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☆ ECB’s inflation battle has a 550 bln euro problem
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( Francesco Guerrera | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

LONDON, March 31 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Euro zone lenders have so far weathered the financial storms blowing in from the United States and Switzerland. That has allowed the European Central Bank to keep raising rates to combat inflation. Lagarde has said that euro zone banks are well capitalised and have plentiful liquidity. The MRO – the rate lenders pay for one-week loans from the ECB – is currently set at 3.5%, 50 basis points above the benchmark deposit rate. Follow @guerreraf72 on TwitterCONTEXT NEWSEuro zone banks have to repay 549 billion euros in emergency loans from the European Central Bank by June 28.

But after a two-week storm which had analysts and investors rushing to rework their spreadsheets, the outlook is clouded. And the ructions have left the gap between the ratios of European and U.S. banks at its narrowest since September 2017. Reflecting concerns over the stability of the sector, bank shares are set for an almost 15% monthly drop in March, after five consecutive months of gains. European bank earnings growth expectations'UNLIKELY TO BUY'Other investors see pressure on European bank earnings as they anticipate the euro zone economy will slow down. Also in the calculation mix is the ECB's campaign to raise interest rates to tackle rising inflation, which had previously been a boon for euro zone lenders.

☆ Credit Suisse crisis: Not much risk of contagion in the regulated banking sector, says S&P
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCredit Suisse crisis: Not much risk of contagion in the regulated banking sector, says S&PPaul Watters, head of corporate credit research at S&P Global Ratings, discusses the Credit Suisse crisis and the European banking system.

☆ Analysis: Rate rises pile pain on SME firms in U.S. and Europe
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( Chiara Elisei | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Summary SME vulnerability to rate hikes gone under radarUS, European credit conditions tighteningUK SMEs especially vulnerable -analystsLONDON, March 30 (Reuters) - U.S. and European small and medium-sized (SME) firms may be next to feel the pain of rapid interest rate rises, with analysts and investors warily watching for the impact of tighter credit conditions exacerbated by recent banking turmoil. In the U.S. the average rate that small businesses pay on bank loans rose from around 5% to 7.6% in 2022, and is likely to hit about 9.5% by mid-year, Jefferies analysts estimate. British SMEs, hurt by weak growth, double digit inflation and rising Bank of England rates, are seen as particularly vulnerable. "The Government needs to demonstrate that it is on the side of small businesses who are feeling stressed and under huge margin pressure," McTague added. HARD TIMESMeanwhile the rate of small business loan approval at big U.S. banks meanwhile fell in February for nine straight months and business loan approvals at small banks has also fallen, said online financing platform for small businesses Biz2Credit.

☆ EU regulators distance themselves from Credit Suisse bond writedowns
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( Silvia Amaro | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Switzerland's second largest bank Credit Suisse is seen here next to a Swiss flag in downtown Geneva. BRUSSELS — European regulators distanced themselves from the Swiss decision to wipe out $17 billion of Credit Suisse 's bonds in the wake of the bank's rescue, saying they would write down shareholders' investments first. Dominique Laboureix, chair of the EU's Single Resolution Board, had a clear message for investors in an exclusive interview with CNBC. The Swiss decision has led some Credit Suisse AT1 bondholders to consider legal action, and it sparked uncertainty for bondholders around the world. The Single Resolution Board became operational in 2015 in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis and sovereign debt crisis.

☆ Morning Bid: Alibaba fires up market mood
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

An unprecedented revamp of Chinese tech conglomerate Alibaba Group, which analysts believe to have the blessings of local regulators, pushed up Alibaba's U.S.-listed stock, and then its Hong Kong shares on Wednesday. Companies in China's internet, private education and property sectors have lost billions of dollars in market value in recent years as the country's regulators cracked down on their operations. Reuters GraphicsAlthough a lacklustre 0.6% rise in Asia's main stock market gauge, led by Hong Kong tech names, shows that animal spirits haven't returned yet, there's hope for investors who have been left licking their wounds from recent market declines, especially in bank and tech stocks. Global investor confidence remains fragile, with the European Central Bank (ECB) saying that recent volatility highlights the need for greater regulatory scrutiny. Overnight, a survey showed that U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly increased in March despite recent financial market turmoil, but Americans still expect inflation to remain elevated over the next year.

☆ Treasury yields nudge lower as investor nerves settle
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-29 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield nudged down 1 basis point to 4.045%, holding above the 4% line it recovered to on Tuesday . The yield on the 10-year Treasury was also trading 1 basis point lower at 3.556%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower early Wednesday as investors remained cautiously optimistic that recent banking turmoil has settled. On Tuesday and Wednesday, U.S. bank regulators are facing questions over the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Valley Bank. The Treasury saw solid demand for its five-year notes auction on Tuesday, Reuters reported, with demand 2.48 times the amount on offer, the same as in February's five-year auction.

☆ Sergio Ermotti makes surprise comeback to lead UBS into new era
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

STORIES: read moreASHLEY PITTARD, HEAD OF GLOBAL EQUITIES, PENDAL, SYDNEY: (A SHAREHOLDER)"Without a doubt, he is the right person for the job. "Sergio was in the trenches during and post the global financial crisis when UBS was in a lot of trouble. VICTORIA SCHOLAR, HEAD OF INVESTMENT, INTERACTIVE INVESTOR, LONDON"Having steered UBS through the aftermath of the 2008 GFC and a rogue-trading scandal, Ermotti is a dab hand at crisis management. He also helped UBS to navigate through the onset of the pandemic and the corresponding market volatility during most of 2020. With Ermotti, UBS is bringing on board a proven expert on the bank and an effective enforcer for the successful merger of the two banks.

☆ Boomerang UBS boss ticks several important boxes
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-29 | by ( Liam Proud | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

That’s the best explanation for why Chair Colm Kelleher on Wednesday said the Swiss bank was replacing CEO Ralph Hamers with erstwhile boss Sergio Ermotti. Though the move violates several corporate-governance red lines, it improves the group’s chances of successfully absorbing stricken rival Credit Suisse (CSGN.S). Nor was his hesitant delivery in a call with analysts after announcing the Credit Suisse deal. During his previous spell in charge, UBS held talks with Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) and discussed a merger with Credit Suisse. Ermotti, a Swiss national, led the Swiss bank for nine years, departing in late 2020, and is currently chair of Swiss Re.

☆ 'Be very vigilant': Bank of England chief says the market is testing banks to identify weakness
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, attends the Bank of England Monetary Policy Report Press Conference, at the Bank of England, London, Britain, February 2, 2023. LONDON — Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey on Tuesday vowed to be "very vigilant" amid ongoing volatility and suggested that the market is "testing out" banks to find weaknesses. Global banking stocks have taken a beating in March, as contagion fears spread following the collapse of U.S.-based Silicon Valley Bank — the largest bank failure since the financial crisis — and the emergency rescue of Credit Suisse by Swiss rival UBS . Deutsche recovered partially on Monday to lead gains as the market panic appeared to subside, after First Citizens agreed to buy a large chunk of failed Silicon Valley Bank's assets. "I also think what we saw at the tail end of last week, Friday in particular, when there were quite sharp market movements [were] moves in markets to, if you like, test out firms," Bailey told lawmakers.

☆ Andrew Bailey says Bank of England on high alert as investors 'test' banks
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

On Monday, European bank shares rose, boosted by news that First Citizens Bank in the United States would buy most of the assets of Silicon Valley Bank, which collapsed earlier this month. “I think there are moves in markets to, if you like, test out firms,” Bailey told a UK parliamentary committee Tuesday. José Manuel Campa, the head of the European Banking Authority, told Germany’s Handelsblatt Monday that European lenders remained vulnerable. The Swiss heavyweight was rescued by UBS, while SVB UK was bought by HSBC (HBCYF) for £1 after its US parent was shut by regulators. Despite being well-capitalized, SVB UK would not have survived the demise of its US parent, according to Bailey.

☆ Explainer: What are credit default swaps and why are they causing trouble for Europe's banks?
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

LONDON, March 28 (Reuters) - Turbulence in Europe's banks following the implosion of 167-year-old Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) and runs on regional banks in the U.S. has focused attention on the role played by credit default swaps in all the turmoil. The moves followed a surge in the cost of insuring Deutsche Bank's debt against default via credit default swaps (CDS) to a more than four-year high last week. Credit default swaps are derivatives that offer insurance against the risk of a bond issuer - such as a company, a bank or a sovereign government - not paying their creditors. The CDS market is worth around $3.8 trillion, according to the International Swaps and Derivatives Association. The CDS market is small relative to equities, foreign exchange or the global bond markets, where there are more than $120 trillion bonds outstanding.

☆ 'The first bank crisis of the Twitter generation': The pressure on banks is very different from 2008
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Hannah Ward-Glenton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

It is "unlikely" that European banks will undergo anything as serious as in 2008, according to economists. But a banking crisis today would look very different from 15 years ago thanks to social media, online banking, and huge shifts in regulation. This is "the first bank crisis of the Twitter generation," Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, told CNBC earlier this month, in reference to the collapse of Credit Suisse . watch nowRegulators shuttered Silicon Valley Bank on March 10 in what was the biggest U.S. bank collapse since the global financial crisis in 2008. Risk in the banking system today is significantly less than it has been at any time over the last 20 or 30 years.

☆ 'Sell into rallies': Morgan Stanley names the stocks to navigate current European banking jitters
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

In the wake of recent market volatility and steep share price falls, Morgan Stanley cautioned that the European banking sector is "not as attractive as it was." Morgan Stanley strategists cautioned that although the banking sector is now cheaper, news flow surrounding earnings upgrades and cash return expectations may fade or reverse. On a top-down basis, Morgan Stanley recommended the following overweight-rated (a buy equivalent rating) stocks to navigate this environment with a defensive exposure. Stocks in traditionally defensive sectors, such as health care and utilities, are being recommended by Morgan Stanley. However, Morgan Stanley said the banking sector's problems have shifted this perspective, as the outperformance of European banks has been closely tied to the broader European market.

London CNN —Europe’s banks are not yet in the clear, a top EU regulator said Monday, two weeks after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in the United States unleashed turmoil in the global banking sector. José Manuel Campa, the head of the European Banking Authority (EBA), told a German newspaper that European lenders remained vulnerable following the demise of SVB and the subsequent emergency rescue of Credit Suisse by UBS. The regulator is currently finalizing a study of the effects of interest rate risks on European banks, which it started working on in the fall. “The investigation is not yet concluded, but I can say already today that we don’t expect to find major institutions with significant solvency risks arising from unrealized losses,” Campa said. Meanwhile, years of mismanagement and scandal at Credit Suisse left it particularly exposed to a broad sense of unease about banks.

☆ Here’s what experts think of European banking stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere’s what experts think of European banking stocksJeff Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, and Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial chief investment officer, join 'The Exchange' to discuss European banking stocks and whether they are good investment long-term.

☆ Fed's Kashkari says stress in banking sector brings the U.S. closer to recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"What's unclear for us is how much of these banking stresses are leading to a widespread credit crunch. And then that credit crunch, just as you said, would then slow down the economy," Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said in an interview with CBS' Face The Nation. "What's unclear for us is how much of these banking stresses are leading to a widespread credit crunch. And then that credit crunch, just as you said, would then slow down the economy," he said. "But right now, it's unclear how much of an imprint these banking stresses are going to have on the economy.

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Charles Schwab's Jeff Kleintop and Bleakley's Peter Boockvar
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Charles Schwab's Jeff Kleintop and Bleakley's Peter BoockvarJeff Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, and Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Financial chief investment officer, join 'The Exchange' to discuss European banking stocks and whether they are good investment long-term.

☆ Stock futures are up as Wall Street looks to build on winning week: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-26 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Stock futures edged higher Sunday evening as Wall Street came off a winning week and investors continued to follow the troubling bank sector. The moves come after Wall Street capped off a winning week despite volatility related to the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate hike and the ongoing bank crisis. The news reignited concerns over the health of the European banking system that started with UBS ' acquisition of Credit Suisse earlier this month. "Although markets were okay with the Fed, it was the second thing — the ongoing turmoil in the banking system — that mattered even more." In the week ahead, investors will likely continue watching the banking sector for indicators of potential weakness.

☆ World stocks gyrate as bank contagion fears bite
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Koh Gui Qing | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"The growing sense of unease about the global banking system is heightening volatility in stock markets around the world," said Nigel Green, chief executive of deVere Group, a financial advisor. The failure of U.S. regional banks Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) and Signature Bank (SBNY.O) this month triggered fears of a banking contagion and prompted U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Thursday to pledge action to safeguard bank deposits. JP Morgan Chase (JPM.N) dropped 1.52%, the S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) was down 0.33%, while the KBW regional bank index (.KRX) climbed 2.92%. "I don't expect this volatility (in bank stocks) to subside anytime soon," said Peter Doherty, head of investment research at private bank Arbuthnot Latham in London. Doherty said issues of "contagion risk within the U.S. banking sector" were undoubtedly weighing on appetite for bank stocks elsewhere.

The global banking sector has been rocked since the sudden collapse this month of two U.S. regional banks sparked fears of contagion to other lenders. Separate sources told Reuters that UBS has promised retention packages to Credit Suisse wealth management staff in Asia to stem a talent exodus. Credit Suisse and UBS declined to comment, while the Justice Department did not immediately respond to Reuters' emailed requests for comment. The takeover of Credit Suisse has also ignited broader concerns about investors' exposure to a fragile banking sector. Standard Chartered (STAN.L) Chief Executive Bill Winters said on Friday the wipeout had "profound" implications for global bank regulations.

☆ Wall Street downgrades European banks and names stocks to buy 'in case markets turn sour'
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Wall Street is downgrading European banks after stresses in the sector led to the emergency merger of the two largest lenders in Switzerland. The bank's strategists said — in a report titled "A dozen stocks in case markets turn sour" — their list of 12 buy-rated stocks would prove resilient during broad market sell-offs. The list includes companies such as Nokia , Sodexo , and SAP among others that strategists at Deutsche Bank Research said could outperform broader markets during recessionary environments. Meanwhile, they said that Sodexo's defensive growth profile is also expected to lead to top-line growth of 8-10% this year. Deutsche strategists Maximilian Uleer and Caroline Raab added that the German tech giant SAP had finished its costly cloud investments and is now starting to see benefits from the transformation.

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Deutsche Bank, Coinbase, Block, Marathon Oil and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A Deutsche Bank AG flag flies outside the company's office on Wall Street in New York. Banks — Shares of U.S. banks fell as investors worried about the global banking system. First Republic Bank fell 3%, while Western Alliance , Zions Bancorporation and Fifth Third all lost more than 2%. Energy stocks — Energy names fell in in the premarket as oil prices slid, with investors worried about potential oversupply. Marathon Oil and Devon Energy fell about 3%.

☆ Club meeting recap: Cramer says investors should find safety in defensive stocks like Costco
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Own Nvidia Club holding Nvidia (NVDA) has been one of the best performing large cap stocks this year, with shares up more than 80% year-to-date. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

☆ Deutsche Bank shares slide 9% after sudden spike in the cost of insuring against its default
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A logo stands on display above the headquarters of Deutsche Bank AG at the Aurora Business Park in Moscow, Russia. Deutsche Bank shares fell by more than 9% in early trade on Friday following a spike in credit default swaps on Thursday night, as concerns about the stability of European banks persisted. Credit default swaps — a form of insurance for a company's bondholders against its default — leapt to 173 basis points on Thursday night from 142 basis points the previous day. Deutsche led broad declines for major European banking stocks on Friday, with Commerzbank , Credit Suisse , Societe Generale and UBS all falling more than 5%. After completing a multibillion euro restructure that began in 2019, with the aim of reducing costs and improving profitability, Deutsche Bank has reported 10 straight quarters of profit.

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