below $1.05 on Nov. 14 for the first time since October 2023. Modeling by Barclays' economists shows the euro hitting dollar parity with a 10% tariff on European products and subsequent retaliation. The bank said the prospect of Trump tariffs and fiscal reforms had caused it to revise its view that the dollar would gradually decline through the year, instead seeing the U.S. currency "stronger for longer." Since hitting a low in September 2022, the euro has been comfortably back above parity even if below its long-range average. One of those 2022 factors roared back into focus this week, weighing broadly on European assets: the threat of escalating tensions with Russia.
Persons: Donald Trump, James Reilly, Reilly, George Saravelos, Trump, Saravelos, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: U.S, Republican, China —, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Federal, European Central Bank, FX Research, Deutsche Bank, Trump, Barclays, ECB, Fed Locations: Congress, China, U.S, Europe, Russia, Ukraine
If the Fed doesn't cut rates in December, we may see mortgage rates inch up. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.60%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed has started cutting rates, mortgage rates have trended down compared to where they were a year ago.
Persons: Jerome Powell, It's, they've, Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Mortgage Research, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government
We're selling 165 shares of Best Buy at roughly $86 each. Following Wednesday's trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 600 shares of BBY, decreasing its weighting to about 1.5% from 1.9%. BBY YTD mountain Best Buy YTD On Wednesday, however, we're selling some Best Buy shares for another reason: discipline. But we have to acknowledge that Best Buy competes with the big three on electronics. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Donald Trump, There's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Federal Reserve, Walmart, Amazon, Costco —, TJX Companies, CNBC Locations: BBY, Williams, Sonoma
The company beat fiscal second-quarter earnings expectations, but missed on sales and cut its full-year outlook blaming inflation. (Photo by Eric Thayer/Getty Images)Lowe's beat Wall Street's quarterly earnings expectations on Tuesday, as outdoor do-it-yourself projects, the home professional business and stronger online shopping fueled sales. The company updated its full-year guidance on Tuesday, and now expects total sales of between $83 billion to $83.5 billion, higher than its previous forecast for $82.7 billion to $83.2 billion. Lowe's is lapping a year-ago period when the company lowered its outlook and sales tumbled nearly 13% year over year. Home Depot beat Wall Street's sales and earning expectations, yet posted its eighth quarter in a row of declining comparable sales.
Persons: Eric Thayer Organizations: LSEG, Home, Federal Reserve, Wall Locations: ANGELES , CALIFORNIA, Los Angeles , California, Lowe's
Traders work on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) floor on November 12, 2024 in New York City. Stock futures hovered near the flatline on Tuesday evening, as investors looked toward a key earnings report from tech giant Nvidia. S&P 500 futures were little changed, while Nasdaq 100 futures inched higher by less than 0.07%. The jump in Nvidia shares helped lift the Nasdaq Composite to a 1% gain and the S&P 500 to a 0.4% advance. The separation is expected to take roughly a year, and the news was first reported by The Wall Street Journal.
Persons: Nvidia's, Jensen Huang, Lori Calvasina, CNBC's Julia Boorstin, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman, Susan Collins Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nvidia, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia's Blackwell, RBC, Markets, Comcast, MSNBC, CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Federal Reserve, Boston Locations: New York City
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors and CEOs will wait for clarity from new admin to commit capital, says Peter KrausPeter Kraus, Aperture Investors chairman and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss hurdles to market growth, what to expect from the Federal Reserve going forward, and much more.
Persons: Peter Kraus Peter Kraus Organizations: Investors, Aperture, Federal Reserve
Nvidia earnings results this week are more important to the stock market than the Federal Reserve or even jobs data, according to the options market. But Jensen Huang's company remains crucially important to the market, according to Wall Street firms tracking the options market. NVDA 1D mountain Nvidia The options market shows an implied move of 8% for Nvidia, according to Barclays. For investors, how Nvidia moves could determine what is next for a market that has been flagging lately following the postelection rally, according to Bank of America Securities' Asis. Asis recommends hedging against the earnings results in case Nvidia disappoints.
Persons: Jensen, Gonzalo Asis, Asis, Stefano Pascale Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Wall, Bank of America Securities, Sunday, Nvidia, CPI, Barclays, Bank of America, Apple, Microsoft Locations: Asis
High home prices and higher mortgage rates along with low inventory have put ownership just out of reach for many households. Jose Luis Pelaez Inc | Digitalvision | Getty ImagesAlthough vacationing has also gotten more expensive, Americans are still determined to travel. Rising debt is another threat to wealthAt the same time, rising consumer debt has weighed on household balance sheets. Nearly half, 44%, of Americans said credit card debt is the biggest threat to their ability to build wealth, according to a separate report by Edelman Financial Engines. "That stands in the way of people building actual wealth and therefore feeling wealthier," she said.
Persons: , Freddie Mac, Jose Luis Pelaez, Jean Chatzky Organizations: Jose Luis Pelaez Inc, Deloitte, Edelman Financial, Federal Reserve Bank of New, CNBC Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Art on the auction blockA little more than half of Phillips, Christie’s and Sotheby’s sales — which will carry the three aforementioned art pieces — were based in New York, where 34 of the top 50 auction lots were sold in 2023, according to an Art Basel and UBS Art Market Report. Christie’s is auctioning 689 lots this week as part of the November art auctions. But Todd Levin of Levin Art Group was skeptical that tax cuts would do much for the art market. Interest ratesAnother drag on the art market over the last few years: high interest rates. A signal for what’s to comeNew York’s art auctions in the spring and fall could be a sign of things to come for the global art market, according to Woodham.
Persons: Maurizio Cattelan’s, , Andy Warhol’s “, Rene Magritte’s “, Sotheby’s, Phillips, Merrill Lynch, Donald Trump, Alex Glauber, ” Glauber, Christie’s, René Magritte, Marc Porter, Hiroko Masuike, Trump, bode, Todd Levin, “ It’s, Doug Woodham, , Fernando Botero's, Kena Batancur, Glauber, Amy Whitaker, , ” Whitaker Organizations: New, New York CNN, Andy Warhol’s “ New York Skyscrapers, of, Christie’s, Association of Professional Art Advisors, CNN, Art Basel, UBS Art, New York Times, UBS Survey, Global, Trump White, Levin Art, Federal Reserve, Trump, NYU Steinhardt Locations: New York, Belgian, Christie’s Americas, Woodham, AFP, Miami
Yet there is another force that could deter Trump from some of his most extreme instincts: the $50 trillion US stock market. A view of the New York Stock Exchange on Wall Street on November 13 in New York City. A view of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Wall Street November 13, 2024, in New York City. Angela Weiss/AFP/Getty Images“There is zero chance that he will take personally any negative feedback from the stock market,” said Sonnenfeld. While the stock market initially celebrated the election results, the bond market did not.
Persons: Donald Trump, Gary Cohn, Trump, Jack Smith, CNN’s Kayla Tausche, , Isaac Boltansky, Angela Weiss, Jerome Powell, Trump’s, Xi Jinping, Ed Mills, Raymond James, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Alexander Hamilton, Chip Somodevilla, ” Lori Calvasina, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Republicans, Dow Jones, Federal, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Trump, CNN, Yale, Leadership, Treasury, Fed, U.S . Department of Treasury, RBC Capital Markets Locations: New York, China, New York City, Argentina, Washington, , Washington ,, recalibrate
Investors may soon be forced to take on more risk and rethink their diversification strategies due to macroeconomic uncertainties. And that presents challenges for those who follow the traditional balance of 60% stocks to 40% bonds as a diversifier, he added. "Momentum has really been driving equities higher across the board, especially with respect to large-cap growth names," Adams said. The study found that stocks, bonds, and options strategies could have more correlated risk than is evident on the surface. "So value stocks are about the here-and-now, growth stocks are about the hereafter."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jon Adams, Adams, Jimmy Chang, Donald Trump, Chang, Nikolai Roussanov, David Kelly, you've, Kelly Organizations: Calamos Wealth, Treasury, Rockefeller, Family, Wharton School, Morgan Asset Management
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