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☆ CNBC Daily Open: After the Fed’s first cut, where to next?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. CNBC's Sarah Min breaks down how a rate cut could affect the S&P 500 . Welcome to U.S. rate cut week! But given that the rate cut has been so clearly telegraphed by the Fed, it's hard to imagine it not happening. This cut might not be big in terms of basis points, but it will be big in what it signals to markets.

Persons: It's, Sarah Min, Biden, Donald Trump, Rafael Barros, Cat Stevens, Aditya Bhave, CNBC's Pia Singh, Hakyung Kim, Brian Evans Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Discount, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Republican, Federal Bureau of Investigation, Secret Service, U.S, Federal, Fed, Bank of America U.S Locations: Washington , DC, Florida, U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: The real question isn’t the Fed’s first cut, but where it goes after
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

CNBC's Sarah Min breaks down how a rate cut could affect the S&P 500 . Welcome to U.S. rate cut week! Furthermore, jumbo hikes of 75 basis points were enacted between June 2022 to November 2022. But given that the rate cut has been so clearly telegraphed by the Fed, it's hard to imagine it not happening. This cut might not be big in terms of basis points, but it will be big in what it signals to markets.

Persons: It's, Sarah Min, Donald Trump, Rafael Barros, Cat Stevens, Aditya Bhave, CNBC's Pia Singh, Hakyung Kim, Brian Evans Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Republican, Federal Bureau of Investigation, Secret Service, U.S, Federal, Fed, Bank of America U.S Locations: Washington , DC, Florida, U.S

☆ The Fed keeps brushing off concerns about another Trump presidency. Its closed-door meetings show otherwise
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —Federal Reserve officials won’t say how former President Donald Trump winning a second term could impact the economy. But transcripts of closed-door Fed meetings from Trump’s first term give some clues about top economists’ true feelings about Trump’s economic agenda. “We don’t want to be involved … in politics in any way,” Powell said after July’s monetary policy meeting. The transcripts of past meetings that are publicly available, the most recent being from the December 2018 monetary policy meeting, suggest that some Fed officials had legitimate concerns about Trump’s trade policy and its impact on the economy. ‘Ill-conceived US government policies’At later meetings, as the Trump administration began to set the stage for a potential trade war with China, Fed officials started to sound more concerned.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Sen, Jack Reed, …, it’s, Loretta Mester, ” Mester, ”, James Bullard, Bob Dylan, ” Bullard, Bullard, Mitch Daniels, ‘, ’, “, ” William Dudley, ” Dudley Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal, Democrat, Trump, CNN, Cleveland Fed, Fed, Federal, Market, Louis Federal Reserve, Chicago Cubs, Mitch Daniels School of Business, Washington, Lee University Locations: New York, Rhode Island, ”, China, United States, Dudley

☆ Mortgage rates fall to lowest level since February 2023
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington CNN —Mortgage rates fell this week to the lowest point since February 2023, in a welcome sign for Americans grappling with a tough housing market. The standard, 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.20% in the week ended September 12, mortgage financing giant Freddie Mac said Thursday. Mortgage rates started to drop early last month on news affirming lower interest rates in the future, specifically after a weaker-than-expected jobs report for July, and have gradually edged lower since. “Mortgage rates have fallen more than half a percent over the last six weeks and are at their lowest level since February 2023,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a release. The Fed doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, but its action do influence them through movements in bond yields.

Persons: Freddie Mac, ” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, that’s, Lawrence Yun Organizations: Washington CNN —, “, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Las, P Global, Apple, Fed, National Association of Realtors Locations: New York City, San Diego, Las Vegas, America, Los Angeles, Miami

☆ Nearly half of US renters spend more than 30% of their income on housing costs
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Samantha Delouya | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —Nearly half of all renter households in the US were cost-burdened in 2023, meaning they paid more than 30% of their income towards housing costs, according to new government data. “Housing costs rose between 2022 and 2023 for both homeowners and renters,” Molly Ross, a survey statistician at the Census Bureau, said in a statement. Households that spend more than 30% of their income on rent, mortgage payments or other housing costs are considered “cost-burdened” by the US Department of Housing and Urban Development. In 2023, 56.2% of Black or African American households spent more than 30% of their income on housing costs, compared to 49.7% of the total population. About 2.5 million, or 30.6%, of Black households were considered “severely cost-burdened,” meaning they spent more than 50% of their income on housing costs in 2023.

Persons: Molly Ross, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: CNN, Survey, Census, US Department of Housing, Urban Development, Federal Reserve Locations: Florida, Texas , California , New York, Louisiana, Illinois , Kansas , Minnesota, New Mexico , New York, West Virginia

☆ Harris-Trump debate highlights and Hurricane Francine approaches Louisiana: Morning Rundown
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Elizabeth Robinson | Elizabeth Robinson Is A Newsletter Editor For Nbc News | Based In Los Angeles. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +7 min

And while Trump tried to tie Harris to President Joe Biden, he learned that she is a much tougher rival. While Trump tried to re-create the conditions of June’s fateful debate stage matchup, Harris reminded him, “You’re not running against Joe Biden. Harris tried to get under Trump’s skin, baiting him into a defensive posture that prevented him from attacking her weaknesses. And when Trump scolded Harris’ attempt to interrupt him, some allies lamented that he lost control at a key moment. Three Republican sources told NBC News after the debate that Trump came off as “angry” in that moment.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Francine churns, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, “ You’re, You’re, ” Harris, Harris ’, ” Trump, Louisiana Hurricane Francine, Joe Wilson of, ”, Republican Kelly Ayotte, Joyce Craig, Mauricio Pochettino, Dave Grohl, Hill, Jesse Dittmar, James Earl Jones ’, Darth Vader, Jones, Char Adams, — Joy Y, Wang, Dermatologists, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: Trump, Republican, NBC News, Federal, Labor Statistics, Louisiana Hurricane, Public, Novo Nordisk, Foo Fighters, Police, Miami Dolphins, NBC Locations: Louisiana, Ohio, New Orleans, Mississippi, Novo, semaglutide, Wegovy, Joe Wilson of South Carolina, Washington, ” New Hampshire, Ukraine, Russia

☆ US employers have good reasons not to hire more workers now
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-08 | by ( Bryan Mena | Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

That’s because employers might be putting some of their hiring plans on hold — and for good reason. Businesses consider many factors when deciding to hire, but across a wide spectrum of industries, the economic outlook carries always great deal of weight. Both those factors are prompting employers to think twice about hiring more workers now, according to economists and recent comments from businesses around the country. But she’s proposing raising the corporate tax rate to 28%. So when interest rates are as elevated as they are right now, monthly debt payments could be too costly for many firms.

Persons: there’s, ” Kathy Bostjancic, Reserve Banks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, ”, Sean Snaith, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter’s, ” Pollak, “ It’s, Pollak Organizations: CNN, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Nationwide, “, Reserve, Trump, America, Economic, of New, Institute for Economic, University of Central, Fed, Treasury Locations: China, of New York, University of Central Florida

☆ Friday’s jobs report will likely determine the size of the Fed’s rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

CNN —The US economy appears to be on a knife’s edge, and Friday’s jobs report will be the deciding factor as to the next direction. Economists are expecting that the August report should reaffirm that the labor market is merely cooling versus outright weakening. Inflation had cooled, and the labor market was rolling right along and doing its part to keep consumers spending and the economy churning. Friday’s jobs report should provide further reassurance that the labor market is merely softening and not collapsing, economists predict. “It would be a mistake to define the labor market as being excessively weak at this stage.”Instead, the signals indicate that the labor market has moved from being extremely strong and into better balance, she said.

Persons: ” Tuan Nguyen, —, ” Karin Kimbrough, “, ” Oliver Allen, ” Allen, ”, Andrew Challenger, Nick Bunker, Pantheon’s Allen, Beryl “, Mike Skordeles Organizations: CNN, RSM, Federal, LinkedIn, Labor, Department of Labor, “ Companies, Pantheon Macroeconomics, BLS, Employers, ADP, Challenger, Technology, “, North America, Bank of America Locations: US, Michigan, Texas

☆ This week could shift the focus of a key narrative for Harris and Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-04 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Those two events are the kind of thing that, in normal times, are tracked mostly by economists and Wall Street types. For former President Donald Trump and the Republicans, the narrative is simple: Anything bad you’re feeling about inflation or the job market? Harris entered the race trailing Trump on a range of issues, including the economy. If that were the whole story, Trump might have a harder time disparaging Harris’ and President Joe Biden’s economic record. If the data doesn’t behave, however, then jobs — not inflation — may become the key economic narrative that Harris and Trump will start talking about in their stump speeches.

Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN —, we’re, pollsters, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Price, Trump, Harris ’, Joe Biden’s, it’s, ”, Aaron Sojourner, Heidi Shierholz, Biden, — Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Republicans, Biden, Democratic, Trump, July’s, Fed, WE Upjohn, Employment Research, Economic Policy Institute, ”, of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, Washington

☆ America has the fewest jobs available since January 2021
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-04 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —The number of available jobs in the US shrank more than expected in July, an indication that demand for workers continues to wane amid a cooling labor market. Wednesday’s data is the first in a series of critically important economic metrics released this week about the US labor market, culminating with the Friday jobs report. As the labor market has slowed, it’s come back into balance: There are now nearly 1.1 jobs available for every person looking for one. The monthly jobs report for July showed gains of just 114,000 — far below expectations — and the unemployment rate shot to 4.3% from 4.1%. Separately, annual labor market data revisions showed job gains for the year ending March 2024 were less robust than initially thought.

Persons: “, ” Oliver Allen, ”, it’s, hasn’t, ” Allen, Robert Frick, ” Frick, ” ‘ Haggard, haggard, Noah Yosif, ” Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter’s, ” Pollak, Wednesday’s, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Labor, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Federal, Navy Federal Credit Union, American Staffing Association, ZipRecruiter

☆ The Fed’s favorite inflation indicator increased 0.2% in July, as expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core PCE also increased 0.2% for the month but was up 2.6% from a year ago. Core prices less housing, another key metric for the Fed, increased just 0.1% on the month. Elsewhere in the report, the department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said personal income increased 0.3%, slightly higher than the 0.2% estimate, while consumer spending rose 0.5%, in line with the forecast. Markets reacted little to the news, with equity futures pointing to a slightly higher open on Wall Street and Treasury yields higher as well. In recent days, policymakers such as Chair Jerome Powell have expressed confidence that inflation is progressing back to the Fed's 2% goal.

Persons: Dow, Joseph Brusuelas, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Dow Jones, Fed, department's, BEA, Treasury, RSM

☆ Fed’s Powell Signals an Upcoming Rate Cut in Jackson Hole Remarks
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. We will do everything we can to support a strong labor market as we make further progress toward price stability. Today, the labor market has cooled considerably from its formerly overheated state. The unemployment rate began to rise over a year ago and is now at 4.3 percent — still low by historical standards, but almost a full percentage point above its level in early 2023. The upside risks to inflation have diminished.

☆ ‘The time has come’: The Fed just sent a crucial message about its next move
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

And so does the broader US economy: Economic growth this year has been solid and the Atlanta Fed is projecting that growth hasn’t slipped. “The labor market is cooling, but it’s not getting soft. A slowing job market is also playing a role in nudging the Fed to ease borrowing costs. Translation: The recent weakness in the job market could result in American shoppers curbing their spending more than expected. A big question mark is the future of America’s job market, which is a key driver of the US economy.

Persons: Washington CNN —, “, Jerome Powell, ”, “ Powell, Seema Shah, hasn’t, ” Tom Porcelli, it’s, Powell, cooldown, ” Powell, aren’t, they’re, —, “ There’s, Elizabeth Renter Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Fed, Markets, Asset Management, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, CNN, Walmart, America’s Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, nudging

☆ Stocks gain after Fed’s Powell hints rate cuts are coming
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Stocks rose Friday morning as Wall Street cheered a signal from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that long-awaited interest rate cuts are finally coming. Powell said that “the time has come” to ease rates, currently perched at a 23-year high, at a key economic summit in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. He also noted that the labor market has cooled enough not to pressure inflation higher and that the central bank does not want to see more weakening in job market conditions. Some officials also fretted that the softening labor market could weaken considerably if policy stays restrictive for too long. Recent data has shown that US job growth was weaker than previously estimated in the 12 months leading up to March.

Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Powell, there’s, ”, Jack Janasiewicz Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Labor Statistics, Solutions, National Association of Realtors, Target, Boeing Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Fed Chair Powell Signals ‘Time Has Come’ for September Rate Cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Speaking in his most closely watched speech of the year, Jerome H. Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, clearly signaled that the central bank was poised to cut interest rates in September. And while Mr. Powell stopped short of giving a clear hint at just how large that move might be, he forcefully underscored that the central bank stands prepared to adjust policy to protect the job market from weakening further and to keep the economy on a path for a soft landing. “The time has come for policy to adjust,” Mr. Powell said during the Kansas City Fed’s annual conference at Jackson Hole in Wyoming. “The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks.”He then added: “We will do everything we can to support a strong labor market as we make further progress toward price stability.”

Persons: Jerome H, Powell, Mr Organizations: Federal Reserve, Kansas City, Jackson Locations: Kansas, Wyoming

☆ Trump says he ‘made a lot of money’ so he should have a say in when you get a rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

If reelected, Trump said Thursday he’d go further: He’d try to exert direct power over monetary policy. He gets a little bit too early and a little bit too late,” Trump said. Still, Trump has recently advocated against a rate cut before the election, saying such a decision from the Fed would be a gift to the Democratic party. Rate cuts tend to reduce borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, freeing up cash to to spend and boosting the economy. Presidents frequently gripe about Fed policy, but Trump’s public pressure campaign is in a league of its own.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, he’d, ” Trump, “, ”, Jerome Powell, Powell, reappoint Powell Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Federal, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed, Democratic, Bloomberg Locations: Powell’s, Turkey

The Federal Reserve is gearing up to cut interest rates as soon as next month, which could bring relief to people with mortgages, credit cards and car loans. Certificates of deposit — fixed-rate bank accounts with term limits — are a go-to when interest rates are high. With interest rates coming down, the idea is just pay and save as much as you can right now. There’s no bad time to do that, but when the central bank lowers interest rates, it can be even more valuable. “It’s tempting to say, ‘Well, when interest rates go down, stocks are going to do well, because people are switching from low-return to higher-return assets,’” she said.

Persons: Mark Hamrick, “, ”, Hamrick, Rodney Lake, Laura Veldkamp, Veldkamp, Jude Boudreaux, now’s, ” Jude Boudreaux, you’re, ” Boudreaux, ” DON’T, Jonathan Smoke, Cox, Edmunds, Ivan Drury Organizations: Federal, GW Investment, George Washington University School of Business, Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business, Chipping, Columbia Business, Philadelphia Fed, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, Fed Locations: U.S, Orleans, New Orleans, Edmunds

☆ Mortgage rates plunge to lowest level in more than a year
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington CNN —US mortgage rates plummeted this week after weaker-than-expected employment data raised the odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next month. The standard 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.47% this week, mortgage financing giant Freddie Mac said Thursday. Mortgage rates have steadily fallen over the past several weeks since reaching a 2024 peak of 7.22% in early May. Mortgage rates track the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield, which moves in anticipation of the Fed’s decision on interest rates. Lower mortgage rates and a bigger housing stock will eventually entice more buyers to eventually enter the market.

Persons: Freddie Mac, That’s, ”, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, “ Homebuyers, ” Lawrence Yun, Lisa Sturtevant, “ Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Las, P Global, Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, CNN, Treasury, National Association of Realtors, Fed, NAR, “, Bright MLS Locations: New York, San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, Denver, Minneapolis, United States

☆ Here’s who to blame — and who not to blame — for the slumping US economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-07 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Gross domestic product for the second quarter of this year came in better than expected, with the economy growing at an annualized rate close to 3%. Republicans and DemocratsIt’s not fair to lay all the blame for the state of the economy on one party when both have contributed. While neither can be fully blamed for the pandemic itself, their handling of it has had significant ramifications for the economy. Oh, here’s an idea, let’s just leave interest rates really high.” That’s not to say that politicians necessarily wanted to make Americans’ lives more difficult either. Yet all the calculus they perform to determine what the ideal interest rate level is at any given point in time is complicated by fiscal spending that’s entirely out of their control.

Persons: Democrats It’s, Trump, Biden, —, It’s, , Massachusetts Democratic Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Jerome Powell “, “ He’s, let’s, ” That’s, don’t, they’ve, They’ve Organizations: New, New York CNN, Gross, Republicans, Democrats, MIT, State, , Massachusetts Democratic, Fed Locations: New York, Ukraine, , Massachusetts

☆ Markets are counting on the Fed to head off recession with sizeable interest rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +5 min

Disappointing economic data recently generated worries that the Fed missed an opportunity at its meeting last week to, if not cut rates outright, send a clearer signal that easing is on the way. In the past, the Fed has implemented just nine such cuts, and all have come amid extreme duress, according to Bank of America. Lacking a catalyst for an intermeeting cut, the Fed is nonetheless expected to cut rates almost as swiftly as it hiked from March 2022-July 2023. Why wait?”LaVorgna, though, isn’t convinced the Fed is in a life-or-death battle against recession. Still, any quakes in the data, such as Friday’s downside surprise to the nonfarm payrolls numbers, could ignite recession talk quickly.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Steven Blitz, ”, Andrew Hollenhorst, ‘, ’ ”, Michael Gapen, Powell, Joseph LaVorgna, “, “ They’ll, isn’t, Goldman Sachs, David Rosenberg Organizations: Federal Reserve, TS Lombard, Fed, Citigroup, Bank of America, Nikko Securities, Rosenberg Research Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Nikko

☆ The stock market is panicking, but you don’t have to
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

To be sure, the carnage on Wall Street and in equities markets around the world was real. But Monday’s panic was the Wall Street equivalent of a tantrum from a kid who just got told they can’t have ice cream for dinner. But don’t let the stock market drama fool you: The US economy is still in good shape, despite some turbulence. “And I’m not too worried about Wall Street becoming poor.”Stocks looked to bounce back Tuesday. Wall Street worked itself into a lather when ChatGPT came out two years ago.

Persons: CNN Business ’, Stocks, Dow, Wall, don’t, Rana Foroohar, That’s, it’s, Goldman Sachs, ”, Jan Hatzius, ” Goldman, There’s, Beryl, “, Beryl didn’t, Aaron Sojourner, ’ ”, ChatGPT, Rob Haworth, ” Haworth Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, CNN, Nikkei, of Labor Statistics, Coast, BLS, WE Upjohn, Employment Research, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Fed, Federal, Markets, Big Tech, Nvidia, Microsoft, Wall, Bank of Japan, US Bank Locations: New York, Japan

☆ Why the stock market is freaking out again
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The Dow tumbled more than 1,000 points at the open, and the broader market plunged 3% Monday. The Nasdaq, full of risky tech stocks, dropped 3.7%. Although that’s not in and of itself an unhealthy unemployment rate, its sudden march higher is alarming: Last year, the unemployment rate was at its lowest level since the moon landing. Traders are beginning to unwind big trades on Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet and other tech stocks that had been surging since the beginning of last year. Monday’s rout, if it ends at current levels, wouldn’t even crack the top 100 worst days in market history.

Persons: Dow, that’s, Goldman Sachs, That’s, Jeremy Siegel, “, ”, Siegel, Stocks, it’ll, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: CNN, Nasdaq, Nikkei, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Citigroup, JPMorgan, CNBC, Traders, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Berkshire Locations: Wall

☆ Why the Fed almost certainly isn’t going to do an emergency rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Investors are increasingly hopeful that will push Federal Reserve officials to come to their rescue with an emergency rate cut. But if something comes up in between those meetings that changes their views on the ideal level for rates, officials can gather for an unscheduled “emergency” meeting. By doing two large emergency cuts in succession, Fed officials didn’t have to weigh whether their actions would unnecessarily cause Americans to panic. Before those cuts, the last time the Fed was promoted to do an emergency rate cut was in the thick of the Great Recession shortly after Lehman Brothers collapsed in the fall of 2008. But he said he was “reluctantly” comfortable with an emergency cut since other central banks were doing it.

Persons: Austan Goolsbee, there’s, Lehman Brothers, ” Charles Plosser, “, ”, That’s, Janet Yellen, ” Yellen, Plosser Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Chicago Fed, New York Times, Philadelphia Fed, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank, Bank of England, San, Committee, Fed, Treasury Locations: New York

☆ Opinion | The Economy Is Looking Pre-Recessionary
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Paul Krugman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The good news is that they can greatly reduce that risk by losing weight, improving their diet and getting more exercise. But I found myself thinking about medical analogies when looking at recent economic data. The United States probably (probably) hasn’t entered a recession yet. But the economy is definitely looking pre-recessionary. And policymakers — which right now basically means the Federal Reserve — need to move quickly to head off the risks of serious economic deterioration.

Persons: who’ve, they’re, hasn’t Organizations: Fed Locations: United States

☆ 3 reasons to worry about July’s weak jobs report — and 1 reason not to panic
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-03 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The Federal Reserve now has egg on its face after it kept interest rates near a quarter-century high earlier this week. By now, there’s ample evidence that the job market, a key driver of the US economy, has lost steam. Here are three reasons to be worried about July’s shockingly weak jobs report — and one silver lining. Consumer demand itself also hasn’t weakened just yet, despite the highest interest rates in more than two decades. Generally, the Fed makes its decision congruent with what’s going on with inflation or the job market.

Persons: , July’s, ’, ”, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, Elizabeth Crofoot, Alicia Wallace, Jerome Powell, ” Crofoot, ” Michael Gapen, Matt Egan, weren’t, ” Truist’s Keith Lerner, they’ll, hasn’t, ” Chris Rupkey, Alan Blinder, Paul Krugman Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Dow, Nasdaq, Wall, Investors, Labor, Citigroup, JPMorgan Locations: New York, decelerate, American

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