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"As cash yields remain elevated and inflation has cooled significantly from last year's levels, cash yields moved into positive territory on a real, inflation-adjusted basis after a few years of negative real yields," said Veronica Willis, global investment strategist at the firm. The pros weigh in on whether it's a good idea to stay in cash for the remainder of the year. Cash to 'outperform' stocks In a Sept. 7 note, Barclays said it believes cash will, in the fourth quarter, outperform stocks for a second straight quarter. So, for a second straight quarter, we prefer the company of cash over stocks and bonds," Barclays wrote, describing major asset classes as "still unattractive." "If short-term interest rates fall, short-term investments or cash investors will need to reinvest at a lower rate, reducing future returns.
Persons: it's, Veronica Willis, Cash, David Kostin, CNBC's, JPMorgan, Ray Dalio, Willis, Schroders, , Balakrishner, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S . Federal, Treasury, Fargo Investment Institute, Barclays, Billionaire, Bridgewater Associates, Milken Institute Asia Summit, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo, U.S, Singapore, Wells Fargo
U.S. retail sales also climbed 0.6% last month, against estimates of a 0.2% rise, while initial jobless claims for the latest week fell to 220.000. "We've been waiting to see exactly which of these inflation data trends would kind of knock the market off its axis. "It's likely that while the Federal Reserve won't love the August inflation data, it also is soft enough that they likely won't react to it either. ROBERT PAVLIK, SENIOR PORTFOLIO MANAGER, DAKOTA WEALTH, CONNECTICUT"Most of the rise in prices is coming from energy. "I still believe we have seen the last of the rate hikes, but there is a possibility small that November still has the potential to bring another rate hike.
Persons: Robert Graham, King, King of Prussia, Mark Makela, SAMEER SAMANA, WELLS, We've, haven't, GREG BASSUK, PETER ANDERSEN, ANDERSEN, ROBERT PAVLIK, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Reuters, CHARLOTTE, Federal, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: Prussia, United States, King, King of Prussia , Pennsylvania, U.S, WELLS FARGO, NORTH CAROLINA, BOSTON, DAKOTA, CONNECTICUT, WISCONSIN
Investors might be more sensitive to a shutdown this time around, however. With only weeks to go before the deadline, the Republican-led House of Representatives has approved only one of those 12 bills. 'LESS FRIENDLY POLICY'If it occurs, the shutdown would be the fourth over the last decade and would furlough roughly three of out five federal civilian workers. The White House last month said it was working with Congress to hammer out a short-term funding measure to avoid a shutdown while longer-term spending talks continue. Analysts at Ned Davis Research said a shutdown could add to factors threatening to roil the economy into next year.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Goldman Sachs, Fitch, , Jamie Cox, Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Ned Davis, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Marguerita Choy Organizations: REUTERS, Goldman, Social, Federal, Harris Financial Group, Caucus, House Republican, Republican, Senate, Congressional, Office, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Democrats, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CFRA Research, Thomson Locations: Wells Fargo
Labor Day weekend gas prices are near all-time highs
  + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN —Drivers hitting the roads this Labor Day weekend will be greeted by historically high gas prices for this time of the year. The good news is that gas prices are still well below the peak set in June 2022. Psychologically important pricesIt’s worth noting that while gas prices are high for this point of the calendar, these figures aren’t adjusted for inflation. Still, consumers are very sensitive to increases in gas prices, in part because of how visible they are. In fact, the Conference Board blamed the recent uptick in gas prices for driving down consumer confidence in August.
Persons: , John LaForge, Andy Lipow, – can’t, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Drivers, Labor, CNN, AAA, Wells, Investment Institute, Biden, Lipow Oil Associates, US Energy Information Administration, Conference Board Locations: New York, Illinois, Washington , Arizona, California, Russia, Saudi Arabia
Watch CNBC's full interview with Lisa Shalett and Scott Wren
  + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Lisa Shalett and Scott WrenLisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management CIO and Scott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Lisa Shalett, Scott Wren Lisa Shalett, Morgan, Scott Wren Organizations: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're looking for a pullback from here, fading this rally, says Wells Fargo's Scott WrenLisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management CIO and Scott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Scott Wren Lisa Shalett, Morgan, Scott Wren Organizations: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo
Strong economic growth has spurred expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave rates higher for longer, pushing Treasury yields this month to their highest levels since 2007. The S&P 500 has lost 4% this month as the U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed to a more than 15-year high of 4.366% on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 technology sector (.SPLRCT) has dropped 5.7%, bitcoin has fallen over 10% and the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK.P) - a bastion of many high-growth names - has dropped 18.5%. Stocks rose on Monday, with the S&P 500 closing up 0.7% and futures pointed to a further rise on Tuesday. The S&P 500 is over 8% below its January 2022 closing high.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, bitcoin, Sameer Samana, , Jerome Powell, Matt Maley, Miller, Goldman Sachs, Randy Frederick, Frederick, David Randall, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Bill Berkrot Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Innovation, U.S ., Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Lipper, Investor, Deutsche Bank, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Wells Fargo, Samana, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
The major U.S. averages have been in negative territory this month , and valuations are coming down from their lofty heights. The S & P 500 has declined 4% this month, and the Nasdaq Composite about 6%. Still, there are some who are optimistic on the S & P 500, which is at around 4,404 as of Wednesday's close. George Ball, chairman of investment firm Sanders Morris Harris, predicts that S & P 500 will land at 5,000. ZoomInfo's losses were among the biggest, tumbling nearly 30%, with average price target upside of 49%.
Persons: Sameer Samana, George Ball, Sanders Morris Harris, Stocks, Baidu, SolarEdge Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S . Federal, Vanguard FTSE, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, CNBC Pro, PayPal, ON Semiconductor, Infineon Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Samana, Snowflake
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why Wells Fargo's Paul Christopher is expecting one more rate hikeWilmington Trust's Tony Roth and Wells Fargo Investment Institute's Paul Christopher join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the conditions that could lead to another rate hike, the economy's deflationary data, and the calculus for equities.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Paul Christopher, Tony Roth, Paul Christopher Organizations: Wilmington, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Locations: Wells Fargo
Investors who want to lock in high rates on longer-term Treasurys may want to act sooner rather than later, according to Wells Fargo Investment Institute. The 10-year Treasury is currently yielding around 4.2%. "We think 10-year Treasury yields in the 4% to 4.5% zone may represent a fixed-income opportunity for investors who have been seeking higher yields over the course of the last 15 years," he added. "It makes sense that investors would require a higher yield when purchasing government debt in the wake of these announcements," he said. In addition to 10-year Treasurys, the bank has also lowered its equities allocation and "parked" those funds in short-term Treasurys, getting yields over 5% in 3-month, 6-month and 12-month maturities, Wren wrote.
Persons: Scott Wren, Wren, Wells Organizations: Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Treasury, Federal Reserve, U.S . Treasury Locations: Wells Fargo
The U.S. producer price index (PPI) for final demand rose 0.3% in July, according to the Labor Department. And in the 12 months through July, the PPI rose 0.8% against estimates for a 0.7% advance. On Thursday, Wall Street's main indexes had finished flat, giving up most early gains on milder-than-feared consumer price inflation data. In currencies, the dollar index rose 0.107%, with the euro down 0.18% to $1.0959. On the U.S. Treasuries side, yields rose after the hotter than expected PPI.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Mary Daly, Sterling, Brent, Sinéad Carew, Elizabeth Howcroft, John Stonestreet, Susan Fenton Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Reserve, Labor Department, PPI, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, Britain, International Energy Agency, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Wells Fargo, St Louis, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London
Treasury yields and stocks have more upside ahead, according to some Wall Street investors, and annuities are yielding more than ever. So if you're nearing — or already in — retirement, which offers the best source of income? Stocks vs. annuities David Dietze, senior investment strategist at Peapack Private Wealth Management, recommended annuities and stocks — with some caveats. Right now, however, Rekenthaler said he would go for annuities, bonds or funds because real interest rates are high. Treasurys Samana of Wells Fargo Investment Institute said she likes Treasurys best — given the firm's expectations of a recession.
Persons: David Dietze, Dietze, John Rekenthaler, Rekenthaler, Samana, Morningstar Organizations: CNBC, Wealth Management, Morningstar, Securities, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, ExxonMobil, Shell Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S, Samana
Wells Fargo Investment Institute is getting more bullish on Amazon as the e-commerce retailer's Amazon Web Services and North American retail segments "near inflection points." Wells Fargo Investment Institute's focus list aims to beat the S & P 500 over a roughly one-year period on a total return basis. AMZN YTD mountain Shares have rallied more than 65% this year Amazon shares have rallied more than 65% this year. "More importantly, we see re-acceleration in growth, even a modest one, in core AWS functions over the next few years as a key catalyst for the stock," Pfeffer wrote. Wells Fargo is also gaining more confidence in Amazon's retail business in North America, as it builds up regional utilization and benefits from lower transportation rates and shipping costs.
Persons: Lawrence Pfeffer, Wells Fargo's, it's, Pfeffer, Wells Fargo, Michael Bloom Organizations: Investment Institute, Web Services, O'Reilly Automotive, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Amazon Locations: Wells, American, Wells Fargo, North America
[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. European shares gained modestly after euro zone inflation fell further in July seeing that most measures of underlying price growth also eased. "Data out this week should remain superficially consistent with the 'soft landing' narrative," Citi market strategists wrote in a note. Japanese 10-year yields surged to a nine-year high up to 0.6% on Monday, and toward the new cap of 1.0%. U.S. crude rose 1.63% to $81.89 per barrel and Brent was at $85.56, up 0.67% on the day.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Florian Ielpo, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Austan Goolsbee, Sterling, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Nell Mackenzie, Nick Macfie, Will Dunham, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Apple Inc, Caterpillar Inc, Starbucks Corp, Devices, Markets, European Central Bank, Lombard, U.S, Citi, Intel, Lam Research, Wells Fargo Investment, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank, Bank of England, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Treasury, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Wells Fargo, Boston, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese government bonds look attractive to foreign investors as yuan weakens: StrategistGary Schlossberg of the Wells Fargo Investment Institute discusses the challenges China faces in its growth, but says a weakening yuan and low inflation spur appetite for Chinese government bonds amongst foreign investors.
Persons: Gary Schlossberg Organizations: Wells, Investment Institute Locations: China
As the S & P 500 's year-to-date rally nears 20%, some investors have questioned whether stocks could be nearing a tipping point. Here's what Citi, TS Lombard and the Wells Fargo Investment Institute advise. More gains to come for U.S. stocks: Citi Citi in a July 23 note said that while in the early months of 2023, the bull market was "very narrow," it believes markets could recover more broadly soon. The bank added that real yields could reach 4% above inflation over the next five years, "therefore, buying bonds in lieu of cash is advisable." Buying bonds would allow investors to lock in today's bond yields, but real yields would rise if inflation falls.
Persons: VIX, Wells, Lombard Organizations: Federal, Citi, TS Lombard, Wells, Investment Institute, Citi Citi, Citi Research, Wells Fargo Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo Wells Fargo, Brazil, Mexico, India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailToo much tech in the portfolio? Wells Fargo strategist names 3 other sectors for long-term investorsPaul Christopher from Wells Fargo Investment Institute says it is an opportunity right now to put cash in sectors which have more 'persistence' and 'longevity'. He also shares his outlook on the global AI race and upcoming earning reports from big tech companies.
Persons: Wells, Paul Christopher Organizations: Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Wells Fargo
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket gains could start broadening into cyclical sectors like financials: Edward Jones' MahajanMona Mahajan, Edward Jones senior investment strategist, and Sameer Samana, Wells Fargo Investment Institute senior global market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk earnings, the banking sector, the markets as a whole and more.
Persons: Edward Jones, Mona Mahajan, Sameer Samana Organizations: Email, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Wells Fargo
Watch CNBC's full interview with Victoria Greene and Scott Wren
  + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Victoria Greene and Scott WrenVictoria Greene, G Squared Private Wealth and Scott Wren, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Senior Global Market Strategist, join CNBC's Leslie Picker and 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Victoria Greene, Scott Wren Victoria Greene, Scott Wren, CNBC's Leslie Picker Organizations: Wealth, Fargo Investment Institute Senior Global Market Locations: Fargo
Strategists expect profit at S&P 500 (.SPX) companies to have dropped 6.4% in the second quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv data. Morgan Stanley:Much of the stock market rally this year has been driven by a price-to-earnings expansion, signaling investors likely remain unconcerned about near-term earnings pressure. Still, "better-than-feared" earnings are not going to be good enough in Q2 considering stocks have become more expensive, the strategists say. Goldman Sachs:Companies will likely be able to beat or surpass "the low bar" set for the second quarter. This suggests a "muted market reaction" to Q2 earnings is likely, given robust gains in stocks since the first quarter and an "overweight" equity positioning, the bank says.
Persons: Mike Segar, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Laura Cooper, Cooper, Scott Wren, Amruta Khandekar, Shreyashi Sanyal, Sriraj Organizations: Citibank, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Companies, GS, Nvidia, iShares EMEA, BlackRock, Deutsche Bank, Investors, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Citigroup, Thomson Locations: New York , New York, U.S, BlackRock, Wells Fargo, Bengaluru
REUTERS/Ralph OrlowskiSummaryCompanies U.S. CPI data for June shows inflation slowdownWall Street stocks gainDollar, Treasury yields dropOil and gold gainJuly 12 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks advanced on Wednesday and the dollar and Treasury yields fell after new U.S. inflation data showed a slowdown in the seemingly relentless rise of consumer prices. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gained just 0.2% last month, the Labor Department said on Wednesday, lifted by rises in gasoline prices as well as rents, which offset a decrease in prices of used motor vehicles. Shares of big tech-related companies, which tend to be sensitive to higher interest rates, gave the S&P 500 its biggest boost. /FRXU.S. Treasury yields also dropped, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 3.865%, down 11.9 basis points . Wall Street banks overall are expected to report higher profits as rising interest payments offset a downturn in deal making.
Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Bryce Doty, Australia's, Wells, Scott Wren, Wren, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Marc Jones, Ankur Banerjee, Jan Harvey, Chizu Nomiyama, Will Dunham, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, Companies U.S, Treasury, Index, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, CPI, Bank of England, U.S, Sit Investment, Fed, Japan's Nikkei, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells, Investment Institute, Brent, Wednesday, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S, Minneapolis, Asia, Wednesday ., Boston, London, Singapore, Carolina, New York
[1/2] A trader works at the Frankfurt stock exchange, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2020. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gained just 0.2% last month, the Labor Department said on Wednesday, lifted by rises in gasoline prices as well as rents, which offset a decrease in prices of used motor vehicles. CPI advanced 3.0% in the 12 months through June, down from 4.0% in May and the smallest year-on-year increase since March 2021. /FRXU.S. Treasury yields also dropped, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 3.853%, down 12.9 basis points . EARNINGS AHEADOvernight in Asia, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.4%, while the bouncing yen knocked Japan's Nikkei (.N225) down 0.8%.
Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Bryce Doty, Australia's, Wells, Scott Wren, Wren, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Marc Jones, Ankur Banerjee, Jan Harvey, Chizu Nomiyama, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, Companies U.S, Treasury, Index, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of England, U.S, Sit Investment, Fed, Bank of Canada, Japan's Nikkei, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells, Investment Institute, Brent, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S, Minneapolis, Asia, dealmaking, Boston, London, Singapore, Carolina, New York
The bullish view Just four of the 15 strategists expect the S & P 500 to end the year higher than current levels, albeit very slightly. He expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,500 — up 2.3% from its current level. Instead, Peng said the S & P 500 's performance will likely broaden over the second half of this year. She expects the S & P 500 to remain flat by the end of the year at 4,300. UBS expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,100 — a drop of 7% from current levels.
Persons: Stocks, BlackRock Karim Chedid, Jerome Powell, Karim Chedid, Chedid, Chadha, Charles Schwab Liz Ann Sonders, Ken Peng, Peng, Savita Subramanian, Andreas Bruckner, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Matt Rowe, Mark Haefele, Christian Abuide, Sameer Samana, Rowe, Wouter Sturkenboom, Sturkenboom Organizations: CNBC Pro, Investment, iShares EMEA, BlackRock, Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Citi Global Wealth Investments, Big Tech, Bank of, Equity, Nomura, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, UBS, Lombard, RBC Wealth Management, U.S, Global Market, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Nomura Private Capital, EMEA, APAC, Northern Trust, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: U.S, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, Northern, Samana
The financials sector is down 2%, while energy is nearly 9% lower. These unloved sectors are growing attractive to investors increasingly torn over whether a long-feared U.S. recession will ever materialize. Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial noted a "tug of war" in the market over the likelihood of a recession. The healthcare sector trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.6, well below the 20.1 ratio of the broad S&P 500. Yet a continued rally in megacaps will likely stretch their valuations further, prompting some investors to rotate toward healthcare and financials, LPL Financial's Krosby said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Quincy Krosby, Sameer Samana, Max Wasserman, Financials, Tom Ognar, Morgan Stanley, John Quealy, Financial's Krosby, David Randall, Megan Davies, Michelle Price, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, Global, BofA, Commerce Department, LPL Financial, Reserve, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, FINANCIALS, Miramar Capital, Abbott Laboratories, Allspring Global Investments, LPL Financial Holdings Inc, Trillium Asset Management, Russell, Thomson Locations: U.S, BlackRock, Wells Fargo, megacaps
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe should see modest gains in the second half of 2023 driven by earnings, says Truist's Keith LernerKeith Lerner, Truist Advisory Services co-CIO and Darrell Cronk, Wells Fargo Investment Institute president, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action and what is ahead for the second half of 2023.
Persons: Truist's Keith Lerner Keith Lerner, Darrell Cronk Organizations: Truist Advisory Services, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Wells Fargo
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